44 Review TRENDS in Parasitology Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 Chagas disease control in Venezuela: lessons for the Andean region and beyond Maria Dora Feliciangeli1, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum2, Cinda Martinez3, Darı́o Gonzalez3, Paul Coleman2 and Clive Davies2 1 Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Carabobo, Núcleo Aragua, and the Ministerio de Salud y Desarrollo Social, Instituto de Altos Estudios de Salud, Dr Arnoldo Gabaldón, Maracay, Venezuela 2 Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK 3 Ministerio de Salud y Desarrollo Social, Dirección General de Salud Ambiental y Contralorı́a Sanitaria, Dirección de Vigilancia Epidemiológica Sanitario Ambiental, Maracay, Venezuela Following the success of the Southern Cone programme to control Chagas disease, Andean countries are beginning to implement a similar international initiative. Important lessons could be learnt from Venezuela, which has one of the longest running national control programmes in Latin America, but has received little attention in the scientific literature. Retrospective analysis of age-specific Trypanosoma cruzi seroprevalence data and entomological sampling indicates that while the programme successfully reduced the annual incidence of infection from approximately ten per 1000 people in the 1950s to one per 1000 in the 1980s, in the susceptible population of endemic areas, transmission has not yet been interrupted and could now be increasing. Andean governments can expect control to be highly effective, but must maintain longterm vigilance and targeted control measures to consolidate these gains. Within 10 years of Chagas disease being characterized in Brazil, the first case was recorded in Venezuela [1]. National measurements of prevalence were first reported in 1960 [2], when it was estimated that 500 000 of a total of 7 million Venezuelans were infected by Trypanosoma cruzi, with prevalences as high as 45% in some rural localities. The rate of chagasic myocardiopathy was estimated as 50% in infected people, and 20% in the rural population as a whole. The overall burden of Chagas disease was therefore comparable to the most highly endemic regions of Latin America before large-scale control interventions (http://www.who.int/ctd/chagas/epidemio.htm). At this time, the highly efficient vector Rhodnius prolixus was widely distributed, found in 57% of municipalities in 22 of the 23 states, often at very high densities inside houses. Other, apparently less-effective vectors were less widely distributed, for example, Triatoma maculata was found in 31% of municipalities throughout the same states [3]. Since it was first reported that Corresponding author: Maria Dora Feliciangeli ([email protected]). R. prolixus was also found in high densities in palm trees [4], controversy has remained over whether sylvatic R. prolixus also colonizes houses (including recolonization after control) [5– 7]. If re-invasion of houses by sylvatic R. prolixus populations were common, the challenges to sustained control in Venezuela would be even greater than in the Southern Cone, where the main vector Triatoma infestans is almost exclusively domestic, and post-control re-infestation, where it occurs, appears to be mainly from residual domestic populations [8– 10]. Control of Chagas disease in Venezuela The earliest attempts to control Chagas disease in Venezuela were made in 1945, when the Ministry of Health concluded that the DDT sprayed inside houses as part of the malaria control campaign should also be effective against triatomine vectors. However, results were surprising in that rural inhabitants reported increased numbers of insects after DDT spraying [11]. Replacement of DDT by hexachlorocyclohexane (HCH) in 1949 was discontinued because it appeared to show low residual activity in sprayed houses, despite encouraging results in the laboratory. Dieldrin was then successfully substituted for HCH in 1952 and, by 1955, was used in 17 states [11]. To support the Chagas disease program, the Programa Nacional de la Vivienda Rural (National Rural Housing Program) was initiated in 1958, giving loans to householders to substitute their mud-walled palm-roofed huts with cement block dwellings with zinc roofs, thus depriving domestic triatomines of resting and breeding sites [12]. By April 2000, 443 522 such rural houses had been built, providing accommodation for . 2 400 000 inhabitants in high-risk areas [13]. A later programme assisted rural inhabitants to reduce the suitability of their houses for triatomine colonization by replacing palm roofs with metal, plastering adobe walls and cementing dirt floors. This resulted in the improvement of a further 8776 houses (with . 