XXIV World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil Genomics in poultry breeding – Into consolidation phases Aviagen Limited, Newbridge, EH28 8SZ, Midlothian, Scotland, UK Introduction The main objective of a global poultry breeder is to deliver products that perform competitively for a broad number of traits including live performance, health and welfare in a wide range of production environments. Selective breeding based on combining phenotypes and pedigrees and estimation of breeding values using Best Linear Avendaño et al., (2010) reviewed the current state of genomics technologies in poultry which has shown a significant expansion in SNP panel development, high throughput genotyping and sequencing platforms since the release of the first draft of the chicken genome sequence (International Chicken Genome Sequencing Consortium, 2004). In addition, there have been significant strides in both the development and availability of analytical methods for incorporating genomics information in routine breeding programs. Accuracy of selection is critical for translating genetic progress from elite populations to realised improvements in commercial operations. Empirical results addressing the question of whether genomics information would significantly contribute to an increase in accuracy of selection are now starting to become available. This paper is aimed to be a continuation of the review by Avendaño et al., (2010) following the progress of genomics technology in poultry (broilers, layers and turkeys) in terms of development and availability of SNP (Single Nucleotide Polymorphism) panels, statistical tools for incorporating genomics in routine genetic evaluations, the role of imputation and realised improvements in accuracy of selection in key traits over conventional genetic evaluation methods. The consolidation of these areas is critical for enabling the incorporation of genomics information and tools for routine poultry breeding. Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis G enomics in poultry breeding has seen notable progress with significant advancements in the development and availability of high density SNP (Single Nucleotide Polymorphism) panels in broilers and layers chickens, and in turkeys. In addition, an array of statistical tools for incorporating genomics in routine genetic evaluations is also becoming increasingly available to poultry breeders. Initial empirical validations of genomics based genetic evaluation are encouraging and indicate this technology can provide improvements in accuracy over traditional methods. Moreover, strategies that combine high density and low density genotypes could substantially reduce the cost of implementation with minimal loss in accuracy. While the potential benefits of the implementation of genomics are significant, it is clear that the implementation must be cost-effective, particularly in the context of an extremely competitive market. A consolidation phase has now been initiated in which poultry breeding companies will strive for capitalise on the significant developmental investments. The next few years will be critical to assess whether genomics technologies will provide adequate return for the investment and contribute with significant benefits to poultry breeding globally. Unbiased Predictions (BLUP) has been widely used in poultry breeding and there is evidence of the benefits translated to the industry (Laughlin, 2009). The use of genomics information for selection in commercial poultry breeding offers further opportunities through extra accuracy of selection, reduction of generation intervals and exploitation of new sources of genetic variation (e.g., Dekkers, 2004). Woolliams (2011) highlights the potential central role of genomics in the so called ‘precision breeding’ in the wider context of complex breeding goals aiming for increases in accuracy, maintaining the well-being of the species and managing genetic variance within and between breeds. 1 Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis XXIV August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil Development and availability of SNP panels SNP panel was developed to provide a dense SNP panel with maximum information across lines. The Affymetrix avian HD SNP panel is expected to become commercially available in summer 2012. Poultry breeders have led the development of high density (HD) SNP panels with a focus on describing the molecular basis of quantitative variation in commercial populations. The publication of the draft sequence of the chicken genome (International Chicken Genome Sequencing Consortium, 2004) provided the key to allow the poultry breeding industry to actively pursue the implementation of genomic selection (GS). However, in contrast with other livestock populations, until recently, no commercial avian SNP panel as been available. The development of SNP panels for turkeys has shown significant progress in the last two years. The development of the turkey genome sequence (Dalloul et al., 2010) was able to capitalise on the progress in chickens to allow rapid genome assembly at a fraction of the cost of that in the chicken (i.e. $250,000 vs over $10 million). Indeed, the turkey genome project is the first example in animals where