A Land ‘of Milk and Butter’: The Long Run Determinants of the Rise of Cooperative Dairying in Denmark1 Peter Sandholt Jensen, University of Southern Denmark Markus Lampe, Universidad Carlos III Madrid Paul Sharp, University of Southern Denmark Christian Skovsgaard, University of Southern Denmark FIRST DRAFT 4 JANUARY 2016. PLEASE DO NOT CITE WITHOUT CONSULTING THE AUTHORS FIRST. Abstract: How and why did cooperative creameries come to dominate agriculture so rapidly in Denmark after 1882? We explain this through the long-run persistence of the spread of an earlier agricultural system with proto-modern dairying from the Duchies of Schleswig and Holstein to traditional landed estates more than a century earlier. The location of cooperative creameries in 1890 is closely associated with the location of these so-called hollænderier, after controlling for other relevant determinants of cooperation. Supported by contemporary sources, we interpret this as evidence for a gradual spread of ideas from the estates to the peasantry. Keywords: Cooperatives, dairying, Denmark, institutions, Schleswig-Holstein, technology JEL codes: N53, O13, Q13 1 We would like to thank Dorte Kook Lyngholm from the Danish Center for Estate Research for sending us some of the data on the estates. Moreover, we would like to thank Ingrid Henriksen, Carl-Johan Dalgaard and participants at conferences and seminars for helpful suggestions. Markus Lampe thanks Fundación Ramón Areces for funding. 1 1. Introduction There is a substantial literature in economics on the spread of technology, institutions and ideas across space and time, and the influence this has on economic development both across and within countries. Here we focus on a specific example centered on the Kingdom of Denmark, and the emergence of a modern dairy industry based on a new technology, the automatic cream separator, and an institution, the cooperative creamery, which it is commonly agreed propelled the country towards prosperity in the last decades of the nineteenth century. 2 Map 1: Location of Cooperative Creameries in 1890 Source: Bjørn 1988. After the foundation of the first cooperative creamery in 1882, within a decade the whole country was covered, as shown in Map 1. This motivates the present work: what allowed this 2 See for example Henriksen (1993) and Henriksen et al (2011). 2 institution to spread so rapidly within the space of a few years? Usually this is seen as a turning point in Danish history. We argue that it was rather the end result of a long period of agricultural enlightenment, as a modern scientific form of agriculture spread into and throughout the country (see Christensen 1996, and also Mokyr 2009, chap. 9). We demonstrate this by showing that the pattern of adoption in Denmark follows the introduction of protomodern dairies on estate farms more than a century earlier. We consider specifically the persistent impact of the introduction of a modern, scientific approach to agriculture in Denmark. Here we must distinguish between the Kingdom of Denmark (which more or less follows the modern borders of Denmark), and the Duchies of Schleswig and Holstein, which were largely German-speaking areas under the Danish king.3 Early on in the Duchies a system developed on the large manorial estates known as Koppelwirtschaft in German, or kobbelbrug in Danish. It became the dominant field system in the Duchies in the 1700s, and consisted of a new layout and usage of the fields through crop rotation, but since it comprised a large amount of land left aside for pasture, it also soon came to be associated with dairying. The unprecedentedly large herds of milch cows these estates kept, commonly running into the hundreds, allowed for economies of scale and the invention of an innovative new system of butter production, the hollænderi. These innovations came relatively late to Denmark, but when they did they gradually transformed Danish agriculture, and then the country as a whole. We argue that they set Denmark on a path which was to lead to the successful and rapid introduction of the Danish cooperative creameries from 1882, which is generally taken to mark the origins of her economic rise. Our research contributes to a number of fields: In the first place, we explain the rise of dairy cooperatives in Denmark. These are the paradigmatic case for success of cooperation in development and also one of the most salient cases of organization of agricultural producers of a specific good, i.e. milk, to be converted into butter. Second, we give prominence to the spread of a new production technology/regime among elite producers, hollænderier (estate dairies) in the eighteenth century, which helped to prepare the ground, via trickle-down effects, 3 Both were lost to Prussia during the war of 1864, although the northernmost part of the Duchy of Schleswig was given to Denmark following a plebiscite after the First World War. 3 for the rapid spread of commoner farmer cooperatives and automatic cream separators one hundred years later. By this, our third contribution becomes salient: the evaluation of the role of agricultural elites and their estates (latifundia) for economic development and the choice of productive specialization in general. Regarding the first point, the existing literature (basically Henriksen 1999, inspired by Ó Gráda 1977) has attributed the rapid diffusion of the cooperative dairy movement in Denmark mostly to pre-existing cow densities. In other country-commodity specific studies, scale of production prior to the introduction of cooperatives has also been highlighted (Garrido 2014 on the – rather unsuccessful – orange-grower cooperatives in Valencia, Spain), apart from other product-specific factors and access to transport networks. Recent internationally comparative studies (Fernández 2014) have highlighted the importance of social capital (or trust) proxied by a variety of variables, especially low land inequality and (protestant) religion. While religion and social fractionalization have proven to be important in other countries, this arguably could not have been the driver in the context of Denmark given the extremely homogenous population. We do, however, control for the presence of estates at the parish level, to disentangle the specialization and technology effect of estate-dairies from the potential political and social consequences of the presence of estates – although the progressive Danish constitution of 1849 should have mitigated the effect of any prior coercion (Henriksen 1999, p. 60). Turning to the second point, we highlight that the pre-existence of specialized estate dairies in and from the 1780s had a causal effect on the rapid adoption of the cooperative form using cream separators to produce butter one hundred years later. We show in a narrative account how the specific organizational and technological innovation of estate dairy production came to Denmark in the 1760s and quickly increased in importance, although this adoption was unequal across the country, and led to an uneven spread of emulation by common farmers in the following decades, a common pattern for the diffusion of innovations in early modern societies, as highlighted by Mokyr (2009) for the British ‘agricultural enlightenment’ 4 . The main 4 Mokyr (2009, p. 187) portrays one of the most famous practitioners of agricultural improvement in Norfolk around the turn from the eighteenth to the nineteenth century, Thomas Coke of Holkham, as a firm believer in the spread of innovation by direct observation of what works. However, the consequence of this under the 4 alternative use of the same resources, cattle-fattening, within the production system of Koppelwirtschaft, was still discussed and seen as viable in the run-up to the spread of dairy cooperatives. We hence rely on the pattern of diffusion of Koppelwirtschaft with dairy units from the original place of introduction to estimate its causal effect on the establishment of cooperatives at the parish level, following path-breaking studies on the spread of ideas such as Dittmar (2011) on the diffusion of the printing press and Becker and Woessmann (2009) and Akçomak et al. (2013) on the spread of religious practices that favor literacy. In relating to this, the present paper is closely connected to recent studies that show the long-run impact of the adoption of agriculture (Olsson and Hibbs 2005; Putterman 2008; Comin et al 2010, Cook 2014a) and major productivity improving implements like the (heavy mouldboard) plough (Andersen et al 2013). While our research is concerned with the diffusion of ideas, technology and specialization that facilitated the establishment of cooperatives, and not directly with the effects of cooperatives themselves, it still complements the emerging literature on the effects of new crops on productivity, population and economic growth, and political stability (Nunn and Qian 2011, Cook 2014a, Cook 2014b, Dall et al 2014, Chen and Kung 2012, Jia 2014, Bustos et al 2014). Finally, previous studies have highlighted conflicting views on the role of large landowners in economic development (see Lankina and Getachew 2013 for an overview). On the one hand, the concentration of agricultural resources in the hands of large landowners and accompanying high levels of land inequality are often seen as facilitators of political instability, underinvestment in human capital, and public goods in general (Engerman and Sokoloff 2002, Banerjee and Iyer 2005, Cinnirella and Hornung 2013, Baten and Juif 2014, Galor, Moav and Vollrath 2009), and as limiting the scope for agricultural cooperation both through lower social capital (Fernández 2014) and through direct crowding-out (Henriksen 1999). On the other hand, in contexts in which property rights are poorly defined, large landowners can ‘shelter’ dependent peasants from extractive state institutions (Dell 2010) and effectively lobby for circumstances of contemporaneous communication and transport systems was that ‘his improvements travelled at the rate of a mile per year’ from his model Park Farm (Coke of Holkham, cited in Mokyr (2009, p. 192). Hence, ‘Progress was slow, local and uneven’, even in Britain by 1850, and large differences in technology could be observed ‘even in close proximity’. 