HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING; 17(4): 402–411 © Oxford University Press 2002 Willingness to pay for treated mosquito nets in Surat, India: the design and descriptive analysis of a household survey MR BHATIA1 AND JA FOX-RUSHBY2 1Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, and 2Department of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK For willingness to pay (WTP) studies to have an appropriate impact on policy making, it is essential that the design and analysis are undertaken carefully. This paper aims to describe and justify the design of the survey tool used to assess hypothetical WTP for treated mosquito nets (TMN) in rural Surat, India and report its findings. Results from qualitative work were used as an input for developing the WTP questionnaire. A total of 1200 households belonging to 80 villages in rural Surat were selected for the study. A bidding format was used to elicit WTP values, using three different starting bids. The scenario was constructed in a way to reduce the possibility of respondents acting strategically. The response rate was 100%. About 79% of the respondents were willing to buy TMNs and the mean WTP was Rs57. Descriptive results of economic and other taste and preference variables are also presented, which include preventive measures used by households and treatment seeking behaviour for malaria. It is observed that WTP as well as demographic variables and prevention methods differ significantly across arms of the trial. This paper suggests that policy-makers could use the evidence following further analysis, along with information on costs of implementation, to ascertain the levels of subsidy that may be needed at different levels of coverage. Key words: willingness to pay, contingent valuation, demand, household survey, malaria, India Introduction As governments and international agencies think about the balance between public and private provision and financing of health care, they are becoming more interested in conducting, and considering the results of, studies about individual’s and household’s willingness to pay (WTP) for health services. At the same time there is concern about the reliability and validity of studies that focus on hypothetical WTP (Johannesson 1993; Diener et al. 1998) as well as the need to consider who is able to pay (Russell 1996). Given the immediate policy relevance of WTP studies, it is particularly important that the design and analysis is undertaken carefully. This study was a part of the Malaria Control and Research Project, which aimed to reduce malaria morbidity and mortality by developing an effective and affordable malaria control programme in Surat in order to contribute to development of a malaria control policy at national level. The overall study set out to compare the effectiveness, efficiency and acceptability of two malaria control interventions – in-house residual spraying (IRS) and treated mosquito nets (TMNs) – versus early diagnosis and prompt treatment (EDPT) in three different ecological zones of Surat district over a 5-year period via a triple-arm community randomized trial. To evaluate the malaria control interventions, a community randomized controlled trial was adopted, consisting of three arms and covering a total of 126 villages of Surat district. The interventions tested were in-house residual spraying by deltamethrin and deltamethrin treated mosquito nets (0.6 TMN per household member). The third arm (i.e. control) was the case detection and treatment (Misra 1999). Case detection and treatment was used as a baseline activity carried out by dedicated project worker in each of the 126 villages throughout the trial. This part of the overall study focuses on the general population’s WTP for TMNs as questions have been raised both about whether the government should invest in this type of control strategy and the extent of demand amongst potential consumers. The paper aims to describe and justify the methods used in designing a survey tool to assess hypothetical WTP for treated mosquito nets in a rural area of Surat, Gujarat State, India. It also outlines the study design and descriptive results, and considers the implications of findings for survey design and policy. Methods Theoretical framework and choice of variables The neo-classical theory of demand is based on the assumption that individuals are capable of making rational choices Willingness to pay for mosquito nets between alternative goods to maximize their utility and that this choice leads an individual to the point where their marginal value for a good equals the price paid. A demand curve can be generated using the WTP values, and the area under the demand curve used to estimate the social value of a good or service. This research was based on the desire to measure the consumer surplus attached to the purchase of TMNs, with the expectation that this would lead to an increase in health through a reduction in malaria. As the study was about the purchase of new TMNs, it could be assumed that current utility is held constant. Therefore, the focus was on using compensating, rather than equivalent, variations (Johannesson and Jonsson 1991; Olsen 1997) and so questions concerning WTP were framed in terms of WTP for an increase of the good. It is important to know which variables affect stated WTP for TMNs because this could help in assessing what factors may encourage people to buy TMNs and at what price. Both have potential policy relevance – it is important to know which variables for example, would be under the control of policymakers other than just prices, so that the level of demand can be influenced at all prices. As