1 A CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF THE CONSULTATIVE ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: DERBY TIDAL POWER PROJECT DOCTORS CREEK, KIMBERLEY Report to: Derby Residents Action Group P.O. Box 76 Derby, W.A., 6728 Joint report by: V & C Semeniuk Research Group 21 Glenmere Rd., Warwick, W.A., 6024 EnviroEng Consulting P/L 27 Bardwell St., Thornlie, W.A., 6108 Due to the nature of this type of project, and the environmental importance of the terrain into which it was proposed to be emplaced, this project should have been subject to an Environmental Review and Management Programme (ERMP) and not merely a Consultative Environmental Review (CER). The electrical power transmission line aspect alone should have been the subject of a CER. This aspect is important in that the wrong status accorded the project may be the reason for the dearth of significant information provided within the CER by the Proponent. December 1997 2 A CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF THE CONSULTATIVE ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: DERBY TIDAL POWER PROJECT DOCTORS CREEK, KIMBERLEY TABLE OF CONTENTS Summary 1.0 Introduction 2.0 International significance of Doctors Creek 2.1 Macrotidal setting in a global context 2.2 Erosional patterns in a global context 2.3 Tide-dominated deltaic estuarine setting 2.4 The fractal laboratory of Doctors Creek 3.0 Global importance of Doctors Creek mangroves 4.0 Geoheritage significance of Doctors Creek 5.0 Assessment of anticipated environmental impacts 6.0 Critique of CER: an environmental perspective 7.0 Critique of CER: an engineering perspective 8.0 Economic considerations 9.0 References 3 A CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF THE CONSULTATIVE ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: DERBY TIDAL POWER PROJECT DOCTORS CREEK, KIMBERLEY SUMMARY 1. There are five major problems with installing a hydro power station in the Doctors Creek embayment; one of these concerns environmental aspects, and four concern engineering aspects of the project: • the Doctors Creek area is one of International significance as a macrotidal, mangrove-vegetated tidal flat • the ongoing, inexorable erosion will undermine and threaten major civil structures • the La Rance tidal power installation is founded on rock (Considine 1977), not on mud as in Doctors Creek, and so is incomparable structurally and economically with the proposed project • the La Rance installation, while technically a success, has been assessed as uneconomic (Say 1973) • the substrates underlying the proposed infrastructures will probably cause differential settling and failure of the barrages. These points will be amplified below. 2. The terrain into which the power station is proposed to be emplaced by Derby Hydro Power P/L is significant at several levels ranging from International to National to State-wide. Execution of this project at any scale therefore constitutes a major environmental impact and questions the wisdom of continuing with the proposal. 3. The International and heritage significance of Doctors Creek should militate against any development in this area on a priori principles alone. The 4 International and heritage significance of Doctors Creek is related to its setting as a macrotidal tropical semi-arid mangrove coast, its erosional patterns, its tidedominated deltaic estuarine setting, and the fractal laboratory therein. 4. The mangroves of Doctors Creek in particular, and of King Sound in general are globally significant, not because of endemic or restricted species, but because the King Sound area was the first location where coastal erosion was described in detail to provide insight into tidal flat processes and mangrove responses. It stands as a global class-room for mangrove ecology in relationship to macrotidal coastal erosion. Even though most mangroves in Doctors Creek are not rare or unusual species, the occurrence of mangrove assemblages along the eroding banks and headwaters here assume global importance because this embayment represents the extreme end of a spectrum of erosional forms. 5. The aspects of the Doctors Creek system that have geoheritage significance are: the occurrence of the Christine Point Clay at the mouth of Doctors Creek; the relationship of the linear dunes to tidal flats; and the interactions of hinterland freshwater to tidal flat hypersaline water. 6. The mangrove species Bruguiera parviflora in this occurring in this area is at its most southern limit, and given the differences in mangrove biogeography on the east and west coasts of Australia, this is of National significance. 7. The emplacement of a tidal hydropower operation within the embayment of Doctors Creek, as proposed by the Derby Hydro Power P/L thus will have the following impacts: A. destruction of an Internationally significant mangrove and coastal system; B. destruction of Nationally to State-wide significant geoheritage sites; and. C. destruction of the tidal flat to hinterland groundwater interrelationships. 5 8. A critical review of the investigative reports and proposal from an environmental perspective shows that there is : A. B. C. D. E. F. G. lack of assessment of Regional Significance lack of contour maps lack of modelling of mangrove response lack of modelling of hydrodynamics no model of groundwater dynamics an under-estimation of erosion effects an over-simplified estimation of biomass/productivity A number of these deficiencies, in fact, are fatal flaws to the proposal. 9. A critical review of the investigative reports and proposal from an engineering perspective shows the following: A. The shortened service life experienced at La Rance coupled with the problems caused by severe corrosion of all marine structures and equipment along the northwest coast of Western Australia, suggests that the projected equipment service life in this proposal is optimistic. B. The tidal power station at La Rance should not be used in comparison with any proposed structure in the Kimberley because it is located in a predominantly rocky environment (Considine 1977), while that proposed in King Sound is within an eroding estuarine deltaic system of mud and sand with a high sediment load within the water column. C. The aspect that “The double basin scheme has reduced power output at neap tides (2-3 days per fortnight at 12 MW) and supplementary generation is required”, makes the whole project ineffective both in terms of a reliable power supply and of the claimed benefits of scrapping the Derby and Fitzroy Crossing power stations. This factor alone should be considered a valid basis for rejecting the proposal. D. The notion that “Experience would also be gained on understanding and managing the impacts of this type of project on mangroves and the marine environment.” suggests little is known about potential impacts, which should be offset by modelling of impacts such as the effects: 6 • • • on the tidal resonance within King Sound; of altered sedimentation/scouring patterns of the estuary or the planned basins; on the groundwater hydrology which will affect both upwelling of fresh water within the