the cost of sequencing was less than the cost of analysis and interpretation of the results (Dalloul et al., 2010). Aslam et al. (2012) identified 5.49 millions SNPs through sequencing the complete genome of 32 individual turkeys from 11 different populations (seven commercial lines, three heritage varieties and one wild population), of which 4.9 millions were segregating in at least one population. This research indicated that the turkey genome is much less diverse in terms of a relatively low frequency of heterozygous SNP in comparison to other livestock species like chicken and pig. This foundational work provides the basis for the development of commercial SNP panels for future application in turkeys with rapid and significant progress anticipated in the next few years. Aviagen developed its first SNP panel in 2005, soon after the release of the draft chicken genome sequence. Since then, Aviagen with sister companies Hy-Line International and Lohmann LTZ has been expanding and refining SNP panels to include the results of extensive whole genome associations on a range of economically important traits (Ye et al., 2006; Powell et al., 2008) and the structure of linkage disequilibrium (LD) within and between broiler and layer populations (Andreescu et al., 2007; Abasht et al., 2006). In 2008, the USDA, Cobb-Vantress and Hendrix Genetics started a collaborative project on genome-wide selection which included the development of a moderate density 60K SNP chip. The 60K Illumina SNP BeadChip was designed to include SNPs known to be segregating at high to medium minor allele frequencies (MAF) in the two major types of commercial chicken (broilers and layers; Groenen et al., 2011). The development of the first a commercially available HD SNP panel started in 2010 in the UK through a Defra-BBSRC funded LINK project between the Roslin Institute, Aviagen, Hy-Line International, Affymetrix Ltd and in cooperation with the German Synbreed (project funded by BMBF). The panel development was based on re-sequenced a large number of chickens (n=243) from 24 different lines including commercial broiler and layer lines, and experimental inbred layer lines (Gheyas et al., 2012). Sequencing identified a staggering 78 million SNPs segregating in one or more lines; far in excess of the 7 million SNPs identified by Rubin et al. (2010). From the 78 million SNPs a pre-screening chip (1.8 million SNPs) was developed to ensure maximum performance of the final 600K SNP panel by removing SNPs which did not work with the Affymetrix genotyping platform and those which did not show Mendelian segregation. The final Affymetrix 600K 2 World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 In parallel to the improvements in SNP genotyping platforms, swift advances in sequencing technologies have resulted in more accessible sequencing platforms and a rapid reduction in the cost of sequencing. This provides the potential for new genotyping strategies including imputation of full genomic sequence (Li et al., 2010) or genotyping-by-sequencing using reduced representation or shotgun sequence information (Elshire et al., 2011). Although preliminary, these sequencing advancements highlight the future potential for using direct sequences for genomic selection purposes. Genomics statistical approaches for genetic evaluations Early attempts of estimating allelic effects on traits of economic importance focused on candidategene approaches looking for significance of SNPs within genes of known physiological function (e.g. Ye et al., 2006). On the other hand, success stories XXIV World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil from the incorporation of single SNPs for breeding purposes are very scarce. A notable exception is the development of a SNP gene test that allowed the elimination of a recessive gene (flavin-containing monooxygenases), responsible for a metabolic disorder (‘fishy-taint’) in brown-shelled eggs which was implemented some 10 years ago (Preisinger, 2012). With the availability of denser SNP panels, genome wide associations (GWAS) approaches were developed allowing fast scanning of the whole genome for significance of a large number of traits within minutes, fitting single or groups (e.g. triplets) of SNPs (Hassen et al., 2009) or haplotypes (Powell et al., 2008; Powell et al., 2011). In addition, casecontrol studies, aiming to detect associations for traits postulated to be regulated by a smaller number of loci (e.g. disease resistance or susceptibility), are a promising and cost-efficient strategy, particularly when based on pooled samples (Peiris et al., 2011) Therefore, for the purposes of genetic evaluation, whole-genome breeding values (GEBVs) are appealing. The first application in animal breeding of whole genome evaluation using machine learning was in broilers and aimed to identify a set of SNPs across the genome as classifiers for dichotomous or continuous traits (Long et al., 2007, 2008, 2009). The development of a novel framework, in which non-parametrically derived kernels were embedded in a linear model, was shown in broilers to achieve higher predictive ability in cross-validation studies The application of genomic selection (Meuwissen et al., 2001) provides a parametric methodology that has been