ANES Study Proposal Who Represents Me: A Battery of Questions Exploring Race, Gender, Partisanship, and the Limits of Electoral Representation Kathryn Pearson, Dara Z. Strolovitch, and Ashley English, University of Minnesota Five Keywords: Representation, Race, Gender, Partisanship, Congress Political scientists have long recognized that representation occurs in myriad ways – with representatives acting as trustees or as delegates, substantively or descriptively, promissorily or anticipatorily, in Washington or in their districts. Scholars also argue that Americans, particularly those who are members of marginalized groups, are represented by a range of actors beyond their own senators and members of Congress (MCs) – by interest groups (Strolovitch 2007); by social movements (Weldon 2006); or by MCs from other districts. In recent years, scholars have begun to explore how well different kinds of representatives represent different constituencies, while others have examined the implications of various “kinds” of representation for political behavior, examining, for example, the effects of descriptive representation on voter turnout, trust in government, Congressional approval, and the extent to which voters contact the MCs from their districts. Few scholars, however, have asked Americans what kinds of representation they expect or prefer (but see Grill 2007), and even fewer have examined who voters think represents them and their interests, the effects of these beliefs on political behavior, or the relationship between each of these and partisan, racial, or gender congruence. We propose to examine the relationships between political representation and political behavior though a question battery that asks respondents (1) to whom they look for representation; (2) how satisfied they are with how they are represented; and (3) what kinds of representation they prefer. Representational Pluralism There are several reasons to suspect that when it comes to representation, the link between an individual and his or her member of Congress (MC) is not always the most important 2 one, and that Americans may look elsewhere for representation in national politics. First, the contemporary House of Representatives is more polarized along partisan lines than it has been in nearly a century (e.g., Theriault 2008), and partisan voters increasingly disapprove of the rival party (Abramowitz and Saunders 2008). In this context, strong partisans may so disagree with the opposing party that they search beyond their own member of Congress for representation if he or she does not share their party label. Second, even in less polarized political contexts, Congress is not always an obvious source of representation for many Americans, particularly for members of marginalized groups such as women and people of color. Geographically based congressional districts, make difficult the election of representatives of groups whose members do not live in residentially distinct areas (Canon 1999; Cohen and Rogers 1992; Guinier 1994; Rehfeld 2005; Warren 2001, 2004). Women, for instance, share many interests but are almost never concentrated geographically in particular congressional districts (though women often do compose just over half the residents in a district). Women also have limited opportunities to vote for women candidates, as women are less likely to run for office than are similarly-situated men (Lawless and Fox 2010). As a consequence, in spite of the increasing numbers of women and minorities serving in the House of Representatives (73 and 71 respectively in 2011), most women and minorities are not represented descriptively by their own member of Congress, and may therefore look elsewhere for this kind of representation. Third, important as we have just suggested they can be, salient groupings that help define political interests and preferences — such as those based on race, ethnicity, class, citizenship, and gender — are not static, mutually exclusive categories. Instead, these groups are defined by contingent, dynamic, and intersecting interests. Because individuals belong to many intersecting and overlapping groups, individuals typically have “interests” along more than one dimension. 3 For example, a predominantly Latino electoral district might elect a Latino MC, but this representative may not attend to the specific concerns of Latinas, low-income Latinos, or gay and lesbian Latinos (Fraga et al. 2005). Because geographically-based representatives are illequipped to transmit the multifaceted interests of groups whose identities and interests are intersectionally constituted (Strolovitch 2007), even people who are “descriptively represented” by the MC from their district along one line may look to others as well. Members of underrepresented groups or partisan identifiers whose MCs’ party affiliations are not congruent with their own might look to other elected officials (e.g., the president or the senators from their states), party leaders, congressional caucuses, or to advocacy groups rather to the members from their districts to speak for them in national politics. Although few of the 330 caucuses currently registered with the Committee on House Administration are sufficiently broad or active to create meaningful representational connections, four identity-based caucuses -- the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC), the Congressional Hispanic Caucus (CHC), the Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus (CAPAC), and the Congressional Caucus for Women’s Issues (CCWI) -- are rooted in ideas about the need for descriptive representation for underrepresented groups, and have received attention in the media and among scholars and make claims to such links and actively engage in outreach to members of the populations for whom they profess to speak in the House (Dodson 2006; Hero 1992; Gertzog 2004; Hammond 1998; Pinney and Serra 1999; Singh 1996). Similarly, advocacy organizations claim to fill in gaps in electorally based representation by transcending geographic boundaries and providing compensatory and surrogate representation for groups of people with shared interests but inadequate formal territorially based political representation (Ainsworth 2002; Jenkins 1987; Rehfeld 2006; Strolovitch 2007). Carole Uhlaner (2002) has found that many Latinos, for 4 example, affirm that there are groups that “look out for” their concerns, and that this view can lead to increased political participation. The Representation-Behavior Link Although descriptive representation is no panacea for members of marginalized groups, a wide range of work shows that it has implications, albeit conflicting ones, for their political attitudes and behavior. Kira Sanbonmatsu (2003), for example, finds that women support gender-based descriptive representation more than men, and research suggests that trust in government improves among members of marginalized