estuary and the fresh/salt water interface upgradient of the proposed project area. E. .A basic calculation of static foundation pressure under the central prism of the barrages suggests a pressure of about 160 kiloPascals (kPa), which exceeds that allowable for soft clays and silts (limited to about 75 kPa) and even for firm clays (75 to 150 kPa). The barrages may therefore sink into the substrate with some consolidation below the barrages and plastic upwelling of mud either side of the barrage, or if the consolidation is not uniform it could potentially induce barrage failure. The heterogeneous nature of the distribution of sand and mud will potentially create foundation problems as well as ‘piping’ erosion from underflow or seepage. This is amplified by DeF. Quinn’s (1961): “The character of the bottom may well be the determining factor in the type of breakwater selected, as it usually difficult, if not impossible, and expensive to prepare a solid foundation on soft material for the support of a wall-type gravity structure.” (Italics added for this report). F. The CER indicates that geotechnical surveys have yet to be undertaken, suggesting that the proposed barrage foundation system (and hence its construction) has yet to be determined. In the absence of such information it is impossible to assess environmental impacts from the construction phase since direct deposition of material, or dredging, or pile driving, or use of cofferdams, all have vastly different implications environmentally. G. The CER gives no indication of: • the proposed foundation system or construction technique to build the barrages; • the storm surge capability of these structures; • how any barrage failures would be rectified; • the type of fill to be used from Point Torment; • specifically where that fill will come from on Point Torment; • the impacts of removing that fill from Point Torment; • the mode of transport and deposition of that fill. 7 This suggests that the CER has been assembled either in haste or on a limited budget - both of which are likely to result in optimistic construction cost estimates. High risk projects of this nature need to be fully studied and analysed prior to consolidating any proposals. H. For the construction of the barrages, the CER fails to indicate: • • • the amount of rock to be removed from Point Torment; the suitability of that rock to endure 120 years of marine assault; the impacts of removing that rock from Point Torment. There is in fact little or no rock at Point Torment, apart from the ferruginised sandstone outcrop at Black Rocks on the eastern shore of King Sound. Black Rock on the eastern shore, and Point Torment itself for that matter, are significant in their own right, and should not be indiscriminately quarried for rock. I. Although the CER gives a safety margin on height for the levees, there is no indication as to their capability to resist lateral thrust from the stored water. J. The CER states: “... and there is also an option ... to develop a new gas fired power station at an industrial estate further out of town”. A 48 Megawatt gas-fired power station would prove cheaper than the proposed hydroelectric station to construct initially, and in view of the potentially high maintenance costs of the hydro station may actually provide cheaper power over its lifetime; a comparative life cycle costing study would resolve this. K. The CER indicates that: “In the event that decommissioning is proposed, a decommissioning plan will be developed which will address the removal of plant and equipment”. This is unacceptable as the timing of such planning would be too late and the proposal does not address the civil structures. For a complex project of this nature being shoe-horned into a sensitive environment, a full decommissioning plan should be developed from the onset to cater for abandonment of the project at any stage. 8 10. The stratigraphic heterogeneity in this area suggests that under conditions of permanent to more prevailing saturation as can be expected in the proposed flooded basins, the basin walls will probably will begin to slump and the heterogeneous nature of the distribution of sand and mud will potentially create foundation problems. 11. Despite all the positive commentary in the CER in relationship to the French installation at La Rance, no data are supplied with respect to the economic viability of the power to be generated at the proposed Doctors Creek site. A project of this nature requires a complete life cycle costing study which identifies all costs including: A. initial design and site investigations; B. construction and its problems, such as failure of the substrate, local material found to be inappropriate for the filling of barrages or levees, oil spills from dredges or service barges, etc.; C. operation and maintenance, including major component servicing or replacement such as sluice gates, turbines, raceway maintenance; D. contingencies for force majeur such as barrage collapse or displacement, power transmission line destruction by cyclone, etc.; E. final decommissioning of the plant at the end of its service life, or if the project should be abandoned at any stage, and commitment to undertake all the restorative work necessary to return the environment to a safe and acceptable condition. The most critical aspect of the power station at La Rance is a reference by Say (1973): “The only large tidal scheme in operation is that on the River Rance in Northern France and this, although technically successful, is hardly economic.” If this is still the case, then the economic benefits of the proposed Derby Hydro Power scheme are seriously cast in doubt. 9 12. Emplacing barrages and levees within this macrotidal setting with the substrates of mud involved is an expensive and logistically difficult and risky task. There is no documented experience of excavating and emplacing such structures on heterogeneous mud and sand substrates in settings with large tides. Often, the full difficulties of working in muddy tidal environments only begin to emerge once the project is underway. In effect, the Derby project will a first attempt globally to attempt such a feat. 13. Finally, the economic benefits of this project cannot be ascertained until the proponent fully explores the costs involved. 