Recommendations to Presidential Candidates Regarding Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience November 1, 2016 The American Society of Adaptation Professionals (ASAP) is a professional organization comprised of climate change adaptation experts and practitioners from over 400 organizations and 48 states. Our membership includes public, private, civic and academic institutions, and work across all sectors of practice. ASAP is supported by the Institute for Sustainable Communities, with funding from the Kresge Foundation and the MacArthur Foundation. ASAP members contribute leadership and expertise to the climate adaptation field and it is based on this expertise we offer our input regarding the urgent need for the incoming administration to direct budget and leadership to climate adaptation initiatives. In addition to offering advice and guidance, we would we would be happy to provide staff support to the campaign's transition team. The Issue The impacts of climate change are being felt across the country. These impacts include, but are not limited to: • • • Property and crop damage estimated to average nearly $8 billion per year from 1981 through 2011 i An estimation of over $1 trillion in total damage from weather disasters since 1980 ii Increasing wildfire fighting costs averaging $1.8 billion annually for the past five years iii Global warming will continue to trigger more frequent and extreme droughts, floods, severe storms, and rising sea level. iv These impacts combined with deteriorated infrastructure, and massive deficits in FEMA and National Flood Insurance Program v budgets spell economic, environmental, and social disaster for urban and rural communities across the country. While climate change mitigation is essential for success of the global movement to reduce carbon emissions, we must prepare now for the current and future impacts of a changing climate. Adaptation: Adjustment in natural or human systems to a changing climate that exploits beneficial opportunities or moderates negative effects. Mitigation: An intervention to reduce the causes of changes in climate, such as through reducing emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. We have already experienced 30 consecutive ‘warmer than average’ years of global temperature and the trend is continuing. vi All climate models agree that, even if rapid mitigation of GHG emissions occur, our climate will continue to change because of historical emissions built up in the atmosphere over the past two 1 centuries. Mitigation and adaptation are inextricably linked and mitigation alone is not enough. We see cities and the private sector leading the way on climate adaptation. Through the implementation of innovative technologies, funding mechanisms, and inclusive processes, leaders are trying to ensure vibrant and secure futures for their communities. It is time for the federal government to provide coordinated and meaningful support to these efforts and place climate adaptation as a top priority for national security and wellbeing. The Costs of Inaction Forest fires raging across California, storm surge inundating the Gulf coast, unrelenting rain pounding the Carolinas, drought depleting agricultural production across the West Coast, algae blooms poisoning water supplies in the Great Lakes - all of these climate change impacts destabilize communities, deteriorate public health, threaten food security and damage our cultural and national icons. vii, viii Additionally, they contribute to the growing national debt and future impacts will continue destabilizing local and national economies. Anticipated costs of climate change in the next fifteen years include: • • • $35 billion in damages from coastal storms across the East and Gulf Coast ix Potential losses of 20% of crop yields in the Midwest and Southeast x An increase in costs of wildfire control of over $700 million by 2025 xi At the same time, the economic case for making strong investments in climate change adaptation is becoming clearer as studies and practices are showing that every dollar spent in preparing for climate change impacts saves $4 in response and recovery efforts after disruptions. xii, xiii Adaptation Opportunities Organizing Tools and Resources Substantial resources and expertise have been developed over the past 10 years by federal and state agencies, non-profit organizations, academic institutions, and consultants to meet the need for adaptation at various levels. These entities have developed innovative frameworks, tools, and resources to address the complex nature of climate change for human and natural systems. Opportunities to get adaptation efforts underway nationwide now exist at multiple levels. xiv, xv Unfortunately, despite best intentions, poorly coordinated efforts have left a sea of resources that are difficult to navigate and thus less likely for on-theground practitioners to use. xvi The next administration is presented with an opportunity to seize on past efforts and work with public and private entities to organize these resources in ways that will improve national security, build on private sector investments, and position the United States to lead by example in solutions to the global climate challenge. 2 Leading Private Public Partnerships The time is ripe to develop public-private partnerships with Fortune 500 companies committed to supporting climate adaptation efforts, including Apple, Goldman Sachs, WalMart, Coca Cola, and many more. xvii The recent Obama Administration unveiling of partnerships, such as Partnership for Resilience Preparedness (PREP) brings together the federal resources with partners like Amazon, Google, and ESRI to leverage the power of private data management with the deep data resources of the federal government. This program (and others) can serve as an example for future public private collaborations. Engaging the Financial Sector We are seeing a market shift in the financial sectors in response to climate adaptation and preparedness. The investment community is expected to distribute over $100 billion in Green Bonds in 2017. xviii Catastrophe bonds are playing an increasing role in the insurance industry, and reinsurance, traditional insurers, banks, and other investors are developing metrics and standards to account for and credit planning that is climate smart and resilient. The climate change adaptation field is growing quickly, creating opportunities for the federal government to provide stable leadership and bolster these emerging efforts with much needed support. Federal Leadership The choice for the next administration is clear: either carry on as we have done in the past, incurring increasing climate-related costs in lives lost, economic disturbance, ecological degradation, and property damage; OR lead the country in a deliberate and impactful direction to a climate-ready society that is economically thriving, socially just, and at the helm of the climate innovation and technology movement. This is a critically important domestic and international issue. The U.S. already contributes to domestic and international climate programs through USAID, DoS, MCC, and Treasury. There will be pressure to continue doing so while working to meet international obligations related to the COP 21 agreements negotiated in Paris. The American Society of Adaptation Professionals and adaptation experts within the field stand ready to help the new administration move forward in building climate resilience nationwide and across the globe. Accountability If the federal system is to take its appropriate role in promoting adaptation at all levels of government, it will do so as a result of strong leadership from the White House, that ensures alignment of vision and goals throughout the federal system and creates accountability for moving that vision forward. Should you become the next President of the United States, climate change must be a primary focus of your administration, whether driven by international diplomatic processes or by an inexorable recognition of real 3 climate impacts here in the U.S. Therefore, as your transition team prepares your approach to climate change, we ask that your administration substantially enhance adaptation efforts beyond those in place today and prioritize both mitigation and adaptation in your domestic policies. We are developing specific recommendations for action and will submit those to your transition team following the election. Contact: Elizabeth Gibbons, Managing Director American Society of Adaptation Professionals 110 North Hamilton Street| Ypsilanti, MI 48197 [email protected] | 202-904-9946 American Society of Adaptation Professionals Executive Board Members Chairman, Steve Adams, Director of Urban Resilience, Institute for Sustainable Communities Joyce Coffee, President, Climate Resilience Consulting Josh Foster, Oregon State University Eric Mielbrecht, Directing Scientist and Chief of Operations, EcoAdapt Dr. Susanne Moser, Research Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment at Stanford University James Murley, Chief Resilience Officer, Miami-Dade County American Society of Adaptation Professionals Policy Recommendations Working Group Shannon Cunniff Gavin Dillingham, Houston Advanced Research Center Ira Feldman, Greentrack Tonya Graham, ClimateWise® Lisa Granquist, Northeastern University George Haddow, Bullock & Haddow LLC Edward Thomas, National Hazard Mitigation Association 4 References EPA. 2015. Climate Change in the United States: Benefits of Global Action. United States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Atmospheric Programs, EPA 430-R-15-001. i Lu, Denise. "Here’s Every Billion-dollar Weather Disaster in the U.S. since 1980." Washington Post. 18 Aug. 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/billion-dollar-disasters. ii Gorte, P. 2013. The Rising Cost of Wildfire Protection. http://headwaterseconomics.org/wphw/wpcontent/uploads/fire-costs-background-report.pdf iii IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. 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