Timid Performance Fees in Mutual Funds, No Signal for Investors M Teresa Corzo Santamaría, Carlos Martínez Ibarreta, Juan Rodriguez Calvo Universidad Pontificia Comillas. ICADE. Abstract In this paper, we test for the implications on investors’ performance of the fee structure that has prevailed in Spain since 2008. We compare the risk-adjusted performance measures for mutual funds with and without performance fees within the same classes of investment policies. Using a dynamic panel data model, we conclude that funds that charge performance fees earn superior risk-adjusted returns; however, they fail to attract investors. We offer a plausible explanation for this fact. Our results do not support the presence of economies of scale or learning economies, but we find evidence of smart money and are the first to report this finding for Spain. Because almost all funds in this market that charge a performance fee also charge a regular management fee, we consider the role exercised by performance fees to be timid. JEL codes: G20, G23, G11, C23 Keywords: mutual funds, performance fees, risk adjusted returns, costs, smart money 1 1. Introduction In 2008, Spain undertook a regulatory change in the mutual fund industry to provide incentives to mutual fund managers in an effort to align the interests of managers and those of the final investors and to increase the competitiveness of the sector. This research focuses on this special structure of performance fees in the mutual fund industry, and the main contribution is the evaluations of whether the mixed fees system introduced affected investors’ risk adjusted returns and funds’ inflows. Since 2008, the fee structure applied in Spain has allowed for the charging of fees on assets, return or both, with some limits. The regulation 1 stipulates the annual maximum permissible for each type of fee: If the fund charges fees based only on performance, then the maximum is 18% of the fund’s returns; if the fund charges mixed fees, then there is a maximum of 1.35% charged on assets managed and a maximum of 9% charged on a fund’s returns. Mixed funds are mutual funds that charge management fees totally or partially on returns. This mixed structure is followed in Spain by almost all funds that have chosen to charge performance fees. (Hereafter, we will refer to the performance fee as PERFEE.) Of the more than 1400 funds analyzed in this work, we find that 234 charged mixed fees, and just four funds in our sample charged purely the PERFEE. Thus, we consider the use of performance fees in this context to be timid. The remainder of the funds in our sample, and the vast majority of funds in the Spanish industry, charged fixed fees based totally on assets under management (we will henceforth refer to these funds as ASSETFUNDS.) To the best of our knowledge, the particular fee structure in place in Spain since 2008 differs from other specifications studied so far. 2 There is no necessity for the symmetry of the performance-based fee, and no requirement is established for a reference portfolio; therefore, fees are paid starting with the first cent of positive returns. The new regulation, in addition to modifying the maximum fees, also establishes a high water mark. Performance fees will be charged in year t only if the end-of-year net asset value (NAV) of the fund is higher than at the end of year t-1; if it is lower, no performance fees will be charged, and the NAV of year t-1 will become a water mark. After three years of NAVs under the water mark, this water mark will be reset and will correspond to the fund’s NAV at the end of the year t+2. An interesting and questioning essay concerning the way Spanish managers apply the high water mark rule was published by Morningstar (Saenz de Cenzano, 2014), raising many points given the regulation’s lack of clarity. The Spanish mutual fund industry is characterized by being far from perfect competition: There is a strong presence of banks on the supply side and many 1 The applicable regulation is the Royal Decree 1309/2005, partially modified later on by the Royal Decree 749/2010, and the Instruction 6/2008 CNMV. 2 The fees we study here are different from the known fulcrum fees used in the United States. Fulcrum fees refer to incentive fees centered on an index. As Elton et al. (2003) show, the difference between fulcrum fees and never-negative fees is the existence of the upper limit on fees. Spanish fees also have an upper limit, but they are not centered on an index. 2 unsophisticated investors subject to tax binds in the demand side. A detailed description of this market’ features and some ethical considerations can be found in Marco (2009) and Toledo and Marco (2010). However, since the introduction of MIFID in 2008, we have been witnessing a process of modernization in the investment industry and an increasing professional presence, yielding as a result an evolving financial market with important changes happening quickly. Using a dynamic panel data model with daily and monthly data from 2008 to 2012, in this paper, we analyze eight mutual fund categories (investment policies) in which funds that charge mixed fees have enough representation. As stated above, in Spain, almost all funds that charge performance fees also charge mixed fees. We will refer to this group as PERFUNDS to differentiate it from ASSETFUNDS. We compare the groups and analyze whether there is any difference in the risk-adjusted performance (as suggested by Diaz Mendoza et al. 2014), and in the cash inflows attracted. In addition, we are able to test for the presence of economies of scale, learning curves, and risk and cost effects on performance. The contribution of this research is threefold. First, we analyze the broadest and most current dataset studied so far for the Spanish market by combining data from Bloomberg and the Spanish Financial Markets Regulator (CNMV). We cover a time period with a significant change in regulation, and we observe the industry reaction to this change and its repercussion on performance measures. From a theoretical point of view, Das and Sundaram (1998) indicate that under the assumption of risk aversion, the optimal contract must be linear and include a base fee for the amount of assets under management and an additional remuneration depending on the returns above those of a benchmark portfolio. Our fund sample complies with this definition, except they do not need to beat a benchmark; positive returns are enough to receive the additional remuneration. Second, with a dynamic panel data model and using risk-adjusted performance measures (also called alphas), the results obtained in this paper allow us to conclude that performance fees have somehow motivated managers to obtain better results, once all risk factors have been taken into account, but they have failed to attract money. We offer a plausible explanation related to the prevalence of mixed fees on the market analyzed and the weakened message sent to investors. As the novel research by Ferson and Lin (2014) shows, investors’ disagreement and heterogeneity are economically significant in the behavior of fund investors. Positive