10 1.0 Introduction Derby Hydro Power Pty Ltd propose to construct a tidally driven hydro-electric scheme within the Doctors Creek embayment, north of Derby, King Sound (Halpern Glick Maunsell 1997). In support of this proposal, the Derby Hydro Power Pty Ltd prepared a Consultative Environmental Review (CER) dealing with the description, operation, impacts of the proposed project on the natural environment, and the proposed monitoring and environmental management programmes. The Derby Residents Action Group invited the V & C Semeniuk Research Group (VCSRG) to provide commentary on the Consultative Environmental Review document, and evaluate the environmental responsibility of the project, and in turn, VCSRG invited EnviroEng P/L. to participate. There is a threefold thrust to this dissertation: • the International to State-wide significance of the area • the engineering problems associated with this project • critical assessment of the CER document The most critical factor in this appraisal of the proposed project is the International significance of the terrain in question. If the terrain was not significant, then the problems with the project would be infrastructural and operational, and some of these could be circumvented with expensive engineering solutions. However, as will be shown later, the terrain into which the hydropower project is proposed is significant at several levels ranging from International to National to State-wide. Execution of this project at any scale therefore constitutes a major environmental impact and questions the wisdom of continuing with the proposal. The main sections of this critical appraisal are seven-fold: • • • • • • • Section 2: International significance of Doctors Creek Section 3: importance of the mangroves globally Section 4: geoheritage significance of the Doctors Creek system Section 5: assessment of anticipated environmental impacts Section 6: critique of CER: an environmental perspective Section 7: critique of CER: an engineering perspective Section 8: economic considerations 11 2.0 International significance of the Doctors Creek system The International and heritage significance of Doctors Creek inlet should mititate against any development in this area on a priori principles alone. The International and heritage significance of Doctors Creek is related to: • • • • its setting as a macrotidal tropical semi-arid mangrove coast, its erosional patterns, its tide-dominated deltaic estuarine setting, and the fractal laboratory therein. As will be demonstrated below, the Doctors Creek basin represents a once-off globally unique and important system. 2.1 Macrotidal setting in a global context Tides are classified as microtidal if their range is < 2m, mesotidal if their range is 2-4 m, and macrotidal if their range is > 4 m. In this context, the tides of King Sound are macrotidal. All macrotidal systems are significant sites for world heritage (even if they are not recognised as such in their country of residence) because they provide unusual coastal settings and models for ecosystems, geology, and a field laboratory for the study of coastal dynamics and stabilisation. Most of the mangrove ecosystems described in the literature occur in microtidal and mesotidal settings, and so those mangroves in macrotidal settings assume global significance because they occur in an environment where the habitat range, groundwater and tidal processes are amplified by the tidal regime. Microtidal regimes are numerous across the globe (for instance, the well documented systems along the North Sea coast, and the mangrove-vegetated coast of Florida), hence they have provided an abundance of sedimentary and ecological/palaeoecologic models for use in earth-science history in the stratigraphic record. Macrotidal systems are not so abundant, and so any macrotidal system, if it is a sedimentary system provides important Holocene analogs for the stratigraphic record (Allen 1970; Thompson 1968). In this context, it is important to note that each of the macrotidal systems located around the globe, such as King Sound, Mont St Michel, the Bay of Fundy, and Broome, provide a different pattern of sedimentation useful to the interpretation of the ancient stratigraphic record (Ginsburg 1975). 12 In order to assess the global significance of Doctors Creek, a comparison is made of the macrotidal locations around the world with maximum tidal ranges in excess of 10 m. These are ranked below in decreasing order of their tidal range, and it is obvious that the King Sound system, of which Doctors Creek is a part, is ranked within the first nine such sites globally. These macrotidal areas are described briefly in terms of their important characteristics of climate setting, geomorphic setting, occurrence of mangroves, and tidal ranges: Table 1: The ten largest macrotidal systems globally listed in decreasing order of maximum tidal range Location Climate Geomorphic Max. tidal Mangrove setting range ( m) Bay of Fundy Temperate funnel-shaped 15.0 none (Nova Scotia) ria embayment Mont St Temperate complex of 15.0 none Michel funnel-shaped (France) estuaries Severn Temperate funnel-shaped 14.6 none Estuary estuary of the (U.K.) Severn Puerto Temperate funnel-shaped 13.2 none Gallegos estuary of the (Argentina) Gallegos St Helier Temperate channel setting 12.3 none (France) (Coast of Brittany) Bhavnagar Tropical funnel-shaped 12.2 1 species (India) semi-arid estuary of the Sabarmati and the Mahi Yampi Sound Tropical ria coast 10.9 12 species (Australia) subhumid King Sound Tropical funnel-shaped 10.5 11 species (Australia) semi-arid delta-estuary of the Fitzroy Broome Tropical carbonate mud 10.5 12 species (Australia) semi-arid tidal embayment (Australian data from Anonymous 1996; other data from: Admiralty Chart; Allen 1970; Knight & Dalrymple 1975; Lasonneur 1975) 13 Those macrotidal areas, listed in Table 1, that lack mangroves occur in high latitudes, and have samphires in the upper tidal zone. There are also numerous other macrotidal estuaries, deltas and tidal flat systems with tidal ranges in excess of 5 m (but generally less than 8 m) that do not support mangroves (an example being the Colorado River Delta; Thompson 1968) - these are not dealt with further here. Note that the last four systems in the Table 1, i.e., Bhavnagar, Yampi Sound, King Sound, and Broome, are the only macrotidal systems that have mangroves. A comparison of these mangrove-vegetated tidal flats is presented Table 2 below, and a comparison of the mangrove systems of the King Sound, Broome and Yampi Sound area is presented in Table 3. Table 2: Global comparison of macrotidal mangrove coasts Site Large-scale Tidal flat description No of geomorphic mangroves setting Bhavnagar funnel-shaped depositional system; 1 species (India) estuary of the broad salt flats; narrow Sabarmati and shrubby mangroves the Mahi fringing the shore Yampi Sound rocky rocky ria shore system 12 species (Australia) archipelago/ ria coast King Sound funnel-shaped eroding coast; broad 11 species (Australia) delta-estuary of salt flats; various the Fitzroy mangrove formations related to coastal dynamics Broome carbonate mud depositional to 12 species (Australia) tidal erosional coast; broad embayment mangrove formations; saltmarsh inhabiting the high-tidal flats 14 Table 3: Comparison of the mangrove coasts in NW Australia Site Large-scale No of Mangrove species geomorphic mangroves setting Yampi Sound rocky 12 species Aegiceras corniculatum Aegialitis annulata archipelago/ Avicennia marina ria coast Bruguiera exaristata Camptostemon schultzii Ceriops tagal Excoecaria agallocha Lumnitzera racemosa Osbornia octodonta Rhizophora stylosa Sonneratia alba Xylocarpus mekongensis King Sound funnel11 species Aegiceras corniculatum Aegialitis annulata shaped deltaAvicennia marina estuary of the Bruguiera exaristata Fitzroy Bruguiera parviflora Camptostemon schultzii Ceriops tagal Excoecaria agallocha Osbornia octodonta Rhizophora stylosa Xylocarpus mekongensis Broome carbonate 12 