Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 61 THE U.S. FOREIGN POLICY FOR SOUTH AMERICA A POLÍTICA EXTERNA DOS EUA PARA A AMÉRICA DO SUL Bruno Gomes Guimarães1 Abstract This paper delves into the foreign policy of the United States of America towards the South American continent. Using the duality between the Monroe Doctrine and the Manifest Destiny as ideas that influence the US foreign policy, it seeks to analyze the logic behind the US policy towards South America in the 20 th century, identifying interests and trends for the 21st century. The framework of analysis is based on offensive realism and geopolitics of South America. After a brief description of the theories, the paper describes the history of US foreign policy for South America in the early 20th century, during the Cold War and contemporarily. It concludes that the US has historically fostered the rivalry between Brazil and Argentina to hinder the integration of the region and that currently it props up integration processes that challenge the already established ones. On the international level, the US foreign policy has sought to balance off external powers, such as the Soviet Union and the Nazi Germany. For the 21st century, two alternatives are at hand: maintaining US primacy through buck-passing with a partnership with Brazil or by trying to politically split South American countries and hamper their integration process. Keywords: United States of America. US foreign policy. South America. Resumo Este trabalho analisa a política externa dos Estados Unidos da América para o continente sul-americano. Fazendo uso da dualidade entre a Doutrina Monroe e o Destino Manifesto como ideais que influenciam a política externa estadunidense, o artigo procura descobrir a lógica por trás da política dos EUA para a América do Sul no século XX, identificando interesses e tendências para o século XXI. O quadro de análise é baseado no realismo ofensivo e na geopolítica da América do Sul. Após uma breve descrição dessas teorias, o trabalho descreve a história da política externa dos Estados Unidos para a América do Sul no início do século XX, durante a Guerra Fria e contemporaneamente. Conclui-se que os EUA fomentaram historicamente a rivalidade entre Brasil e Argentina para dificultar a integração regional e atualmente apoiam processos de integração que desafiam os já existentes. No âmbito internacional, a política externa estadunidense procurou balancear potências externas, tais como a Alemanha Nazista e a União Soviética. Para o século XXI, as duas alternativas disponíveis são: manter a primazia dos EUA por meio de buck-passing em parceria com o Brasil ou da tentativa de dividir politicamente os países sul-americanos e impedir o processo de integração. Palavras-chave: Estados Unidos da América. Política externa norte-americana. América do Sul. 1 Mestre em Relações Internacionais com foco em Desafios Globais em programa conjunto da Universidade Humboldt de Berlim, Universidade Livre de Berlim e Universidade de Potsdam. Bacharel em Relações Internacionais pela Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul. Pesquisador associado do Instituto SulAmericano de Política e Estratégia (ISAPE). Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 62 1 INTRODUCTION Up to the late 19th century and early 20th, the United States was a country which was deemed isolationist. Once it decided to get itself involved in global affairs, the U.S. had two contending views on this role to be played. On the one hand, Theodore Roosevelt favored an engagement based on considerations of national interest. On the other, Woodrow Wilson leaned strongly towards an international insertion based on values and idealism. Roosevelt's view was quite unpopular and, therefore, Wilson prevailed. Under the latter's leadership the United States took part in World War I. This meant that idealism had overcome isolationism, laying the ground for all future policies of the American superpower (KISSINGER, 1994). There are two ideas which have marked the formation of the U.S. foreign policy as it is today. Both of them had already been developed before Roosevelt or Wilson came to power. They are namely the Monroe Doctrine and the Manifest Destiny. The first represents values of self-government, civil rights and duties, and leading by example. The latter has characteristics of civilizing domination and exceptionality, predestined to lead the world. Pervading U.S. history, these two symbolic notions have influenced the US foreign policy since their first conception (FRANÇA et al., 2013). As authors have put it: “since they [Monroe Doctrine and Manifest Destiny] embody opposite polarities of the U.S. soul, they serve as tools to assess trends in the U.S. foreign and security policy” (FRANÇA et al., 2013, p. 8). Both notions emerged to deal with the region surrounding the country, i.e. the Americas or western hemisphere. The first engagements of the United States with the rest of the world as an independent country were marked by the necessity to guarantee its sovereignty and autonomy. That is the logic behind the development of the Monroe Doctrine in 1823, which sought to avoid the return of European colonialism in the Americas. It represented the kernel of regionalization under U.S. aegis to uphold sovereignty and autonomy from foreign powers (FRANÇA et al., 2013). It was the incarnation of the principle of non-interference in internal affairs (BEST et al., 2008). Conversely, Manifest Destiny's objective was to justify the conquest of the West. According to this notion, God had awarded that territory to the people from the U.S. (FRANÇA et al., 2013). The country was exceptional because God had blessed them. Consequently, the United States had to spread its values to other parts of the world, especially its region. It had to civilize them, show (and impose to) the rest of the world how great their people are (BEST et al., 2008). Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 63 Manifest Destiny and the Monroe Doctrine were notions created to deal mainly with the western hemisphere and later with the rest of the world too. However, they were not devoid of national interests (guarantee independence and justify expansionism). The Americas, then, play a major role for the development of U.S. foreign policy as a whole. It was only after the United States had been consolidated as a continental state – unquestionable independence with coast-to-coast territory – with no rival land powers that it could be deemed as a world power and that it could overcome isolationism. In fact, Spykman and Nicholl (1944) argues that the security of the United States can only be assured by a unified western hemisphere. A point which is corroborated by Samuel Pinheiro Guimarães, who stated that Latin America “in fact is the most important strategic zone for the U.S.” (GUIMARÃES, 1999, p. 99). In North America, its dominance is unquestionable. However, in South America this authority had to be forcefully guaranteed several times. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the logic behind the U.S. foreign policy towards South America in the 20th century, trying to unveil interests and identify trends for the 21st century. The framework of analysis is based on offensive realism as developed by John Mearsheimer and geopolitics of South America as described by Therezinha de Castro. These theoretical approaches shall be presented in the first section of this paper. Then, there will be a description of the U.S. foreign policy towards South America divided in three parts: early 20th century, the Cold War, and contemporary policies. Analysis and conclusion follow the description. 2 THEORETICAL APPROACH 2.1 Great power strategies On his seminal work The Tragedy of Great Power Politics John Mearsheimer laid down a framework for analysis about the ways great powers behave when conducting their international affairs. For him, all great powers seek opportunities to gain power over their rivals and their final objective is hegemony (MEARSHEIMER, 2001, p. 29). This competition for power is based on five assumptions: 1) the international system is anarchic, which drives states towards a security competition; 2) great powers have enough military capabilities to destroy one another; 3) it is impossible for a state to be certain of the real Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 64 intentions of the others; 4) survival is the primary goal of great powers; and 5) states are rational actors (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). These assumptions are the bedrock of Mearsheimer's theory, which he calls“offensive realism”. Its core question is the security dilemma, i.e. states seek their survival and are wary of all others. The result of the five assumptions put together is that great powers always have an offensive behavior. It can only be checked by others through the balance of power. Notwithstanding that, Mearsheimer (2001) accepts that great powers seek goals other than security as long as they do not go up against the logic of the balance of power. In relation to cooperation, Mearsheimer (2001) ascertains that great powers do not seek it voluntarily. Because they are always trying to maximize their power, diminishing the other great powers' share of world power is a goal. Cooperation between states falls within the logic of the balance of power and it is guided purely by selfish reasons, mostly to maintain the status quo and bearing in mind relative gains. Then, cooperation is highly unlikely in this scenario. However, great power rivalry may create order in the international system. The Cold War would be an example of that. Still, since great powers are permanently looking for opportunities to increase their share of world power, they will move to undermine a stable order if a favorable situation arises (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Therefore, the fear of getting cheated gets in the way of cooperation between great powers. Mearsheimer (2001, p. 52) notes that “this concern is especially acute in the military realm, causing a 'special peril of defection', because the natures of military weaponry allows for rapid shifts in the balance of power”. Mearsheimer includes in his work the concept of regional balance of power. According to him, to be a hegemon means being the only great power in the system. Even if a state is considerably more powerful than the others, it does not have hegemony, because there are still other great powers in the system. “A hegemon is a state that is so powerful that it dominates all the other states in the system” (MEARSHEIMER, 2001, p. 40). Rezende (2005) states that, for Mearsheimer, being a global hegemon is the same as being “the owner of the world”. However, Mearsheimer (2001) states the there has never been such a powerful state in the system and probably never will. The main problem behind it are the immense costs and the enormous difficulty for states to project power overseas (Mearsheimer, 2001)2 2 See Chapter 4, “The Primacy of Land Power”, of Mearsheimer's (2001) book for an in depth analysis of the superiority of land power over sea and air powers for effective domination. Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 65 However, Mearsheimer argues that the concept of hegemony may be applied to regions. In the sub-system regional hegemony is a valid concept that describes a situation in which a single state can dominate its region without significant challenge from others (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Accordingly, for him the United States has been a regional hegemon in the western hemisphere for the past century and the only one of modern history (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Other states have tried to achieve regional hegemony without success. Within this logic, states strive for becoming regional hegemons, because it is the most they can get to maximize their power (REZENDE, 2005). Once a state has become regional hegemon, it will do everything to prevent the rise of other regional hegemons elsewhere (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). This happens because “a rival great power that dominates its own region will be an especially powerful foe that is essentially free to cause trouble in the fearful great power's backyard” (MEARSHEIMER, 2001, p. 41-42). In modern history, the U.S. as the only regional hegemon acted to prevent the rise of Germany, the Soviet Union, and Japan as hegemons of their regions. To contain this rise, the already existing regional hegemon wishes that at least two powers exist in a single region so that they will concentrate their efforts against each other and not against itself (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). This is the most desirable situation: to be the only regional hegemon in the system with other powers containing each other (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). To prevent the rise of other regional hegemons, states may adopt several strategies which depend on the distribution of power in the region of the rising hegemon. Mearsheimer (2001) identifies to types of strategy: for gaining power and for checking aggressors (rising powers). From the first group of strategies, war is the most classical one, which is still a valid means for maximizing power albeit (justly) criticized (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Blackmail is another option, trying