alphas do not indicate that an investor would want to buy a fund. Finally, an interesting finding first reported for the Spanish market is the presence of smart money and a significant short-term performance reversion. The closest studies to ours in relation to the Spanish mutual fund industry are DiazMendoza et al. (2014) and Toledo and Marco (2010). Diaz-Mendoza et al. (2014) analyze funds under the previous Spanish regulation and the sample years considered 3 (1999-2009); their paper differs from ours in several respects being the most important one the different focus: they analyze whether the way expenses are charged is relevant to mutual fund performance and to the performance-expenses relation, while we test for a broader set of hypothesis adding the perspective of the effect of the mixed structure on money inflows. Also, the samples are different (data periodicity, time period under study, funds selected for the study), and the econometric approach, cross-sectional regressions versus dynamic panel data. The paper by Toledo and Marco (2010), takes a descriptive tilt and uses funds’ sample annual observations from 1993 to 2001, nonoverlapping with ours and with a very different regulatory environment. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Next, in the second section, we briefly review the literature and describe the main relationships tested. In section 3, we explain the construction of the variables under investigation, and in sections 4 and 5, we detail the empirical estimations and discuss the results. Finally, in section 6, we conclude. References can be found at the end. 2. Performance Fees and Mutual Funds Although many articles have theoretically analyzed the optimality of a performancebased fee structure (see Diaz-Mendoza et al., 2014, for a detailed list), the extensive empirical literature on mutual fund performance has found somewhat disparate results in relation to management ability. Some studies, such as Gruber (1996) and Cahart (1997), find that active managers fail to outperform passive benchmarks. Other studies, such as Wermers (2000) and Elton et al. (2003), indicate that active managers hold stocks that beat their characteristic benchmark portfolios. The most obvious purpose of incentive compensation is performance encouragement, and we find a number of theories that offer explanations for the effectiveness of this practice. Grinold and Rudd (1987) provide an early study in this vein. As Elton et al. (2003) explain, the principal reason is that according to the theory of incentive contracting (related to the so-called agency theory), incentive fees align managers’ interests with investors’ interests. The model shows that managers paid through incentive compensation will outperform managers who receive fixed fees. Other theories, such as the signaling theory, state that performance fee contracts screen or signal managers who are less risk averse, and these contracts may be used by investors who wish to hire and encourage aggressive managers. Given that the literature has not reached a conclusion about the effect of performance fees on funds’ performance and that we have faced a non-standard structure of performance fees in Spain since 2008, the main hypothesis tested in this work is: H1: PERFUNDS should have a higher risk-adjusted fund performance than their partners, the non-incentive fees mutual funds. Along with this hypothesis, and following the reasoning of Elton et al. (2003) and Sirri and Tufano (1998), we hypothesize that if incentive contracts have superior 4 performance, then they should attract more new cash-flows than funds without incentive contracts (not previously tested in the Spanish market): H2: PERFUNDS attract more new cash flow than ASSETFUNDS. In addition, our analysis allows us to test and control for the effect of other variables in risk-adjusted returns; these other factors have been demonstrated to influence costs and returns. First, we study the size and age of the funds. The argument about the size of the fund states that an increase in the size of the fund should produce economies of scale and reduce the expense ratio, thus improving the performance of the fund (e.g., Ferris and Chance, 1987). Counterevidence is found by Berk and Green (2002). Evidence so far in the European markets has not been definitive, and in Spain, Toledo and Marco (2010) find no economies of scale with a sample covering years 1993-2001. Then, do investors achieve higher returns when they invest in larger funds? We test the following hypothesis: H3: There are economies of scale in the Spanish mutual fund industry. The fourth hypothesis is related to the learning curve. It is rational to expect that the oldest funds, which have survived different crisis periods, should face better investment talent and operational efficiency than newer funds. However, the empirical evidence contradicts this opinion; Berk and Green (2002) find no learning curve in the US market, and Toledo and Marco (2010) find no learning curve in the Spanish market when measuring it by its effect in a lower management cost. Based on this previous evidence, we hypothesize that: H4: There is no learning curve in our sample, and the oldest funds do not show better performance results. One of the most widely documented effects in mutual fund studies is the effect of the expense ratio (measured as a ratio between the total costs and the value of the net asset holdings of the fund) or the total costs on various measures of performance. From a theoretical point of view, funds that incur high costs can survive only if their performance compensates for those loads; additionally, we can assume that good managers will try to be rewarded for their work. In this line, some papers find that for the best governed funds, there is a positive relationship between fees and performance (Gil-Bazo and Ruiz-Verdú, 2009, Berkowitz and Kotowitz, 2002), although this is not the case for the vast majority of funds. The negative relationship between funds’ performance and costs is a typical result in the literature (e.g., Barber and Odean 2000; Brown et al. 2004; Barber et al. 2005). This result has been documented in Spain (e.g., Diaz Mendoza et al. 2014; Marco 2007; Martínez 2003) and in other markets (e.g., Gruber 1996; Cahart 1997; Tufano and Sevick 1997; Malhotra and Mc leod 1997). A wide discussion on investing costs can be found in the paper by French (2008). In H5, we test for this effect: H5: Cost has a negative effect on performance results. 5 Finally, we include an additional hypothesis to test for persistence in the results. In this respect, previous research seems to converge. Cahart (1997) suggests that any persistence in performance is short term. Fama and French (2008), after gathering all of the relevant literature, find that persistence is sensitive to the way funds are ranked, is temporary, and largely disappears after 1992. H6: Performance exhibits short-term persistence. Some considerations apply. It is possible that in Spain, given the financial culture and the strong presence of banks and large institutions in this sector, mutual fund managers do not directly receive the performance fee reward earned; instead, the management house wins it. This fact would distort the motivation structure because the investment decision maker may not be rewarded according to his performance and thus the incentive system will be biased. 