species Aegiceras corniculatum Aegialitis annulata mud tidal Avicennia marina embayment Bruguiera exaristata Camptostemon schultzii Ceriops tagal Excoecaria agallocha Lumnitzera racemosa Osbornia octodonta Rhizophora stylosa Sonneratia alba Xylocarpus mekongensis Data from Semeniuk et al 1978, and Semeniuk 1985, 1993 15 Tables 2 and 3 above show that Yampi Sound, King Sound and Broome are the most species-rich mangrove systems for the large macrotidal settings, and that they are broadly comparable in terms of species-richness - thus, they stand as globally significant sites. Yampi Sound, being a rocky ria system, in contrast to the other two mangrove systems, however, is quite depauperate in mangrove habitats, and the high diversity of mangroves there reflects the species-richness of the region, rather than the species-richness of the location. However, while all three areas have the same broad tidal range, they are quite distinct from each other, as will be outlined in the following discussion. In the first instance, each occurs in a different coastal sector, which means that the geomorphic settings, sedimentary regimes, and habitat arrays are incomparable. In terms of mangrove regions (Semeniuk 1993), Yampi Sound occurs in the Kimberly Coast sector, King Sound is in the King Sound sector, and Broome is located in the Canning Coast sector. King Sound represents a coastal type of broad salt flats, incised by ramifying and meandering tidal creeks. The whole of the system is largely in an erosional state, and mangroves colonise habitats formed by the coastal erosional processes (Semeniuk 1980a). Broome, on the other hand, is located in a tidal embayment system, lacking riverine input, and hence it is carbonate-dominated (Semeniuk 1993). Saltmarsh in the upper tidal zone precludes the development of ramifying and meandering tidal creek systems such as developed in King Sound. Yampi Sound, being a rock ria coast system (cf. Semeniuk 1985) lacks the broad development of tidal flats, and as mentioned above, the species there reflect the species-richness of the region - there are no broad tidal flats where the species occurrences are well developed. In this context, therefore, King Sound and Broome are the systems more directly comparable in that they have the same degree of species richness and appropriate well-developed mangrove habitats where the species can find full expression in abundance and extent to develop mangrove-vegetated tidal flats. However, while King Sound and Broome appear to have similar maximum tidal ranges, as determined by the height difference between the highest astronomical tide (HAT) and the lowest astronomical tide (LAT), a comparison of the prevailing mean high tidal spring range (MHWS-MLWS) and mean neap tidal range (MHWN-MLWN) shows that King Sound overall has a higher prevailing tidal range. 16 Table 4: Comparison between King Sound and Broome tidal ranges Site Range Range Range HAT-LAT MHSW-MLWS MHWN-MLWN King Sound 10.5 9.4 4.8 Broome 10.5 8.2 2.1 Thus, King Sound and Broome, with 11 and 12 species of mangrove, respectively, are the most species rich macrotidal mangrove-vegetated tidal flat systems in the world; both have a tidal range in excess of 10 m, but, the substrate type, the geomorphic setting, and the system of tidal creeks for these two areas are wholly incomparable, and the prevailing tidal range also is incomparable. In this context, it is obvious that the King Sound area in its own right is globally significant. Mention also should be made of Cambridge Gulf area in northern Western Australia, a system that is nearest to King Sound in tidal flat features. These two areas have an equivalent estuarine-gulf setting, broad tidal flats, broad salt flats, ramifying and meandering tidal creeks, a comparable climate, and a variety of mangrove species. The Cambridge Gulf system is different from the King Sound area because of the following: the tidal flats are nestled in a rocky range setting; the maximum tidal range is 7.7 m; and there are only 7 species of mangrove From a global perspective, only Bhavnagar, located in the Gulf of Cambay (or Khambhat) in India, also could be viewed superficially as approaching the King Sound situation. However, again, there are significant differences that indicate that the Gulf of Cambay cannot be viewed as a direct equivalent to King Sound. Bhavnagar is located in the driest part of the Indian subcontinent, approximately 22o N (the latitude equivalent to Onslow on the Western Australian coast). These three locations (King Sound, Bhavnagar, and Onslow) are compared in Table 4 below. Table 4: Global perspective of latitudinal setting and the number of mangroves at King Sound, Onslow, and Bhavnagar: Location No of mangrove species o King Sound 17-18 S 11 species o Onslow 22 S 5 species o Bhavnagar 22 N 1 species (+ rare Rhizophoraceae) Interestingly, the Indian Government has recognised the importance of the mangroves in the Gulf of Cambay (De Roy & Thadani 1992) by taking 17 appropriate administrative action in spite of the fact that, generally, mangrove formations of Indian region are heavily exploited for firewood. Many of the other macrotidal systems outside Australia, for instance Mont St Michel, and the Bay of Fundy, also are anthropogenically modified, and in this context, the Doctors Creek system becomes important because it is pristine, and constitutes a macrotidal-flat wilderness, unique globally as being a terrigenous and erosional system with the largest tide for tropical mangrove setting. Within King Sound, the Doctors Creek system is part of the Fitzroy River estuary, a deltaic estuarine environment with a tide-dominated delta. The Doctors Creek basin represents the accumulation of deltaic sediments within a setting where deltaic sedimentation is interacting with an embayed and crenulate coast. It is obvious, therefore, that the Doctors Creek system represents a unique and globally important system. It is located in a setting that has these features: it is a semi-arid macrotidal coast that is species rich in terms of mangroves. Other systems that are also macrotidal to this extent either lack mangroves (Bay of Fundy, St Helier, St Mont Michel, Puerto Galegos, etc.), or are depauperate in mangroves (Bhavnagar). This underpins the global significance of Doctors Creek. 