the main aim of economic models of demand is to explain the quantity demanded of a good in terms of economic variables, we needed to consider the following: the price of the good as well as the price and use of complements and substitutes for TMNs and income and assets (e.g. ownership of land). In the case of TMNs, the distinction between complements and substitutes is not always clear. For example, other preventive measures like mosquito coils could be considered substitutes but can be used in conjunction with TMNs. We also outlined a range of variables expected to represent and explain ‘tastes and preferences’ in the following broad categories: • personal characteristics of main earner and respondent (e.g. age, gender, schooling, occupation); • characteristics of household membership (e.g. size, number of children, caste1); • preferences for alternative methods of preventing mosquitoes; • knowledge of the cause(s) of malaria; • treatment-seeking behaviour for malaria. Development of the willingness to pay questionnaire The role of qualitative methods in designing the household survey The aim of the qualitative research was to help develop the survey questionnaire and to make the bridge from theoretical models to relevant research questioning in Surat. For example, whilst we knew which information about household demand was needed, we had to determine how households were variously defined and who would be the most appropriate respondent for considering purchasing a mosquito net. Another example was the need to select an appropriate elicitation mechanism2 for use in Surat (we selected the bidding format) as well as judging a suitable range of values for the offer bids (we selected Rs50, Rs75 and Rs100 as starting bids and 25, 100, 150, 200 as additional follow-up bids) such that 403 minimal ‘yes’ responses would be expected for the top value in order to allow a demand curve to be estimated from bid values alone. We also wanted to ascertain the range of potential response options for specific questions such as occupation and sources of income. Finally, it was also designed to help with practical issues such as the time when most respondents would be available and the likely acceptability of the questions (e.g. whether people were likely to be willing to pay, appropriate local language to use for malaria and willingness to pay). The qualitative methods used were semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions. Semi-structured interviews were held in all three ecological zones with: key informants (n = 22) such as the Sarpanch (village head), community leaders and anthropologists working in the communities, who were asked about the community (e.g. ways to define a household or to ask about income); mosquito net owners (n = 21) and sellers (n = 20), who were asked for details of prices and types of nets bought/sold and their approaches to agreeing prices; shopkeepers (n = 17) and pharmacists (n = 15), who were questioned on affordability, credit systems and bargaining approaches used; and general practitioners (n = 22), who were consulted on payments for treatment. A team of two people, one to interview and the other to take notes, conducted these interviews. Twenty-five focus group discussions were conducted in 10 villages representing the three ecological zones. About six to eight participants were selected on the basis of factors such as age, sex, caste, occupation, religion and age of the last child. The focus group discussion guides were prepared in advance to gather information about: who is the head of the household; how purchase decisions are taken at the household level; views on mosquito nuisance; the mosquito–malaria link; preventive measures commonly used; treatment seeking; expenditure on prevention and treatment of malaria; satisfaction with government health facilities; need to buy treated mosquito nets by time of year; appropriate mechanisms for delivery of treated mosquito nets; preferred modes of payment; availability of cash; and the price for untreated mosquito nets. The focus group discussions were conducted according to the recommended format involving a trained moderator and an assistant for taking notes. All were held in Gujarati and lasted between 45 and 60 minutes. WTP questions and the scenario for valuation At the heart of any WTP study is the scenario for which respondents are asked to give a value. Box 1 gives the English translation of the scenario used. As questions about hypothetical WTP are prone to ‘strategic’ bias where respondents over/under-estimate their ‘true’ personal values to effect a specific outcome (Mitchell and Carson 1993), we attempted to reduce such strategizing through the introduction of the scenario – hence a balance between whether they or the Government would have to pay. The scenario for valuation needed to give all the relevant information without overloading the respondent with information, which is a difficult balance to achieve. The 404 Box 1. MR Bhatia and JA Fox-Rushby Introduction to, and description of, the scenario all respondents were asked to give their willingness to pay for Introduction to the scenario The National Malaria Eradication Programme (NMEP),a Government of India (GOI), is currently looking to decide how best to control malaria. It is considering a number of options, one of which is dipping mosquito nets in insecticide. Unfortunately, this is quite expensive for the GOI and so they want to know how much people are prepared to pay, in order to judge whether this intervention will work in the future. Your responses to this section would be used for such a policy decision. You may be required to pay according to your