48 000 inhabitants) between January 1986 and April 2000 [13]. Following the apparent success of these interventions, http://trepar.trends.com 1471-4922/02/$ - see front matter q 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. PII: S1471-4922(02)00013-2 Review TRENDS in Parasitology the Ministry of Health diverted part of the malaria control budget and expertise to establish a national Chagas disease control programme in 1966, with the aim of interrupting intradomestic transmission by vector control. Villages considered to be at high risk were selected on the basis of accumulated experience, rather than strictly defined criteria. Manual searches were then used to detect intradomestic infestation and in any village where at least one positive house was identified, all houses were sprayed with dieldrin, and all outbuildings with HCH. In contrast to control programmes elsewhere, sprayed villages were not routinely revisited after six months to confirm that control was effective, although the continuous nature of the control programme means that the same villages might be revisited after a variable number of months or years. In addition, blood samples are taken, mainly from children under ten years of age, if possible, at the same time and in the same villages as the entomological surveys. The blood is serologically tested following standard protocols [14], and the results are used both to monitor trends in infection and to allocate control resources between states. The other main interventions have been the introduction of routine screening of all public hospital blood banks for T. cruzi using ELISA in 1988 [15], and ongoing efforts to improve health education. Although the control policy has remained relatively constant since 1966, there have been some important changes in practice. A limited focus of low-level resistance of R. prolixus to dieldrin was detected in Venezuela towards the end of the 1960s [16]. The organophosphate fenitrothion replaced dieldrin and HCH in most states during the 1980s. More importantly, the early success in reducing infection and infestation rates to low levels meant that Chagas disease was no longer considered a high priority. Coupled with the re-emergence of malaria in 1982 and the dengue hemorrhagic fever emergency of 1989, this resulted in significant resources being diverted from the Chagas disease control programme. Surveys and spraying activities have consequently been reduced to greater or lesser extents in the various states: the number of municipalities entomologically surveyed declined from around 110 – 150 per year during 1950s to the 1980s, to 15 – 18 per year in 1990– 1998, while annual insecticide use for Chagas disease declined from ,44 tonnes to , 6 tonnes per year [17]. Decentralization of health services throughout Latin America has also obliged the control programme to devolve prioritization decisions and vector control resources to the state and municipality level. The programme still aims to eliminate transmission, but has first set specific targets: (1) to decrease R. prolixus infestation indices to below 20% of sampled localities (and 2% of sampled houses); (2) to decrease T. cruzi prevalence in R. prolixus to below 0.5%; and (3) to reduce seroprevalence to less than 0.5% in children under 10 years of age. In 1997, the Venezuelan Government joined Colombia, Ecuador and Peru in signing the Andean Pact Initiative, committing these countries to the elimination of vectorial transmission of Chagas disease by 2010 [18]. Whereas the other signatories are only just beginning large-scale control activities, in Venezuela’s case, this is effectively a http://trepar.trends.com Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 45 re-affirmation of the objectives of the long-established national control programme; hopefully, leading to renewed political motivation and funding opportunities. The control programme in Venezuela differs from the well-known Southern Cone programme [19 –22] which restimulated Chagas disease control in Argentina, Chile, Uruguay and southern Brazil in the 1990s. It has some similarities with control programmes that existed in these countries before the 1990s [23], emphasizing sustained control over many years rather than a single campaign, and annual spraying of selected villages with the aim of reducing transmission below target levels, rather than complete elimination of domestic bug populations. Several important features, however, are unique to Venezuela, such as: (1) an emphasis on house replacement and/or improvement, as well as insecticide spraying; (2) use of fenitrothion rather than pyrethroids; (3) no attempt to introduce community monitoring for post-control reinfestation; and (4) a potential risk of post-control