More online at www.dbr.dowjones.com Viewpoint ONE OF A SERIES OF OPINION COLUMNS BY BANKRUPTCY PROFESSIONALS Déjà Vu: Some Companies Face Fresh Restructurings By Mark Joachim and Jeffrey Rothleder During the past few years, restructuring professionals who focus on middle market companies have felt a bit like amateur seismologists—we know that the “Big One” is coming, but it is nearly impossible to pinpoint exactly when it will come and what it will look like when it gets here. One inescapable fact remains, however: a handful of key tectonic shifts have made it much more difficult for many companies to execute comprehensive deleveraging strategies, as opposed to short-term “quick fixes,” such as asset sales, that simply delay the inevitable. Hundreds of middle-market companies that implemented “amend and extend” transactions during 2009 and 2010 will soon be back at the negotiating table with key creditor constituencies, and since the economy has not rebounded as quickly as we all hoped that it might, these negotiations are likely to present significant challenges. Anyone who studies earthquakes will tell you that the best way to predict what will happen in the future is by reference to the past. When analyzing how we got here, the first thing that comes to mind is the dramatic increase in the use of senior secured debt in leveraged buyout structures during the most recent acquisition boom. Those of us old enough to recall when second-lien debt was reserved for marginal borrowers that needed small “stretch loans” to bridge short-term liquidity needs can see the difference between what post-LBO capital structures looked like in 2007 and 2008 and what they looked like after historical buyout frenzies. To be sure, secured debt has always been one component of the capital structure of a “going private” transaction, but not nearly to the same extent as was the case in the early to mid-2000s. Traditionally, debt structures were comprised of some secured debt and a large component of unsecured debt that was often subordinated and had limited rights in an insolvency scenario. When private equity firms and other borrowers retreated from expensive unsecured debt in favor of lower-priced secured debt, this fueled a dramatic expansion of the second-lien market from roughly $300 million in total outstanding debt during the late 1990s to tens of billions of dollars during the mid-2000s. While the short-term cost of second-lien debt appeared attractive when compared to subordinated mezzanine debt at the time, the true cost may have been underestimated. Starting in 2007, when many highly leveraged companies hit liquidity walls, they found that well-worn deleveraging strategies Wednesday, May 23, 2012 | dbr.dowjones.com Copyright © Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. (such as coercive exchange offers, prepackaged Chapter 11 plans, and lengthy interest-free breathing spells in Chapter 11 followed by massive conversions of debt to equity) were not nearly as achievable when saddled with layers of secured debt that had not contractually and/or structurally waived their enforcement rights when confronted with default or maturity. This important shift found many borrowers struggling with an unsatisfying menu of “restructuring” options: either agree to a quick sale under Section 363 of the Bankruptcy Code with lien holders standing by with credit bids, or simply kick the can down the road a few years by amending and extending, with the hope that other options will somehow reveal themselves before the bills come due again. Even in the rare case where a company filed for Chapter 11 relief without a pre-planned emergence strategy mandated by its secured creditor constituencies, the lack of any real equity cushion or unencumbered collateral that would foster a third-party debtor-in-possession financing alternative often meant that the prepetition secured lenders would remain comfortably ensconced in the driver’s seat even after a Chapter 11 filing. So, if the increased reliance on secured debt can be analogized to the slow but methodical sliding of one side of the San Andreas fault, the change to the nature of distressed-debt holders would be the other side. For the most part, the first- and second-lien debt that was placed during the past decade has been freely tradeable (and even where restrictions did exist, those restrictions typically were lifted once a default occurred). What this has meant is that distressed debt is now often held by activist and nimble private investment funds rather than the more reactive investors, who historically controlled this debt. Today’s holders of distressed debt are extremely savvy when it comes to the restructuring process, are willing and able to aggregate investments up and down the capital structure of a troubled company in order to control their destinies, and are capable of executing any number of outcomes in order to maximize their return on debt investments. With these investors in the driver’s seat and with borrowers looking at a much shorter list of restructuring options, it is no surprise that many of the Chapter 11 cases and out-of-court restructurings implemented during 2009 and 2010 were engineered, at least in part, by senior lien holders. The result is that much of the see Viewpoint on page 11 10 Viewpoint continued from page 10 stress built up by overleveraging remains, as opposed to being eased by conversions to equity and other extinguishments of debt. bankruptcy courts suddenly remember that there used to be a general rule against 363 sales that were tantamount to sub rosa Chapter 11 plans, the next restructuring cycle will not look like the earthquake that many of us have been bracing for. This brings us back to the big question: will the ground shift, and what will happen when it does? Tens of billions of dollars worth of corporate debt that was either “amended and pretended” or replaced with new high yield issuances is scheduled to mature again over the next four years. Assuming that all of that secured debt will not somehow become magically unsecured, and that activist distressed-debt holders will not lose their resolve and will remain flush with ready capital, it is likely that the next set of tremors will look much like the previous one. Either maturities will be kicked down the road again or assets will be sold as quickly as possible. Unless the economy vastly improves (yielding vast quantities of excess cash flow with which to pay down secured debt), or Opinions expressed are those of the author, not of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Mark Joachim is a partner with Arent Fox, based in Washington, D.C. He is part of the firm’s corporate group and its bankruptcy and financial restructuring group. He can be reached at [email protected]. Jeffrey Rothleder is a partner in the financial restructuring and bankruptcy practice group at Arent Fox based in Washington. He can be reached at [email protected]. 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