to change the balance of power in favor of the state that is blackmailing. However, Mearsheimer (2001) notes that blackmail does not produce big changes in the balance of power when it comes to great powers: It is a strategy for rather smaller less powerful states. Bait and bleed is a third strategy of this group, in which a state provokes a protracted war between two rival states, while it remains on the sidelines and maintains its power intact (thereby increasing its relative power whilst the other two are “bleeding”) (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). The inherent difficulty of this strategy is for a state to create a conflict without having to join the engagement, according to Rezende (2005). Mearsheimer (2001) also points out that the bait is easily perceived by the target states, which do not want to wage war. Moreover there is also the possibility that one of the states wins a rapid victory and ends up gaining more power instead of depleting its resources (“bleeding”) Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 66 (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). The last strategy of this group as presented by Mearsheimer (2001) is the bloodletting, the objective of which is to support the prolongation of a war between its rivals, who independently have gone to war (there is no bait for that, in opposition to the former strategy presented). The state is concerned with causing as much exhaustion of resources of both sides of the war as possible, while it stays out of the conflict (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). There are four strategies in the second group as in the first one. They are namely balancing, buck-passing, appeasement, and bandwagoning. The first of these strategies consists of actions aimed at avoiding changes in the balance of power with the least possible costs (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). At first the state will try to deter the rising power through peaceful means (strong diplomatic efforts) to show commitment to the prevailing status quo. If it fails, it will try to create a defensive alliance, which Mearsheimer (2001) names “external balancing”. If this also fails, the state will engage in “internal balancing”, which is the mobilization of its own resources to contain the aggressor (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). The last resort would be direct war. To counter and avoid the emergence of regional hegemons, a great power may act in regions other than its own as an offshore balancer (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Alternatively, a state may engage in buck-passing, which is when a great power attempts to get another state to bear the costs of deterring (or possibly fighting) the aggressor, while it remains in the sidelines (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). The buck-passer will try to maintain good relations with the aggressor in the hopes that it will use its resources only against the buck-catcher. Besides that, the state will keep some distance from the buckcatcher, because it does not want to be drawn into a conflict in case of a war with the aggressor (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). Nevertheless, it is in the interest of the buck-passer “to allow or even facilitate the growth in power of the intended buck-catcher. That burden-bearer would then have a better chance of containing the aggressor state, which would increase the buck-passer's prospects of remaining on the sidelines” (MEARSHEIMER, 2001: 159). Yet, this presents a danger for the buck-passer, because the buck-catcher can have its power augmented too much so that it becomes the aggressor (Mearsheimer, 2001). Mearsheimer (2001) notices that, in spite of this, states prefer buck-passing over balancing due to the smaller costs of such course of action. As for appeasement and bandwagoning, Mearsheimer (2001) affirms that they should be avoided by great powers as a way to cope with changes in the balance of power. The reason behind it is that they are in opposition to the logic of the balance of power, since they Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 67 concede power to the aggressor. Bandwagoning is a strategy only for weak states, when they follow a more powerful partner hoping that the spoils will be shared disproportionately in its favor (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). On its turn, appeasement tends to increase the will of the aggressor – although the objective is to change the behavior of the aggressor through concessions –, because it will perceive it as a weakness on the side of the appeaser (MEARSHEIMER, 2001). 2.2. Geopolitical characterization of South America Spykman and Nicholl (1944) argues that the security of the United States can only be assured by a unified western hemisphere. In this case, the only threats to the U.S. would come from Eurasia and Africa. However, Rezende (2005) correctly notices that the Americas are not a single geopolitical entity. The Panama Isthmus was the only land connection between North and South America (now interrupted by the Panama Canal), making extremely difficult, if not impossible, for the projection of land power. Because the United States would need sea power to project itself in the South — having to overcome the stopping power of water —, South and North America are in fact geopolitically distinct regions (REZENDE, 2005)3. In view of that, the Brazilian geopolitical scientist Therezinha de Castro (1997) borrows some concepts developed by Mackinder and Spykman to describe the geopolitical characteristics of the South American continent. She identifies South America's heartland4 as somewhere between the Bolivian altipiano (highlands) and the western part of the Brazilian cerrado (tropical savanna). The Andes mountain range represent a sort of rimland5 of the continent, isolated from the most part of it. East of this mountain range lie the largest part of the territory, facing the Atlantic. In this region, there are three hydrographic basins – i.e. the Orenoco, Amazon and La Plata basins – with corresponding lowlands which lead the continent to its “manifest destiny”, namely the Atlantic Ocean. According to Castro (1997), this geopolitical vocation towards the ocean is a product of the connection of the rivers with the predominantly coastal settlements (and also it benefits from the lowlands, especially in 3 Even though the western hemisphere is composed of two distinct regions, the logic behind Spykman’s idea of needing it united to have greater security is not invalidated. This objective, however, is more difficult to attain (and probably would be at the core of any US global security strategy). 