2121 K Street NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20037 www.nrmp.org Email: [email protected] Toll Free: (866) 653-NRMP Phone: (202) 400-2233 Impact of Length of Rank Order List on Match Results: 2002-2016 Main Residency Match The NRMP collects data on the relationship between the average length of the rank order lists (ROL) of Matched applicants and filled programs vs. the average length of rank order lists of unmatched applicants and unfilled programs. The data show that matched applicants and filled programs consistently have longer ROLs than unmatched applicants and unfilled programs. Program Data1 Over the period for which data are reported, the average number of ranks per position for unfilled programs is between 37-52% less than that for filled programs. Year Filled Programs Number and % Filled 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2,747 2,748 2,936 3,005 3,159 3,360 3,410 3,601 3,614 3,660 3,767 4,029 4,041 4,093 4,191 (74.3%) (74.5%) (78.7%) (79.4%) (81.8%) (84.1%) (84.4%) (87.3%) (87.3%) (87.1%) (85.9%) (87.9%) (86.1%) (86.8%) (87.2%) Unfilled Programs Average Average Length Ranks per of ROL Position 54.75 55.04 55.61 55.66 55.85 56.8 57.66 58.94 61.78 63.35 64.27 68.12 68.88 70.72 71.93 9.24 9.32 9.40 9.35 9.74 9.96 10.04 10.52 11.11 11.33 11.52 11.11 11.52 11.64 11.99 Number and % Unfilled 950 942 796 779 702 635 628 526 528 542 619 555 654 623 613 (25.7%) (25.5%) (21.3%) (20.6%) (18.2%) (15.9%) (15.6%) (12.7%) (12.7%) (12.9%) (14.1%) (12.1%) (13.9%) (13.2%) (12.8%) Average Length of ROL 26.94 30.24 27.93 26.63 25.31 25.23 29.5 27.56 27.68 32.51 30.52 27.31 32.42 34.38 36.01 Average Ranks per Position 5.03 4.89 4.85 4.90 4.65 4.97 5.37 5.68 5.64 6.28 6.63 6.56 7.28 7.13 7.54 Applicant Data 2 Year Matched Applicants Number and % Average Length Matched of ROLs 17,986 (80.4%) 7.46 18,382 (80.5%) 7.45 18,808 (78.5%) 7.44 19,234 (79.7%) 7.65 19,484 (76.4%) 7.81 20,042 (75.1%) 8.23 20,167 (74.0%) 8.52 20,458 (72.3%) 8.74 20,797 (71.9%) 9.25 21,363 (73.7%) 9.53 21,745 (73.5%) 9.75 24,186 (74.5%) 9.81 24,660 (76.1%) 10.30 24,918 (75.9%) 10.41 25,481 (76.3%) 10.60 Unmatched Applicants Number and % Average Length Unmatched of ROLs 4.387 (19.6%) 4.14 4,443 (19.5%) 4.46 5,156 (21.5%) 4.40 4,901 (20.3%) 4.48 6,011 (23.6%) 4.51 6,660 (24.9%) 4.64 7,094 (26.0%) 4.32 7,854 (27.7%) 4.46 8,130 (28.1%) 4.50 7,608 (26.3%) 4.38 7,855 (26.5%) 4.69 8,299 (25.5%) 4.58 7,760 (23.9%) 4.71 7,913 (24.1%) 4.78 7,903 (23.7%) 4.66 Matched Applicants Number and % Average Length Matched of ROLs 12,281 (95.6%) 7.96 12,692 (94.7%) 7.97 12,731 (93.8%) 7.99 12,975 (94.7%) 8.25 13,285 (94.7%) 8.40 13,486 (94.7%) 8.90 13,406 (95.0%) 9.26 13,560 (94.0%) 9.59 13,920 (94.0%) 10.17 14,466 (94.7%) 10.55 14,477 (95.6%) 10.93 15,099 (94.2%) 11.04 15,117 (95.0%) 11.68 15,512 (94.3%) 11.72 15,714 (94.3%) 11.97 Unmatched Applicants Number and % Average Length Matched of ROLs 587 (4.4%) 4.62 710 (5.3%) 5.02 843 (6.2%) 5.34 726 (5.3%) 5.29 748 (5.3%) 5.26 756 (5.3%) 5.62 699 (5.0%) 5.63 858 (6.0%) 6.27 896 (6.0%) 6.83 817 (5.3%) 6.36 670 (4.4%) 6.52 929 (5.8%) 6.58 796 (5.0%) 6.80 940 (5.7%) 7.15 950 (5.7%) 7.11 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 US Seniors Data 2 Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Page 2 of 3 U.S. seniors consistently have the highest Match rate and the longest average ROLs. Although there are small year-to-year variations, about 94% of U.S. seniors match each year. The data do not take into account a number of other factors that influence the Match rate of applicants and the fill rate of programs. Those factors include competitiveness of the applicant, competitiveness of the program, competitiveness of the specialty and number of interviews completed. Both applicants and programs are well advised to include all acceptable choices on their rank order lists. A longer ROL in no way affects the chances of being matched to choices higher on the ROL. 1. Data on programs are based on the number of positions offered. Any programs with one or more positions unfilled after The Match, regardless of the number of positions filled, is included in the unfilled program data. Programs that donated unfilled positions to other programs through reversions are considered unfilled, while data on programs that received reverted positions in the Match are based on the original quota. 2. The data are based only on applicants' primary rank order lists and do not include couples. Updated 04/28/2016 Page 3 of 3
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