recolonization from sylvatic populations that are at least morphologically identical to the main vector species. Assessing the effectiveness of the control programme Because the clinical consequences of T. cruzi infection are delayed, chronic and difficult to diagnose, progress made in the interruption of Chagas disease transmission is best shown by the results of successive seroprevalence surveys [24 –27]. In Venezuela, such seroprevalence data are available from the combined entomology and serology surveys described above, recorded in the scattered reports of the Dirección de Endemias Rurales (Office of Rural Endemic Diseases). Summaries of these data [17,28] show that the proportion of samples taken across the country that were seropositive (the national seroprevalence) was 44.5% in 1958– 1968, 15.6% in 1969– 1979, 13.7% in 1980– 1989 and 8.1% in 1990– 1999. In children under 10 years of age, the figures were 20.5%, 3.9%, 1.1% and 0.8%, respectively. Although large and unequivocal reductions are shown, the precise values shown here might be somewhat imprecise and difficult to interpret because they depend on the relative amounts of sampling in more or less endemic areas, and the diagnostic methods used at different times. Because infection confers lifelong seropositivity, the observed prevalences reflect the cumulative infection rate throughout the lifetime of the population, rather than just the sample period. They also depend crucially on the age distribution of the sampled population, and are affected not only by the infection rate, but also by the death rate [29]. A potentially less biased and more intuitive measure of the change in transmission was derived using only the most recent age-stratified seroprevalence data (1992 – 1999) to calculate retrospectively the average force of infection (FOI) [30] (the per capita rate at which susceptibles acquire infection) for each year from 1945 to 1999. The results of this analysis (Box 1; Fig. 1) confirm that the force of T. cruzi infection showed little tendency to decrease before the implementation of control activities. Transmission dropped dramatically after the implementation of the national control programme in 1966, although part of this drop could be a result of the cumulative effect of the earlier interventions. Review 46 TRENDS in Parasitology Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 Box 1. Cross-sectional Trypanosoma cruzi age-seroprevalence data and the force of infection 0 Average age 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Average age ðEqnIIÞ Where P is the age –specific seroprevalence and l is the annual FOI for each year over the time period [y 2 (a 2 2.5)] to [y 2 (a þ 1.5)]. The FOI in each period was allowed to vary independently, until the maximum-likelihood fit between the modelled and observed age – prevalence curves was optimized. This procedure was applied sequentially to the results of each year’s survey. The resulting estimates represent average annual FOI over five-year periods. In addition, surveys in different years can give information about the same time point: For example, the FOI in 1945–1950 can also be measured by comparing 45-year-olds with 50-year-olds, surveyed in 1995. Our best estimate of FOI in any year is given by averaging across all independent measurements (i.e. those from each survey year). To assess the fit of this model, we applied our estimates of FOI over time to Eqns I and II, to generate predicted age – prevalencecurves. These showed good agreement with the observed data from the various annual surveys, as shown in Fig. Ia–d. Ageseroprevalence curves showed a similar pattern in 1992, 1994, 1996 and 1998 (data not shown). References a Grenfell, B.T. and Anderson, R.M. (1985) The estimation of agerelated rates of infection from case notifications and serological data. J. Hyg. (Lond.) 95, 419 – 436 b Williams, B.G. and Dye, C. (1994) Maximum-likelihood for parasitologists. Parasitol. Today 10, 489 – 493 c Mota, E.A. et al. (1990) A nine year prospective study of Chagas’ disease in a defined rural population in northeast Brazil. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 42, 429– 440 d Contreras, F.T. et al. (2000) Serological follow-up of Trypanosoma cruzi infection from 1987 to 1994 in 50 countries of the State of Jalisco. Mexico. Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop. 33, 591 – 596 e Aché, A. and Matos, A.J. (2001) Interrupting Chagas disease transmission in Venezuela. Rev. Inst. Med. Trop. São Paulo 43, 37 – 43 (d) 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Average age 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 2.5 7.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 27.5 32.5 37.5 42.5 47.5 0.1 Pðy;aÞ ¼ Pðy;a25Þ þ ½1 2 Pðy; a 2 5Þ½1 2 e 25l 2.5 7.