Running head: REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY An Empathetic Review of European Union Military Policy Sloan S. Cinelli Pitzer College Author Note Claremont-UC Undergraduate Research Conference on the European Union 1 REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 2 Table of Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 4 An Empathetic Review of European Union Military Policy .............................................. 5 History................................................................................................................................. 5 Current Dilemma ................................................................................................................ 7 MCCE ............................................................................................................................. 7 Finabel............................................................................................................................. 8 EATC............................................................................................................................... 8 OCCAR ........................................................................................................................... 9 EAG ................................................................................................................................ 9 EGF ............................................................................................................................... 10 NATO ............................................................................................................................ 11 Why is an executable defense policy possible but not probable? ..................................... 12 NATO ............................................................................................................................ 13 Germany........................................................................................................................ 13 United States ................................................................................................................. 14 A Black Swan Moment ................................................................................................. 15 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 16 References ......................................................................................................................... 17 Footnotes ............................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 3 Figures............................................................................................................................... 21 REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 4 Abstract Why would a politico-economic union of twenty-eight nations not have a unified defense policy? Ever since the European Political Cooperation was introduced in 1970, members of the European Community have dreamt of a supranational and intergovernmental defense agreement. Today, while there are eight leading multinational European defense organizations, none incorporate every member of the European Union. As global terror continues on the rise, the need for common security is heightened and in ways, has become a strategic imperative. Since many member states have strengthened connections with Washington D.C. and NATO, intraUnion connections have weakened, making the idea of a unified EU defense policy vestigial. This paper presents an empathetic examination of European military and defense policy, or lack thereof. I attempt to describe three main things: (1) the incoherence of the EU’s defense policy; (2) the necessity of multinational crisis management communication in our rapidly changing world; and (3) what needs to be done. Keywords: European Union, NATO, military, security policy REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 5 An Empathetic Review of European Union Military Policy The European Union is still somewhat nascent in terms of political constructs. On November 1, 1993, the Maastricht Treaty was signed, originally combining twelve countries as the European Union. The EU was legally comprised of three pillars: the European Communities which handled economic, environmental, and social policies; the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) addressed foreign policy and military matters; and Justice and Home Affairs which brought together cooperation in the fight against crime. Unfortunately, the foreign security matters have not yet been fully addressed. History From the signing of Treaty of Maastricht, a major problem with the European Union’s Common Foreign and Security Policy has been the obvious imbalance between its ambitious objectives and the negligible economic means the EU counts on to accomplish them. Initially, the CFSP dealt with international political and diplomatic issues, including matters of security or military orientation. The twenty-seven member state governments act on unanimous agreement of the European Council (the heads of state/government) and the Council of the European Union (Council of Ministers), the highest level of EU political authority. It meets quarterly, and possibly more frequently if warranted by exceptional circumstances, including threats to international security. The European Union’s Treaty of Amsterdam, signed in 1997, amended this international security policy. Four years after its birth, the EU first identified the main instruments of the CFSP, such as Principles and Guidelines, Common Strategies, and Joint Actions. This Treaty also proposed the development of a future common defense policy for the EU. This inclusion would eventually become the Common Security and Defense Policy (CSDP) REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 6 under the CFSP, and was designed to enable the European Union to adopt a coherent approach when addressing security challenges. The Treaty states: ‘The common foreign and security policy shall include all questions relating to the security of the Union, including the progressive framing of a common defense policy […] which might lead to a common defense, should the European Council so decide’ (TEU Art.17). Subsequently, the Treaty of Lisbon was signed in October 2007 and entered into force on December 1, 2009. It amended and modified the Maastricht Treaty. Its ‘Provisions on the Common Foreign and Security Policy’ incorporated the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) and all of its developments since the Cologne European Council in 1999, and the CSDP. The ESDP was the successor of the European Security and Defense Identity under NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization), but uniquely it falls under the jurisdiction of the European Union itself, including countries with no ties to NATO. Under the treaty, “Permanent Structured Cooperation” espoused that: ‘Member States whose military capabilities fulfil higher criteria and which have made more binding commitments to one another in this area with a view to the most demanding missions’ (Art. 42.6). This was designed to contribute to further development of the CSDP and define a more assertive role for the EU in the realm of security and defense. Still, the EU has no standing army. Instead, under its Common Security and Defense Policy, it relies on ad hoc forces contributed by EU countries for military operations. REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 7 Current Dilemma A conglomeration of multinational organizations currently provides the foundation for security of the European Union. Twenty-two years since the signing of the Maastricht Treaty, there are eight separate entities which act as the principal military forces. Each group has a different set of members, with differing agenda regarding national and international security. Simply and disconcertingly, this system lacks integration. MCCE The broadest platform is The Movement Coordination Centre Europe, an international military logistics center, officially established on July 1, 2007, with the main purpose to coordinate and optimize the use of airlift, sealift and land movement assets controlled by national militaries of the member Nations (Krill, 2016). The member nations include: Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, The Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, the United Kingdom, Luxembourg, Estonia, Finland, Poland, Romania, the United States, Austria, Portugal, Czech Republic, Croatia, Lithuania and Slovakia. MCCE provides coordination support to the EU, NATO and/or UN operations. Unfortunately, the establishment and deployment of the MCCE has become a bureaucratic nightmare, with stations ostensibly to be filled by military and/or civilian personnel from the member nations. (27 total, 23 EU, 4 non EU) REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 8 Figure 1. The complicated personnel configuration of the MCCE. Finabel Finabel is a land forces organization comprised of 19 European Union members to promote military interoperability. Finabel was founded in 1953, and is controlled by the member states' army chiefs of staff. Its role is to produce studies encompassing research entrusted to the working groups, agreements relating to the military characteristics of equipment, as well as conventions that standardize procedures, testing methods and glossaries in order to facilitate exchanges between member states (Finabel, 2016). EATC Another organization, the European Air Transport Command, is a fully integrated command center that exercises the operational control of the majority of the aerial refueling capabilities and military transport fleets of a consortium of seven Western European countries: Belgium, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Spain and Italy. The combined fleet under the authority of the EATC was established on September 1, 2010, and represents over 60% of the European air transport capacity (EATC, 2016). The command of the EATC rotates between France and REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 9 Germany. The EATC “plans, tasks, controls and reports on missions on behalf of the nations,” and offers its member nation “a conditioned delegation of authority, but also the assured availability of an asset.” (7 total, 7 EU, 0 non EU) OCCAR The Organisation for Joint Armament Cooperation was established on November 12, 1996 by the Defense Ministers of France, Italy, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It is an intergovernmental organization which manages collaborative armament programs between member nations. The initial four members provide about 90 percent of the European-defenseindustrial base, with Belgium and Spain procuring membership respectively in 2003 and 2005. Currently the EU and/or NATO members Turkey, Netherlands, Luxembourg, Finland, Sweden and Poland participate in one or more OCCAR programs without being formal members (Hofbauer, 2012). (6 total, 6 EU, — non EU) EAG The European Air Group is an association of the air forces of seven member nations. Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and United Kingdom collaborate to enhance the tactical capabilities. The Group’s vision is “to operate together as one across the spectrum of conflict” (EAG, 2016). (7 total, 7 EU, 0 non EU) REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 10 Figure 2. The complicated personnel rotation schedule of the EAG. EGF The European Gendarmerie Force was launched in 2006 between France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain. Romania joined in 2009 and Poland in 2011. Its purpose is to create a European intervention force with militarized police function and specialized crisis management. It was designed after the French Gendarmerie, the Spanish Guardia Civil, and the Italian Carabinieri (EGF, 2016). (7 total, 7 EU, 0 non EU) REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 11 Figure 3. The most straightforward personnel organization chart is for EGF, one of the smallest security operations. NATO The oldest and most prominent intergovernmental military alliance is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. It is based on the North Atlantic Treaty which was signed on April 4,1949. NATO’s essential purpose is “to safeguard the freedom and security of its members through political and military means.” NATO is committed to the peaceful resolution of disputes, but if diplomatic efforts fail, it has the military capacity needed to undertake crisis-management operations. (28 total, 24 EU, 4 non EU) REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 12 Figure 4. A colorful review of the members in each security operation. Why is an executable defense policy possible but not probable? Complete security integration would demand a coherent policy that sets up a plan of action, rather than in legislative hiatus to define it in the future. As we have enumerated, there are many agencies, yet no omnibus authority or vision. It is critically important to coordinate and harmonize EU member states’ internal and external security policies. The EU deploys troops to peacekeeping missions globally, coordinates trade and economic sanctions, identifies terrorist groups, and is active in the areas of immigration and asylum (Reichard, 2006). However, most of its direct attention has been to economic affairs since the 1950s. As seen in the Common Security and Defense Policy, the European Union still relies on ad hoc forces, only assembled and deployed when a need arises. Under the CSDP, EU countries must make civilian and military capabilities available for the EU to implement. Inherently, each nation state has different REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 13 financial, human and armament resources regarding military capability. Even with the acknowledgment of NATO, there is not unanimity within European Union members to subscribe to NATO’s policies. This has manifested in tenaciously vague language within important documents, most prominently the CFSP. NATO The CFSP saw NATO as responsible for the territorial defense of Europe and reconciliation until 1999. Following the Kosovo War, the