5 better provision of collective goods and infrastructure than politically weak peasant communities (Dell 2010, Dell 2012). In Denmark, during the nineteenth century, the property rights of peasant farmers became increasingly more secure through enclosure and formation of inheritable property. Hence we do not believe – and find no evidence – that estates per se should have had a necessary facilitating function for the establishment of cooperatives. On the other hand, while large landowners in Denmark might have been interested in blocking education and other rights for peasants between the 1780s and the 1880s, as evidenced by the short-lived second serfdom in the late eighteenth century, effectively, the centralization and professionalization of government and the Constitution of 1849 reduced the scope for such action. However, since long-term effects of elite blockage might have persistent outcomes, we do control for the share of a parish under the direct control of estates (demesnes) and find that the relationship is not clear, and that it does not impact on the coefficient of interest. The following section describes Koppelwirtschaft and hollænderi as they emerged in SchleswigHolstein, and Section 3 considers their spread into and throughout Denmark. Section 4 provides an empirical analysis of the impact of this spread for the emergence of the cooperatives more than a century later. Section 5 concludes. 2. Koppelwirtschaft and hollænderier Koppelwirtschaft was a ‘collective invention’ by estate owners and their administrators in sixteenth-century Schleswig and Holstein, the German part of the Danish monarchy, in order to overcome the fundamental problem of intensified organic agriculture, i.e. how to sustain production and yields in the long run by obtaining sufficient fertilizer from animal husbandry. It consisted of changing the traditional three-field rotation with outlying pasture areas into an eleven-field rotation, thus alternating the use of individual fields between pasture and grain cultivation over eleven years.5 This was important both for sustaining grain yields and to obtain 5 Nevertheless, this system, even with improvements, meant that the large proportion of the fields left as fallow (between 1/7 and 1/11) did not give a return. Thus Albrecht D. Thaer in Germany promoted New Husbandry (in Danish vekselbrug or vekseldrift) based on English-Flemmish practices (see e.g. Thaer, 1801-1804). The main 6 sufficient fodder for the animals, normally in the form of summer pasture and winter hay – all this at the same time as production surpluses were exported from rural areas in order to sustain growing urban populations.6 In modern times, this problem arose first in the coastal provinces of the Netherlands and modern-day Belgium, and it was from here that approaches were diffused and adapted to local conditions in other places, such as ‘convertible husbandry’ in England (Mokyr 2009, p. 173). The basic solution, also in Holstein, consisted in reducing extensively the use of outlying grazing areas (pastures) and converting them into part of the crop rotation by changing the traditional design of fields and the crop rotation itself. Although not part of the original system, clover was gradually introduced into the crop rotation system, since the many grain crops had a tendency to impoverish the earth, weakening the animals who grazed on it, and thus also the fertilizing system. Koppelwirtschaft was introduced on large manors because they were the most commercially oriented agricultural units, the most likely to be able to sustain capital investments and labor efforts (via corvée or hired labor), and also the ones with the largest freedom to act under the institutional framework of the time. It should be highlighted that everywhere Koppelwirtschaft was introduced, it was mainly used by estates in their directly controlled production on the demesne. Many of these, managed by relatively professional staff, exhibited a much higher market orientation than the average farmer (Porskrog Rasmussen 2010, p. 182), and required more complex decision making and control tools, both for arable farming and animal husbandry. Hence, they were also at the forefront of other innovations such as the detailed accounts kept on farms and big dairies, which allowed for the rationalization of decisionmaking, especially in the more non-traditional economic activities like dairying (see Lampe and changes were the introduction of more clover and other legumes, and oil plants to replenish the soil; the use of the fallow to grow ‘fallow fruits’ – potatoes, linen, root vegetables, etc.; and the introduction of summer stable feeding for cattle, which meant less land was needed for grazing, and a more efficient use of the manure. Despite enthusiastic promotion of this in Denmark in the early 1800s, it did not become widely adopted because it appears it was unsuitable for Danish conditions, except for the most fertile areas. The same was true for Schleswig and Holstein, where Thaer himself was informed by a leading practitioner that barn feeding in summer led to quality risks for milk and butter production for large herds, and resulting reputational risk (Thaer 1799, pp. 197-203; see also Rixen 1800, pp. 362-4). 6 In this period, only farms located very close to larger cities might obtain external fertilizers, such as night soil or other (largely organic) waste. An alternative, to grow fodder crops (like clover or turnips, etc.) on the fallow, was not practiced in this early period, in part because there were legal rights by several parties for grazing on the fallow and on cultivated lands after the harvest (see Schröder-Lembke 1978, p. 64, and 111-120). 7 Sharp 2015). With these advances on the estates, a gap in quality between estate-produced and peasant producers in terms of grain yields and, for example, butter quality started to be noted (Bjørn 1988, p. 159; see also Lampe and Sharp 2014a). The system invented in Schleswig-Holstein prioritized the quality of pastures over agricultural land, since that region, with its soils particularly suited for fertile grasslands, in the sixteenthcentury had focused on oxen fattening and horse breeding, and during the seventeenth and eighteenth century, partly under the influence of specialized immigrants from the Netherlands, developed a strong dairy sector. This focus on dairying in the Duchies began already in the latter half of the seventeenth century (Porskrog Rasmussen 2003, p. 447) and seems largely to have been promoted by changes in the relative prices of grain and oxen versus dairy products (Porskrog Rasmussen 2010, p. 180). Since the original innovators were immigrants from Holland, the tenants involved in dairying became known as hollænder (and their dairies hollænderier), even if they were not of Dutch descent. 7 The tenancy/lease agreements/contracts were awarded in auctions and based on fixed rents per cow of up to 10 to 12 rigsdaler/reichsthaler per milk cow (Schröder-Lembke 1978, p. 63).8 In fact, these leases seem to have been one reason the dairies were so productive, since they entailed that the business of the dairy was leased from the estate owner to a specialist dairyman with a well-specified contract9. Drejer (1925-33, p. 181-2) gives a full description of their typical contents.10 In general they specified the hollænder’s legal situation, and how he should run his business. He was usually provided with specially adapted dairy rooms, stables, etc., but he had the responsibility to look after them. Likewise, he was provided with good and well-fed milch cows and bulls, for which the tenant was responsible and must not sell, slaughter or rent out, although he must replace them if something happened (for example if they got injured or they no longer provided good milk). Finally, he was given a long list of implements he needed. In terms of running the business, he was told where and how to feed the cattle, and 7 Bieleman (1996) gives an account of the sophisticated dairy sector in the Lower Countries during the Dutch ‘Golden Age’. 8 Iversen (1992, p. 79-83) gives information on how these charges varied across time and space in the Duchies. 9 See Henriksen et al (2012) for a description of the later importance of contracts for Danish cooperative dairying. 10 A very similar description is given by Iversen (1992, pp. 76-77) of two contracts from northern Schleswig. 