3 Data and Variables 3.1 The Funds Sample Worldwide, the mutual fund industry is among the most successful financial innovations. The Spanish mutual fund industry has also been very successful, managing since its inception approximately 25% of savings; however, the assets under management decreased during our period of study. By the end of 2012, mutual fund assets amounted to 126,530 million euro, a decrease of 27.7% from 2008 numbers (Inverco, 2012). The fall was steady during the 2010-2012 period. As an exception, we primarily observe that only the investment in fixed-income international markets, emerging markets and indexed management increased. Additionally, during these years in Spain, the number of mutual fund shareholders decreased by 26%. Overall, the past few years have been very difficult ones for the mutual fund industry in Spain. The country’s struggle is in contrast with the worldwide evolution of mutual funds, which raised assets under management by more than 50% during this period. Spanish mutual funds registered in the Spanish Financial Markets Regulator (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores, CNMV) comprise the universe of funds used for this research. This database is composed of 2417 Spanish funds under the supervision of the Spanish regulator. The funds finally included in our analysis have been selected according to the following criteria. Consistent with the official classification 3 , the Spanish mutual funds are divided into 15 categories; 14 of them have funds with a mixed structure of fees (i.e., PERFUNDS). However, in some of them, the percentage of PERFUNDS is very low. We choose to study those categories where the percentage of PERFUNDS to the total number of funds in the category was at least 5% in December 2011. There are 8 categories that fulfill this requirement. The most important ones are Absolute Return and Global, where PERFUNDS account for more than 30% of the category. 3 These categories are established with regard to the fund investment objective, which determines the composition of the portfolio; see Instruction 1/2009 CNMV. 6 Because the different categories lack an official index as benchmark, we look at the funds’ registered brochures to select one or two indexes that may serve as such. We find that many funds do not include any reference. The indexes chosen to track each category risk are included in Table 1. The funds sample we will analyze accounts for more than 40% of the universe of mutual funds and approximately 81% of PERFUNDS; thus, we consider the sample to be representative of the performance fund universe. We observe that during our sample period, the percentage of PERFUNDS in the different categories remained stable, and we do not observe any increase as a result of the 2008 change in regulation. In this table, we have not included passive management and guaranteed funds because the search for alpha is not an objective for them, and performance fees do not play an incentive role. Table 1: The Funds Sample Number of funds and their corresponding categories. In the column on the right hand side, the market benchmark used is specified. Category Fixed Income International (FII) # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS International Mixed (FIIM) # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Equity Euro Mixed (EEM) # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Equity Euro (EQE) # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS International Equity (INTE) # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Absolute Return # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Global # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Total funds analyzed # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS Universe of funds registered # ASSETFUNDS # PERFUNDS % PERFUNDS 2008 2009 2010 2011 64 7 10,94% 70 8 50 5 10,00% 59 8 51 4 7,84% 55 6 48 4 8,33% 53 8 11,43% 133 9 6,77% 237 14 5,91% 330 33 10,00% 134 36 26,87% 333 98 29,43% 1301 205 15,76% 2681 227 8,47% 13,56% 111 8 7,21% 186 14 7,53% 242 32 13,22% 151 52 34,44% 188 57 30,32% 987 176 17,83% 2333 223 9,56% 10,91% 103 7 6,80% 178 16 8,99% 241 35 14,52% 153 49 32,03% 195 62 31,79% 976 179 18,34% 2259 228 10,09% 15,09% 93 7 7,53% 161 12 7,45% 260 28 10,77% 148 45 30,41% 208 63 30,29% 971 167 17,20% 2259 207 9,16% 2012 Benchmark used 40 JP Global 5 Aggregate Bond 12,50% Index TR EUR 52 MSCI World and JP Global 11 Aggregate Bond 21,15% Index TR EUR 71 EUR IBOXX and 6 Eurostoxx TMI 8,45% 127 7 Eurostoxx TMI 5,51% 211 MSCI World 29 13,74% 115 MSCI World 45 39,13% 192 MSCI World 69 35,94% 808 172 21,29% 2466 211 8,56% In 2008, the CNMV also changed the categories, i.e., the funds’ classification. This change has no major effect on our study because all of the categories analyzed existed 7 before the change. Two exceptions apply: The INTE (International Equity) category did not exist as such before 2009, it was created aggregating 5 previous categories (International Equity Europe, International Equity US, International Equity Japan, International Equity Emerging and other International Equity), and the Absolute Return category was created before it was included in the Global category. Then, for 2008, we used the AR funds listed in 2009, not having changed the category, and classified them as AR funds in 2008 (although they were officially Global funds in 2008). We find that in the sample, the standard performance fees range between 5% and 9%. There are some funds with a marginal performance fee (below 1%), that were included in the sample (9 funds, 0.37% of the total and 4.3% of PERFUNDS). Only four funds in our sample charge solely the performance fee, and they are classified in the Global category. For every fund, we gather the following data: daily net asset value (NAV), total assets for the period 2008-2012, and the inception date plus the historical annual NAV for the period 2001-2012. Our sample is free of survivorship bias; the dataset includes all funds that existed in the categories under study during the period. Survivorship bias implies an important distortion in the results, as documented by Brown and Goetzmann (1995), Elton et al. (1996) and Otten and Bams (2004), among others. We have considered funds with at least one natural year of NAVs, and we have filtered the database, removing the funds with fewer than 100 shareholders or fewer than 3 million assets under management. (These funds, according to the Spanish regulation, are under a restructuration process.) The final filtered sample consists of 2773 fund-year observations. 