American Journal of Epidemiology Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 2011. Vol. 174, No. 10 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwr250 Advance Access publication: October 7, 2011 Original Contribution Prepregnancy Body Mass Index and Gestational Weight Gain in Relation to Child Body Mass Index Among Siblings Amy M. Branum*, Jennifer D. Parker, Sarah A. Keim, and Ashley H. Schempf * Correspondence to Amy M. Branum, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3311 Toledo Road, Room 6113, Hyattsville, MD 20782 (e-mail: [email protected]). Initially submitted February 15, 2011; accepted for publication June 28, 2011. There is increasing evidence that in utero effects of excessive gestational weight gain may result in increased weight in children; however, studies have not controlled for shared genetic or environmental factors between mothers and children. Using 2,758 family groups from the Collaborative Perinatal Project, the authors examined the association of maternal prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) and gestational weight gain on child BMI at age 4 years using both conventional generalized estimating equations and fixed-effects models that account for shared familial factors. With generalized estimating equations, prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain had similar associations with the child BMI z score (b ¼ 0.09 units, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08, 0.11; and b ¼ 0.07 units, 95% CI: 0.04, 0.11, respectively). However, fixed effects resulted in null associations for both prepregnancy BMI (b ¼ 0.03 units, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.07) and gestational weight gain (b ¼ 0.03 units, 95% CI: 0.02, 0.08) with child BMI z score at age 4 years. The positive association between gestational weight gain and child BMI at age 4 years may be explained by shared family characteristics (e.g., genetic, behavioral, and environmental factors) rather than in utero programming. Future studies should continue to evaluate the relative roles of important familial and environmental factors that may influence BMI and obesity in children. birth weight; body mass index; family; fixed effects model; pregnancy outcome; prenatal nutritional physiological phenomena; weight gain Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; CPP, Collaborative Perinatal Project; GEE, generalized estimating equation. In light of recent Institute of Medicine guideline revisions (1), maternal prepregnancy weight and gestational weight gain are receiving increasing attention as important risk factors for adverse pregnancy and childhood outcomes. Specifically, overweight in children may be a potentially important consequence of prepregnancy maternal obesity or excessive weight gain during pregnancy through presumed in utero programming of appetite, metabolism, or another biologic weight-related mechanism (2). Although these potential relations have implications for intervention, there are many shared characteristics between mother and child (e.g., genetic, environmental, behavioral) that may confound an observed intrauterine influence of maternal body size or gestational weight gain on offspring size. Nevertheless, the potential contribution of high pregnancy weight gain to childhood obesity remains a question of interest since both measures have been increasing and they are plausibly related through a fetal programming hypothesis. An increasing number of studies have examined the possible effects of maternal prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) and/or gestational weight gain on offspring size in childhood, with conflicting results, although most have found positive associations (3–8). However, none of these studies was able to control for confounding by genetic or environmental influences shared between mother and offspring. These shared factors are important to consider as the general heritability of BMI has been reported to range from 50% to 80% (9, 10), and there is some evidence that shared and nonshared environmental factors are also important contributors to BMI during childhood and later life (11–15). Knowledge of the source of the association between maternal prepregnancy BMI and/or 1159 Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(10):1159–1165 1160 Branum et al. prenatal weight gain and child BMI carries important implications for informing interventions designed to reduce child obesity. If the relation cannot be explained by shared factors, then there may be a critical period of importance to address the modifiable environmental/behavioral influences of maternal weight; otherwise, there may be no deterministic impact of the prenatal period and, thus, the timing of intervention. Our primary objective was to examine the association of