In partnership with: Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland Demand for Chemical Engineers in Calgary Chemical Engineers have been identified as a high-demand occupation in Calgary, based on the Calgary Labour Demand Forecast 2012.1 In 2010, there were nearly 1,700 chemical engineers in the Calgary labour force. Between 2010 and 2020, demand for chemical engineers is expected to increase to a total labour demand for over 2,200 workers in 2020. Calgary employers will likely face difficulties recruiting qualified workers for both newly-created jobs and existing positions that become vacant. During the global economic slowdown of 2007-2009, 86 per cent of chemical engineer employers in Calgary recruited chemical engineers for vacant positions and nearly three quarters of those who recruited (73 per cent) reported experiencing difficulties with the hiring process.2 The combination of growing demand and limited supply are likely to result in shortages of chemical engineers in Calgary over the next decade. In order to meet the growing demand for chemical engineers, Calgary employers may need to access labour markets outside of Calgary, including international labour markets, to meet a portion of their hiring needs. To facilitate targeted recruiting efforts, Calgary Economic Development (CED) has created this guide to identify the best cities and regions for recruiting workers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland. Top cities and regions for recruiting are recommended based on the size of the chemical engineering labour force and the likelihood that workers will migrate out of the area. 3 Top Locations for Recruiting in Canada Canada’s two largest cities, Toronto and Montréal, also have the largest chemical engineering labour force, each of which exceeds 1,000 workers. Average hourly pay for chemical engineers in Alberta is higher than that of all of the top-recommended cities in Canada, at $43.32 per hour (2011). By comparison, chemical engineers have average hourly pay of $40.33 in Halifax, $38.64 per hour in Vancouver and $32.66 per hour in Toronto.4 1 See Calgary Labour Demand Forecast 2012 See Alberta Wage and Salary Survey 2009 3 An out-migration probability index of workers is estimated based on a set of factors that are indicators of future migration. Factors include historical migration patterns, demographics of the occupational labour force, local economic conditions, median income, and the presence of foreign workers in the labour force. 4 Data is unavailable on average hourly pay for chemical engineers in Montreal. 2 1 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: Younger workers have a higher probability of making an inter-provincial move, and Montréal, with 40 per cent of its chemical engineers under age 35, has a relatively young labour force. Workers who are immigrants or who have made an inter-provincial move in the past also have a higher probability of future migration. About 15 per cent of chemical engineers in Montréal immigrated to Canada between 2001 and 2006, and about 18 per cent of the chemical engineer labour force either immigrated or made an inter-provincial move between 2001 and 2006. St. John’s NL has the largest percentage of workers under age 35 (64 per cent) among the toprecommended cities in Canada, however, the city also has a very small chemical engineering labour force of about 50 workers. Table 1 Recruiting Indicators for Chemical Engineers in Canada, by CMA Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 Census Metro Area Employment 5 (2010) Average Wage Per Hour Emigration Probability Index* Percent of Occupational Labour Force International or NonUnder Immigrants Inter-Provincial Permanent Age 35 to Canada Migrants Residents (2010) 2001-2006 6 (5 Year Period) (2006) 30% 14% 12% 1% 40% 18% 15% 1% 40% 17% 7% 2% 40% 19% 3% 0% 40% 16% 0% 0% 42% 0% 0% 0% Toronto 2,380 32.66 103 Montréal 1,221 n.a. 103 Vancouver 606 38.64 103 Edmonton 563 43.32 103 Halifax 204 40.33 104 Québec 149 n.a. 104 KitchenerCambridge7 Waterloo 153 32.66 103 37% 30% 10% 7% 8 St. John's, NL 51 n.a. 108 64% 18% 20% 0% 9 Ottawa 104 32.66 103 30% 12% 5% 0% 10 Hamilton 98 32.66 103 33% 11% 0% 0% Calgary 1,678 43.32 103 36% 31% 19% 2% *See footnote 3 for additional information about the Emigration Probability Index. Note: Data is measured for Census Metropolitan Areas unless otherwise noted. Figures for Calgary may differ from information presented earlier in this report describing labour demand for the Calgary Economic Region. Sources: Labour Force Survey, 2006 Census of Canada, RDA Global, Labour Market Information - HRSDC WorkingInCanada.gc.ca 5 Figures for employment in Calgary are for the Calgary Economic Region. Figures for other cities are for the census metropolitan area (CMA) 6 International and inter-provincial migration statistics are analyzed based on data collected in the 2001 and 2006 Census. The data required to analyze this migration pattern for the most recent 5 year period is not available at the time of this analysis. 