3.2 Variables and Descriptive Statistics To analyze the relationships outlined previously in section 2 we detail below the variables constructed and the main statistics. The daily RAW RETURNS earned by the investors on fund i in day t is denoted by R it and is calculated as ln (NAV t /NAV t-1 ). This RAW RETURN is the calculated net of the total costs borne by the fund. Then, we calculate the net returns (NETRET) as the RAW RETURNS net of the RISK-FREE RATE: 𝑅𝑖𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 where R ft is the risk-free rate; we use as a proxy for the risk-free rate the daily estimate of the one-year interest rate on the Spanish Treasury bills. The alpha of the fund, or risk-adjusted fund performance is the measure of outperformance or underperformance relative to the market proxy used and will be estimated according to three models: 8 1) The first model widely used to evaluate risk-adjusted performance is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) based on the work by Sharpe, Lintner, Treynor and Mossin: 𝑅𝑖𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 = 𝛼𝐶𝐴𝑃𝑀𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽𝑖𝑡 �𝑅𝑚𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 � + 𝜀𝑖𝑡 [1] where R mt is the log-return of the market benchmark used and we call the alpha obtained by this model 𝛼𝐶𝐴𝑃𝑀 . The market benchmarks used in each analyzed category can be found in Table 1 and have been selected taking into account the investment policy of the registered funds. 2) The second model used to evaluate risk-adjusted performance is the three-factor model proposed by Fama and French (1993). In addition to a value-weighted market proxy, size and book-to-market are used as risk factors. We call this alpha, 𝛼𝐹𝐹 : 𝑅𝑖𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 = 𝛼𝐹𝐹𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽0𝑖,𝑡 �𝑅𝑚𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 � + 𝛽1𝑖,𝑡 𝑆𝑀𝐵𝑡 + 𝛽2𝑖,𝑡 𝐻𝑀𝐿𝑡 + 𝜀𝑖𝑡 [2] where SMB t is the difference in return between a small cap portfolio and a large cap portfolio at time t, and HML t is the difference in return between a portfolio of high book-to-market stocks and a portfolio of low book-to-market stocks at time t. 3) The third model is the Cahart (1997) four-factor model, which includes a momentum factor, WML t , that captures the Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) momentum anomaly: 𝑅𝑖𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 = 𝛼𝐶𝐴𝐻𝐴𝑅𝑇𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽0𝑖,𝑡 �𝑅𝑚𝑡 − 𝑅𝑓𝑡 � + 𝛽1𝑖,𝑡 𝑆𝑀𝐵𝑡 + 𝛽2𝑖,𝑡 𝐻𝑀𝐿𝑡 + 𝛽3𝑖,𝑡 𝑊𝑀𝐿𝑡 + +𝜀𝑖𝑡 [3] WML t is the difference in return between a portfolio of past winners and a portfolio of past losers at time t. 𝛼𝐶𝐴𝐻𝐴𝑅𝑇 is this model resulting alpha. These models can be interpreted as performance attribution models where the coefficients and premia on the factor-mimicking portfolios indicate the proportion of mean return attributable to each strategy (Otten and Bams, 2004). LNASSETS is the natural logarithm of fund assets, and we use it to test for a possible size effect (H3). LNSHOLDERS is the natural logarithm of the total number of shareholders in a fund. The variable AGE refers to the age of each mutual fund. To check for learning curves in the mutual fund industry, we include this variable in our analysis (see H4). To measure the volume of net flows received (DASSETS), we construct the following variable, adjusting for the annual raw return of the fund (Sirri and Tufano 1998): 𝐷𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠𝑡 = (𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑡 − 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑡−1 (1 + 𝑅𝑡 ))⁄𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑡−1 9 Each year, the risk (RISKt ) handled by the manager is measured by the daily standard deviation of the previous 12 months’ daily returns. This measure is then annualized. Finally we include the performance results of the previous year (α persistence in the results (H6). t-1) to test for The descriptive statistics of the variables used in the model can be found next in Table 2 A, where we observe that the funds’ mean annual RAW RETURN is almost zero, although it covers a wide range, from -68,27% to 101,21%; during these years, stocks experienced a very negative evolution (e.g., -31,5 % for Ibex 35, -28,7% for Eurostoxx 50, and -16% for the MSCI index), but fixed-income strategies performed better (e.g., IBOXX rose 35,26%), and as mentioned, the sample overall is composed of funds following different investment policies. Table 2(A): Summary Statistics RAW RETURNS are annualized returns calculated as ln(NAV t /NAVt-1 ). The RISK FREE RATE is estimated using the daily data of the one-year interest rate on Spanish government notes, and RISK t is the annual standard deviation of the previous 12 months’ daily returns. ASSETS are assets under management, and DASSETS are the volume change rate of net flows received. #SHAREHOLDERS is the number of shareholders, and AGE refers to the age of the fund. Variable RAW RETURNS (annual) RISK FREE RATE (annual) RISKt (annual) ASSETS (thousands) DASSETS # SHAREHOLDERS AGE (days) Mean -0.06% 3.098% 16.05% 32,652 0.3528 1,672 4,003 Std. Dev. 0.1981 1.076 11.45% 76,771 5.5825 3,516 1,651 Description of quartiles for DASSETS and for AGE Min p25 DASSETS -1.912 -0.2229 AGE (days) 727 2,864 Total Number of observations: 2773 Min -68.27% 1% 0.45% 3002 -1.912 100 727 Max 101.21% 5.28% 65.06% 1,292,879 216.5 52,086 14,769 p50 -0.0887 4,057 p75 0.0519 5,136 Max 216.5 14,769 The average risk experienced by the funds in the sample is somewhat lower than the risk of the Ibex-35 Index (approximately 22%) and the Eurostoxx 50 and MSCI Indexes (approximately 21%) because they are not equity funds, as explained above. We can also observe that the assets under management varied widely, with funds reaching more than 1 billion euros and some others with just the minimum 3,000,000 euros. The oldest fund in our sample is more than forty years old, and minimum age to be included in the sample is one year of NAV. Due to their impact on mutual funds studies literature, we also include the summary statistics and the correlation structure of three variables: total costs (TOTCOSTS), 10 management fees (MNGFEE) and performance fee (PERFEE). PERFEE refers to the performance fee, MNGFEE refers to the regular management fee charged on the fund, and TOTCOST 4 refers to the total costs incurred by the fund during the year (fees, expenses, trading costs). The TOTCOST during the sample period studied also includes the inducements or retrocession fees received by the funds. The description of these variables during our sample period and the relationships between them can be seen in Table 2B. Table 2(B): Summary Statistics and Correlation Structure of total costs (TOTCOSTS), management fees (MNGFEE) and performance fees (PERFEE). Correlation Structure Variable TOTCOSTS All sample MNGFEE period PERFEE TOTCOSTS 2008 MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS 2009 MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS 2010 MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS 2011 MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS 2012 MNGFEE PERFEE Mean 1.6916 1.5389 7.9878 1.3825 1.5158 8.1795 1.7648 1.5216 8.1018 1.7470 1.5283 7.8746 1.7244 1.5652 7.7330 1.8118 1.5778 8.1700 Std. Dev. 0.6604 0.5614 2.3131 0.6859 