maternal prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain on child BMI at age 4 years by using a longitudinal sample of pregnant women and their offspring to account for unobserved familial traits with a fixed-effects approach. By contrasting only the perinatal exposures and outcomes of siblings born to a given woman, the fixed-effects approach controls for shared family-level environmental, genetic, and behavioral characteristics that may be related to both gestational weight gain and offspring size. MATERIALS AND METHODS Study population We analyzed data from the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP) that enrolled women at their first prenatal visit at 12 US sites (1959–1965) and followed the offspring to the age of 7 years (16). The CPP is still frequently used to answer important questions of the perinatal and early childhood periods as it remains the largest source of longitudinal data in the United States on many pregnancy and childhood outcomes (17). Women in the CPP who gave birth to term (37 weeks) singleton infants with no preexisting or gestational diabetes were eligible for our study. Mothers could enter the CPP at any pregnancy, and study pregnancies were not necessarily consecutive. This analysis was found to be exempt from institutional review board review by the National Institutes of Health Office of Human Subjects Research and by the National Center for Health Statistics. Study sample and exclusions There were 44,261 singleton term livebirths to nondiabetic mothers in the original CPP data set eligible for our study. About 65% of these children (n ¼ 28,746) had a follow-up visit at age 4 years. Of these, 166 children had implausible BMI values, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention algorithm (18), and another 219 children had information missing on either height or weight. Of the resulting 28,361 children, 2,074 were excluded because of gestational weight gain measures that were either missing or could not be reliably assigned to an obstetric visit as the result of errors in dating the visits at the time the study was done. Finally, a further 907 children were excluded because of missing data on maternal height and another 354 because of missing data on prepregnancy weight. This left a final sample size of 19,109 ‘‘nonsiblings’’ and 5,917 individual children in 2,758 sibling groups for analysis. Compared with the sample of eligible mothers prior to exclusions for attrition, missing data, and nonsiblings, mothers in the analytical sample were slightly less likely to be black. Otherwise, the demographic characteristics were similar. Information on 2 pregnancies was contributed by 87% of the mothers, 12% contributed information on 3 pregnancies, and 1% of the mothers contributed information on 4 or more pregnancies. The majority of the women (93%) contributed information on at least 2 consecutive pregnancies. The average age of mothers in the study sample was 24 years, and the average parity was 2. Exposure and outcome variables Maternal prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain, measured as continuous and categorical variables, were the main exposures. Maternal prepregnancy BMI (weight (kg)/height (m)2) was calculated on the basis of self-reported prepregnancy weight recorded at enrollment and measured height in inches without shoes. At each subsequent clinic visit, women were weighed in street clothes without shoes or a coat. Recognizing that there is no best measure of weight gain during pregnancy (19), we calculated gestational weight gain as measured weight at the last prenatal visit within 3 weeks of delivery—prepregnancy weight. In addition to continuous measures, categories of both weight gain and prepregnancy BMI were also examined. For weight gain, the current Institute of Medicine guidelines were followed, which classify women as inadequate, adequate, or excess gainers according to prepregnancy BMI (1). Prepregnancy BMI categories were based on current guidelines for weight status: underweight ¼ BMI <18, normal weight ¼ BMI 18–<25, overweight ¼ BMI 25–<30, and obese ¼ BMI 30. The main outcome was child BMI-for-age z score, analyzed as a continuous variable. Children were examined at 4 years of age (mean age at visit, 48.1 months; standard deviation, 1.3). Height was measured to the nearest 0.5 cm by using a standardized backboard, and weight was recorded in pounds to the nearest 0.25 pound (113.39 g) or grams to the nearest 100 g by use of scales calibrated semiannually. Gender-specific childhood BMI-for-age z scores were calculated on the basis of the year 2000 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention growth charts (20). Covariates Potential maternal demographic and pregnancy-specific covariates identified a priori from previous studies included maternal