8 where to milk them. During the winter, he was told what he was provided, what he could take for himself (typically hay from the fields), and how much grain would be provided for the household. He himself was responsible for providing firewood, wood for tools, etc. Lastly, he was usually told to be careful with fire, candles, tobacco pipes, etc., not to keep loose dogs, and that fishing and hunting were not permitted on the estate. Although these contracts are valuable as a source of information about what the tenant should have been doing (seen from the estate owner’s side), Porskrog Rasmussen (1987, pp. 63-65) warns that they are by their very nature normative, and they of course do not tell us whether or not these conditions were met, or indeed whether they were (economically) favorable for the tenant.11 Many estates came to have very large herds of cows, even by the standards of the late twentieth century. By 1715, of 46 manors in Schleswig, there were 91 dairy units with a total of 11,696 cows, much larger than those in Holland from which the system was imported (Porskrog Rasmussen 2010, pp. 181-2). The professionalized dairy units were superior and innovative compared to traditional methods in many ways, in particular through (following Bjørn 1988, pp. 158-9): 1) Practical, often independent, rooms (the ‘Hollænderi’), where there was a reasonably constant temperature throughout the year; 2) Practical tools, which were easy to clean; 3) A very strong focus on hygiene; 4) Cows were milked at particular times, and milked dry (thus ensuring that the last drops of cream-rich milk were collected); 5) Control of the temperature of the cream, so that it could be skimmed and churned at the optimal time; and finally 6) Carefulness at all times from milking to packaging. The estates also continued to innovate outside the dairy itself, for example by providing strong feeding with hay and grain through the winter, so that cows could be productive as soon as they went onto grass (Hansen 1994, p. 59). Before the Holstein system, combining Koppelwirtschaft and hollænderier, spread to Denmark, it arrived at the beginning of the eighteenth century, via estate owner Joachim Friedrich von der Lühe to the Panzow estate in neighboring Mecklenburg, where soils were not so favorable to grass and productive specialization focused on grains. He nevertheless also introduced a 11 For a discussion of incentive problems in these relationships and alternative arrangements see von Treskow (1810). 9 relatively large herd of cattle, constructed a dairy unit and leased it to a specialized dairyman (Schröder-Lembke 1978, p. 65-67). 3. The spread of the Holstein system to and throughout Denmark In the Kingdom of Denmark itself, from the Middle Ages until the seventeenth century, estates as well as peasant farms typically only had as many cows as they needed to feed the household, and more sophisticated dairy products were imported from Holland (Appel and Bredkjær 192433, pp. 279-80). This began to change from the second half of the eighteenth century as herds increased, and the word hollænderi entered the language (Drejer 1925-33, p. 138). However, although we can find some examples of hollænderi in the seventeenth century (see for example Drejer 1925-33, pp. 140-143; Skrubbeltrang 1978, p. 120), some of which had large herds, and which were sometimes run by Dutch12, it was not until the late eighteenth century that dairying in Denmark was revolutionized following the Holstein model. Actually, for the latter half of the 1700s, authors often highlight the low proportion of cows (and bulls) relative to horses in the use of pasture in Denmark. Hertel (1920, 149-51) for example, estimates the cattle to horse ratio at only 1.4:1 in the 1770s13, much less than the 4:1 in 1914. An important prerequisite to this was the redistribution of land throughout the eighteenth century. Denmark in the 1600s consisted of a large number of Crown Estates, under the direct administration of the monarch, smaller estates owned by the nobility, as well as many medium sized farms or bondegård, which were the result of the fall in population after 1340 (Porskrog Rasmussen 2003, p. 8). The 1600s then saw some advances in agriculture, in particular in terms of improvement of pastureland, for example through drainage, and a better understanding of the way in which to use manure. Much of this came under the guidance of entrepreneurial aristocrats, for example Christian Rantzau, owner of the Demstrup estate from 1627-1663, who 12 It has been suggested that the fall and stagnation in the price of grain from the mid-1600s might have given an incentive to move into dairying (Frandsen 2005, p. 146). 13 When however cattle pests had done much to reduce cattle stocks. 10 used his serfs to improve his land and possibly to introduce Koppelwirtschaft (Frandsen 2005, pp. 46-47). From the 1600s and into the 1700s, the bad finances of the crown, largely as a result of continuous wars against Sweden until the latter’s final defeat in 1721, meant that the King was forced to sell off more and more of his estate, until by the 1740s almost all the crown estates were privatized. Many of these were purchased by buyers with little knowledge of agriculture (Frandsen 2005, p. 58 and pp. 74-76), and a debate ensued about how to take advantage of this situation to introduce reforms and a general modernization of agriculture (Jensen 1998, p. 37-8; Feldbæk 1988, p. 19). The introduction of Koppelwirtschaft was to be the result of this debate, although most saw it simply as a means to increase grain yields. This is best illustrated by a famous quote by Adam Gottlob Moltke, effectively prime minister from 1746 to 1766 and generally credited with introducing Koppelwirtschaft into Denmark (Jensen 1998, p. 92), from a plan devised in 1746 for King Frederik V: ‘Agriculture in these lands seems to be still very backward. I keep myself assured that, if the soil here would be worked as is custom in other countries, especially in Holstein, the land could yield twice as much as it has produced hitherto.’14 In the context of his ascent to Lord Chamberlain for Frederik V in 1746, Moltke also received the large estate of Bregentved in Southern Zealand, and up to 1751 bought four more nearby estates: Turebyholm, Juellinge, Tryggevælden and Aslev (Porskrog Rasmussen 2010b, p. 11).15 Moltke, who was born in Mecklenburg, came to own the estate of Niendorf near Lübeck in 1759, on which Koppelwirtschaft was firmly established, under fortuitous circumstances, and sold it two years later with a large profit (Porskrog Rasmussen 2010b, p. 19-21). Moltke took the former leaseholder of Niendorf, Johann Matthias Völckers, to his estates on Zealand to become his administrator and agricultural reorganizer there. He started on the newly 14 From ‘Grev Adam Moltkes Plan for Frederik den Femtens Regering’, quoted (with Danish translation) from Porskorg Rasmussen (2010b), p. 9 and note 1. 15 During the next decades, Moltke would own estates in all parts of Denmark as well as in Schleswig and Holstein and become the largest landowner in the Monarchy (see the map in Porskrog Rasmussen 2010b, p. 14). His cultivation reforms in Denmark were centered mostly on the aforementioned estates on Zealand and the ones he bought between 1763-5 on Fyn (Glostrup with Anhof, and Rygård). 11 established farm of Stenkelstrup (later named Sofiendal after Moltke’s second wife Sophie Hedevig Raben) where Völckers until 1766 established an exact copy of Holstein Koppelwirtschaft with the layout of the eleven fields, the original crop rotation and a hollænderi. Under the supervision of Völckers, who in many cases also acted as leaseholder of the reformed estates, Alslev, Turebyholm and the Bregentved main estate were also reorganized up to 1767, with Juellinge following in the early 1770s. Most of Moltke’s reorganized estates were then, as before, leased in auctions to interested leaseholders (see also Jensen 1998, p. 49-51). In reports he wrote for the king in the 1780s to highlight his role as a reformer, Moltke claimed that the value of his lease contracts in 1787 had increased by more than 200 percent since the introduction of Koppelwirtschaft in comparison to the 1740s. Porskrog Rasmussen (2010b, p. 26-7) has remarked that although this increase should be qualified since cattle plagues had decreased the value of estates in the late 1740s, it was still far beyond the increase in prices16 over the same period (about 30-40 percent). For the estate of Turebyholm he quotes increases in the leasing fee from 2700 rigsdaler before 1767 to 5000 in 1792, the year of Moltke’s death. The number of cows had also increased on Moltke’s estates, although only by eighteen percent, from 670 to 790. Thus, Moltke’s reorganization certainly increased the capitalized value of his estates. The restructuring of the estates involved substantial expenses on improvements and infrastructure, as well as lots of hard work, which again fell largely on the unfortunate serfs, and it is surely no coincidence that serfdom was gradually extended throughout the eighteenth century until its final abolition in 1800 (Olsen 1957, p. 148). However, increasing prices of agricultural goods from the 1760s meant that there was an incentive to do this. Moreover, as time progressed, a new model for the estates emerged where the peasants had partial or full rights to own their farms, and estate owners hired their labor. This became attractive for estate owners, since real wages were falling. Then, as land prices increased, estates became sought- 16 The official prices, ‘kapitelstakster’. 