0.5653 2.0179 0.7975 0.5531 2.5155 0.6185 0.5511 2.4521 0.5955 0.5511 2.3853 0.6136 0.5933 1.9032 Min 0.01 0 0.01 0.01 0 0.44 0.01 0 0.11 0.07 0 0.02 0.13 0 0.01 0.13 0 0.44 Max 5.95 2.25 18 5.95 2.25 15.25 5.95 2.25 18 3.83 2.25 18 3.5 2.25 10 3.63 2.25 10 TOTCOSTS TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE TOTCOSTS MNGFEE PERFEE 1 0.70 -0.16 1 0.01 0.02 1 0.78 -0.18 1 0.88 -0.14 1 0.94 -0.36 1 0.86 -0.19 MNGFEE PERFEE 1 -0.37 1 1 -0.33 1 1 -0.36 1 1 -0.34 1 1 -0.41 1 1 -0.44 1 Annual data in %. We report summary statistics of PERFEE taking only into account PERFUNDS. For TOTCOSTS, we observe a clear tendency to increase. The same tendency is observed in the case of the MNGFEE but not for the PERFEE. The PERFEE remains more or less stable during the sample period with a mean of approximately 8%. These data suggest that because the funds were not earning the performance fee during this period because of bear markets, they increased other fees to gain a margin. Furthermore, due to these dropping financial markets, the assets under management did not grow (as a whole), which likely caused the high management fees in an attempt to maintain profits. In addition, the analysis of the correlation structure of costs is revealing. MNGFEE are positively and highly correlated with TOTCOST, while the opposite happens with PERFEE, indicating that the funds under study still rely mainly in the management fee, and performance fees are a residual bet in this market, for this reason we call them timid. PERFEE and MNGFEE exhibit negative correlation which is consistent with the particular fees’ structure analyzed in this work that poses a maximum in management fees when the fund charges mixed fees. 4 These total costs are also called TER: total expenses ratio. 11 An interesting remark is that in our sample, MNGFEE account for 90% of TOTCOSTS, but we find a high number of observations (13,9%) in which the TOTCOSTS are under the MNGFEE. We find two reasons for this fact. First, retrocession fees earned by the funds reduce the costs. Inducements affect many observations, particularly our category of FGL, where there are many funds of funds. Second, the MNGFEE is a daily fixed percentage, whereas the percentage used for TOTCOSTS is calculated using the year’s average assets in the funds. This particularity suggests that in 2008, a year of sharp declines in the financial markets, TOTCOSTS were lower than MNGFEE in 60% of the observations! For these reasons, we test H5 using (the effect of cost on performance) on MNGFEE instead of TOTCOSTS. 3.3. Risk-Adjusted Performance The fund’s benchmark-adjusted net return to investors Table 3: Summary Statistics and year-by-year risk-adjusted returns The alphas below are estimated according to models [1], [2] and [3] described in section 3.2. Monthly data Model 1 Model 2 Daily data αCAPM Mean (all period) -0.0566*** Std. Dev. 0.2461 Min -2.1619 Max 2.0446 Mean (2008) -0.3218*** Mean (2009) 0.1077*** Mean (2010) -0.0237*** Mean (2011) -0.0821*** Mean (2012) -0.0219*** Mean (AR) -0.0219*** Mean (FII) -0.0169*** Mean (FIIM) -0.0236*** Mean (EQE) -0.1516*** Mean (INTE) -0.0481*** Mean (EEM) -0.0133*** Mean (Global) -0.03145*** *** Statistical significance at 1% level Annualized alfas #Obs. 2773 484 656 682 577 374 277 138 150 570 787 339 512 Model 3 αCAPM αFF αCahart -0.0215*** 0.0945 -0.5154 0.5307 -0.0391*** 0.0217*** -0.0199*** -0.0312*** -0.0609*** -0.0099*** -0.0228*** -0.0239*** -0.0485*** -0.0057*** -0.0204*** -0.0213*** -0.0164*** 0.0926 -0.4776 0.3592 -0.0326*** 0.0169*** -0.0032*** -0.0419*** -0.0382*** -0.0017*** -0.0253*** -0.0097*** -0.0226*** -0.0138*** -0.0257*** -0.0146*** -0.0138*** 0.0913 -0.5384 0.3961 -0.0274*** 0.0206*** -0.0086*** -0.0419*** -0.0225*** -0.0023*** -0.0283*** -0.0071*** -0.0022*** -0.0253*** -0.0173*** -0.0109*** As observed, risk-adjusted performance measures are negative and significant in all periods, estimated by both daily and monthly data. This is a common result for this market (e.g., Diaz Mendoza et al. 2014) and in general (Elton and Gruber, 2013). Whether the industry as a whole has stock picking talents that justify the trading costs it incurs and the management and performance fees and expenses that it charges is an 12 issue already considered. Active investment is in aggregate a zero sum game (the aggregate alpha is zero before costs). After costs (that is, in terms of net return to investors), active investment is a negative sum game (e.g., French 2008). Because the value weighted portfolio of funds produces an alpha close to zero in gross returns, the alpha estimated on the net returns to investors is negative based on the amount of fees and expenses. Elton and Gruber (2013) summarize that most studies find small positive gross alphas that are not high enough to cover fees and expenses. 4. Methodology and Empirical Estimation 4.1 Performance Model To test the hypotheses outlined in section 2, we first estimate a dynamic panel data model with lagged endogenous variables (Panel 1): 𝛼𝐶𝐴𝑃𝑀𝑖,𝑡 = 𝜆𝑖,0 + Γ𝑅𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑉𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑖,𝑡 + Θ𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑉𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜈𝑖,𝑡 [4] where α CAPMi,t is the risk-adjusted performance calculated according to the CAPM model [1] using daily data. ResearchVbles include variables related to the fund’s PERFEE (H1), size (H3), age (H4), expenses (H5) and risk-adjusted performance in the previous year α CAPMi,t-1 (H6). Size is measured by LNASSETS and LNSHOLDERS. The variable AGE refers to the age of each mutual fund. We have divided our sample into quartiles according to the fund’s age. The first quartile is composed of the youngest funds, whereas the fourth quartile is composed of the oldest. Expenses are measured by MNGFEE and TOTCOSTS. To test for nonlinearities in the relationship between performance and expenses, we estimate three different specifications of model 4. Estimation 1 includes an interaction between PERFEE and MNGFEE, estimation 2 includes PERFEE squared, and estimation 3 includes MNGFEE squared. Following prior literature vector ControlVbles include the volatility of the current year (RISKt ) and lagged volatility (RISK t-1 ), to capture the current and past effects of volatility on performance. Previous empirical work shows that this variable proxies for uncertainty about managerial ability and soak up heterogeneity in fund investors’ tax bases (Ferson and Lin, 2014). A quartile dummy (DASSETSQ1 to DASSETSQ4) is used to control for increases in size, where funds belonging to the first quartile are those with the lowest increase in size. This way of measurement has been chosen for this variable because of the extreme values that present in the upper and lower tails (see table 2.A). We also include dummy variables to control for fund family membership for the year and for absorbing funds. 5 Table 4(A): Results for Panel 1. Risk-adjusted performance and funds’ characteristics for the period 2008-2012. 