race, maternal socioeconomic status, maternal age, parity, smoking during pregnancy, gestational age, birth weight, and child’s sex. For each pregnancy, smoking, parity, and maternal age information was collected at the first prenatal visit interview. Information on gestational age, calculated on the basis of the last menstrual period, birth weight, recorded in grams of weight at delivery, and child’s sex was collected from obstetric records. ‘‘Socioeconomic status’’ was defined as a continuous socioeconomic index developed by the US Census Bureau that incorporated the educational level and occupation of the head of household and family income as reported at the first prenatal visit (21, 22). Statistical analysis We assessed linearity in the relation between gestational weight gain and child BMI z score using spline regression Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(10):1159–1165 Gestational Weight Gain and Child BMI in Siblings (23). After adjusting for prepregnancy BMI and graphically examining this relation using locally weighted regression to smooth scatterplots (lowess smoothing), we found an apparently significant increase in the relation between gestational weight gain and child BMI z score for children whose mothers gained more than 0 kg. However, a test of differences in slopes at this cutpoint was not statistically significant; therefore, the data were analyzed as a linear relation. We first performed conventional linear regression analysis with generalized estimating equations (GEEs) to adjust standard errors for the clustering of siblings within families. The results of these models are comparable to those of previous studies that contrast different mother-child combinations without conditioning on the mother or shared family traits. Next, we built family fixed-effects regression models to control for all stable unmeasured variables that might be associated with intrauterine factors and offspring size (e.g., maternal genetics, environmental factors), by performing matched sibling contrasts within families (24–26). With fixed-effects models, the inference reveals whether changes in maternal factors for a particular mother, such as prepregnancy BMI or gestational weight gain, are related to differences in offspring size at 4 years. By contrast, models without family fixed effects compare between or across mother-child combinations so associations do not ‘‘fix’’ or hold constant any familial factors that are not observed and explicitly controlled. Using the approach described above, we began by examining the association between prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain on child BMI and considered the potentially confounding or mediating role of infant birth weight on those relations by presenting results with and without the inclusion of birth weight. For all models, adjustment was made for maternal race, smoking during pregnancy (binary), maternal age (continuous), socioeconomic index (categorical), parity (categorical), gestational age (continuous), and child’s sex (binary). Effect estimates are presented per 5 kg for gestational weight gain, per 2-unit change in BMI for maternal prepregnancy BMI, and per 50 g of infant’s birth weight. A 2-unit change in BMI for a woman corresponds approximately to a 5-kg change in weight. We also assessed a potential interaction between gestational weight gain and prepregnancy BMI on the outcome of child BMI by introducing a cross-product term to the model. All analyses were conducted in SAS, version 9.2, software (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina) by using PROC GENMOD with the ‘‘independent’’ correlation structure for GEE models and PROC GLM (with the ABSORB statement) for fixed-effect models. RESULTS Socioeconomic status changed for at least 1 pregnancy among 40% of the women; 49% of the mothers smoked during 1 or more pregnancies, and 7% changed smoking categories across pregnancies (Table 1). Mothers averaged a prepregnancy BMI of 22.9 (range, 13.7–52.2), and 24% changed prepregnancy BMI category between the first and second pregnancies in the sample (Table 2). Approximately 9 percent of the women in this sample were classified as underweight, Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(10):1159–1165 1161 Table 1. Selected Demographic and Pregnancy Characteristics of Study Mothers, National Collaborative Perinatal Project, 1959–1974 Mothers (n 5 2,758) Characteristic Mean (SD) No. of pregnancies in study Average paritya Average maternal age, yearsa No. % 5,917 2.1 (2.0) 24.1 (5.3) Race (n ¼ 2,758) White 1,659 60.2 Black 1,028 37.3 Other 65 2.3 6 0.2 1,305 50.6 Missing Smoking (n ¼ 2,578) No pregnancies Some but not all pregnancies 185 7.2 1,088 42.2 <33 (low) 634 23.0 33–46 620 22.5 47–62 626 22.7 63 827 29.9 All pregnancies Socioeconomic index