4 The concept of heartland is used to describe a resource-rich territory which does not allow for easy access by the sea and is, therefore, pivotal for the control of the larger landmass (MACKINDER, 1904). Mackinder developed this idea referring to the Eurasian continent. 5 According to Spykman and Nicholl (1944), the rimland is an intermediate region between the heartland and the sea which functions as a buffer zone of conflict between land and sea powers. Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 68 comparison to the Andes). Although these characteristics do not lean towards continental unification, Castro (1997) notes that they also do not impose disaggregation. Castro (1997) also distinguishes four different regions: the Caribbean, the Pacific, the Atlantic, and the Interior. The first stretches from Colombia to the French Guyana and is somewhat isolated from the rest of the continent due to the Andes and the Plateau of Guyana. The second, from Colombia to Chile, is also somewhat detached from the rest of the continent due to the Andes, but more integrated to it since there are some passes through the mountains. The Interior region would be Bolivia and some parts of Brazil and Paraguay, i.e. the heartland, where the hydrographic system is closed to the rest of the continent. Climatically and geographically, it is a transition zone to/from the Amazon basin and the La Plata as well as to/from the Pacific and the Atlantic regions. Lastly, as already stated, the Atlantic region is characterized by the two river basins which facilitate the penetration in the hinterlands of the main countries (Argentina and Brazil). These features can be seen in Figure 1. Figure 1. Map of the Atlantic South America. Fonte: Castro (2002). Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 69 Consequently, Castro (1997) emphasizes that there is a South American geopolitical vocation towards the Atlantic, especially towards its southern part. The lowlands to the East form a semi-circle with its points at the mouths of the Amazon and La Plata rivers. The Andes are the western rearguard of these lowlands together with the Plateau of Guyana to the North and Patagonia to the South. Brazil, then, is the only country which can connect the two basins, and articulate all of the regions of South America (CASTRO, 1997, 2002). Accordingly, she notes that this Atlantic vocation is marked by the integration process of Mercosul (CASTRO, 2002), which has been put forward by Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay, and now with the addition of Venezuela. 3 US FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS SOUTH AMERICA 3.1 The first half of the 20th century 3.1.1 The Roosevelt Corollary If during the 19th century the United States focused efforts on consolidating its independence and expanding the state, at the outset of the 20th century the country could afford to focus on regions other than North America. The Spanish-American War in 1898 represented the idea of regional defense as conceived by the Monroe Doctrine. It effectively expanded the scope to encompass places outside of the western hemisphere, for instance the Philippines (CUMINGS, 2009). Yet, towards the Americas themselves, the United States adopted a different stance. Under Theodore Roosevelt, an addendum to the Monroe Doctrine was developed as a way to further protect the hemisphere from European powers. Known as Roosevelt Corollary or simply the “big stick policy”, it conferred to the United States the right to intervene in any American country which somehow disrespected internationally established precepts of behavior. Simply put, the U.S. could invade any country that displeased U.S. interests. In the words of Roosevelt himself: [The U.S.] would interfere with them only in the last resort, and then only if it became evident that their inability or unwillingness to do justice at home and abroad had violated the rights of the United States or had invited foreign aggression to the Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 70 detriment of the entire body of American nations (ROOSEVELT apud KAPLAN, 2014, p. 1). More than that, the Corollary introduced a doctrine of preventive intervention that would permit the United States to intrude in Latin American countries threatened by European powers (O’BRIEN, 2007). If, on the one hand it further limited the presence of European colonialists in the region, on the other it gave justification for carrying out a civilizing mission (O’BRIEN, 2007). Nonetheless, the United States applied the Roosevelt Corollary mainly in Central America and the Caribbean and rarely in South America. It came into play especially in Colombia, the borderland between South America and the Caribbean. The United States negotiated a treaty with Colombia to build a canal in the province of Panama, but in the end it was rejected by the Colombian government. The rebuff was countered by military invasion of Panama when a rebellion started in the province. American gunboats prevented the Colombian military from quelling it (SMITH, 2005). Shortly afterwards the U.S. government recognized Panama’s independence and signed a treaty with the new country to build the canal (O’BRIEN, 2007). In addition to Colombia, the U.S. also sent warships to Venezuela and Chile during disputes – although troops never landed as in Panama – where investments by U.S. companies in mining and oil exploration industries had thrived (LIVINGSTONE, 2009; O’BRIEN, 2007). Notwithstanding Colombia, at the same time that the U.S. promoted interventions in its neighborhood, it adopted a discourse of Pan-Americanism towards South America. O’Brien (2007, p. 105) states that “U.S. officials never seriously considered using interventionist tactics to extend their civilizing mission to South America”. In stark contrast to the imperial policies in the Caribbean and Central America, the Pan-Americanism promoted by the U.S. diplomacy was quite benign in the sense that the country tried to achieve consensus with South American countries on key economic issues (O’BRIEN, 2007). However, the South American nations started to criticize U.S. interventionism in the western hemisphere and showed concern that the country could try to extend its power to the region (O’BRIEN, 2007). Uruguayan, Brazilian, and Argentinean diplomats and intellectuals denied the Roosevelt Corollary and defended the old interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine (BURNS, 2003; O’BRIEN, 2007). Smith (2005) points out that the United States tried to developed better relations with Argentina, Brazil and Chile, known as “ABC”. Out of the three, Brazil was the favored one. It became the first South American country to host a U.S. ambassador