THE ECOLOGY OF TRANSPORTATION Remarks to American Road Builders Association National Convention Los Angeles, California February 22, 1971 Jacob Dekema District Engineer, District 11 California Division of Highways San Diego I t is always a pleasure to speak to people who are actively engaged in building a better America, particularly today when the prophets of doom are swaying masses of wellmeaning citizens into emotional and irrational efforts with questionable results in attempts to improve our environment. Our transportation system has come under virulent attack by these Jeremiahs who seem totally unable to comprehend that, in the words of General Billy Mitchell, "Transportation is the essence of civilization." Four hundred years ago Lord Bacon told Queen Elizabeth I that there are three things that make a nation great: fertile soil, busy workshops, and the easy conveyance of men and goods from place to place. It is in this “easy conveyance of men and goods from place to place” that America has excelled, and far surpassed the rest of the world. We are today engaged in modernizing and improving an already magnificent transportation system that some seem to take for granted as a natural phenomenon. Our task is quite similar to that of Baron Hausman who was instructed by Emperor Napoleon III one hundred years ago to modernize the City of Paris. The transformation of the medieval town into today's great modern city was accomplished in the face of the same public attack that accompanies our struggle today. Hausman carved the great boulevards through the heart of Paris, “uprooting people, removing valuable property from the tax rolls, splitting communities, separating families and dividing the city into isolated islands”. Compared to Hausman's meat-axe approach, we are using the patience and precision of a neurosurgeon in restoring adequate flow through our urban arterial system. The average person's resistance to change makes the task of modernizing a great city exceedingly difficult. In a study of the so-called “New Town” of Columbia, Maryland, it became evident that transportation must be considered at a very early stage in the planning and in particular prior to the completion of the land use plan. The reverse process now being performed in our more viable and progressive cities naturally produces vast resistance and demands for maintenance of the status quo or a return to an obsolete system of a previous century. These difficulties are compounded by a growing segment of the population that wants to preserve the past at all costs. Professor Arthur Lewis of Princeton University comments, “Only decadent peoples, on the way down, feel an urgent need to mythologize and live in the past. A vigorous people, on the way up, have visions of its future....” Because the problems sometimes seem to be insurmountable, we frequently receive suggestions to apply “systems engineering”. In the Harvard University Press publication, “Run, Computer, Run” the authors point out that “The present tools of formal systems analysis work best on well-defined, simple, concrete models, involving quantifiable concepts, measurable data, and above all, thoroughly understood theoretical structures which adequately reflect reality”. Simon Ramo, one of the prophets of the Systems Approach says, “Surround the problem too broadly, try too hard to be absolutely complete and you will not only get nowhere in the solution of the problem, but you will be doing a terribly poor job of systems engineering”. In other words, systems engineering stops short of taking into critical consideration the whole of society, economy, environment or the human condition. Human values cannot be measured or predicted, therefore cannot be quantified and included in systems engineering. Highly successful in a simple project of putting a man on the moon, it is doomed to failure in the complexities of getting a man to work. Boris Pushkarev of the Regional Plan Association of New York has pointed out that the parkways and expressways in New York City have made the city's two greatest visual assets, its skyline and its water, accessible to public view. “They have linked together hitherto isolated open spaces into a continuous, interconnected system, eminently fitted to both the natural topography and to the man-made order of the street grid. They have articulated a previously incomprehensible urban mass into visually distinctive chunks and provided a set of magnificent gateways and landmarks in the form of new bridges” The same transformation is taking place In San Diego and has been proposed in San Francisco. It is indeed ironic that the nearly identical programs should be so lavishly praised in New York and so roundly condemned in San Francisco. Humphrey Neill in “The Art of Contrary Thinking” gives us a clue. “So long as human nature remains inconstant and changeable - and unpredictable - socioeconomic trends will likewise remain unpredictable and subject to unexpected shifts”. As Edmund Burke pointed out, “Those who would carry on the great public schemes must be proof against the most fatiguing delays, the most mortifying disappointments, the most shocking insults, and worst of all, the presumptuous judgment of the ignorant upon their design”. These “ignorant” gloatingly quote statistics proving that the area devoted to transportation in downtown Los Angeles is over half the total ground area. Little do they know that our own downtown San Diego, laid out before the automobile was even a dream, had 42% devoted to city streets. Pierre L'Enfant in laying out Washington, D.C. proposed 59% of the total area in streets. The