2.2 Erosional patterns in a global context The King Sound area is a net erosional situation (Semeniuk 1980b). There is minor local deposition and accretion (Semeniuk 1982), but the overwhelming and major megascale process is coastal erosion. This is an important feature to note from two points of view: 1. that of considering the area as a global classroom, and laboratory, and field 2. that related to engineering problems stemming from its location in an erosional environment (see Sections 6.0 & 7.0). Aerial photographs spanning 28 years suggest that erosion has been a long-term process (Jennings 1975; Semeniuk 1980b). Stratigraphic evidence leads to a 18 similar conclusion. erosion: Several other features reinforce the conclusions about • nodules under the tidal flats; • the imprint of (supratidal) vegetation roots on the substrate; • dieback of terrestrial vegetation. Firstly, nodules of Mg-calcite, aragonite, dolomite, calcite (or their mixtures) are imbedded in Holocene and Pleistocene formations and are related to unconformities or hypersaline groundwater fields. Nodules precipitated from hypersaline groundwater within Holocene formations can indicate the extent erosion has proceeded. Such nodules, originally formed under Holocene salt flats, are being exhumed along seacliffs and form gravel lags on low-tidal flats. Secondly, extensive areas of salt flat in the shallow sub-surface (1-3 m) are riddled with fine rootlet structures. These structures are unlike the coarse root structures forming under mangrove cover. The modern analogue for fine rootlets can be found under supratidal grassy plains. Such grasses have long since retreated from this area of the now salt flat, but a record of supratidal conditions is present as rootlet structures. Thirdly, aerial photography shows that supratidal grassy plains (and samphire flats) were more extensive in past decades. The vegetation died back as erosion lowered supratidal surfaces to tidal levels. The dieback continues today around residual grassy or samphire hummocks and locally along the edge of the terrestrial shrub of the hinterland. Here, as sheet erosion proceeds, the shrub is eliminated and replaced by samphires and salt flat. The first two overprints (nodules and rootlets) in many localities are now out of their environment and show that (as coastal erosion proceeded) the geomorphic surface passed from supratidal with fresh groundwater, to salt flat with hypersaline groundwater, to the seacliff with oceanic groundwater. The displaced diagenetic features indicate loss of at least several kilometres of coast in the Holocene. 19 The erosional patterns described in King Sound assume global significance because this area presents a model of coastal erosion wherein sheet, tidal creek and cliff erosion singularly, or in combination act to develop coastal landforms (Semeniuk, 1980a,b). The King Sound area was the first location globally where coastal erosion was described in detail to provide insight into tidal flat processes. As such, it stands as a global class-room. In this context, the Doctors Creek embayment represents one end of a spectrum of erosional forms in the system; it represents Erosional Stage No 6 in a system that has at least 6 Stages (Semeniuk 1980b). All of the patterns described above also point to a long term and relentless retreat of the coastal zone, and defy the projected 120-year life expectancy of the proposed project (to be dealt with in Section 7.0). 2.3 Tide-dominated deltaic estuarine setting The importance of King Sound and Doctors Creek in terms of global tidedominated deltaic estuarine settings relates to the tide-dominated nature of its depositional landforms. Delta systems are classified on their form as generated by fluvial vs wave vs tidal processes. Thus, if fluvial processes dominate, then deltas tend to be fluvial-dominated in form (i.e., birdsfoot delta form, or digitate); those in wave agitated settings become wave-dominated deltas (Niger Delta, or the Nile Delta). The importance of a macrotidal range in the development of deltas and estuarine-deltaic systems is that they become tidedominated, rather than wave-dominated (Niger Delta, or the Nile Delta) or fluvial-dominated. In this context, the King Sound system represents a hightidal estuarine delta, and stands as a global example. In contrast, other deltas of the high-tidal type generally have a much lower tidal range (the welldocumented Malaysian high-tide delta, for example, has a tidal range of 4 m (Coleman et al 1970). 2.4 The fractal laboratory of Doctors Creek One of the most important aspects of the King Sound area is the natural fractal laboratory that is embedded in the system. In this area, there is a gradational development of tidal creek systems (Semeniuk 1980b). Creeks begin their history in the crevices of mudcracks and with time they deepen, widen and extend their headwaters to landward, progressively evolving to become large and deep meandering systems. Thus the gradation from small rut to large channel reflects stages of creek development. The array of mud cracks coupled with the tidal flat slope generates the meandering channel which becomes entrenched and remains through all stages of creek growth. Within 10-20 years the ruts develop into small channels: these are flooded only during spring tides 20 and undergo sheet erosion typical of salt flats except that channelled ebbing waters are more erosive. Creeks continue to deepen and widen slowly until the floor reaches a level where sediment remains moist and water-logged. A new process then operates; water-logged banks repeatedly slump, and there is a more rapid widening and deepening of the channels; creek cross-sections then change from a shallow V-shape to a deeper, U-shape. For those tidal creeks that are meandering and ramifying, the small scale patterns reflect the large scale patterns, and the small scale patterns are embedded in and control the development of the larger scale forms. The small scale creek systems, and all intervening creek sizes, could be viewed as miniatures of the larger scale. Thus, there appears to be an underlying fractal pattern to the tidal creek system. This aspect of the fractal nature of the tidal creek erosion contrasts with other tidal systems in the region (e.g., Yampi Sound, and Broome), because of the climatic, sedimentologic, and vegetational setting of the King Sound tidal flats. This fractal property is a powerful and Internationally significant feature of the natural history of the area, which will provide important insights into the processes shaping tidal flat forms. Currently, this subject matter is being explored as a research topic (Semeniuk & Woodroffe in prep). 3.0 Global importance of the Doctors Creek mangroves The mangroves of Doctors Creek in particular, and of King Sound in general are of global significance, as will be discussed below. In general, to assess the global significance of mangroves in a given area, it is necessary to determine the species richness of the region, and the variability of coastal style (habitat setting) where mangroves are located. In order to assess the global significance of mangrove formations specifically in Doctors Creek, the discussion that follows centres on two inter-related aspects: the species pool, and the erosiongenerated habitats. 