groups when they are represented by members of their own racial or gender groups. Adrian Pantoja and Gary Segura (2003) find that “descriptively represented Latino citizens are less likely to articulate feelings of political alienation” (see also Banducci, Donovan, and Karp 2004), and Matt Barreto, Gary Segura, and Nathan Woods (2004) find that Latinos in majority-minority districts are also more likely to vote. Other work finds that African Americans in cities with black mayors are more favorably disposed toward city government (Abney and Hutcheson 1981; Howell and Fagan 1988). Using ANES data, Claudine Gay (2002) found that descriptive representation increases the probability that black constituents will contact their MCs, and that whites and blacks are more likely to contact MCs of the same race. Also using ANES data, Michael Wagner (2007) finds that people whose MCs are members of the opposing party are less satisfied with casework, less likely to think their representative would be helpful if contacted, and that these negative attitudes increase as representatives become more extreme. Our proposed battery of questions will allow scholars to deepen our understanding of the ways in which descriptive representation and partisan congruence affects political behavior and attitudes by supplementing the ANES’s extensive questions about political attitudes and behavior with new measures that explore directly whether 5 and in what ways it influences which political actors people “think of” when they think about being represented, who people think best represent them, who they look to for representation if they do not feel represented by the members of Congress from their districts, and whether and how their political attitudes and behavior vary based on those assessments in ways the ways in which people use their evaluations of their representatives and the choices they make about representation to shape their future political behavior and participation. Our proposed questions would allow us to explore citizens’ views about representation, specifically regarding how they want to be represented and who they think best represents them, and the connection between these views and their political behavior. We will test hypotheses about how individuals value shared partisan, racial, and gender identities with their members of Congress in both chambers. We expect each of these shared characteristics to shape individuals’ attitudes about who best represents them, their satisfaction with Congress, their vote choice, and the likelihood that they contact their representative. In the absence of shared identities, we expect that members of marginalized groups will turn to organizations to give voice to their interests. In testing this hypothesis, we will assess whether the claims to advocacy made by congressional caucuses and advocacy groups are reflected in the views of the members of the groups on whose behalf they claim to speak, and explore people’s perceptions of the tradeoffs among possible representatives. In an era of partisan polarization, we expect that the absence of shared partisan identities will heavily condition individuals’ attitudes about how they are represented and by whom, as well as influencing their political attitudes and behavior. Previous Implementation, Reliability, and Validity of Proposed Items We first implemented our proposed questions on the 2006 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES). Combining those survey data with additional information about the 6 party, seniority, race, gender, and ideologies of respondents’ actual members of Congress allowed us to analyze the influences of race, gender, and partisanship on three inter-related aspects of political representation. First, we examined to whom voters look for representation, asking whether partisan, racial, and gender congruence – for example, a Democrat represented by a Democratic member of Congress or a woman represented by a woman MC – affect the likelihood that one will look to his or her own member of Congress for representation in DC. We found that partisan and racial congruence were particularly important, while gender congruence was more complicated. We then focused on the influences of partisan identification, race, and gender in reliance on extra-institutional representation by congressional caucuses and advocacy organizations. We found that 25 percent of respondents look first to groups -- either organizations or congressional caucuses -- for representation rather than to their member of Congress, the president, or congressional leaders. Finally, we analyzed the relationships between these same variables and attitudes about Congress. These initial results indicate that shared identities – whether race-based or partisan-based – affect attitudes about representation, and representational connections shape attitudes about government, but many questions remain. While leading to theoretically innovative and substantively interesting findings, the results of our analyses of the CCES data are also plausible and consistent with our expectations in ways that suggest that our constructs are valid. First, as expected, the results of our study showed that while a plurality of Americans looks first to the MC from their district for representation. We also found, however, that a majority of Americans look elsewhere for representation, confirming our hypothesis that while the congressional connection remains the most important representational linkage between the citizenry and the federal government, it is far more tenuous than the Framers might have hoped. Second, partisanship behaved as expected because 7 respondents’ beliefs about their own MCs were heavily conditioned by party identification; that is, respondents represented by a MC of the same party are significantly more likely to look to their own MC for representation. As hypothesized, we found that respondents’ representational linkages to Congress were affected by descriptive representation, which enhanced the bond between individuals and their MCs. For example, our bivariate results showed that among the African Americans in the sample with an African American MC, none responded that they looked “not at all” to their own member for representation, a stark contrast to the 40 percent of African American respondents who gave this answer overall. Further, while African Americans represented by an African American MC are not significantly more likely to look to these legislators for representation once we account for other factors, they are significantly more likely to approve of Congress. Our analyses of representation by congressional caucuses also demonstrated that a failure to prioritize racial and gender congruence by their MCs should not be construed as evidence that women and people of color do not value being descriptively represented in Congress. Instead, our results suggest they turn to supplementary representatives such as congressional caucuses for necessary descriptive and compensatory representation. Lastly, our results confirmed our hypothesis that advocacy groups serve an important representational function at the federal level, particularly for people who are not represented by a MC who shares their partisan affiliation, despite the fact that voters do not elect them to office. For example, Democrats with Republican members of Congress are more likely to turn to outside groups for representation. The CCES data allowed us to test our questions and to conduct preliminary analyses of our hypotheses, but each module consists of only 1,000 respondents in only one election year, and included too few Latinos and Asian Americans to conduct meaningful analyses of these groups. 