12 after investment objects. Their owners took advantage of this by selling off their tenant farms, and even by parceling out their demesnes in some cases (Frandsen 2005, pp. 74-76). Moltke was imitated by his neighbors. For example, the Løvenborg estate of Severin Løvenskjold was reorganized in 1767 with Völckers as expert, and the Gisselfeld estate, adjacent to Bregentved and owned by Frederik Christian Danneskiold-Samsøe, in 1768 (Porskorg Rasmussen 2010b, 27; Jensen 1998, 52). In 1769 the estate of the Vemmetofte Jomfruekloster was reorganized, with Völckers as consultant to its administrator, Christian Friedrich Westerholdt (Lindvald 1905-08, p. 250; Prange 1971, p. 552). Gradually Moltke’s example was followed in other parts of Denmark.17 Thus, by 1800 most demesnes were using Koppelwirtschaft, and it was accepted as the ideal. Peasant agriculture on the other hand largely still used the medieval three-field system (Falbe Hansen 1889, p. 10; Bjørn 1988, p. 35, Frandsen 2005, p. 90). There was some regional variation, however. The islands of Denmark were seeing an expanding dairy industry, mainly concerned with supplying Copenhagen, of these, those on Funen were considered superior (Skrubbeltrang 1978, p. 242, 401). Some of the estates were reaching Holstein proportions, for example Antvorskov, where they had 300 milch cows.18 Jutland, on the other hand, was still focused on supplying cattle and horses for export to Germany19 (Drejer 1962, pp. 20-21, Appel 1924-32, p. 293). Here the proportion of estates with hollænderier was just 11 percent in 1782. The state of Danish agriculture around 1800 is summed up in a series of books by Begtrup (1803, 1806, 1808I, 1808II). He also noted the favorable state of dairying on the island of Funen, where even peasants, who had more cows and received better prices than elsewhere, favored dairy production mostly to supply the Copenhagen market. The quality of the cattle was good, 17 In the late 1760s, he and Völckers also developed a version of Koppelwirtschaft for the villages dependent on his estates which respected traditional common land rights (fællesskab) without the comprehensive institutional reforms that would come with enclosures later in the century (Porskorg Rasmussen 2010b, 30-35). It did, however, not spread as fast and widely as its estate demesne counterpart. 18 Almost exactly the number which Bærner in 1770 had estimated based on the milk cattle carrying capacity of Antvorskov demesne of about 888 Tdr. Land in an 11-field rotation (Lindvald 1905-08, p. 275). 19 One exception was Thy, which was famous for its cows and its giant Thybo cheeses, which were exported to England (Drejer 1962, p. 20). 13 both for the estates and peasants, and red was the favored color 20. He was, however, particularly impressed by the estate production, where he describes how the dairies seemed to have been built ‘for a higher purpose’ (Begtrup 1806, pp. 96-98). On Zealand he seems to have been much more taken with the estate production than that of peasants, and notes that they had attempted to imitate the Holstein system with herds of up to 500 cows (Begtrup 1803, pp. 404-8). Jutland was the most backward region due to the historical importance of the trade in live cattle, but even there it had become less important and half the estates had introduced dairying (Begtrup (1808I, p. XXVII-III). The largest dairy farms were in Borglum and Breilev Kloster, the second of which was owned by a Holsteiner (Begtrup 1808II, p. 499). The true decline in meat cattle relative to dairy cattle only came about during the first third of the nineteenth century however (Appel and Bredkjær 1924-33, p. 284). By the 1820s, many leading farmers in Denmark were from Holstein (Bjørn 1988, p. 24), one of the most famous examples being the Valentiner family. Heinrich Christian Valentiner purchased the Gjeddesdal estate in Greve, close to Copenhagen in 1822. The estate was in a bad state and making losses, but he introduced the system he knew from home. It has been suggested that he emigrated because farms in Zealand, being less advanced than those of Holstein, were cheaper (Andresen 1992, pp. 1-4). Although the estate began by exporting salted meat to England and France in the 1820s, H.C. Valentiner soon began to replace steers with cows, and opened a dairy in 1831, so that when his son Adolph took over in the same year, the estate only kept cows (Andresen 1992, pp. 5-7). Adolph Valentiner proved a great innovator and contributor to dairy science, publishing the first of many articles in the Danish agricultural journal Tidsskrift for Landøkonomi in 1837, in which he amongst other things highlighted the primacy of profit motives, and published his accounts (Andresen 1992, pp. 7-8). The success of Gjeddesdal from 1853 made it an attractive place for young farmers to visit and learn their trade, and it was the site of numerous experiments by the Royal Danish Agricultural Society, the members of which were estate owners, from the 1860s (Andresen 1992, pp. 8-10), and continued to play an important innovative role under Adolph’s son, Heinrich Nicolai Valentiner, in 1868. 20 In fact it was not before 1878 that the Danish Red milk cow, which was to dominate Danish agriculture for decades, was officially designated. 14 Between 1837 and 1875, when this role passed to the agricultural colleges, the Royal Danish Agricultural Society organized apprenticeships on its members’ estates, including Gjeddesdal. At its height, around 300 were placed, thus again demonstrating the importance of the estates for spreading modern dairying across the country (Hertel 1920, p. 358). Another energetic promoter of dairying was another Holsteiner, Edward Tesdorpf, who took over Orupgaard on the island of Falster in 1839. He bought in angler cattle from eastern Schleswig in 1841, and his whole herd changed in 1845 (Bjørn 1988, pp. 152-3). Although he promoted many valuable innovations, his importance for the spread of the Holstein system has certainly been overemphasized by writers such as Hertel (1920, p. 274) who, in a history of the Royal Danish Agricultural Society, of which Tesdorpf was a president from 1860-88, goes so far as to date the birth of modern dairying to his move to Denmark. In fact, by the 1840s the transformation of Denmark was already well underway. The famous German travel writer, Johann Georg Kohl, observed that the Holstein System had spread throughout the country, even to Northern Jutland, where he noted that many farms had already switched from oxen-raising to dairying. He was impressed by the scientific nature of this progress, and noted that important articles on dairying from the Duchies were reprinted all over Denmark. In conclusion he stated his belief that Denmark would eventually converge on the Duchies, and that they would finally integrate completely with the Kingdom to become a land ‘not of milk and honey, but of milk and butter’ (Kohl 1846, pp. 58-60). Other foreigners, even from the UK, marveled at the scale of the operations, such as the British writer, Samuel Laing, who wondered at the ‘regularity, arrangement, cleanliness and the vast scale of all the operations [which] give the impression rather of a great manufactory of butter and cheese than of a farm’ (Laing 1852, p. 124). Between 1826 and 1844 the Royal Danish Agricultural Society commissioned a series of reports on the state of agriculture across the country. These amtsbeskrivelser (county descriptions) were to answer 29 set questions, including some specifically about animal husbandry, including one which asked whether dairying or steer fattening gave the best return. Since different locations were described at different points in time, these provide a valuable source for 15 understanding the spread of modern dairying across the country. The earliest reports are somewhat colored by the agricultural crisis which ensued following the Napoleonic Wars until around 1830. These five early reports focus exclusively on counties in Jutland, and reflect the concerns of farmers about the decline in the trade in live cattle. Dairying is little mentioned, except in the case of Aarhus County in the mid-east of the peninsular. Three reports were published in the early 1830s, one from the island of Zealand, emphasizing that dairying was a dominant activity, and two from north and central Jutland, which reveal that the estates were mostly fattening steers for export. Between 1837 and 1840, six more reports were published. The reports for the islands of Funen and Zealand describe estate production as being heavily dominated by dairying, with lively local discussions about dairy science. In Præstø County, in the south of the island of Zealand close to where Moltke first introduced the Holstein system in 1766, it is also stated that good dairy practices were even spreading to the peasantry. Viborg County in mid-West Jutland is described as undergoing a transformation: dairies had been rare, but this was changing. Between 1842 and 1844 the final five reports were published. These cover all parts of the country, and give an interesting snapshot of the extent to which modern dairying had spread. Furthest to the north and west of Jutland in Thisted County mostly steers were kept. South and east of that in the center of Jutland in Skanderborg County, steer production is described as being in freefall, with most estates having moved to dairying. Odense County on Funen and Holbæk County in the north and west of Zealand was dominated by dairying, but peasant dairying was very poor. Finally, Maribo County, covering the islands of Lolland and Falster to the south of Zealand, again neighboring the area where the Holstein system was first introduced, and where Tesdorpf had his estates, was also dominated by dairying, but important inroads had been made into peasant production, where some peasants had introduced clean dairy parlors, comparable in quality to the estates. From the 1850s, Danish agriculture began to go through a radical reorientation towards the export trade, especially to Britain (Lampe and Sharp 2014b). The almost complete abandonment of cattle fattening in favor of dairying was however not a foregone