leadership series JANUARY 2016 The case for diversifying LDI managers François Pellerin, CFA, FSA, EA, CERA l LDI Strategist Dan Tremblay, CFA l Director of Institutional Fixed Income Solutions & LDI Strategist KEY TAKEAWAYS • Diversification of fixed-income managers may be an easy first step for plan sponsors seeking to mitigate risk. • By diversifying, plan sponsors also gain greater flexibility, as well as access to the investment perspectives of a wider set of managers. • For a plan sponsor implementing or expanding an LDI strategy, diversification may hold additional benefits without adding much complexity or cost. In Canada, many defined benefit (DB) plan sponsors have been actively de-risking their pension plans, either generally, by increasing exposure to long-duration bonds, or more specifically, by implementing a formal liability‑driven investment (LDI) strategy. However, diversification of fixed‑income managers is one simple element of de-risking that often gets insufficient attention – even from plan sponsors with a well-diversified roster of equity managers. For Institutional Use Only For the smallest range of plans (under $200 million in assets) or for plans with very small bond allocations, it may be effective to have just one or two fixed-income managers in place. However, as a plan grows larger or increases the proportion of its assets in bonds, diversification of managers becomes a more compelling option. Although there are no established best practices for the industry, our global experience allows us to recommend general levels of manager diversification for risk-conscious plan sponsors to consider (Exhibit 1). This paper discusses some of the important advantages of manager diversification. For many plans, these advantages may greatly outweigh any potential challenges. The benefits of diversification As a general practice of prudent asset management, diversification is at the top of the list. Because they hold fiduciary responsibility for obligations to plan participants, DB plan sponsors with a substantial assets invested in fixed income should strongly consider diversifying managers, if only to mitigate the uncompensated “idiosyncratic risk” of a negative event occurring for one particular manager. This risk can be reduced by spreading assets among multiple managers. For example, diversification may help to reduce losses in the event of substantial portfolio underperformance for a single manager, or from manager operational problems. In this way, diversification functions like a form of insurance. leadership series JANUARY 2 016 Even if nothing major goes wrong, having a diversified roster of managers could help facilitate a change of strategy. Simply put: it is easier for a plan sponsor to reduce the allocation to a manager when other managers are already in place, should performance, reputational or other reasons arise. Although the plan sponsor will need to perform a formal review of each additional manager, due diligence as part of an intentional program of diversification can be pursued more deliberately than when it must be completed quickly to respond to a crisis. Investing with a diversified set of managers may hold other advantages as well. By diversifying, a plan sponsor gains deeper access to the research, resources and overall market perspectives of additional managers. This broader input may help the plan sponsor and plan investment committee in considering future strategic and tactical actions. Considering a wider range of informed insights is an advantage in most cases, but for DB plan sponsors this may be especially true, given that many Canadian asset managers have developed expertise in managing long bonds and have built experienced teams of LDI strategists who are focused on de-risking. Diversification in an LDI context Some plan sponsors may be concerned by the potential for added complexity in monitoring new managers. However, many plan sponsors might be surprised to learn that adding Exhibit 1 Based on Fidelity’s global experience working with DB plan sponsors, we suggest a range of manager diversification targets in proportion to the overall size of the portfolio, depending on the size of the fixed-income allocation and other plan specific factors. Overall plan assets Potential number of fixed‑income managers in late LDI stage < $250 million 1 to 2 $250 million to $1 billion 2 to 5 > $1 billion 3+ Note: A $1 billion plan near its LDI end-state could be almost entirely invested in long-duration fixed income, such that using five different managers would result in having almost 20% of total plan assets with each manager. For illustrative purposes only. Source: Fidelity. 2 | For Institutional Use Only fixed‑income managers, particularly for LDI strategies, tends to add only a small amount of complexity. For example, plan sponsors who are newly beginning or enlarging an LDI implementation may find it an ideal time to add new fixed‑income managers, because the efforts that will be invested in crafting a tailored LDI strategy can also be used to investigate how to best integrate diversified managers. Plan sponsors that are in the process of reallocating assets from an equity portfolio to a fixed-income or LDI portfolio (as part of following their ongoing strategy) can use this opportunity to introduce a new manager without reducing the assets held by an existing manager. For plan sponsors closer to their end-game – the point at which an enhanced match between hedging assets and liabilities is warranted – lower risk via manager diversification can also be achieved without much complexity. For example, at the later stages of their de-risking journey, many sponsors adopt a “completion management” strategy. With this approach, one completion manager is tasked with analyzing the portfolio of one or more other managers investing against traditional indexes, and then invests to “complete” the residual gaps between assets and liabilities. Adding a completion manager can convert an existing roster of one or more managers with traditional