FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY. NOT TO BE DISTRIBUTED TO RETAIL CLIENTS. CAN EXTRA YIELD BE SECURED WITHOUT SACRIFICING CREDIT QUALITY? A TOTAL MARKET APPROACH TO SECURED FINANCE MARCH 2017 >S ecured finance provides a huge variety of potential yield pick-up opportunities across risk and market types. Selecting from investments across the entire range of public and private debt markets enables investors to target diverse streams of stable, long-term, high-quality cash flows. Alex Veroude, CFA, Head of Credit and Deputy Head of Fixed Income (New York) Alex joined the Fixed Income Group at Insight in July 2007 as Head of Credit, overseeing all credit activities with responsibility also for setting credit strategy. He also became Deputy Head of Fixed Income (New York) in June 2016. Alex oversees a team of more than 40 credit analysts covering corporate issuers (investment grade and high yield) as well as secured finance. Alex is lead portfolio manager of the Absolute Insight Credit Fund, the Secured Finance Fund, the Consumer Debt Recovery Fund and a number of customised separate accounts. He holds a first class equivalent MSc in Quantitative Economics from Tilburg University in the Netherlands, is fluent in English, Dutch, German and Swedish and is a CFA charterholder. SECURING EXTRA YIELD WITHOUT SACRIFICING QUALITY LOW YIELDS PRESENT DUAL CONCERNS FOR INSTITUTIONAL CLIENTS. THEY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO SOURCE HIGH-QUALITY ASSETS THAT PAY REGULAR CASH FLOWS AND PUT THE CAPITAL VALUE OF FIXED-RATE PORTFOLIOS AT RISK OF A POTENTIAL RISE IN INTEREST RATES OVER THE LONGER TERM. QUALITY, COLLATERAL AND YIELD PICK-UP Secured finance is a $30trn global market place incorporating a range of public and private investments which share the common feature that they are secured by collateral and a recurring income stream. They can serve to generate an attractive yield compared to equivalent investment grade securities such as bonds. Insight’s strategy is to select from among the best investments across the complete spectrum of public and private investment opportunities to construct portfolios of varying degrees of liquidity. A client invested in our secured finance investment strategy receives a diversified set of consumer, corporate and asset-based cash flows. Our team manages £8.9bn/€10.2bn in assets under management and possesses complementary experience in sourcing, underwriting, structuring, closing and trading, integrated into a market-leading fixed income, credit and risk management platform. We aim to provide investors with the means to invest in credit opportunities beyond the traditional investment grade corporate bond space, without compromising credit quality and targeting returns in line with investment grade corporate bonds. Where possible, we search for investment opportunities where we have specialist expertise and enter those selectively, before they become crowded. This approach seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns, while enabling us to negotiate better investment terms. Insight offers access to secured finance opportunities through multi-client pooled vehicles or individually designed portfolios. By tailoring the strategy, credit quality, maturity and payout profiles, we can construct solutions to meet a client’s specific long-term objectives. For example, our bespoke solutions help pension schemes meet liabilities with high-quality cash flows. Insight’s proven track record across securitisation and collateralbased lending is underpinned by a robust investment process incorporating top-down credit strategy and bottom-up underwriting. Portfolios are created using a proprietary asset allocation model for liquid and illiquid credit, with a focus on high-quality, low-risk opportunities. Credit underwriting experience is paramount and Insight has a strong history of default avoidance, backed by private credit rating models and disciplined risk control management overseen by an experienced investment committee. THE INSIGHT PROCESS: MAPPING THE CREDIT UNIVERSE Insight characterises the credit markets according to the amount of credit risk they represent and their liquidity. This taxonomy is illustrated by the quadrant diagram below (Figure 1). The horizontal axis shows the available liquidity for investment instruments. For example investment grade bonds are more liquid than loans and private debt. The vertical axis depicts the amount Figure 1: Mapping the credit universe Mid-market private debt Mezzanine, second lien Distressed debt High yield bonds Bank loans Residential and consumer Commercial real estate (CRE) Secured corporates Investment grade bonds Credit risk Higher Lower Secured finance For illustrative purposes only. Lower Higher Liquidity of credit risk for each investment type. For example, subinvestment grade securities have higher credit risk than investment grade securities. There are essentially three categories: 1. Consumer cash flows: This includes paying mortgages and credit card and utility bills. As long as the consumer is in good financial health, cash flows are secure. This risk can be purchased in either the public bond markets or via the private market. Secured finance investments present a highly attractive option for fixed income investors seeking a combination of higher yield relative to investment grade corporate bonds without having to compromise on credit quality. 2. Asset-based cash flows: Cash flows come from the availability and utilisation of the asset. This may include buildings that are rented out, and infrastructure such as hospitals, railways and motorways. 