21 The mangroves of northwestern Australia belong to the Eastern Group (=Old World) of mangroves, centred on the Indian-Pacific Ocean area (Tomlinson 1986), and within this region, they more specifically belong to the IndoMalesian Group that encompasses Pakistan, India, Burma, Malaysia, Indonesia, Celebes, northern Australia and Papua-New Guinea (Chapman 1977). This Indo-Malesian group is the most species-rich region of mangroves world-wide (Chapman 1976). Within this grouping, however, northern Australia is part of the Northern Australian-Papuan sub-group, being less species-rich than some of the other sub-groups but having some species features unique to that region (Chapman 1977). In terms of endemism and restricted species, from a global perspective, Doctors Creek does not support any unusual, endemic, or restricted mangrove species. In fact, all mangrove species here are common and widespread elsewhere, and so in this sense, the species of mangroves here are not globally significant. However, Doctors Creek does provide two aspects of significance. The first is that the mangrove species Bruguiera parviflora occurring here is at its most southern limit, and given the differences in mangrove biogeography on the east and west coasts of Australia, this is of National significance. The second is that the mangroves are related to habitats generated by erosional processes. The erosional patterns in King Sound, mentioned earlier, as they relate to mangroves, is another matter. The relationship of erosion to mangrove patterns assume greater global significance when it becomes apparent that this area presents a model of coastal erosion wherein sheet, tidal creek and cliff erosion singularly, or in concert act to develop mangrove habitats (Semeniuk, 1980a,b). While globally most mangrove areas are viewed to be sites where mangrove habitation is linked to coastal accretion, the King Sound area was the first location where coastal erosion was described in detail to provide insight into tidal flat processes and mangrove responses. As such it stands as a global classroom for mangrove ecology in relationship to macrotidal coastal erosion. In this context, even though the bulk of the mangroves in Doctors Creek are not rare or unusual species, the occurrence of mangrove assemblages along the eroding banks and headwaters here assume global importance because this embayment represents the extreme end of a spectrum of erosional forms. Thus, Doctors Creek represents Stage 6 of a intergradational series of tidal creek forms, noted by Semeniuk (1980b) as Stages 1-6. Erosion of tidal creek systems has nearly gone to completion in the Doctors Creek area, and the mangrove assemblages established there have formed in habitats in a Stage 6 erosional setting. 22 4.0 Geoheritage significance of the Doctors Creek system Geoheritage is a concept which encompasses the diversity of minerals, rocks and fossils, and the features that indicate their origin through time, and it includes landforms and other geomorphologic features that illustrate the effects of present, and past exposure to climate and earth forces (Joyce 1995; Eberhard 1997). There are three aspects of the Doctors Creek system that have geoheritage significance. These are: • stratigraphic type location of the Christine Point Clay • relationship of the linear dunes to tidal flats • interaction of hinterland freshwater with tidal flat hypersaline water The Doctors Creek embayment, towards the mouth of Doctors Creek, is the stratigraphic type section of the location of the Christine Point Clay (Semeniuk 1980c). This formation, in its stratigraphic context of King Sound, is the most southerly occurrence of the sedimentary unit known as the “Big Swamp” complex described by Woodroffe et al (1985). The “Big Swamp” phase of northern Australia records an early Holocene history of rapid sedimentation, with large extensive mangrove forests, and humid climate, unlike anything seen today in the region. Embedded in this stratigraphic unit at Christine Point, therefore, is the history of this part of Australia in terms of sedimentation style, sedimentation rates, mangrove ecology, and climate. Fairbridge (1961) described Quaternary red sand dunes descending beneath the Holocene tidal flat deposits of the Doctors Creek embayment, and thus alerted scientists to the occurrence of this important climatic and stratigraphic relationship. This relationship occurs mostly and is best developed along the western edge of the Doctors Creek embayment. Later, Jennings & Coventry (1973) and Jennings (1975) explored the relationship of these red dunes to the overlying tidal flat deposits, writing a paper on the history of the Holocene transgression into the red sand dune terrain. As such the work became an international classic in coastal stratigraphy. In this context, in the light of the works of Fairbridge (1961), Jennings & Coventry (1973) and Jennings (1975), this area has become known internationally, and is of International geoheritage significance. 23 In the future, this site will continue to be a site of stratigraphic and climatic research, as the basic work carried out by those authors is re-explored, refined, and amplified. It is therefore imperative that the terrain remains accessible as a site of Quaternary research. The third matter relates to the interaction of hinterland freshwater with tidal flat hypersaline water. The configuration of the red sand dunes descending stratigraphically below the tidal flat sediments provides a conduit for freshwater seepage that discharges under the tidal flats. This seepage was detected by Jennings (1975) and by Semeniuk (1980a). Jennings (1975) documented “dune ghosts” outlined by strings of vegetation on the vegetation-free hypersaline tidal flat, where groundwater of lower salinity, resided in the buried dune fingers under the tidal flat. Semeniuk (1980a) documented groundwater hypersalinity diluted by this seepage within buried fingers of dune sand under the tidal flat. These occurrences of sub-tidalflat seepage assume geoheritage significance. 5.0 Assessment of anticipated environmental impacts In the discussions of impacts that follow, the argument concentrates on impacts on the Internationally significant mangroves and the coastal zone, and the geoheritage significance of the area. While note is made here that the Consultative Environmental Review (Halpern Glick Maunsell 1997) did not deal with avifauna and fish, these aspects of the environment are also outside the scope of this critical appraisal of environmental impacts. In their Consultative Environmental Review, Halpern Glick Maunsell (1997) outline the scope of the Derby Hydro Power project in terms of infrastructure, alterations to the environment, operational procedures, and impacts. As mentioned in the Introduction of this report, these descriptions, discussions, and impact assessments presented in the Consultative Environmental Review would be valid if the proposed project was not located in an environmentally significant area. The site selected by Derby Hydro Power Pty Ltd unfortunately does not exist elsewhere along the Australian coast. However, as discussed earlier, the Doctors Creek system is a significant area. It represents an Internationally significant system in terms of mangrove ecology, coastal geomorphology, Quaternary geoheritage, and national site of geoheritage for hinterland groundwater to tidal flat groundwater interactions. In this context, the proposed project will have serious impact on the Doctors Creek area. Thus, the emplacement of a hydropower operation in the Doctors Creek system, as proposed by Derby Hydro Power will result in: 24 1. by calculations of the consultants, destruction of some 1500ha of Internationally significant mangroves; 2. destruction of an Internationally significant geomorphic