Third Quarter
3
Management’s Discussion and Analysis
For the quarter ended September 30, 2015
Intact Financial Corporation
2015
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Table of contents
Section 1 – Profile ................................................................................................................................................ 3
Section 2 – Overview of our consolidated performance ....................................................................................... 4
Section 3 – Operating results ............................................................................................................................... 5
Section 4 – Non-operating results ...................................................................................................................... 10
Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures .......................................................................................................... 11
Section 6 – Business developments and operating environment ....................................................................... 13
Section 7 – Strategy and outlook ........................................................................................................................ 15
Section 8 – Financial condition ........................................................................................................................... 16
Section 9 – Liquidity and capital resources......................................................................................................... 21
Section 10 – Capital management...................................................................................................................... 23
Section 11 – Risk management .......................................................................................................................... 25
Section 12 – Off-balance sheet arrangements ................................................................................................... 25
Section 13 – Accounting and disclosure matters ................................................................................................ 26
Section 14 – Investor information ....................................................................................................................... 27
Section 15 – Selected quarterly information ....................................................................................................... 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
November 3, 2015
The following MD&A is the responsibility of management and has been reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors for the
quarter ended September 30, 2015. This MD&A is intended to enable the reader to assess our results of operations and financial
condition for the three- and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2015, compared to the corresponding period in 2014. It
should be read in conjunction with our interim Consolidated financial statements, as well as the MD&A and the Consolidated
financial statements included in our 2014 Annual Report. All amounts herein are expressed in Canadian dollars.
We use both IFRS and non-IFRS measures to assess performance. Non-IFRS measures do not have any standardized meaning
prescribed by IFRS and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. See
Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable IFRS measures. Management
analyzes performance based on underwriting ratios such as combined, expense, loss and claims ratios, MCT, and debt-to-capital,
as well as other non-IFRS financial measures, namely DPW (underlying), underlying growth, AEPS, NOIPS, ROE, AROE, OROE,
NOI, Non-operating results, Underlying current year loss ratio, Cash flow available for investment activities, and Market-based yield.
These measures and other insurance-related terms used in this MD&A are defined in the glossary available in the “Investor
Relations” section of our web site at www.intactfc.com. Further information about Intact Financial Corporation, including the Annual
Information Form, may be found online on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
Certain of the statements included in this MD&A about the Company’s current and future plans, expectations and intentions, results,
levels of activity, performance, goals or achievements or any other future events or developments constitute forward-looking
statements. The words “may”, “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “expects”, “plans”, “intends”, “trends”, “indications”, “anticipates”,
“believes”, “estimates”, “predicts”, “likely”, “potential” or the negative or other variations of these words or other similar or
comparable words or phrases, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by management based on management’s experience
and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that management
believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Many factors could cause the Company’s actual results, performance or
achievements or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking
statements, including, without limitation, the following factors: the Company’s ability to implement its strategy or operate its business
as management currently expects; its ability to accurately assess the risks associated with the insurance policies that the Company
writes; unfavourable capital market developments or other factors which may affect the Company’s investments and funding
obligations under its pension plans; the cyclical nature of the P&C insurance industry; management’s ability to accurately predict
future claims frequency; government regulations designed to protect policyholders and creditors rather than investors; litigation and
regulatory actions; periodic negative publicity regarding the insurance industry; intense competition; the Company’s reliance on
brokers and third parties to sell its products to clients; the Company’s ability to successfully pursue its acquisition strategy; the
Company’s ability to execute its business strategy; the Company’s ability to achieve synergies arising from successful integration
plans relating to acquisitions including its acquisition of Canadian Direct Insurance Inc. (“CDI”), as well as management's estimates
and expectations in relation to resulting accretion, internal rate of return and debt-to-capital ratio; the Company’s participation in the
Facility Association (a mandatory pooling arrangement among all industry participants) and similar mandated risk-sharing pools;
terrorist attacks and ensuing events; the occurrence of catastrophic events; the Company’s ability to maintain its financial strength
and issuer credit ratings; access to debt financing and the Company's ability to compete for large commercial business; the
Company’s ability to alleviate risk through reinsurance; the Company’s ability to successfully manage credit risk (including credit risk
related to the financial health of reinsurers); the Company’s reliance on information technology and telecommunications systems
and potential disruption to those systems, including evolving cyber attack risk; the Company’s dependence on key employees;
changes in laws or regulations; general economic, financial and political conditions; the Company’s dependence on the results of
operations of its subsidiaries; the volatility of the stock market and other factors affecting the Company’s share price; and future
sales of a substantial number of its common shares.
All of the forward-looking statements included in this MD&A are qualified by these cautionary statements and those made in the
Risk management section of our MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2014. These factors are not intended to represent a
complete list of the factors that could affect the Company. These factors should, however, be considered carefully. Although the
forward-looking statements are based upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, the Company cannot assure
investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. When relying on forward-looking statements to
make decisions, investors should ensure the preceding information is carefully considered. Undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements made herein. The Company and management have no intention and undertake no obligation to update
or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by
law.
Page 2 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Glossary of abbreviations
This MD&A contains abbreviations which are defined as follows:
AEPS
Adjusted EPS
MD&A
Management’s Discussion and Analysis
AFS
Available for sale
MYA
Market yield adjustment
AMF
Autorité des marchés financiers
NOI
Net operating income
AOCI
Accumulated OCI
NOIPS
NOI per share
AROE
Adjusted ROE
OCI
Other comprehensive income
DBRS
Dominion Bond Rating Services
OROE
Operating ROE
DPW
Direct premiums written
OSFI
Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions
EPS
Earnings per share to common shareholders
P&C
Property and casualty
FVTPL
Fair value through profit and loss
ROE
Return on equity
IFRS
International financial reporting standards
U.S.
United States
MCT
Minimum capital test
“Intact”, the “Company”, “IFC”, “we” and “our” are terms used throughout the document to refer to Intact Financial Corporation and
its subsidiaries. Certain totals, subtotals and percentages may not agree due to rounding. Certain comparative figures have been
reclassified to conform to the presentation adopted in the current year. A change column has been provided for convenience
showing the variation between the current period and the prior period. Not meaningful (nm) is used to indicate that the current and
prior year figures are not comparable, not meaningful, or if the percentage change exceeds 1,000%.
Important notes:

Unless otherwise noted, DPW refers to DPW as reported under IFRS, excluding industry pools (referred to as “DPW” or
“reported DPW” in this MD&A).

All underwriting results and related ratios exclude the MYA, but include our share of the results of jointly held insurance
operations, unless otherwise noted.

The expense and general expense ratios are presented herein net of other underwriting revenues. As a result, total revenues
exclude other underwriting revenues.

Net investment income includes our share of the results of jointly held insurance operations, unless otherwise noted.

Catastrophe claims are any one claim, or group of claims, equal to or greater than $7.5 million, related to a single event.

A large loss is defined as a single claim larger than $0.25 million but smaller than the catastrophe threshold of $7.5 million.

A non-catastrophe weather event is a group of claims which is considered significant but that is smaller than the catastrophe
threshold of $7.5 million, related to a single weather event.