European Council agreed that "the Union must have the capacity for autonomous action, backed by credible military forces, the means to decide to use them, and the readiness to do so, in order to respond to international crises without prejudice to actions by NATO" (Berlin Plus Agreement, 1999). Since the European Union is responsible for implementing missions, a phrase that is often used to describe the relationship between the EU forces and NATO is "separable, but not separate” (Schmidt, 1999). So while NATO has broad participation, and represents the primary defense platform within the EU, there is still more than a tacit commitment to autonomy. Germany Other challenges to unanimity include respective nations’ primary constitutions. Germany, for example, acts as Europe’s unrivaled superpower, economically and politically. Yet, there appears to be nothing that will get the German government to consider military intervention. The 2011 Libya conflict justified humanitarian intervention, as civilians were being attacked by the air force of a psychotic despot The UN Security Council and the Arab League approved interventions. Yet even though the no-fly zone was limited and low-risk for the REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 14 participating states, Germany not only declined to send jets, but they withdrew their personnel from NATO’s AWACS radar planes above the Mediterranean (Bittner, 2013). Fundamental to a unified defense sentiment, Article 42.7 of the Maastricht Treaty stipulates that “if a member state is the victim of armed aggression on its territory, the other member states shall have towards it an obligation of aid and assistance by all the means in their power, in accordance with article 51 of the United Nations charter”. Germany's path of "security, freedom - no war" has met with some resistance (Strack, 2015). After the terrorist attacks in Paris late 2015, Germany voted to send non-combatant help. The German defense minister, Ursula von der Leyen, said that the French invocation of the mutual defense clause meant only that there was “a basis for consultation” (Trainer, 2015). United States While we explore the intercourse of EU nations, there needs to be acknowledgement to the impact of the United States. It is observed that Northern European powerhouses are more comfortable working with Washington D.C. than South European countries. Driven in part by the United States’ hegemonic pursuits and deep pockets, the EU has largely been protected by US resources. As a preventative aspect of its own foreign policy, the US has been significantly bankrolling NATO, contributing up to a quarter of the organization’s annual budget, and up to 75% of its defense spending. So while there is discussion about a unified EU defense policy, much of the existing support emanates from NATO, which, in effect the US highly subsidizes. A simple conclusion may be drawn in assessing why defense cohesion has yet to be realized within the fraternity of member countries: the EU benefits with a defense apparatus which is paid for by someone else. And this contribution of nearly a billion dollars a year means that member countries need not come out of pocket themselves to underwrite the aggregate cost. REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 15 There is a broad disparity in terms of the economic health of the EU nations, from the Northern economies (Germany) to the Southern economies, particularly the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). The latter have such dismal economies; the wherewithal to support a continental defense system does not exist. Consider that after the U.S., the largest contributors to NATO's military budget are Germany (16.6 %); France (12.4 %); United Kingdom (12 %); Italy (7.8 %); Canada (5 %); Spain (4.2 %); Netherlands (3.3 %); Belgium (2.6 %); Poland (2.3 %); Turkey (1.8 %); Denmark (1.7 %); and Norway (1.6 %). Fifteen countries make up the remaining 5.8 percent (Morgan, 2011). In many ways, the EU is “having its cake and eating it too”, as it enjoys a defense umbrella, but doesn’t need to entirely commit to altering indigenous budgets and economies, as it has a very staunch financial partner. A Black Swan Moment Yet one must consider alternative realities, particularly in light of the global war on terrorism. Proffered by author Nassim Taleb, the theory of “black swan events” might be an appropriate metaphor for EU outcomes. The theory holds that there are certain events that may come as a surprise, which have a major effect, and are then rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. Certainly 9/11 was a surprise attack, but in reflection, there were apparently telltale signs of terrorist activities including proposed attacks on the US mainland (Taleb, 2007). Consider now the defense of the EU. What would happen if the US took a different tact in terms of financially supporting NATO to the extent it does? There is growing economic uncertainty in the US and with an election season upon it, with hawks and doves flying about, might there be a “surprise cutback” of US resources to support the European theatre? Obviously, the EU doesn’t expect that to happen, however, if the US reverts from its current hegemony to more domestic protection, how does that leave the EU in its capacity to defend itself? REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 16 Conclusion It is clearly apparent that the European Union, and each of its sovereign states, needs an adequate defense apparatus particularly in the current climate. Over the years, since the formation of the Union, it has assembled various groups, entities, and initiatives to create some level of protection from unseemly influences. Yet in many ways, the efforts have been limited and fractured, but with NATO, there has not been a sense of urgency or even reality. The status quo of US support has fomented procrastination and sporadic policy development. Will the EU find the collective wisdom and energy to develop an internally managed and financed defense, assuming the US wanes its role? And if called upon, will member states comply with the need to contribute to the common effort, or will this too lead to further posturing of more desired autonomy such as evident with GREXIT and BREXIT? While we live at at time of elevated risk, to mitigate that risk there are things to be done and such things need to be paid for. It is not a “given” that the status quo remains given existential threats and moods. The EU needs to assess its “opportunity costs,” even if that leads to a changed geo-political structure. REVIEW OF EU MILITARY POLICY 17 References About CSDP - the cologne european council. (2016). Retrieved from http://www.eeas.europa.eu/csdp/about-csdp/cologne_council/index_en.htm Bittner, J. (2013, ). Rethinking german pacifism. New York Times Blair, A. (2005). The european union since 1945 (1st ed.). Harlow, England ; New York: Pearson Education/Longman. Carbone, M. (2013). Policy coherence and EU development policy. Hoboken: Taylor and Francis. 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