and to be visited by the Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 71 Secretary of State in 1906 (SMITH, 2005). However, the United States tried not to show any preferential relations with Brazil in order to avoid upsetting Argentina and getting entangled in the rivalry between the two (SMITH, 2005). Eventually, the ABC countries even mediated a conflict between the U.S. and Mexico successfully preventing a full-scale war (e.g. SMITH, 2005). It is noticeable that the European trade, especially the British, dominated South American markets. This scenario began to change during World War I when the share of the United States rose pointedly, especially with Brazil and Argentina for raw materials (Livingstone, 2009)6. On the political front, South American countries favored a neutral stance towards the conflict. Despite this being initially also the position of the US, it declared war on Germany in 1917. Argentina was displeased by the attitude and raised the idea of convening a peace conference excluding belligerent countries, i.e. the U.S. However, the U.S. managed to get Brazil to declare war on Germany too with promises of lifting trade barriers (SMITH, 2005). In practice this put an end to the Argentinean proposal. Not only that, this maneuver dealt a harsh stroke on South American unity altogether, and particularly on the ABC. It effectively rekindled the rivalry between Brazil and Argentina, although the U.S. ended up not fulfilling its promises towards the former (SMITH, 2005). 3.1.2 The “Good Neighbor Policy” The U.S. foreign policy towards Latin America as a whole underwent a stark change of direction in the 1930s. The aggressive “Big Stick” policy was substituted by the “Good Neighbor Policy” when Franklin D. Roosevelt (henceforth, FDR) came to power in the country. Under this policy the United States recognized that no state had the right to intervene in the internal affairs of the other, i.e. military interventionism was off the table 7. FDR himself said that “The definite policy of the United States from now on is one opposed to armed intervention” (ROOSEVELT apud SMITH, 2005, p. 96). This policy was closely connected to the economic situation of the U.S. Right after the crisis in 1929, it faced a severe depression and needed to cut off expenditures and to increase its exports. Therefore, FDR sought to boost commercial ties with the rest of the hemisphere. It 6 From then on, the share of the United States in South American trade rose steadily and would eventually overcome that of the European powers at the outset of World War II (LIVINGSTONE, 2009; SMITH, 2005). 7 This guideline was made clear when the United States signed the final document of the 7th Pan-American Conference in Montevideo, which stated the rights and duties of all states (SMITH, 2005). Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 72 successfully did so, in particular with Brazil. The Brazilian were the first in South America to sign a reciprocal trade agreement with the United States in 1935. Yet, the U.S. faced a serious competition by Germany, that had begun an impressive trade offensive towards South America with remarkable results: total trade volume rose pointedly until World War II. Notably, German interests in Brazil grew in a faster pace than that of the U.S. in the 1930s (SMITH, 2005). During this decade, Brazil played Germany and the United States against each other for better trade conditions (e.g. VISENTINI, 2013). However, after the war broke out, Washington gave better conditions by funding the Brazilian industrialization, markedly the steel plant of Volta Redonda (VISENTINI, 2013; O’BRIEN, 2007). From then on, Brazil tilted towards the U.S. and even joined military operations after war had been declared. Still, before the war the United States favored hemispherical neutrality with regards to the conflict in Europe and in Asia in accordance to the Good Neighbor Policy. Washington agreed to a 300 miles safety zone around the coastline of the Americas where belligerent navies could not enter and war activities should not happen (SMITH, 2005). The U.S. also defended that dominion over European colonies in the Americas could not be transferred, if the original country was conquered (in the case, by Germany). This friendliness towards its American neighbors rendered fruits when most South American countries joined U.S. war efforts after it had broken out (SMITH, 2005). The exception to this phase of good relations between South America and the U.S. was Argentina. In Pan-American conventions convened by the U.S. to cope with the war, Buenos Aires opposed Washington and refused to consent to a resolution calling for immediate severance of relations with Axis powers (SMITH, 2005). Smith (2005, p. 104) explains that: While the action of the Argentine government reflected a proud desire not to be seen as subservient to the United States, its attitude was also influenced by pressure from its own politicians and army officers with pro-fascist sympathies and also from the sizable German ethnic community in Argentina. In addition, Argentine public opinion was very different to that in the United States in expressing doubt over the likelihood of an Allied victory over the Axis and apprehension that abandoning the policy of strict neutrality might provoke German military retaliation. The Argentinean position was only followed by Chile. Santiago feared an attack from Japan along its coastline (SMITH, 2005). However, after initial reluctance Chile also accepted breaking off relations with the Axis powers in 1943 and it effectively declared war on them in 1945. On the other hand, Argentina was still seen as the “bad neighbor” in the Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 73 hemisphere due to its insistence to maintain relations with Germany until 1944 after the U.S. waged a publicity campaign condemning Argentinean attitudes (SMITH, 2005). As a whole, during the war the United States was able to use several ports and airbases in South America, especially in Brazil. Washington sought to strengthen South American military forces so that they could also defend the hemisphere against German aggression (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). Particularly in the case of Brazil, the U.S. feared that Germany would launch an attack from Western Africa to invade the “bulge” of Brazil’s northeast (SMITH, 2005). To avoid that, the United States had no problem to support the Brazilian dictatorship: Brazil received 70% of all aid given by the U.S. to Latin American countries (SMITH, 2005). 