5 Coefficients for year and absorbing fund dummies are not included in the table. The results are not significant and are available upon request. 13 Regressions are estimated using Arellano and Bond’s (1991) two-step GMM difference estimator for dynamic panel data with a lagged endogenous variable 6. The dependent variable is the risk-adjusted performance calculated according to the CAPM model using daily data. RISK is calculated as the standard deviations of daily returns obtained during the current year. RISK t-1 is calculated with the daily returns of the previous year. PERFEE is the performance fee earned by the fund. MNGFEE is the management (or asset) fee charged, and TOTALCOSTS are the costs incurred by the fund during the year including custody fees, transaction costs, and other miscellaneous costs. Estimation 1 includes an interaction between PERFEE and MNGFEE, estimation 2 includes PERFEE squared, and estimation 3 includes MNGFEE squared. DASSETSQ1 to DASSETSQ4 are quartile dummies; DASSETSQ1=1 if the fund belongs to the quartile with the lowest increase in wealth and 0 otherwise. LNASSETS is the natural logarithm of assets in the fund, and LNSHOLDERS is the natural logarithm of shareholders. AGEQ1 to AGEQ4 are quartile dummies, where AGEQ1 is composed of the youngest funds, and AGEQ4 is composed of the oldest ones. AR, FII, FIIM, EQE, INTE and EEM are the fund categories, and Global is the category used as the base category. Year dummies are time dummies (one per year,) and absorbing fund dummies take a value of 1 for funds that absorb another one. Robust standard deviations have been computed to make an inference about coefficients’ significance. ***, ** and * represent the significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. At the bottom of the table, we report the p-values for the model’s adequacy tests. 6 Several models have been estimated using Arellano and Bond’s (1991) two-step GMM difference estimator for dynamic panel data with a lagged endogenous variable. As noted by Roodman (2009), this estimator is designed for situations similar to those that appear in this paper because (1) there are few time periods and many individuals (5 years but 872 mutual funds); (2) a single left-hand-side variable is dynamic, depending on its own past realization (ALPHA lagged one year); (3) some independent variables are not strictly exogenous, i.e., correlated with past and possibly current realizations of the error (as RISK or DASSETS may be). 14 Depending variable Explanatory variables αCAPM (t-1) RISKt RISKt-1 PERFEE MNGFEE PERFEE*MNGFEE PERFEE^2 MNGFEE^2 TOTCOSTS DASSETSQ1 DASSETSQ3 DASSETSQ4 LN ASSETS LNSHOLDERS AGEQ2 AGEQ3 AGEQ4 AR (Absolute Return) FII (Fixed Income Intn'l) FIIM (Intn`l Mixed) EQE (Equity Euro) INTE (Intn'l Equity) EEM (Equity Euro Mixed) Constant Year Dummies Absorbing Fund Dummie # Observations # Funds # Instrum Chi^2 Arellano-Bond test1 Arellano-Bond test2 Sargan Test Hansen Test Estimation 1 Estimation 2 Estimation 3 -0.0714* -1.0196* 0.4993 -0.0019 -0.0599** -0.0115 -0.0714* -1.0195* 0.4822 -0.0102 -0.7989 -0.0717* -1.0083* 0.4215 -0.1761 -0.6033* αCAPM αCAPM αCAPM 0.0177 0.4325*** -0.0103 0.1101 0.3607*** -0.0032 -0.0257 0.1538 -0.0053 -0.0631 .02488 -0.0899 0.3249 0.2491 0.2843 0.3432* 0.0799 yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.4874 0.2073 0.0564 0.0800 0.4385*** -0.0145 0.1019 0.3593*** -0.0047 -0.0228 0.1591 -0.0113 -0.0734 0.2423 -0.0932 0.2906 0.2158 0.2404 0.3256* 0.1880 yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.5159 0.2377 0.0574 0.4328*** 0.0118 0.1345 0.3709*** 0.0203 -0.0553 0.1379 -0.0574 -0.1151 0.1883 -0.0094 0.3538 0.2823 0.3177 0.3576* 0.0841 yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.7352 0.3513 0.1107 Second, this same equation (model 4) is also estimated based on monthly data and dependent variables α CAPMi,t , α FFi,t , α CAHARTi,t , and we will address these results as Panel 2, Panel 3 and Panel 4. We present the results in Table 4(B). The estimations of Panel 1 based on daily data are preferred because they perform better on adequacy tests (Arellano/Bond, Sargan and Hansen tests), but we find some interesting results in the models estimated with monthly data using the risk-adjusted measures of Fama and French, and Cahart. 15 Table 4(B): Results for Panels 2, 3 and 4. Risk-adjusted performance (α CAPMi,t , αCAHARTi,t ) and funds’ characteristics for the period 2008-2012. α FFi,t , Regressions are estimated using Arellano and Bond’s (1991) two-step GMM difference estimator for dynamic panel data with a lagged endogenous variable. The dependent variable is the risk-adjusted performance calculated according to the CAPM model using monthly data. RISK is calculated as the standard deviations of monthly returns obtained during the current year. RISK t-1 is calculated with the monthly returns of the previous year. PERFEE is the performance fee earned by the fund. MNGFEE is the management (or asset) fee charged, and TOTALCOSTS are the costs incurred by the fund during the year, including custody fees, transaction costs, and other miscellaneous costs. Estimation 1 includes an interaction between PERFEE and MNGFEE, estimation 2 includes PERFEE squared, and estimation 3 includes MNGFEE squared. DASSETSQ1 to DASSETSQ4 are quartile dummies; DASSETSQ1=1 if the fund belongs to the quartile with the lowest increase in wealth and 0 otherwise. LNASSETS is the natural logarithm of assets in the fund, and LNSHOLDERS is the natural logarithm of shareholders. AGEQ1 to AGEQ4 are quartile dummies, where AGEQ1 is composed of the youngest funds, and AGEQ4 is composed of the oldest ones. AR, FII, FIIM, EQE, INTE and EEM are the fund categories. Global is the category used as the base category. Year dummies are time dummies (one per year), and absorbing fund dummies take a value of 1 for funds that absorb another one. Robust standard deviations have been computed to make inference about coefficients’ significance. ***, ** and * represent the significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. At the bottom of the table, we report the p-values for the model’s adequacy tests. 16 Depending variable Explanatory variables α(t-1) RISK (sigma t) RISK (sigma t-1) PERFEE MNGFEE TOTCOSTS DASSETSQ1 DASSETSQ3 DASSETSQ4 LN ASSETS LNSHOLDERS AGEQ2 AGEQ3 AGEQ4 AR (Absolute Return) FII (Fixed Income Intn'l) FIIM (Intn`l Mixed) EQE (Equity Euro) INTE (Intn'l Equity) EEM (Equity Euro Mixed) Constant Year Dummies Absorbing Fund Dummie # Observations # Funds # Instrum Chi^2 Arellano-Bond test1 Arellano-Bond test2 Sargan Test Hansen Test Panel 2 Panel 3 αFF αCahart -0.2008*** 0.4922* -0.0393 0.0131 -0.0271 0.1465** 0.0059 0.891 0.2472*** 0.0596* -0.0404 0.0539 0.1701* -0.0404 0.1261 0.0271 0.0342 -0.1965 -0.0288 0.1284 -0.7657*** yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.7371 0 0 -0.2244*** 0.2586 -0.0699 0.0334* 0.0489 0.1072* 0.0843 0.2339*** 0.2875*** 0.0036 0.0057 0.0901 0.1196 0.0058 0.1571 0.2292 0.0012 -0.0631 -0.0471 0.1616 -0.6805** yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.2368 0 0 -0.1835*** 0.7948** 0.1322 0.0346* 0.1169 0.1066* 0.1519* 0.3284*** 0.2318*** -0.0161 0.0209 0.0622 0.0758 0.0104 0.0368 0.0991 0.0471 -0.396** -0.2644* 0.0846 -0.6173* yes yes 2773 872 72 0 0 0.0968 0 0.0001 αCAPM Panel 4 In light of the results of the estimations, it is possible to discuss whether the research hypotheses are not supported by empirical evidence. The first result we obtain is related to H1. Our PERFUNDS sample does not exhibit a higher risk-adjusted fund performance than ASSETFUNDS, and the estimations do not support H1 because the coefficient of PERFEE is not significant. However, it is interesting to note that this result is significant and positive in panels 3 and 4, indicating that adjusting for all pertinent risk factors, there is a positive and significant relationship between PERFEE and funds’ alpha. This result is aligned with the findings of DiazMendoza et al. (2014) for the Spanish market. 