FPWPSubmission AU-in-ASEAN TirathRamdas AU-in-ASEAN TirathRamdas 5 t h January2017 Preface ThisismysubmissiontotheDFATForeignPolicyWhitePaper2016callforpublicsubmissions. In this submission, which I’m making in my personal capacity as a Malaysian citizen and AustralianPermanentResident(andIdoconsidermyselfapartoftheAustraliancommunity), IamarguingforAustraliatopursueASEANmembership. Contents Introduction 1 HowASEANMembershipWouldStrengthenAustralia SouthEastAsianCyberspace Grant-Making EconomicMigrantsandTrackTwoDiplomacy 1 2 2 2 BaselinesupportforAustraliatojoinASEAN 2 References 3 Introduction The original definition of Oceania stretched from Australia to the Strait of Malacca. The popularcontemporarydefinitiondrawsasharperlinebetweenAustraliaandSouthEastAsia, butitisworthnotingthatamorescientific(ecogeographical)definitionofOceaniaexcludes New Zealand - point being, it is not that useful to fixate on some imaginary continental boundary between Australia and South East Asia as a region. Regardless of how these boundariesaredefined,inmanyrespects,AustralianeatlyfitswithinthecontextofSouth EastAsia.ASEANisaverydiversegrouping(evenmorediversethantheEurozone),anditis correspondinglyplausibletoconsiderAustralianmembershipintoASEAN. Thissubmissionmakestwocontributions: 1) Highlighting several reasons why Australian membership in ASEAN would be to Australia’sbenefit. 2) Presenting some evidence suggesting that securing an invitation for Australia into ASEANwillnotbeasdifficultasitmayseemattheoutset. HowASEANMembershipWouldStrengthenAustralia Being a member of ASEAN would help ensure Australia is better positioned to seize opportunitiesandmanagerisksformanyreasons,butthissubmissiononlydiscussesthree pointsthatmaytypicallyflyundertheradar. 1 FPWPSubmission AU-in-ASEAN TirathRamdas SouthEastAsianCyberspace As one of the last remaining regions of economic dynamism in the world this generation, ASEANisanincreasinglyimportantmarketforAustralianbusinesses,includingtechstartups suchasSeekandREAGroupwhichhavesubstantialuser-basesresidinginASEANcountries. InthecontextoftechnologyandinparticularInternet-basedbusinesses,thereareseveral importantpolicymattersthatreceiveuneventhinkingintheregion,suchasdatasovereignty, censorship,andnetneutrality."Greatfirewall"stylethinking(alreadytakingholdinThailand asthe"singlegateway")couldbehighlydetrimentaltoAustralianeconomicinterests.Cyberprivacyisanotherissuewhich,ifhandledthroughASEAN,mayyieldanEU“safeharbor”style solution,whichwouldbenefitAustralianconsumersandbusinesses,aswellasconsumersand businessesfromallotherASEANmembercountries. Beyondthesepoint-issues,moregenerally,cyberspaceisaninter-generationalissuethatis goingtobecomeevenmoreimportantinthefuture.Muchismadeofthe“global”natureof cyberspace,butthefactremainsthatfiberandIPpacketsactuallydocrossbordersinavery realsense,andexperiencehasshownusthat,practically,politicalboundariesmatter,evenin cyberspace. The adage that “the Internet routes around censorship” has turned out to be aspirational,ratherthanatruecharacterisationoftheInternetasitispracticallyexperienced bythemajorityofpeople. Therefore,Australianeedsaforumfromwhichitcandrivediscussionandharmonisationof cyberissueswithinthecontextofspecificregionalconcerns.ASEANcouldbethatvenue. Grant-Making As an immediate (and relatively uncontroversial) quick-win, there is an opportunity for AustraliatopromoteprosperityandstabilitybyleveragingtheexpertiseofAusAIDtowards developing grant-making apparatus within ASEAN, e.g. injecting some vibrancy into the ASEANFoundation. EconomicMigrantsandTrackTwoDiplomacy Australiaisamigrationfocal-pointforASEAN.ManyeconomicmigrantsinAustraliacome fromASEANcountriesandstillmaintainbusinessandcultural/politicallinkswiththeircountry of origin. This base provides a "track two diplomacy" lever that could be better utilised. CreatinganadditionalpoliticalforumforengagementwiththesecountriesthroughASEAN wouldallowAustraliatobetterleverageeconomicmigrantsasatwo-wayforceforpositive changeandenlightenedinfluence. BaselinesupportforAustraliatojoinASEAN ItisplausibletoconsiderAustralianmembershipintoASEAN-thebasisforthisclaimissome researchIhaveconductedrecently[1].Fromsomeinitialpolling,thereisindicationthata significantsegmentofthepopulationinASEANwouldwelcomeAustralianmembershipinto 2 FPWPSubmission AU-in-ASEAN TirathRamdas ASEAN.AsillustratedinFigure1,amajorityofrespondentsinThailand,Malaysia,Singapore, andThePhilippinesanswered“Yes”tothequestion"ShouldAustraliajoinASEAN?”.Ofthe countriespolled,onlyIndonesiaandAustraliahada“No”majorityresponse.Moredetails, suchasresponserates,areavailableontheoriginalpost[1]. Figure1:Responsestothequestion“ShouldAustraliajoinASEAN:Yes/No”bytargetcountry. These findings are by no means conclusive, and furthermore one may question the importanceofgrassrootssupportonaquestionsuchasthis,butforwhatit’sworththese findings suggest that the door is at least ajar, if not open, for Australia to pursue ASEAN membershipifshewishestodoso.Withthisbaselinegrassrootssupport,achievingASEAN membershipforAustraliawouldnotrequireashardapushasonemightimagine.Ibelievea majorsegmentoftheASEANpopulaceholdsvaluesthatoverlapsignificantlywithAustralian values,andthisformsastrongfoundationfromwhichonemaycultivatean“AU-in-ASEAN” movement. References [1]https://tramdas.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/should-australia-join-asean/ 3
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