3.2 The Cold War With the end of World War II, the strategic imperatives of the United States were circumscribed solely to one purpose: the containment of the Soviet Union and communist ideology as a whole. For that purpose, the U.S. once again tried to amass all countries of the western hemisphere in the frontline of the battle against the Soviets. Hemispherical security dominated the policies of Washington until the late 1980s. In accordance to that, during the Cold War, the United States had in place for the Americas the Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, more commonly known as the “Rio Pact”. It origins date between 1936 and 1947 under the spectrum of World War II and the beginning of the Cold War. This treaty was crafted with the fear of rising German and Soviet influence in Latin America. Its first and foremost characteristic is the self-defense against interventions in the American continent from external powers, especially against changes in sovereignty (e.g. a return of colonialism). Therefore, the Rio Pact was regarded as the embodiment of the Monroe Doctrine. It was based on continental solidarity and reciprocal assistance against external and internal aggression – a legacy of the Good Neighbor Policy. In addition to this treaty, the Organization of American States (OAS) was created in 1948 to crystallize Washington's domination in the continent. Under OAS' auspices of multilateral interventions, the U.S. led several militarily incursions in Latin American countries that were supposedly on the brink of adopting communist dictatorial regimes (O’BRIEN, 2007). In this context, the Mutual Security Act of 1951 served as a basis for longterm military assistance programs of the U.S. with Latin and South American countries: The Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 74 U.S. was charged with supplying weapons and equipment as well as with cementing ties between military officers (O’BRIEN, 2007). However, the ideological battle between western capitalist liberal democracies and Soviet communism blurred the perception of Washington. In the early 1950s, South American nationalism was equated with communism and, in fact, was deemed more challenging to U.S. interests than the latter (O’BRIEN, 2007). Washington favored inter-American partnerships based on capitalist principles of free trade and open markets (SMITH, 2005). Therefore: American policymakers [...] in general had a difficult time distinguishing nationalists from Communists and were more likely than not to simply lump the two together and condemn them both. They saw revolutionary nationalism as synonymous with anti-Americanism (HAINES, 1989, p.31). Because of that, the United States became a harsh critic of democratic openings in South America that allowed greater participation of leftist political movements and popular nationalists (O’BRIEN, 2007). This perception was shared by South American elites as well and together with the United States they perceived communism and nationalism indistinguishable since both threatened their interests (O’BRIEN, 2007). Especially after the Cuban Revolution and the missile crisis between the late 1950s and early 1960s Washington became ready to support any regime whose policies were defined as anticommunist (O’BRIEN, 2007). This policy was embodied in the Alliance for Progress initiative and later the Johnson Doctrine in the 1960s. The former was an ambitious plan to promote socioeconomic development in the Americas through reforms dictated from the top (LIVINGSTONE, 2009)8. However, while enormous amounts of credit were directed towards that goal, Washington was also providing military training and manuals to suppress guerillas and other subversive movements in the hemisphere (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). The economic side of the Alliance for Progress was not very successful, but the military aspect persisted (O’BRIEN, 2007; LIVINGSTONE, 2009). As a consequence, the military officers which had been trained in the U.S. staged coups d'état in almost all South American countries, which had been pursuing more nationalistic policies: Argentina (1962 and 1966), Peru (1962), Ecuador (1963), Brazil (1964), Bolivia (1964)9.8 In most cases, the United States had developed plans of unilateral military intervention to be carried out if those coups were to meet resistance, and in some 8 For instance, land redistribution, part of the agenda of many left-wing movements, was among the proposed reforms so as to placate the demands of the populace (e.g. LIVINGSTONE, 2009). 9 In Paraguay the military coup happened in 1954 and the dictatorship lasted until 1989. Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 75 Latin American countries the U.S. indeed intervened unilaterally without the support of OAS or any other kind of hemispherical consultation (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). In Guyana, the U.S. also fostered political destabilization so as to curb the influence of nationalistic leaders. These policies were later known as the Johnson Doctrine, which Smith (2005) describes as a return to the Roosevelt Corollary. In the late 1960s and early 1970s, President Nixon (and his advisor Henry Kissinger) developed a new global strategy for the United States which became known as the “Nixon Doctrine”. According to it, the U.S. would assist in the defense and development of its allies and friends, but would not take on the main responsibility of defense of all allied countries (FRANÇA et al., 2013; Rodrigues, 2004). This meant that each country was the main responsible for its own security and that the U.S. would only act when requested (LITWAK, 1986; RODRIGUES, 2004). The Doctrine stated that peace would be pursued in partnership with its allies in the Americas (LITWAK, 1986), especially with Brazil. Nixon himself stated the U.S. had to work in close relations with Brazil “because we [the U.S.] know that as Brazil goes, so will go the rest of that Latin American Continent” (NIXON, 1971). This pursuit of closer partnerships actually led the United States to openly support more military coups in South America, namely in Chile, Argentina, Uruguay. O’Brien (2007) asserts that for Kissinger and Nixon Latin America was an exclusive sphere of influence of the U.S. and that to protect it they would ally themselves with repressive military regimes without a second thought. It is no coincidence that the most repressive of the military dictators of Brazil had personally been supported by Nixon (e.g. NIXON, 1971). Regarding the Chilean case, whose coup was plainly supported by the U.S., Kissinger argued: “I don't see why we need to stand by and watch a country go Communist due to the irresponsibility of its own people” (KISSINGER apud HERSH, 1983, p 265). In the context of a military dictatorship, Chile coordinated regional efforts for the persecution (i.e. tracking down and executing) of leftists and members of movements against South American dictatorships under Operation Condor, which was conducted with the support of the U.S. (O’BRIEN, 2007; LIVINGSTONE, 2009)10.9 However, this overt support for military regimes in South America would come to an end under President Carter. From 1978 and 1981, his foreign policy was one of human rights promotion and, because of that, the U.S. halted its support to South American dictatorships. 