3. Corporate cash flows: Companies produce goods and services and sell on that cash flow. This cash flow can be purchased in either the public bond markets (via securitisations) or the private market. Apportioned across the private and public debt space, these three categories produce six investment outcome possibilities as depicted in Figure 2. Consequently, secured finance provides substantial diversity across risk and market types, enabling investors to model outcomes depending on what yield pick-up is available among the different sectors. WHICH INVESTMENT TYPES DO WE FOCUS ON? Understanding the risks within secured finance requires tracing the unit of dollar, euro or pound cash flow that an investment is producing in order to identify who is paying the income stream to the buyer of this fixed income instrument. The ability to manage portfolios by selecting from investment opportunities across the entire market to target diverse streams of stable, long-term, high quality cash flows is the value proposition of secured finance at Insight. Figure 2: Which investment types do we focus on? Consumer cash flows Public Asset-based cash flows Prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) Buy-to-let RMBS Infrastructure bonds Corporate cash flows Collateralised loan obligations Whole business securitisations (WBS) Non-conforming RMBS Private Mortgage warehouse CRE loans Corporate loan warehouse Bridge lending Infrastructure loans SME warehouse Auto/credit card warehouse For illustrative purposes only. WHAT IS THE ATTRACTION OF SECURED FINANCE? Insight’s secured finance strategy aims to offer favourable risk-adjusted returns against comparable investment grade corporate bonds based on equivalent ratings (Figure 3) by optimising from a combination of investments across the six areas within secured finance. For the same amount of default risk, investors can use secured finance investments to potentially attain an additional c.250bp in yield without adjusting their credit risk profile. In addition to this, high quality secured finance investments provide significantly higher levels of senior collateral, given that they are typically backed by a portfolio of physical assets providing investors with tangible security, compared to unsecured investment grade bonds. Moreover, secured finance assets typically provide a floating rate which, unlike fixed rate bonds, may help mitigate the price impact of rising interest rates. Investors may attribute the higher yield available on secured finance investments to three broad factors: a changing lending market; the complexity of the underlying assets; and their illiquidity. forced to reduce the scale of their lending as a result of increased regulatory capital requirements, leading to wider secured credit spreads and creating permanent opportunities for other longterm investors to provide lending. The illiquidity premium represents the additional return an investment generates for tying up capital. Investors derive a return based on the fundamental characteristics of an investment and avoid the pitfalls of sentiment-driven selling when market conditions turn. The complexity premium represents the additional return that an investment presents to access and assess investments. A high level of expertise is necessary across a range of specialisms from legal to accounting to portfolio management as well as access to a broad network. In essence, the credit quality of secured finance can approximate to investment grade bonds. Investors are able to gain exposure to a portfolio of asset-backed securities and loans tied to specific economic activities that generate income streams while receiving an enhanced yield. A portfolio of well-chosen secured finance investments further enhances the risk and return profile of this opportunity. This unique opportunity has arisen as a consequence of changes in the lending markets since the financial crisis. Banks have been Spread over 3month Libor (bp) Figure 3: Attractive risk-adjusted returns – investment grade corporate spreads versus secured debt 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Insight secured finance strategy +252bp AAA AA A BBB Investment grade Representative secured finance universe Investment grade corporate bonds Source: Insight as at 31 December 2016. The spreads shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not indicative of the strategy spread. BB High yield IMPLEMENTING SECURED FINANCE: A RECENT EXAMPLE Below, we show how we restructured a representative single corporate bond portfolio with an average credit rating of A/BBB, yielding 158bp over swaps in July 2015, to achieve a higher yield using secured finance investments. Following the restructuring exercise the portfolio was able to generate 325bp over swaps by December 2016. The evolution of this portfolio adjustment and the progression in yield enhancement is shown in Figure 4. Throughout the restructuring process we maintained the average credit quality of the portfolio at A/BBB. From July 2015 to December 2016, credit spreads on A/BBB investment grade corporate bonds were broadly unchanged, but they experienced material volatility over the period, particularly during early 2016. Figure 4: Implementing secured finance – a recent example 350 300 250 bp 200 150 100 50 0 Jul 15 ■ Corporate bonds Sep 15 ■ Secured finance Dec 15 Mar 16 ■ Cash conversion Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Actual spread Source: Bloomberg, data as at 30 December 2016. Shows the evolution through time of the spread generated by a portfolio which went from fully invested in IG Corp. to 70% IG SECFIN/30% IG Corp. Past performance is not a guide to future returns. The yield shown is net of fees. The results shown are intended to demonstrate our ability to manage this asset class and are not a guarantee of future returns. Actual client returns may differ materially and will depend on the individual circumstances of each client. SUMMARY The breadth and depth of secured finance markets can confer investors with the benefit of substantial diversification across different types of risk. Investments that derive cash flows from unrelated economic participants across geographies and industries translate into low correlations between underlying component investments. Consequently a portfolio of well-chosen investments, selected from across the entire secured finance market, can offer investors an attractive return for the risk taken in our view. In essence, an investor receives recurring high-quality, floating interest rate cash flows backed by senior secured collateral across multiple sources. Capturing illiquidity and complexity premia potentially enables investors to generate an additional yield from a wide range of real economy investments. GLOSSARY Asset-backed security (ABS): Bonds or notes backed by a pool of assets, such as car loans or credit card receivables. Liabilities: The projected cash flows that a pension scheme, or insurance company, is committed to pay out to its members. Bond: A tradeable loan issued by a borrower for a fixed period of time paying