Global Market Review Authorized & Subscribed Capital LL 2,000,000,000 Fully Paid CR/68325 Central Bank Register 13 Bldg 229, Foch Str Riad El-Solh, Beirut Central District Wednesday, May 08, 2013 prepared by the Research Department For Further Info please contact GFIC’s Capital Markets Division at: +961 1 985236-7-8 or visit our website: www.gf-ic.com Global Equity Indices Index Closing DJIA Spot Rates - Major Currencies & Crosses 7-May %Change* Pair Closing %Change* 7-May Hi-Lo 11am 1.3120-073 15,056.20 1,625.96 0.58% EURUSD 1.3077 0.02% 0.52% GBPUSD 1.5484 -0.37% 1.5491-72 3,396.63 0.11% USDJPY 99.00 -0.33% 99.15-8.66 56,274.66 1.52% USDCHF 0.9403 0.22% 0.9411-377 14,180.24 3.55% AUDUSD 1.0181 -0.66% 1.0203-157 EURO Stoxx 50 2,769.08 0.67% USDCAD 1.0042 -0.25% 1.0055-42 Xetra DAX 8,181.78 0.86% NZDUSD 0.8456 -0.66% 0.8464-362 CAC 40 3,921.32 0.37% EURGBP 0.8445 0.42% 0.8472-44 FTSE 6,557.30 0.55% EURAUD 1.2840 0.74% 1.2873-36 82.25 18.19 -0.08% EURCHF 1.2296 0.23% 1.2315-295 -1.03% EURJPY 129.47 -0.31% 129.80-03 Closing 7-May %Change* -0.38% S&P 500 NASDAQ Comp BOVESPA Nikkei 225 DXY [US Dollar Index] VXX [Implied Vol. SP500] GCC - Regional Markets Beirut Stock Exchange Closing 7-May %Change* KSA [TASI] 7,182.48 -0.09% Solidere A 13.08 Dubai [DFMGI] 2,149.73 0.01% Solidere B 13.08 1.00% Abu Dhabi [ADI] 3,339.86 0.64% Bank Audi 6.68 -0.30% Kuwait [KWSE] 7,774.05 0.75% Bank of Beirut 19.00 0.00% Bahrain [BAX] 1,120.13 0.64% BLOM Bank 8.40 0.00% Muscat [MSI] Qatar [QSI] 6,191.47 8,845.65 0.06% Byblos Bank 0.00% 0.13% Holcim Liban 1.65 15.50 Index closed today Listed Shares [USD] 0.00% *% Changes are calculated from closing price before last Key Economic Data Event Currency Time [LB] Forecast Previous 8-May Impact German Industrial Production m/m EUR 13:00 -0.10% 0.50% MEDIUM Housing Starts CAD 15:15 175K 181K LOW FOMC Member Stein Speaks USD 15:30 - - MEDIUM Crude Oil Inventories USD 17:30 2.1M 6.7M MEDIUM 10-y Bond Auction USD 20:00 - 1.80\2.8 MEDIUM Treasury Sec Lew Speaks USD 21:00 - - MEDIUM Notice: Neither GFIC S.A.L nor its directors or employees accept responsibility for any decisions or losses that may arise from the use of the above data 1 of 3 Authorized & Subscribed Capital LL 2,000,000,000 Fully Paid CR/68325 Central Bank Register 13 Bldg 229, Foch Str Riad El-Solh, Beirut Central District Global Market Review Wednesday, May 08, 2013 prepared by the Research Department For Further Info please contact GFIC’s Capital Markets Division at: +961 1 985236-7-8 or visit our website: www.gf-ic.com Critical Points for Future Contracts Prev. Cls Trend Contract JUN GBP JUN CAD 7-May 15484 up 15747 9946 up 9940 JUN EUR 13088 sdwys - JUN JPY 10106 sdwys/down - JUN CHF 10643 sdwys/down - JUN AUD 10155 sdwys/down 10140 ACHD JUN USD 82335 sdwys/down 8083? JUN T-BONDS 14608 sdwys/up 15012 JUN MINI S&P JUN MINI DJ JUN MIN NASDAQ JUL COPPER JUN GOLD JUL SILVER JUN CRUDE OIL 162050 up Resistance Support Objective TRP 15546, 15600-11, 15747* 15440, 15365-48* 153.48 9952, 100+/- 9906, 9860-, 9789* 97.89 13166*, 13236, 13356* 13039, 13009, 12959- 131.66 10214*, 10310, 10350-65 10035-13, 9900 105.23 10698, 10712, 10736* 10597, 10560, 10500- 107.36 10288*, 10331, 10398* 10105-10038 103.98 8244, 8258*-82785* 8191, 81555-8148, 8083* 14629, 14716-19, 14812* 14611, 14601-14526* 145.26 1629, 1640-1649 1602-1599, 159050, 1585* 1620 ACHD 82.580 1565.25 14983 up 15400 15010?, None 14807, 14770, 14760* 146.30 294650 up 302000 295000+, 302000 290550-289725, 286450* 2812.75 32985 up 344 144880 sdwys/down 23806 sdwys/down 9562 sdwys/up 33375*-335, 344 32595-60, 324, 32235* - 1478, 149710*-1505 1440-1438, 142330* - 24345, 2455, 25415* 2337, 2310, 22535* 9637, 9655-9750 9480-76, 9422, 9280* 9750 315.85 1497.10 25.42 92.80 *TRP: Trend Reversal Point Market News Highlights 8-May ↗Asian stocks advanced for a third day, with the regional benchmark index rising to a five-year high, as China’s exports topped estimates and companies including HSBC Holdings Plc posted earnings that cheered investors. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.8 percent to 143.27 as of 3:31 p.m. in Tokyo, w ith all 10 industry groups rising. The measure increased 9.8 percent this year through yesterday amid speculation the Bank of Japan will deploy more measures to beat deflation as policy makers in the U.S. and Europe remain on standby to buoy growth. -- “Markets are being driven by heightened stimulus,” said Matthew Sherwood, Sydney-based head of investment market research at Perpetual Ltd., which manages about $25 billion. “Economic data remains in the Goldilocks range -- weak enough to warrant continued stimulus, but strong enough to keep earnings expectations positive.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 0.7 percent. The broader Topix Index rose 0.5 percent to a 4 1/2 year high. The gauge has rallied 65 percent since mi d-November, making it the world’s best-performing major stock index. ↗European stock futures were little changed, after the Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose to its highest since June 2008, as companies from ING Groe p NV to Telefonica SA posted quarterly earnings. U.S. index futures were also little changed, while Asian shares gained. ING may rise as first -quarter net income beat projections. EON SE may gain as it posted first-quarter profit that exceeded analysts’ predictions and reiterated its 2013 earnings targets. Delhaize Group SA may advance after saying its chief executive officer will step down by the end of this year. Telefonica may drop after Spain’s largest phone company reported earnings that fell short of analysts’ estimates. Futures on the Euro Stoxx 50 Index, a benchmark for the euro area, added less than 0.1 percent to 2,735 at 7:42 a.m. in London. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose yesterday to its highest level since J une 2008 amid better-than-expected corporate earnings, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 15,000 for the first time. Futures on the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index climbed 0.2 per cent. Contracts on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.1 percent, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index surged 0.9 percent. -- “A strong finish in the U.S. and a surge in Chinese trade growth is likely to keep the bulls ticking over,” Jonathan Sudaria, a trader at Capital Spreads in London, wrote in a note. “Unlike previous rallies to all -time highs, the bulls still appear a long way off from irrational exuberance. Whilst overt bullishness marked the top in 2007, the lack of it in 2013 may point towards higher prices.” ↗Emerging-market stocks rose for a fourth day, with the benchmark index erasing this year’s decline, as Chinese trade data topped estimates and techn ology shares advanced. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index added 0.4 percent to 1,056.55 at 12:20 a.m. in Hong Kong, poised for its highest close since Marc h 12. Ten-day volatility for the gauge fell to a one-month low. The gauge rose for a fourth day on optimism central banks will continue policies to revive economic growth, boosting inv estor appetite for emerging-market assets. China’s export growth unexpectedly accelerated in April even as shipments to the U.S. and Europe fell, spurring renewed skepticism of data unde r investigation by the government. Taiwan’s Taiex Index jumped 1 percent, heading for its highest close since August 2011, with volume on the gauge 29 percent above the 30 -day average for this time of the day, data compiled by Bloomberg show. ↗West Texas Intermediate crude fluctuated after the first drop in four days as industry data showed U.S. supplies climbed for a second week, countering an i ncrease in Chinese demand. Crude inventories increased 680,000 baweek, the American Petroleum Institute said yesterday. An Energy Information Administra tion report today may show stockpiles gained 2 million barrels, rising from the most in more than 82 years, according to a Bloomberg News survey. The EIA cut its forecasts for WTI and Brent crude on increasing supplies and lower global consumption. China’s crude imports advanced to a three-month high. -- “The outlook is going to remain muted for the U.S. for consumption of oil,” said David Lennox, an analyst at Fat Prophets in Sydney. “There is also U.S. domestic supply, which continues to grow.” WTI for June delivery was at $95.92 a barr el, up 30 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 2:49 p.m. Singapore time. The volume of all contracts traded was 29 percent below the 100 -day average. Futures lost 54 cents to $95.62 yesterday, the lowest close since May 3. ↗Gold swung between gains and losses as investors weighed a drop in assets in the SPDR Gold Trust to the lowest level in four years with rising physical demand in India and China, the world’s biggest buyers. Gold tumbled 13 percent this year as equities rallied and some investors lost faith in the metal as a store of value. The S&P 500 Index closed at a record for a fourth straight day yesterday, while the DJIA closed above 15,000 for the first time. Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest b ullion-backed exchange-traded product, fell 0.4 percent to 1,057.79 metric tons yesterday, the lowest level since March 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. -- “Every time we see the U.S. equity market surge, we see a commensurate Source: Bloomberg News Notice: Neither GFIC S.A.L nor its directors or employees accept responsibility for any decisions or losses that may arise from the use of the above data 2 of 3 Global Market Review Authorized & Subscribed Capital LL 2,000,000,000 Fully Paid CR/68325 Central Bank Register 13 Bldg 229, Foch Str Riad El-Solh, Beirut Central District Wednesday, May 08, 2013 prepared by the Research Department For Further Info please contact GFIC’s Capital Markets Division at: +961 1 985236-7-8 or visit our website: www.gf-ic.com Highlighted Earnings Releases Company Highlighted Dividends - Ex-Date Company Amount 8-May Payable $0.37 Wal-Mart Stores Inc [WMT] $0.470 3-Jun $0.68 $0.68 Wal-Mart Stores Inc [WMT.BA] $0.157 3-Jun CF Industries Holdings Inc [CF] $0.21 -$0.20 Bristol-Myers Squibb Co [BMY PR] $0.500 3-Jun Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp [CTSH] $0.93 $0.81 Altera Corp [ALTR] $0.100 3-Jun Monster Beverage Corp [MNST] $0.46 $0.41 Boeing Co [BAB.BR] $0.485 12-Jun -$0.27 -$0.36 Boeing Co [BA] $0.485 7-Jun 7-May ↗ 0.52% S&P 500 Bottom Performers - Last U.S. Trading Session S&P 500 INDEX 1,625.96 Company Last 0.52% Company 1,625.96 Last FOSSIL INC $107.88 9.01% FIRST SOLAR $43.47 8.85% EOG RESOURCES $135.69 7.66% CHIPOTLE MX GRL $361.09 3.45% DIRECTV $61.95 6.88% J C PENNEY CO $16.40 3.07% ABERC FITCH A $52.07 6.33% FRONTIER COMM $3.97 2.93% URBAN OUTFITTER $43.66 4.83% BAXTER INTL INC $68.58 2.46% HARLEY-DAVIDSON $57.54 4.31% GILEAD SCI $53.13 2.39% EPS est 8-May Prev Actual News Corp [NWSA] $0.36 CenturyLink Inc [CTL ] AcelRx Pharmaceuticals Inc [ACRX] S&P 500 Top Performers - Last U.S. Trading Session S&P 500 INDEX % Company News Highlights 7-May ↘ % 8-May Reuters: Standard Chartered Plc said operating profit in the first quarter declined “slightly” as wholesale banking revenue fell, pushing down shares in the U.K.’s second- largest bank by market value. Revenue grew from a year earlier as an increase in consumer banking income offset a “mid single digit” decrease in wholesale operations, the London-based company said in a statement today, without giving specific figures. The shares fell 2 percent to HK$197 at 2:14 p.m. in Hong Kong, after advancing as much as 2.4 percent before the announcement. -“Stanchart will surely grow this year, but it remains to be seen whether they can achieve their double-digit targets,” said Sandy Mehta, chief executive officer of Value Investment Principals Ltd. in Hong Kong, which doesn’t own shares in the lender. “The year is off to a slow start so some catch-up will be required.” Today’s decline in Standard Chartered shares compared with a 0.6 percent gain in Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng Index. The lender is alone among Britain’s five biggest banks in not disclosing detailed quarterly earnings. Reuters: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., China's largest e-commerce company, had profit that doubled in the three months ended in December after commissions likely increased on surging sales. -- “The majority of growth is likely to come from commissions,” Victor Yip, an analyst at UOB-Kay Hian Ltd. in Hong Kong, said by phone today. “Transaction volumes were up.” Jack Ma, Alibaba’s billionaire executive chairman, said last year the company may go public within five years. While Alibaba has said it has no timetable for an initial public offering, analysts are anticipating an IPO this year or next. The valuation could reach $62.5 billion, according to the median of eight estimates by investment banks and research firms since February, based on data compiled by Bloomberg. -- “Their strong growth is good news before the listing,” Yip said. Reuters: Deutsche Telekom AG, Germany’s largest phone company, reported first-quarter profit before some items that beat analysts’ estimates after slowing a decline in mobile revenue at home and halting an exodus of U.S. customers. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization adjusted for some items fell 4.3 percent to 4.29 billion euros ($5.6 billion), compared with the 4.24 billion- euro average estimate among analysts compiled by Bloomberg. In the U.S., wireless customers, including pay-as-you-go users, rose for the first time in 15 quarters, the Bonn-based company said today. Deutsche Telekom completed a deal to merge its T-Mobile US unit with MetroPCS Communications Inc. last week, freeing management capacity to focus on reviving its business in Europe. Rivals in Germany, including Royal KPN NV’s E-Plus unit and Telefonica Deutschland Holding AG posted a drop in average revenue per wireless customer for the quarter as carriers vied for clients by offering cheaper voice and data packages. -- “After the numbers we have seen we were expecting revenue to be fairly light,” said Paul Marsch, a London-based analyst at Berenberg Bank who recommends investors hold shares of the company. “Deutsche Telekom seems to have fared better than its peers in Germany.” Notice: Neither GFIC S.A.L nor its directors or employees accept responsibility for any decisions or losses that may arise from the use of the above data 3 of 3
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