2 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: Table 2 Wages for Chemical Engineers in Canada, by CMA Recent Wage Range (CAD) Census Metro Area Provincial Annual 7 Wages or Salary, 2005 Average Reference High Wage Median Average Wage Year Toronto 18.63 32.66 49.90 2010* 76,986 80,804 Montréal n.a. n.a. n.a. 68,491 73,093 Vancouver 21.92 38.64 57.69 2011* 73,503 81,055 Edmonton 39.86 43.32 52.50 2011 91,946 110,403 Halifax 28.80 40.33 55.95 2010 n.a. n.a. Québec n.a. n.a. n.a. 68,491 73,093 Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo 18.63 32.66 49.90 2010* 76,986 80,804 St. John's, NL n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Ottawa 18.63 32.66 49.90 2010* 76,986 80,804 Hamilton 18.63 32.66 49.90 2010* 76,986 80,804 Calgary 39.86 43.32 52.50 2011 101,597 108,367 Note: Data is measured for Census Metropolitan Areas unless otherwise noted. *Wage data reflects provincial average. Sources: 2006 Census, Labour Market Information - HRSDC WorkingInCanada.gc.ca Low Wage Top Locations for Recruiting in the United States In the United States, the occupation most closely aligned with NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers is: SOC 17-2041: Chemical Engineers. There are about 29,000 chemical engineers in the US labour force but only Houston and Boston have a chemical engineer labour force that exceeds 1,000 workers (about 2,700 in Houston and 1,100 in Boston). These two cities are recommended for recruiting due to the size of the labour force and the fact that each city has a relatively young labour force of chemical engineers and a high percentage of workers who are non-US citizens (13 per cent in Houston and 15 per cent in Boston). The mean annual salary for chemical engineers in Houston was USD $110,140 in Houston in 2010 which is similar to the mean base pay in Calgary at CAD $108,400 in 2009. The average annual salary was slightly lower in Boston at USD $90,400 in 2010. Smaller markets of interest include Chicago (780 workers), Los Angeles (L.A., 560 workers), Denver (310 workers), and Cincinnati (520 workers). Of these markets, Chicago is the largest with the lowest mean annual salary at about USD $88,200, however, historically chemical engineers in Chicago have shown a lower than average rate of out-migration. Chicago and L.A. had high unemployment rates in September-November 2011 at 9.6 per cent and 10.7 per cent respectively. 7 Calgary median annual salary is calculated based on average hours worked per week and median hourly wage rate reported in the 2009 Alberta Wage and Salary Survey. The average annual salary is the actual figure from the survey. Annual figures for other cities in Table 2 are from HRSDC. 3 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: Non-US citizens have a higher than average probability of making a long-distance move and they comprise a relatively large percentage (17 per cent) of the L.A. chemical engineering labour force. Chemical engineers in Cincinnati and Denver have high out-migration probability index scores at 118 and 120 respectively (US average score for all chemical engineers is 115). Chemical engineers in those locations are relatively young and mobile, compared to other recommended US cities. Average salaries for chemical engineers in Boston, Chicago, Dallas, Cincinnati, Baton Rouge, and Washington DC are lower than that of Calgary. Workers recruited from the recommended US cities could experience pay increases of $10,000 to $20,000 or more (non-exchange rate adjusted) by relocating to Calgary. Table 3 Out-Migration Indicators of Chemical Engineers in Top 10 US Cities, 2010 Pct. of Pct. Of OutWorkers Mean Workers Migration Unemployment Rank Metro Area who are Age Under Age Probability Rate Non-US 35 Index* Citizens 1 Houston-Brazoria, TX 2,710 13% 43 30% 117 7.6 2 Boston, MA-NH 1,090 15% 40 43% 116 5.7 3 Chicago, IL 780 7% 43 28% 114 9.6 4 Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 740 5% 46 22% 114 7.4 5 Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH/KY/IN 520 7% 38 47% 118 7.8 6 Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA 560 17% 45 26% 116 10.7 7 Wilmington, DE/NJ/MD 570 7% 47 23% 113 9.9 8 Baton Rouge, LA 530 6% 44 28% 113 6.6 9 Washington, DC/MD/VA 500 24% 45 27% 114 5.4 10 Denver-Boulder, CO 310 8% 43 32% 120 7.9 United States 28,720 9% 42 30% 115 8.2 *The Out-Migration Probability Index gives an indication of the number of workers in the target occupation in each metropolitan area that have made an interregional move in the past 5 years. The index also reflects factors that may affect worker migration, such as historical migration patterns, demographics of the occupational labour force, local economic conditions, median income, and the presence of foreign workers in the labour force. US Average Out-Migration Probability = 100 (for all US workers in all occupations). Number of Workers 4 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: Table 4 Wages of Chemical Engineers in Top Ranked Cities for Recruiting in the United States, 2010 Mean Mean Median Salary by Quartile (USD) Hourly Annual Metropolitan Statistical Area Workers Lower Lower Upper Upper Wage** Salary** Median 10% 25% 25% 10% (USD) (USD) Houston-Brazoria, TX 2,710 52.95 110,140 71,090 86,870 103,930 126,210 158,220 Boston, MA-NH 1,090 43.46 90,410 61,060 72,530 87,600 107,210 128,130 Chicago, IL 780 42.40 88,180 62,050 71,280 82,460 102,500 129,710 Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 740 47.99 99,820 62,870 71,860 94,890 117,550 150,410 Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH/KY/IN 520 44.85 93,280 47,360 61,210 82,850 107,640 142,120 Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA 560 54.33 113,000 58,520 83,230 106,710 152,890 n.a. Wilmington, DE/NJ/MD 570 57.23 119,030 79,740 97,750 122,760 142,450 163,660 Baton Rouge, LA 530 47.28 98,330 66,180 80,410 97,350 117,120 136,550 Washington, DC/MD/VA 