conclusion for 16 the whole country even shortly before the first cooperative, as witnessed by two articles in Tidsskrift for Landøkonomi by R.B.J. Buus (1866) and R. Fenger (1873), discussing the relative merits of meat production versus dairying. Just prior to the emergence of the cooperatives, so-called community creameries, allowing for the centralized production of butter produced using milk from local peasants, were promoted in the 1860s by merchants and the agricultural societies in order to increase the availability of quality butter for export (McLaughlin and Sharp 2015). The coops themselves required the invention of the automatic cream separator in the late 1870s before they were viable, since peasant producers owned just a few cows, and their milk production could not easily be transported to a central production facility21. This was not a limitation for separation using centrifugal force. Thus the cream separator finally allowed peasants to enjoy the benefits of the hollænderier more than a century after they were introduced to Denmark. The cooperatives did not enjoy an easy start, however. The first cooperative creameries in southwestern Jutland were met by great skepticism by the agricultural establishment, and the chairman of the dairy committee of the United Jutland Agricultural Associations (and member of the board of the Royal Agricultural Society of Denmark) commissioned M.C. Petersen, from the agricultural college Ladelundgård, to travel around eighteen of them in order to demonstrate their inferiority compared to the privately-owned community creameries which he had previously reported on (Petersen 1885; Henriksen 1999). Although his report reached the opposite conclusion to that which its commissioners had hoped for, there can be little doubt that the estates themselves were not promoting the cooperative form as such. In the next section, we nevertheless demonstrate empirically that they had a trickle-down effect on the peasantry, consistent with the historical narrative above. As for the Duchies, where our story began, they became part of the protected German market, where they did not have to compete with the world and did not develop as fast, although in many respects they seem to have developed in parallel with Denmark. Innovations came largely 21 Transportation would homogenize the milk, making the traditional method of extracting the cream, i.e. waiting for it to rise to the surface, extremely slow 17 from or via Denmark – dairy consultants were hired from there, and the first cooperative creamery was founded in 1884, just two years after the first opened just north of the post-1864 border (see Hansen 1994 for a full account). 4. Persistency and the spread of the cooperatives We begin by demonstrating that the early distribution of cooperative creameries in Denmark was heavily influenced by the historical legacy of the hollænderier. We first make use of a list of all estates in 1770 taken from Roholt (2012)22, combined with a list of the estates with a hollænderi in 1782 from Andersen (1963). In our initial specification, we simply regress the distance of each parish from a cooperative on the distance to the nearest hollænderi controlling for a number of confounders. Table 1 gives some summary statistics for the variables used below. Table 1: Summary statistics and description of variables used Mean Std. Dev. Min Description Variable Obs Distance coop 1890 1620 1.045357 0.811199 -2.89936 3.582494 Log distance from parish centroid to the nearest coop in 1890 Distance coop 1914 1620 0.570055 0.779722 -3.80688 3.096756 Log distance from parish centroid to the nearest coop in 1914 Cow density 1837 1620 9.893263 4.77437 2 41.09589 Number of cows in 1837 per 100 km agricultural land in 1820 0 Distance Hollænderi 1620 2.135581 1.014091 -1.55767 Max 5.164097 Log distance from parish centroid to the nearest Hollænderi in 1782 Distance Sofiendal 1620 4.75234 .8205871 .7513635 5.659065 Log distance from parish centroid to the estate Sofiendal Distance coast 1620 1.58515 1.099965 -5.24951 Barley suitability 1620 56.97877 20.21157 0 Pop. density 1787 1620 22.1764 Market town 1620 0.012346 0.110457 0 3.797533 Log distance from parish centroid to the nearest coast Average barley suitability from GAEZ, FAO (2002) 92.5 18.31868 1.487217 348.9533 Parish population density in 1787 =1 if the parish has a market town 1 We use distance to each hollænderi rather than the parishes where they were located for two reasons. First, if there was a demonstration effect, the hollænderier would have had an impact beyond the parish itself. Second, within the parish any surviving hollænderier on estates would 22 We cross-checked this with an alternative list of estates for 1770 in Christensen (1886-91). 18 have been competitors to the first cooperatives (see Henriksen 1999). In fact, it is no coincidence that the first cooperatives, around Hjedding, in South West Jutland, were founded in an area where there were few hollænderier and just as importantly with no competition from proprietary operations (see McLaughlin and Sharp 2015).23 Unfortunately we have no way of knowing which estate creameries survived until 1882/1890, but as noted above, the Royal Danish Agricultural Society was initially hostile to the peasant cooperatives. The location of the hollænderier is given in Map 2. Map 2: Location of Hollænderier in 1782 Source: Andersen (1963), Christensen (1886-91), Roholt (2012). Table 2 gives our baseline results using OLS. We control for distance to the coast, as a proxy for market access given that the cooperatives were heavily export oriented. The suitability of the 23 Henriksen 1999 highlights that local agricultural depression after a customs reform in Germany blocked exports of live cattle was the ultimate driver. The district the first cooperative was in exhibited below average milch cow densities and milk yields per cow. 19 soil for growing barley24 captures the main alternate use of the land.25 Population density in 1787, taken from the census of that year, is used as a proxy for initial productivity, and finally we introduce a dummy for whether the parish has a market town, since the cooperatives were of course mostly a rural phenomenon. Fixed effects are included at the level of the region. Table 2: OLS, Main results (1) Distance Hollænderi 0.118*** (0.020) [0.034] Distance coast (2) (3) Dependent variable: Distance coop in 1890 0.072*** 0.056** (0.024) (0.024) [0.031] [0.029] -0.106*** (0.018) -0.004*** (0.001) Barley suitability (4) 0.053** (0.024) [0.029] -0.115*** (0.019) -0.004*** (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.005** (0.002) Market town 0.607** (0.275) Constant 0.794*** (0.047) 0.350 (0.237) 0.860*** (0.263) 0.961*** (0.266) FE No Yes Yes Yes Parishes 1620 1620 1620 1620 F-Stat 35.683 19.525 20.537 16.724 Adj R2 0.021 0.054 0.078 0.080 Standard errors in parentheses, Conley standard errors correcting for spatial autocorrelation within 200 km in squared brackets. * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 All the coefficients have the expected sign, with that on the distance to a hollænderi having the interpretation that a 1km greater distance from an historical hollænderi implies something between 0.05 and 0.1km greater distance to a cooperative creamery one century later. In other 24 Measured by present day potential yields of rain-fed barley, from FAOs GAEZ database (2002). As shown by Andersen et al. (2013) present day potential barley yields correlates strongly with the level of barley tenant payments under the feudal system in 1662. 25 It might also potentially capture its availability as fodder. Under Koppelwirtschaft dairying and grain production can be considered to be compliments, but the cooperatives also imported grain and concentrates from overseas. 20 words, cooperatives clustered around the estates where there the Holstein system had been implemented. Despite the controls, there might be a concern that omitted variables determine both the location of hollænderier and the cooperatives. We thus turn to an instrumental variable identification strategy, where we instrument the location of the hollænderier by the distance to Moltke’s estate, Sofiendal, where the first hollænderi was established. This is consistent with our story that the hollænderier spread through Denmark inspired by Moltke (and his administrator, Völckers) as well as the historical literature cited above. In Table 3 we present the results of our first stage, controlling for the same variables as before. In the appendix, we also control for a number of other factors, including the distance to Copenhagen, the market potential of which, according to Hansen (1984, pp. 41-42) led to the system spreading from Schleswig-Holstein to Zealand first. Nothing changes the strong correlation between the location of the hollænderier and Sofiendal. Table 3: IV first stage, Main results (1) Distance Sofiendal 0.380*** (0.029) (2) (3) Dependent variable: Distance Hollænderi 0.795*** 0.780*** (0.055) (0.056) (4) 0.773*** (0.057) Distance coast 0.065*** (0.018) 0.058*** (0.019) Barley suitability -0.008*** (0.001) -0.008*** (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.003 (0.002) Market town 0.284 (0.268) 0.331** (0.141) 0.925*** (0.352) 1.566*** (0.380) 1.653*** (0.385) FE No Parishes 1620 F-Stat 168.737 Standard errors in parentheses * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 Yes 1620 233.156 Yes 1620 185.526 Yes 1620 144.530 Constant 21 The second stage, presented in Table 4, gives a similar picture to that in Table 2 above, except that the coefficient to the