answer, through individual purchases. Description of the scenario This net that you see [interviewer shows net] is not an ordinary mosquito net but treated with insecticide. By getting rid of mosquitoes and other insects (bed bugs), it will protect you and your family members from mosquitoes and other insects when inside it, thus allowing you to have a good night’s sleep. In addition, it will also reduce the number of episodes of malaria in your household if your household members sleep under these each night. In some villages, use of TMNs would reduce the number of times someone in a household gets malaria from once a year to once every 2 years, thus saving time and money for the household, which would otherwise have been incurred on the treatment of that malarial episode. You know that most people suffering from malaria have severe headache and fever for about a week and are unable to work for about 4 days. In very small percentage of cases, malaria leads to complications or death. As it has insecticide, you may experience cold-like symptoms, e.g. headache, running nose, in the first week, but thereafter there would be no symptoms. Hardly any complaints have been received from people who have used the mosquito nets. This insecticide is not harmful even to children. As the effect of the insecticide wears out with time, it needs to be treated again every year, for which you would need to bring your household nets to an agreed place, e.g. the village school. Remember washing of the treated nets reduces its effect. You are also aware that there are other methods to protect yourself from mosquitoes/malaria. The mosquito nets are available in different colours and standard size of 6 4 ft and should last for about 5 years. Keeping the above description in mind and reminding yourself of your income, your other expenditure commitments and your household’s expenditure on treatment of malarial fever, kindly answer the following questions, which enquire about your willingness to buy treated mosquito nets. a NMEP has been renamed recently as the National Anti Malaria Programme (NAMP). information concerning TMNs focused on: describing the benefits, side-effects, compliance and alternatives, along with a physical description of TMNs. It is important that accurate and unbiased information is given so, for example, that benefits are not over-emphasized at the expense of the disadvantages of an intervention. Each respondent was also shown a treated mosquito net and was reminded about income constraints and their expenditure commitments prior to giving values. Respondents were then asked whether they were willing to buy a TMN or not. Those who were not willing to buy a TMN were asked if they would be willing to do so if the option of paying in instalments were available. Those who said ‘yes’ to either question were subjected to the elicitation questions. A bidding format with three randomly allocated starting bids (Rs50, Rs75 and Rs100) was used to elicit peoples’ values. Each person was asked, for example, ‘Would you be willing to buy one treated mosquito net for Rs75?’ The respondents were also offered a ‘don’t know’ option in addition to yes/no. This was done to ensure that respondents are not forced into giving a yes or no response, recommended by Harris et al. (1989) and NOAA (1993). Those who said ‘yes’ to the starting bid were then asked about a higher bid and those who said ‘no’ or ‘don’t know’ were provided with a lower bid and asked the question again. After this second bid, the respondents were asked for their maximum willingness to pay as an openended question. Figure 1 provides an example of the bidding format used for the three starting bid vectors and shows that WTP for TMN No Don’t know a (DK) Yes Starting bid vector Rs50, 75, 100 Yes No DK 2nd bid vector Rs100, 150, 200 Yes Max WTP Figure 1. values No DK Rs25, 50, 75 Yes Max WTP No DK Max WTP Bidding format used for elicitation of willingness to pay a variety of starting bids were chosen. This was because it would allow a testing of, and control for, any starting point bias, which is a commonly found bias in WTP studies (O’Brien and Viramontes 1994; Russell et al. 1995; Stalhammar 1996). The focus on the purchase of one TMN only was important to ensure standardization of product across respondents. Willingness to pay for mosquito nets However, need and demand may differ between households, as may the marginal utility of additional TMNs per households. Therefore we also asked respondents how many TMNs they would buy at their maximum stated WTP as well as checking the maximum they would be willing to pay to buy the total number of TMNs needed for their household (if there was a difference between need and demand at the price stated). This also allowed us to check the reliability of WTP answers. The final questionnaire comprised five main sections in the following order: household socioeconomic and demographic profile, use of preventive measures, treatment-seeking behaviour, willingness to pay income and expenditure patterns (Bhatia 2000). This sequencing was to help respondents consider the impact that malaria has on their lives prior to answering any valuation questions. It also ensured that the framework for thinking was the household. Household income and expenditure questions were asked last in case they had an adverse impact on responses (at least all the other information would have been collected by this point of the interview). Sampling The sampling frame for our part of the study included the 42 villages in each arm of the trial. It also included all other villages in Surat outside the trial area (OTA) that had a high incidence of malaria (Annual Parasite