A STATE OF AFFAIRS THE NETHERLANDS OFFICE MARKET OFFICE TAKE-UP MARCH 2017 OFFICE SUPPLY OFFICE RENTS OFFICE INVESTMENTS The Dutch office market undeniably thrived last year, after cautious recovery in 2015. More offices were sold and let out, but also vacancy levels dropped for the second year in a row. A better demand-supply ratio was sensed most strongly in the Randstad area, serving the Netherlands’ four largest cities in particular. Interestingly enough, rents did not change quite significantly in the Netherlands. Generally speaking, they remained steady in 2016. The recovery of demand and supply levels was by no means the only positive development that presented itself last year. The number of office investments skyrocketing was yet another boost. NVM BUSINESS THE NETHERLANDS OFFICE MARKET OFFICE TAKE-UP As economy continued to pick up in the Netherlands, demand TAKE-UP OF OFFICE SPACE ACCORDING TO BUILDING TYPE for Dutch offices intensified in 2016. As a result, approximately 1.16 million m² were let out or sold on the open market, 1,600,000 excluding owner-occupier premises. And because quality criteria 1,400,000 changed, more companies decided to exchange their existing 1,200,000 premises for high-quality alternatives, usually combined with 1,000,000 good public transport accessibility and more facilities. Total 800,000 office take-up climbed, but so did the number of lease and sales transactions. Furthermore, several major transactions were realised in 2016; this too contributed to higher take-up levels. For instance, Booking.com purchased an office building yet to be Source: NVM m2 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 constructed, covering as many as 62,000 m² at the very heart 2007 2008 2009 2010 of the city of Amsterdam. Because of sizeable transactions such 2011 2012 new development as these, more new offices were taken up last year compared 2013 2014 2015 2016 existing buildings to 2015. But still, demand was strongest as far as existing office space was involved. Despite a positive office market in general, geographically speaking opposing tendencies were undeniably visible. One TAKE-UP OF OFFICE SPACE BY REGION 2016 interesting detail was that particularly the northern provinces of the Netherlands faced diminishing demand, the opposite being the case in the Randstad area, the city of Amsterdam claiming a key role. Office take-up in the Dutch capital increased by 70% to 383,000 m². Also more lease transactions were signed in TAKE-UP OF OFFICE SPACE BY SIZE CATEGORY 2016 Source: NVM 12 % 16 % 5% Source: NVM 10 % 33% 15 % 5% 11 % 8% the city of Utrecht compared to last year. The Hague, however, could not but settle for modest take-up rates, even below those 4% 10 % of 2015. Lower take-up levels in this city followed from the 6% authorities’ poor demand and the almost non-existence of major 9% 25 % 23 % 8% Amsterdam West South other 200–499 m2 2,500–4,999 m2 The Hague Central other Netherlands’ four largest cities in the first place, the Randstad 500–999 m2 5,000–9,999 m2 Rotterdam North East 1,000–2,499 m2 10,000 m2 and more conurbations represented about 80% of total transaction volumes. Utrecht West North other East South lease transactions. As demand for office space involved the Outside the Randstad, a mixed picture presented itself. As mentioned previously, demand in the three northern provinces has been something of a let-down. What’s more, Zwolle suffered a serious loss; demand was also very poor in Nijmegen. The large cities in southern parts of the Netherlands were doing much better. More offices exchanged occupiers in Tilburg and Breda TAKE-UP OF OFFICE SPACE BY REGION 600,000 as well as Den Bosch. As for Tilburg, the city benefited from 500,000 the municipality’s decision to temporarily rent office space in a 400,000 building previously home to insurance company VGZ. Source: NVM m2 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2007 2008 West North 2009 2010 West South 2011 Central 2012 2013 North East 2014 2015 East 2016 South OFFICE SUPPLY Stronger demand for office space was not the only factor pushing SUPPLY OF OFFICE SPACE ACCORDING TO BUILDING TYPE the market in a positive direction in 2016 Supply levels dropped significantly, as approximately 7.75 million m² were available for 9,000,000 rent or sale at year-end 2016, that is 15.9% of total office stock 8,000,000 in the Netherlands. To compare, approximately 8.47 million m² 7,000,000 were available in 2015, equivalent to a 17.1% vacancy rate. 6,000,000 Not only did total supply drop, but also the number of offices 5,000,000 that have been available for a long time went down in 2016 4,000,000 (4.4 to 4.2 million m²). Supply levels dropped as demand 3,000,000 intensified but mainly because quite a number of buildings had been withdrawn from stock (approx. 