500 46.56 96,850 62,050 73,620 99,100 115,740 133,260 Denver-Boulder, CO 310 54.48 113,320 67,370 81,270 102,740 132,930 148,350 United States 28,720 45.48 94,590 56,520 70,940 90,300 112,630 139,670 Calgary (in $ CAD) 1,678 $43.32 $108,367 n.a. **Source for Calgary wage and salary figures is the 2009 Alberta Wage and Salary Survey. Results are updated every 2 years. At the time of this analysis 2011 figures were not yet published. US Data Sources: Bureau of Labour Statistics Occupational Employment Database, American Community Survey, US Census 2010. Analysis by RDA Global. Recruiting in the United Kingdom and Ireland In the United Kingdom and Ireland, the occupation most closely related to chemical engineers is: UK/IE SOC 2125 Chemical Engineers. In 2010, there were approximately 23,000 chemical engineers in the UK labour force. According to the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (UK) the mean annual pay for chemical engineers in the UK was £49, 423 in 2011, or about CAD $78,940.8 Earnings in both the UK and Ireland are lower than the average base pay for chemical engineers in Calgary at CAD $108,367 in 2009. A worker relocating from the UK to Calgary could potentially experience a 37 per cent increase in earnings (adjusted for exchange rate). Based on analysis of demographic data available through the Quarterly British Labour Force Survey and the Central Statistics Office of Ireland, chemical engineers in the UK and Ireland both have a higher-than-average probability of out-migration from the country, compared to other occupations. Foreign workers represent a growing share of people migrating out of the UK; as of 2010, non-British citizens represented 65 per cent of long-term migrants leaving the UK, up from 43 per cent in 2005.9 About 29 per cent of chemical engineers in UK are non-UK citizens. Younger workers are also more likely to make a long-distance move and about 34 per cent of chemical engineers in the UK are under age 35. 8 Exchange rate of $1.5972 CAD to £1 GBP. Source: United Kingdom International Passenger Survey (IPS); Estimates of long-term international migration, rolling annual data to Q4 2010. 9 5 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: In 2010, there were approximately 1,900 chemical engineers in the Irish labour force. Official data on wages of chemical engineers in Ireland is not available from government sources but salary figures presented in Table 6 are sourced from Irish-based global professional recruitment consultancy, Morgan McKinley’s 2011 Salary Guide for Irish occupations.10 According to the salary guide, Irish chemical engineers are paid between €34,000 and €67,000 per year (approximately CAD $46,000 to $91,000). Due to data suppression, there no statistics available on the size or characteristics of the chemical engineer labour force in regions of the UK or Ireland, but in discussions with the Engineering Council (UK) and Engineers Ireland11 in August-September 2011, officials indicated that a national recruiting approach will be effective for chemical engineers. Foreign Credential Recognition When recruiting chemical engineers in the UK and Ireland, Alberta employers are advised to consult the Association of Professional Engineers, Geologists, and Geophysicists of Alberta (APEGGA) to determine which workers are most likely to meet the requirements for licensure in Alberta. Information on foreign credential recognition for chemical engineers in the UK and Ireland is available from the Alberta Department of Human Services at: http://www.albertacanada.com/immigration/working/occupations.aspx Table 5 Recruiting Indicators for Chemical Engineers - UK and Ireland, 2010 Country Number of Workers Percentage of Workers who are Non-National Citizens 12 Percentage of Workers who are Non-EU Citizens Median Age* Pct. Of Workers Under Age 35 OutMigration Probability Index** United Kingdom 23,000 29% 9% 39 34% 111 Ireland 1,900 n.a. n.a. 37 29% 106 *British data source reports median age figures, while Irish and US data sources report mean age figures. ** Out-Migration index scores for the UK are not directly comparable with those of cities in the US or Ireland. Sources: Quarterly British Labour Force Survey, Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (UK, 2010), Central Statistics Office Ireland (2010), Analysis by RDA Global. 10 The Salary Guide is available online at: www.slideshare.net/toneill123/morgan-mckinleys-2011-salary-guide The Engineering Council (UK) and Engineers Ireland are national regulatory bodies for engineers in the UK and Ireland. 12 Official sub-national employment and wage data could not be identified for this occupation. 11 6 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012 In partnership with: Table 6 Annual Incomes for Chemical Engineers - UK 2010 and Ireland 2011 Country GBP/Euro $ CAD UK National £49, 423 $78,940 Ireland Low Salary €34,000 $ 46,000 Ireland High Salary €67,000 $ 91,000 Calgary n.a. $108,000 Sources: Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (UK, 2010); Morgan McKinley’s 2011 Salary Guide: www.slideshare.net/toneill123/morgan-mckinleys-2011-salary-guide; 2009 Alberta Wage and Salary Survey, Calgary Economic Region. Average month-end annual exchange rates: €1=$1.3652 CAD and £1=$1.59717 CAD. 7 Recruiting Chemical Engineers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland NOC 2134 Chemical Engineers February 2012
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