Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ doi:10.5194/nhess-11-383-2011 © Author(s) 2011. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Rogue waves and downshifting in the presence of damping A. Islas and C. M. Schober Department of Mathematics, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA Received: 2 October 2010 – Revised: 6 December 2010 – Accepted: 13 December 2010 – Published: 9 February 2011 Abstract. Recently Gramstad and Trulsen derived a new higher order nonlinear Schrödinger (HONLS) equation which is Hamiltonian (Gramstad and Trulsen, 2011). We investigate the effects of dissipation on the development of rogue waves and downshifting by adding an additonal nonlinear damping term and a uniform linear damping term to this new HONLS equation. We find irreversible downshifting occurs when the nonlinear damping is the dominant damping effect. In particular, when only nonlinear damping is present, permanent downshifting occurs for all values of the nonlinear damping parameter β. Significantly, rogue waves do not develop after the downshifting becomes permanent. Thus in our experiments permanent downshifting serves as an indicator that damping is sufficient to prevent the further development of rogue waves. We examine the generation of rogue waves in the presence of damping for sea states characterized by JONSWAP spectrum. Using the inverse spectral theory of the NLS equation, simulations of the NLS and damped HONLS equations using JONSWAP initial data consistently show that rogue wave events are well predicted by proximity to homoclinic data, as measured by the spectral splitting distance δ. We define δcutoff by requiring that 95% of the rogue waves occur for δ < δcutoff . We find that δcutoff decreases as the strength of the damping increases, indicating that for stronger damping the JONSWAP initial data must be closer to homoclinic data for rogue waves to occur. As a result when damping is present the proximity to homoclinic data and instabilities is more crucial for the development of rogue waves. Correspondence to: C. M. Schober ([email protected]) 1 Introduction Some theoretical models attribute the development of rogue waves in deep water to a nonlinear focusing of uncorrelated waves in a very localized region of the sea. This focusing may be related to the BenjaminFeir (BF) instability, described to leading order by the nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equation (Henderson et al., 1999; Kharif and Pelinovsky, 2001, 2004). Homoclinic orbits of modulationally unstable solutions of the NLS equation which undergo large amplitude excursions away from their target solution exhibit many of the observed properties of rogue waves and can be used to model rogue waves (Osborne et al., 2000; Calini and Schober, 2002). A more accurate description of the water wave dynamics is obtained by retaining higher order terms in the asymptotic expansion for the surface wave displacement. A commonly used higher order NLS equation is the Dysthe equation (Dysthe, 1979). Homoclinic orbits of the unstable Stokes wave have been shown to be robust to the higher order corrections in the Dysthe equation. Laboratory experiments conducted in conjunction with numerical simulations of the Dysthe equation established that the generic long-time evolution of initial data near an unstable Stokes wave with two or more unstable modes is chaotic (Ablowitz et al., 2000, 2001). Subsequent studies of the Dysthe equation showed that for a rather general class of such initial data, the modulational instability leads to high amplitude waves, structurally similar to the optimal phase modulated homoclinic solutions of the NLS equation, rising intermittently above a chaotic background (Calini and Schober, 2002; Schober, 2006). These earlier studies relating homoclinic solutions and rogue waves ignored the fact that the Dysthe equation is not Hamiltonian and neglected damping which, even when weak, can have a significant effect on the wave dynamics. Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. 384 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting Recently Gramstad and Trulsen (2011) brought the Dysthe equation into Hamiltonian form obtaining a new higher order nonlinear Schrödinger (HONLS) equation (Gramstad and Trulsen, 2011). In this paper we investigate the effects of dissipation on the development of rogue waves and downshifting in one space dimension by adding a nonlinear damping term (the β-term which damps the mean flow Kato and Oikawa, 1995) and a uniform linear damping term to this new HONLS equation. The governing equations and their properties are set up in Sect. 2. Downshifting in the evolution of nearly uniform plane waves was first observed by Lake et al. (1977). Their experiment showed that after the wavetrain becomes strongly modulated, it recurs as a nearly uniform wavetrain with the dominant frequency permanently downshifted. Permanent downshifting has been confirmed in other laboratory experiments on the evolution of the Stokes wave (Su, 1982; Huang et al., 1996). Conservative models have been inadequate in describing permanent downshifting and several damped models have been suggested, e.g. where the damping is modeling wave breaking or eddy viscosity to capture downshifting (Trulsen and Dysthe, 1990; Hara and Mei, 1991, 1994). Our previous studies of rogue waves show that an neighborhood of the unstable plane wave (the same regime in which Lake examined downshifting) is effectively a rogue wave regime for the Dysthe equation since the likelihood of obtaining a rogue wave is extremely high. We reexamine this issue in Sect. 3 using the new HONLS equation. In Sect. 4, using initial data for an unstable modulated wavetrain we examine whether irreversible downshifting (although here downshifting of the wave number is considered) occurs in our damped HONLS equation and what characterizes the damped wave train evolution on a short and long time scale. We find that rogue waves may emerge in both the linear and nonlinear damped regimes that were not present without damping. Although damping decreases the growth rates of the individual modes, the modes may coalesce due to changes in their focusing times, thus resulting in larger waves in the damped regime. Even so, on average, the strength is smaller and fewer rogue waves occur when damping is present. While downshifting is not expected in the linearly damped case, we examine the effect of linear damping on the development of rogue waves due to its widespread use in modeling dissipative processes. The nonlinear β-term models damping of the mean flow and since it is large only near the crest ofthe envelope, the damping is localized when the wavetrain is strongly modulated. Due to the BF instability, irreversible downshifting occurs when the nonlinear damping is the dominant damping effect. In particular, when only nonlinear damping is present, permanent downshifting occurs for all values of the nonlinear damping parameter β, appearing abruptly for larger values of β. Significantly, we find that after permanent downshifting occurs, rogue waves do not appear in the nonlinearly damped evolution. Thus in our experiments permanent downshifting serves as an indicator that there has been sufficient cumulative damping to inhibit the further development of rogue waves. Developing sea states, where nonlinear wave-wave interactions continue to occur, are described by the Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) power spectrum. A spectral quantity, the splitting distance δ between simple periodic points of the Floquet spectrum of the associated AKNS spectral problem of the initial condition may be used to measure the proximity in spectral space to unstable waves and homoclinic data of the NLS equation. In (Islas and Schober, 2005; Schober, 2006), simulations of both the NLS and Dysthe equations using JONSWAP initial data consistently show that rogue wave events are well predicted by proximity to homoclinic data, as measured by δ. In Sect. 5 we examine the generation of rogue waves in the presence of damping for sea states characterized by JONSWAP spectrum. Using the damped HONLS equation we find that both the strength and likelihood of rogue waves occuring in a given simulation are typically smaller when damping is present. We define δcutoff by requiring that 95% of the rogue waves occur for δ < δcutoff . Significantly, we find that δcutoff is generally decreasing as the strength of the damping increases. Thus when damping is present the JONSWAP initial data must be closer to instabilities and homoclinic data for rogue waves to occur. The proximity to homoclinic data and instabilities becomes more essential for the development of rogue waves when damping is present. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 2 2.1 Analytical background A new damped higher order nonlinear Schrödinger equation The equations for inviscid deep water waves, as well as the nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equation, can be derived from a Lagrangian. Ideally, a higher order NLS equation would retain this feature. The commonly used higher order NLS equation (Dysthe, 1979), often referred to as Dysthe’s equation, is not Hamiltonian and does not conserve momentum. Recently, Gramstad and TRulsen used the Zakharov equation enhanced with the Krasitskii kernel (Krasitskii, 1994) to bring the Dysthe equation into Hamiltonian form, obtaining a new higher order nonlinear Schrödinger (HONLS) equation (Gramstad and Trulsen, 2011). In order to examine rogue waves and downshifting in deep water we consider the HONLS equation of Gramstad and Trulsen with periodic boundary conditions, u(x,t) = u(x + L,t), and add damping as follows: www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting iut + uxx + 2|u|2 u + i0u + i h 1 uxxx − 8|u|2 ux − 2ui (1 + iβ) H |u|2 2 i x = 0, (1) where H (f ) represents the Hilbert transform of f . Throughout this paper “HONLS equation” refers to (1) with 0 = 0 and β = 0. The Hamiltonian for the HONLS equation is given by Z Ln H= −i|ux |2 + i|u|4 − ux u∗xx − u∗x uxx 4 0 h i o dx. + 2|u|2 u∗ ux − uu∗x + i|u|2 H |u|2 (2) x Uniform linear damping occurs for 0 > 0 and β = 0 and has been used extensively to study damping of wave trains with comparisons to physcial wave-tank experiments (Segur et al., 2005). Localized nonlinear damping of the mean flow occurs for ,β > 0 and 0 = 0 and it was introduced to investigate downshifting in deep water waves (Kato and Oikawa, 1995). 2.1.1 Energy, energy flux, and the spectral center The mass or wave energy, E, and the momentum or total energy flux, P , are defined by Z L Z L |u|2 dx, and P = i u∗ ux − uu∗x dx . E= 0 0 Thus the total energy is conserved for the HONLS equation (0 = β = 0) and is dissipated if either 0 or β is positive. The total energy flux is related to the symmetry of the Fourier modes since P can be written as P = −2L k |û−k |2 − |ûk |2 . Since the evolution of the total energy flux is Z L u 0 ∗ ux − uu∗x h i 0 + 2β H |u|2 dx , x (4) the momentum is conserved by the HONLS equation. In contrast the momentum for the Dysthe equation exhibited small oscillations in time (Islas and Schober, 2010). www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ km = − 1P . 2E (5) The wave train is understood to experience a permanent frequency downshift when the spectral center km decreases monotonically in “time” or there is a permanent downshift of the spectral peak kpeak (Trulsen and Dysthe, 1997a). Given that the energy and momentum are conserved by the HONLS equation, the spectral center, which is given by their ratio, is also conserved. In the linearly damped model, 0 > 0,β = 0, from Eqs. (3) and (4) it follows that the energy and momentum have a simple time dependence: E(t) = E(0)exp(−20t) P (t) = P (0)exp(−20t) . (6) (7) Thus the spectral center km is constant in time for the linearly damped HONLS equation and downshifting will not occur. Linear stability of the Stokes wave The HONLS equation admits a uniform wave train solution, the Stokes wave, 2 ua (x,t) = ae2ia t . (8) Fourier analysis shows that this plane wave solution is unstable to sideband perturbations. When its amplitude a is sufficiently large, for 0 < π n/L < a, the solution of the linearized NLS equation about ua has M linearly unstable modes (UMs) ei(σn t+2π nx/L) with growth rates σn given by σn2 = µ2n µ2n − 4a 2 , µn = 2π n/L , (9) where M is the largest integer satisfying 0 < M < aL/π. We refer to this as the M-unstable mode regime. 2.2 k=1 dP = −2i dt Using the Fourier spectrum of u(x,t), ûk , two different choices of diagnostic frequencies can be used to measure downshifting. On the one hand, the dominant mode or spectral peak intuitively corresponds to the k for which |ûk | achieves its maximum and is denoted as kpeak . On the other hand, Uchiyama and Kawahara defined the wave number for the spectral center or mean frequency of the spectrum as (Uchiyama and Kawahara, 1994): 2.1.2 To show damping occurs for positive β or 0, one finds that Z L h i dE = −2 |u|2 0 + 2β H |u|2 dx . x dt 0 P ikx , Expanding u and |u|2 in Fourier series, u = ∞ k=−∞ ûk e P ikx + B ∗ e−ikx , |u|2 = ∞ k=0 Bk e k # " ∞ ∞ X X dE 2 2 (3) = −2L 0 |ûk | + 2β k|Bk | . dt k=−∞ k=1 ∞ X 385 Integrable theory of the nonlinear Schrödinger equation In previous studies of sea states described by the JONSWAP power spectrum we showed a nonlinear spectral decomposition of the data provides relevant information on the likelihood of rogue waves. Here we briefly review the spectral theory of the nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equation, iut + uxx + 2|u|2 u = 0 . (10) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 directly fromfrom the linearization. EachEach imaginary The nonlinear spectral decomposition of an NLS initialcomputed computed directly the linearization. imaginary condition (or in (or general of an ensemble of JONSWAP initialinitialdouble pointpoint “labels” the associated unstable mode (Calini condition in general of an ensemble of JONSWAP double “labels” the associated unstable mode (Calini data) isdata) based on theon inverse spectral theorytheory of theofNLS is based the inverse spectral the equaNLS equa-& Schober, 2002). & Schober, 2002). tion. For boundary conditions u(x +u(x L,t) u(x,t), tion.periodic For periodic boundary conditions += L,t) = u(x,t), 386 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting the Floquet spectrum associated with an potential NLS potential the Floquet spectrum associated with an NLS u (i.e.u (i.e. the spectrum the linear operator at u)becan be described the spectrum of the of linear operator L(x) atL(x) u) can described λ− planeλ− plane The NLS equation is equivalent in of terms the Floquet discriminant ofsolvability u, defined astrace the trace in terms the of Floquet discriminant oftou,thedefined as thecondition λ − plane of the AKNS system, the pair of first-order linear systems λ − plane the transfer of a fundamental solution of the of transfer matrixmatrix of a fundamental matrixmatrix solution Φ of Φ of (Zakharov and Shabat, 1972): (11)the over the interval [0,L] (Ablowitz & Segur, 1981): (11) over interval [0,L] (Ablowitz & Segur, 1981): (x) (t) (11) L φ = 0, L φ = 0 , −1 −1 ∆(u;λ) = Trace Φ(x,t;λ) + L,t;λ) . ∆(u;λ) = Trace Φ(x,t;λ) Φ(x +Φ(x L,t;λ) . for a vector-valued function φ. The operator L(x) is given by the Floquet spectrum is defined the region Then, Then, the Floquet spectrum isdefined as theasregion ∂x + iλ −u (x) L = ∗ u{λ ∂I{λ iλ C|∆(u;λ) I ∈ IR,−2 ∈ IR,−2 ≤2}. ∆ ≤ 2}. x −∈ σ(u) =σ(u) ∈=C|∆(u;λ) ≤∆≤ and depends x and t through the of potential u andfor on which the theoncontinuous spectrum uthose are those PointsPoints of the of continuous spectrum of u are for which (a) (b) spectral parameter λ. the eigenvalues of the transfer matrix havemodulus, unit modulus, and the eigenvalues of the transfer matrix have unit and The nonlinear spectral decomposition of −2; an NLS initial Fig. 1.Spectrum Spectrum of a) (a)ofaa a) generic unstable N-phase solution and Fig. 1: Spectrum a generic unstable N-phase solution therefore ∆(u;λ) isand realbetween and between and in particular, Fig. 1: of generic unstable N-phase solution therefore ∆(u;λ) is real 2 ensemble and 2−2; inofparticular, condition (or in general of an JONSWAP (b)and the plane wave solution. The simpleThe periodic eigenvalues are b) the plane wave solution. simple periodic eigenthe real line is part of the continuous spectrum. Points of the b) the plane wave solution. The simple periodic eigenthe real line data) is partisofbased the continuous spectrum. Points of of thethe andlabeled initial on the inverse spectral theory by are circles and the double points by crosses. values labeled by circles and the double points by crosses. L-periodic/antiperiodic discrete spectrum of u are those for L-periodic/antiperiodic discrete spectrum of uconditions are those u(x for + values are labeled by circles and the double points by crosses. NLS equation. For periodic boundary which the eigenvalues of the transfer matrix areequiva±1, equivawhichL,t) the = eigenvalues of the transfer matrix are ±1, u(x,t), the Floquet spectrum associated with an NLS lently ∆(u;λ) ±2. Points of the discrete spectrum (x) atwhich lentlypotential ∆(u;λ) =(i.e. ±2.= Points of the which u the spectrum of discrete the linearspectrum operator L u) As a concrete example consider the plane wave solution, are embedded in a continuous band of spectrum are critical 2t are embedded in a continuous spectrum are critical can be described in terms band of theof Floquet discriminant of u, ua (x,t) = ae2ia √ , whose Floquet discriminant is given by points for the Floquet discriminant (i.e., d∆/dλ must vanish pointsdefined for theas Floquet discriminant (i.e.,matrix d∆/dλofmust vanish the trace of the transfer a fundamental a 2 + λ2 L). The resulting Floquet spectrum 1(a,λ) = 2cos( at such points). S equations 3 1b) Rogue waves in the NLS and HONLS at such points). matrix solution 8 of (11) over the interval [0, L] (Ablowitz 3 (Fig. consists of the continuous bands IR [−ia,ia], and Rogue waves in the NLS and HONLS equations the transfer matrix only changes by conjugation andSince Segur, 1981): Since the transfer matrix only changes by conjugation a discrete part containing the simple periodic/antiperiodic when we shift in x or t, ∆ is independent of those variwhen we shift in x or t, ∆ is independent of those varieigenvalues ±ia, and solutions the infiniteofsequence double points Homoclinic the NLSofequation as models −1 ables. An important consequence this observation is that3.1 3.1 Homoclinic solutions of the NLS equation as models = Trace 8(x,t;λ) 8(x +of L,t;λ) . ables.1(u;λ) An important consequence of this observation is that for rogue waves the Floquet discriminant is invariant under the NLS flow, 2 for rogue2 waves λ = (j π/L) − a 2 , j ∈Z. (12) the Floquet discriminant is invariant under the NLS flow, and thus encodesspectrum an infinite family as ofthe constants of motion j Then, the Floquet is defined region and thus encodes an infinite family of constants of motion The NLS of equation admits modulationally unstable periodic (parametrized by λ). The number imaginary points, obtained for periodic 0≤j < The NLS equation admits double modulationally unstable (parametrized by λ). σ (u) = {λ ∈ C|1(u;λ) I IR,−2 ≤ 1spectrum ≤ 2}. solutions with homoclinic orbits that can undergo large The continuous part∈of Floquet of a generic NLS aL/π, with the orbits number of can unstable modes (Eq.am9) amsolutions coincides with homoclinic that undergo large The continuous part of Floquet spectrum of a generic NLS plitude excursions away from their target solution. Such hopotential consists of the real axis and of complex bands ter- computed directlyaway fromfrom the their linearization. Each imaginary Points of the of continuous spectrum ofcomplex u are those for which plitude excursions targetrogue solution. Such hopotential consists the real axis bands s and of ′ termoclinic orbits can be used to model waves. An examminating in simple points λ (at which ∆ = ±2,∆ = 6 0). The j matrix have unit′ modulus, and s double orbits point can “labels” the to associated unstable mode the eigenvalues of theλtransfer moclinic be model rogue waves. An(Calini examminating in simple points (at which ∆ = ±2,∆ 6= 0). The j those ple is provided by used the unstable plane wave solution ua (x,t) = N -phase potentials are characterized by a finite number and Schober, 2002). therefore 1(u;λ) isthose real and between 2 by anda −2; innumber particular, ple is provided 2 by the unstable plane wave solution u (x,t) = N -phase potentials are characterized finite a 2ia t of bands of continuous spectrum (or a finite number of simwhere the number of unstable modes (UMs) is pro2 the of realcontinuous line is partspectrum of the continuous spectrum. Points of ae2iaae t of bands (or a finite number of simwhere of unstable modes is propleL-periodic/antiperiodic points). Fig. 1a shows discrete the spectrum of a typical -phase vided by the eq. number (9). For each UM there(UMs) is a correspondthe spectrum ofN u -phase areNthose ple points). Fig. 1a shows the spectrum of a typical vided by eq. (9). For each UM there is a correspondpotential: complex criticalofpoints (usuallymatrix doubleare points homoclinic A global representation of the homoRogue waves inorbit. the NLS and HONLS equations for which the eigenvalues the transfer ±1, of 3 ing potential: complex critical points (usually ′ double points of ing homoclinic orbit. Aobtained global representation of the the discrete spectrum for which ∆ = 0 and ∆” = 6 0), such clinic orbits can be by exponentiating thehomolinear inequivalently 1(u;λ) = ±2. Points ofand the ∆” discrete spectrum ′ the discrete spectrum for which ∆ = 0 = 6 0), such clinic orbits can be obtained by exponentiating the linear as the one appearing in the figure, are in general associated stabilities via Bäcklund transformations (Matveev &inSalle, 3.1 Homoclinic solutions of the NLS equation as models which are embedded in a continuous band of spectrum are as the with one appearing in the figure, are in general associated stabilities via Bäcklund transformations (Matveev & Salle, linear instabilities of u and label its homoclinic orbits 1991; McLaughlin & Schober, 1992). Moreover, for NLS for rogue waves critical points for the Floquet discriminant (i.e., d1/dλ must with linear instabilities of u and label its homoclinic orbits 1991; McLaughlin & Schober, 1992). Moreover, for NLS (Ercolani et al., 1990). potentials with several UMs, iterated Bäcklund transformavanish at such points). (ErcolaniAs et al., 1990). example consider the plane wave solution,potentials with several UMs,modulationally iterated Bäcklund transformaThe NLSwill equation admits periodic tions generate their entire stable andunstable unstable manifolds, Sincea concrete the transfer matrix only changes by conjugation 2ia2 t As when auaconcrete example consider the plane wave solution, tions will generate their entire stable and unstable manifolds, solutions with homoclinic orbits that can undergo large up comprised of homoclinic orbits of increasing dimension (x,t) = ae , whose Floquet discriminant is given by we shift in √ x or t, 1 is independent of those variables. 2 t of homoclinic orbits oftheir increasing dimension up ua (x,t) =important ae2ia , whose Floquet discriminant is given bythe comprised amplitude excursions away from target solution. Such λ2 L). Floquet spectrum to the dimension of the invariant manifolds. Such highera2 + ∆(a,λ) =√ 2cos( An consequence ofThe thisresulting observation is that S 2 L). The resulting Floquet spectrum to the dimension of the invariant manifolds. Such highera2 + λof ∆(a,λ) = 2cos( homoclinic orbits can be used to model rogue waves. An (Fig. 1b)discriminant consists the continuous bands I R [−ia,ia], and dimensional homoclinic orbits are also known as combinaFloquet is invariant under the NLS flow, and S (Fig. 1b) consists of an the continuous [−ia,ia], and dimensional are also plane knownwave as combinaexample ishomoclinic provided byorbits the unstable solution a discrete part containing thebands simple periodic/antiperiodic tion homoclinic orbits. thus encodes infinite family of IR constants of motion 2t a discrete part containing tion orbits. uahomoclinic (x,t) = ae2ia where the number of unstable modes (parametrized by λ). the simple periodic/antiperiodic (UMs) is provided by Eq. (9). For each UM there is a The continuous part of Floquet spectrum of a generic NLS corresponding homoclinic orbit. A global representation of potential consists of the real axis and of complex bands the homoclinic orbits can be obtained by exponentiating the terminating in simple points λsj (at which 1 = ±2,10 6= linear instabilities via Bäcklund transformations (Matveev 0). The N-phase potentials are those characterized by a and Salle, 1991; McLaughlin and Schober, 1992). Moreover, finite number of bands of continuous spectrum (or a finite for NLS potentials with several UMs, iterated Bäcklund number of simple points). Figure 1a shows the spectrum of transformations will generate their entire stable and unstable a typical N-phase potential: complex critical points (usually manifolds, comprised of homoclinic orbits of increasing double points of the discrete spectrum for which 10 = 0 and dimension up to the dimension of the invariant manifolds. 100 6 = 0), such as the one appearing in the figure, are in general associated with linear instabilities of u and label its Such higher-dimensional homoclinic orbits are also known as combination homoclinic orbits. homoclinic orbits (Ercolani et al., 1990). Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 387 3.1.2 Phase modulated rogue waves As the number of UMs increases, the space-time structure of the homoclinic solutions becomes more complex. When two or more UMs are present the initial wave train can be phase modulated to produce additional focusing. The family of homoclinic orbits of the plane wave potential with two UMs is given by an expression of the form u(x,t) = ae2ia 2t g(x,t) , f (x,t) (15) where the expression for f (x,t) and g(x,t) depend on the two spatial modes cos(2nπ x/L), cos(2mπ x/L), and on temporal exponential factors q exp(σn t + ρn ), exp(σm t + ρm ), Fig. 2. Amplitude √ plot of a homoclinic orbit of the Stokes wave with a = 0.5, L = 2 2π. 3.1.1 One unstable mode rogue wave solutions A single (i.e. lowest dimensional) homoclinic orbit of the plane wave potential is given by u(x,t) = ae−2ia 2t 1 + 2cos(px)eσn t+2iφ+ρ + Ae2σn t+4iφ+2ρ 1 + 2cos(px)eσ1 t+ρ + Ae2σn t+2ρ (13) p where A = 1/cos2 φ, σn = ±p 4a 2 − p2 , φ = sin−1 (p/2a), and p = µn = 2π n/L < a for some integer n. Each UM has an associated homoclinic orbit characterized by mode p = µn . Figure 2 shows the space-time plot of the amplitude |u(x,t)| √ of a homoclinic orbit with one UM, for a = 0.5, L = 2 2π and p = 2π/L. As t → ±∞, solution (13) limits to the plane wave potential; in fact, the plane wave behavior dominates the dynamics of the homoclinic solution for most of its lifetime. As t approaches t0 = 0, nonlinear focusing occurs due to the BF instability and the solution rises to a maximum height of 2.4a. Thus, the homoclinic solution with one UM can be regarded as the simplest model of rogue wave. An almost equally dramatic wave trough occurs close to the crest of the rogue wave as a result of wave compression due to wave dislocation. The amplitude amplification factor is given by Af = maxx∈[0,L],t∈IR |u(x,t)| ≈ 2.4 . limt→±∞ |u(x,t)| www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ (14) with growth rates σl = µl µ2l − 4a 2 , µl = 2π l/L. (The complete formulas can be found in Calini et al., 1996; Calini and Schober, 2002.) As in the one-UM case, this combination homoclinic orbit decays to the plane wave potential as t → ±∞, and the associated rogue wave remains hidden beneath the background plane wave for most of its lifetime. The temporal separation of the two spatial modes depends upon a parameter ρ related to the difference ρn −ρm in the temporal phases (Calini et al., 1996; Calini and Schober, 2002). In turn, ρ affects the amplitude amplification factor. Figure 3a–b shows the combination homoclinic orbit (15) obtained with all parameters set equal except for ρ. In Fig. 3a, ρ = .1, the modes are well separated, and the amplitude amplification factor is roughly three. In Fig. 3b, the value of ρ is approximately −0.65, corresponding to the two UMs being simultaneously excited or coalesced. For this value of ρ the amplitude amplification factor is maximal and the rogue wave rises to a height of 4.1 times the height of the carrier wave. The surface plot of |u(x,t)| has been rotated in Fig. 3b to facilitate comparison with Fig. 4a. Figure 3a shows focusing due to only weak amplitude modulation of the initial wave train; the growth in amplitude beginning at t ≈ 10 and at t ≈ 25 is due to the BF instability. However, in Fig. 3b focusing due to both amplitude and phase modulation occurs. The amplitude growth at t ≈ 10 is due to the BF instability, while the additional very rapid focusing at t ≈ 18.4 is due to the phase modulation. In general it is possible to select the phases in a combination homoclinic orbit with N spatial modes so that any number n (2 ≤ n ≤ N ) of modes coalesce at some fixed time. 3.2 Rogue waves in the higher order NLS equation In this section we examine the robustness of homoclinic solutions of the NLS equation, as well as frequency downshifting, when higher order terms are included in the wave dynamics. The HONLS equation (1) is solved numerically using a smoothed exponential time differencing integrator. The details of the method are provided in Sect. 4 Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 388 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 4 3 2 1 0 246 245 244 5 0 243 Fig. 3. Amplitude plots of the combination homoclinic orbit: (a) the phases are selected to produce well separated spatial modes; (b) shows a coalesced homoclinic orbit. and in references (Cox and Matthews, 2002; Khaliq et al., 2009). As expected, we find permanent downshifting does not occur in the HONLS equation. We find that the chaotic background increases the likelihood and amplitude of rogue waves as compared to predictions obtained with the NLS equation. We choose initial data that are small perturbations of the unstable plane wave potential, u(x,0) = a(1 + 0.1cosµx), (16) where the amplitude a is varied to be in the two or √ three unstable mode regime with µ = 2π/L and L = 4 2π. Figure 4a illustrates a prominent rogue wave solution of Eq. (1), = 0.05,β = 0 = 0 for initial data (16) in the twoUM regime with a = 0.5, 456 < t < 461. The solution rapidly becomes chaotic (around t = 27) with rogue waves emerging intermittently afterwards. For example, at t ≈ Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 −5 Fig. 4. Rogue waves solutions for the HONLS equation ( = .05, 0 = β = 0) when (a) two and (b) three unstable modes are present. 459 a rogue wave rises with a maximum wave amplitude Umax ≈ 2.15. Comparing Fig. 4a with Fig. 3b one finds that the structure of this rogue wave is similar to that of the combination homoclinic solution (15) with coalesced spatial modes obtained when ρ = −0.65, although the wave amplification factor is slightly smaller. The symmetry breaking effects of the higher order terms in the HONLS equation prevent a complete spatial coalescence of the nonlinear modes. Numerical simulations of the HONLS equation in the three-UM regime, e.g. initial condition (16) with a = 0.7, show a similar phenomenon: after the onset of chaotic dynamics, rogue waves rise intermittently above the chaotic background (see Fig. 4b). At t ≈ 245 a rogue wave develops, Umax ≈ 3.59, which is close to the coalesced homoclinic solution of the NLS equation in the three-UM regime. Extensive numerical experiments were performed for the HONLS equation in the two- and three-UM regime, varying www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting (a) STRENGTH 2 1.5 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 TIME 120 140 160 180 200 1 (b) Fourier Modes: k=−3,−2,−1,0,1,2,3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 TIME 0.1 (c) 0 SPECTRAL CENTER favors the occurrence of +large amplitude−rogue u(x,0) = 0.7(1 + 0.1(cosµx 0.2(cos2µ(x L/4) waves, as compared to predictions obtained from the NLS equation. − L/3)))),we varied the perturbation (17) To +0.38cos3µ(x investigate downshifting √ strength in the HONLS equation and the parameters in the with L = 4 2π and ǫ = 0.05. initial data in the two- and three-UM regime. Typical results Figure 5a with shows time equation evolution(1)ofare theshown strength of 5 obtained thethe HONLS in Fig. u(x,t), for initial data Umax (t) = , u(x,0) = 0.7(1 +S(t) 0.1(cosµx + 0.2(cos2µ(x − L/4) (18) Hs (t) + 0.38cos3µ(x − L/3)))), (17) where Umax (t)√= maxx∈[0,L] |u(x,t)| and Hs (t) is the signif= 4 2π and = 0.05. icantwith waveLheight, defined as 4 times the standard deviation of Figure 5a shows the time evolution of the strength of the surface elevation. Rogue waves occur throughout the time u(x,t), series whenever the strength exceeds the threshold criteria of Umax (t) the time evolution of the main Fourier 2.2. S(t) Figure = 5b shows , (18) Hsfor (t) k = 0,±1,...,±4. During each of the modmodes |Ak (t)| ulation stages the loses energy as the upper and where Umax (t)zeroth = maxmode x∈[0,L] |u(x,t)| and Hs (t) is the signifilowercant higher become Forstandard 0 < t < 200 the waveharmonics height, defined as excited. 4 times the deviation total of energy and theelevation. total energy flux waves are constant. This althe surface Rogue occur throughout lowsthe thetime energy flow back the zeroth mode seriestowhenever thetostrength exceeds the keeping threshold the spectral center constant (Fig. 5c). The plot of kpeak criteria of 2.2. kFigure 5b shows the time evolution of the m main Fourier modes |A (t)| for k = 0, ±1,...,±4. During (Fig. 5d) confirms that permanent frequency downshifting k of the modulation stages thewhen zerothsteeper mode loses doeseach not occur. As expected, even wavesenergy are as the upper and lower higher harmonics become obtained, permanent frequency downshifting does not excited. occur 0 < t <numerical 200 the total energy and the total energy flux are in theFor HONLS experiments, indicating the necesconstant. This allows the energy to flow back to the zeroth sity of a dissipative or nonconservative process. mode keeping the spectral center km constant (Fig. 5c). The plot of kpeak (Fig. 5d) confirms that permanent frequency downshifting occur. As expected, even when steeper 4 Rogue wavesdoes andnotdownshifting in the presence of waves are obtained, permanent frequency downshifting does damping not occur in the HONLS numerical experiments, indicating necessity a dissipative nonconservative of process. In thethelast sectionofwe saw that anorǫ-neighborhood the unstable plane wave with two or more UMS is effectively a www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ 2.5 −0.1 −0.2 −0.3 −0.4 −0.5 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 TIME 133 (d) 132 131 SPECTRAL PEAK the NLS equation they occur only once or twice, depnding the perturbation strength , the amplitude a and adding in on whether the modes are coalesced or not. In the damped some random phases φi ’s in the initial data. In all cases, the HONLS, they occur irregularly over a emerges short time period but coalesced homoclinic NLS solution generically as a eventually are damped out. structurally stable feature of the perturbed dynamics. The The chaotic regime produces focusing effecoccurence of rogue additional wave in the HONLSbyequation tivelyis selecting optimal phase modulations and the chaotic distinct from their occurence in the NLS or the damped dynamics singles out theIn maximally HONLS equations. the HONLScoalesced equation, homoclinic rogue waves solutions of theintermittently unperturbedthroughout NLS equation physically ob-In will occur very as long time series. servable rogueequation waves. Moreover, of larger amthe NLS they occur the onlylikelihood once or twice, depnding plitude waves (see e. g. Fig. 4) increases for the HONLS on whether the modes are coalesced or not. In the damped HONLS, they occur irregularly over a short developed time period in but equation, as substantiated by the diagnostics eventually are damped section 5, correlating waveout. strengths in the NLS and HONLS chaotic to regime produces modelsThe to proximity homoclinic data.additional Thus, for focusing initial databy effectively selecting optimal phase modulations and the in the neighborhood of an unstable plane wave the underout the equation maximallyfavors coalesced lyingchaotic chaoticdynamics dynamicssingles of the HONLS the homoclinic solutions of the unperturbed NLS equation occurrence of large amplitude rogue waves, as compared toas physically observable waves. Moreover, the likelihood predictions obtained fromrogue the NLS equation. increases for of larger amplitude waves (see e.g. Fig. To investigate downshifting we varied the4)perturbation the HONLS equation, as substantiated by the diagnostics strength ǫ in the HONLS equation and the parameters in the developed in Sect. 5, correlating wave strengths in the NLS initial data in the two- and three-UM regime. Typical results and HONLS models to proximity to homoclinic data. Thus, obtained with the HONLS equation (1) are shown in Fig. 5 for initial data in the neighborhood of an unstable plane wave for initial data the underlying chaotic dynamics of the HONLS equation 389 130 129 128 127 126 125 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 TIME Fig. Γ = 0,0ǫ==0,0.05, = 0:β time Fig.5:5.The TheHONLS HONLSeq., equation, =β 0.05, = 0: evolutime evolution (a)strength the strength S(t), mainFourier Fourier mode, tion of (a)ofthe S(t), (b)(b)thethemain mode,(c)(c) thespectral spectral center (d) (d) the the spectral peak kpeak peak . kpeak . the centerkmk,mand , and spectral Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 4 (a) 3.5 3 2.5 STRENGTH rogue regime thedownshifting HONLS equation the probabil4 wave Rogue wavesfor and in theas presence ity of obtaining a rogue wave is high. In the numerical experiof damping ments we choose initial data that are small perturbations of an In theplane last section sawthethat an -neighborhood of the unstable wave towe study effects of linear and nonlinwith two of or rogue more UMS effectively ear unstable dampingplane on thewave development wavesisand downa rogue regime for the HONLS HONLSequation equationin as the shifting. We wave consider the damped nonprobabilityform of with obtaining a rogueterms waveonisthehigh. In the dimensional the damping same order numerical we choose initial Consequently data that are small or smaller thanexperiments the higher order NLS terms. we an unstabletoplane thewhere effects varyperturbations the dampingofcoefficients be 0 wave < ǫβ,toΓ study < O(ǫ), and nonlinear damping on the development of rogue ǫ isof thelinear coefficient of the higher order NLS terms. waves and downshifting. We consider the damped HONLS In the numerical experiments equation (1) is solved using equation in non-dimensional form with the damping terms a smoothing fourth-order exponential time differencing inon the same order or smaller than the higher order NLS tegrator (Cox & Matthews, 2002; Khaliq et al., 2009) that terms. Consequently we vary the damping coefficients to be avoids inaccuracies when inverting matrix polynomials by 0 < β, 0 < O(), where is the coefficient of the higher using Pade approximations. We use N = 256 Fourier modes order NLS terms. in space and a fourth-order Runge-Kutta discretization in In the numerical experiments Eq. (1) is solved using time (∆t = 10−3 ). The high frequency modes were elimia smoothing fourth-order exponential time differencing nated at every(Cox timeand step to avoid2002; aliasing by setting ûk =that 0 Matthews, Khaliq et al., 2009) integrator for avoids |k| > 120. Eliminating the high frequencies does not have inaccuracies when inverting matrix polynomials by a significant on the exchange betweenmodes the using Padeeffect approximations. We useofNenergy = 256 Fourier dominant low wave number modes and thus does not imin space and a fourth-order Runge-Kutta discretization pactinour results and rogue time (1t related = 10−3to ). frequency The highdownshifting frequency modes were waves. eliminated at every time step to avoid aliasing by setting ûk = 0 fortemporal |k| > 120.andEliminating the highallows frequencies not This spatial resolution for thedoes three have invariants a significant on the exchange of energy between integral of effect the conservative HONLS equation, E, −8not wave number and of thus does P , the anddominant H, to below conserved with anmodes accuracy O(10 ), −2 −2 impact our results related to frequency downshifting and O(10 ), O(10 ), respectively. The nonlinear mode contentrogue of thewaves. data is numerically computed using the direct specThis temporal and above, spatial i.e. resolution allows the (11) three tral transform described the system of for ODEs integral invariants conservative HONLS ∆. equation, is numerically solvedoftothe obtain the discriminant The ze-E, −8 to be conserved withwith an accuracy of O(10 ros Pof, and ∆ ±H, 2 are then determined a root solver based), −2 −2 O(10 (Ercolani ), respectively. TheThe nonlinear mode on O(10 Muller’s),method et al., 1990). spectrum is −6 content with of theandata is numerically usingthe thespecdirect computed accuracy of O(10computed ), whereas −3ODEs transform i.e. the system tralspectral quantities we aredescribed interestedabove, in range from O(10of ) to −1is numerically solved to obtain the discriminant 1. The (11) O(10 ). zeros of 1 ± 2 are then determined with a root solver based on Muller’s method (Ercolani et al., 1990). The spectrum 4.1 is The HONLS Equation with Linear −6 ), whereas the computed with an accuracy of O(10Damping spectral quantities we are interested in range from O(10−3 ) −1 ). O(10by Wetobegin examining the evolution of damped uniform wavetrains with initially one to three pairs of sidebands ex4.1 It The HONLS to equation linear damping cited. is important note in with comparisons of the damped and undamped dynamics that atypical cases may arise. Figbegin bythe examining thethe evolution of (solid damped uniform uresWe 6a-b show strength of wavetrain line) and wavetrains with initially one to three pairs of sidebands Umax (dashed line) for the undamped and linearly damped excited. It is important in comparisons the (Γ = 0.005) HONLS equationto(ǫnote = 0.05), respectively,offor damped and undamped dynamics that atypical cases may initial data√(16) in the two-UM regime: a = 0.5, µ = 2π/L 6a–b shows theone strength the wavetrain 2π. Contrary to what might of expect, Fig. 6b andarise. L = 4 Figure (solid line) and U (dashed line) for the undamped and shows a rogue wave max occuring at t ≈ 23 in the damped case linearly damped (0 = 0.005) HONLS equation ( = 0.05), with an enhanced strength ≈ 2.8 that was not present in the respectively, for initial data (16) in the two-UM regime: √ typically undamped evolution (Fig. 6a). This occurs for small a = 0.5, µ = 2π/L and L = 4 2π. Contrary to what one values of Γ or β where the smaller growth rates of the indimight expect, Fig. 6b shows a rogue wave occuring at t ≈ 23 vidual modes due to damping can be offset by a coalescence in the damped case with an enhanced strength ≈ 2.8 that of the modes due to changes in their focusing times. A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 2 1.5 1 0.5 Strength Umax 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 4 (b) 3.5 3 2.5 STRENGTH 390 2 1.5 1 0.5 Strength Umax 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Fig. 6. Strength S(t) (solid line) and Umax (dashed line) for Fig. 6: Strength S(t) (solid line) and Umax (dashed line) for (a) HONLS equation = 0.05; (b) HONLS equation with linear (a) HONLS Equation ǫ = 0.05; (b) HONLS Equation with damping, = 0.05, 0 = 0.006, for IC u0 = 0.5(1 + 0.1cosµx). Linear Damping, ǫ = 0.05, Γ = 0.006, for IC u0 = 0.5(1 + 0.1cosµx). was not present in the undamped evolution (Fig. 6a). This typically occurs for small values of 0 or β where the smaller growth rates of the individual modes due to damping can be offset by a coalescence of the modes due to changes in their focusing times. Weexamined examined the the HONLS HONLS equation with linear We linear damping damping for0.005 0.005≤≤Γ0≤≤0.05. 0.05. Although Although individual simulations for simulations may may yieldlarger largeramplification amplification factors factors in in the the damped yield damped regime, regime, we we findthat thatononaverage, average, presence of linear damping find in in thethe presence of linear damping (see (see 5.2 Sect. for confirmation withnonlinear the nonlinear spectral sec. for5.2 confirmation with the spectral diagdiagnostics), the strength is smaller and fewer rogue waves nostics), the strength is smaller and fewer rogue waves ococcur. Figure 7 shows the results obtained Eq. (1) cur. Figure 7 shows the results obtained withwith equation (1) forǫ==0.05, 0.05, Γ0==0.01, 0.01, ββ = =00 for for initial initial condition for condition (17) (17) for for 200. InInthe thelinearly linearlydamped damped evolution, evolution, Figs. Fig. 7a, 00<<t t<<200. 7a, the the lastrogue roguewave wave occurs ≈ 10; in contrast, in 5a Fig. 5a last occurs at tat≈t10; in contrast, in Fig. rogue rogue waves occur throughout the unperturbed HONLS time waves occur throughout the unperturbed HONLS time seseries. The total energy exponentially decays (Eq. 6) and the ries. The total energy exponentially decays (eq. 6) and the Fourier modes are uniformly damped. The total energy flux Fourier modes are uniformly damped. The total energy flux is constant, keeping the spectral center km zero. Permanent is constant, keeping the spectral center km zero. Permanent downshifting does not occur for the linearly damped HONLS downshifting does not occur for the linearly damped HONLS equation. equation. www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ the main Fourier modes, 0 < t < 200. ǫ = 0.05, β For small ergy and fl 4.2 The HONLS Equation with Nonlinear Damping larger β. A 391 Fig. 10a), m tion of the Time = 22.7 downshifti (dashed line ) of the nonlinearly damped HONLS equation evolution o for ǫ = 0.05, β = 0.1, Γ = 0, for initial condition (16). At tion (ǫ = 0 t = 22.7 the wavetrain is strongly modulated and we find that alternate v the β-term is significant only near the maximum crest of the occurence envelope. In general, steeper waves result in stronger damp- When b ing and the effects of the nonlinear β-term are concentrated the nonline in space-time when the wavetrain is strongly modulated. manent do To illustrate the effects of nonlinear damping on downlution of e initial data shifting we consider the solution of equation (1) with ǫ = waves occ 0.05, β = 0.5 and Γ = 0, for initial data (17), 0 < t < 50. Figs. smaller am 9(a-b) show the surface amplitude |u(x,t)| and the time evogrowth in t lution of the distribution strength, respectively. Twoline) rogue waves ∗ )|∗(solid )| (solid ofβ-term the occur Fig. Spatial |u(x,t Fig. 8.8:Spatial distribution of of |u(x,t line) and and of the the spectra ∗ t < 10, before damping has a chance early in theattime series, β-term (dashed at tfor =initial 22.7 for initial (16), condition for (16), = 0.05, (dashed line) t ∗line) = 22.7 condition Charact to alter the ǫsignificantly = 0.05, Γ= 0. growth rate of the modes and preβfor = 0.1, 0 = 0.β = 0.1, To charact vent further rogue waves from forming. Comparing Fig. 9b waves we fi and 9c, the onset downshifting occurs when the first TheFig. perturbation of theof Hilbert tranform term in equation nonlinear d 2 rogue wave at approximately t ≈ 6 when the β-term ]x . is referred to as the “β-term” and models (1), βu[H |u|appears amplitude is large. This produces an abrupt rapid decay in the energy nonlinear damping of the mean flow. Figure (8) shows the term is large. This produces an abrupt rapid decay in the spatial of |u(x,t (solid and of9e), theresulting β-term (Fig. distribution 9d) and in∗ )|the fluxline) (Fig. 9e), energy (Fig. 9d) growth and growth in the flux (Fig. resultingin a A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 3.5 (a) 1 0.9 3 0.8 STRENGTH 0.7 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 2 0.3 0.2 1.5 0.1 0 −10 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 TIME 1 (b) 0.9 0.8 FOURIER MODES 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 TIME Fig. HONLSeq.eq.with with linear damping: Γ = 0.01, ǫ= Fig.7: 7. The The HONLS linear damping: 0 = 0.01, = 0.05, β = 0.β = The of (a) the (b) the main 0.05, 0. time Theevolution time evolution of strength (a) the S(t) strength S(t) (b) Fourier 0 <modes, t < 200.0 < t < 200. the mainmodes, Fourier 4.2 The HONLS Equation with nonlinear damping 4.2 The HONLS Equation with Nonlinear Damping The perturbation of the Hilbert tranform term in Eq. (1), βu H |u|2 x . is referredTime to as the “β-term” and models = 22.7 nonlinear damping of the mean flow. Figure 8 shows the spatial distribution of |u(x,t ∗ )| (solid line) and of the β-term (dashed line) of the nonlinearly damped HONLS equation for = 0.05, β = 0.1, 0 = 0, for initial condition (16). At t = 22.7 the wavetrain is strongly modulated and we find that the β-term is significant only near the maximum crest of the envelope. In general, steeper waves result in stronger damping and the effects of the nonlinear β-term are concentrated in space-time when the wavetrain is strongly modulated. To illustrate the effects of nonlinear damping on downshifting we consider the solution of Eq. (1) with = 0.05, β = 0.5 and 0 = 0, for initial data (17), 0 < t < 50. ∗ )| (solid line) and the Fig. 8: Spatial distribution of |u(x,t Figure 9a–b shows the surface amplitude |u(x,t)| andofthe ∗ β-term (dashedofline) at t = 22.7 for initial condition (16), time evolution the strength, respectively. Two rogue waves for ǫ = 0.05, 0.1, Γ =series, 0. occur early β in=the time t < 10, before damping has a chance to significantly alter the growth rate of the modes and further of rogue waves from forming. Theprevent perturbation the Hilbert tranform termComparing in equation 2 the onset of downshifting occurs when the 9b and 9c, Fig. (1), βu[H |u| ]x . is referred to as the “β-term” and models first roguedamping wave appears approximately t ≈ 6(8) when the βnonlinear of theatmean flow. Figure shows the 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 −10 −8 −6 −4 −2 0 2 4 6 8 spatial distribution of |u(x,t∗ )| (solid line) and of the β-term www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ 10 −8 −6 −4 −2 0 2 4 6 8 10 shiftshift in theinspectral centercenter km (Fig. inrapid a rapid the spectral km 9f). (Fig.The 9f).downshiftThe ing becomes irreversible after t ≈ 17 when the wavetrain downshifting becomes irreversible after t ≈ 17 when the is demodulated and the lower modes k = −1,−4 become domwavetrain is demodulated and the lower modes k = −1,−4 inant. In the demodulation stage the β-term is small so become dominant. In the demodulation stage the β-term isthat the energy change at a change much slower rate. slower Thus km small so thatand the flux energy and flux at a much remains andnegative does notand upshift rate. Thusnegative km remains does back. not upshift back. Permanent downshifting is obtained forvalues all values of β. Permanent downshifting is obtained for all of β. As an example consider the solution of equation (1) with anAsexample consider the solution of Eq. (1) with = 0.05, 0.05,0β==0 0.04, Γ = data 0 for(17), initial 0 <small t < 200. βǫ==0.04, for initial 0 <data t < (17), 200. For small β there is a decay slow gradual decay in the βFor there is a slow gradual in the total energy andtotal flux enrather the abrupt obtained largerobtained β. As a for ergy than and flux ratherrapid than decay the abrupt rapidfordecay result wave at t ≈ 51 (Fig. 10a),atmuch largertheβ.last Asrogue a result theappears last rogue wave appears t ≈ 51 ( later formuch β = 0.5. the0.5. evolution of of thethe main Fig.than 10a), laterThe thanplot for of β= The plot evoluFourier (Fig. 10b) modes shows (Fig. permanent downshifting tion of modes the main Fourier 10b) shows permanent occurs at t ≈ 65. Figure which shows11, thewhich evolution of the downshifting occurs at 11, t ≈ 65. Figure shows kpeak for theof nonlinearly HONLSdamped equationHONLS ( = 0.05, evolution kpeak for damped the nonlinearly equa0tion = 0)(ǫwith β = 0.04 or β = 0.5, provides an alternate view = 0.05, Γ = 0) with β = 0.04 or β = 0.5, provides an ofalternate permanent downshifting for downshifting β 6= 0 and itsfor occurence at its view of permanent β 6= 0 and later times for smaller values of β. occurence at later times for smaller values of β. When nonlinear damping damping are are present presentand Whenboth both linear linear and and nonlinear and the nonlinear damping is dominant, the mechanism forperthe nonlinear damping is dominant, the mechanism for permanent downshifting is the same. Figure 12 shows the manent downshifting is the same. Fig. (12) shows the sosolution of equation Eq. 1 with(1) =with 0.05,ǫ β 0.5, β 0= = 0.005 initial for lution of == 0.05, 0.5, Γfor = 0.005 data (17), 0 < t < 50. Comparing to Fig. 9, the rogue waves initial data (17), 0 < t < 50. Comparing to Fig. (9), the rogue occur at occur approximately the same time with slightly smaller waves at approximately the same time with slightly amplitudes. An abrupt rapid decay in the energy and growth smaller amplitudes. An abrupt rapid decay in the energy and in the flux occurs as before leading to a rapid shift in the growth in the flux occurs as before leading to a rapid shift in spectral center km . the spectral center km . Characterization of the nonlinearly damped evolution: Characterization of the nonlinearly damped evolution To characterize the effects of nonlinear damping on rogue waves we fix ǫ = 0.05 and Γ = 0 in equation (1) and vary the Tononlinear characterize the effects of nonlinear rogue damping coefficient, 0 < β <damping 0.75, asonwell as the and vary waves we fix = 0.05 and 0 = 0 in Eq. (1) amplitude of the initial data in the three-UM regime: the nonlinear damping coefficient, 0 < β < 0.75, as well as the u(x,0) = a(1 + 0.01cosµx), (19) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 392 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting (a) (a)(a) (a) (a) (a) (e) (e) (e) (e) (e) (e) 11 1 1 1 1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 FLUX FLUX FLUX FLUX FLUX FLUX 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 (b) (b) (b) (b) (b) (b) 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 55 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 10 15 20 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 10 15 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 1 0.9 1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 25 30 25 30 30 25 25 30 TIME TIME 25 TIME 30 TIME TIME 25 TIME 30 35 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 40 45 4545 45 45 50 5050 50 35 40 45 50 50 (c) (c) (c) (c) (c) (c) FOURIER MODES FOURIER MODES FOURIER MODES MODES FOURIERMODES MODES FOURIER 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 11 1 0.1 55 5 5 5 5 1 1 25 25 25 TIME 25 TIME 25 TIME TIME TIME 25 TIME 30 35 40 45 50 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 30 35 40 45 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 40 40 45 45 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 50 50 1 (d) (d) (d) (d) (d) (d) 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 ENERGY ENERGY ENERGY ENERGY ENERGY ENERGY 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 0 00 0 00 0 0 0 15 20 35 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 40 45 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 50 30 35 40 45 50 (f) (f) (f) (f) (f) 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 −0.4 −0.5 −0.5 0 −0.5−0.5 00 −0.50 1.2 0.2 10 30 30 30 30 30 −0.3 −0.4 −0.4 −0.4−0.4 −0.4 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 00 00 0 0 00 0 0 0 5 25 25 25 25 TIME TIME 25 TIME TIME TIME 25 TIME −0.2 −0.3 −0.3 −0.3−0.3 −0.3 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.4 20 20 20 20 20 −0.1 −0.2 −0.2 −0.2−0.2 −0.2 2 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1 11 10 0 0 10 0 1 1 110 1 15 15 15 15 15 0 −0.1 −0.1 −0.1−0.1 −0.1 2 2 STRENGTH STRENGTH STRENGTH STRENGTH STRENGTH STRENGTH 2.2 2 2 2 1010 10 10 10 SPECTRAL CENTER SPECTRAL CENTER SPECTRAL CENTER SPECTRAL CENTER SPECTRALCENTER CENTER SPECTRAL 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 55 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 25 25 25 TIME 25 TIME 25 TIME TIME 25 TIME TIME Fig. 9: a-d Nonlinearly damped HONLS eq. ǫǫ = 0.05, = Fig.9: a-dNonlinearly Nonlinearlydamped dampedHONLS HONLSeq. eq.ǫǫ= =0.05, 0.05,βββ β= Fig. 9:9:a-d Nonlinearly Fig. damped HONLS eq. = 0.05, == Fig. 9:Γa-d a-d Nonlinearly damped HONLS eq. ǫ= 0.05, βevo= 0.5, = 0: a) Surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, and the time Fig. 9.Γ Nonlinearly damped HONLS equationeq. and =ǫthe 0.05, β =evo0.5, 0.5, = Surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, time evoFig. a-d Nonlinearly damped HONLS =the 0.05, βevo= 0.5, = 0:0:a) a)a)Surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, and time 0.5, Γ9:Γ = 0: amplitude |u(x,t)|, and the time =of 0: a) Surface Surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, and the time evolution (b) the strength S(t), (c) the main Fourier modes, 00.5, = 0:Γ (a) surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, and the time evolution of (b) lution of (b) the strength S(t), (c) the main Fourier modes, 0.5, Γ = 0: a) Surface amplitude |u(x,t)|, and the time evolution of (b) the strength S(t), (c) the main Fourier modes, lution of (b) the strength S(t), data (c) the the main Fourier Fourier modes, modes, lution of total (b) the strength S(t), (c) main (d) the energy, for initial (17). the strength S(t), (c) the main Fourier modes, (d)Fourier the totalmodes, energy, (d) the total energy, initial data (17). lution of (b) the strength S(t), (c)(17). the main (d) the total energy, forfor initial data (d) the total energy, for (d) initial data (17). for dataenergy, (17), thefortime evolution of (e) the total energy flux, (d)initial the total initial data (17). and (f) the spectral center km for initial data (17). Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 −0.5 0 555 5 5 10 101010 10 15 15 1515 15 20 20 2020 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 25 25 25 TIME TIME 25 TIME TIME TIME 25 TIME 30 35 40 45 50 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 30 35 40 45 50 Fig. e-f Nonlinearly damped HONLS eq. ǫǫ = = 0.05, = Fig. 9. Fig. 9:9: e-f damped eq. Fig.9: 9:Continued. e-fNonlinearly Nonlinearlydamped damped HONLS HONLSeq. eq.ǫ ǫ= = 0.05, 0.05,β ββ== Fig. Fig. 9:Γ e-f e-f0:Nonlinearly Nonlinearly dampedofHONLS HONLS eq. energy ǫ = 0.05, 0.05, β and = 0.5, = the time evolution (e) the total flux, 0.5,Γ9: = thetime timeevolution evolution of(e) (e)the thetotal total energy flux, 0.5, ΓΓ=e-f 0:0:Nonlinearly the evolution of (e) total energy flux, Fig. damped HONLS eq.energy ǫ = 0.05, β and = 0.5, 0: of 0.5, Γ= =spectral 0: the the time time evolution of (e) the the total energy flux, flux, and and (f) center k for initial data (17). (f)the the spectral center kmm forinitial initial data (17). 0.5, Γthe = 0: the time evolution of (e) data the total energy flux, and (f) the spectral center km for initial data (17). (f) spectral center k for (17). m (f) the spectral center km for initial data (17). (f) the spectral center km for initial data (17). amplitude of the initial data in the three-UM regime: √ √2π. Figure 13 √ √ with 0.57 < a < 0.67, µ = 2π/L, L = 4 √ with0.57 0.57 0.67,µµµ== =2π/L, 2π/L,LLL== = 4√ 4 2π. 2π. Figure Figure13 with 0.57 << <<0.67, 0.67, 2π. 13 with aaaa < u(x,0) =as< a< + (19) (1 with 0.57 <0.01cosµx), 0.67, of µ β: = 2π/L, 2π/L, L = 44value 2π.of Figure Figure 13 shows, function a) the final the spectral shows, asa<aaafunction function of β:a)2π/L, a)the thefinal final of the spectral with 0.57 afunction < 0.67,ofof µβ:β: = L =value 4value 2π. Figure 13 shows, as a) the final value of the spectral shows, as of the spectral √of the shows, as a, function of β: a)strength the finalmax value spectral center k b) the maximum S(t), c) the t∈[0,200] center0.57 kmm ,< b)the the maximum strength max S(t), shows, function of β: a) the final value the spectral with athe <maximum 0.67, µ= 2π/L, L = 4 of 2π. Figure 13 center b) maximum strength max S(t), c)the the center kkkas ,,a,b) strength max S(t), c) m t∈[0,200] m t∈[0,200] t∈[0,200] center b) the maximum strength max S(t), c)d) the m of rogue waves obtained for 0 < number t < 200, and the t∈[0,200] number rogue waves obtained for 0< < t< < 200, andd) center km ,ofrogue b) the waves maximum strength max S(t), c) number of obtained for 0 < t < 200, and the number of rogue waves obtained for 0 t 200, and d) the shows, as a function of β: (a) the final value of the spectral t∈[0,200] number ofthe rogue waves obtained forsolid 0 < tcurve < 200, and d) the time ofof last rogue wave. The represents the timeof last rogue wave.strength The solid curve represents number waves obtained for 0max <curve tcurve < 200, and d)(c) time last rogue wave. The solid represents the time ofof the last rogue wave. The solid represents the center kthe ,rogue (b) the maximum S(t), the mthe t∈[0,200] time of the last rogue wave. The solid curve represents the averages over the initial data. In the numerical experiments averages over the initial data. In the numerical experiments time of the last rogue wave. The solid curve represents thethe averages over the initial data. In the numerical experiments averages over the initial data. In the numerical experiments number of rogue waves obtained for 0 < t < 200, and (d) averages overthe thefollowing: initial data. In the numerical experiments we observe weobserve observe the following: averages over the initialwave. data. In thesolid numerical we the following: we observe the following: time of the last rogue The curve experiments represents the we observe the following: we observe the following: averages over the initial data. In the numerical experiments 1. The spectral center k (t) decreasing function of Thespectral spectral centerkkm km (t)isisis isa aadecreasing decreasingfunction functionofof oft ttt we the following: 1.1.1.observe The center (t) The spectral center (t) decreasing function 1. The spectral center kmmm (t) isisaanot decreasing function of t for all β > 0. Figure 13a showing the time evoforall allβββ>>>0.0.0. Figure 13aisisisisnot not showingthe thetime timeevoevo1. for The spectral center km13a (t) anot decreasing function ofevot Figure showing for all Figure 13a showing the time for all β > 0. Figure 13a is not showing the time evolution of k ,,Figure (see e.g. Fig. 9f for a typical example), 1. lution The center kmFig. (t) is decreasing function lution of k0.m (seee.g. e.g. Fig. 9fafor for typical example), for allspectral βof > 13a is not showing the example), time evo- of of kkm , ,(see 9f9f a aatypical m lution (see e.g. Fig. for typical example), lution of kβmm ,>(see e.g. Fig. 9f for a 200, typical example), but rather the final value of k at t = where smaller t for all 0. Figure 13a is not showing the time m but rather the final value of k at t = 200, where smaller lution of kthe , final (see e.g. for a200, typical example), but rather value ofofkkm9f atat t= where smaller m but rather the final valueFig. 200, where smaller but rather the final value of Fig. ktommm at9f t tfor ==200, where smaller values mean aam ,downshift aaat lower mode. Thus, perevolution of k (see e.g. a typical example), values mean downshift to lower mode. Thus, perbut rather the final value of k t = 200, where smaller values mean aadownshift totom a lower mode. Thus, pervalues mean downshift lower mode. Thus, pervalues mean downshift to kaamlower mode. Thus, permanent downshifting is observed all > 0 with the but rather theaa final value of atfor t for =mode. 200, smaller manent downshifting observed for allβββ β>where > with the values mean downshift to a lower Thus, permanent downshifting isisisobserved all 0 00with the manent downshifting observed for all > with the manent downshifting is observed for all β > 0 with the onset occuring rapidly for larger values of β. values mean rapidly arapidly downshift to values afor lower mode. Thus, onset occuring for larger values of β. manent downshifting is observed all β > 0 with the onset occuring for larger of β. onsetoccuring occuringrapidly rapidlyfor forlarger largervalues valuesofofβ.β. onset permanent downshifting is observed onset occuring rapidly for larger values for of β.all β > 0 with 2. the Figures 13b-c show that for small values of β the averonset occuring rapidly for larger values β.averFigures 13b-c show that for small values ofβof βthe the aver2.2.2.Figures 13b-c show that for small values ofof Figures 13b-cshow show thatfor fortime small values the aver2. Figures 13b-c that small values of ββnumber the average maximum strength in and average of age maximum strength in time and average number of 2. age Figures 13b-c show that for small values of β the avermaximum strength in time and average number age maximum strength intime time and average number of 2. age Figure 13b–cexhibit showsirregular that forbehavior. small values of obtain βof maximum strength in and average number ofthe rogue waves We may rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. We may obtain age maximum strength in time and average number of rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. We may obtain rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. We mayobtain obtain average maximum strength in time andWe average number rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. may more or larger rogue waves in the damped regime than moreor orlarger larger rogue wavesinin inthe thedamped damped regime than rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. Weregime may obtain more rogue waves than more or larger rogue waves the damped regime than of rogue waves exhibit irregular behavior. We may more or larger rogue waves in the damped regime than without damping for this time frame due to changes in without damping for this time frame due to changes in more or larger rogue waves in the damped regime than without damping for this time frame due to changes inin without damping for this time frame due to changes without damping for this time frame due to changes in obtain more or larger rogue waves in the damped regime the focusing time and coalescence of the modes. Howthe focusing time and coalescence of the modes. Howwithout damping for this time frame due to changes in the focusing time and coalescence of the modes. Howthe focusing time and coalescence the modes. Howthe focusing time and coalescence ofofthe modes. Howthan without damping for this time due to changes ever for large β, the maximum strength in time and numever for large β,the the maximum strength in time and numthe focusing time and coalescence offrame the modes. However for large β,β, maximum strength inin time and numever for large the maximum strength time and numever for large β, the maximum strength in time and numin the focusing time and coalescence of the modes. ber of rogue waves are, in general, decreasing. beroffor ofrogue roguewaves waves are,iningeneral, general, decreasing. ever large β, the maximum strength in time and number are, decreasing. ber ofrogue rogue waves are,the general,decreasing. decreasing. ber of waves are, iningeneral, However forwaves largeare, β, maximum strength in time and ber of rogue in general, decreasing. number of rogue waves are, in general, decreasing. www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 393 33 55 (a) (a) 2.8 2.8 22 SPECTRAL PEAK SPECTRAL PEAK 33 2.4 2.4 STRENGTH STRENGTH 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.2 22 1.8 1.8 11 00 −1 −1 1.6 1.6 −2 −2 1.4 1.4 −3 −3 1.2 1.2 −4 −4 11 00 (a) (a) 44 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 100 −5 −5 00 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 TIME TIME 11 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 100 55 (b) (b) 0.9 0.9 (b) (b) 44 0.8 0.8 FOURIER FOURIER MODES, MODES, kk == 0, 0, −4 −4 33 0.7 0.7 SPECTRAL SPECTRAL PEAK PEAK 22 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 11 00 −1 −1 0.3 0.3 −2 −2 0.2 0.2 −3 −3 0.1 0.1 −4 −4 00 00 50 50 TIME TIME 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 100 TIME TIME −5 −5 00 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 100 TIME TIME Fig. 10. The HONLS equation with nonlinear damping = 0.05, Fig. 10: The TheHONLS HONLSeq. eq. with with nonlinear nonlineardamping damping ǫǫ= =0.05, 0.05, Fig. 10: β = 0.04, 0 = 0: time evolution of (a) the strength S(t) and (b) the 0.04, Γ = 0: time evolution of (a) the strength S(t) and ββmain ==0.04, Γ = 0: time evolution of (a) the strength S(t) and Fourier modes for initial data (17). (b)the themain mainFourier Fouriermodes modesfor forinitial initialdata data(17). (17). (b) Fig.11. 11:The The evolution of kkpeak for the nonlinearly nonlinearly damped Fig. 11: The evolution the peak Fig. evolution of kof for thefor nonlinearly damped damped HONLS peak HONLSequation equation with0ǫǫ= =0.05, Γ= =β00= and (a)orββ(b) =0.04 0.04 orfor (b) equation with = 0.05, = 00.05, and Γ (a) 0.04 β = .5 HONLS with and (a) = or (b) (17). β= =.5 .5data forinitial initial data data (17). (17). βinitial for 3. For all values of the initial amplitude, the first rogue For all all values of of the the initial initial amplitude, the the first rogue rogue 3.3. For wave isvalues only slightly delayedamplitude, (t ≈ 6) for all β first considered wave is only slightly delayed (t ≈ 6) for all β considered wave is only slightly delayed (t ≈ 6) for all β considered (not shown). The time of the last rogue wave, Tl , (not shown). The timefor of the the lastβ. rogue wave, may (not time of last rogue wave, TTll,, may mayshown). slightlyThe increase small As β increases, Tl slightly increase for small β. As β increases, T signifslightly increase for small β. As β increases, T signifl l waves significantly decreases, indicating fewer rogue icantly decreases, indicating fewer roguepair waves occur. icantly rogue waves occur. decreases, For β >indicating β∗ only fewer the initial of occur. rogue For β > β only the initial pair of rogue waves develop For β > β only the initial pair of rogue waves develop ∗ ∗ waves develop (Fig. 13d) as large β values trigger (Fig. 13d)as aslarge largeββdamping valuestrigger trigger sufficient nonlinear (Fig. 13d) values sufficient nonlinear sufficient nonlinear that inhibit further rogue damping that inhibit further rogue wave formation. damping that inhibit further rogue wave formation. wave formation. 0 < β < 0.75. Figure 14a shows the comparison for initial data (19) with a = 0.63: we observe that for all values β rogue rogue waves waves do do not not occur occur after the the downshifting downshifting becomes becomes βof β rogue waves do not after occur after the downshifting irreversible. Further, rogue waves do not develop after perirreversible. Further, rogue waves do waves not develop perbecomes irreversible. Further, rogue do notafter develop manent downshifting downshifting occurs occurs for any any other pair pair of of parameparamemanent after permanent downshiftingfor occurs other for any other pair of ter values values (a,β) (a,β) considered considered in in the the experiments. experiments. This This is is sumter parameter values (a, β) considered in the experiments. sumThis marized in in Fig. Fig. 14b 14b which which compares, compares, for for 00 < < ββ < < 0.75, the the marized is summarized in Fig. 14b which compares, for 0.75, 0<β< average time time of of the the last last rogue rogue wave wave (box) (box) with with the the average average average 0.75, the average time of the last rogue wave (box) with the time at at which which downshifting downshifting isis irreversible irreversible (x), (x), where where the the avavtime average time at which downshifting is irreversible (x), where eragesare areover overthe thesix six simulations simulations with with initial initial data data amplitude amplitude erages the averages are over the six simulations with initial data 0.57< <aa< <0.67. 0.67. These results results imply imply permanent permanent downshiftdownshift0.57 amplitude 0.57 <These a < 0.67. These results imply permanent ingserves servesas asan anindicator indicatorthat thatthe thecumulative cumulativeeffects effects of of dampdamping downshifting serves as an indicator that the cumulative ingare are sufficient sufficient to to prevent preventthe the further further development development of of rogue rogue ing effects of damping are sufficient to prevent the further waves. waves. development of rogue waves. we consider thethe casecase whenwhen both linear linear and nonlinnonlinFinally we weconsider consider both and linear and Finally the case when both ear damping are present and the nonlinear damping is domnonlinear damping are present and the nonlinear damping ear damping are present and the nonlinear damping is dominant to allow allowtopermanent permanent downshifting to occur. occur. Figure Figure 15 is dominant allow permanent downshifting to occur. inant to downshifting to 15 compares the times for permanent downshifting and the last 15 compares the times for permanent downshifting Figure compares the times for permanent downshifting and the last rogue wave for the damped damped HONLS eqn. with with ǫǫ= = 0.05,Γ 0.05,Γ= = and the lastfor rogue wave forHONLS the damped HONLS equation rogue wave the eqn. 0.005 and 0 < β < 0.75. The same relation between downwith = 0.05, 0 = 0.005 and 0 < β < 0.75. The same 0.005 and 0 < β < 0.75. The same relation between downshifting and and the the last last rogue wave wave are observed to wave hold, are i.e. relation between downshifting andare theobserved last rogue shifting rogue to hold, i.e. rogue waves do not occur after the downshifting is permaobserved to hold, i.e. rogue waves do not occur after the rogue waves do not occur after the downshifting is permanent. However, However, due to the the additional additional linear damping there is is downshifting is due permanent. However,linear due to the additional nent. to damping there a longer time lag between the last rogue wave and permanent linear damping there is a longer time lag between the last a longer time lag between the last rogue wave and permanent downshifting. rogue wave and permanent downshifting. downshifting. Relationof ofDownshifting Downshifting and and Rogue Rogue Waves Waves :: ItIt isis sigsigRelation nificant in Figs. 9b-c and 10a-b that permanent downshifting nificant in Figs. 9b-c and 10a-b that permanent downshifting Relation of downshifting and rogue waves occursafter afterthe thelast last rogue roguewave wave in in the the time time series. series. In In other other occurs words, roguewaves waves do not9b–c occurand after10a–b the downshifting downshifting beIt is significant in do Figs. that permanent words, rogue not occur after the becomes irreversible these examples. To generalize generalize thistime redownshifting occurs after examples. the last rogue wave in the comes irreversible inin these To this result weanalyze analyze theprevious previousrogue serieswaves ofnumerical numerical experiments series. In other words, do notexperiments occur after sult we the series of using initialdata data (19) (19) with 0.57 0.57 <aa< <0.67 0.67 to determine determine 1) the downshifting becomes irreversible in these examples. using initial with < to 1) the time of the last rogue wave and 2) the last time k To generalize this result we analyze the previous series of peak the time of the last rogue wave and 2) the last time kpeak isis equal indicating permanent permanent downshifting, as the the pernumerical using initial data (19) with 0.57 < equal toto kk00, ,experiments indicating downshifting, as perturbation strength β is varied. a < 0.67 to determine (1) the time of the last rogue wave and turbation strength β is varied. Figure 14 time compares theequal time to which downshifting be(2) the last kpeak the is permanent Figure 14 compares time atat kwhich downshifting be0 , indicating comes irreversible (labeled by an x) with the time at which downshifting, as the perturbation strength β is varied. comes irreversible (labeled by an x) with the time at which thelast lastrogue rogue wave occurs(labeled (labeled byataabox) box)for fordownshifting theHONLS HONLS 14wave compares the timeby which Figure the occurs the equation with only nonlinear damping, ǫ = 0.05,Γ =0which 0 and and becomes irreversible (labeled by an x) with the time at equation with only nonlinear damping, ǫ = 0.05,Γ = 0 < β < 0.75. Fig. 14a shows the comparison for initial the last rogue wave occurs (labeled by a box) for the HONLS 0 < β < 0.75. Fig. 14a shows the comparison for initial data (19) with a==0.63 0.63 we observe observe that that for all values values of equation with aonly nonlinear damping, =for 0.05,0 = 0 and data (19) :: we all of www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 0 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 1.2 5 5 0 10 10 5 15 15 10 20 20 15 20 1 1 1 25 25 TIME TIME 25 TIME 30 30 35 35 30 40 40 35 40 0 −0.250 50 0.1 0.1 0 0.3 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 a = 0.67 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.6 −0.05 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.2 5 5 0 10 10 10 5 0 5 15 15 15 10 20 20 20 15 25 25 TIME 25 TIME TIME 20 30 30 30 25 35 35 35 40 40 40 30 35 45 45 45 40 45 1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 3 6 6 6 2.9 3 3 3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 7 7 7 4 4 4 0.5 In this this section we we examine the the generation of of rogue waves waves in In In thissection section weexamine examine thegeneration generation ofrogue rogue waves in in the presence of damping for sea states characterized by the the the thepresence presenceofofdamping dampingfor forsea seastates statescharacterized characterized by by the Joint North North Sea Wave Wave Project (JONSWAP) (JONSWAP) spectrum: Joint Joint NorthSea Sea WaveProject Project (JONSWAP)spectrum: spectrum: 2 f −f0 2 1 2 f −f −1( 0.07 ff ≤ 0) αg22 − 554 ( fff00f )444 e− 21( σf ≤f f −f 0 0) 2 αg 2 σf − 0 ( ) 0.07 f ≤ff000 S(f )) = = αg 5 ee−−4 54((f f0)) γ γ ee 2 σf0 ,, σ σ= = 0.07 S(f 0.09 ff > >f S(f ) =(2πf γ , σ = 0.09 (2πf ))55 e 0.09 f >ff000 TIME (2πf ) 0.1 0.1 0.1 −0.25 3.1 5 5 5 Damped random random oceanic sea sea states 555 Damped Damped randomoceanic oceanic seastates states 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.67 (a) −0.15 8 8 8 Number Waves Number ofRogue Rogue Waves Number ofofRogue Waves 0.9 = = = = = = −0.1 9 9 9 50 TIME Fig. 12: 12: Nonlinearly Nonlinearly damped damped HONLS HONLS eq. ǫǫ = = 0.05, β β= = 0.5, 0.5, Fig. eq. Fig. 12: Nonlinearly dampedof HONLS eq. ǫ =0.05, 0.05, β(b) =(b) 0.5, Γ = 0.005: the time evolution (a) the strength S(t), the ΓΓ==0.005: the time evolution ofof(a) the strength S(t), (b) the 0.005: the time evolution (a) the strength S(t), (b) the main Fourier modes, for initial data (17). main mainFourier Fouriermodes, modes,for forinitial initialdata data(17). (17). a a a a a a −0.2 2.3 2.3 0 0 2.3 0 50 50 50 (b) (b) 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.7 (b) 3 2.8 2.8 2.8 0.7 0.7 a = 0.57 a a= = 0.59 0.57 a a= = 0.61 0.59 a a= = 0.63 0.61 a a= = 0.65 0.63 a a= = 0.67 0.65 3 3 1.4 FOURIER MODES 0.3 0.3 0.2 0 3.1 1.8 1 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.1 3.1 2 STRENGTH 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 00 00 45 Maximum Strength Maximum Strength Maximum Strength FOURIER FOURIERMODES MODES FOURIER MODES 0.9 0.8 0.8 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 −0.25 −0.25 50 50 (b) (b) (b)(a) 2.4 0.9 0.9 45 45 Spectral Center 1 10 0 1 Maximum Strength S SpeS −0.2 394 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 β 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 a a a a a a a a a a a a = = = = = = = = = = = = 0.6 0.57 0.59 0.57 0.61 0.59 0.63 0.61 0.65 0.63 0.67 0.65 0.67 (c) (c) (c) 0.7 a a a a a a = = = = = = 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.67 (b) 2.8 2.7 2.6 2 2 2 2.5 1 10 0 1 0 0.1 2.40.1 0.2 0.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 150 150 150 Time Last Rogue Wave Time Last Rogue Wave Time ofofof Last Rogue Wave 0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.4 β 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.3 0.3 β 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 a = 0.57 a 0.57 a= = 0.6 0.59 a a= = 0.59 0.61 a a= = 0.61 0.63 a a= = 0.63 0.65 a a= = 0.65 0.67 a = 0.67 0.7 (d) 9 Here ff is is spatial spatial frequency, frequency, ffnn = =k knn /2π, /2π, ff00 is is the the dominant dominant Here Here f12: is12. spatial frequency, fnHONLS =HONLS kn /2π, feq. dominant Nonlinearly damped equation = ββ == 0.5,0.5, 0 is Fig.Fig. Nonlinearly damped ǫthe =0.05, 0.05, frequency determined by the wind speed at a specified height (d) frequency determined the speed atataastrength specified height 0 0.005: = 0.005: the time timeby evolution of (a) the strength S(t), (b) the main (d) frequency determined by thewind wind speed specified height Γ = the evolution of (a) the S(t), (b) above Fourier the sea seamodes, surface and g data is gravity. gravity. Developing storm storm dydy- the above the surface and g is Developing for initial (17). above sea surface and is gravity. Developing storm dymainthe Fourier modes, forg initial datafor (17). namics are governed by this this spectrum a range of of param(c) namics namicsare aregoverned governedby by thisspectrum spectrumfor foraarange range ofparamparameters γ and α. Here γ is the peakedness parameter and α eters etersγγand andα.α. Here Hereγγisisthe thepeakedness peakednessparameter parameter and and αα is related related to to the the amplitude amplitude and and energy energy content. content. The The putative putative is is 5related to the amplitude and energy content. The putative oceanic sea states region Damped of validityrandom for the the NLS equation and its its higher order order region regionofofvalidity validityfor for theNLS NLSequation equationand and itshigher higher order (a) generalizations is 2 < γ < 8 and 0.008 < α < 0.02 generalizations isis2we 0.008 <<αα<<0.02 generalizations 2<<γexamine γ<<88and andthe 0.008 0.02 In this section generation of rogue waves in The initial data for the surface elevation isis of of the form The initial for elevation is Thepresence initialdata data forthe the0surface surface elevation of the the form form the of damping for sea states characterized by the a = 0.57 (Onorato etetal., al., 2001) (Onorato et 2001) a = 0.59 (Onorato al., 2001) Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) spectrum: 0 a = 0.61 N a = 0.57 a = 0.63 NN X Fig. 13: The HONLS eqn. with nonlinear damping 00 < <β β< < X 2 f −f X Fig. 13: The HONLS eqn. with nonlinear a = 0.59 0 2 Fig. 13: The HONLS eqn. with a =β0.65 damping 4 cos(k −1( f0 C ) η(x,0) = x − φ ), (20) 5 −0.05 αg 2 σf 0.07 f ≤ f n n n 0 a = 0.61 a< = 0.67 0 η(x,0) = C cos(k x − φ ), (20) − ecos(k ( ) n n n 0.75, u = a(1 + 0.01cosµx), 0.57 a < 0.67, (a) spectral η(x,0) = C x − φ ), (20) 4 f 0 n n n 0.75, 0.57 < a < 0.67, (a) spectral S(f ) = e n=1 γ , σ= 0.75, uu00 = = a(1 a(1+ +0.01cosµx), 0.01cosµx), a = 0.63 0.09 f > f0 center n=1 (2πf )5 n=1 kkm at tt = = 200, (b) max S(t), (c) (c) number number of of a (b) = 0.65 m t∈[0,200] S(t), center k at t 200, max center at = 200, (b) max t∈[0,200] Fig. 13. Continued. m t∈[0,200] −0.05 a = 0.67 rogue waves, and (d) time of last rogue wave as a function where k = 2πn/L, the random phases φφnn are are uniformly uniformly rogue waves, waves, and and (d) (d) time time of of last rogue wave as a function where the φ where 2πn/L,frequency, therandom random phases Herekknnfn=is=2πn/L, spatial fnphases = kn /2π, the dominantrogue n fare 0 isuniformly of β. The solid curves represent thestates averages. distributed on (0,2π) and the spectral amplitudes C = of β. The solid curves represent the averages. n of β. The solid curves represent distributed on (0,2π) spectral amplitudes CCnn == −0.1 distributed on (0,2π) and and the wind spectral amplitudes frequency determined by the the speed at a specified height 5 Damped random oceanic sea (d) above the sea surface and g is gravity. Developing storm dy- In this section we examine the generation of rogue waves in −0.1 β namics are governed by this spectrum for a range of param- the presence of damping for sea states characterized by the eters γ and α. Here γ is the peakedness parameter and α Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) spectrum: −0.15 Fig. 13. The HONLS equation with nonlinear damping β< is related to the amplitude and energy content. The0 < putative 0.75, u0 = a(1 + 0.01cosµx), 0.57 < a < 0.67, (a) spectral center ( 4 − 1 f −f0 2 region validity NLS equation and its higher order 0.07 f ≤ f0 σf0 2 αg 2 − 54 ff0 km −0.15 atoft = 200, (b)for maxthe t∈[0,200] S(t), (c) number of rogue waves, e S(f ) = e γ , σ = (b) generalizations is 2 < γ < 8 and 0.008 < α < 0.02 and (d) time of last rogue wave as a function of β. The solid curves (2πf )5 0.09 f > f0 −0.2 represent the averages. The initial data for the surface elevation is of the form (Onorato et al., 2001) Here f is spatial frequency, fn = kn /2π, f0 is the dominant 8 50 50 50 0 Number of Rogue Waves 100 100 100 a a a a a a = = = = = = 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.67 7 6 5 4 3 −0.05 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 β 0.4 0.4 β β 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 −0.1 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 150 a a a a a a −0.15 −0.2 50 0.1 0.1 0.1 2 −0.25 0 0.1 3.1 3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Time of Last Rogue Wave Spectral Center 0 00 0 0 0 Spectral Center 0 −0.15 −0.2 −0.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 Spectral Center Maximum Strength a) 1.6 1.4 1.4 0.7 a a a a a a = = = = = = 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.67 (a) = = = = = = 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.67 (a) 100 50 2.9 2.8 0 2.7 −0.2 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 β 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 2.6 N −0.25X η(x,0) = Cn 11, cos(k ), n x − φ2011 n0.2 0 Sci., 0.1 Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. 383–399, Fig. 13: The HONLS eqn. with nonlinear damping 0 < β < 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.75, uwww.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ a(1 + 0.01cosµx), 0.57 < a < 0.67, (a) spectral 0= β n=1 center k at t = 200, (b) max −0.25 m t∈[0,200] S(t), (c) number of 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 rogue waves, 0.6 0.7 and (d) time ofa =last 0.57rogue wave as a function where kn = 2πn/L,3.1the random phases φn are uniformly (20) 2.5 0.3 0.4 2.4 2.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 β 0.4 0.5 0.6 β 0.7 a = 0.59 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 395 200 200 200 200 180 180 160 160 Last Rogue Last Rogue DS onsetDS onset 180 160 160 140 140 140 140 120 120 120 120 Time 100 (a)(a) 100 100 Time 180 Time Time Last Rogue Last Rogue DS onset DS onset 100 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 β β 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0 0.7 200 200 (a) (a) 0 0 200 200 180 180 160 160 0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 β β 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 160 160 140 140 140 140 120 120 120 120 Time (b)(b) 100 100 Time 180 100 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 β β 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 damped HONLS eqn. with Fig.Fig. 14: The nonlinear damped HONLS eqn. with ǫ = ǫ== Fig.14: 14. The The nonlinear nonlinear damped HONLS equation with 0.05,0 =00 and and << 0.75. TheThe timetime downshifting is irreversible 0.05,Γ 0.75. downshifting is irre0.05,Γ = 0= and 0 <00β<< <ββ0.75. The time downshifting is irre(x) and the time the last rogue wave occurs (box) as a function of β,as versible (x) and the time the last rogue wave occurs (box) versible (x) and the time the last rogue wave occurs (box) as u = a(1 + 0.01cosµx), where (a) a = 0.63 and (b) averaged 0 a function u0a(1 =+ a(1 + 0.01cosµx), where =over 0.63 a function of β,ofuβ, 0.01cosµx), where (a) a(a) = a0.63 0= 0.57 < a < 0.67. (b) averaged < 0.67. and and (b) averaged overover 0.570.57 < a < a0.67. frequency determined by the wind speed at a specified height 0 0 0 (b) (b) 100 80 0 0.7 Last Rogue Last Rogue DS onsetDS onset 180 Time Time Last Rogue Last Rogue DS onset DS onset 0.6 0.7 0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 β β 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 Fig. damped HONLS eqn. ǫ0==0.05,Γ = 0.005 Fig. 15: The damped HONLS eqn. with ǫ = 0.05,Γ = 0.005 Fig. 15.15: TheThe damped HONLS eqn. with =with 0.05, 0.005 and 0 <and The time downshifting is irreversible the time < < 0.75. The downshifting isand irreversible and 0β<<0β0.75. <β0.75. The timetime downshifting is (x) irreversible (x) (x) the last rogue wave occurs (box) as a function of β and 0 = 0.005, and the time the last rogue wave occurs (box) as a function and the time the last rogue wave occurs (box) as a function of of = a(1 + 0.01cosµx), where (a) a = 0.63 and (b) averaged over 0β and = 0.005, a(1 + 0.01cosµx), where = 0.63 β uand Γ =Γ0.005, u0 =ua(1 0.01cosµx), where (a) a(a) = a0.63 0 =+ 0.57 < a < 0.67. (b) averaged < 0.67. and and (b) averaged overover 0.570.57 < a < a0.67. 5.1 Nonlinear spectral diagnostic for determining rogue p pabove the sea surface and g is gravity. Developing storm relation to the solution of the is “close” S(fnS(f )/2L. relation of ηof toη the solution of the is “close” in spectral the spectral sense an unstable solution. in the sense to antounstable solution. Con-Conn )/2L.TheThe waves dynamicsSchrödinger are governedequation by this spectrum forgiven a range of= nonlinear u(x,t) is by η nonlinear Schrödinger equation u(x,t) is given by η = sequently, δ measures the proximity in the spectral plane sequently, δ measures the proximity in the spectral plane to to α. Here γ is the peakedness parameter and ikx ikx γ and 1parameters √1 √ Re iue . Re iue . double corresponding instabilities complex double points and and theiratheir corresponding instabilities 2kis related to the amplitude and energy content. The putative In complex previous work wepoints proposed nonlinear spectral decom2k α and can be used as a criterium for predicting the strength and can be used as a criterium for predicting the strength and and position of the JONSWAP data and introduced the splitting region of validity for the NLS equation and its higher order occurrence of rogue waves (Islas & Schober, 2005). occurrence of rogue waves (Islas & Schober, 2005). Nonlinear spectral diagnostic for determining rogue 5.1 5.1 Nonlinear spectral diagnostic for determining rogue distance between two simple points, δ(λ ,λ ) = |λ − λ + − + −| generalizations is 2 < γ < 8 and 0.008 < α < 0.02 waves to measure the proximity to homoclinic data of the NLS waves We begin by determining the nonlinear spectrum of JONWe begin by determining the nonlinear spectrum of JONThe initial data for the surface elevation is of the form equation (Islas and Schober, Schober, 2006). Briefly, SWAP initial data given by (20) for combinations SWAP initial data given by 2005; (20) for combinations of αof=α = (Onorato et al., 2001) homoclinic solutions arise appropriate degeneration In previous we proposed a nonlinear spectral decompo- 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02, 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02, = 1,2,4,6,8. For In previous workwork we proposed a nonlinear spectral decompoandasand γ an = γ1,2,4,6,8. For eacheach suchsuch N X of a finite gap solution, i.e. as δ(λ ,λ ) → 0 the resulting +performed, −performed, sition of the JONSWAP data and introduced the splitting dispair (γ,α), fifty simulations were each with sition of the JONSWAP data and introduced the splitting dispair (γ,α), fifty simulations were each with a a η(x,0) = Cn cos(kn x − φn ), (20) double point is complex. Such a potential possesses no tance between two simple points, δ(λ ,λ ) = |λ − λ | to different set of randomly generated phases. As expected, tance between two simple points, δ(λ ,λ ) = |λ − λ | to different set of randomly generated phases. As expected, + + − − + +− − n=1 unstable modes (simple pointsonand points measure the proximity to homoclinic of NLS the NLS equa- thelinear the spectral configuration depends onreal thedouble energy α and measure the proximity to homoclinic datadata of the equaspectral configuration depends the energy α and the the where kn = 2π n/L, the random phases φn are uniformly are in general associated with neutrally stable modes), (Islas & Schober, 2005; Schober, 2006). Briefly, peakedness γ. However, the phase information is just as imtiontion (Islas & Schober, 2005; Schober, 2006). Briefly, ho- ho- peakedness γ. However, the phase information is just as imdistributed on (0,2π) and the spectral amplitudes Cn = although the solution is “close” in the spectral sense to an √ solutions moclinic solutions arise as an appropriate degeneration of a portant to the final determination of the spectrum. Typical exmoclinic arise as an appropriate degeneration of a portant to the final determination of the spectrum. Typical exS(fn )/2L. The relation of η to the solution of the nonlinear unstable solution. Consequently, δ measures the proximity double amples gap solution, i.e. as δ(λ ,λ ) → 0 the resulting amples of the numerically computed nonlinear spectrum for finitefinite gap solution, i.e. as δ(λ ,λ ) → 0 the resulting double of the numerically computed nonlinear spectrum for 1 ikx + − + − Schrödinger equation u(x,t) is given by η = √ Re iue . in the spectral plane to complex double points and their 2k linear point is complex. a potential possesses no unsta- JONSWAP JONSWAP initial = 0.016) different point is complex. SuchSuch a potential possesses no linear unstainitial datadata (γ =(γ4,=α4, =α0.016) withwith two two different ble modes (simple points double points aregeneral in general realizations realizations of random the random phases are shown in Figs. ble modes (simple points and and real real double points are in of the phases are shown in Figs. 16a 16a and and www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ Nat. EarthisSyst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 associated neutrally stable modes), although the solution 17a.17a. Since theHazards NLS spectrum is symmetric with respect to the Since the NLS spectrum symmetric with respect to the associated withwith neutrally stable modes), although the solution 396 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting .. .. . . . .. . λ+ λ+ λ_ 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 λ_ . . 0 0 −0.5 −0.4 0 0.1 −0.5 −0.3 −0.4 −0.2 −0.3 −0.1 −0.2 −0.1 0 2 (a) (a) . . 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 λ+ . . .. .. .. .. . . λ+ λ_ 2 λ_ . . 0 0 −0.5 −0.4 0 0.10 −0.5 −0.3 −0.4 −0.2 −0.3 −0.1 −0.2 −0.1 2 (a) (a) 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 (b) (b) 1.5 0.5 0.5 100 UMAX & 2.2*SH 1 1 0 1.5 UMAX & 2.2*SH UMAX & 2.2*SH UMAX & 2.2*SH 1.5 1 20 10 30 20 40 30 50 40 60 50 7060 8070 9080 100 90 0.5 2 (b) (b) 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 100 1 0 0.5 100 2010 3020 4030 5040 6050 7060 8070 9080 10090 100 Fig. 17.(a) (a) Spectrum and(b) (b) evolution of from Fig. 16: (a) Spectrum andand (b) ofUU to toFig. 17: Spectrum and evolution of UUmax from Fig. 16. (a) Spectrum (b)evolution evolution of to “near” Fig. 16: (a) Spectrum and (b) evolution of“near” U“near” Fig. 17: (a) Spectrum and (b) evolution of “far” U“far” “far” from max max max max max homoclinic data. homoclinic data. homoclinic data. homoclinic data. homoclinic data. homoclinic data. and canupper be used a criterium for curve.curve. real axis only spectrum in thein upper half complex λ-plane that when the correspond nonlinear spectrum is realcorresponding axisthe only theinstabilities spectrum the halfascomplex λ-plane Fig.shows 16b shows thatmay when the nonlinear spectrum is WeFig. find 16b that JONSWAP data to “semipredicting the strength and occurrence of rogue waves (Islas is displayed. near homoclinic data, U exceeds 2.2H (a rogue wave is displayed. max Umax exceeds nearsolutions, homoclinic wave stable” i.e. data, JONSWAP data canS2.2H be viewed as S (a rogue and Schober, 2005). develops at t ≈of 40). that theunstable nonlinear perturbations N-phase solutions onewhen or more We find that JONSWAP data may correspond to “semidevelops at t ≈Fig. 40).17b Fig.shows 17bwith shows that when the nonlinear WeWe find that JONSWAP data may correspond to “semibegin by determining the nonlinear spectrum of modes (compare Fig. 16ahomoclinic with data, Fig. 1a, theUisspectrum of is far is from homoclinic U significantly stable” solutions, i.e. JONSWAP data can becan viewed as per-as per-spectrum max spectrum far from data, is significantly stable” solutions, i.e.data JONSWAP be viewed max JONSWAP initial given by data (20) for combinations of an unstable N-phase solution). In Fig. 16a the splitting below 2.2H and a rogue wave does not develop. As a result turbations of N -phase solutions with one or more unstable S below 2.2H and a rogue wave does not develop. As a result turbations of N -phase solutions one or more S α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02, andwith γ = 1,2,4,6,8. Forunstable each distance δ(λ ,λ ) ≈ 0.07, while in Fig. 17a δ(λ ,λ ) ≈ + − + − we can correlate the occurrence of rogue waves characterized modesmodes (compare Fig. 16a with Fig. 1a, the spectrum of an we can correlate the occurrence of rogue waves characterized (compare 16a with Fig. the spectrum of an such pair (γ , α), Fig. fifty simulations were1a, performed, each with for fixed α with and the γ asproximity randomlysoJONSWAP spectrum to are homoclinic unstable -phase solution). In Fig. dis- dis-by0.2. byThus, JONSWAP spectrum withthe the phases proximity to homoclinic sounstable N -phase solution). In 16a Fig. the 16asplitting theAssplitting aN different set of randomly generated phases. expected, varied, the spectral distance δ of typical JONSWAP data from lutions of the NLS equation. tance tance δ(λ )≈ 0.07, whilewhile independs Fig.in 17a ,λ )≈ 0.2. lutions of the NLS equation. the+ ,λ spectral configuration on δ(λ the energy α the −+ −+ δ(λ ,λ− ) ≈ 0.07, Fig. 17a+ δ(λ ,λand ) ≈ 0.2. − homoclinic data varies significantly and can be quite “near” Thus,Thus, for fixed α and as the are information randomly varied, peakedness γ .αγHowever, the is just as for fixed and γ asphases the phase phases are randomly varied, as in Fig. 16a, or “far” from homoclinic data as in Fig. 17a. important to the final determination of the spectrum. Typical the spectral distance δ of typical JONSWAP data from hoexperiments with the the spectral distance δ of typical JONSWAP data from ho-5.2 JONSWAP 5.2 JONSWAP experiments withNLS the and NLSHONLS and HONLS The most striking feature is that irrespective of the values examples of varies the numerically computed nonlinear spectrum moclinic data varies significantly and can quite “near” as as equations moclinic data significantly andbecan be quite “near” equations of α and γ , in simulations of the NLS equation (10) extreme for JONSWAP initial (γ data = 4, as α in = Fig. 0.016) with two in Fig.in16a, or “far” from homoclinic Fig. 16a, or “far” fromdata homoclinic data as in17a. Fig. 17a. waves develop for JONSWAP initial data that is “near” different realizations of the random phases are shown in The most striking feature is thatisirrespective of theofvalues The results of hundreds of simulations of the and and The most striking feature that irrespective the values The results of of simulations ofNLS the isNLS NLS homoclinic data,hundreds whereas the JONSWAP data that Figs. 16a and 17a. Since the NLS spectrum is symmetric of α and in simulations of theofNLS equation (10) extreme HONLS equations consistently show thatdoes proximity to ho-to hoof with αγ,and γ, in simulations the NLS equation (10) extreme HONLS equations consistently show that proximity “far” from NLS homoclinic data typically not generate respect to the real axis only the spectrum in the upper waveswaves develop for JONSWAP initialinitial data that “near” NLS NLSmoclinic data isdata a crucial indicator of rogue wave wave events.events. extreme waves. Figures and 17b show theofcorresponding develop for JONSWAP dataisthat is “near” moclinic is a16b crucial indicator rogue half complex λ-plane is displayed. homoclinic data, whereas the JONSWAP data that is “far” Figure 18 provides a synthesis of 250 random simulaevolution of U (U = max |u(x,t)|), obtained max a synthesis x∈[0,L] of 250 random simulahomoclinic data, whereas the JONSWAP data that is “far” Figure 18max provides withtions equation. Umax isand given by(b-c) the curve from from NLS NLS homoclinic data typically does not ex- ex-tions ofthe(a)NLS NLS equation ofand the HONLS homoclinic data typically doesgenerate not generate ofthe (a) the NLS equation of solid (b-c) the HONLS and as a reference the threshold for a rogue wave, 2.2 tremetreme waves. Figs. 16b the corresponding evo- evo-equation (β = Γ and ǫ and = 0.05, respecwaves. Figs.and 16b17b andshow 17b show the corresponding equation (β==0)Γ for = 0)ǫ = for0.025 ǫ = 0.025 ǫ = times 0.05, respeclutionlution of Umax (U = max |u(x,t)|), obtained with tively, using JONSWAP initial data for different (γ,α) pairs max of Umax (Umax =x∈[0,L] maxx∈[0,L]|u(x,t)|), obtained with tively, using JONSWAP initial data for different (γ,α) pairs the NLS equation. UmaxSyst. given by 383–399, thebysolid curve curve and andwith γwith = 1,2,4,6,8 and αand = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 and ranHazards Earth 11, www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ theNat. NLS equation. Uis is given the2011 solid γ= 1,2,4,6,8 α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 and ranmaxSci., as a reference the threshold for a for rogue wave,wave, 2.2 times the thedomlydomly generated phases. Our considerations are restricted as a reference the threshold a rogue 2.2 times generated phases. Our considerations are restricted the significant wave wave height, 2.2HS2.2H , is given by the dashed to semi-stable N -phase solutions near tonear unstable solutions the significant height, to semi-stable N -phase solutions to unstable solutions S , is given by the dashed A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting 4 4 4 (a) (a) (a) MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH 3.5 3.5 3.5 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 1.50 1.50 40 4 4 0.2 0.2DISTANCE (ε = 0) SPLITTING 0.2DISTANCE (ε = 0) SPLITTING SPLITTING DISTANCE (ε = 0) 0.4 0.4 0.4 (b) (b) (b) 3.5 MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH 3.5 3.5 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 0 1.5 1.50 40 4 0.2 SPLITTING DISTANCE (ε = 0.025) 0.2 SPLITTING0.2 DISTANCE (ε = 0.025) SPLITTING DISTANCE (ε = 0.025) 4 0.4 0.4 0.4 (c) (c) (c) 3.5 3.5 MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH 3.5 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 1.50 0 1.5 0 0.2 SPLITTING0.2 DISTANCE (ε = 0.05) SPLITTING DISTANCE (ε = 0.05) 0.2 SPLITTING DISTANCE (ε = 0.05) 0.4 0.4 0.4 Fig. 18: Maximum strength versus versus the the splitting splitting distance distance Fig. Maximum strength Fig.Fig.18: 18: Maximum strength the splitting distance 18.)Maximum strength versusversus the splitting distance δ(λequation ,λ− ) + δ(λ ,λ for a) the NLS equation and the HONLS + ,λ− ) for a) the NLS equation and the HONLS equation δ(λ + ,λ − )the for (a) NLS equation and the HONLS equation with (b) δ(λ for a) the NLS equation and the HONLS equation +b) − with ǫǫ = 0.025, and c) ǫǫ = = 0.05 0.05 .. with b) = 0.025, and c) =0.025, and (c) = 0.05. with b) ǫ = 0.025, and c) ǫ = 0.05 . the the significant wave height, 2.2Hs , is given by the dashed curve. Figure 16b shows that when the nonlinear spectrum is near homoclinic data, Umax exceeds 2.2Hs (a rogue wave develops at t ≈ 40). Figure 17b shows that when the nonlinear spectrum is far from homoclinic data, Umax is significantly below 2.2Hs and a rogue wave does not develop. As a result we can correlate the occurrence of rogue waves characterized by JONSWAP spectrum with the proximity to homoclinic solutions of the NLS equation. www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ mum strength, attained distance in time during t∈[0,20] simulation, as aamax function ofS(t), the splitting splitting δ(λ+ ,λ ,λone − ). simulation, as function of the distance δ(λ + ,λ− ). simulation, as a function of the splitting distance δ(λ + − ). A horizontal line at U /H = 2.2 indicates the reference max S A horizontal line at U 2.2 indicates the reference max /H S= A horizontal line at U /H = 2.2 indicates the reference maxformation. S strength for for rogue rogue wave wave We identify identify two two criticritistrength formation. We strength for rogue wave formation. We identify two 397 cal values values δδ1 (ǫ) (ǫ) and δδ2 (ǫ) (ǫ) that clearly clearly show show that that (i) (i) if if δδ criti< δδ1 cal 1 (ǫ) and 2 (ǫ) that cal values δ and δ that clearly show that (i) if δis< <exδ11 1 2 (near homoclinic data) the likelihood of a rogue wave (near homoclinic data) the likelihood of a rogue wave is ex(near homoclinic thewith ofand a rogue is ex5.2 tremely JONSWAP NLSlikelihood HONLS high;experiments (ii) data) if δδ1 < < δ likelihood < δδthe ofwave obtaining 2 , the tremely high; (ii) if < likelihood of obtaining 1 <δ 2 ,, the tremely high; (ii) if δ δ < δ the likelihood of obtaining 2 equations rogue waves decreases decreases1 as as δδ increases increases and, (iii) (iii) if if δδ > > δ2 the rogue waves and, rogue waves decreases as δ increases and, (iii) if small. δ > δδ22 the the likelihood of a rogue wave occurring is extremely likelihood of aa rogue wave occurring is extremely small. likelihood of rogue wave occurring is extremely small. The results of simulations of the NLS and As α α of andhundreds γ are are varied varied the behavior behavior is robust. robust. The maximaxiAs and γ the is The HONLS equations consistently show that proximity to As α and γ are varied the behavior is robust. The maximum wave wave strength strength and and the the occurrence occurrence of of rogue rogue waves waves are mum homoclinic data is a crucialand indicator of rogue wave events.waves are mum wave strength the occurrence of rogue are well predicted by the proximity to homoclinic solutions. The well the proximity homoclinic solutions. The 18predicted provides by a synthesis of 250to random simulations Figure well predicted by the proximity to homoclinic solutions. The individual plots of and the of strength vs.HONLS the splitting splitting distance δδ individual of the strength vs. the of (a) the NLS plots equation (b–c) the equationdistance individual plots of the strength vs. the splitting distance for particular pairs (γ,α) are qualitatively theusing same regard-δ (β =for 0= 0) for =pairs 0.025(γ,α) and are = 0.05, respectively, particular qualitatively the same regardfor particular pairs (γ,α) are qualitatively the same regardless of the the pairdata chosen. Comparing Figs. 18a-b we find that JONSWAP initial for different (γ , α)Figs. pairs 18a-b with γwe = find less of pair chosen. Comparing that less of the pair chosen. Comparing Figs. 18a-b we find that enhanced focusing and increased wave strength occur in the 1,2,4,6,8 and α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 and randomly enhanced focusing and increased wave strength occur in the enhanced focusing and increased wave strength occur in the generated phases. Our considerations are restricted to chaotic HONLS evolution as compared with the NLS evochaotic HONLS evolution as compared with the NLS evochaotic Figure HONLS18solutions evolution as as compared with the strength NLS evo-ǫ semi-stable N-phase near to the unstable solutions lution. shows that that perturbation lution. Figure 18 shows as the perturbation strength ǫ lution. Figure 18 shows that as the perturbation strength of the NLS with one UM. Each circle represents the increases, the the maximum maximum wave wave strength strength and and the the likelihood likelihood of ofǫ increases, increases, theoccuring maximum wave strength the likelihood of maximum strength, maxt∈[0,20] attained inand timeincreases. during rogue waves in aaS(t), given simulation waves occuring in given simulation increases. one rogue simulation, as a function of the splitting distance rogue waves occuring in a given simulation increases. δ(λ+ ,λ− ). A horizontal line at Umax /Hs = 2.2 indicates the 5.3 JONSWAP JONSWAP experiments experiments with with the the damped HONLS HONLS 5.3 reference strength for rogue wave formation. identify HONLS 5.3 equations JONSWAP experiments with theWedamped damped equations two critical values δ1 () and δ2 () that clearly show that (i) equations if δ < δ1 (near homoclinic data) the likelihood of a rogue Inisthis this sectionhigh; we show show that, in of damping, damping, the wave extremely (ii) if that, δ1 < in δ <the δ ,presence the likelihood of In we of the In this section section we show that, in the the2 presence presence of damping, the nonlinear spectrum and the proximity to homoclinic data is obtaining rogue waves decreases as δ increases and, (iii) if nonlinear spectrum and the proximity to homoclinic data is nonlinear spectrum and the proximity to homoclinic data is likewise an important indicator of the maximum strength in δ > likewise δ2 the likelihood of a rogue wave occurring is extremely an important indicator of the maximum strength in likewise an important indicator of the maximum strength in small. time and and likelihood likelihood of of rogue rogue waves. waves. time time and likelihood ofthe rogue waves. iswave As α and γ are varied the behavior robust. The vs. Figure 19 shows maximum strength vs. the the Figure 19 shows the maximum wave strength Figure 19 shows the maximum wave strength vs. the maximum wave strengthδ(λ and the occurrence of rogue waves splitting distance ,λ ) for 250 random simulations of + − ) for 250 random simulations of splitting distance δ(λ + ,λ − ) for 250 random simulations of splitting distance δ(λ ,λ are well predicted by the proximity to homoclinic solutions. + − the damped damped HONLS HONLS equation equation (ǫ (ǫ = = 0.05), 0.05), with with either either (a) (a) the damped HONLS equation (ǫ = 0.05), with either (a) Thethe individual plots of the strength vs. the splitting distance linear damping, β = 0,Γ = 0.025, or with (b) nonlinear linear damping, 0,Γ = 0.025, or with (b) nonlinear δ for particular pairs β (γ= , α) are qualitatively the same linear damping, β = 0,Γ = 0.025, or with (b) nonlinear damping β β= = 0.5,Γ 0.5,Γ = = 0. 