Index >2.5) and were at least 5 km away from the nearest trial village – a total of 336 villages. Villages were selected from outside the trial area in order to compare the results with villages in each intervention arm. This was essential because we expected the trial itself to influence stated demand (either because of changing perceptions or need for mosquito nets, as villages in one arm were provided with nets) and we needed to inform policy-makers of likely demand for people outside of a trial setting. Twenty villages from each of these groups were selected randomly, making a sample of 80 villages in total. In seeking respondents for the survey, interviewers were instructed to visit the home three times in search of the main earner of the household and if on the third visit they were absent then to interview another adult (with preference for the housewife or parents). The sample size for households was calculated three ways: using the sample size tables provided by Mitchell and Carson (1993),3 based on the proportion of people willing to buy TMNs from a similar study in Orissa, India (Rath 1994), and using the mean WTP values obtained from our qualitative research. The largest sample size required 300 households per group. As there were four groups (three within the trial and one outside the trial area), the total sample size was 1200 households. Organization of fieldwork A team of eight field investigators, three research assistants, one assistant research officer and two data entry operators were employed. All the research staff recruited had university level education and were provided with the necessary training in both the quantitative and qualitative methods that were 405 to be used for the study, and were trained in taking notes of responses, as well as observing and documenting non-verbal actions. Data obtained from the field were checked and coded at the local level. To ensure the quality of data entered, double entry was undertaken for all household interviews by two data entry operators using FoxPro version 4.0. In addition, verification of data entered was carried out by analyzing the printouts of the data base files and from the preliminary analysis of data (single frequencies) using SPPS PC+ version 7.0. Results Description of sample The response rate was 100%. Of the 1200 respondents, 89% were the main earners of the household and 87% were men. Forty-eight per cent had no formal education and only 2.3% of the respondents had higher education (i.e. graduation and beyond). Manual labour was the most common occupation reported (45.4%) followed by agriculture (23.4%). The demographic variables of households showed that there were an average of 5.12 (s.d. = 2.26) people in each house. The majority of households were Hindus with less than 10% stating they were Christians. With regards to the caste, almost 75% of the households belonged to the ‘Schedule Tribe’ followed by ‘Other Backward Caste’ (17%), ‘Other castes’ (6%) and ‘Schedule Castes’ (3%). The Schedule Tribe was the dominant caste, with Gamits and Halpatis accounting together for more than 70% of this group. Table 1 shows the characteristics of respondents and households by trial arm. It can be seen that, despite the randomization of villages, there were statistically significant differences in characteristics of respondents (e.g. percentage literacy and labourers) and households (e.g. percentage schedule caste, type of house and ownership of land). The distribution of the principal economic variables showed that the mean per capita income per household was Rs5354 (s.d. = 999) with a skewed distribution to the right. The mean per capita monthly income was higher among IRS and EDPT groups compared with TMN and OTA groups. Willingness to pay results The first WTP question asked respondents whether they would be willing to buy a TMN. Seventy-nine per cent said they would and 21% said they would not be willing to buy. The main reasons people said they were unwilling to pay were: no felt need, no money, the belief that the government should provide free TMNs, and because using mosquito nets was considered uncomfortable. Table 2 shows how many people said ‘yes’ to the different starting and progression bids. It shows that the higher the starting bid, the lower the number of people who said they were willing to buy and vice versa, and that this pattern continued with the follow-up bids. This observation was statistically significant (χ2 test; p < 0.001). 406 MR Bhatia and JA Fox-Rushby Table 1. Respondent and household characteristics by study arm Respondent and household characteristics TMNs Respondent’s gender % male Respondent’s education % literate Respondent’s occupation % labourers Household’s caste % Schedule tribe Type of house % Kacchaa Ownership of irrigated land by household Household’s religion % Hindu Livestock owned by household % bulls/cows Mean household size Mean per capita monthly income IRS EDPT OTA p-value 0.145 89 83 89 86 50 57 45 57 56 42 40 44 85 64 72 77 72 17 53 34 69 35 69 30 87 94 89 88 47 4.8 503 50 5.2 586 57 5.1 635 54 5.4 415 0.004 0.0001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.02 0.06 0.0032b 0.037b TMNs = treated mosquito nets; IRS = in-house residual spraying; EDPT = early diagnosis and prompt treatment; OTA = outside trial area. a House built with mud and hay. b p-values obtained using one-way ANOVA; χ2 test used for others. Figure 2 shows the histogram of all the final maximum values given. It can be seen that the distribution is not normal and that around 20% of responses were zero. There is also a clustering of values around Rs50, Rs75 and Rs100. It was observed that more than 80% of those