during first pregnancy (n ¼ 2,758) Missing Socioeconomic status the same category for all pregnancies 51 1.9 60.3 Abbreviation: SD, standard deviation. These statistics are averaged for each mother and then averaged among all mothers. a and 6 percent were classified as obese prior to their first pregnancy in the sample by modern BMI standards. Mothers averaged 9.9 kg of gestational weight gain, and 40% changed gestational weight gain category between the first and second pregnancies in the sample. Children in the sample averaged approximately 3,300 g at birth and had an average BMI of 16 at age 4 years (Table 3). The majority of children (80%) represented the first and second children included in the CPP but represented the second and third or higher children in the family. According to GEE models, prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain had similar associations with child BMI z score (b ¼ 0.09 units, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08, 0.11, and b ¼ 0.07 units, 95% CI: 0.04, 0.11, respectively) (Table 4). However, neither prepregnancy BMI nor gestational weight gain was significantly predictive of child BMI at age 4 years in fixed-effects models (b ¼ 0.02 units, 95% CI: 0.02, 0.06, and b ¼ 0.03 units, 95% CI: 0.03, 0.08, respectively). Adjustment for birth weight resulted in attenuated GEEs and fixed-effects estimates, yet the estimate for birth weight remained unchanged after adjustment for prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain. The interaction term between prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight was not significant for either type of model. Results by categorical values of gestational weight gain adjusted for birth weight 1162 Branum et al. Table 2. Descriptions of Gestational Weight Gain and Prepregnancy Body Mass Index Across the First 2 Pregnancies Represented in the Study Sample, National Collaborative Perinatal Project, 1959–1974 Pregnancy 1 (n 5 2,758) No. Pregnancy 2 (n 5 2,758) % No. Normal weight 262 9.5 212 7.7 1,944 70.5 1,848 67.0 Overweight 396 14.3 500 18.1 Obese 156 5.7 198 7.2 Pregnancy 1 (n ¼ 2,757) Pregnancy 2 (n ¼ 2,758) No. % No. % 1,610 58.4 1,713 62.1 d Gestational weight gain Inadequate Mean Prepregnancy BMI (SD)b 23.9 22.9 (4.0) % Changec Mean Gestational Weight Gain (SD), kg Prepregnancy BMI Range % Prepregnancy body mass index Underweight % Changea 40.4 Adequate 837 30.4 735 26.7 Excess gainers 310 11.2 310 11.2 13.7 to 52.2 Range of Gestational Weight Gain, kg 9.9 (3.9) 12.7 to 34.9 Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; SD, standard deviation. Represents change in prepregnancy BMI category over 1 or more pregnancies represented in the study sample. b Means are averaged for each mother and then averaged over the entire sample. c Represents change in gestational weight gain category between the first and second pregnancies in the study sample. d The gestational weight gain category is also based on prepregnancy body mass index. a were similar to results using continuous measures (Table 5). For categories of prepregnancy BMI, women who were overweight or obese prior to pregnancy had children with larger BMI at age 4 years in GEE models but not fixed-effects models. However, use of categorical variables demonstrated that women gaining inadequate gestational weight had children with greater BMI at age 4 years in fixed-effects models (b ¼ 0.08, 95% CI: 0.00, 0.16). Table 3. Selected Characteristics of Study Siblings, National Collaborative Perinatal Project, 1959–1974 Sibling Offspring (n 5 5,917) Characteristic Mean (SD) Child BMI at age 4 years Birth weight, g No. % 1,065 18.0 16.1 (1.4) 3,307 (472) Birth order in family First Second 1,652 27.9 Third or more 3,121 52.8 79 1.3 Missing Birth order in study First 2,461 41.6 Second 2,579 43.6 Third 720 12.2 Fourth or more 157 2.6 2,947 49.8 Female child Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; SD, standard deviation. DISCUSSION Our objective was to examine the association between prepregnancy maternal size and gestational weight gain on subsequent child BMI within families in order to account for shared factors, such as genetic propensity for size or family diet/ activity patterns, which may explain this relation. Unlike the results using more standard regression techniques that do not account for unmeasured family factors, the fixed-effects analysis did not reveal a positive association between prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain and child BMI at 4 years of age. In fact, the within-family analysis suggested that only inadequate weight gain rather than excess weight gain may be associated with increased child BMI. Our findings suggest that shared familial characteristics, many of which previous studies had not measured, may explain the positive relation between