Los Angeles and San Diego freeway systems will occupy about 2% of the land and carry about 60% of the traffic. The only really meaningful statistic would be comparison of total floor space with transportation space. The truly astounding fact is that the astronomical increase in floor area by the construction of multi-story buildings has required only a relatively small increase in the ground area devoted to transportation and terminal facilities. A caustic Boston critic wrote, “The necessities of transportation have forced new uses upon the streets for which they were never designed and to which they are not adapted at all. Boston's primitive lanes were traced by cows and worn by foot passengers and an occasional cart. They are now traversed by monsters which would have astonished our 2 ancestors, and which now render the old-time ways almost impassable by their descendants”. The year was 1892. The "monster" was the streetcar. The first automobile had not yet been built in the United States. An additional benefit caused by our conversion to high-speed mechanized transportation has been the elimination of the need for 90 million acres of pastureland to feed all the horses and mules that were necessary to serve our transport needs of the early 20th Century. This is twice the total area of all the right of way of all the public roads in the United States including all the 3 million miles of roads that existed before World War I. The additional area occupied by the 700,000 miles added to the public road system since then is insignificant compared to the immense area that has been freed to grow food for people. Incidentally, the increase of about 25% in road mileage was accompanied by a 100% increase in population. Even today, less than half the mileage is paved and, of course, nowhere near the total width of right of way is paved. In addition, over 1.5 million trees and seedlings are being set out along highway rights of way each year. Look down from the high-rise office buildings in Los Angeles and San Diego. The wide green belts of open space that you see are the freeways. With modern high-speed transportation it has become possible for agriculture to concentrate on specialized crops instead of the diversified agriculture of earlier times. By so doing, agricultural productivity has increased astonishingly. San Diego County agriculture, though it rates fourth among the county's major industries, reported total production during 1969 valued at $146.5 million, the highest ever recorded here, in spite of the continued urbanization of the area. Lately there has been a great hue and cry concerning smog damage to agriculture. Let us all realize that if it weren't for modern transportation, there wouldn't be any modern agriculture with its vast productivity in which one farm worker feeds 30 to 40 people compared to more backward areas where a one-to-one relation is more common. As economic consultant Robinson Newcomb has pointed out, the 5% annual increase in agricultural productivity is adding the equivalent of 17.5 million acres per year to our farm area. Urbanization and greater food production for an increasing population will absorb about 6.5 million acres per year and we are therefore adding about 11 million acres a year to our surplus farm acreage. Little wonder that an Interior Department official a few years ago proposed converting 5 million acres of farm land to recreational use and a recent Iowa State University report recommended converting 50-60 million acres of cropland to trees and grass. Recent magazine articles have pointed out that the latest studies of the United Nations Food & Agriculture Organization show that the great problem of the future will not be starvation but the management of huge surpluses. The dire predictions of the extinction of the human race through starvation have been met by the development of miracle strains of wheat and rice combined with modern agricultural methods so that food output is increasing faster than population. The problem will be one of distribution, rather than production. Much of the solution is already visible. An article in the December 15, 1970 issue of Forbes points to “The most efficient form of distribution yet devised, the Supermarket”. This phenomenon, of course, depends entirely on modern transportation for its success. As Mark Twain once pointed out, “I spent half my life worrying about things that never happened”. Our concern with the environment is nothing new. In 1300 English noblemen petitioned King Edward I to do something about the pollution of air in London and in 1306 he issued a proclamation prohibiting the pollution of air. As Edward may have discovered, and as we are 3 well aware today, improvement of the environment comes about through economic growth, not through edict. Economic welfare in turn is largely based on efficiency in transportation, as Billy Mitchell and Lord Bacon so ably stated. In 1400 Henry V established a Commission of nobles to restrict and control the movement of coal into London in recognition of the fact that smoke was due to coal burning. The corrective technology was not available and London suffered a number of “killer smogs” over the centuries, the last but not the greatest being in 1952. By this time, however, technology had progressed sufficiently to take corrective action and since 1960 the burning of coal in London has been virtually eliminated and the air is relatively clean, after 700 years of attempts at correction. Edward I was also concerned with transportation and in 1285 a statute required an open space of 200 feet on each side of the highway, a