All references to “excess capital” in this MD&A include excess capital in the P&C subsidiaries at 170% MCT plus net liquid
assets outside of the P&C insurance subsidiaries, unless otherwise noted.
Section 1 – Profile
We are the largest provider of P&C insurance in Canada with over $7 billion in annual DPW and an estimated market share of 17%.
We insure more than five million individuals and businesses through our insurance subsidiaries and are the largest private sector
provider of P&C insurance in British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario, Québec and Nova Scotia. We distribute insurance under the Intact
Insurance brand through a wide network of brokers, including our wholly owned subsidiary, BrokerLink, and directly to consumers
through belairdirect.
Page 3 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 2 – Overview of our consolidated performance
2.1
Highlights
 Net operating income per share of $1.47, up 7% from last year with a combined ratio of 93.2%
 Strong underlying DPW growth of 8%, driven by 6 points of organic growth.
 Operating ROE of 16.9% for the last 12 months
 Strong financial position with MCT of 195% despite challenging capital market conditions
2.2
Consolidated financial results
Table 1 – Selected highlights
Q3-2015
DPW
1
DPW (underlying)
Underwriting income (Table 3)
Combined ratio
Net investment income (Table 7)
1
NOI (Table 2)
Non-operating gains (losses) (Table 8)
Income before income taxes
Income tax expense
Effective income tax rate
Net income
Preferred share dividends
Net income attributable to common
shareholders
Per share measures, basic and diluted
(in dollars)
1
NOIPS
EPS
1
AEPS
1
OROE for the last 12 months
ROE for the last 12 months
1
AROE for the last 12 months
Book value per share (in dollars)
2
MCT
Debt-to-capital ratio
1
2
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
2,092
2,095
131
93.2%
105
199
(89)
161
(30)
18.6%
1,913
1,941
124
93.2%
106
185
17
244
(42)
17.2%
9%
8%
6%
(1)%
8%
nm
(34)%
(29)%
1.4 pts
6,010
6,014
407
92.7%
314
595
(117)
634
(126)
19.9%
5,589
5,686
303
94.4%
316
520
65
692
(115)
16.6%
8%
6%
34%
(1.7) pts
(1)%
14%
nm
(8)%
10%
3.3 pts
131
(6)
202
(6)
(35)%
-
508
(16)
577
(16)
(12)%
-
125
196
(36)%
492
561
(12)%
1.47
0.95
1.06
16.9%
14.2%
15.0%
37.84
195%
17.3%
1.37
1.49
1.55
14.3%
14.5%
15.2%
36.44
203%
17.8%
7%
(36)%
(32)%
2.6 pts
(0.3) pts
(0.2) pts
4%
(8) pts
(0.5) pts
4.40
3.74
4.00
3.84
4.27
4.44
15%
(12)%
(10)%
Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures.
Estimated aggregate MCT ratio of our P&C insurance subsidiaries.
Third quarter 2015
Underlying DPW growth of 8% this quarter was strong across all regions and all lines of business, including 2 points from our
acquisition of CDI earlier this year. Our growth initiatives, including investments in branding, distribution, digital strategies, and
product development combined with favourable market conditions led to strong organic premium growth.
Our 93.2% combined ratio in Q3-2015 reflects an improvement in all lines of business except for commercial auto. In personal lines,
our underwriting performance was negatively impacted by several non-catastrophe weather events, large losses and slightly higher
frequency, offsetting lower catastrophe losses in the quarter. In commercial lines, the success of our profitability initiatives in
commercial P&C drove continued strong results. However, commercial auto profitability remains unsatisfactory and we are taking
corrective measures, including segmented rate increases, to return commercial auto’s combined ratio to the low 90s on a
sustainable basis.
Page 4 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Net investment income of $105 million was $1 million lower than a year ago. Although average net investments rose $0.2 billion to
$12.9 billion over the past year, the benefit of incremental investments was offset by lower yields. Impairments arising from
challenging capital market conditions contributed to a non-operating loss, resulting in lower net income when compared to the same
quarter in the prior year.
We ended the quarter in a strong financial position with an estimated MCT of 195% and $389 million in excess capital. Our
12 month operating ROE remains very healthy at 16.9% and our book value per share increased 4% from a year ago to $37.84,
despite absorbing unrealized losses from weaker capital markets amounting to $1.55 in the quarter. Our debt-to-capital ratio at the
end of the quarter was 17.3%, lower than our internal target level of 20%.
Year to date 2015
Underlying DPW growth was 6% in the first nine months of 2015, reflecting organic growth initiatives and the acquisition of CDI,
which closed in May 2015. Our growth initiatives combined with improving market conditions have positively impacted both our unit
and premium growth. In contrast, the same period last year was marked by corrective actions to improve profitability and reduce
earthquake exposure, and by the introduction of rate reductions in Ontario.
Underwriting income of $407 million was 34% higher than a year ago reflecting the benefits of our profitability initiatives, higher
favourable prior year claims development and lower catastrophe losses, offset by severe winter conditions in the first part of the
year. These dynamics led to a 1.7 point improvement in combined ratio to 92.7% in 2015 compared to the same period last year.
Net investment income of $314 million was generally consistent with 2014, as the benefit of incremental investments was offset by
lower yields. Net operating income per share was up 15% year over year, driven by improved underwriting and distribution results.
Weaker capital markets led to equity impairments and lower realized gains from investments resulting in a 12% reduction in net
income to $508 million.
Section 3 – Operating results
3.1
Net operating income
The details of NOI and related indicators are as follows:
Table 2 – Components of NOI
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
Underwriting income (Table 3)
Net investment income (Table 7)
Distribution income, net
Finance costs
Corporate and other income (expense)
131
105
28
(16)
2
124
106
20
(16)
(7)
7
(1)
8
9
407
314
82
(48)
(4)
303
316
61
(48)
(5)
104
(2)
21
1
Pre-tax operating income
Tax impact
250
(51)
227
(42)
23
(9)
751
(156)
627
(107)
124
(49)
199
185
14
595
520
75
NOI
1
1
Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures.
Net operating income for the quarter increased 8% driven mainly by improved underwriting and distribution income. There was also
a positive impact from corporate and other income, which increased by $9 million in Q3-2015 compared to Q3-2014, mainly due to a
one-time accounting adjustment last year. Corporate and other income (expense) tend to fluctuate from quarter to quarter, and
include adjustments that occur from time to time. Net distribution income, which represents income from our wholly owned broker
BrokerLink, as well as broker affiliates, increased by $8 million year-over-year to $28 million in the quarter due to growth of our
distribution operations.
Page 5 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
3.2
Underwriting results
Table 3 – Components of underwriting results
Net premiums earned, before reinstatement
premiums
Reinstatement premiums recovery (expense)
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
1,930
-
1,826
-
104
-
5,585
2
5,377
-
208
2
5,587
5,377
210
3,780
67.7%
114
(402)
3,502
65.1%
233
(286)
Net premiums earned, as reported
Net claims:
Current year claims (excluding catastrophe losses)
1
Underlying current year loss ratio
Current year catastrophe losses
Favourable prior year claims development
1,930
1,826
104
1,250
64.8%
81
(107)
1,116
61.1%
125
(80)
134
3.7 pts
(44)
(27)
Total net claims
Claims ratio
Commissions, premium taxes and general expenses
Expense ratio
Underwriting income
1,224
63.4%
575
29.8%
131
1,161
63.6%
541
29.6%
124
63
(0.2) pts
34
0.2 pts
7
3,492
62.5%
1,688
30.2%
407
3,449
64.2%
1,625
30.2%
303
43
(1.7) pts
63
104
Combined ratio
93.2%
93.2%
-
92.7%
94.4%
(1.7 )pts
1
278
2.6 pts
(119)
(116)
Underlying current year loss ratio is calculated using the Net premiums earned, excluding reinstatement premiums. Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS
financial measures.
Third quarter 2015
Underwriting income increased 6% to $131 million in Q3-2015 compared to the same period last year. Although we incurred lower
catastrophe losses as compared to last year, our underlying current year loss ratio was impacted by non-catastrophe weather
events, an increase in large losses and by the remaining impact from the Atlantic winter storms.
Favourable prior year claims development was at 5.5% of opening reserves on an annualized basis, well above the 4.3% recorded
in Q3-2014, but in line with recent history.
The expense ratio of 29.8% was 0.2 points higher than Q3-2014, on higher variable compensation offset by lower commissions.
Year to date 2015
Underwriting income of $407 million in the first nine months of 2015 was higher by 34% compared to the same period in 2014. The
increase was primarily attributable to the benefits of our profitability initiatives, lower catastrophe losses offset by severe weather
conditions in the first part of the year, and improving favourable prior year claims development. The higher level of favourable prior
year claims development partly reflects our increasing comfort with the effectiveness of auto reforms, the resolution of certain old
commercial P&C files and the favourable development of reserves related to prior year catastrophes.
The expense ratio of 30.2% is unchanged from the prior year as lower commissions were offset in part by investments in growth
initiatives.
Table 4 – Components of expense ratio
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
Commissions
Premium taxes
General expenses
16.2%
3.5%
10.1%
16.7%
3.5%
9.4%
(0.5) pts
0.7 pts
16.4%
3.4%
10.4%
16.8%
3.4%
10.0%
(0.4) pts
0.4 pts
Expense ratio
29.8%
29.6%
0.2 pts
30.2%
30.2%
-
Page 6 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
3.3
Underwriting results by lines of business – personal lines
Table 5 – Underwriting results for personal lines
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
Personal auto
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Written insured risks (in thousands)
Net premiums earned
Underwriting income
1
Underlying current year loss ratio
2
Catastrophe losses
Favourable prior year claims development
Claims ratio
Combined ratio
986
987
1,135
903
51
73.0%
3.4%
(6.4)%
70.0%
94.4%
909
905
1,034
857
36
71.0%
4.9%
(4.5)%
71.4%
95.8%
8%
9%
10%
5%
42%
2 pts
(1.5) pts
(1.9) pts
(1.4) pts
(1.4) pts
2,783
2,783
3,260
2,599
133
75.9%
1.3%
(7.0)%
70.2%
94.9%
2,637
2,634
3,060
2,540
133
72.4%
1.6%
(4.0)%
70.0%
94.8%
6%
6%
7%
2%
3.5 pts
(0.3) pts
(3.0) pts
0.2 pts
0.1 pts
Personal property
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Written insured risks (in thousands)
Net premiums earned
Underwriting income
1
Underlying current year loss ratio
2
Catastrophe losses
Favourable prior year claims development
Claims ratio
Combined ratio
527
527
651
444
11
58.5%
6.9%
(1.7)%
63.7%
97.4%
445
478
611
409
10
50.3%
16.5%
(2.4)%
64.4%
97.7%
18%
10%
7%
9%
10%
8.2 pts
(9.6) pts
0.7 pts
(0.7) pts
(0.3) pts
1,412
1,412
1,747
1,283
121
57.7%
3.2%
(4.5)%
56.4%
90.5%
1,207
1,309
1,678
1,202
68
54.7%
11.3%
(5.5)%
60.5%
94.4%
17%
8%
4%
7%
78%
3.0 pts
(8.1) pts
1.0 pts
(4.1) pts
(3.9) pts
Personal lines – total
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
1,513
1,514
62
95.4%
1,354
1,383
46
96.4%
12%
9%
35%
(1.0) pts
4,195
4,195
254
93.5%
3,844
3,943
201
94.7%
9%
6%
26%
(1.2) pts
1
2
Underlying current year loss ratio is calculated using the Net premiums earned, excluding reinstatement premiums. Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS
financial measures.
Catastrophe losses include reinstatement premiums.
Third quarter 2015
Personal auto underlying DPW grew 9%, or 6% excluding CDI, on strong organic unit growth of 6%. The impact of rate reductions in
Ontario have been offset by unit growth across the country and rate increases in other regions. Our investments in brand, digital
strategies, and distribution networks along with our competitive position have positively impacted DPW growth. The combined ratio
of 94.4% improved by 1.4 points in the quarter as we experienced less catastrophe losses and we continue to see favourable prior
year claims development, including a favourable impact this quarter from industry pools. Although we have no evidence to suggest
an increase in kilometers driven, slightly higher frequency is the main driver for the 2 point increase of underlying current year loss
ratio.
Personal property underlying DPW grew 10% including organic unit growth of 4%, higher premiums and a 3 point contribution from
our CDI acquisition. We continue to see hard market conditions in this line of business but our growth initiatives described earlier
have also contributed to top line growth. Our combined ratio of 97.4% was 0.3 points better than in Q3-2014, as lower catastrophe
losses were largely offset by an increase in non-catastrophe weather events, higher large losses, and the remaining impact from the
Atlantic winter storm earlier in the year. We estimate these elements together represent a 7 point negative impact on the underlying
current year loss ratio.
Page 7 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Year to date 2015
Personal auto underlying DPW grew 6%, or 4% excluding CDI, during the first nine months of 2015 on good organic unit growth.
Our investments in brand, digital strategies, and distribution networks have positively impacted DPW growth. Favourable prior year
claims development remained robust in 2015 and helped offset the impact of difficult winter conditions in Q1-2015, contributing to a
combined ratio of 94.9% in personal auto on a year-to-date basis.
Personal property underlying DPW grew 8%, or 6% excluding CDI, as a combination of favourable market conditions, profitability
measures and growth initiatives delivered both units and premium growth. The combined ratio of 90.5% improved by 3.9 points, due
to the benefits of our profitability initiatives and lower catastrophe losses.
3.4
Underwriting results by lines of business – commercial lines
Table 6 – Underwriting results for commercial lines
Commercial P&C
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Written insured risks (in thousands)
Net premiums earned
Underwriting income
1
Underlying current year loss ratio
2
Catastrophe losses
Favourable prior year claims development
Claims ratio
Combined ratio
Commercial auto
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Written insured risks (in thousands)
Net premiums earned
Underwriting income
1
Underlying current year loss ratio
2
Catastrophe losses
Unfavourable (favourable) prior year claims
development
Claims ratio
Combined ratio
Commercial lines – total
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
1
2
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
418
421
108
417
64
53.8%
3.9%
(11.4)%
46.3%
84.6%
411
410
110
403
62
53.4%
2.9%
(9.6)%
46.7%
84.7%
2%
3%
(2)%
3%
3%
0.4 pts
1.0 pts
(1.8) pts
(0.4) pts
(0.1) pts
1,312
1,316
334
1,222
133
61.0%
3.0%
(13.6)%
50.4%
89.1%
1,276
1,274
337
1,179
39
62.8%
4.2%
(9.3)%
57.7%
96.7%
3%
3%
(1)%
4%
241%
(1.8) pts
(1.2) pts
(4.3) pts
(7.3) pts
(7.6) pts
161
160
127
166
5
63.8%
2.5%
148
148
126
157
16
55.4%
2.7%
9%
8%
1%
6%
(69)%
8.4 pts
(0.2) pts
503
503
398
483
20
66.7%
0.9%
469
469
392
456
63
58.3%
1.0%
7%
7%
2%
6%
(68)%
8.4 pts
(0.1) pts
3.4%
69.7%
97.0%
4.1%
62.2%
89.4%
(0.7) pts
7.5 pts
7.6 pts
0.5%
68.1%
96.0%
(1.7)%
57.6%
86.1%
2.2 pts
10.5 pts
9.9 pts
579
581
69
88.2%
559
558
78
86.0%
4%
4%
(12)%
2.2 pts
1,815
1,819
153
91.0%
1,745
1,743
102
93.8%
4%
4%
50%
(2.8) pts
Underlying current year loss ratio is calculated using the Net premiums earned, excluding reinstatement premiums. Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS
financial measures.
Catastrophe losses include reinstatement premiums.
Third quarter 2015
Commercial P&C underlying DPW grew 3% in the quarter, essentially on higher rates, supporting our view that the commercial P&C
market is firmer. The impact of our action plan, launched two years ago, is paying off with an underlying current year loss ratio of
53.8% and a combined ratio of 84.6%. Favourable prior year claims development also contributed to the solid performance. We
expect that there are approximately 1-2 points of combined ratio improvement remaining to be earned from our action plan which
targets a low 90s combined ratio on a sustainable basis.
Page 8 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Commercial auto continues to deliver strong underlying DPW growth of 8%, mainly from its regular, trucking and fleet businesses.
The combined ratio deteriorated by 7.6 points compared to Q3-2014 primarily due to an increase in large losses and unfavourable
prior year claims development. The underperformance of this line of business has led to corrective measures, targeting a
sustainable combined ratio in the low 90’s.
Year to date 2015
Commercial P&C underlying DPW grew by 3% during the first nine months of 2015, driven mainly by higher rates. Elevated
favourable prior year claims development and our profitability initiatives drove an improvement of 7.6 points in the combined ratio to
89.1%.
Commercial auto underlying DPW grew by 7% mainly from strength in trucking. The combined ratio deteriorated by 9.9 points to
96.0%, primarily driven by higher claims severity, unfavourable prior year claims development and challenging winter conditions.
3.5
Net investment income
Table 7 – Net investment income
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
70
45
75
42
(7)%
7%
211
131
214
131
(1)%
-
Investment income, before expenses
Expenses
115
(10)
117
(11)
(2)%
(9)%
342
(28)
345
(29)
(1)%
(3)%
Net investment income
105
106
(1)%
316
(1)%
12,902
12,677
2%
12,944
12,179
6%
3.55%
3.57%
(0.02) pts
3.52%
3.67%
(0.15) pts
Interest income
Dividend income
Average net investments
Market-based yield
1
2
2
1
314
Defined as the mid-month average fair value of net equity and fixed-income securities held during the reporting period.
Refer to Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures.
Net investment income of $105 million in Q3-2015 was slightly lower than a year ago, as the benefit of incremental investments was
offset by a low yield environment. Average net investments amounted to $12.9 billion, up 2% from a year ago. The resulting marketbased yield was 3.55% for the quarter despite a declining yield environment.
Net investment income of $314 million in the first nine months off 2015 was $2 million lower than the $316 million a year ago as the
benefit of a higher level of invested assets was offset by lower yields.
Page 9 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 4 – Non-operating results
Non-operating results, a non-IFRS financial measure, include elements that are not representative of our operating performance
because they relate to special items, bear significant volatility from one period to another, or because they are not part of our normal
activities. As a result, these elements are excluded from the calculation of NOI and related non-IFRS financial measures.
The details of non-operating results are as follows:
Table 8 – Non-operating results
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
Net investment gains (losses) (Table 9)
Positive (negative) impact of MYA on underwriting
(Section 4.2)
Integration, restructuring and other costs
Difference between expected return and discount
rate on pension assets (Section 4.3)
Amortization of intangible assets recognized in
business combinations
(64)
30
(94)
8
177
7
(12)
2
(1)
5
(11)
(52)
(15)
(66)
(8)
14
(7)
(8)
(5)
(3)
(23)
(16)
(7)
(12)
(9)
(3)
(35)
(22)
(13)
Non-operating gains (losses)
(89)
17
(106)
(117)
65
(182)
4.1
(169)
Net investment gains (losses)
Table 9 – Net investment gains (losses)
Q3-2015
Fixed-income strategies
Gains (losses) on FVTPL fixed-income securities,
1
net of related derivatives
Gains on AFS securities, net of related
1
derivatives
Gains (losses) on other derivatives
Gains (losses) on fixed-income strategies and
related derivatives
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
(24)
(18)
(6)
1
31
(30)
3
(2)
5
(6)
(2)
4
16
(7)
8
7
8
(14)
(23)
(19)
(4)
10
46
(36)
Equity strategies
Gains on AFS securities, net of related
1
derivatives
Gains (losses) on FVTPL securities, net of related
derivatives
Gains (losses) on embedded derivatives and other
Gains on foreign currency
Impairment losses
(9)
46
(55)
10
164
(154)
(8)
28
3
(56)
(8)
5
(3)
23
3
(53)
(8)
55
15
(118)
(15)
(13)
(26)
7
68
15
(92)
Gains (losses) on equity strategies and related
derivatives
(42)
40
(82)
(46)
110
(156)
1
9
(8)
44
21
23
Net investment gains (losses)
(64)
30
(94)
8
177
(169)
Net investment gains (losses) excluding FVTPL
fixed-income securities
(40)
48
(88)
7
146
(139)
Net gains on investments in associates and joint
ventures
1
Excluding foreign currency impact.
Page 10 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Third quarter 2015
Lower bond prices and lower equity markets resulted in a net investment loss of $64 million, compared to a net investment gain of
$30 million in Q3-2014. Excluding FVTPL fixed-income securities, net investment losses were $40 million in Q3-2015, compared to
net investment gains of $48 million in Q3-2014, as a result of higher impairment losses, principally on energy stocks and realized
losses on the sale of AFS equities resulting from the decline in equity markets in Q3-2015.
Year to date 2015
Net investment gains of $8 million for the first nine months of 2015 were $169 million lower than the comparable period in 2014,
mainly driven by lower equity markets and higher impairment losses, partly offset by gains on embedded derivatives and broker
transactions. Excluding FVTPL fixed-income securities, net investment gains were $7 million in the first nine months of 2015,
$139 million lower than the comparable period in 2014.
4.2
Impact of MYA on underwriting
Claims liabilities are discounted at the estimated market yield of the assets backing these liabilities. The impact of changes in the
discount rate used to discount claims liabilities based on the change in the market-based yield of the underlying assets is referred to
as MYA. The MYA to claims liabilities is partly offset by gains and losses on FVTPL fixed-income securities with the objective that
these items offset each other with a minimal overall impact to net income.
4.3
Difference between expected return and discount rate on pension assets
We continue to manage our pension asset investment portfolio with a target asset return based on a target asset allocation. We
continue to measure NOI using a pension expense based on the expected return on plan assets to better reflect our operating
performance. Any difference between the expected return on pension assets and the return based on the discount rate determined
at the beginning of the year is treated as a non-operating item.
Section 5 – Non-IFRS financial measures
Non-IFRS financial measures do not have standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS and may not be comparable to similar
measures used by other companies in our industry. These non-IFRS financial measures are used by management and financial
analysts to assess our performance. Further, they provide users with an enhanced understanding of our results and related trends
and increase transparency and clarity into the core results of the business.