gestational weight gain and child BMI. For example, our GEE results from the continuous models were similar to at least one other study that used more modern data but could not account for shared family-level factors. Oken et al. (5) reported a 0.13 increase in child BMI at age 3 years for every 5 kg of gestational weight gain after adjusting for parental BMI. Our results from the continuous model adjusted for birth weight were also similar to those from 2 other studies that reported no association between gestational weight gain and increased fat mass or overweight in children at the ages of 3 (27) and 4 (7) years, after adjusting for birth weight. In addition, similar to our findings from the GEE analysis, other studies have reported a stronger effect of prepregnancy BMI on child size compared with gestational weight gain. Fisch et al. (3), using data from only the Minnesota CPP site, did not find a significant Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(10):1159–1165 Gestational Weight Gain and Child BMI in Siblings Table 4. Estimates of Change in Child BMI z Score at Age 4 Years With Continuous Prepregnancy BMI and Gestational Weight Gain Among Term Liveborn Siblings, National Collaborative Perinatal Project, 1959–1974 Continuous Measures GEE b 95% CI Fixed Effects b 95% CI Model 1a Prepregnancy BMI 0.09b 0.08, 0.11 0.02b 0.02, 0.06 Gestational weight gain 0.07c 0.04, 0.11 0.03c 0.03, 0.08 Model 2a Prepregnancy BMI 0.07b 0.06, 0.09 0.01b 0.05, 0.04 Gestational weight gain 0.01c 0.02, 0.04 0.03c 0.08, 0.02 Birth weight (per 50 g) 0.03d 0.02, 0.03 0.03d 0.02, 0.03 1163 Table 5. Estimates of Change in Child BMI z Score at Age 4 Years With Categorical Prepregnancy BMI and Gestational Weight Gain Among Term Liveborn Siblings, National Collaborative Perinatal Project, 1959–1974 Categorical Measures GEE b 95% CI Fixed Effects b 95% CI Gestational weight gaina,b Inadequate weight gain 0.04 Adequate weight gain 1.00 Excess weight gain 0.01 0.02, 0.10 Referent 0.08, 0.10 0.08 0.00, 0.16 1.00 Referent 0.01 0.13, 0.14 0.12 0.28, 0.08 Prepregnancy BMIa Underweight 0.27 0.38, 0.16 Normal weight 1.00 Referent 1.00 Overweight 0.16 0.09, 0.24 0.05 0.16, 0.08 Referent Obese 0.23 0.12, 0.34 0.08 0.30, 0.14 Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; GEE, generalized estimating equation. a Models were adjusted for maternal race, smoking, maternal age, socioeconomic index, parity, gestational age, and child’s sex. b Estimate is change in age 4 BMI z score per 2-unit change in prepregnancy BMI. c Estimate is change in age 4 BMI z score per 5-kg change in gestational weight gain. d Estimate is change in age 4 BMI z score per 50-g change in birth weight. Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; GEE, generalized estimating equation. a Models were further adjusted for maternal race, birth weight, smoking, maternal age, socioeconomic index, parity, gestational age, and child’s sex. b Gestational weight gain was based on Institute of Medicine categories of gestational weight gain and prepregnancy BMI. association between gestational weight gain and child size at age 4 or 7 years but did find a significant and positive association between the mother’s weight and height ratio index (weight divided by height) at birth, age 4 years, and age 7 years. Others report only a significant association of gestational weight gain as modified by prepregnancy BMI (6, 8). Our results from the fixed-effects analysis are consistent with those from other research and observations regarding genetic and ex utero environmental contributions to child size. For example, there is emerging evidence that gestational weight gain is predicted by obesogenic variants, so that the apparent association between gestational weight gain and child BMI may be explained by common genetic factors (28). Several studies have also documented similar associations between child BMI and the BMI of both parents (29–31), which would be inconsistent with an in utero mechanism operating solely through the mother. Additional studies have highlighted the clustering of obesity-related risk factors in mothers and children and the role of the physical environment in shaping both the mother’s and child’s BMI (32, 33). Any of these shared genetic, behavioral, and environmental factors may help to explain the null within-family association of gestational weight gain and prepregnancy BMI on child BMI observed herein. We found also that the relation between gestational weight gain and child BMI appeared to be attenuated by birth weight in both GEEs and fixed-effects analysis. This result is not surprising given that gestational weight gain includes birth weight and that birth weight was independently related to child BMI. Birth weight does not appear to be a mediator given that gestational weight gain and