respondents who were willing to pay something to a follow-up bid stated that the highest offer bid they accepted was their maximum willingness to pay. Table 3 shows the percentage of zero values and mean WTP values and ‘need’ by trial arm. It can be seen that almost half of the households (47%) belonging to the TMN group quoted zero values. This was statistically significantly higher (ANOVA, p < 0.001) when compared with other arms of the trial. There was no statistically significant difference between the mean WTP for one TMN among the trial arms, when zero values are excluded (Rs73). However, the mean WTP for one TMN is statistically significantly lower (ANOVA, p < 0.001) in the TMN group (Rs39) compared with other arms when zeros are included. On average the number of TMNs needed is greater than the number of TMNs the households are willing to buy at the quoted price in each study arm. Table 2. Summary of results for willingness to pay by starting bid in Indian Rupees, 1997 Starting bid (no. asked) Answer No. replied 2nd bid offer (no. asked) Rs100 (308) Yes 110 (35.7%) Rs200 (110) No DK 197 (64.0%) 1 (0.3%) Rs75 (198) Yes 206 (65.8%) Rs150 (206) No DK 105 (33.5%) 2 (0.6%) Rs50 (107) Yes 291 (90.4%) Rs100 (291) No DK 30 (9.3%) 1 (0.3%) Rs75 (313) Rs50 (322) DK = don’t know. Rs25 (31) Answer No. replied Yes No DK Yes No DK Yes No DK Yes No DK Yes No DK Yes No DK 9 (8.2%) 101 (91.8%) 0 122 (61.6%) 75 (37.9%) 1 (0.5%) 8 (3.9%) 198 (96.1%) 0 89 (83.2%) 16 (15%) 1 (1.9%) 235 (80.8%) 56 (19.2%) 0 28 (90.3%) 2 (6.5%) 1 (3.2%) Willingness to pay for mosquito nets 407 400 (15%). Respondents also stated that the need for TMNs was greatest during July to October when almost half of the respondents (48%) preferred to buy. 300 Prevention methods 200 100 0 0.0 50.0 25.0 100.0 75.0 150.0 125.0 200.0 175.0 250.0 225.0 300.0 275.0 Figure 2. Histogram of household’s maximum willingness to pay for one mosquito neta (mean = 57.4, s.d. = 38.9, n = 1196.0) Comparing across study arms, it can also be observed that the relative need for TMNs is significantly lower among the TMN group, as is the maximum WTP for all TMNs. Seventy per cent of those willing to buy TMNs said they would prefer to make a one-time payment for their TMNs, with 30% preferring to pay in instalments. The expected sources of money for paying for TMNs included using available cash (58%), savings (27%) and borrowing the money Figures 3 and 4 show the preferences for, and use of, alternative approaches for preventing mosquitoes. It shows that although the majority of the respondents preferred TMNs as a mosquito preventive measure, very few actually were using TMNs. Instead, the majority were using smoke and bedsheets. The preferences and use of alternative approaches to preventing mosquito bites were statistically significantly different across arms of the trial. The relatively high use of TMNs in TMN villages compared with other arms was because TMN villages were provided with project TMNs free of cost. Forty-two per cent of households owned at least one mosquito net. The mean price paid for their untreated net varied from Rs86 in the EDPT group compared with Rs141 in the IRS group. Most respondents (97%) knew that a mosquito bite could cause disease and many (76%) felt mosquitoes were a major nuisance. This knowledge was consistently more than 90% across all arms of the trial. On probing the 1163 respondents who knew that mosquitoes cause disease, malaria fever was most frequently mentioned (85%). Other conditions mentioned were skin rash, allergy, itching and boils. Treatment-seeking behaviour We also asked about the household’s treatment-seeking behaviour if they reported a household member having had malaria within the last month. Three hundred and eight Table 3. Description of main results for willingness to pay (WTP) for one treated mosquito net, by trial arm in Indian Rupees, 1997 TMNs Zero WTP values % WTP for one TMN Mean s.d. WTP for one TMN (excluding zero values) Mean s.d. No. nets willing to buy at maximum stated WTP Mean s.d. Number of nets needed per household Mean s.d. Maximum WTP for all nets for householda Mean s.d. Sample size IRS EDPT OTA Total p-value 47.0 12.4 12.5 14.0 21.4 0.001b 39.0 41.6 65.0 37.8 65.0 33.7 62.0 36.1 57.4 38.9 0.001 73.3 27.1 73.6 31.0 73.3 25.1 72.2 28.0 73.1 27.9 0.9417 1.29 1.6 2.23 1.4 2.21 1.3 1.92 1.3 1.92 1.45 0.001 1.8 0.38 2.7 0.80 2.7 0.78 2.6 0.86 2.43 0.87 0.001 92.4 118.0 300 158.0 116.0 299 158.0 109.0 297 134.0 108.0 300 135.7 115.8 1996 0.001 TMNs = treated mosquito nets; IRS = in-house residual spraying; EDPT = early diagnosis and prompt treatment; OTA = outside trial area. a This maximum is not a simple multiplication of mean WTP for one net and mean WTP. The value is elicited from a direct survey question. It differs for one of two reasons; either respondents were inconsistent or they reflected diminishing marginal values for additional nets. b Except for zero WTP values where χ2 was used, all other p-values reported are obtained from one-way ANOVA. 1UK £ = Rs59. 