DPW (underlying) represents the total amount of premiums for new and renewal policies billed (written) during the reporting
period, excluding industry pools and normalized for the effect of multi-year policies. This measure matches DPW to the year in
which coverage is provided, whereas under IFRS, the full value of multi-year policies is recognized in the year the policy is
written.
AEPS and AROE exclude the impact of amortization of intangible assets recognized in business combinations and integration
and restructuring costs, all on an after tax basis. We believe that these excluded items are not appropriate in assessing our
underlying performance.
NOI, NOIPS and OROE exclude the impact of net investment gains (losses), the positive (negative) effect of MYA on
underwriting, the difference between expected return and discount rate on pension assets, the amortization of intangible assets
recognized in business combinations, and integration and restructuring costs. Investment gains and losses as well as the effect
of MYA on underwriting arise mostly from changes in market conditions, which can be volatile to earnings. We also exclude the
difference between expected return and discount rate on pension assets, as we believe the gap in these measures is not
reflective of our internal investment management expertise and management of our pension investment asset portfolio.
The market-based yield represents the annualized total pre-tax investment income (before expenses), divided by the
mid-month average fair value of net equity and fixed-income securities held during the reporting period. This calculation
provides users with a consistent measure of our relative investment performance.
The underlying current year loss ratio is our current year claims ratio excluding catastrophe losses, reinstatement premiums,
and prior year claims development. Catastrophe events are beyond our control, and as such, excluding them provides clearer
insight into our analysis of current year performance. See Section 3.2 – Underwriting results for a reconciliation of this
non-IFRS financial measure.
Cash flow available for investment activities includes net cash flows from cash and cash equivalents and the investment
portfolio. See Section 9.3 – Cash flow for a reconciliation of this non-IFRS financial measure.
Page 11 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Table 10 – Reconciliation of DPW (underlying) and underlying growth to DPW, as reported under IFRS
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
DPW, as reported under IFRS
Less impact of industry pools
Add share of the results of jointly held insurance operations
2,086
(7)
13
1,911
(11)
13
6,003
(31)
38
5,571
(19)
37
DPW, reported
Add impact of the normalization for multi-year policies
2,092
3
1,913
28
6,010
4
5,589
97
DPW, underlying
2,095
1,941
6,014
5,686
8%
1%
6%
1%
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Net income
Add amortization of intangible assets recognized in business
combinations, net of tax
Add integration and restructuring costs, net of tax
131
202
508
577
11
3
7
1
29
5
17
5
Adjusted net income
Less preferred share dividends
145
(6)
542
(16)
599
(16)
Underlying growth
Table 11 – Reconciliation of AEPS and AROE to net income
Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders
Divided by weighted-average number of common shares (in millions)
210
(6)
139
131.5
204
131.5
526
131.5
583
131.5
AEPS, basic and diluted (in dollars)
1.06
1.55
4.00
4.44
Average common shareholders’ equity
AROE for the last 12 months
4,886
15.0%
4,584
15.2%
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Table 12 – Reconciliation of NOI, NOIPS and OROE to net income
Net income
Add income tax expense
Deduct (add) net investment gains (losses) (Table 9)
Deduct positive (add negative) impact of MYA on underwriting
Add difference between expected return and discount rate on pension
assets (Section 4.3)
Add amortization of intangible assets recognized in business
combinations
Add integration, restructuring and other costs
131
30
64
(7)
Pre-tax operating income
Tax impact
250
(51)
NOI
Less preferred share dividends
199
(6)
NOI to common shareholders
Divided by weighted-average number of common shares (in millions)
NOIPS, basic and diluted (in dollars)
Average common shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI
OROE for the last 12 months
202
42
(30)
(2)
508
126
(8)
52
577
115
(177)
66
8
5
23
16
12
12
9
1
35
15
22
8
227
(42)
751
(156)
627
(107)
185
(6)
595
(16)
520
(16)
193
131.5
179
131.5
579
131.5
504
131.5
1.47
1.37
4.40
3.84
4,871
16.9%
4,486
14.3%
Page 12 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 6 – Business developments and operating environment
6.1
Canadian P&C insurance industry results – H1-2015 comparison
The Canadian P&C insurance preliminary results for H1-2015 are available. Highlights are as follows:
Table 13 – Estimated Canadian P&C insurance results
DPW growth
3
Combined ratio
4
Return on equity (annualized)
IFC
Industry
1
benchmark
Out
performance
P&C
2
industry
Out
performance
4.5%
94.5%
15.3%
2.4%
98.6%
10.9%
2.1 pts
4.1 pts
4.4 pts
3.3%
97.6%
10.1%
1.2 pts
3.1 pts
5.2 pts
Industry data: IFC estimate based on MSA Research Inc.
1
Consists of the 19 largest companies, excluding Lloyd's, Genworth, FM Global and IFC.
2
Excludes LIoyd’s, ICBC, SGI, SAF, MPI, Genworth and IFC.
3
Combined ratio includes MYA.
4
IFC’s ROE corresponds to the AROE.
Our strong growth in H1-2015 led to a 2.1 point outperformance against our industry benchmark, reversing the underperformance
observed in 2014, during which growth had been hampered by our profitability measures. These profitability measures are largely
complete, and we are seeing growth in 2015, as our competitive position improves and we are investing in growth initiatives. On the
combined ratio, our outperformance remains healthy at 4.1 points for H1-2015. Our ROE outperformance in H1-2015 of 5.2 points
versus the P&C industry is above our objective but shrank from 8.2 points in 2014 due mainly to the impact of weaker capital
markets.
6.2
Ontario personal auto environment
In August 2013, the Ontario government introduced a rate and cost reduction mandate to improve the affordability of auto insurance
in the province, while also reducing costs in the system. This process has resulted in a cumulative average rate reduction of
approximately 6.8% for the industry as of Q3-2015. Government cost reduction measures to date include tightening of the Minor
Injury Guideline (MIG) back towards its original intent and licensing of health care clinics to reduce fraud. In addition, Ontario Bill 15,
Fighting Fraud and Reducing Automobile Insurance Rates Act, 2014 (“Bill 15”) was passed late in 2014 and elements such as a
reduction in the pre-judgement interest (PJI) rate and streamlining the dispute resolution system, are becoming effective as
regulations are defined. In recognition of Bill 15, we elected to take additional rate reductions for a cumulative average of 9.6%
since August 2013.
More recently on April 23, 2015, the Ontario government released a budget outlining additional actions to reduce costs. These
include updating the catastrophic impairment definition and reducing the standard duration of medical and rehabilitation benefits to
be more in line with that of other provinces. The budget also prescribed some measures through which the insurance industry is to
translate the cost reductions into premium reductions. Companies were asked to file rates by the end of October 2015 to reflect the
benefits of the reforms included in this budget, as well as those coming from Bill 15 if not already reflected, with an effective date of
June 2016.
According to industry results, the claims ratio in Ontario personal auto in H1-2015 was 74.8%, improved from 2010, but still
reflective of an industry combined ratio around 100%. This indicates that a number of industry players continue to be in an
underwriting loss position, such that rate reductions in excess of reforms would likely lead to availability issues for drivers.
6.3
Recent developments and acquisitions
On September 8, 2015, we announced that we had entered into a cooperative agreement to develop tailored insurance products
with the ride-sharing service provider, Uber. This announcement is part of our broader product development strategy that addresses
consumer needs within the growing sharing economy.
On February 10, 2015, we announced that we had entered into a definitive agreement with Canadian Western Bank to acquire CDI,
thereby extending our direct-to-consumer operations from coast to coast. The transaction closed on May 1, 2015 and integration is
well underway. We continue to expect the acquisition to be accretive to NOIPS in 2015. We are targeting annual expense synergies
of $10 million after tax, and expect our run rate to reach this level by mid-2017.
Page 13 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
6.4
Capital markets
The Canadian equity market posted its second straight quarterly decline, as the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 8.6%, led by
weakness in the metals & mining, materials and energy sectors. The preferred share index declined by 14%, impacted by the low
interest rate environment. Movements in our equity investment values are generally in line with the equity markets' performance,
although our exposures to individual sectors may be different (see Table 19 for further details). Lower equity prices resulted in a
pre-tax unrealized loss position of $121 million at quarter end. Tables 9, 21 and 22 provide detailed information on the net
investment gains and unrealized gains (losses) of our investment portfolio.
6.5
Industry pools
Industry pools consist of the “residual market” (or Facility Association) as well as risk-sharing pools (“RSP”) in Alberta, Ontario,
Québec, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia. Insurers can choose to cede risks to the RSP. The risks ceded are aggregated and
assumed by the entities in the Canadian P&C insurance industry, generally in proportion to market share and volume of business
ceded to the RSP. The impact of assumed industry pools on personal auto underwriting income was a gain of $4 million in Q3-2015,
compared to a loss of $11 million in Q3-2014. Results for industry pools tend to fluctuate between periods.
6.6
Weather conditions
Across the major Canadian cities, Q3-2015 experienced similar temperatures to last year and historical averages, while precipitation
levels were slightly elevated, particularly in Western Canada and Montreal. Catastrophe losses in the quarter of $81 million were
relatively low for the time of year. This was offset in part by an increase in non-catastrophe weather events.
6.7
Seasonality of the business
The P&C insurance business is seasonal in nature. While net premiums earned are generally stable from quarter to quarter,
underwriting results are driven mainly by weather conditions which may vary significantly between quarters. The underlying
seasonality in our combined ratio is best illustrated by excluding the impact of catastrophe losses (see Table 15).
Table 14 – Seasonal indicator, including catastrophe losses
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Eight-year
average
1.05
1.00
1.00
0.95
0.97
1.00
1.05
0.98
0.99
0.99
1.03
0.99
1.00
1.03
0.99
0.98
0.98
0.98
1.01
1.03
1.00
0.97
1.07
0.96
1.03
0.98
0.97
1.02
1.01
0.99
1.02
0.98
1.00
0.99
1.02
0.99
Table 15 – Seasonal indicator, excluding catastrophe losses
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Eight-year
average
1.04
1.02
0.96
0.98
1.04
0.97
0.97
1.02
1.02
0.98
0.97
1.03
1.04
0.96
0.99
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.98
1.03
1.02
0.99
1.00
0.99
1.03
0.97
0.97
1.03
1.02
0.98
1.01
0.99
1.03
0.98
0.98
1.01
Page 14 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 7 – Strategy and outlook
7.1
Canadian P&C insurance industry 12-month outlook
Our two primary objectives are to outperform the P&C industry ROE by at least 500 basis points every year, and to grow our NOIPS
by 10% per year over time. We are well-positioned to continue outperforming the P&C insurance industry in the current environment
due to our pricing and underwriting discipline, claims management capabilities, as well as our prudent investment and capital
management practices.
Canadian P&C insurance industry
Market
environment