17 Attempting to capture in depth the relationship between fees and fund performance, Estimation 1 (Table 4(A)) also includes an interaction term between PERFEE and MNGFEE to test whether PERFEE effects’ magnitude depends on the level of MNGFEE, that is, whether funds with higher MNGFEE have enough incentives to earn the PERFEE and whether funds with lower MNGFEE behave differently and have more incentives to earn the PERFEE. However, this interaction term turns out not significant, so no conclusion in this respect can be reached. Estimations 2 and 3 (Table 4(A)) attempt to explore whether there is a non-linear and quadratic relationship between fund performance and MNGFEE or PERFEE. Again, we find no significant results. It could be argued that there should be an optimum level of both fees to maximize fund performance, but our empirical evidence does not support this reasoning. Regarding H3, which predicts that there are scale economies in the mutual fund industry, there is some mixed evidence. On one hand, the coefficient of LNASSETS (fund size) is not significant, with the exception of Panel 2 (Table 4(B)), but on the other hand, the coefficient of DASSETSQ4 (increase in assets in the fourth quartile) is highly significant (p<0.01) and positive for all estimations. Thus, there is no conclusive evidence that larger funds have better performance, but mutual funds with higher asset growth do. This result indicates the presence of smart money for selecting contemporaneously the funds that are performing better. The increasing professional financial services’ effect in Spain during the sample period is likely driving this robust finding. A coincidental previous finding in the literature is the paper about smart money by Zheng (1999). Next, we find the confirmation of H4 relative to the non-existence of a learning curve in the sense that older funds do not show better performance than younger ones; none of the funds’ age quartile dummies is significant. This specification of the funds’ age allows us to test for a possible U-shaped/ inverted U-shaped relationship effect, and the results also show that there are no such relationships. We conclude that funds’ size and age are not relevant to explain their performance. Toledo and Marco (2010), for the 1993-2001 Spanish sample, also found lack of a learning curve and lack of economies of scale; this feature has not changed ten years later. The coefficient of the lagged alpha is significant at the10% significance level in the model estimated with daily data, and it is significant at 1% in the model estimated with monthly data, but it is always negative. Therefore, the empirical findings show that if a fund had poor performance one year, it tends to do better in the next, and vice versa. This result, in line with all of the previous literature about short-term persistence in performance, also indicates performance reversion in our fund sample and allows us to reject hypothesis H6; we do not find persistence in results, but we can say that there is short-term performance reversion or a mean reversal effect. Finally, for costs other than PERFEE, the results of the estimations show that the as the MNGFEE increases, the fund performance decreases, whereas as the TOTCOSTS 18 increases, so does the fund performance; we find that this result is robust to different specifications of the model. 7 This is an odd result. On one hand, it confirms H5, which establishes the negative relationship between costs (proxied here by the MNGFEE) and PERFEE (also found in Toledo and Marco, 2010). On the other hand, the fact that we find a strong and robust positive relationship between performance and TOTCOSTS indicates the aforementioned influence of inducements and the cost calculation method (section 3.2). The significance of both effects is higher in the model estimated using daily data for the risk-adjusted measures. Finally, we can say that there is no influence of the former year’s level of risk on the current year’s mutual fund performance, and the effect of the contemporaneous risk is not conclusive. In relation to the different investment categories, we find that only the funds belonging to the EEM category seem to earn superior returns to the reference category. For the estimations with daily data (see Table 4(A)), there is a positive and significant relationship between the funds in this category and their performance. 4.3. Explanatory model for funds’ assets increase Finally, to test for H2 and determine whether PERFUNDS attract more new cash flow than ASSETFUNDS, we include a complementary model (see Table 5) in which the dependent variable is not the performance measure but DASSETS (the funds’ asset growth). We estimate the following panel data model: 𝐷𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛾0 + γ1 𝑃𝐸𝑅𝐹𝐸𝐸𝑖,𝑡 + Θ𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑉𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜈𝑖,𝑡 [5] where PERFEE is a dummy variable that takes a value of 1 if the fund “i” at year “t” had a performance fee and 0 otherwise. To control for other sources of variations, other variables have been added: the previous year’s risk-adjusted return, the lagged risk of the fund, MNGFEES, LNASSETS, LNAGE and the fund’s category. It is worth noting that a dummy to control for whether the fund absorbed (or not) another fund this year has also been included. This fact would obviously provoke a great growth of assets independent of PERFEE. Table 5: Results for model 5. Panel estimation for funds’ assets increase 2008-2012. The panel has been estimated by means of the pooled averaged estimator and employing robust clustered standard errors because the Breusch-Pagan test failed to reject the null hypothesis of the absence of random effects. The dependent variable is DASSETS. PERFEE is a dummy variable that takes a value of 1 if the fund earns a performance fee and 0 otherwise. α CAPM is the risk-adjusted performance calculated based on daily data according to the CAPM model. RISK t-1 is calculated as the standard deviations of the previous year’s daily returns. MNGFEE is the management (or asset) fee charged. LNASSETS is the natural logarithm of assets in the fund, and AGE refers to the number of days since inception. Global, FII, FIIM, EQE, INTE and 7 We have also estimated the model presented in table 4 without MNGFEE and without TOTCOSTS, but the signs and significance of coefficients did not change, and the adequacy tests turned out worse. The results are available upon request. 