408 MR Bhatia and JA Fox-Rushby 00 No. of households Preventive measures 300 Fan Smoke 200 Bed-sheets Coil/mats 100 Spray Mosquito nets 0 Tr e Ca Sp ra ate Ou se tsi yv de de dn illa tria tec ets ge tio l (O s( (T n TA MN IR (E S) ) DP s) T) Intervention groups Figure 3. Preference for mosquito preventive measures by trial arms No. of households 400 Preventive measures 300 Mosquito nets 200 Coils Smoke 100 Bed-sheet 0 Fan Tr e ate dn ets Sp ra (T Ca se yv illa ge MN s) s( IR de Ou S) tsi tec tio de n( E tria l (O DP T) TA ) Intervention groups Figure 4. Use of mosquito preventive measures by trial arms people belonging to 271 households reported malaria5 of whom 24 had been admitted for treatment. The mean age of the family member was 27.6 years (median = 28, mode = 40). The number of malaria cases varied between the arms of the trial with least number of cases belonging to the TMN group and maximum cases reported from OTA villages. This difference was statistically significant (χ2 test, p < 0.001). The sources of treatment also varied between trial arms (see Figure 5). For example, use of the private sector ranged from 18% in the EDPT group to 37% in the IRS group. In spite of this variation, the private sector was an important source for treatment in all trial arms, next only to the project workers. In the absence of project workers, high utilization of the private sector was also observed in villages outside the trial areas. On the aggregate level, almost equal numbers (31%) sought treatment at private clinics and from the project workers. About 21% took treatment at home or consulted the bhagat (traditional healer) and only about 17% sought treatment from the government health sector. Only 40% of those Willingness to pay for mosquito nets 409 No. malaria cases 120 100 80 Treatment source 60 Others 40 Private 20 Govt Home/Bhagat 0 Tr e ate Sp Ca dn e ra ts yv il (T se MN lag es s) Ou de (IR tec tsi S) tio de tria n( ED PT l (O TA ) ) Intervention groups Figure 5. Sources of initial treatment for malaria illness by trial arms reporting malaria fever sought subsequent treatment. Of these, the majority (75%) sought treatment at private facilities. As the TMN, EDPT and IRS groups were all given a project worker for early diagnosis and treatment, we examined whether there were differences between the trial and nontrial groups as a whole. The findings showed that there were statistically significant differences in mean number of cases, severity of malaria in terms of admission and length of hospital stay, and household days lost – all of which were higher outside the trial area compared with trial villages. For example, the mean number of days admitted as a result of malaria illness varied from 1.6 in TMN villages to 5.3 outside the trial area (ANOVA, p < 0.05). Discussion This study reports the best possible response rate to a survey – 100%. Although the majority of the respondents said they would be willing to buy at least one TMN, around 20% were not willing to buy (even with the offer of paying in instalments). The vast majority of those who said they were not willing to buy (55%) belonged to the TMN arm of the trial, and had already been given sufficient TMNs for free by the Malaria Control and Research Project. However, this still left around 10% of the entire sample unwilling to pay anything for TMNs. The mean WTP for one TMN was Rs57 (s.d. = 39) for the study population as a whole and Rs73 (s.d. = 28) for those willing to buy TMNs. Whilst the WTP was significantly lower for the group, which had received TMNs, there was no significant difference in WTP between trial arms once the zero values had been excluded. The average number of TMNs that households were willing to buy at the mean WTP was 1.92 (s.d. = 1.45) and this differed significantly between groups. Not surprisingly the TMN group was lowest, although on average a household was WTP for 1.3 out of the 1.8 TMNs they felt they still needed. The stated demand for TMNs was significantly higher in the EDPT, OTA and IRS groups (mean = 2.43, s.d = 0.81). Variability of independent variables, both economic and other taste and preference variables, was observed across trial arms. For example, the preference and use of TMNs as preventive measures was the highest in the TMN group. Similarly, although the preference for mosquito nets was high in all the groups, their use was very low in all groups except the TMN group where project nets were distributed. Other variables like per capita monthly income and ownership of irrigated land were higher in the IRS and EDPT group. The findings of this descriptive analysis have a number of implications for further data analysis. The most important next step is to begin to understand what causes the variation in stated amounts of WTP. For example, what factors other than perceived need of TMNs makes people unwilling to buy any TMNs? And of those who are willing to pay, what characteristics are likely to lead to high and low values? In terms of the design of future studies using the bidding format, the role of the final WTP question needs to be discussed given that a large number of respondents quoted the bid price. This could depend upon the perspective of the study. If a WTP study is undertaken from a valuation perspective as in cost–benefit studies, then the final maximum WTP question may still be justified provided the final value is not framed by the second bid value. However, as 80% of those who were willing to pay did not give higher values than the offer bids, this should be questioned and researched. It may, for example, point to the need to consider alternative forms of elicitation mechanisms. Alternatively if the pricing perspective is considered, then the role of the final WTP question is hard to justify as a majority of the respondents quoted the bid price and the expectation is only to identify the proportion willing to buy at a particular price. If these prices are below expected costs then a higher final bid value should be used. 410 MR Bhatia and JA Fox-Rushby A number of policy implications emerge from this study. First it confirms that the majority of the households are willing to buy TMNs and suggests that at a mean WTP of Rs57, 649 households would buy at least one TMN. This information, coupled with the cost of providing and distributing