10 Permanent and occasional members of the Operation Condor were: Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Uruguay, Chile, Peru, Colombia, and Venezuela (besides the U.S.). Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 76 The relations between South American countries and the U.S. was, then, deeply strained, for instance, Brazil denounced several military agreements. The relations further worsened in the 1980s with the Malvinas/Falklands War. When Argentina militarily invaded the South Atlantic archipelago controlled by the United Kingdom, it expected that the United States would support its claims when it invoked the Rio Pact for its defense. However, the failure of the United States to support Argentina during the war effectively proved that the hemispheric security architecture had failed. The Rio Pact was then deemed an outdated instrument which had no geopolitical and geostrategic value. It had shown that the region could not count on the U.S. to protect them from external attacks. As Smith (2005, p. 157) puts it: While Latin American governments were opposed in principle to Argentina's use of force to resolve a territorial dispute, they were alarmed by America's [the U.S.] evident pleasure at the British military triumph and support for what was essentially a reassertion of Brisith colonialism. In addition to that, South American discontent with the United States rose further with their debt crisis. The government of President Reagan adopted policies that pushed up the international exchange value of the U.S. dollar through larger interest rates (SMITH, 2005). Consequently, South American states were spending almost 50% of their annual income to service debts, the prices of which were raised by the policies of Reagan (SMITH, 2005). This discontent brought South American countries together and gave rise to the emergence of regional integration processes, such as Mercosul, which in fact put an end to the regional rivalry between Brazil and Argentina. 3.3 Contemporary policies After the end of the Cold War, the United States emerged as a victor. This meant that it could try to rally countries behind its banner of capitalist market freedom. Generally, the Americas were no longer Washington's priority (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). Therefore, the U.S. foreign policy for the western hemisphere underwent changes towards a greater role of the economy in its formulation (MEDICK-KRAKAU, BRAND; ROBEL, 2012). The main banner defended by the U.S. during the 1990s was market liberalization. As a consequence, the precepts of the Washington Consensus (economic austerity and market liberalization) were followed by most South American countries in the 1990s. Furthermore, Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 77 U.S. President Bill Clinton started the negotiations for the establishment of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), an economic zone which would encompass all liberal market teachings. The FTAA proposal, however, did not have a warm reception among South American countries, which in fact underwent severe economic crises due to neoliberal policies (VIZENTINI, 2004). Most socioeconomic problems of the continent have worsened with the policies propagated by the U.S. (VIZENTINI, 2004; LIVINGSTONE, 2009). In response to that, socialist presidents were elected in most South American countries in the 2000s with very cautious attitudes towards the U.S11. Notably in Venezuela, in 2002 the United States once again supported a military coup (against Hugo Chávez) (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). In 2012 the United States also recognized the coup in Paraguay against leftist President Fernando Lugo with the subsequent creation of a military basis in the country (ISAPE, 2014). In addition to that, the United States also started to focus on drug trafficking in the continent. Now that the threat of communism was no longer valid as a pretext for military presence in South America, drug cartels were the alleged reasons for the U.S. to stage interventions in Colombia and Peru (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). The “War on Drugs” saw the emergence of a crescent militarization of social problems, leading to Plan Colombia in 199812. According to it, the U.S. would give huge amounts of aid to Bogota, especially military; moreover, U.S. military bases would be established in the country (LIVINGSTONE, 2009). After the terrorist attacks of 9/11 in the United States, Washington tried to harness all Latin American countries in its War on Terror, but with no success. The Untied States, then, started to focus even less on South America, which enabled the region to deepen its regional integration without Washington's participation (e.g. UNASUR). However, there was a militarization of the relation between the U.S. and the continent, with an increased interest of the U.S. in the fight against drug trafficking in Colombia. After Obama came to power in the U.S., he pursued a foreign policy for South America very similar to the one conducted by Clinton. Economy is the main goal for the revitalization of the relations after the strains left by George W. Bush. Because the FTAA was 11 Some governments more vocal against U.S. imperialism have even left the Rio Pact, such as Ecuador, Venezuela, and Bolivia. 12 According to Livingstone (2009), Plan Colombia was first drafted by Colombian President Andrés Pastrana and it comprised a comprehensive peace plan with social reforms, but it was later rewritten by the U.S. effectively becoming a plan for war. Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 78 given up after facing strong opposition from left-wing governments in the 2000s, the U.S. started to promote the Pacific Alliance and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Even though Washington is not a member of the former, it fosters the initiative carried out by Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia. It is seen by many analysts as a challenge to the South American continental integration process represented by the UNASUR (Union of South American Nations) and led by Argentina and Brazil (e.g. SILVA, 2013). It can also be seen as a preparatory step towards the TPP, a free trade agreement of the Pacific Ocean (which has excluded China up to this date) that revamps the proposals of the FTAA in a larger scope (e.g. LAFER, 2014). 