19 EEM are the fund categories, and AR is the category used as a base category. Year dummies are time dummies (one per year), and absorbing fund dummies take the value 1 for funds that absorb another one. Robust standard deviations have been computed to make inferences about coefficients’ significance. ***, ** and * represent the significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. The sample has been trimmed at both ends, 1% at each, to avoid outliers’ effect on assets’ growth. Dependent variable Explanatory variables PERFEE (yes/no) αCAPM (t-1) RISKt-1 MNGFEE LN ASSETS AGE Global FII (Fixed Income Intn'l) FIIM (Intn`l Mixed) EQE (Equity Euro) INTE (Intn'l Equity) EEM (Equity Euro Mixed) Constant Year Dummies Absorbing Fund Dummie # Observations # Funds Chi^2 DASSETS 0.0309 -0.0416 0.1353 -0.0843*** 0.0724*** -0.1080*** 0.2475*** 0.3171*** 0.1638*** 0.1999*** 0.3189*** 0.1660*** 0.6704*** yes yes 2717 865 0 Given that the coefficient of PERFEE is not significant, we can say that PERFUNDS do not attract more new money than ASSETFUNDS, and we reject H2. PERFEE does not seem to be a relevant variable for investors to choose a fund, although as we have seen previously (Table 4), the results indicate that adjusting for all pertinent risk factors, funds with PERFEE earn a superior alpha. However, according to the results in Table 5, PERFEE does not play a role as a signal to investors. As mentioned, in our sample, very few funds charge solely the performance fee (just four); all of the other funds that charge PERFEE also charge MNGFEE. Somehow, this mixed structure is chosen by managers who do not merely rely on their skills; they prefer to retain a fixed compensation. We find that this structure weakens the message sent to investors, as the signaling theory indicates, because it is not strong enough to indicate which managers are willing to assume more risks and be rewarded only on their skills. The paper by Haslem (2007) backs up our findings; he reports a prevailing lack of strong competition in the mutual fund industry, which benefits non-performance based management fee funds. 20 Indicating the same result, but from a completely different perspective, the study by Ferson and Lin (2014) finds that traditional risk-adjusted performance measures are not reliable guides for the attractiveness of an investment. They encounter that positive alphas do not indicate that an investor would want to buy a fund and that a client is likely to view the performance of a given fund differently from another client, making it more appropriate to develop clientele-specific measures of funds’ performance, such as the variance of disagreement across investors. On the other side, Table 5 reveals a very significant negative effect for MNGFEE; this effect is related to high investor awareness about the load that management fees represent. Investors clearly prefer to invest in funds with lower MNGFEE. These results are aligned with the previous findings in the literature in this respect. We also observe that larger funds attract more money, although they do not earn superior returns. The aforementioned feature of the industry’s strong presence of banks, which benefit from placing mutual funds through their offices to an unsophisticated demand, contributes to this result. The increasing professional advice and the popularization of the model investment portfolios also have an effect. Once a fund is included in a model investment portfolio, all trackers will buy the fund for their portfolios, causing a feedback effect. Additionally, these industry characteristics and the increasing use of advertising propel the introduction of new funds as we observe that the funds that attract more new money are the younger ones. Our results do not support any sort of learning curve effect in model 4, for the performance fee, or in model 5, for the increase in size. Finally, the 2008-2012 period was a bad period for the AR (Absolute Return) category, i.e., the exiting money category, whereas all others comparatively received money inflows. 5. Conclusions In this study, we compared the performance of funds with and without incentive fees within the same investment philosophy to gain insight into the effect of the particular incentive fee structure applied in Spain in 2008. We observe that all but four funds that charge a performance fee select a mixed structure and retain a management fee that is often very high. Thus, we call these performance fees applied in our sample timid fees. Using a dynamic panel data model, we find that after adjusting for all relevant risk factors, a significant relationship emerges, and funds charging performance fees obtain better results than their equivalent charging fees on assets under management. This result verifies previous research for the Spanish market. However, we find that they do not attract more new money, as the theory suggests. According to theory, incentive fees should align managers’ interests with investors’ interests and attract the managers with the best skills. These managers send a signal to investors through the performance fee. Nevertheless, we interpret that the mixed structure prevailing in Spain weakens the signal sent to investors. Another explanation for this fact is in line with the recent 21 research by Ferson and Lin (2014) about the appropriateness of developing clientele’s specific measures of fund performance. This paper also contributes to the literature by providing evidence for the presence of smart money and is the first to do so for Spain. Mutual funds with higher asset growth achieve better performance. The emerging modernization of this industry and the increasing presence of professionals render these effects. Additionally, we find that these funds attracting more money are the younger funds; the results show that younger funds attract more money. This evidence is consistent with prior research because we do not find economies of scale or learning economies: Larger and older funds do not obtain better performance. Other results found, that relate to the control variables, are a clear and statistically shortterm performance reversion in results—meaning that if a fund had poor performance one year, it will tend to perform better the next year, and vice versa—, the negative relationship between management fees and performance results, and the inconclusive evidence on the relationship between the risk endured by a fund and its alphas. This evidence is aligned with previous literature on the topic. We conclude that the mixed structures are not clear enough for investors and, in this respect, do not attract money, although they may deliver better risk-adjusted performance. Our study indicates an interesting avenue for the development of the mutual fund industry in Spain: the opportunity and attractiveness of funds that charge the performance fee alone. This challenge remains open. 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