8 We therefore hope to replicate and extend our questions on the ANES in order to administer them to a larger, more representative sample and to more fully explore our findings by examining the dynamics of representation longitudinally over changing political contexts and among more racial and ethnic groups, linking them to political attitudes and behavior. Question Wordings Question 1: There are many different ways in which people can have their views represented in national politics. You might be represented by the President, by members of Congress, by the leaders of your party, or by organizations that speak for different groups. I will read you a list of different kinds of representatives. Please indicate how much you look to each one to represent you in Washington: <1> Do not look to at all <2> Look to somewhat <3> Look to a great deal [RANDOMIZE ORDER] President Barack Obama NAME, the House member from your district NAME [JUNIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state NAME [SENIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state Republican congressional leaders such as John Boehner Democratic congressional leaders such as Nancy Pelosi The Congressional Black Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver The Congressional Hispanic Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Charles Gonzalez The Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Judy Chu The Congressional Caucus for Women’s Issues, currently chaired by Reps. Cynthia Lummis and Gwen Moore Organizations or movements that speak for various groups or about various issues o If yes, please specify which ones The Republican National Committee The Democratic National Committee The Federal Bureaucracy The Supreme Court Question 2: Which of the representatives listed above do you look to the MOST to represent you in Washington: [RANDOMIZE ORDER] President Barack Obama NAME, the House member from your district NAME [JUNIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state 9 NAME [SENIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state Republican congressional leaders such as John Boehner Democratic congressional leaders such as Nancy Pelosi The Congressional Black Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver The Congressional Hispanic Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Charles Gonzalez The Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Judy Chu The Congressional Caucus for Women’s Issues, currently chaired by Reps. Cynthia Lummis and Gwen Moore Organizations or movements that speak for various groups or about various issues o If yes, please specify which ones The Republican National Committee The Democratic National Committee The Federal Bureaucracy The Supreme Court Question 3: Which of the below representatives do you look to the second most to represent you in Washington [RANDOMIZE ORDER] President Barack Obama NAME, the House member from your district NAME [JUNIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state NAME [SENIOR SENATOR], one of two senators from your state Republican congressional leaders such as John Boehner Democratic congressional leaders such as Nancy Pelosi The Congressional Black Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver The Congressional Hispanic Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Charles Gonzalez The Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, currently chaired by Rep. Judy Chu The Congressional Caucus for Women’s Issues, currently chaired by Reps. Cynthia Lummis and Gwen Moore Organizations or movements that speak for various groups or about various issues o If yes, please specify which ones The Republican National Committee The Democratic National Committee The Federal Bureaucracy The Supreme Court Question 4: In general, how satisfied are you with how your views and interests are represented in national politics and policymaking? <1> Not at all satisfied <2> Somewhat satisfied <3> Very satisfied Question 5: In general, do you think that you are you better represented by [NAME], your member of the House of Representatives, by Senator [NAME JUNIOR SENATOR], or by Senator [NAME SENIOR SENATOR]? [RANDOMIZE ORDER] 10 <1> name of member of the House <2> name of senior Senator <3> name of junior Senator Question 6: Some people think that elected representatives should act as “delegates,” following the wishes of a majority of their constituents when making decisions, while others believe that representatives should act as trustees, doing what they think is right, even if this goes against the wishes of a majority of their constituents. What kind of representative do you prefer – a delegate, or a trustee? [RANDOMIZE ORDER] <1> a Delegate <2> a Trustee Question 7: There are many different qualities you may ideally want in a Member of Congress. You may want them to share some characteristics with you or behave in certain ways. I am going to read you a list of some of these possible characteristics and behaviors. For each one, please tell me whether it is very important, somewhat important, or not at all important. [RANDOMIZE ORDER] <1> You and your member of Congress share the same party <2> You and your member of Congress share the same race or ethnicity <3> You and your member of Congress share the same gender <4> Your member of Congress knows his or her district very well <5> Your member of Congress votes the way you want <6> Your member of Congress is trustworthy and ethical <7> Your member of Congress introduces a lot of bills Question 8: Which of these is most important to you. That [RANDOMIZE ORDER]: <1> You and your member of Congress share the same party <2> You and your member of Congress share the same race or ethnicity <3> You and your member of Congress share the same gender <4> Your member of Congress knows his or her district very well <5> Your member of Congress votes the way you want <6> Your member of Congress is trustworthy and ethical <7> Your member of Congress introduces a lot of bills References Abramowitz, Alan I, and Kyle L. Saunders. 2008. "Is Polarization a Myth?" 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