TMNs, could assist policy-makers in taking pricing decisions and gain an idea of any subsidy required to implement this programme at different levels of coverage. At this stage it is notably lower than the average paid for untreated nets, although this does not account for the size of the untreated nets. However, further analysis is needed to determine the relationship between coverage and price levels set for TMNs for different groups. Similarly, further analysis to understand the inter-relationship of variables is necessary before concluding which types of characteristics are the most important explanators of WTP. Given that there are significant numbers of respondents not willing to buy TMNs, policy-makers need to consider the potential role of exemption mechanisms and inducements of consumers into the market in the event charges are introduced for a TMN programme, and further analysis may help to determine which characteristics of households could lead to the most appropriate methods of targeting any exemptions and market inducements. This study also suggests two ways of increasing demand in relation to the running of a TMN programme. For example, a significant proportion (30%) of households who are willing to buy would prefer making payments in instalments. This may ensure greater coverage and make TMNs affordable to those who may not be able to raise the capital otherwise. Secondly, there appears to be a conflict between the time when the households would need TMNs and the time when they would have most money available to buy them. Forty-eight per cent of the respondents were more willing to buy during July and October, when the need for TMNs is greatest, but these are the months when the agriculturist has little spare money as it is needed to invest in their land and, at the same time, employment opportunities for agricultural labourers are scarce. Our survey took place in the months June to September, when the mosquito nuisance is high. Both the methods used and the results of this study suggest findings from other WTP studies need to be considered more carefully if WTP studies are to have an appropriate impact on policy making. One study in the literature has reported mean WTP for TMNs in India (Rath 1994). The Orissa study reported a mean WTP of Rs150 per TMN compared with Rs57 in our study. This high WTP reported in Orissa is difficult to account for. Malaria is a major public health problem in both Orissa and Gujarat, and although the magnitude of problem is greater in Orissa compared with Surat, it is unlikely to explain the three-fold differences in WTP. For example, it is unlikely to be justified on the grounds of income, as rural Surat is much richer than rural Orissa. A potential explanation could be the difference in methodology. The Orissa study used open-ended questions, which are notorious for exaggerated WTP values (Mitchell and Carson 1993; NOAA 1993; Russell et al. 1995), and secondly it elicited values in open meetings, which may have resulted in more socially acceptable responses. However, it is interesting to note that the decision was made to sell TMNs in Orissa at Rs50 (Thomas 1997), which is more consistent with our estimates. Finally, it was heartening to learn that it is possible to undertake a WTP study in a rural setting of a developing country with a high response rate as well as reasonably realistic estimates of WTP estimates. Much of this, it has to be said, was due to training as well as the excellent and hardworking interviewers. The bidding format, which is considered to be a more complex elicitation method requiring skilled interviewers, was well received by the respondents as bargaining was commonly observed in the market place. The qualitative phase prior to the household survey proved particularly useful in setting realistic bid prices. If we had to change anything for a future survey of hypothetical willingness to pay, it would be making further refinements in the scenario, attempting to make the instrument simpler, and considering whether other elicitation mechanisms or alternative higher bids would significantly change the results. Conclusions WTP studies have an important role to play in influencing pricing policies, particularly in a developing country context, where such studies are mainly undertaken from a pricing perspective. However, until recently, there existed no guidelines for undertaking WTP studies in health sectors of developing countries for pricing or as a method of valuing benefits. This paper adds to the recent effort expended by Whittington (1998) and others towards developing guidelines for undertaking WTP work in low income countries by providing insights into the design and analysis of a WTP study, and sharing some of the experiences in implementing such studies. This study has shown that it is possible to undertake WTP studies in a rural setting of a developing country for a health care good. To increase the reliability and validity of WTP estimates, it is recommended that future studies include qualitative research methods as a part of the overall methods and that efforts are expended in developing the appropriate scenario. The main empirical results showed that WTP differed significantly, along with several socioeconomic, demographic and malaria-related variables, across the trial arms of the study. Future research on WTP studies for the same good (i.e. TMN) using different elicitation questions and for different health care goods are recommended to establish the reliability and validity of WTP in a developing country setting. Endnotes 1 Caste and tribes: In the hierarchy of the existing caste system, Schedule Tribe and Schedule Castes are on the lower end and so have special provisions in the Constitution of India. The Government of India aims to promote their welfare through various developmental programmes. Schedule Tribe members are those residing in remote areas that have remained out of touch with civilization. Gamits and Halpatis are important sub-castes within Schedule Castes and are in significant numbers in rural Surat. 2 Selected from a range including: open- or closed-ended ques- Willingness to pay for mosquito nets tions, dichotomous choice with follow-up, a payment scale and bidding games (Donaldson et al. 1998). 3 For a 5% level of significance and with a 90% power to show a difference of 40% or more between two groups, the required sample size is 290 households per group, assuming the coefficient of variation = 1. 4 1 UK £ = Rs59 (1997). 5 Fifty-six per cent of these were reported to be clinically diagnosed by a doctor and in about 10% of cases through a laboratory. In all other cases, it was based on the respondent’s opinion. 411 Stalhammar N. 1996. An empirical note on willingness to pay and starting point bias. Medical Decision Making 16: 242–7. Thomas K. 1997. Evaluation of the process of demand generation for insecticide treated mosquito nets. In: Rath AD, Pet I (eds). Approaches to increasing the use of insecticide treated mosquito nets in Orissa, India. Proceedings of the round table meeting. Whittington D. 1988. Administering contingent valuation surveys in developing countries. World Development 26: 21–30. Acknowledgements References Bhatia M. 2000. Economic Evaluation of Malaria Control Interventions in Surat, India. Ph.D. Thesis, University of London. Diener A, O’Brien B, Gafni A. 1998. Health care contingent valuation studies: a review and classification of the literature. Health Economics 7: 313–26. Donaldson C, Jones AM, Mapp TJ, Olson JA. 1998. Limited dependent variables in willingness to pay studies: applications in health care. Applied Economics 30: 667–77. Harris C, Driver BL, McLaughlin WJ. 1989. Improving the contingent valuation method: a psychological perspective. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 17: 213–29. Johannesson M. 1993. The contingent valuation method-appraising the appraisers. Health Economics 2: 357–9. Johannesson M, Jonsson B. 1991. Economic evaluation in health care: is there a case for cost-benefit analysis? Health Policy 17: 1–23. Misra SP. 1999. Indoor residual spray versus treated mosquito nets using deltamethrin to control malaria – a community randomised trial in rural Surat, India. Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Medicine, University of London. Mitchell R, Carson R. 1993. Using surveys to value public goods: the contingent valuation method. Washington, DC: Resources for the Future. National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. 1993. Report of the NOAA Panel on Contingent Valuation. Federal Register 58: 4601–14. O’Brien B, Viramontes JL. 1994. Willingness to pay: a valid and reliable measure of health state preference? Medical Decision Making 14: 289–97. Olsen JA. 1997. Aiding priority setting in health care: Is there a role for the contingent valuation method? Health Economics 6: 603–12. Rath DA. 1997. Encouraging the use of impregnated mosquito-nets in Orissa State, India: The problem of sustainability. Proceedings of the round table meeting. Russell S. 1996. Ability to pay for health care: concepts and evidence. Health Policy and Planning 11: 219–37. Russell S, Fox-Rushby J, Arhin D. 1995. Willingness and ability to pay for health care: a selection of methods and issues. Health Policy and Planning 10: 94–101. This work is a part of the Malaria Control and Research Project, a bilateral project between the Government of UK and the Government of India. We acknowledge this research was funded by the Department for International Development (DfID) of the United Kingdom. However DfID can accept no responsibility for any information provided or views expressed. We thank Dr David Evans (WHO) and Dr Marcia Weaver (USA) for feedback on the WTP instrument. We acknowledge the efforts put in by the research staff during data collection and data entry operators, in particular Mr Umesh Rathod and Mahesh Chauhan. We are extremely grateful to the people of the study villages for sharing their information with us and for their time for focus group discussions and in completing the household survey. Finally, we thank the two anonymous referees for their very helpful comments. Biographies Dr Mrigesh Bhatia is a lecturer in health policy and course director for the MSc in International Health Policy, in the Department of Social Policy at the London School of Economics. He is medical graduate with an MD in Preventive and Social Medicine and a Ph.D. in Health Economics. His research interests include economic evaluation of health care interventions and aspects of health sector reforms in low-income countries. Dr Julia Fox-Rushby is a senior lecturer in health economics. She has written numerous academic papers on the cost-effectiveness of health interventions across the world, specializing particularly in maternal and child health, malaria and, more recently, vaccine preventable diseases. She has also been involved over the past 15 years in developing a number of non-disease specific measures of healthrelated quality of life as a member of the EuroQol group, advisor to the WHOQOL group and as principal investigator of the KENQOL group. Correspondence: Dr MR Bhatia, Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK. Tel: +44 207 955–6416; fax: +44 207 955–7415; Email: [email protected]
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