(12-month
outlook)


Capital markets
We expect future rate reductions in Ontario auto will
be commensurate with government cost reduction
measures.
We expect the current hard market conditions in
personal property to continue as the magnitude of
catastrophe losses in recent years negatively
impacts industry results.
Our strategy and outlook

We maintain our disciplined strategy while
capitalizing on our strong position to grow
organically in the prevailing market conditions.

We are comfortable with the changes taking place
in the Ontario auto market and will continue to
pursue growth opportunities.

The initiatives under our home improvement plan
are now fully implemented. We expect this will
allow us to continue outperforming the industry in
home insurance.

In commercial lines, we are targeting a combined
ratio sustainably in the low 90s on a full year basis
through better segmentation, rate increases and
product changes.
We maintain a strong financial position. At
September 30, 2015 key financial strength
indicators were:

We believe the impact of continued low interest
rates and limited underwriting profitability at the
industry level have translated into firmer conditions
in commercial auto, property and casualty lines.

Recent economic data and actions from the Bank of
Canada lead us to believe that the overnight lending
rate may remain low for the foreseeable future. In
the current interest rate environment, we estimate
that the industry’s pre-tax investment yield will
decline slightly, given its asset mix and duration.

The preferred share market has been negatively
impacted by the latest interest rate outlook. The
valuation of preferred shares depends on the timing
and magnitude of interest rate movements.

We expect our MCT ratio to be positively impacted
by the upcoming changes to the MCT guidelines.

We expect a mild erosion of our net investment
income over the next 12 months as the low yield
environment continues to be challenging.

We believe we will outperform the P&C industry’s
ROE by at least 500 basis points in the next
12 months.

Overall
Industry premiums are likely to increase at a low
single-digit rate, with minimal growth in personal
auto, mid single-digit growth in commercial lines
and upper single-digit growth in personal property
expected.

Capital markets remain volatile, as economic data
suggest that more time is required for the global
recovery to take hold. Industry capital levels could
be negatively impacted if volatility results in
continued downward pressure on market values.

Global capital requirements are continuing to
influence the asset decisions of many companies.

