Maria V. Sokolova Maison de la Paix • Chemin Eugene-Rigot 2 • 1202 Geneve, Suisse [email protected] • +1.202.372.7303 • www.maria-sokolova.com Education The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) Geneva, Switzerland Ph.D. International Economics September 2011- September 2016 (expected) Washington, D.C., USA September 2015-August 2016 Georgetown University Visiting Fellow at Transnational Programmes Institute for International Economic Law St Andrews University MSc. International Strategy and Economics (full distinction) St Andrews, Scotland, United Kingdom September 2009 - November 2010 Moscow, Russian Federation September 2003 - July 2008 Plekhanov Russian Economic Academy BA Mathematics and Economics (distinction) Awards/Scholarships Swiss National Science Foundation Fellow Grant Graduate Institute Full Research Scholar Chevening Scholar of the Foreign Commonwealth Office (FCO) of the United Kingdom September 2015 - August 2016 (2011/2012, 2013/2014, 2014/ 2015) September 2009 - August 2010 Research Teaching and Research Fields • Primary fields: International Macroeconomics, International Trade • Specialization: Currency Choice, Exchange Rates, Monetary Transmission, Trade Integration • Secondary fields: International Development, Regionalism, Trade Governance Papers Strategic Currency Choice in International Trade - job market paper Exchange Rates and Economic Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation Trade Re(Im)Balanced Passing on the Pass Through (joint with Natalya Volchkova(NES)) Better More than One: Portfolio Currency Pricing and Exchnage Rate Hedging CESifo WP 5574 Teaching Experience The Graduate Institute of Development and International Studies Geneva, Switzerland Teaching Assistant, Research Assistant September 2011 - August 2015 • Graduate-level Courses: International Macroeconomics, Economic Principles, Statistical Methods • Course Professors: Charles Wyplosz, Alessandro Missalle, Rahul Mukherjee • Webmaster and Assistant for the Economics Department, Centre for Finance and Development State Public School 553 High School Economics and English Language Teacher Moscow, Russian Federation September 2005 - August 2007 Other Employment Washington, DC November 2015 - now Georgetown University Law Center Research Assistant to Professor Michael Gadbaw International Monetary Fund, Strategy, Policy and Review (SPR) Division Summer Internship Programme Joint Stock Company "Moscow Design Bureau "Compass"" Head of the Economics and Planning Department Page 1 of 3 Washington DC, USA June 2014 - September 2014 Moscow, Russian Federation October 2007 - August 2011 Maria V. Sokolova Maison de la Paix • Chemin Eugene-Rigot 2 • 1202 Geneve, Suisse [email protected] • +1.202.372.7303 • www.maria-sokolova.com Conference/seminar participation Dynamics, Economic Growth and International Trade University of Geneva, September 2015 CESifo Workshop Venice Summer Institute, July 2015 Research in International Economics and Finance Orleans, June 2015 Global Economic Policy CEPR conference University of Nottingham, April 2015 Brown Bag Seminar Series The Graduate Institute of International Studies and Development, April 2015 International Monetary Fund Washington, USA, September 2014 European Trade Study Group Munich, Germany, September 2014 European Economic Association Toulouse, France, August 2014 Scottish Economic Society Annual Conference Perth, Scotland, April 2014 Ruhr School of Economics Doctoral Conference Dortmund, Germany, February 2014 Young Swiss Economists Meeting Swiss Economic Society, Bern, Switzerland, February 2014 Brown Bag Seminar Series The Graduate Institute of International Studies and Development, December 2013 References Cédric Tille Ugo Panizza Nicolas Berman Joost Pauwelyn Michele Ruta (Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva) (Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva) (Associate Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva) (Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva) (Lead Economist, World Bank) [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Other Languages: Russian (Native), English (Fluent), French (Intermediate-High), German (Intermediate-High), Japanese (Beginner) Scientific Software: Stata, Matlab, Eviews, QGIS, R, DMX Computer Literacy: Microsoft Office, HTML, Latex, Basic VBA, Adobe Photoshop, Moodle Positions of responsibility Thomas Guggenheim Foundation Geneva, Switzerland Coordinator September 2014 - June 2015 Voice of Russia Moscow, Russian Federation External Economic Consultant May 2013 - May 2014 The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies Geneva, Switzerland Macrolunch Seminars organizer, Brown Bag Seminars organizer, Class representative World Wildlife Fund Russia Member 2010 - now Additional Information Date of birth: 17 April 1986 Nationality: Russian Maria V. Sokolova Maison de la Paix • Chemin Eugene-Rigot 2 • 1202 Geneve, Suisse [email protected] • +1.202.372.7303 • www.maria-sokolova.com Job Market Paper Strategic Currency Choice How do exporters choose currency for the invoicing of their exports? I use a new highly disaggregated firm-level customs dataset on trade of Russian Federation between 2005 and 2009 and establish several new empirical facts. Firstly, firms selling to the markets where there is high Russian market share or to the markets that represent high share in total Russian exports are more likely to apply Rubles or their trading partners’ currencies. This is evidence that more intensive trade between countries leads to higher use of their respective currencies in their trade. Secondly, in a firm-level relationship, an exporter with higher bargaining power - as proxied by the market share is more likely to be choosing a vehicle currency - that is a currency that is not domestic to either the exporting or importing country. Along with other results these findings support the view that strategic determinants are central to international currency invoicing as they show that currency choice determinants are different at industry and firm level. I discuss how these results fit current models of currency choice and the extent to which these should be extended to account for these findings. Other Papers Exchange Rates and Economic Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation I show that the regional trade integration through a Regional Trade Agreement (RTA) alters the transmission of a country’s monetary policy towards its trading partners and results in a different impact on the country’s economic growth. Using data dating back to 1965 for over 100 countries, I investigate the relationship between the economic growth of a country and its price competitiveness vis-à-vis its RTA and non-RTA partners. First, I show that the increase in the growth rate through an undervaluation can be mostly attributed to the improvement through the non-RTA trading partners. I provide both theoretical and empirical evidence that the working channel is greater trade dependency between RTA members - along with the increase in trade flows, their exports become more dependent on imports from each other. Higher trade dependency leads to a lower (or negative) effect of competitive depreciation on growth, as the relative price gain on exports is partially (or fully) offset by the relative price loss on imports. Second, contrary to the conventional wisdom that developing countries grow more through an undervaluation, I find that this may not hold true depending on the composition of the trade flows vis-à-vis its RTA and non-RTA trading partners. An advanced economy may grow more through an undervaluation that is affecting the non-RTA trading partners more. This finding gives a new tool to analyse the efficacy and transmission of monetary policy in the context of the changing global trade patterns. Better More Than One: Portfolio Currency Pricing and Exchange Rate Hedging This paper examines the relationship between the composition of exporters’ currency pricing portfolio - number and value of product sales in different currencies at a destination - and their success in trade as measured by continuing to export further on. The portfolio of currencies channels the possibility of firms to hedge against the exchange rate shock. Utilizing the dataset of Russian exporters, this paper demonstrates that majority of exporters use only one currency, which is in contradiction to the idea that a firm is better by using more than one currency. This paper develops and tests theoretical model that not only indicates the diverse effect of currency pricing portfolio concentration on success in trade, but also fits the data, by introducing the "coordination costs" of using a mix of currencies. The analysis finds that having a completely diversified currency pricing portfolio as compared to using just one currency at a product-destination on average increases by 20% the odds of remaining exporting at that product-destination. Finally, this study indicates that experience of the firm makes the firms subjected less to the diverse effect of currency pricing portfolio concentration.
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