1.08 million m²). Three- Source: NVM m2 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 quarters involved vacant offices being transformed into homes; 2007 2008 2009 2010 224,000 m² were taken down. Most of these offices were 2011 2012 new developments old. Especially in Randstad, where the alarming lack of homes 2013 2014 2015 2016 existing buildings for rent or sale persisted last year, more residential space was provided at former office buildings. Interestingly, transformations have taken place in areas that had been excluded so far (e.g. industrial sites). In Weesp, an industrial site office building has been converted into homes. The same happened in The Hague SUPPLY OF OFFICE SPACE BY REGION 2016 and Nijmegen. The most eye-catching drop in supply presented itself in Source: NVM 10 % 14 % 14 % Source: NVM 10 % 6% 8% 8% Amsterdam, Amstelveen, Breda, The Hague, Dordrecht, Eindhoven, Hoofddorp and Rotterdam. Amsterdam’s city centre SUPPLY OF OFFICE SPACE BY SIZE CATEGORY 2016 20 % 10 % 30 % 5% and the western garden cities benefited the most. When it comes to the city centre, decline was substantial to such an extent real estate agents even claimed a lack of office space was a fact. 9% 15 % 15 % Another interesting detail is that supply levels hardly changed in the popular South Axis business district, even though much more space had been taken up. One of the reasons has been the speculative construction of offices. Also quite a number of Dutch municipalities faced an increase in vacancy levels in 2016, 26 % Amsterdam West South other The Hague Central other Rotterdam North East Utrecht West North other East South Roosendaal. In Groningen, Essent’s building was abandoned NVM Business expects vacancy rates to continue to drop in 2017, SUPPLY OF OFFICE SPACE BY AGE 2016 transforming or tearing down many old offices. The obligation to Source: NVM 1% 1% make sure that by 2023 all office buildings must have at least energy label C, is pivotal. The bottom end of the market will 7% 19 % suffer the consequences the most, as the costs required to make buildings sustainable cannot be covered by pushing up rents. 72 % 0–2 years 13–17 years 3–7 years 18 18 years and older 8–12 years 5,000–9,999 m2 1,000–2,499 m2 10,000 m2 and more 2,500–4,999 m2 like Arnhem, Gorinchem, Groningen, Meppel, Roermond and after discontinuing business activities. 500–999 m2 OFFICE RENTS Despite better demand for office space, and even though AVERAGE RENTS OF OFFICE SPACE supply levels dropped, rents hardly climbed if at all in most Source: NVM ⁄ m² places. Also average office rents remained at approximately € 190 130 per m². One of the few exceptions in general presented 180 itself in Amsterdam where rents did go up in districts like the 170 city centre and the South Axis (+ 5% and 10% respectively). 160 Nevertheless, the average rent level in the Dutch capital hardly 150 changed last year. Steadiness was also reported by the city 140 of Utrecht. Average rents, however, did drop in The Hague, 130 maintaining the trend of previous years. A modest decline was 120 also experienced by the city of Rotterdam. And as far as the 110 other regions are involved, average rents were under even 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 more pressure particularly in eastern and southern parts of 2011 2012 new developments the Netherlands. Just like 2015, investors provided incentives, 2013 2014 2015 2016 existing buildings which slightly interfered with a true understanding of pricing. The availability of reliable information on rents realised was yet another problem. Many office space suppliers were very reluctant to share details. AVERAGE RENTS OF OFFICE SPACE BY REGION Source: NVM ⁄ m² 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 2007 2008 West North other 2009 2010 2011 West South other 2012 2013 Central other 2014 North East 2015 East AVERAGE RENTS OF OFFICE SPACE 2016 South Source: NVM ⁄ m² 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 2007 2008 Amsterdam 2009 2010 2011 The Hague 2012 2013 Rotterdam 2014 2015 2016 Utrecht NVM BUSINESS THE NETHERLANDS OFFICE MARKET OFFICE INVESTMENTS The positive mood on the office market was also incepted by OFFICE INVESTMENTS ACCORDING TO BUILDING TYPE the fact that in 2016, a lot more office investments were made compared to the previous year. Investors’ intensifying demand 9,000 for offices was to a great extent fed by low interest rates and 8,000 the widespread availability of capital. Based on existing sales 7,000 data, and without taking share transactions and funding into 6,000 consideration, last year investors spent almost € 4 billion on 5,000 office buildings. In 2015, investments in this segment of the 4,000 commercial building market amounted to approximately 3,000 € 3 billion. In 2016, offices made a significant investment category, as 60% of total volumes invested in commercial Source: NVM x miljoen 2,000 1,000 0 property involved office buildings. 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 new development Geographically speaking, most investments were made 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 existing buildings in Randstad offices. The three western provinces together represented approximately 85% of the total amount investors spent on offices last year. And just like in previous years, the city of Amsterdam played a key role, as investors were spending about € 1.6 billion on offices most of which are located in the OFFICE INVESTMENTS BY REGION 2016 city centre, Southeast and South Axis. Out of the Netherlands’ 3 %2 % 3% 6% four largest cities, Rotterdam too was able to attract investors’ attention, selling its prestigious building known as De Rotterdam Source: NVM 3% 3% Different city centre buildings exchanged owners as well. Source: NVM 8% 42% 6% on Kop van Zuid, taking investments volumes to the next level. OFFICE INVESTMENTS BY SIZE CATEGORY 2016 20 % 11 % 69 % In line with previous years, international investors were the 15 % most active buyers, although Dutch investors were also fairly visible. A Dutch insurance company purchased a substantial 9% Amsterdam West South other 1,000–2,499 m2 5,000–9,999 m2 The Hague Central other Interestingly, most investors were particularly interested in slightly 2,500–4,999 m2 10,000 m2 and more Rotterdam North East bigger office buildings starting at 10,000 m². Utrecht West North other East South office portfolio mainly with buildings close to railway stations. Investors’ stronger demand for offices allowed prices to climb in 2016, with Randstad’s best locations benefiting the most. As initial yields dropped, prices at these locations increased by nearly 25%. Office prices also skyrocketed outside the Randstad area. But just like in 2015, offices at less popular locations came with serious discounts to be able to welcome AVERAGE GROSS INITIAL YIELDS OF OFFICES 11 new owners. Real estate agents believe yields for Randstad’s 10 premium locations have reached an all-time low, and so prices 9 should climb no further. Bron: NVM % 8 7 6 5 2007 2008 Randstad best locations 2009 2010 Randstad other locations 2011 2012 2013 The Netherlands other best locations 2014 2015 2016 The Netherlands other other locations DEFINITIONS OFFICE RENT A spatial and independent unit used for office The basic rent paid per square metre of lettable floor activities or support activities in the first place. Office area, exclusive of VAT, service charges and lessees’ spaces that are part of industrial buildings, universities specific fitting-out costs. or hospitals are not considered to be offices. GROSS INITIAL YIELD TAKE-UP The gross annual rent upon acquisition as a Lease and sales transactions concluded in the percentage of the total investment. open market. Users who provide for their own accommodation requirements (the so-called owneroccupier development) are not included in the take-up volume. The same applies to sale-and-leaseback agreements as well as contract extensions. NVM registers transactions starting at 200m². SUPPLY Office space immediately available for rent or sale. Supply does not include offices under construction and those yet to be built. Supply includes vacant and developing offices as well as spaces that are still being used but which are soon to be released. Supply is measured in buildings providing at least 500m². COLOPHON March 2017 Composed by Drs. R.L. Bak Data source NVM Data & Research, Nieuwegein Design PROOF the alignment agency Photography MS Fotografie, Rotterdam
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