We expect the industry’s combined ratio to continue
to improve in 2015 from the recent peak above
100% in 2013, though the level of investment
income is unlikely to improve. Overall, we expect
the industry’s ROE to trend back toward its longterm average of 10% over the next twelve months.
o
MCT ratio of 195%;
o
total excess capital of $389 million; and
o
debt-to-capital ratio of 17.3%.
Page 15 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 8 – Financial condition
8.1
Condensed balance sheets
The table below shows the significant balance sheet captions.
Table 16 – Condensed balance sheets
As at
Assets
Investments
Premium receivables
Reinsurance assets
Deferred acquisition costs
Other assets
Intangible assets and goodwill
Reference
Section 8.2
Total assets
Liabilities
Claims liabilities
Unearned premiums
Financial liabilities related to investments
Other liabilities
Debt outstanding
Section 8.3
Section 9.1
Total liabilities
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Preferred shares
Contributed surplus
Retained earnings
AOCI
Shareholders’ equity
Book value per share (in dollars)
Section 14
September 30,
2015
December 31,
2014
13,339
2,923
296
730
1,451
2,438
13,440
2,711
335
669
1,121
2,304
21,177
20,580
8,278
4,487
446
1,356
1,143
8,021
4,110
432
1,419
1,143
15,710
15,125
2,090
489
113
2,882
(107)
2,090
489
115
2,616
145
5,467
5,455
37.84
37.75
Page 16 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
8.2
Investments
Our investments totalled $13.3 billion as at September 30, 2015, a level similar to December 31, 2014. Our investment portfolio is
mainly composed of Canadian securities and includes a mix of cash and short-term notes, fixed-income securities, preferred shares
and common shares.
The following table provides an overview of the investment mix by asset class.
Table 17 – Investment mix by asset class
September 30,
2015
December 31,
2014
565
8,287
1,087
2,894
213
8,560
1,268
2,992
Loans
12,833
506
13,033
407
Total investments
13,339
13,440
As at
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term notes
Fixed-income strategies
Preferred shares
Common equity strategies
Our portfolio is managed in accordance with our investment policy. The overall risk profile of the portfolio is designed to b alance the
investment return required to back our liabilities while optimizing the investment opportunities available in the marketplace.
Management monitors and enforces compliance with our investment policy.
As part of our investment strategies, from time to time we take long/short equity positions in order to maximize the value added from
active equity portfolio management, or to mitigate overall equity market volatility. We also use strategies where market risk from
long equity positions is reduced through the use of swap agreements or other hedging instruments.
Net exposure: investment mix by asset class
The following table shows our investment mix by asset class after reflecting the impact of hedging strategies and financial liabilities
related to investments.
Table 18 – Investment mix by asset class (net exposure)
September 30,
2015
December 31,
2014
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term notes
Fixed-income strategies
Preferred shares
Common equity strategies
5%
70%
8%
13%
3%
72%
9%
13%
Loans
96%
4%
97%
3%
100%
100%
As at
The investment mix as at September 30, 2015 is comparable to the mix as at December 31, 2014.
Page 17 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Net exposure: sector mix by asset class
The following table shows our sector mix by asset class, after reflecting the impact of hedging strategies and financial liabilities
related to investments, as a percentage of total investments (excluding cash, short-term notes and loans). This table represents our
economic exposure to sector mix by asset class as at September 30, 2015.
Table 19 – Sector mix by asset class (net exposure)
Government
Financials
Energy
Industrials
Consumer staples
Utilities
Information technology
Consumer discretionary
Materials
Health care
Telecommunication
Common shares
S&P/TSX
Weighting
IFC
Fixed-income
securities
Preferred shares
58%
29%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
-
73%
14%
13%
-
15%
20%
12%
9%
8%
7%
9%
8%
4%
8%
37%
19%
8%
4%
2%
3%
7%
9%
5%
6%
40%
36%
6%
3%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
IFC Total
Our fixed-income investment portfolio is concentrated mainly in the government and financial sectors in order to provide liquidity and
stability to our balance sheet and our equity portfolio has a focus on dividend-paying Canadian companies.
Portfolio credit quality
Our investment portfolio includes high quality government and corporate bonds, as well as equity securities of large, publicly-traded,
dividend-paying companies. Approximately 99% of the fixed-income securities are rated ‘A’ or better and 83% of the preferred
shares are highly-rated with at least a ‘P2L’ credit rating.
As at September 30, 2015, the weighted-average rating of our fixed-income portfolio was ‘AA+’, unchanged since
December 31, 2014 and the average duration of our fixed-income portfolio was 4.04 years (4.03 years including the impact of
derivatives used to decrease overall interest rate exposure). The weighted-average rating of our preferred share portfolio was ‘P2’
as at September 30, 2015, unchanged since December 31, 2014.
We manage our investments prudently to protect capital and generate superior after-tax returns, and we do not invest in leveraged
securities.
Net exposure: by currency
As a means to provide geographic and sector diversification to our portfolio, we invest in high quality non-financial U.S. corporate
bonds and U.S. equities. Approximately 12% of our fixed-income portfolio and 18% of our common share asset portfolio are
comprised of U.S. securities as at September 30, 2015. Foreign currency exposure in U.S. denominated fixed-income securities is
hedged using foreign-currency forward contracts.
The following table shows our exposure by currency, after reflecting the impact of hedging strategies and financial liabilities related
to investments. This table represents our economic exposure by currency as at:
Table 20 – Currency (net exposure)
As at
Canadian dollar
U.S. dollar
Total
September 30,
2015
December 31,
2014
96%
4%
96%
4%
100%
100%
Page 18 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Net pre-tax unrealized gains (losses) on AFS securities
In determining the fair value of investments, we rely mainly on quoted market prices. In cases where an active market does not
exist, the estimated fair values are based on recent transactions or current market prices for similar securities.
The following table presents the net pre-tax unrealized gains (losses) on AFS securities.
Table 21 – Net pre-tax unrealized gains (losses) on AFS securities
September 30,
2015
June 30,
2015
March 31,
2015
December 31,
2014
September 30,
2014
Fixed-income securities
Preferred shares
Common shares
118
(165)
(74)
127
(13)
36
183
20
88
94
66
54
62
59
83
Net pre-tax unrealized gain (loss) position
(121)
150
291
214
204
As at
During Q3-2015, our pre-tax unrealized loss position deteriorated by $271 million, driven by the significant decline in preferred share
prices and the weakness in equity markets. The same factors drove the unfavourable $335 million development in the first nine
months of 2015.
The decline in the preferred share portfolio is mainly attributable to the structure of the products rather than the credit of the issuers.
The market value of preferred shares, particularly those with reset features, are largely driven by the market expectations for
interest rates to remain low. Preferred shares are subject to an impairment review on a quarterly basis.
Gains and losses in the common share portfolio are generally realized on an ongoing basis under normal capital market conditions,
reflecting the investment strategy in the high-dividend common share portfolio.
Impairment recognition
Common shares classified as AFS are assessed for impairment if the current market value drops significantly below the book value,
and/or if there has been a prolonged decline in the fair value below the book value. Based on our assessment, we recorded
impairment losses on AFS common shares amounting to $42 million in Q3-2015 and $80 million in the first nine months of 2015.
Table 22 – Aging of unrealized losses on AFS common shares
As at
Less than 25% below book value
More than 25% below book value for less
than 6 consecutive months
More than 25% below book value for 6
consecutive months or more
Unrealized losses on AFS common
shares
September 30,
2015
June 30,
2015
March 31,
2015
December 31,
2014
September 30,
2014
113
62
47
36
50
52
8
7
57
3
19
17
23
2
3
184
87
77
95
56
Page 19 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
8.3
Claims liabilities
Claims liabilities amounted to $8.3 billion as at September 30, 2015, compared to $8.0 billion as at December 31, 2014. The reserve
estimates are evaluated quarterly for redundancy or deficiency. The evaluation is based on actual payments in full or partial
settlement of insurance contracts and current estimates of claims liabilities for claims still open or claims still unreported.
Prior year claims development
The following table shows the development of claims liabilities for the nine most recent accident years and earlier.
Table 23 – Prior year claims development by accident year
Total
Original reserve
Favourable development
during Q3-2015
Favourable development
during YTD 2015
Cumulative development
as a % of original reserve
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2,571
2,609
2,481
2,417
2,126
2009
2008
2007
2006
1,838
1,654
1,459
1,301
2005
and
earlier
3,760
(107)
(17)
(20)
(27)
(13)
(13)
(3)
(6)
(7)
(2)
1
(402)
(151)
(51)
(49)
(46)
(40)
(21)
(14)
(12)
(4)
(14)
(5.9)% (6.5)% (9.6)% (15.4)% (13.3)% (11.1)%
(10.1)% (8.7)% (10.7)% (16.5)%
The following table shows the prior year claims development by line of business, as well as the annualized prior year claims
development (as a % of opening reserves).
Table 24 – Prior year claims development
Q3-2015
By line of business
Personal auto
Personal property
Commercial auto
Commercial P&C
Total unfavourable (favourable) development
Annualized prior year claims development
1
1
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
(58)
(8)
6
(47)
(38)
(10)
6
(38)
(20)
2
(9)
(182)
(57)
3
(166)
(103)
(66)
(8)
(109)
(79)
9
11
(57)
(107)
(80)
(27)
(402)
(286)
(116)
5.5%
4.3%
1.2 pts
6.9%
5.1%
1.8 pts
As a % of opening reserves.
Favourable prior year claims development of $107 million, or 5.5% of opening reserves on an annualized basis, was above the
4.3% recorded in Q3-2014, but in line with recent history.