distance to a hollænderi is somewhat larger.26 Table 4: IV second stage, Main results (1) Distance Hollænderi 0.368*** (0.067) [0.147] Distance coast (2) (3) Dependent variable: Distance coop in 1890 0.373*** 0.263*** (0.074) (0.076) [0.137] [0.133] -0.107*** (0.018) Barley suitability -0.002 (0.001) (4) 0.250*** (0.077) [0.126] -0.113*** (0.019) -0.001 (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.004* (0.002) Market town 0.496* (0.282) Constant 0.261* (0.145) -1.177*** (0.434) -0.363 (0.502) -0.221 (0.512) FE No Yes Yes Yes Parishes 1620 1620 1620 1620 F-Stat 29.971 21.117 20.622 16.736 First stage F 168.737 205.491 191.508 186.285 Standard errors in parentheses, Conley standard errors correcting for spatial autocorrelation within 200 km in squared brackets. * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 If the hollænderier had a persistent effect for a century before the first cooperatives, we would expect that this meant a gradual spread of the ideas used on the estates to the wider peasant population. That this might have happened is not beyond the realms of possibility, considering the traditional links between the estates and the surrounding peasantry, and our reading of the county descriptions above. We can quantify this by considering the increase in the number of milch cows around the country in the intervening period. In 1760 there were 270,000 milch cows in Denmark, increasing to 335,000 in 1774, and 450,000 in 1810 (Drejer 1962, p. 22, 26 Extra controls are again added in the appendix. 22 Jensen 2007, p. 140). In 1837 we have parish level data from the first (surviving) animal census, which put the total level at 578,000 in 1837. In 1861, there were 756,834 milch cows in the animal census. By 1881, the year before the first cooperative creamery was founded, there were 898,790. If we are to believe the persistency story, the local density of cows should have remained fairly constant before 1882. In fact, the correlation between the density in 1837 and 1861 and 1881 is around 0.9. It then remains to demonstrate that the location of the hollænderier also explains the pattern we observe in the cow densities. To do this, we employ the same empirical strategy as above, but with the cow densities in 1837 as the outcome variable. Again, the relationship is very strong and robust, see Tables 5 and 6. This result is consistent with the work of Henriksen (1999), who shows that the share of cows related to a coop correlated with cow density. 23 Table 5: OLS, Cow density (1) Distance Hollænderi -1.917*** (0.107) [0.405] Distance coast (2) (3) Dependent variable: Cow density in 1837 -1.138*** -0.833*** (0.112) (0.109) [0.465] [0.331] -0.477*** (0.081) 0.059*** (0.005) Barley suitability -0.751*** (0.105) [0.300] -0.264*** (0.081) 0.051*** (0.005) 0.098*** (0.008) Pop. density 1787 -11.209*** (1.188) Market town Constant (4) 13.988*** (0.253) 14.678*** (1.112) 9.140*** (1.185) 6.943*** (1.149) FE No Yes Yes Yes Parishes 1620 1620 1620 1620 F-Stat 321.656 216.735 196.888 183.640 Adj R2 0.165 0.400 0.459 0.504 Standard errors in parentheses, Conley standard errors correcting for spatial autocorrelation within 200 km in squared brackets. * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 Table 6: IV second stage, Cow density (1) Distance Hollænderi -7.345*** (0.560) [1.841] Distance coast (2) (3) Dependent variable: Cow density in 1837 -2.453*** -2.495*** (0.347) (0.358) [1.269] [1.401] -0.469*** (0.087) 0.041*** (0.007) Barley suitability -2.158*** (0.342) [1.104] -0.272*** (0.085) 0.036*** (0.006) 0.091*** (0.009) Pop. density 1787 -10.415*** (1.262) Market town Constant (4) 25.578*** (1.208) 21.359*** (2.023) 18.963*** (2.367) 15.379*** (2.289) FE No Yes Yes Yes Parishes 1620 1620 1620 1620 F-Stat 171.914 190.658 171.883 164.453 First stage F 168.737 205.491 191.508 186.285 Standard errors in parentheses, Conley standard errors correcting for spatial autocorrelation within 200 km in squared brackets. * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 24 We have thus demonstrated that there was a persistent effect of the hollænderier on the initial distribution of cooperatives within the first decade of their foundation. How persistent is this after the initial expansion? To investigate this, we turn to the year 1914 and repeat the above analysis. By 1914 the country was even more densely covered with cooperative creameries: see Map 3. Map 3: Location of Cooperative Creameries in 1914 Source: Bjørn (1988). Should we expect that the location of the cooperatives in the early twentieth century was still determined by the hollænderier of the eighteenth century? Our initial expectation is in fact that this should no more be the case than if we were to look at the handful of cooperative 25 creameries which still exist in Denmark today 27. Persistence has its limits. Although the trickledown of knowledge from the hollænderi might have allowed the initial cooperatives to spread incredibly rapidly between 1882 and 1890, in 1914, 25 years later, there can have been few farmers in Denmark who had not heard of the new and hugely profitable export opportunity. Indeed, after 1890 the establishment actively supported cooperation, rather than opposing it. Thus, as Tables 7 and 8 below demonstrate, the correlation has all but disappeared by 1914. 27 Dairying in Denmark is today dominated by the giant Danish-Swedish cooperative Arla Foods. The Danish Dairy Association lists just 33 members, including Arla, many of which are not producing butter. Just six of these, including Arla, describe themselves as cooperatives (www.mejeri.dk, retrieved 12-06-2015). 26 Table 7: OLS, Coops 1914 (1) Distance Hollænderi 0.022 (0.019) (2) (3) Dependent variable: Distance coop in 1914 -0.012 -0.031 (0.023) (0.024) (4) -0.032 (0.024) Distance coast -0.048*** (0.018) -0.051*** (0.018) Barley suitability -0.004*** (0.001) -0.004*** (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.001 (0.002) Market town -0.007 (0.271) Constant 0.524*** (0.045) FE Parishes F-Stat Adj R2 Standard errors in parentheses * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 No 1620 1.297 0.000 0.367 (0.232) 0.850*** (0.259) 0.864*** (0.262) Yes 1620 8.097 0.021 Yes 1620 8.760 0.032 Yes 1620 6.830 0.031 Table 8: IV second stage, Coops 1914 (1) Distance Hollænderi -0.020 (0.062) (2) (3) Dependent variable: Distance Coop in 1914 0.122* 0.048 (0.070) (0.073) (4) 0.048 (0.074) Distance coast -0.049*** (0.018) -0.050*** (0.018) Barley suitability -0.003** (0.001) -0.003** (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.000 (0.002) Market town -0.052 (0.274) Constant 0.613*** (0.134) -0.312 (0.409) 0.382 (0.485) 0.387 (0.497) FE Parishes F-Stat First stage F Standard errors in parentheses * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 No 1620 0.105 168.737 Yes 1620 8.486 205.491 Yes 1620 8.518 191.508 Yes 1620 6.636 186.285 27 So, persistency gave the initial distribution, but once the idea and the knowledge of comparative advantage was established, this did not matter anymore. This is an optimistic conclusion, in the sense that the persistency we describe here did not permanently leave its mark on the country. On a less optimistic note, however, it should also be remembered that the process as a whole took well over a century. The institutions, technology, schools, etc. did not appear overnight, or within the first decade of cooperation. Farmers would not have known that their comparative advantage lay in dairying in the 1880s, and they would not even have had the cow densities for this to be the case, if the hollænderier had never existed. This has implications for understanding the reason why the attempt to transfer Danish-style cooperatives to other countries, such as Ireland in the 1890s (see e.g. Henriksen et al 2015) and Iceland around the turn of the twentieth century (Jónsson 2012), as well as to developing countries more recently were relative failures. 5. Conclusion We demonstrate that the reason for the extremely rapid spread of cooperative creameries in Denmark between 1882 and 1890 can be attributed to the spread of innovations from Schleswig-Holstein over the preceding century. Certain estates established centralized dairy facilities, the hollænderier, with unprecedented standards of hygiene and equipment. Subsequent scientific debate led to further advances, including accurate bookkeeping, better breeds of cows, and better feed. Agricultural societies, schools, and journals were established. More generally, it became firmly established that Denmark’s comparative advantage lay in dairying, and butter production in particular. We describe based on the contemporary literature how these innovations spread throughout the country, and trickled-down to farmers beyond the large estates. We demonstrate empirically that areas with more hollænderier developed greater cow densities, implying the spread of dairying around the country, and that the initial wave of cooperation was in areas which had been so treated. The cooperatives thus benefited from the accumulation of knowledge over more than a century, with the only innovation needed in order for the 28 peasants to benefit being the invention of the automatic cream separator, which allowed for the centralized separation of milk from small peasant herds. After this, the whole country was rapidly overrun by the cooperative wave, and their historical forerunners, the hollænderier, were all but forgotten. This work establishes their rightful place as the starting point of the Danish agricultural revolution, which was to change Denmark forever. References Akçomak, I.S., D. Webbink and B. der Weel (2013). ‘Why did the Netherlands develop so early? The legacy of the Brethren of the Common Life’. CPB Discussion Paper 228. Andersen, B.S. (1963). ‘Staldgård – eller hollænderi? Forsøg på status ved 1782’. Historie/Jyske Samlinger, Ny række, 6. Andresen, C.E. (1992). Valentinerne på Gjeddesdal 1822-1927: et kapitel af dansk landbrugs historie. Hæfte nr. 35 i series ”Bidrag til Greve kommunes historie”. Greve, Denmark: Greve Lokalhistoriske Forening. Andersen, T.B., P.S. Jensen, and C.S. Skovsgaard (2013). ‘The heavy plough and the agricultural revolution in medieval Europe’. University of Southern Denmark Discussion Papers on Business and Economics 6/2013. Appel, A. (1924-32). ’Kvægets historie’ in K. Hansen (ed.). Det Danske Landbrugs Historie, 3. bind. Copenhagen: G.E.C. Gads Forlag. Appel, A. and N. Bredkjær (1924-32). ‘Kvæget’ in K. Hansen (ed.), Det danske landbrugs historie, 3. bind: Husdyrbruget. Copenhagen: G.E.C. Gads Forlag. Banerjee, A. and L. Iyer (2005). ‘History, Institutions, and Economic Performance: The Legacy of Colonial Land Tenure Systems in India’. American Economic Review 95:4, pp. 1190-1213. Baten, J. and D. Juif (2014). ‘A story of large landowners and math skills: Inequality and human capital formation in long-run development, 1820–2000’. Journal of Comparative Economics 42:2, pp. 375-401. 