February 2010 Economic Insight Jakarta The Changing Retail Landscape in Jakarta 2 On Point • The Changing Retail Landscape in Jakarta • February 2010 The Changing Retail Landscape in Jakarta As a developing country, Indonesia continues to progress and endure modernisation in many aspects of its economy. The retail sector is amongst the fastest-growing industries, supported by strong consumption, rapid urbanisation and rising middle class. Meanwhile, the pace of globalisation and media expansion has exposed Indonesians more to international brands and products, thus creating new awareness and changing consumer lifestyle. From Shopping Centres to Lifestyle Centres Key Points • Retail centres in Jakarta have evolved from ‘the place to shop’ to ‘the place to go’. Triggered by the demand for leisure and entertainment and boosted by the spreading ‘cafe culture’, retail centres emerged as the main option for individual or groups looking for recreational destination, thus making them the centre of modern urban lifestyle. • Following the success of Citos, many new developments adopted the lifestyle concept, which relied heavily on F&B retailers and Some 30 years ago, Jakarta was introduced to modern shopping entertainment operators. These types of tenants have proven to centres. Initially, they were built to cater for the need of Jakarta’s be effective in luring visitors to malls, even during the hard market affluent population to shop for branded goods, like fashion apparels period. Due to their strong and attractive F&B and leisure and accessories. All shopping centres in that period were dominated components, occupancy rate in popular malls remained high. by fashion apparel and accessories stores—and the department store is the most common anchor at that time. • The retail outlook and the expansion of lifestyle centres in Jakarta are expected to continue growing along with the country’s economic recovery. However, referring to the prediction that the With the onset of the Asian financial crisis, followed by the national anticipated economic growth in 2010 is seen to be accompanied crisis in 1998, the economic fundamentals as well as socio-political by mounting inflationary pressure, it is expected that the recovery settings were deeply shattered. People cut their spending as they in consumer spending and the expansion of lifestyle centres may struggled to recover from the crisis. However, the condition paved be deferred for a while. the way to a new trend. Triggered by the need for leisure and entertainment at affordable prices, a new format of cafés and Since then, the F&B sector is regarded not only as a supporting restaurants began to mushroom in the city. Locally known as ‘kafe component in a shopping centre, but is now considered as an tenda’ or tented cafeteria, these establishments quickly gained effective crowd puller. In order to maintain good market share, some popularity during the 1998 and 2001 period. The concept, which prominent malls like Plaza Senayan, Mal Pondok Indah, Mal Taman combined dining with entertainment (e.g. music or live band) at a Anggrek and Mal Kelapa Gading built an extension to their mall much lower price than regular cafés or restaurants, proved to be dedicated specifically to house F&B and lifestyle-related tenants. highly successful. As it continued to spread over the following years, While many fashion and department stores have suffered minimum the ‘café culture’ gained a strong foothold in Jakarta and it sales over the past five years, a lot of F&B tenants enjoyed relatively increasingly became a lifestyle across diverse segments of the high growth rate and steady expansion. population. It also marked a new era of F&B domination in the retail market in Jakarta. Table 1. Retail Centres That Allocate Over 50% of Their Space For F&B, Leisure and Entertainment-Related Sector In 2002, a new concept in retail development was introduced in Year Project Name Location Jakarta with the opening of Cilandak Town Square (Citos). Instead 2002 2004 2004 2005 2005 2007 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 Citos Entertainment X’enter Setiabudi One La Piazza Plaza Senayan Arcadia City Walk Sudirman Pluit Junction Oakwood Shopping Arcade F/X Teraskota Epicentrum Walk (Proposed) Cilandak Thamrin Kuningan Kelapa Gading Senayan Sudirman Pluit Mega Kuningan Sudirman BSD Kuningan of having lanes of stores selling fashion and the likes, the project focused on cafés and restaurants. Surprisingly, the concept gained huge success and became popular amongst Jakarta’s hip communities as well as retailers. Since then, the success of Citos prompted other developers to build retail centres based on a similar concept – some even used the same ‘town square’ label in hopes that the public would associate their projects to Citos. Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research On Point • The Changing Retail Landscape in Jakarta • February 2010 3 Furthermore, as the impact of the recent global financial crisis hit Those who customarily ‘eat out’ opted for less expensive domestic consumption, the F&B sector – once again, came up as a restaurants, instead of stopping their dining out habits. So it is not saviour for landlords in generating visitors to malls. surprising while fashion retailers suffer falling sales, F&B and other lifestyle tenants continue to pin new outlets in almost every new Current Performance of Lifestyle Centres mall. These tenants have benefited the landlords as well as they not only help in generating high visitor flow during tough times, but they Time goes by and shopping centres today are seen as more than a also provide steady income to the landlords. With the current trend, place to shop and buy things. Instead, they have become a lifestyle the multi-function of a mall makes F&B retailers and the likes, the destination, a crucial part of urban living and the centre of various ‘must have’ tenants in every new shopping centre. social activities. We can practically find anything we want in the mall, from groceries shops, fashion stores, restaurants, cinemas, Key Growth Factors video arcades, lounges, health clinics to piano lessons and even church services. During working hours, business meetings and The blooming lifestyle concept in Jakarta can not be separated from luncheons are held in restaurants and cafes instead of offices or the growth of middle class and the shift in urban lifestyle. These two hotels. After office hours, malls are packed with people who visit factors are the main drivers generating market demand as gyms and cafés to socialise. On weekends, lifestyle elements are consumerism and shopping habit change over time. even more emphasised as mallers maximise their leisure activities by enjoying various types of entertainment such as family karaoke, Other factors supporting the growth of lifestyle centres are cinema and clubbing spots. urbanisation and globalisation. The exposure to the other parts of the world has raised foreign brand awareness thus changing Not even the global financial crisis can stop Jakartans from flocking consumer behaviour and preferences. The spirit of consumerism to the mall. Visitor traffic in popular shopping centres across Jakarta which is more evident amongst young people today is also used to remained high during economic hardship. A survey conducted by promote lifestyle trends in the city. MARS Research in 2009 reported that over 80% of visitors go to the mall just for window shopping or dining purposes. During the crisis, Lastly, the scarcity of outdoor recreational facilities (i.e. public parks consumers may be able to cut spending on fashion, accessories, and open space) and high pollution levels in Jakarta streets has electronics and other tertiary goods, but it is difficult to change the made local residents choose air-conditioned malls for individual, social habit and the need for leisure. Another survey by MasterCard group or family hang-out and recreation. This had led the way to the also revealed that between the 2H08 and 1H09 periods, Indonesian birth of ‘mall culture’ in the city. consumers chose to spend more money in entertainment and dining rather than in fashion products and accessories. Figure 1. Occupancy Rate in Selected Popular Malls Compared to Market Average 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% Plaza Senayan Mal Kelapa Gading Taman Anggrek Pondok Indah Mall Market Average 75% 2004 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 4 On Point • The Changing Retail Landscape in Jakarta • February 2010 The Future Outlook Furthermore, landlords should begin to consider planning reguler events and marketing programmes to help tenants boost their Shopping centres are now part of the daily life of Jakarta sales volume. Initiatives such as strategic partnership between residents. Learning from the past and the ongoing trend, lifestyle retail tenants with banks or credit card providers to attract focus retailers, especially F&B and entertainment operators, are groups have proven to be a good marketing too. Last but not the expected to play a more important role as they continue to be least, it is important for landlords to have good knowledge of seen as effective crowd puller. market dynamics and to closely watch consumer trends. Should all of these requirements be met, a pleasant mall experience can Looking ahead, the domestic retail sector is seen to grow be created, thus helping to maintain a centre’s attractiveness, positively along with the economic development. Massive which can potentially increase visitor volume, so that quality population, growing middle class and urban expansion would becomes even better. provide a great upside for potential growth over the long term. Yet, the anticipated economic growth in 2010 is seen by many to be accompanied by rising inflationary pressure as prices of goods and utilities are projected to pick up. This would potentially Authors affect purchasing power and consumer lifestyle. Such correlation Leslie Savitri can be seen in the car sales trend over the past few years (we Assistant Manager, Research use car sales trend as a representation of middle class dynamic, Jones Lang LaSalle (Indonesia) which is closely related to purchasing power and urban lifestyle). Following a period of high inflation, people normally take a Leslie Savitri joined Jones Lang cautious approach and wait until prices stabilise, which in turn, LaSalle in 2008 and assumed the affect sales growth during that period. Following the fuel price position of Assistant Manager in increase in end-2005, that boosted inflation to over 17%, car Research Department. Aside from sales dropped quite significantly in 2006. Then, after two years of maintaining the Firm’s database for low inflation in 2006 and 2007, car sales began to pick up in 2008. As we expect the increase in prices to begin in 1H10, the impact on consumption is seen to take place in 2H10 onwards. This, of course, might disrupt the recovery of retail sector, contributes to consultancy assignments and the production of local and regional research reports such as the quarterly Jakarta Property Market Review, Asia Pacific Property Digest and REIS including the expansion of lifestyle centres in Jakarta. publications Figure 2. Car Sales and Price Inflation Anton Sitorus 700,000 Car Sales all property sectors, she also Inflation 600,000 20% Head of Research 18% Jones Lang LaSalle (Indonesia) 15% 500,000 13% 400,000 10% 300,000 8% Anton Sitorus joined Jones Lang LaSalle in 2002 and assumed the 5% position of Head of Research, who 100,000 3% is responsible for research and 0 0% service deliveries in Jakarta office. 200,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: Central Statistics Bureau & Gaikindo If such situation happens, the issue will be for the malls to maintain the flow and quality of visitors to keep it attractive. Hence, unique concepts and good tenant mix are crucial in every project. In addition, F&B and other lifestyle components are likely to continue to become effective crowd puller in the future. His department regularly comes up with research publications as well as thought-leading research papers on topical issues. As an analyst, Anton has worked on various assignments, including market and feasibility studies, development consultancy, project reviews and asset disposal strategies for clients. Anton is an architect and engineer by training, and brings with him perspective from development and project management. 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