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 27.5 32.5 37.5 42.5 47.5 0.2 0.4 ðEqnIÞ For a . 2.5 years (all other age groups) Infection prevalence 0.3 Pðy;aÞ ¼ 1 2 e 22:5l (c) 2.5 7.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 27.5 32.5 37.5 42.5 47.5 0.4 Infection prevalence (b) 2.5 7.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 27.5 32.5 37.5 42.5 47.5 Infection prevalence (a) set to zero, and the FOI in each five-year period determined the difference in seroprevalence between age groups. More formally, if y is the year of the cross-sectional survey, and a is the mid-point age of the five-year age group, then for a ¼ 2.5 years (i.e. the youngest age group, 0 –5 years old): Infection prevalence The age-seroprevalence patterns observed in cross-sectional surveys reflect previous rates of infection and serorecovery, and any difference between seropositive and seronegative individuals in rates of emigration, immigration and death. Most previous studies assume that population movements are independent of infection status, and attempt to measure variation in infection rates with age (making the additional assumption that infection rates are constant over time) [a], or to estimate both infection and serorecovery rates (assuming that these do not vary either with age or time) [b]. Age-seroprevalence patterns for Trypanosoma cruzi infection are easier to interpret than for many infections. Because the overwhelming majority of triatomine bites on humans occur inside houses, infections are broadly independent of age [c]. Serorecovery is either very rare or non-existent [c,d]. There is no evidence that infected and noninfected people differ in their tendency to enter or leave the survey area, which in the Venezuelan situation covers the rural population of all endemic states. Although infected individuals could suffer higher mortality (leading to an underestimate of risk in the earlier years), this effect should be relatively small. Thus, the observed differences in prevalence between age groups can be attributed to infections acquired in the specific additional years lived by the older subjects. For example, for a survey conducted in 1990, the difference in prevalence between subjects who are an average of 45 years old (i.e. born in 1945), and those who are 40 (i.e. born in 1950), is a measure of the overall risk of infection during 1945 –1950. Our calculations are based on age seroprevalence rates derived from over 110 000 samples taken in field surveys by the Venezuelan National Control Programme between 1992 and 1999 (previously published in summarized form in Ref. [e]). Data were supplied by the control programme as numbers of positive and negative samples, divided into five-year age classes, and by state. Surveys are concentrated in regions considered highly endemic (. 85% of the samples are from rural areas in only six out of the 23 states), and the measurements therefore do not represent the overall national seroprevalence. However, because the calculations for force of infection (FOI) depend on comparisons between age groups within the same survey, they should not be affected by yearto-year sampling variations, and should therefore allow unbiased estimation of trends within these regions over time. The surveys are also independent because they are taken in a different sample of villages in each year. The maximum likelihood method described by Williams and Dye [b] was used to estimate FOI. The method was adapted to reflect the characteristics of T. cruzi infection outlined above: the recovery rate was Average age TRENDS in Parasitology Fig. I. Fit of age –prevalence curves predicted from estimates of force of infection over time (lines) to observed data (bars) from independent surveys carried out in: (a) 1993; (b) 1995; (c) 1997; and (d) 1999. The past 20 years, however, have seen no further decrease and there is a suggestion of a slight increase towards the end of the 1990s (although this is based on a smaller number of surveys than earlier periods). This is supported http://trepar.trends.com by surveys of seroprevalence in blood donors, which oscillated between 0.77% and 1.32% from 1992 to 1997 [31]. The method described in Box 1 was also applied separately to the results of surveys in the 11 states with Review TRENDS in Parasitology 0.020 FOI per year 0.016 0.012 0.008 0.004 0 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 47 Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 2000 Year TRENDS in Parasitology Fig. 1. Trends in estimated annual force of Trypanosoma cruzi infection (FOI) in endemic areas of Venezuela. Note that all estimates from 1950 to 1992 are the average of eight independent survey years. Estimates either side of this period are based on decreasing numbers of surveys, and are therefore less reliable. Different time events are indicated as follows: insecticide spraying at the state level (green); housing programme initiated (blue); and national control programme initiated (red). . 