On a year to date basis, favourable prior year claims development of $402 million, or 6.9% of opening reserves on an annualized
basis, was higher by $116 million compared to last year. The higher level of favourable prior year claims development partly reflects
our increasing comfort with the effectiveness of auto reforms, the resolution of certain old commercial P&C files and the favourable
development of reserves related to prior year catastrophes.
Prior year claims development can fluctuate from quarter to quarter and year to year and, therefore, should be evaluated over
longer periods of time.
Page 20 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 9 – Liquidity and capital resources
9.1
Financing and capital structure
We do not generally require financing to support our ongoing operations. We use financing instruments, with a preference for long
tenures, to optimize our balance sheet or to support growth initiatives. We believe our optimal capital structure is one where the
debt-to-capital ratio is up to 20% and we intend to operate at this level on an ongoing basis. We may exceed this level from time to
time to capture market opportunities, but with a goal to return to our target within a reasonable time frame.
We had a debt-to-capital ratio of 17.3% as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
Base shelf prospectus and medium-term note supplement
On September 11, 2015, we filed a final short form base shelf prospectus with the securities regulatory authorities in each of the
provinces and territories of Canada that will allow us to offer up to $5.0 billion in any combination of debt, preferred shares or
common share securities, subscription receipts, warrants, share purchase contracts and units over the following 25 months. We
also filed a supplement to our base shelf prospectus to establish a medium-term note program that would allow us to issue up to
$1.2 billion in unsecured medium-term notes. As at September 30, 2015, the amounts available under the respective prospectuses
were $5.0 billion and $1.2 billion, respectively.
Credit facility
We have a $300-million five-year unsecured revolving term credit facility, which matures on December 5, 2019. This credit facility
may be drawn as prime loans or base rate (Canada) advances at the prime rate or base rate plus a margin or as bankers’
acceptances or Libor advances at the bankers’ acceptance or Libor rate plus a margin. This facility was undrawn as at
September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
As part of the covenants of the loans under the credit facilities, we are required to maintain certain financial ratios, which were fully
met as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
Sale and repurchase agreements
We may, from time to time, enter into sale and repurchase agreements consisting of the sale of securities together with an
agreement to repurchase them in the short term, at a set price and date, up to a maximum of 1.5% of invested assets. We did not
have any securities sold under repurchase agreements as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
9.2
Credit ratings
On September 27, 2015, Moody’s reaffirmed the long-term issuer credit rating of IFC and the insurance financial strength ratings of
its principal P&C subsidiaries. The outlook was upgraded from stable to positive.
During the third quarter of 2015, Fitch initiated a rating coverage on IFC and its P&C subsidiaries and assigned a long-term issuer
credit rating of ‘A-’ to IFC and an insurance financial strength rating of ‘AA-’ to its principal P&C subsidiaries with a stable outlook.
A.M. Best and DBRS have maintained their respective ratings for long-term issuer and credit financial strength.
Table 25 – Credit ratings
Long-term issuer credit ratings of IFC
Financial strength ratings of IFC’s principal P&C subsidiaries
A. M. Best
DBRS
Moody’s
Fitch
aA+
A (low)
n/a
Baa1
A1
AAA-
Page 21 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
9.3
Cash flows
Table 26 – Selected cash inflows (outflows)
Operating activities
Investing activities
Financing activities
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
Add back:
Purchase of investments net of proceeds from
sales
Cash flow available for investment activities
1
Selected inflows (outflows)
Operating activities
Income taxes received (paid), net
Contributions to the pension plans
Investing activities
Purchase of investments net of proceeds from
sales
Business combinations, net of cash acquired
Purchases of brokerages and books of business,
net of sales
Purchases of intangibles and P&E, net
Financing activities
Dividends
Share-based payments
1
Q3-2015
Q3-2014
Change
YTD 2015
YTD 2014
Change
419
(320)
(75)
647
(725)
(69)
(228)
405
(6)
649
(311)
(242)
1,112
(930)
(229)
(463)
619
(13)
24
(147)
171
96
(47)
143
292
669
(377)
(3)
685
(688)
316
522
(206)
93
638
(545)
(67)
(15)
161
(9)
(228)
(6)
(248)
(35)
261
(49)
(509)
14
(292)
1
(669)
-
377
1
3
(187)
(685)
(13)
688
(174)
(12)
(17)
(36)
(20)
24
3
(70)
(57)
(161)
(71)
91
14
(75)
-
(69)
-
(6)
-
(225)
(17)
(206)
(23)
(19)
6
A non-IFRS financial measure which includes net cash flows from cash and cash equivalents and the investment portfolio.
Cash flow available for investment activities decreased by $206 million and $545 million for the three- and nine-month periods
compared to the same periods last year. The decrease mainly reflects higher income tax paid.
We consider that we have sufficient capital resources, cash flows from operating activities and borrowing capacity to support our
current and anticipated activities, scheduled principal and interest payments on our outstanding debt, the payment of dividends and
other expected financial requirements in the near term.
Page 22 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 10 – Capital management
10.1
Capital management objectives
Our objectives when managing capital consist of:
 ensuring policyholders are well protected while maintaining strong regulatory capital levels (see Regulatory capital section
below); and
 maximizing long-term shareholder value by optimizing capital used to operate and grow the Company.
We seek to maintain adequate excess capital levels to ensure the probability of breaching the regulatory minimum requirements is
very low. Such levels may vary over time depending on our evaluation of risks and their potential impact on capital. For example,
during periods of high volatility in capital markets, we typically maintain higher capital levels to absorb fluctuations in asset prices.
We also keep higher levels of excess capital when we foresee growth or actionable opportunities in the near term. Furthermore, we
intend to return excess capital to shareholders through annual dividend increases and, when excess capital levels permit, through
share buy-backs.
Regulatory capital
We manage regulatory capital on an aggregate basis, as well as individually for each regulated entity. Our federally chartered P&C
insurance subsidiaries are subject to the regulatory capital requirements defined by OSFI and the Insurance Companies Act, while
our Québec provincially chartered subsidiaries are subject to the requirements of the AMF and the Act respecting insurance.
Federal and Québec-regulated P&C insurers are required, at a minimum, to maintain a MCT ratio of 100%. OSFI and the AMF have
also established an industry-wide supervisory target capital ratio of 150%, which provides a cushion above the minimum
requirement. To ensure that there is minimal risk of breaching the supervisory target, we have established a higher internal
threshold in our principal insurance subsidiaries in excess of which, under normal circumstances, we will maintain our capital.
Total capital available and total capital required represent amounts applicable to our P&C insurance subsidiaries and are
determined in accordance with prescribed OSFI and AMF rules. Total capital available mostly represents total shareholders’ equity
less specific deductions for disallowed assets including goodwill and intangible assets, net of related deferred tax liabilities. Total
capital required is calculated by classifying assets and liabilities into categories and applying prescribed risk factors to each
category. It is further increased by an operational risk margin, based on the overall riskiness of a P&C insurer (its capital required)
and its premium volume. Capital required is then reduced by a credit for diversification between investment risk and insurance risk.
MCT Guidelines
MCT guidelines change from time to time and may impact our capital levels. We carefully monitor all changes, actual or proposed.
On July 22, 2015, OSFI issued a draft 2016 MCT Guideline, which proposes amendments to regulatory capital requirements,
beginning January 1, 2016. The most significant changes proposed are the addition of capital requirements for equity derivatives
and equity instruments held short, as well as the recognition of equity hedging strategies. We estimate a positive impact on our
MCT from the 2016 changes, but we await publication of the final guideline and implementation rules to finalize our assessment.
Page 23 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
10.2
Capital position
The following table presents the estimated aggregate capital position of our P&C insurance subsidiaries.
Table 27 – Aggregate MCT
As at
Total capital available
Total capital required
MCT %
Excess capital at 100%
Excess capital at 150%
Excess capital at 170%
September 30,
2015
June 30,
2015
December 31,
2014
3,687
1,893
195%
1,794
848
469
3,819
1,912
200%
1,907
951
569
3,933
1,878
209%
2,055
1,116
740
Our aggregate MCT level as at September 30, 2015 was strong at an estimated 195%, down by 5 points from June 30, 2015 due to
weak preferred share and common share markets. The 14 points decline from December 31, 2014 was driven by the funding of CDI
exclusively with excess capital and the volatility in capital markets, partially offset by the positive impact of the 2015 MCT guidelines
phase-in, which as expected, benefits MCT by approximately 6 points in the first nine months of 2015.
As at September 30, 2015, our P&C insurance subsidiaries remained well capitalized on an individual basis and were in compliance
with regulatory requirements, and were above internal thresholds.
Including net liquid assets outside of the P&C insurance subsidiaries, our total estimated excess capital over an MCT of 170% was
$389 million at September 30, 2015. The decrease of $292 million versus December 31, 2014 is mainly driven by the funding of the
CDI acquisition and the volatility in the capital markets .
10.3
MCT sensitivity
The MCT is impacted by many factors including changes in equity market performance, interest rates and underwriting profitability.