shown to accelerate genetic progress compared to BLUP-based selection in dairy cattle (VanRaden et al., 2009). Under this approach, all available SNP markers are fitted simultaneously. Different prediction methods have been developed: i. allowing SNP markers to explain different amounts of variation with all markers fitted in the model, namely Bayes-A, ii. only a fraction of them having an effect, namely Bayes-B model (Meuwissen et al., 2001), and iii. assuming equal variance across all loci, namely Bayes-C (Habier et al., 2007). Other models have focused on the feature selection, i.e. the number of markers fitted in the model. In an extension of Bayes-C, the proportion of markers ϖ is jointly estimated from the data, in a model referred to as Bayes-Cϖ (Habier et al., 2010). The value of ϖ may range from 0, representing a scenario in which all markers available are used in the model, to nearly 1, where none but few are markers are fitted. The former scenario implies a true polygenic architecture of the trait, while the latter assumes the existence of few QTLs with large effects. An alternative method for feature selection is LASSO, an abbreviation for the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Tibshirani, 1996). The implementation under a Bayesian context provides an alternative framework for estimating GEBVs with good predictive ability in crossvalidation and accommodating the hypothesis that most markers have near-zero effects but larger QTLs may also exist (de los Campos et al., 2009). The predictive ability of LASSO was similar to BayesB/C methods, based on the genomic evaluations of broiler traits (unpublished data from Aviagen). Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis The success of GWAS depends on the architecture of the trait of interest. Ideally the trait should be controlled by a small number of genes with large effects, there is strong linkage disequilibrium (LD) between QTLs and SNPs, and the biological pathways are well understood. On the other hand, for broiler chickens there is evidence that the extent of LD is low (Andreescu et al., 2007) and indeed lower than that of layers (Abasht et al., 2009). Moreover, most economically important traits are quantitative and accumulated evidence suggests that genetic variance is controlled from a very large number of loci with small additive effects, following the assumptions of the infinitesimal model (Hill, 2010). Using real data, Wang et al. (2012) showed that when considering windows of 1Mbp to capture accumulating effects of neighbouring SNPs around putative QTLs, the proportion of variance explain from the most significant window didn’t exceed 2% of the total variance, a finding in accordance with the postulated polygenic nature of quantitative traits. studying broiler liveability and feed conversion rate (Gonzalez-Recio et al., 2008, 2009). These approaches can be extended to accommodate nonadditive components for more accurate prediction of future phenotypes (Gianola and de los Campos, 2008). Markers can also be used to calculate a DNAbased relationship matrix and predict breeding values under BLUP, namely GBLUP (VanRaden et al., 2008; Hayes et al., 2008). Depending on the genetic architecture of the trait, model performance varies. In cases of a few large QTLs controlling a trait, Bayes B appears having better predicting ability, while in situations approaching the infinitesimal model GBLUP appears to offer more accurate GEBVs (Daetwyler et al., 2010). However, Clark et al. (2011) have used simulations to conclude that Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 3 XXIV Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis even for a highly polygenic trait the performance of Bayes-B is not inferior to GBLUP. In commercial populations, the availability of genotyped animals covers recent generations, but there are a lot of historical data that can also be used for genetic evaluation. It has been shown that GEBVs can be blended with BLUP breeding values to increase the accuracy of selection (VanRaden et al. 2008, Ducroucq and Liu, 2009). However, these approaches involve two steps, estimating the GEBVs and BLUP BVs and then combine them in an index, so more direct methods have been introduced to combine pedigree and genotype information in a single step by constructing a hybrid relationship matrix including individuals with and without genotypes (Misztal et al., 2009, Aguilar, 2011, Meuwissen et al., 2011). Studies in dairy cattle suggest that single-step genomic predictions may achieve higher gains compared to GEBV blending (Su et al., 2012). Chen et al., (2011) presented the implementation of a single-step approach in a broiler scenario. While the single-step approaches are appealing from a computational point of view, they present the risk of leading to biased GEBV prediction unless the scales of genomic and pedigree relationships are the same (Miztal, 2011). Meuwissen et al., (2011) provide a novel framework for unbiased GEBV prediction in a single-step context. The role of genotype imputation strategies August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil methods to predict HD genotypes in selection candidates after combining their LD genotypes and parental HD genotypes, can significantly