1000 samples over the period from 1992 to 1999. The resulting estimates of annual FOI were then averaged for the decade before the implementation of the national control programme (1956 – 1965), and for subsequent decades to 1995 (Fig. 2). This confirms that transmission has been drastically cut throughout the endemic area, but not yet eliminated in the most severely affected states. At present, Chagas disease in Venezuela appears to be restricted principally to the foothills of the Andean and coastal mountain range. Age– prevalence data from 1996 to 1999 demonstrate that infection levels in children under 10 years of age remain above the 0.5% target levels in Portuguesa (1.3%), Barinas (0.9%) and Yaracuy (0.8%). The effectiveness of the control programme can also be measured from entomological surveys. These are a more sensitive measure of current transmission risk and therefore future infection rates. Although the precise values again depend on where sampling took place, comparison of summarized infestation prevalences in different decades demonstrates that the vector control activities had a very large impact in the early years, reducing the estimated house infestation rates from 60 – 80% in 1958 – 1968 to 1.6 – 4.0% in 1990– 1998 [17]. However, the overall geographic distribution of triatomines has not decreased: 20 triatomine species have now been reported throughout the country [32], with R. prolixus in 79.1% of municipalities [28]. Results from the past ten years are tested for temporal trends in Box 2. The sampled infestation prevalence is relatively low, but is no longer decreasing. Infestation is also recorded in a significant proportion of previously sprayed villages. In summary, it is clear that the Venezuelan control Box 2. Investigating recent risk trends using entomological data Although the lifelong positivity of Trypanosoma cruzi-infected patients allows the estimation of historical infection rates (Box 1), it obscures more recent trends because only infections in the youngest age groups can be safely attributed to transmission in recent years. Because infection rates are low, a large sampling effort is required to make accurate measurements. The Venezuelan National Control Programme also actively searches rural houses in the 14 states (out of 23) that are considered at highest risk, recording house and locality level measurements of the prevalence of infestation with: (1) triatomines; and (2) infected triatomines. Comparison of these measures taken in different years should provide a more sensitive measurement of recent trends in risk. However, sampling effort varies markedly over time, depending on the availability of resources. In years when the operational budget is small, surveillance teams tend to visit those areas that they consider to be at highest risk. Year-to-year variation in the amount of sampling effort might therefore affect the prevalence measures and obscure real trends. We tested for temporal trends in infestation rates in . 250 000 houses surveyed between 1990 and 1999. Data were supplied by the National Control Programme, and describe: (1) numbers of houses and localities searched; (2) numbers found infested with triatomines; and (3) numbers found infested with triatomines positive for T. cruzi, divided by state and by year. Binomial regression models with logistic errors were used to test for a linear time trend in each variable (i.e. testing whether the odds of houses or localities being found positive in each state changes over time) [a]. To control for variation in sampling effort in space and time, we included a categorical variable representing the state from which samples were taken, and a continuous variable representing the number of localities or houses sampled, as a proportion of the total number recorded in the 1990 census [b]. The results of this analysis (Table I) indicate that there has been no progress in reducing infestation rates over the past ten years. If anything, the measures have increased, emphasizing the need for continued control. Prevalence measures vary between states and, for most indicators, also vary inversely with amount of sampling effort (confirming that when resources are limited, more endemic areas are indeed sampled first). Standardized stratified surveys will therefore be necessary to accurately measure progress towards the official targets. References a Crawley, M.J. (1993) GLIM for Ecologists, Blackwell b Oficina Central de Estadistica e Informàtica (2000) Nomenclador de Centros Poblados, CD-ROM Table I. Factors affecting prevalence of entomological indicators during 1990 –1999 Year since 1990a Percentage sampleda Stated a Localities with triatomines Houses with triatomines Localities with infected triatomines Houses with infected triatomines 1.049 (0.986, 1.116)b 0.994 (0.985, 1.003)b F13,97 ¼ 13.7c 1.026 (0.961, 1.095)b 0.983 (0.974, 0.993)c F13,97 ¼ 14.3c 1.010 (0.930, 1.097)b 0.956 (0.940, 0.973)c F13,97 ¼ 56.4c 1.056 (0.996, 1.123)b 0.976 (0.969, 0.984)c F13,97 ¼ 74.5c The statistical significance of the trend in probability of being positive, for each additional year since 1990, and each percentage increase in sampling coverage is indicated. The 95% confidence intervals for the odds ratios are given in parentheses. b These values were non-significant (P . 0.05). c P , 0.001. d F-value and associated statistical significance of the variation between states. http://trepar.trends.com 48 Review TRENDS in Parasitology (a) Falcon Lara Yaracuy Carabobo Aragua Guarico Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 (b) Anzoategui Merida Barinas Portuguesa Cojedas (c) (d) <1000 samples 0.001 – 0.005 0.01 – 0.015 0 – 0.001 0.005 – 0.01 0.015 – 0.019 TRENDS in Parasitology Fig. 2. Average annual force of infection (FOI) in the states of Venezuela in: (a) 1956– 1965; (b) 1966–1975; (c) 1976–1985; (d) 1986–1995. States for which the total number of serological samples collected is judged insufficient to reliably estimate FOI (, 1000) are shown in white. programme has greatly reduced the prevalence of triatomine infestation in rural houses. This has led to a dramatic drop in the incidence of T. cruzi infection in humans, presumably both by reducing vectorial transmission and (as secondary, long-term mechanisms) reducing the frequency with which infections are transmitted either through blood banks, or congenitally. However, the goal of interrupting transmission has not been achieved and there has been no real progress in further reducing risk in recent years. It is not clear whether this is due to problems with the efficacy of insecticide spraying, incomplete and recently reduced coverage (allowing re-invasion from unsprayed areas), or continuous re-invasion of sylvatic bugs. Prospects for the future Accumulated experience in Venezuela suggests that the aim of the control programme to eliminate vectorial transmission is highly desirable, but unlikely to be achieved in the short term. At worst, it might be impossible (due to possible re-invasion from sylvatic vectors), or at best require large increases in control resources and/or major improvements in the quality of rural housing. In the absence of these conditions, the new management policy of the Chagas disease control program in Venezuela is focusing on two major areas: (1) the integral medical attention of chagasic patients; and (2) vector control and monitoring, targeted as accurately as possible towards those locations with the highest transmission rates and the greatest risk of re-infestation following control. The first aim is to be met by the organization of nationwide workshops, training programmes and manuals to standardize practices for clinical, epidemiological and laboratory diagnosis, and symptomatic medical treatment. Increased awareness at the primary health care http://trepar.trends.com level would permit early detection of acute cases (particularly pregnant chagasic women and their newborn infants), and treatment to prevent progression to chronic status [33]. The safety of blood transfusions will continue to be guaranteed through the quality control of blood screened for T. cruzi in all blood banks. To achieve the second aim, vector control will continue to be carried out at state level by the Rural Endemic Diseases Services, in response both to the results of entomological and serological surveys, and notification of acute cases by the Services of Epidemiology. However, given the decreased resources now available for Chagas control, further monitoring and research will be needed to ensure that control effort is directed as effectively as possible. Most sampling is currently carried out in localities that have been shown to be at high risk in the past, and many potentially infested sites still have not been surveyed. This is now being addressed by stratified, random surveys across a range of ecotypes. Because the measurements of infestation prevalence depend on the amount and distribution of sampling effort (Box 2), standardized repeated surveys are also necessary to measure progress towards the national targets. There has been little emphasis on research for several decades because Chagas disease control in Venezuela has previously been well funded and