prepregnancy BMI were not related to child BMI in fixed-effects analyses prior to adjustment for birth weight. Instead, birth weight may be capturing nonshared genetic or other environmental differences between siblings (28). The major strength of this study was the longitudinal assessment of pregnancy characteristics and offspring size among siblings, which made it possible to evaluate the impact of prepregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain on child BMI while controlling for unmeasured stable maternal or family traits. By conditioning on the family with fixed effects, our aim was to generate results with minimal bias from common family factors that may confound associations between prenatal exposures and child BMI, thereby eliminating a possible reason for conflicting results across prior studies. Additionally, maternal height and weight prior to delivery and child height and weight were measured in a standardized manner by health-care professionals instead of selfreported or reported from an outside source. This study is also subject to several limitations. First, the data collected during the early 1960s come from an older cohort of women and children when excess gestational weight gain and maternal obesity were less common. However, the biologic mechanisms behind the relations between pregnancy characteristics and offspring size should not change greatly with time. In addition, as previously noted in the Discussion, our results were similar to those based on more recent data with higher rates of maternal obesity. There were also no data Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(10):1159–1165 1164 Branum et al. available on possible changes in paternity across pregnancies or paternal size. As in other studies, we relied on self-reported prepregnancy weight that may be prone to underestimation. Although the fixed-effects approach controls for unobserved stable familial traits that vary between families, it does not control for unmeasured, nonshared, or time-varying characteristics that occur within families (e.g., changes in environment or maternal characteristics over time or genetic differences between siblings). However, several important time-varying maternal characteristics were observed and controlled (i.e., smoking, maternal age, socioeconomic status, parity), and only an uncontrolled negative confounder—one that is related to maternal BMI or gestational weight gain and child BMI in opposing ways—could be responsible for the null association observed herein. Finally, the CPP was not a representative sample of pregnant women and, therefore, generalizability is limited. Our results contribute to an emerging picture of the complex relations between maternal body size and gestational weight gain and child’s size. The results of this study indicate that the positive association between maternal weight gain prior to and during pregnancy and child BMI may be confounded by shared familial factors, such as genetic and behavioral propensities. The fixed-effects approach contrasting sibling outcomes for the same mother provides evidence that changes in prepregnancy weight and gestational weight gain between pregnancies are not associated with differences in offspring BMI, at least at age 4 years. Although optimal gestational weight gain may be important for other maternal and infant outcomes, these results support an emphasis on genetic, behavioral, or postnatal environmental factors in determining the child’s size, rather than an intrauterine mechanism. Future studies should continue to evaluate the relative roles and potential for intervention of important familial and environmental factors that may influence childhood BMI and obesity. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Author affiliations: Infant and Women’s Health Statistics Branch, Office of Analysis and Epidemiology, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, Maryland (Amy M. Branum); Office of Analysis and Epidemiology, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, Maryland (Jennifer D. Parker); The Research Institute at Nationwide Children’s Hospital, Center for Biobehavioral Health, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, Ohio (Sarah A. Keim); and Office of Epidemiology, Policy, and Evaluation, Maternal and Child Health Bureau, Health Resources and Services Administration, Department of Health and Human Services, Rockville, Maryland (Ashley H. Schempf). This paper was presented as an oral presentation at the 23rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Pediatric and Perinatal Epidemiologic Research, Seattle, Washington, June 22–23, 2010, and at the 43rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Epidemiologic Research, Seattle, Washington, June 23–26, 2010. 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