precept we might well follow. The greatness of the Roman Empire was based largely on its magnificent system of roads, 53,000 miles of super-highway connecting all the borders of the far-flung empire. Nevertheless, they too had their problems and because of urban congestion Julius Caesar prohibited wheeled carts from coming into downtown Rome. The chariot drivers were both male and female and were licensed just as we are today. One day Roman authorities became so fed up with women chariot drivers that they revoked all female drivers’ licenses. History does not record, but I wonder if this marked the beginning of the fall of the Roman Empire. In 1635 Charles I issued a proclamation pointing out the exceedingly high cost of living in London caused by extreme congestion and the costly delays in bringing hay and provender into the city. He did not live to see the day, but in 1666 The Great Fire of London solved the problem. Today our fire departments are too efficient to permit this instant form of urban renewal and many of our urban problems are caused by slow deterioration that can be reversed only by economic growth and profits that will spin off such fringe benefits as parks, museums, literature and education. The economic growth that has already occurred has obviously resulted in vastly improved conditions over those described by the renowned urban planner, Jane Jacobs: “Consider the great cities of the last century without electricity, with their high infant-death rates and their tremendous numbers of young orphans, with their immense number of dray animals, their stinking stables, their flies, their streets running with horse urine and manure...”. Obviously we have come far in reducing pollution, but the battle is not yet won. Certainly the reduction in deaths due to fly-borne diseases far exceeds the price we are paying in deaths in transportation. But even here the picture is far more cheerful than is generally recognized. In 1909 about 26 million horses traveled some 13 billion miles and 3850 people were killed in accidents involving horse-drawn vehicles. This gives a mileage death rate of over 30 per 100 million vehicle miles, more than ten times as high as the rate on California's freeways and further improvements are on the way. A study by the American Medical Association in a rural county in Illinois showed that 16 physicians take better medical care of more people than 42 doctors could 40 years ago. The reason, of course, faster, safer, more convenient transportation enabling patients to come to the doctor or hospital in a matter of minutes and at frequent intervals. The savings in lives due to better medical care brought about by modern transportation far exceeds the number of lives lost in the process of moving people and goods. 4 A similar transformation has occurred in the field of education. Better transportation has made it possible to consolidate tiny schools and upgrade teaching and physical facilities. The success of the smaller state colleges to supplement the major universities depends entirely on placing these schools within commuting distance of most areas, giving an opportunity for higher education to all those who desire it. In addition to providing access to medical, educational and recreational sites, transportation itself is a source of outdoor recreation. The Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission reports that, as outdoor recreation, driving for pleasure is nearly as popular as swimming and walking. Public Health Service scientists report that recreational travel tends to reduce tension and thereby improves mental health. Southern California is climatically a desert. It has been transformed into the garden of today by simultaneous development of irrigation and transportation. Hundreds of golf courses have created more green open space than the area occupied by the irrigation and transportation facilities that have made them possible. The transformation of the barren Imperial Valley into a lush agricultural paradise of 600,000 acres also was made possible only by this combination of irrigation and modern transportation. The life-giving, oxygen-producing open green space created far exceeds the few acres required to make them possible. A return to the horse and the mule is obviously out of the question. Already we have a problem of disposing of 2.3 billion tons of steer manure a year, out of a total solid waste of 4.4 billion tons. The average horse produces 35 pounds of solid and 18.5 pounds of liquid excrement per day. There simply would not be enough disposal sites available for the mountains of manure even if we could find the continental-size pasture area required. If we were to maintain our present standard of living by means of live instead of mechanical horses, there would be one ton of solid waste and one-half ton of liquid per person per day. Viewed in this light, our pollution problem has already been solved. In 1840 the City of London employed 2000 “crossing sweepers”. These gentlemen had the task of sweeping a clean path across the street to enable a pedestrian to cross without having to change his clothes on the other side. Even if we solved the feeding and disposal problems, we simply would not have sufficient labor force to employ as crossing sweepers. A similar development has taken place in water pollution. When we discovered that the outhouse was polluting the well, we began to dispose of sewage into rivers and lakes, polluting them instead, but still a tremendous forward leap. In 1810 the Thames River in London at a low flow was so polluted that birds could walk across from one bank