successful. This is now changing and it is becoming appreciated that applied research could help optimize the cost-effectiveness of control. The Venezuelan Control Programme is collaborating in new research projects in several important areas. These include measurements of susceptibility and resistance to a variety of insecticides, and comparisons of entomological monitoring methods. Other studies will combine analyses of the environmental and social influences on post-control re-infestation of houses (testing whether Review TRENDS in Parasitology specific housing characteristics and the proximity of palms harboring sylvatic bugs are significant risk factors), with population genetic studies (measuring the similarity between pre- and post-control domestic populations, and nearby sylvatic populations). This should be a major contribution to the currently inconclusive debate over the frequency with which sylvatic Triatominae might colonize houses. Taken together, these projects should help to identify the most appropriate monitoring and control tools, and target them to where they will have most effect. Conclusions Vector control was implemented at an early stage in Venezuela relative to most other Latin American countries, and has dramatically reduced transmission. Most unusually for a vector-borne disease control programme in a developing country, the FOI has been effectively kept at a low level for several decades. It has therefore averted a huge burden of disease among the rural poor. Despite early successes, the programme has yet to achieve the goal of eradicating transmission and currently faces the challenge of maintaining effective control with fewer resources and less central management. Infestation and infection rates are no longer dropping, and the analyses presented in this article suggest that they might be increasing. Control personnel are therefore reexamining how best to target treatment, monitoring and control effort. There are clear lessons from the Venezuelan experience, not only for the other participants in the Andean Pact Initiative, but also for similar regional programmes elsewhere (e.g. the Central American Initiative, also signed in 1997 [34,35]). First, it reinforces the message from the Southern Cone: vector control can be highly effective in cutting transmission rates and should be implemented as widely as soon as possible. Second, the unique long-term experience of the control programme demonstrates that eradication might be difficult to achieve and that either localized control failure or re-infestation can occur, at least under the ecological, social and control conditions in Venezuela. Governments should appreciate the value of continuing to invest in programmes that consistently deliver large net health gains, but which might not be as visible as interventions in other diseases. Control programmes, for their part, should develop long-term strategies to target their monitoring and control so as to make the best possible use of limited resources. Acknowledgements Thanks to Alı́ Matos for provision of surveillance data, and Katrin Kuhn, Ricardo Gurtler and three anonymous reviewers for constructive comments on the manuscript. This work was supported by a Wellcome Trust project grant. Paul Coleman is funded by the UK Department for International Development. References 1 Tejera, E. (1919) La Trypanosome Americaine ou maladie de Chagas au Venezuela. Bull. Soc. Pathol. Exot. (Paris) 12, 509– 513 2 Pifano, F. (1960) Algunos aspectos de la Enfermedad de Chagas en Venezuela. Arch.Venez. Med. Trop. Parasit. Méd. 3, 73 – 99 3 Cova Garcı́a, P. and Suarez, M., Estudio de los triatominos de Venezuela. (Publ. No. 11.) Ministerio de Sanidad y Asistencia Social http://trepar.trends.com Vol.19 No.1 January 2003 49 4 Gamboa, C.I. (1963) Comprobación de Rhodnius prolixus extradomiciliarios en Venezuela. Bol. San. Panam. 54, 18 – 25 5 Dujardin, J.P. et al. (1998) The origin of Rhodnius prolixus in Central America. Med. Vet. Entomol. 12, 113 – 115 6 Schofield, C.J. and Dujardin, J.P. (1999) Theories on the evolution of Rhodnius. Actualidades Biologicas 70, 183– 197 7 Monteiro, F.A. et al. (2001) Molecular tools and triatomine systematics: a public health perspective. Trends Parasitol. 17, 344 – 347 8 Gurtler, R.E. et al. (1994) Chagas disease in north-west Argentina: risk of domestic reinfestation by Triatoma infestans after a single community-wide application of deltamethrin. Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg. 88, 27 – 30 9 Dujardin, J.P. et al. (1998) Population structure of Andean Triatoma infestans: allozyme frequencies and their epidemiological relevance. Med. Vet. Entomol. 12, 20 – 29 10 Dujardin, J.P. et al. 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