index mandates into a more customized liability-matching strategy. Once this strategy is in place, adding additional managers may be even simpler, requiring only the addition of a new mandate managed against a traditional index, and routine coordination with the existing completion manager. What’s the catch? Even with all of these potential advantages, a frequent concern for plan sponsors is a possible reduction of economies of scale, leading to higher fees. If diversifying means allocating fewer assets to several managers, breakpoints to achieve lower‑tier fees may not be met, and overall management fees may increase as a result. In those circumstances, concern may be justified. At the most basic level, any additional cost should be thought of as similar to an insurance premium. Diversification may cost a little bit more, but the risk mitigation it bestows, particularly in protecting against low-probability but high‑impact events, may be well worth the cost. One might argue that THE CASE FOR DIVERSIF YING LDI MANAGERS a cost‑motivated undiversified roster of managers fits the metaphor of “picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.” In an LDI context, however, the cost-benefit considerations may be even more in favour of diversification. LDI strategies are inherently an actively managed approach to balancing risk and return, because they require managing assets against a plan’s specific liability. Accordingly, most LDI managers have the capacity to pursue alpha, in order to reduce future contributions. Diversifying managers may help diversify potential sources of excess returns, because different managers may have different areas of expertise, which can translate into different alpha levers (such as security selection, sector rotation, yield curve and duration positioning, currency exposures, etc.). Why would this be an advantage? In the early stages of an LDI implementation, when the fit of the assets to the liability is looser, different managers may look to different sectors to help augment returns while managing risk. One manager may favour global bonds, while another may favour the high-yield sector as an overweight. Diversification may therefore help mitigate the overall impact of individual sector underperformance, since those sectors are not perfectly correlated. In the later stages of LDI, when a tighter fit to the liability is desired, allocating among different managers may help to mitigate idiosyncratic security risk, increasing the variety of long-duration securities held. For example, there are only approximately 100 corporate long bond issuers in the index most often used in connection with managing a pension plan liability (the FTSE TMX Canada Long Term Bond Index). Each fixed-income manager will typically be constrained as to a certain percentage of out-of-index securities that can be held, which in practice limits the number of different out-of‑index issuers that will be in the plan’s portfolio. By diversifying managers, a plan sponsor effectively diversifies these out‑of‑index holdings, which may serve to mitigate credit risk in particular holdings while widening the universe of potential alpha-generating investments. incrementally higher management fees due to meeting lower breakpoints. In our experience, plans as small as $100 to $200 million in total assets have generally reached the point where economies of scale and the additional alpha potential from diversification can overmatch potential additional costs. But in all scenarios, as previously mentioned, manager diversification functions as insurance that may well be worth a small additional cost. Implications for plan sponsors Many plan sponsors take the need to diversify equity managers as a given, yet stop short when it comes to fully diversifying bond managers. Diversification of fixed-income managers carries the same set of benefits as it does for equity managers, including the potential mitigation of idiosyncratic (manager-related) risk, access to wider resources and approaches, and the potential to tap different sources of alpha. In a de-risking and LDI context, manager diversification makes even more sense, because it allows for greater diversification of asset-matched liabilities without requiring a corresponding increase in complexity from the plan sponsor’s perspective. With all of the advantages of diversification (and the potential hazards of remaining too concentrated), plan sponsors who are concerned with mitigating risk may find that diversifying their fixed-income managers may be the most effective next step they can take. In most LDI scenarios where the hedging assets are actively managed, a plan sponsor can specify (and the manager can achieve) an alpha target that compensates the portfolio for For Institutional Use Only | 3 leadership series JANUARY 2 016 AUTHORS François Pellerin, CFA, FSA, EA, CERA l LDI Strategist François Pellerin is an LDI strategist in the Fixed Income division at Fidelity Investments. As a member of the Liability-Driven Investing (LDI) Solutions team, he is responsible for developing and implementing pension risk-management solutions. He is a CFA charterholder, a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries, an Enrolled Actuary, and a Chartered Enterprise Risk Analyst. François joined Fidelity in 2012. Dan Tremblay, CFA l Director of Institutional Fixed Income Solutions & LDI Strategist Daniel Tremblay is Senior Vice-President, Director of Institutional Fixed Income Solutions, in the Fixed Income division at Fidelity Investments. In his current role, Dan oversees the Liability Driven Investment (LDI) Solutions team and is responsible for developing custom hedging strategies for LDI clients, providing perspectives on de-risking solutions, and representing the investment process in the marketplace. He is a CFA charterholder. Dan joined Fidelity in 1994. Fidelity Thought Leadership Vice President Vic Tulli, CFA, provided editorial direction for this article. © 2015 FMR LLC. 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