interest, known as the coupon, which is fixed at the issue date and is paid regularly to the holder of the bond until it is redeemed at maturity when the principal amount is repaid. Liquidity: The ease with which buying and selling takes place in the market. Liquidity can be measured by the daily trading volume in a security. Bridge lending: A bridge loan is a short-term loan used until a person or company secures permanent financing or removes an existing obligation. This type of financing allows the user to meet current obligations by providing immediate cash flow. Collateral: An asset that is accepted by a lender as security. Collateralised loan obligation (CLO): A form of securitisation where payments from multiple middle sized and large business loans are pooled together and passed on to different classes of owners in various tranches. Commercial real estate loan (CRE): A loan secured on commercial property such as offices, hotels, retail parks, industrial parks, leisure and mixed use. Corporate bond: A debt obligation issued by a private or public company. Credit default risk: The risk that a loss will be experienced due to a default by the issuer of a bond, or counterparty in a swap transaction. Credit spread: The difference in yield between a reference security and some benchmark yield (usually the government or swap yield) where the securities are identical in all respects except for credit quality. Credit spreads will generally be higher for companies with lower credit ratings to compensate investors for the additional risk undertaken. Default: Failure to meet an obligation such as timely payment of interest or principal. Distressed debt: Debt of companies with an impending or actual covenant default. Diversification: A way of reducing risk by spreading investments among a number of different assets and strategies that are not perfectly correlated so that losses in any one asset class may be offset by gains in another. High yield bond: A bond rated at or below a certain rating, typically BB, because of its high default risk. High yield bonds pay higher yields in order to compensate bondholders for the additional credit risk over and above less risky (investment grade-rated) bonds. Infrastructure bond: Borrowing to be invested in government-funded infrastructure projects within a country. They are issued by governments or government-authorised Infrastructure companies or non-banking financial companies. Investment grade bonds: A bond that has a credit rating, typically of BBBor higher. Generally they are judged by rating agencies as likely enough to meet payment obligations that banks are allowed to invest in them. Maturity: Length of time until the last interest payment and the principal of a bond is redeemed. Mezzanine financing: A hybrid of debt and equity financing that gives the lender the rights to convert to an ownership or equity interest in the company in case of default, after venture capital companies and other senior lenders are paid. Middle market debt: Generally smaller companies than those we see in the high-yield bond market and the syndicated term loan market. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS): An investment instrument that represents ownership of an interest in a pool of mortgages. Principal and interest from the individual mortgages are used to pay principal and interest on the MBS. Pooled fund: Vehicle in which a number of investors pool their assets so that they can be managed on a collective basis. This usually suits investors wishing to invest in a broad spread of investments. Holdings in a pooled fund are denominated in units or shares that are re-priced regularly to reflect changes in the value of underlying assets. This allows investors to value their holdings and provides a basis upon which transactions into and out of the fund can take place. Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS): Secured on a pool of residential mortgages. These are typically amortising, meaning that the cash flows will include both interest and principal payments. The underlying mortgages can have varying characteristics, and may include prime, buy-to-let and non-conforming mortgages. Syndicated loan: A loan offered by a group of lenders – referred to as a syndicate – that work together to provide funds for a single borrower. Unsecured debt: A debt obligation with no collateral and backed only by the debtor’s creditworthiness. Warehouse lending: A warehouse line of credit is provided to mortgage lenders by financial institutions. The lenders are dependent on the eventual sale of mortgage loans to repay the financial institution and to make a profit. Whole business securitisation: A way that companies can raise capital that they need to remain operational. Securitisation refers to the process where a corporate entity takes certain assets and converts them into securities that it can offer for sale. Yield: The percentage return paid on a stock in the form of a dividend or the effective rate of interest paid on a bond. FIND OUT MORE Institutional Business Development [email protected] +44 20 7321 1552 Consultant Relationship Management [email protected] +44 20 7321 1023 European Business Development [email protected] +44 20 7321 1928 Client Relationship Management [email protected] +44 20 7321 1499 @InsightInvestIM company/insight-investment www.insightinvestment.com Telephone calls may be recorded. Call charges may vary by provider. The value of investments and any income from them will fluctuate and is not guaranteed (this may be partly due to exchange rate fluctuations). Investors may not get back the full amount invested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Unless otherwise attributed the views and opinions expressed are those of Insight Investment at the time of publication and are subject to change. This document may not be used for the purposes of an offer or solicitation to anyone in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Issued by Insight Investment Management (Global) Limited. Registered office 160 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4V 4LA. Registered in England and Wales. Registered number 00827982. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA Firm reference number 119308. © 2017 Insight Investment. All rights reserved. 13272-03-17
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