29 Becker, S.O. and L. Woessmann (2009). ‘Was Weber wrong? A human capital theory of protestant economic history’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 124:2, pp. 531-596. Begtrup, G. (1803). Beskrivelse over Agerdyrkningens Tilstand i Danmark, Bind 1 og 2: Sjælland og Møen. Copenhagen: A. & S. Goldins Forlag. Begtrup, G. (1806). Beskrivelse over Agerdyrkningens Tilstand i Danmark, Bind 3: Fyen, Langeland og Ærø. Copenhagen: A. & S. Goldins Forlag. Begtrup, G. (1808). Beskrivelse over Agerdyrkningens Tilstand i Danmark, Bind 5 og 6: Nørre Jylland. Copenhagen: A. & S. Goldins Forlag. Bieleman, J. (1996). Five Centuries of Farming: A Short History of Dutch Agriculture, 1500-2000. Wageningen Academic Publishers. Bjørn, C. (1988). Det danske landbrugs historie III: 1810-1914. Odense: Landbohistorisk Selskab. Bustos, P., B. Caprettini and J. Ponticelli (2014). ‘Agricultural productivity and structural transformation. Evidence from Brazil’. Manuscript (Princeton University, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, University of Chicago Booth School of Business). Buus, R.B.J. (1866). ‘I hvilket forhold stiller Udbyttet af Studefedningen sig i Sammenligning med Indtægt af Meieridriften?’ Tidsskrift for Landøkonomi 3:14, pp. 44-59. Chen, S. and J. K.-s. Kung (2012). ‘A Malthusian quagmire? Maize, population growth, and economic development in China’, manuscript (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology). Christensen, C. (1886-91). Agrarhistoriske Studier (2 volumes). Copenhagen: Schubothe. Christensen, D.C. (1996). Det moderne project. Copenhagen: Gyldendal. Christensen, D.C. (1998). ‘The agricultural revolution – reconsidered’, Bol og by 1998, p. 35-47. Cinnirella, F. and E. Hornung (2013). ‘Landownership concentration and the expansion of education’. CEPR Discussion Paper 9730. 30 Comin, D., W. Easterly, E. Gong (2010). ‘Was the wealth of nations determined in 1000 B.C.?’ American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2:3, 69-97. Cook, Justin C. (2014a). ‘The role of lactase persistency in precolonial development’. Journal of Economic Growth 19, pp. 369-406. Cook, Justin C. (2014b). ‘Potatoes, milk, and the Old World population boom’. Journal of Development Economics 110, pp. 123-138. Dall, T., P.S. Jensen and A. Naz (2014). ‘New crops, local soils and urbanization: Clover, potatoes and the growth of Danish market towns, 1672-1901’. EHES Working Papers in Economic History 65. Dam, P., (2004). ‘Det GIS-baserede bebyggelses- og ejerlavskort 1681-1688’. HisKIS. Dell, M. (2010). ‘The persistent effects of Peru’s mining mita’. Econometrica 78:6, pp. 18631903. Dell, M. (2012). ‘ Path dependence in development: Evidence from the Mexican Revolution’. Manuscript (Harvard University). Dittmar, J. (2011). ‘Information technology and economic change: The impact of the printing press’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 126, pp. 1133-1172. Drejer, A.A. (1925-33). ‘Mejeribruget’ in K. Hansen (ed.), Det danske landbrugs historie, 4. bind: Bygninger – Mejeri – Redskaber. Copenhagen: G.E.C. Gads forlag. Drejer, A.A. (1962). Den historiske baggrund for nutidens mejeribrug og et halvt århundredes organisationsarbejde. Copenhagen: Særtryk af ’Dansk Mejeribrug’. Engerman, S.L. and K.L. Sokoloff (2002). ‘Factor Endowments, Inequality, and Paths of Development Among New World Economics’. Economia 3:1 (NBER Working Paper 9259). Espeli, H., T. Bergh and A. Rønning (2006). Melkens Pris – perspektiver på meierisamvirkets historie. Oslo: Tun Forlag. 31 Falbe Hansen, V. (1889). Stavnsbaands-Løsningen og Landboreformerne set fra Nationaløkonomiens Standpunkt. Copenhagen: G.E.C. Gad. Feldbæk, Ole (1988). ‘Kongen bød --- Enevælden og reformerne’. In Claus Bjørn (ed.), Landboreformerne. Forskning og forløb, Copenhagen: Landbohistorisk Selskab. Fenger, R. (1873). ’Kan Kjødproduktionen betale sig under de nuværende forhold i Danmark?’ Tidsskrift for Landøkonomi 4:7, pp. 381-408. Fernández, Eva (2014). ‘Trust, religion, and cooperation in western agriculture, 1880-1930’. Economic History Review 67:3, pp. 678-698. Frandsen, K. (1983). ‘Vang og tægt. Studier over dyrkningssystemer og agrarstrukturer i Danmarks landsbyer 1682-83’. Esbjerg, Forlaget Bygd. Frandsen, K. (2005). ‘Ager og eng’. In J. Erichsen and M.V. Pedersen (eds.). Herregården: Drift og landskab. Volume 3, pp. 25-100. FAO/IIASA, (2002). GAEZ (Global Agro-Ecological Zones): http://webarchive.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/GAEZ/index.htm. Galor, O., O. Moav and D. Vollrath (2009). ‘Inequality in Land Ownership, the Emergence of Human Capital Promoting Institutions, and Great Divergence’. Review of Economic Studies 76:1, pp. 143-179. Garrido, Samuel (2014). ‘Plenty of trust, not much cooperation: social capital and collective action in early twentieth century eastern Spain’. European Review of Economic History 18:4, 413-432. Hansen, H.S. (1994). Det Sønderjyske Landbrugshistorie 1830-1993. Aabenraa: Historisk Samfund for Sønderjylland og Fælleslandboforeningen for Nordslesvig. Henriksen, I. (1993). ‘The transformation of Danish agriculture’, in K.G. Persson (ed.), The economic development of Denmark and Norway since 1870, Aldershot: Edward Elgar Publishing, pp. 153-78. 32 Henriksen, I. (1999). ‘Avoiding lock-in: Cooperative creameries in Denmark, 1882–1903’. European Review of Economic History 3:1, pp. 57-78. Henriksen, I, M. Hviid, and P. Sharp (2012). ‘Law and peace: Contracts and the success of the Danish dairy cooperatives’. Journal of Economic History 72:1, pp. 197-224. Henriksen, I., M. Lampe, and P. Sharp (2011). ‘The role of technology and institutions for growth: Danish creameries in the late nineteenth century’. European Review of Economic History 15, pp. 475-93. Henriksen, I., E. McLaughlin, and P. Sharp (2015). ‘Contracts and cooperation: The relative failure of the Irish dairy industry in the late nineteenth century reconsidered.’ Mimeo. Hertel, H. (1920). Det Kgl. Danske Landhusholdningsselskabs historie I: Selskabets historie i tiden fra 1769-1868. Copenhagen: August Bangs Boghandel. Iversen, P.K. (1992). ‘Hollænderier i Sønderjylland i 1600- og 1700-årene’. Sønderjyske Årbøger 1992, pp. 73-111. Jensen, S.P. (1998). ‘Kobbelbrug, kløver og kulturjord’. Bol og by 1998:1, 36-59 (reprinted in S.P. Jensen (2007). Fra stilstand til vækst. Auning: Landbohistorisk Selskab). Jia, Ruixue (2014). ‘Weather shocks, sweet potatoes and peasant revolts in historical China’. Economic Journal 124, pp. 92-118. Jónsson, G. (2012). ‘The Impossible Dream: Transferring the Danish Agricultural Model to Iceland’. In Guirao, F., F.M.B Lynch, and S.M. Ramirez Pérez (eds.), Alan S. Milward and a Century of European Change. Abingdon: Routledge. Kjærgaard, T. (1994). The Danish revolution, 1500-1800: an ecohistorical interpretation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Kohl, J.G. (1846). Reisen in Dänemark und den Herzogthümern Schleswig und Holstein, Volume 1. F.A. Brockhaus. 33 Laing, S. (1852). Observations on the social and political State of Denmark, and the duchies of Sleswick and Holstein in 1851: being the third series of the Notes of a traveller on the social and political state of the European people. Longman, Brown, Green, and Longmans. Lampe, M. and P. Sharp (2014a). ‘Greasing the wheels of rural transformation? Margarine and the competition for the British butter market’. Economic History Review 67:3, pp. 769-792. Lampe, M. and P. Sharp (2014b). ‘How the Danes Discovered Britain: The International Integration of the Danish Dairy Industry Before 1880’. Mimeo. Lampe, M. and P. Sharp (2015). ‘Accounting for the Evolution of the Danish Dairy Industry: Book-keeping, record-keeping and the development of comparative advantage.’ Mimeo. Lankina, T. and L. Getachew (2013). ‘The Legacies of Peasant Bondage: Agrarian Institutions, Human Capital and Long-Run Development and Democracy in Russia and India’. Paper prepared for the 2013 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Larsen, C.C. (1924-32). ‘Faaret’ in K. Hansen (ed.), Det danske landbrugs historie, 3. bind: Husdyrbruget. Copenhagen: G.E.C. Gads Forlag. Lindvald, A. (1905-08). ’Antvorskov og Vordingborg Krongodser 1768-1774’, Fra Arkiv og Museum 3, pp. 234-289. Lindvald, A. (1909-11). ’Antvorskov og Vordingborg Krongodser 1768-1774 II’, Fra Arkiv og Museum 4, pp. 175-226. McLaughlin, E. and P. Sharp (2015). ‘Competition between organisational forms in Danish and Irish dairying around the turn of the twentieth century’. Draft (University of St Andrews/University of Southern Denmark). Mokyr, Joel (2009). The Enlightened Economy: An Economic History of Britain 1700-1850, New Haven and London: Yale UP. Nunn, N. and N. Qian (2011). ‘The potato’s contribution to population and urbanization: evidence from a historical experiment’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 126:2, 593-650. 34 Ó Grada, C. (1977). ‘The Beginnings of the Irish Creamery System, 1880-1914’. Economic History Review 30, pp. 284-305. Olsen, G. (1957). Hovedgård og bondegård: Studier over stordriftens udvikling i Danmark i tiden 1525-1774. Copenhagen: Rosenkilde og Bagger. Olsson, O. and D.A. Hibbs Jr. (2005). ‘Biogeography and long-run economic development’. European Economic Review 49:4, pp. 909-938. Petersen, M.C. (1885). ‘Beretning om andelsmejeriernes første tid i Vestjylland 1884-1885’. Foreningen af Jyske Landboforeninger. Porskrog Rasmussen, C., et. al. (1987, ed.). Det danske godssystem – udvikling og afvikling 1500-1919. Aarhus: Forlaget HISTORIA. Porskrog Rasmussen, C. (2002). ‘Corvée and Paid Work. Work and Workers at Manors in Schleswig and Holstein in the 18th Century.’ In K. Sundberg (ed.), Work and Productions on Manors in the Baltic Sea Region 1700-1900. Skrifter om skogs- och lantbrukshistoria 16. Stockholm: Nordiska museet förlag, pp. 165-192. Porskrog Rasmussen, C. (2003). Rentegods og hovedgårdsdrift: Godsstruktur og godsøkonomi i hertugdømmet Slesvig 1524-1770. Del I: Fremstilling. Aabenraa: Institut for grænseregionsforskning. Porskrog Rasmussen, C. (2010). ‘Innovative Feudalism: The development of dairy farming and Koppelwirtschaft on manors in Schleswig-Holstein in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries.’ Agricultural History Review 58:2, pp. 172-190. Porskrog Rasmussen, C. (2010b). ‘A.G. Moltke og det holstenske kobbelbrug.’ Landbohistorisk Tidsskrift 2010:2, pp. 9-48. Prange, Wolfgang (1971). Die Anfänge der großen Agrarreformen in Schleswig-Holstein bis um 1771. Neumünster: Karl Wachholtz (Quellen und Forschungen zur Geschichte SchleswigHolsteins 60). 35 Putterman, L. (2008). ‘Agriculture, diffusion and development: Ripple effects of the Neolithic Revolution’. Economica 75, 729-748. Riis, Thomas (2009). Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte Schleswig-Holsteins. Leben und Arbeiten in Schleswig-Holstein vor 1800. Kiel: Ludwig. Rixen, C. (1800). ‘Gedanken eines Schleswigers über Einführung der Stallfütterung’ Annalen der niedersächsischen Landwirthschaft 2(2), pp. 360-. Roholt, P. (2012). ‘Herregårdene i landskabet og på nettet – mere end 700 herregårde lige ved hånden’. Herregårdshistorie 7, pp. 161-6. Schröder-Lembke, Gertrud (1978). Studien zur Agrargeschichte, Stuttgart/New York: Gustav Fischer (Quellen und Forschungen zur Agrargeschichte, 31). Skrubbeltrang, F. (1978). Det danske Landbosamfund 1500-1800. Odense: Den danske historiske Forening. Thaer, Albrecht D., ‘Landwirthschaftliche Bemerkungen auf einer Reise durch Holstein und Mecklenburg’ (part II), Annalen der niedersächsischen Landwirthschaft 1(3), pp. 150-215. Thaer, Albrecht D. (1801-1804). Einleitung zur Kenntniß der englischen Landwirthschaft, 3 volumes, Hannover: Gebrüder Hahn. von Treskow, Karl (1810). ‘Ueber Molkerei-Verpachtung.’ Annalen des Ackerbaus 12, pp. 278288. 36 Appendix This appendix gives a number of robustness checks for the empirical analyses presented in Tables 3 and 4 above. Table A1 gives a description of the extra variables used. Table A1: Descriptive statistics Distance estate 1620 1.028311 0.853661 -3.13044 5.115489 Distance Copenhagen 1620 4.945996 0.668783 1.030563 5.687389 Log distance from parish centroid to the nearest estate in 1770 Log distance from parish centroid to Copenhagen Distance first coop 1620 4.802154 0.592779 1.102737 6.036978 Log distance from parish centroid to the first coop (Hjedding) Distance Tønning 1620 5.389134 0.264654 4.744595 6.009573 Field-grass-system share 1620 0.450373 0.481684 0 1 Log distance from parish centroid to the city of Tønning (exports) Share of parish using field-grass-system in 1682 Clover share 1620 0.228403 0.357015 0 1 Share of parish with clover cultivation in 1805 Demesne share 1620 0.129512 0.194275 0 0.975768 Share of parish with estate demesnes Sources: Distance estate, Distance Copenhagen, Distance first coop, Distance Tønning: all own calculations. Fieldgrass-system: Frandsen (1983), Clover share: Kjærgaard (1994), Demesne share: Dam (2004) and own calculations. Distance to all estates (i.e. also those without hollænderier) is included, in order to demonstrate that it was not estates in general which had the effect. Distance to Copenhagen and distance to Tønning are further controls for market access. The latter was a major harbor for live cattle export in the Duchy of Schleswig, situated where the Eider River, which separates Schleswig from Holstein, flows into the North Sea. The share of the parish using the field-grass-system in 1682 accounts for the pre-Koppelwirtschaft extent of dairying. The share of the parish used for clover cultivation in 1805 (Kjærgaard 1994, pp. 77-81) is an alternative measure of the extent of Koppelwirtschaft as well as a source of fodder for cows. The proportion of the parish which was covered by demesne is a proxy for the inequality of landholdings. Finally, distance to the first cooperative in Hjedding is included in case, contrary to our expectations, the location of the cooperatives was determined by a spread of ideas from the first cooperatives in South West Jutland. On this note, it should be noted that dairy cooperatives were not a Danish innovation. The first cooperative creamery in Sweden was founded in 1880 and they had even older predecessors in Norway, where the earliest was 37 founded in 1857 (Espeli et al 2006, p. 21). Tables A2 and A3 repeat the analyses in Tables 3 and 4 with the extra controls. Table A2: IV first stage, Further controls (1) (2) Distance Sofiendal 0.773*** (0.057) Distance coast (3) (8) (9) 0.714*** (0.055) (4) (5) (6) (7) Dependent variable: Distance Hollænderi 0.705*** 0.790*** 0.646*** 0.748*** 0.774*** (0.057) (0.055) (0.056) (0.059) (0.057) 0.762*** (0.056) 0.471*** (0.058) 0.058*** (0.019) 0.049*** (0.018) 0.065*** (0.019) 0.088*** (0.019) 0.083*** (0.018) 0.054*** (0.019) 0.058*** (0.019) 0.051*** (0.019) 0.106*** (0.018) Barley suitability -0.008*** (0.001) -0.007*** (0.001) -0.009*** (0.001) -0.009*** (0.001) -0.008*** (0.001) -0.008*** (0.001) -0.008*** (0.001) -0.008*** (0.001) -0.009*** (0.001) Pop. density 1787 -0.003 (0.002) -0.002 (0.002) -0.001 (0.002) -0.004** (0.002) -0.003* (0.002) -0.002 (0.002) -0.003 (0.002) -0.003* (0.002) -0.000 (0.002) Market town 0.284 (0.268) 0.288 (0.259) 0.132 (0.267) 0.548** (0.263) 0.453* (0.260) 0.214 (0.271) 0.283 (0.268) 0.360 (0.266) 0.267 (0.247) 0.250*** (0.025) Distance estate 0.350*** (0.029) 0.352*** (0.064) Distance Copenhagen 0.633*** (0.062) 0.371*** (0.042) Distance first coop 0.118* (0.069) 0.982*** (0.095) Distance Tønning Field-grass-system share 1.103*** (0.162) 0.112 (0.069) Clover share -0.069 (0.069) 0.171** (0.077) 0.007 (0.084) Demesne share -0.448*** (0.097) 0.214** (0.109) 1.653*** (0.385) 0.623 (0.387) 0.252 (0.459) -0.587 (0.453) -3.598*** (0.631) 1.743*** (0.389) 1.648*** (0.389) 1.711*** (0.383) -9.112*** (0.797) FE Yes Parishes 1620 F-Stat 144.530 Standard errors in parentheses * ** *** p < 0.1, p < 0.05, p < 0.01 Yes 1620 148.675 Yes 1620 135.442 Yes 1620 144.128 Yes 1620 149.189 Yes 1620 130.470 Yes 1620 129.998 Yes 1620 133.834 Yes 1620 124.717 Constant 38 Table A3: IV second stage, Further controls (1) (2) Distance Hollænderi 0.250*** (0.077) Distance coast (3) (8) (9) 0.277*** (0.084) (4) (5) (6) (7) Dependent variable: Distance coop in 1890 0.382*** 0.256*** 0.169* 0.180** 0.253*** (0.087) (0.075) (0.092) (0.081) (0.078) 0.260*** (0.078) 0.308** (0.140) -0.113*** (0.019) -0.112*** (0.019) -0.132*** (0.019) -0.105*** (0.019) -0.097*** (0.019) -0.117*** (0.019) -0.113*** (0.019) -0.109*** (0.019) -0.135*** (0.022) Barley suitability -0.001 (0.001) -0.002 (0.001) 0.001 (0.002) -0.002 (0.001) -0.002 (0.001) -0.001 (0.001) -0.001 (0.001) -0.002 (0.001) 0.002 (0.002) Pop. density 1787 -0.004* (0.002) -0.004* (0.002) -0.006*** (0.002) -0.004** (0.002) -0.004** (0.002) -0.003 (0.002) -0.004* (0.002) -0.003* (0.002) -0.004** (0.002) Market town 0.496* (0.282) 0.486* (0.283) 0.689** (0.287) 0.570** (0.288) 0.601** (0.282) 0.365 (0.280) 0.491* (0.283) 0.439 (0.284) 0.480* (0.285) -0.091** (0.036) Distance estate -0.085 (0.062) -0.534*** (0.081) Distance Copenhagen -0.618*** (0.124) 0.107** (0.052) Distance first coop -0.065 (0.076) 0.481*** (0.150) Distance Tønning 0.167 (0.279) 0.240*** (0.074) Field-grass-system share Clover share 0.343*** (0.078) 0.021 (0.088) Demesne share 0.030 (0.089) 0.315*** (0.109) 0.165 (0.128) -0.221 (0.512) 0.107 (0.459) 1.688*** (0.504) -0.879* (0.455) -2.657*** (0.651) 0.086 (0.523) -0.240 (0.518) -0.279 (0.518) 2.230 (1.555) FE Yes Parishes 1620 F-Stat 16.736 First stage F 186.285 Standard errors in parentheses * p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01 Yes 1620 15.049 167.036 Yes 1620 17.976 150.718 Yes 1620 17.080 203.656 Yes 1620 19.759 131.890 Yes 1620 16.838 162.503 Yes 1620 15.042 181.303 Yes 1620 15.456 183.018 Yes 1620 15.190 66.258 Constant 39
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz