Krzys’ Ostaszewski: http://www.krzysio.net Author of the “Been There Done That!” manual for Course P/1 http://smartURL.it/krzysioP (paper) or http://smartURL.it/krzysioPe (electronic) Instructor of online P/1 seminar: http://smartURL.it/onlineactuary If you find these exercises valuable, please consider buying the manual or attending the seminar, and if you can’t, please consider making a donation to the Actuarial Program at Illinois State University: https://www.math.ilstu.edu/actuary/giving/ Donations will be used for scholarships for actuarial students. Donations are taxdeductible to the extent allowed by law. If you have questions about these exercises, please send them by e-mail to: [email protected] Exercise for May 23, 2009 May 1982 Part 2 Examination, Problem No. 37 An urn contains ten balls numbered 1 through 10. Five balls are drawn at random and without replacement. Let A be the event that exactly two odd-numbered balls are drawn and they occur on odd-numbered draws from the urn. What is the probability of event A? A. 5 504 B. 5 252 C. 5 126 D. 5 42 E. 25 63 Solution. The event A is the union of the following three events: {Odd, Even, Odd, Even, Even}, {Odd, Even, Even, Even, Odd}, {Even, Even, Odd, Even, Odd}. Therefore, the probability sought is 5 5 4 4 3 5 5 4 3 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ + ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ + ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ = . 10 9 8 7 6 10 9 8 7 6 10 9 8 7 6 42 Answer D. © Copyright 2004-2009 by Krzysztof Ostaszewski. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without express written permission from the author is strictly prohibited. Exercises from the past actuarial examinations are copyrighted by the Society of Actuaries and/or Casualty Actuarial Society and are used here with permission.
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