system, i.e., the tidal flat system and tidal creeks; 3. destruction of International to State-wide significant geoheritage sites; 4. alteration of the tidal flat to hinterland groundwater interactions. The argument developed here is that the Doctors Creek system is essentially a wilderness, and its importance lies in its naturalness as a tidal flat classroom of International grade. Emplacing barrages, altering the tidal system, emplacing retaining levees, inundating the basin artificially, and creating artificial sites for mangrove colonisation seriously degrades the quality of this area. From this perspective, the loss of some 1500ha of mangroves and its replacement by recruitment eventually in other sites created by association with the altered tidal regime and by local sedimentation is unacceptable environmentally, and Point2, above, in the view of the International importance of the area also is environmentally unacceptable. Point 3, the destruction of sites of geoheritage (the type location of the Christine Point Clay, and the relationship of the red sand dunes to the tidal flats) by the construction of the barrage, and the inundation of the high-tidal flats, respectively, must be viewed as environmentally unacceptable. In regards to Point 4, as outlined in an earlier Section, there are interactions of hinterland freshwater with tidal flat hypersaline water through red sand dunes descending stratigraphically below the tidal flat sediments which provide a conduit for freshwater seepage that discharges under the tidal flats.. These occurrences of seepage beneath the tidal flat, located in the buried dune “fingers” under the tidal flat, assume geoheritage (hydrological) significance. Ponds of more permanent saline water located in the upper tidal zone created by the barrage will fundamentally alter the hydrostatics and dynamics of this system, and thus will destroy a site of geoheritage significance. 25 6.0 Critique of investigative reports and proposal: an environmental perspective This Section provides a critique, from an environmental perspective of the investigative reports and the overall proposal, to highlight errors of fact and inadequacies in the studies carried out. The issues are dealt with as follows: 1. lack of assessment of Regional Significance 2. lack of contour maps 3. lack of modelling of mangrove response 4. lack of modelling of hydrodynamics 5. no model of groundwater dynamics 6. an under-estimation of erosion effects 7. an over-simplified estimation of biomass/productivity 6.1 Lack of assessment of Regional Significance One of the most critical problems in the CER in relationship to environmental matters, is in the Appendix dealing with “Mangrove assemblages in Doctors Creek, Derby, their regional significance and the potential impacts of a tidal power station’. While the title of the Appendix foreshadows a treatment of “Regional Significance”, in fact, this subject matter is not dealt with in the report. As noted earlier in this critique of the CER, the mangroves and the tidal flat system in the Doctors Creek area are highly significant, Internationally hence Regionally. 6.2 Lack of a contour map On the second point, there is no map of topographic contours of the tidal flat in the CER. Such a map, perhaps at a contour interval of 0.5 m or 1.0 m, would logically form the foundation to modelling of hydrodynamics of the proposed operation, to the modelling of the areas of inundation, and to the prediction of possible recolonisation of tidal terrain by mangroves. The lack of such a map casts doubt on the scientific validity of the assessments of impacts and the predictions offered in the CER. 6.3 Lack of modelling of mangrove response Critical to interpreting and predicting mangrove response to a very altered hydrodynamic system is development of a model integrating occurrences of mangroves in various hydrodynamic, inundation, tidal settings, and salinity regimes. In order to obtain such a model, there would be need to obtain information on contours, hydrodynamics, mangrove assemblage and mangrove species tolerance to various environmental variants in the Doctors Creek setting, salinity fields, and groundwater to surface water interactions. This would be the most rigorous way to deal with predicting the mangrove responses 26 to the impacts of the proposed project; any treatment short of this is speculation. The actual impacts that would flow on from commissioning a hydro-power station in the Doctors Creek area are too serious to be based on the approach taken in the CER. 6.4 Lack of modelling of hydrodynamics The development of a model integrating tidal dynamics, contours, inundation, tidal settings, and salinity regimes is critical to interpreting and predicting hydrodynamic response to a very altered system. Such a model as proposed here would be the most rigorous way to deal with predicting the hydrodynamic patterns that would form as a result of the altered environment and the newly imposed infrastructures. Again, any treatment short of this is speculative and unacceptable in both scientific and engineering terms. Figure 6.2 in the CER is deficient in this regard. 6.5 Groundwater dynamics There is no description of tidal zone groundwater dynamics, and no treatment of hinterland to tidal flat groundwater interactions. As a result, there really cannot be any predictions made of the impact of a semi-permanent to more-floodedthan-normal saline water body on the natural groundwater system. In many ways, the new system will mimic the effects on local groundwater of saline holding ponds of solar salt lagoons operational in the Pilbara, but the difference here is that this system will be more proximal to the hinterland freshwater body, it will also change the prevailing tidal flat groundwater system nearby, and it is located in a semi-arid environment. Since there has been no study by the proponent of the tidal zone groundwater system, there can be no valid prediction on the effects of the project on the groundwater bodies, and the effects on ecosystems that are sustained/maintained by this groundwater. 