0. As As before, before, JONSWAP JONSWAP initial initial data data damping 18a–b we regardless of the pair chosen. Comparing Fig. damping β = 0.5,Γ = 0. As before, JONSWAP initial was used for different different (γ,α) pairs with with γ= = 1,2,4,6,8 data and used for (γ,α) pairs γ 1,2,4,6,8 and findwas that enhanced focusing and increased wave strength was used for different (γ,α)and pairs with γgenerated = 1,2,4,6,8 and α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 randomly phases. occur in 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 the chaotic HONLS evolution asrandomly comparedgenerated with the phases. α = and α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 and randomly generated phases. Each circle represents represents the maximum strength attained during during shows that as the perturbation NLSEach evolution. Figure 18 the circle maximum Eachsimulation, circle represents the maximum strength strength attained attained during one 0 < t < 20. strength increases, 0the wave strength and the one ttmaximum < 20. oneInsimulation, simulation, 0is< <evident <occuring 20. thatinthe likelihood of rogue waves a given simulation Fig. 19 it strength and likelihood likelihood In Fig. 19 the and Fig.waves 19 it it is is evident evidentinthat that the strength strength andislikelihood increases. of In rogue occuring a given simulation typically of waves occuring in simulation is of rogue roguewhen waves occuring in aa given given simulation is typically typically smaller damping is present (compare to results of the the smaller when damping is present (compare to results of smaller when damping is present (compare to results ofsuch the HONLS equation (Fig. 18c). A cutoff vaue of δ exists HONLS equation (Fig. 18c). A cutoff vaue of δδ exists such HONLS equation (Fig. 18c). A cutoff vaue of exists such 5.3 that JONSWAP experiments with the damped HONLS rogue waves waves typically do do not not occur occur if if δδ > > δδcutof f .. We We that rogue cutof f . We equations that rogue δwaves typically typically do not occur if δthe > δrogue cutof fwaves determine by requiring that 95% of cutof f by requiring that 95% of the rogue waves determine δδcutof f by requiring that 95% of the rogue waves determine cutof f occur for δ < δcutof example, the the cutoff cutoff values values for for the the f . For example, occur for δ < δ cutof f .. For In this section we show that, in theexample, presence of0.02) damping, the HONLS occur for δ < δ For the cutoff values for the cutof f nonlinear linear (Γ = 0.02) and (ǫβ = damped linear (Γ 0.02) and = 0.02) nonlinear and thenonlinear proximity (ǫβ to homoclinic data is HONLS damped linear spectrum (Γ = = and nonlinear (ǫβ =respectively, 0.02) damped damped HONLS damped equation are0.02) δcutof ≈ 0.16,0.17, 0.16,0.17, which are f damped equation are δ ≈ respectively, are likewise an important indicator of the maximum strength inwhich cutof f ≈ 0.16,0.17, equation are δ respectively, which are cutof f less than the cutoff cutoff value for the the undamped undamped HONLS HONLS equation equation than the value for timeless and likelihood of rogue waves. undamped less than the cutoff≈value the undamped HONLSthat equation undamped where, δcutof 0.2. for Significantly, this implies implies when f undamped where, 0.2. Significantly, this when Figure 19δδcutof shows maximum wave strength vs. thethat f the≈ where, ≈ 0.2. Significantly, this implies that when cutof f damping is present the JONSWAP initial data must be closer damping is present the initial data must be closer splitting distance δ(λ+ ,λ for 250 random simulations − ) JONSWAP damping is present the JONSWAP initial data must be closer to homoclinic homoclinic data and and instabilities to obtain obtain rogue waves. of the damped HONLS equation ( = 0.05), withrogue eitherwaves. to data instabilities to to Figure homoclinic data and instabilities to obtain rogue waves. damped damped 20 shows δ as a function of the damping (a) linear damping, β = 0, 0 = 0.025, or with (b) nonlinear cutof f damped Figure 20 shows δδcutof aa function of the damping f as Figure 20 shows as function of the damping cutof fǫβ JONSWAP parameters Γ (circles) and (boxes). For each of the ten ten damping β = 0.5,0 = 0. As before, initial data parameters Γ (circles) and ǫβ (boxes). For each of the parameters Γ (circles) and ǫβ (boxes). For each of the ten wasvalues used for different (γ , α) pairs with γ = 1,2,4,6,8 values of of Γ Γ and and of of ǫβ, ǫβ, 00 < < Γ,ǫβ Γ,ǫβ < < 0.04, 0.04, 250 250 simulations simulations of Γ and of ǫβ, 0 <and Γ,ǫβ < 0.04,generated 250 simulations and values α = 0.008,0.012,0.016,0.02 randomly phases. Each circle represents the maximum strength attained during one simulation, 0 < t < 20. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 the da δcu inc of damped HONLS equation carried 398 A. Islas and C. M. Schober: waveswere and downshifting of the the damped HONLSRogue equation were carried out. out. We We find find damped ity damped is generally decreasing as the strength of the that that δδcutof cutof f f is generally decreasing as the strength of the dam damping damping increases. increases. The The cutoff cutoff value value in in δδ for for the the nonlinnonlin(a) early (a) early damped damped case case is is not not monotonically monotonically decreasing decreasing as as atypatypical cases exist where a small increase in damping may ical cases exist where a small increase in damping may be be Re offset to changes in the offset by by aa coalescence coalescence of of the the modes modes due due to changes in the damped damped indicates that focusing Ab focusing times. times. The The overall overall decay decay in in δδcutof cutof ff indicates that for rogue waves to occur the JONSWAP initial data must lie for rogue waves to occur the JONSWAP initial data must lie ( in in aa shrinking shrinking neighborhood neighborhood of of the the homoclinic homoclinic data. data. Thus Thus R the proximity to instabilities and homoclinic data is more the proximity to instabilities and homoclinic data is more eses-Ab sential sential for for the the development development of of rogue rogue waves waves when when damping damping is is ( d present. present. Ab The The observations observations from from the the nonlinear nonlinear spectral spectral diagnostic diagnostic i complement the earlier results characterizing the nonlinear complement the earlierΓ or results characterizing the nonlinear εβ Cal damped evolution. In section 4, the numerical simulations damped evolution. In section 4, the numerical simulations ( (b) damped damped start very close to data (for initial (b) 20.The The damped equation ( =(ǫ 0.05): δcutoff δdata as a (19) start very closeHONLS to homolinic homolinic data (for initial data (19) the the n Fig.Fig. 20: damped HONLS equation =−6 0.05): cutof f splitting distance is on the order of 10 , an effective rogue −6 function of 0 (circles) andisβon (boxes). splitting distance the order of 10 , an effective rogue Cal as a function of Γ (circles) and ǫβ (boxes) wave regime). The first pair of rogue waves were not sigwave regime). The first pair of rogue waves were not sig- l nificantly Co nificantly altered altered by by the the damping. damping. However However after after permanent permanent downshifting occured any further rogue waves were inhiboffset by a coalescence of the modes due to changes in the downshifting occured any further rogue waves were inhib- f damped ited. Here we are to initial focusing decay in δcutoff indicates that ited. times. Here The we overall are generalizing generalizing to JONSWAP JONSWAP initial data data which are not necessarily close to homoclinic data. We for rogue waves to occur the JONSWAP initial data must lie which are not necessarily close to homoclinic data. We are are in amonitoring shrinking neighborhood of the homoclinic data. the strength in as aa function monitoring the maximum maximum strength in time time as Thus function of of the δproximity to instabilitiesissue and homoclinic data is more of rogue δ which which is is aa separate separate issue from from the the total total number number of rogue essential for the development of rogue waves when damping waves waves in in aa given given simulation. simulation. is present. Finally we remark that we examined rogue Finally we remark thatnonlinear we recently recently examined rogue waves waves The observations from the spectral diagnostic and downshifting in the damped Dysthe equation (Islas & and downshifting in the damped Dysthe equation (Islas & complement the earlier results characterizing the nonlinear Schober, 2010). While the Dysthe equation does not conFig. 19: Maximum strength vs. splitting distance δ(λ ,λ ) + − Schober, 2010).In While equation does not conevolution. Sect. 4,thetheDysthe numerical simulations Fig.Fig. 19:19.Maximum strength splitting distance ,λ− ) damped Maximum strength vs. vs. splitting distance δ(λ+ ,λ−δ(λ ) for+the we obtained qualitatively similar forHONLS the HONLS HONLS equation (ǫ = =either 0.05) startserve very momentum, close to homolinic (for initial data (19) serve momentum, we have havedata obtained qualitatively similar rereequation equation ( = 0.05) with (a) with linear either damping,(a) β =linear 0, for the (ǫ 0.05) with either (a) linear −6 sults. For the nonlinearly damped Dysthe equation, irredamping, β = 0, Γ = 0.025, or (b) nonlinear damping β = 0 = 0.025, or (b) nonlinear damping β = 0.5, 0 = 0. the splitting distance is on the order of 10 , an effective sults. For the nonlinearly damped Dysthe equation, irredamping, β = 0, Γ = 0.025, or (b) nonlinear damping β = versible all β, rogue wave downshifting regime). The also first occurs pair of for rogue waves of were 0.5, Γ Γ= = 0. 0. versible downshifting also occurs for all values values of β, although although 0.5, a slightly longer timescale. Rogue waves do not not on significantly altered by the damping. However after on a slightly longer timescale. Rogue waves do not occur occur in in In Fig. 19 it is evident that the strength and likelihood permanent downshifting occured any further rogue wavesSimilarly, the time series after the downshifting is permanent. the time series after the downshifting is permanent. Similarly, of rogue waves occuring in a given simulation is typically wereδ damped inhibited. Here we are generalizing to JONSWAP damped decreases as strength of f generally δcutof generally decreases as the the strength of the the damping damping cutof f which smaller when damping is present (compare to results of the initial data are not necessarily close to homoclinic increases suggesting the heightened importance of proximincreases suggesting heightened importance HONLS equation, Fig. 18c). A cutoff vaue of δ exists such data.ity We are monitoring thethe maximum strength in time waves asof a proximto homoclinic data when obtaining rogue ity toofhomoclinic data when rogue waves in in the the that rogue waves typically do not occur if δ > δcutoff . We function δ which is a separate issueobtaining from the total number damped Dysthe regime. determine δcutoff by requiring that 95% of the rogue waves damped Dysthe regime. of rogue waves in a given simulation. 4 4 0.25 Γ β 0.2 cutoff 3 3 δ MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 0.15 2 2 1.5 1.5 0 0 4 0.1 0.2 0.2 SPLITTING DISTANCE SPLITTING DISTANCE 0.4 0.4 0.2 SPLITTING DISTANCE 0.2 SPLITTING DISTANCE 0.4 0 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04 4 3.5 MAXIMUM STRENGTH MAXIMUM STRENGTH 3.5 3 3 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 0 0 0.25 0.25 0.4 Γ δδ cutoff cutoff occur for δ < δcutoff . For example, the cutoff values forβΓβ the linear (0 = 0.02) and nonlinear (β = 0.02) damped HONLS damped equation are δcutoff ≈ 0.16,0.17, respectively, which are 0.2 less0.2 than the cutoff value for the undamped HONLS equation undamped ≈ 0.2. Significantly, this implies that when where, δcutoff damping is present the JONSWAP initial data must be closer to homoclinic data and instabilities to obtain rogue 0.15 0.15 waves. damped Figure 20 shows δcutoff as a function of the damping parameters 0 (circles) and β (boxes). For each of the ten values of 0 and of β, 0 < 0, β < 0.04, 250 simulations 0.1 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04 0.1 0 of the HONLS equation We find 0 damped 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.025carried 0.03 out. 0.035 0.04 Γ 0.02 or εβwere Γ or εβ damped that δcutoff is generally decreasing as the strength of the damped increases. cutoff value in δ (ǫ for the nonlinearly damped Fig.damping 20: The The dampedThe HONLS equation f Fig. 20: damped HONLS equation (ǫ = = 0.05): 0.05): δδcutof cutof f damped case is (circles) not monotonically decreasing as atypical as a function of Γ and ǫβ (boxes) as acases function of Γ (circles) and ǫβ (boxes) exist where a small increase in damping may be Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 383–399, 2011 Finally we remark that we recently examined rogue waves and References downshifting in the damped Dysthe equation (Islas and References Schober, 2010). While the Dysthe equation does not Ablowitz, conserve momentum, we have obtained qualitatively M.J., Hammack, J., Henderson, D., Schober, Ablowitz, M.J., J., Henderson, Schober, C.M. C.M. similar results.Modulated For theHammack, nonlinearly damped DystheinD., equation, (2000). Periodic Stokes Waves Deep Water. Phys. (2000). Modulated Periodic Stokes Waves in Deep Water. Phys. irreversible downshifting also occurs for all values of β, Rev. Lett. 84:887–890. Rev. Lett. 84:887–890. although on a slightly longer timescale. Rogue waves do not Ablowitz, M.J., Hammack, J., D., Ablowitz, M.J., Hammack, J., Henderson, Henderson, D., Schober, Schober, C.M. C.M. occur in the time series after the downshifting is permanent. (2001). Long time dynamics of the modulational damped (2001). Long time dynamics of the modulational instability instability of of Similarly, δcutoff generally decreases as the strength of the deep water waves. Physica D 152-153:416–433. deep water waves. Physica D 152-153:416–433. damping increases suggesting the heightened importance of ScatterAblowitz, M.J., H. (1981). Solitons and Inverse Ablowitz, M.J., Segur, Segur, H.when (1981). Solitonsrogue and the the Inverse proximity to homoclinic data obtaining waves in Scattering Transform. SIAM. ing Transform. SIAM. the damped Dysthe regime.N.M., McLaughlin, D.W., Schober, C.M. Calini, Calini, A., A., Ercolani, Ercolani, N.M., McLaughlin, D.W., Schober, C.M. (1996). (1996). Mel’nikov Mel’nikov analysis analysis of of numerically numerically induced induced chaos chaos in in the the Acknowledgements. This work equation. was partially supported by NSF nonlinear Schrödinger Physica D 89:227–260. nonlinear Schrödinger equation. Physica D 89:227–260. Grant # NSF-DMS0608693. Calini, Calini, A., A., Schober, Schober, C.M. C.M. (2002). (2002). Homoclinic Homoclinic chaos chaos increases increases the the likelihood of rogue waves. Phys. Lett. A 298:335–349. likelihood of rogue waves. Phys. Lett. A 298:335–349. Cox, S.M., Matthews, P.C. (2002). Exponential time differencing Cox, S.M., Matthews, P.C. (2002). Exponential time differencing for stiff systems. Journal of Computational Physics 176:430–455. www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/383/2011/ for stiff systems. Journal of Computational Physics 176:430–455. A. Islas and C. M. Schober: Rogue waves and downshifting Edited by: C. Kharif Reviewed by: two anonymous referees References Ablowitz, M. J., Hammack, J., Henderson, D., and Schober, C. M.: Modulated Periodic Stokes Waves in Deep Water, Phys. Rev. Lett., 84, 887–890, 2000. Ablowitz, M. J., Hammack, J., Henderson, D., and Schober, C. M.: Long time dynamics of the modulational instability of deep water waves, Physica D, 152–153, 416–433, 2001. 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