3.4 Analysis Throughout the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st, the United States has alternated its foreign policy towards South America from the Monroe Doctrine to the Manifest Destiny. At times, it would favor respecting the sovereignty and autonomy of all countries and at others a urge to civilize its neighbors would pervade the policies. Under both guidelines, the United States seemed more prone to intervene in geopolitical regions of South America identified as the continent's rimland, i.e. Venezuela, Colombia, Chile, Peru. These countries suffered more interventions than any other. Conversely, the U.S. seemed to adopt a more cautious strategy towards Brazil and Argentina, always somehow trying to take advantage of their rivalry or even inciting it. Except during the Cold War, the U.S. refrained from intervening in those two countries, which are geopolitically favored by their river basins and easy access to the continent's heartland in Bolivia (and Brazil). The Roosevelt Corollary was a clear reincarnation of the Manifest Destiny. Imperial policies were pursued by the U.S. in South America, especially in the northern part of the continent. During World War I, the United States perceived that its security was closely related to hemispheric unity. Yet, while trying to gain support from South American states, it managed to explore the rivalry between Brazil and Argentina, closely resembling the strategy of bait and bleed (even if softer) as described by Mearsheimer: the U.S. increased in relative power while Brazil and Argentina were busy dealing with each other. The Good Neighbor Policy was a return of the Monroe Doctrine in its original features of respecting sovereignty and autonomy. It positively affected the relations of the United States with the region, since it provided much help for the development and industrialization Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 79 of the countries, especially Brazil. In spite of that, the U.S. once again managed to worsen the rivalry between Brazil and Argentina by giving more advantages to the former. During the Cold War, the United States had a more general strategy of containing the Soviet Union, which in South America presents more traces of the Manifest Destiny13. The U.S. supported military coups throughout the region to counter the rise of communism regardless of geographical positions. The geopolitical imperatives of the Cold War subdued more regionally-designed approaches. This policy resembles Mearsheimer's strategy of balancing. In the case, the balancing is occurring against the Soviets (and regionally against Cuba). The U.S. tried peaceful measures to contain subversive movements (nationalists included) and when it did not work, force was used as the last resort, just like Mearsheimer described. Having won the Cold War, the security of the U.S. was deemed as guaranteed. Therefore, South America was no longer a priority of the country's foreign policy. This fact coupled with the end of the Brazilian-Argentinean rivalry after the Malvinas/Falklands War gave rise to regional integration processes (pointedly Mercosul). Both countries became the geopolitical center of South American integration. Meanwhile, the United States had stopped interfering in their internal affairs, coming closer to the Monroe Doctrine ideal type, even if still advocating for neoliberal reforms in those countries. However, after regional integration in South America became a challenge to U.S. interests, it started to target countries in the rimland as it had already done during the Roosevelt Corollary era. The United States maintained military presence in Colombia and started to support integration processes (TPP, Pacific Alliance) which challenge the existing ones that do not have it as a member (UNASUR, for instance). Moreover, it propped up coups in Venezuela, also in the rimland, and quite alarmingly in Paraguay, a lot closer to the South American heartland. In accordance to Mearsheimer's theorization, these actions by the United States can be interpreted as balancing against the rise of Brazil and Argentina. The U.S. is trying to divide the continent in order to thwart the undergoing integration processes which challenge its dominion over the region. 4 CONCLUSION 13 Globally, the Nixon Doctrine is closer to the ideal type of the Monroe Doctrine as França et al. (2013) have argued. However, its implementation in South America is unquestionably more related to the Manifest Destiny even if including some aspects of buck-passing as presented by Mearsheimer. Revista Negócios e Talentos – nº 14 (2015/1) 80 In this paper we have seen that the United States has taken advantage of the rivalry between Brazil and Argentina to hinder the integration of the region. Nowadays, it has been propping up integration processes that challenge the already existing ones which are deem to be contrary to U.S. interests. The U.S. foreign policy towards South America has had a strategy of balancing off external powers, such as Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union. For many, the unity of the western hemisphere is tantamount to the security of the U.S. and this has proved to be the case in the world wars and the Cold War. However, the most beneficial policies where those under the ideal type of the Monroe Doctrine. Development was achieved, even if geopolitical consideration and U.S. interests were at stake too. Bearing that in mind, there seems to be two alternatives for the future of U.S. foreign policy towards South America. The United States can maintain its primacy by forging a strong partnership with Brazil. This way, Brazil could be the guarantor of stability in South America through UNASUR. It would be a buck-passing by the U.S., where the costs of maintaining stability would be shared (KHANNA, 2008; BRZEZINSKI, 2012). This option is closer to the Monroe Doctrine. Conversely, the second strategy, closer to Manifest Destiny, would consist of trying to worsen the division of South American countries and exploring regional rivalries (between Chile and Bolivia or Venezuela and Colombia, for instance) to maintain its dominion. The instability created would hamper the integration of the continent, as well as the rise of Brazil. This strategy has already been defended by geopolitical analysts such as Friedman (2011), who further states that the U.S. should try to shatter the alliance between Brazil and Argentina so that neither can rise and, thus, impede continental integration. 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