to the other. The Thames also is finally being restored to clean flowing water because of increasing wealth that makes it financially possible to employ the improving technology that is available. Man-made pollution is gradually being legislated out of existence and our Jeremiahs should turn their attention to natural pollution. Dr. W. T. Pecora, Director of the U.S. Geological Survey, cites as an example the fact that three volcanic eruptions alone, Krakatoa (1883), Mount Katmai (1912), and HekIa (1947), ejected more dust, ash and gases into the atmosphere than all mankind's activity throughout history. One package of cigarettes a day will put more carbon monoxide in your blood stream than breathing the air in Los Angeles on its most polluted day. The “population explosion” has been accompanied by considerable public trauma aided and abetted by professional forecasters of the imminent end of the world. As usual, however, the public by and large has not panicked but wisely has spread out to give itself breathing space in a search for privacy and personal identity. The Stanford Research Institute has called it “a 5 growing revolt of the individual against being treated as part of a herd”. They move into garden apartments, low-density subdivisions, and vacation homes. They get away from the masses by mass use of campers, boats and other means to privacy and convenience. More and more evidence is accumulating that overcrowding leads to neurotic and abnormal behavior ranging from thoughtless discourtesy to savagery. This probably points out the crux of the passenger transportation problem. How do you herd people into mass transportation and mass tenements when human nature demands the opposite? Parke Godwin, the famed editor of the New York Evening Post around the turn of the century, put it simply, “The Greatest of all human benefits …. is independence”. In experimental runs of buses to aid people in Watts gain access to employment in other areas of the Los Angeles metropolitan region, it was soon discovered that one of the first pay checks went for a down-payment for an automobile. In European cities too, even with their fine public transportation systems, people are purchasing automobiles for their personal transportation. These people are not fools, but have recognized a simple economic principle transportation improvements increase mobility and the best transportation system gives the greatest freedom in choosing where to live, expands the area where they can sell their labor and gives them a greater choice in selecting shops, educational, religious, cultural and recreational facilities. For the employer there is a greater ease in recruiting and retaining a suitable supply of labor. For the employee there is a greater likelihood that he will be able to find a job at a level corresponding to his maximum ability. Gains in productivity and earnings, together with increased job satisfaction accrue to the benefit of all. The highly prized “open space” concept of modern city development is almost entirely dependent upon the automobile. It is not possible, even if it were desirable, to arrest this development by slowing the construction of roads, because the roads are already there. If improvements are delayed, they will merely become more inadequate and pose an everincreasing problem whose solution will ultimately be demanded at great expense. As planner William Pereira has said, “We are just now coming into the age of the automobile. And we have not built a single city as a result of the auto because, as the case happens to be, it came too fast”. Cities have to choose between stagnation and transformation to take advantage of the versatility, mobility and accessibility that modern transportation offers. Again quoting Humphrey Neill, “Fundamentally, a common error we're all prone to fall into is mixing cause with effect”. Fleet Admiral Ernest J. King as early as November 1932, at the Naval War College expressed his concern about America’s lack of preparedness, mentioning as a primary cause the inability of the average individual to understand the interplay of cause and effect. Frank Herring of the Port of New York Authority in a study of the New York metropolitan region concludes that the decline in use of mass transportation and the rise in the use of the automobile are parallel phenomena, rather than cause and effect. They result from a common cause, the changes in form and structure of the metropolis due to changes in power installation, production techniques and communication methods, as well as transportation. There is actually a substantial decrease in total travel between New Jersey and the New York Central Business District in Manhattan. The increase in travel is dispersed over a multitude of paths to many destinations. The purpose of transportation is not merely to achieve the most economical and efficient vehicles conceivable. The purpose of transportation is civilization itself. From the dawn of 6 civilization those cities and states having the best transportation systems have achieved the highest standards of living, have advanced their culture ahead of their time and have been able to maintain themselves militarily against envious and aggressive neighbors. Transportation is the most vital the primary input to the ecology of human civilizations. If we jointly continue toward our goal of building a better America, we will achieve the vision of one of the Hebrew prophets, peering into the future, “Every man shall sit under his own vine and under his fig tree, and none shall make them afraid”. 7
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