reduce genotyping costs. Habier et al., 2009 have shown in simulations that under a low density genomic selection approach, an evenly spaced LD SNP panel can achieve comparable accuracy in GS than that of using HD genotypes for any number of traits over consecutive generations. Recent empirical evidence has shown that the use of imputation methods is effective in chickens. In broilers, Wang et al. (2011) developed an LD panel comprising of 384 SNPs optimised for equal distance and maximum minor allele frequency between markers. This panel was used to impute the high-density (HD) genotypes of selection candidates using training of 3 ancestral generations. The correlation between true and imputed genotypes for the testing animals was very high (>0.96). Wolc et al. (2011) also showed that imputation accuracy is very high using different methods in layer chickens and examined the impact of the genotyping strategy on the HD individuals. When both parents of LD animals are genotyped on HD panels, the accuracy of imputation is higher, but only sires are HD genotyped and dams are LD genotyped a slight drop is observed (Piyasatian et al., 2010). The high accuracy of imputation results in high correlations of GEBVs estimated using imputed versus true HD genotypes. Piyasatian et al. (2010) discussed the changes in accuracies of GS using imputed genotypes across generations and demonstrated that if one of the parents of selection individuals is HD genotyped, the loss is minimized. In Table 1, results from Wang et al. (2011) show with real data that the accuracy of GS using imputed genotypes is almost identical to GEBVs using HD genotypes for a range of GS implementation. These results suggest that using imputed genotypes for selection candidates is an effective way to maintain the accuracy of GEBVs and drastically reduce the cost of implementation. Cost effectiveness is a sin equanom pre-requisite for the incorporation of genomics information in routine poultry breeding programs. In large-scale commercial poultry pedigree applications of GS, the cost of genotyping might be prohibitive due to the large number of selection candidates. Current costs of HD genotyping are in the range of $150 to $250 per individual, hence strategies to reduce the cost of genotyping are clearly appealing to make implementation economically feasible. The use of subsets of high density assays to predict GEBVs have been shown to be effective when only SNPs with high predictive ability are included (Long et al., Table 1 - Correlations between EBVs from observed versus imputed high-density 2007 Gonzalez-Recio et SNP genotypes for traits, with different methods for estimulation of SNP effects. al., 2009; Weigel et al., 2009). Trait No individuals Bayes-A Bayes-B Bayes-C GLUP Alternatively, the use of genotype imputation 4 World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 Body weight 168 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 Hen house production 72 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 XXIV World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 Accuracy of evaluations August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil as all selection candidates had individual records at the time of selection. On the other hand, for HHP (another reproductive traits) genomics selection offers potential opportunities as selection candidates for broiler breeding do not have their own performance and the prediction of EBVs rely only on family information (and correlated traits). genomic One of the main opportunities for capitalising on the benefits of genomics selection is through increases in accuracy of selection when no records are available on the selection candidates at the time when selection decisions are made (e.g. at point of lay). Under this scenario, GS could impact genetic gain through both increasing the accuracy of selection, through allowing estimation of the Mendelian sampling term, and reductions in generation interval. The increase in accuracy of selection can be assessed as the correlation between GEBVs estimated for selection candidates without considering their own phenotype and their realised phenotype adjusted for fixed effects after selection divided by the square root of the trait heritability. In broiler chickens, the improvement in selection accuracy constitutes the main vehicle to deliver faster genetic progress into commercial populations. On the other hand, in layers where selection decisions are taken after the accumulation of reproductive performance on selection candidates, reduction in generation intervals can have a significant impact. Chen et al. (2011) combining pedigree and genotypic information a single step genomic evaluation (Miztal et al., 2009) obtained accuracies of up to 50% for a range of commercial traits including bodyweight at six weeks, breast ultrasound and leg score. In this case, accuracies were calculated from the correlation between GEBVs and a ‘total genetic value’ (as defined by Legarra et al., 2008) and not the adjusted phenotype of individuals as described above. Wang et al. (2012 in preparation) combined an HD panel (36,455 SNPs) on 1,091 individuals with an LD panel (384 SNPs) on 161 individuals and compared the accuracy of pedigree based BLUP (i.e., no record on the individuals) and GS (Bayes-A and Bayes-B) for Hen House Production (HHP) and bodyweight (BW). For pedigree BLUP, Bayes-A and Bayes-B the accuracy was 0.42, 0.67 and 0.77 for BW, and 0.43, 0.72 and 0.79 for HHP (Figure 1). This results show that GEBV can yield up to 80% greater accuracy than pedigree based BLUP. The results for BWT are for comparison objectives only Combining several populations is an appealing strategy to increase the size of the training population, and it has been suggested that improvements in accuracy may also be achieved (Ibanez-Escriche et al., 2009). In broilers, Andrescu et al. (2010) indicated that the benefit in accuracies increase with the relatedness of the lines. Simeone et al. (2012) investigated a single step genomic evaluation using data on two broiler lines and showed the feasibility of the approach, exploring the impact of weighting factors related to the allelic frequencies within line in constructing the hybrid relationship matrix. Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis In layers, Wolc et al. (2012) have examined the persistency of GEBVs over consecutive generations showing that although GEBVs appear to achieve higher accuracy of selection from BLUP, they were also characterised by greater variability. This is likely attributed to the small size of the validation population and changes to allelic frequencies across generations due to selection and drift. In the same study, GEBVs appear to be more persistent over time than BLUP BVs, in a scenario where training is not updated as new generations are added. Figure 1 - Accuracy of pedigree based BLUP (BLUP-ped) and two GBLUP implementations (Bayes-A and Bayes-B), for 5 weeks Bodyweight (BWT) and Hen House Production (HHP) in broilers. Miztal (2011) provides a very useful and concise FAQs on genomics aiming to address a range of key aspects that might impact the success of genomics implementation, from datasets sizes, analytical methods, multitrait evaluations, impact of SNP chip density and the methodological challenges ahead. Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 5 XXIV Final considerations Santiago Avendaño, K.A. Watson and A. Kranis Genomics is undoubtedly a fast-growing and dynamic field in poultry breeding, with the main breeding organizations making public their advances through popular articles (e.g.,O’Keefe, 2009) and a significant body of scientific literature. The conclusions from the review by Avendaño et al. (2010) remain valid in the context of the availability of genomics technology for poultry and the requirements for both capitalizing the postulated benefits and managing the inherent risk of fully adopting genomics for routine breeding. The authors take the liberty of reiterating these in this paper: ‘…The continuous expansion of SNP panels, the increasing capabilities of high throughput genotyping by genotyping providers and the consolidation of statistical tools for predicting breeding values using genomics information suggest that the incorporation of genomics in routine breeding is potentially within reach by commercial poultry breeding companies. On the other hand, with poultry breeding being such highly competitive market, there is no margin of error. In this context, exhaustive validation of SNP or haplotype effects with independent data is essential to avoid fitting spurious effects and introducing sources of bias in routine genetic evaluations. Specific implementation of genomics for routine breeding will require a huge deal of flexibility in terms of accommodating structural changes in the breeding program structure and to be able to incorporate one or a combination of new methods and statistical approaches. Like any other research and development strategy, implementation of genomics will have to be cost effective, and the corresponding tools repeatable, tractable and capable of dealing with the high-throughput nature of poultry breeding…’ Whilst in some scientific quarters the ‘postgenomics era’ seems to be arriving, everything indicates that the ‘genomics era’ is about to commence in commercial poultry breeding. The amalgamation of cutting-edge scientific research and the development of strategies to deal with the complexity of decision making in practical poultry breeding is key to allow a smooth transition of science into practice. There are unequivocal signs that genomics 6 Area: Genetics and Breeding • August 07 World´s Poultry Congress 5 - 9 August - 2012 • Salvador - Bahia - Brazil in poultry breeding is in the process of being consolidated and incorporated in routine poultry breeding and preliminary results are very encouraging in terms of benefits in accuracy over standard selection methods. At the same time, work still needs to be done to allow cost-effective implementations. Preisinger, (2012) highlights the significant cost implication from incorporating genomics in a layer breeding schemes pragmatically concluding that although benefits are expected, cost needs to be reduced to make implementation feasible. Breeders strive to deliver benefits in terms of product performance to its customers and wider stakeholders (e.g., governments and general public) around the globe. 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