Based on our estimated aggregate MCT of 195% as at September 30, 2015, the following table sets out the estimated immediate
impact or sensitivity of our MCT ratio to certain sudden but independent changes in interest rates, equity markets and the U.S.
dollar. Actual results can differ materially from these estimates for a variety of reasons and therefore, these sensitivities should be
considered as directional estimates.
Table 28 – MCT sensitivity
3
MCT
Interest
rates
1% increase1
Common
share prices
10% decline2
Preferred
share prices
5% decline
U.S. dollar
10% decline
(4) pts
(2) pts
(2) pts
(1) pts
1
The yield curve experiences an instantaneous parallel shift.
2
A shock of 10% is applied to all common shareholdings, net of any equity hedges that we may have.
3
Capital sensitivities are calculated independently for each risk factor and assume that all other risk variables remain constant. No management
action is considered.
Page 24 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 11 – Risk management
11.1
Risk management structure
We have not significantly changed our risk management strategy as presented in our 2014 annual MD&A.
11.2
Estimated impact of changes in interest rates and equity prices
The result of the mark to market of the written call option liabilities embedded in our redeemable preferred shares and the marking
to market of our AFS fixed-income securities is impacted by many factors including changes in interest rates and equity markets.
The following tables set out the estimated immediate impact or sensitivity of net income and OCI to certain sudden but independent
changes in interest rates and equity markets. Actual results can differ materially from these estimates for a variety of reasons and,
therefore, these sensitivities should be considered as directional estimates.
Table 29 – Sensitivity to interest rates and equity markets
Interest rates 100 basis-point
increase
decrease
Net income
OCI
1
5
(154)
(5)
154
increase
Equity markets1
decline
(5)
155
(9)
(141)
A shock of 10% is applied to all common shareholdings, net of any equity hedges that we may have. In addition, a shock of approximately 5% is
applied to all preferred shares.
The above-mentioned impacts are approximately linearly related to the change in interest rates and equity markets. These
sensitivity analyses were prepared using key assumptions as described below:
 securities in our portfolio are not impaired;
 interest rates and equity prices move independently;
 shifts in the yield curve are parallel;
 credit, liquidity and basis risks have not been considered;
 impact on our pension plans is not included;
 for our FVTPL fixed-income securities, the estimated impact on net income is assumed to be offset by the impact on MYA on
underwriting. In addition, it is important to note that unrealized gain and loss position on AFS securities recorded in AOCI may
at some point in the future be realized either through a sale or impairment; and
 risk reduction measures perform as expected, with no material basis risk and no counterparty defaults.
Section 12 – Off-balance sheet arrangements
12.1
Securities lending
We participate in a securities lending program to generate fee income. This program is managed by our custodian, a major
Canadian financial institution, whereby we lend securities we own to other financial institutions to allow them to meet their delivery
commitments. We loaned securities with a fair value of $1.8 billion as at September 30, 2015 ($1.6 billion as at
December 31, 2014), which are reported as Investments in the accompanying interim Consolidated financial statements.
Collateral, mainly consisting of government securities, is provided by the counterparty and held in trust by the custodian for our
benefit until the underlying security has been returned to us. The collateral cannot be sold or re-pledged externally by us, unless the
counterparty defaults on its financial obligations. Additional collateral is obtained or refunded on a daily basis as the market value of
the underlying loaned securities fluctuates. The collateral amounted to $1.9 billion as at September 30, 2015 ($1.7 billion as at
December 31, 2014), approximately 105% of the fair value of loaned securities as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
Page 25 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 13 – Accounting and disclosure matters
13.1
Significant accounting estimates and assumptions
The key estimates and assumptions that have a significant risk of causing a material adjustment to the carrying value of certain
assets and liabilities are described in our MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2014.
13.2
Disclosure controls and procedures
We are committed to providing timely, accurate and balanced disclosure of all material information about the Company and to
providing fair and equal access to such information. Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining our disclosure
controls and procedures to ensure that information used internally and disclosed externally is complete and reliable. Due to the
inherent limitations in all control systems, an evaluation of controls can provide only reasonable, not absolute assurance, that all
control issues and instances of fraud or error, if any, within the Company have been detected. We continue to evolve and enhance
our system of controls and procedures.
Management, at the direction and under the supervision of the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer of the
Company, has evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures. The evaluation was conducted in accordance
with the requirements of National Instrument 52-109 – Certification of Disclosure in Issuer’s Annual and Interim Filings (“National
Instrument 52-109”) of the Canadian Securities Administrators. This evaluation confirmed, subject to the inherent limitations noted
above, the effectiveness of the design of disclosure controls and procedures as at September 30, 2015. Management can therefore
provide reasonable assurance that material information relating to the Company and its subsidiaries is reported to it on a timely
basis so that it may provide investors with complete and reliable information.
13.3
Internal controls over financial reporting
Management has designed and is responsible for maintaining adequate internal controls over financial reporting (“ICFR”) to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes
in accordance with IFRS.
Following the acquisition of CDI on May 1, 2015, management has limited the scope of design of our disclosure controls and
procedures and ICFR reporting to exclude the controls, policies and procedures of CDI. CDI’s contribution to our Interim
Consolidated financial statements for the quarter ended September 30, 2015 was 2% of DPW. Additionally, as at
September 30, 2015, CDI’s contribution to our consolidated total assets and total liabilities were both approximately 1%.
Management is committed to removing this limitation within the timeframe permitted by regulation.
Management has evaluated the design effectiveness of its ICFR (as defined in National Instrument 52-109). The evaluation was
based on the criteria established in the "Internal Control-Integrated Framework" issued by the Committee of Sponsoring
Organizations of the Treadway Commission (“COSO”). This evaluation was performed by the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief
Financial Officer of the Company with the assistance of other Company Management and staff to the extent deemed necessary.
Based on this evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer concluded that the ICFR were appropriately
designed as at September 30, 2015.
In spite of its evaluation, Management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can
only provide reasonable assurance and not absolute assurance of achieving the desired control objectives.
No significant changes were made to our ongoing ICFR during the third quarter of 2015 that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect our ICFR.
Page 26 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 14 – Investor information
14.1
Authorized share capital
Our authorized share capital consists of an unlimited number of common shares and Class A shares.
14.2
Outstanding share data
The following table presents the outstanding share data as at November 3, 2015.
Table 30 – Outstanding share data
(number of shares)
Common shares
Class A
Series 1 Preferred shares
Series 3 Preferred shares
131,543,134
10,000,000
10,000,000
Refer to our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2014 for more detailed information on the rights of
shareholders.
14.3
Dividends declared on common shares and preferred shares
The following table presents the total dividends declared on each class of shares for the three-month period ended
September 30, 2015.
Table 31 – Dividends declared per share
(in dollars)
Common shares
Class A
Series 1 Preferred shares
Series 3 Preferred shares
14.4
0.53
0.2625
0.2625
Expected issuance dates of our financial results
The expected issuance dates of our financial results for the next 12 months are as follows:
Year-end results, for the period ending December 31, 2015
First quarter results, for the period ending March 31, 2016
Second quarter results, for the period ending June 30, 2016
Third quarter results, for the period ending September 30, 2016
February 10, 2016
May 4, 2016
July 27, 2016
November 2, 2016
Page 27 of 28
Intact Financial Corporation
Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the third quarter of 2015
(in millions of dollars, except as otherwise noted)
Section 15 – Selected quarterly information
Table 32 – Selected quarterly information
DPW
DPW (underlying)
Written insured risks (in thousands)
Total revenues
Net premiums earned
Current year catastrophe losses
Favourable prior year claims
development
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
Net investment income
NOI
Net income
Per share measures, basic and
diluted (in dollars)
NOIPS
EPS
Q3
Q2
2015
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
2014
Q1
2013
Q4
2,092
2,095
2,021
2,003
1,930
81
2,346
2,344
2,259
1,975
1,865
22
1,572
1,575
1,459
2,027
1,792
11
1,760
1,775
1,595
1,964
1,830
10
1,913
1,941
1,881
1,989
1,826
125
2,173
2,212
2,142
1,984
1,801
33
1,503
1,533
1,444
1,978
1,750
75
1,702
1,729
1,589
1,897
1,804
55
(107)
131
93.2%
105
199
131
(106)
158
91.6%
104
210
199
(189)
118
93.4%
105
186
178
(78)
216
88.2%
111
247
205
(80)
124
93.2%
106
185
202
(65)
128
92.9%
105
206
215
(141)
51
97.1%
105
129
160
(66)
67
96.3%
104
143
107
1.47
0.95
1.56
1.47
1.37
1.32
1.84
1.52
1.37
1.49
1.53
1.60
0.94
1.17
1.05
0.77
See discussion on seasonality of the business in Section 6 – Business developments and operating environment.
Page 28 of 28