6.6 Under-estimation of erosion effects The CER has under-estimated the effects of erosion in this region. As described earlier in this report, and further amplified here, there are a number of features that point to net erosion being the dominant feature in the evolution of the tidal zone: stratigraphy truncated by the geomorphic surface, receding cliffs and headwaters of tidal creeks, residual knolls of supratidal land, relicts after grasslands under the now salt flat, the cheniers and spits making a zone of incision in the dune terrain, and exposed roots of old trees. These are not local scale or short term features. All the evidence from the latter Holocene points to long term erosion. On the other hand, there may be short term deposition, 27 where eroded sediment finds a temporary repository before being overwhelmed by the inexorable net coastal erosion. An example of the engineering implications of this long term erosion is afforded by the former Derby civil airstrip. Semeniuk in the mid 1970’s, after concluding that the tidal flats in the Derby area were undergoing massive, net erosion, alerted the appropriate government agency personnel to the effects of this prevailing erosion on the western extremity of the Derby Airstrip. No action was taken then, probably because a solution was not possible to arrest this erosion. Consequently, however, the airstrip was de-commissioned circa 1992. The implications, as outlined above, are that erosion will affect man-made structures. Superficially, from a consideration of the emplacement of deltaic-estuarine sediment in the Holocene, and the ongoing contribution from the Fitzroy River, it would appear that the tidal flats in King Sound are net accreting. The thesis developed above, from information in Semeniuk (1980a, b,c), is that the area is in fact in a net erosional situation. There is an explanation for this net erosion within an area that once had obviously accreted sediment in the Holocene. In a broader perspective, Jennings (1975) and Semeniuk (1980b) both ascribed a regional climate change in the latter part of the Holocene to account for the change from net deposition to net erosion. Essentially, with a trend to semi-aridity, the sediment budget of the Fitzroy River changed, and the King Sound system became relatively “sediment-starved”. Semeniuk (1995), in a continental scale assessment of climate change in the latter part of the Holocene, related the climatic shift from humid to semi-arid in the King Sound region to the effects of earth-axis precession. In brief, contrary to the intimations of the CER, erosion is a prevailing, ubiquitous, and long term feature of this area. This has implications for the project in terms of stability of civil structures (see later), and potential accelerated erosion patterns resulting from execution of the project. 28 6.7 Estimation of biomass/productivity The estimation of biomass in the CER is speculative. There are no data. Similarly, the estimation of the productivity is extrapolated from other studies elsewhere in Australia. To present conclusions on productivity on mangroves in this area needs data from this area. 7.0 Critique of investigative reports and proposal: an engineering perspective This Section provides a critique from an engineering perspective of the Consultative Environmental Review (CER) and the overall proposal, to highlight errors of fact and inadequacies in the information provided. The issues dealt with below are referenced to the Section notation and heading numbers in the CER, i.e., bold headings refer to the corresponding section in the CER. CER Section 2.1 Overview - paragraphs 2 & 3 These paragraphs refer to the tidal power plant at La Rance in France as having been in operation since 1966, with a 120 year design life and planned equipment replacement at 40 and 80 years. Yet the CER indicates that equipment replacement at La Rance has already begun: 1997 - 1966 = 31 years NOT 40 years as planned (which would be 2006). Electrical connection to the first group of generators was made in August 1966. Final connection of the 24 turbo-alternator sets to the electrical grid occurred in early December 1967 (Considine 1977). Corrosion of all marine structures and equipment along the northwest coast of Western Australia is a major operational problem, and the shortened service life experienced at La Rance is indicative that the projected equipment service life in this proposal is optimistic. In addition, such premature equipment failure creates high maintenance costs and may lead to abandonment of the project should the operator become insolvent. These matters are not adequately addressed within the CER and the proposal should not continue until these matters are fully investigated and an acceptable and satisfactory plan of remedial action developed to accommodate project abandonment at any stage of its life. 29 The tidal power station at La Rance also should not be used in comparison with any proposed structure in the Kimberley for another very important reason. The site at La Rance is founded on a predominantly rocky substrate (Considine 1977), while that proposed in the King Sound area is to be founded on eroding estuarine deltaic deposits of mud and sand with a high load of suspended sediment within the water column. CER Section 2.1 Overview - paragraph 10 Paragraph 10 states: “The double basin scheme has reduced power output at neap tides (2-3 days per fortnight at 12 MW) and supplementary generation is required”. In essence, this makes the whole project ineffective both in terms of a reliable power supply and of the claimed benefits of scrapping the Derby and Fitzroy Crossing power stations. This factor alone should be considered a valid basis for rejecting the proposal. Stations such as La Rance feed into a large, strong electrical network from which it can draw power for pumping or inject whatever power is being generated. In the case proposed for Doctors Creek, the hydro plant will be connected to an electrically weak network and will frequently require bolstering by a diesel or gas-fired power plant. The discussion above suggests that the proposed plant will not provide power at competitive rates, and this brings the viability of the proposed project into question. Additionally, it is not possible to establish the exact nature of load matching or whether peak-lopping may be required, which will also need to draw upon diesel or gas-fired plant because the CER fails to provide: 1. electrical load curves for the market serviced; and 2. power generation curves for the proposed hydro-plant; This is a matter that should be resolved before any further consideration is given to proceeding with the proposal. CER Section 3.3.1 National and Western Australian Benefits - paragraph 2 The CER states: “Experience would also be gained on understanding and managing the impacts of this type of project on mangroves and the marine environment.” This statement suggests very little is known about potential impacts. In brief, to undertake such a project without experience on the environmental outcome is irresponsible. In the absence of any other data, and in absence of consultation with authorities conversant with these matters (such as the RijksWaterstaat in the Netherlands), the following modelling of impacts at least should have been undertaken: 30 1. the tidal resonance within King Sound; 2. altered sedimentation/scouring patterns of the estuary or the planned basins; 3. the groundwater hydrology which will affect both upwelling of fresh water within the estuary and the fresh/salt water interface upgradient of the proposed project area. This predictive modelling should be undertaken prior to any further consideration of the proposal. CER Section 4.1 Alternative Sites Doctors Creek Derby paragraph 3 The stratigraphy of the sedimentary formations underlying the proposed site of the barrage, i.e., the Doctors Creek Formation and the Christine Point Clay, is described in Semeniuk (1980c). This work indicates that there is an extensive thickness of mud and sand interlayered with mud on the estuary floor. A basic calculation of static foundation pressure under the central prism of the barrages (using a low density of 1325 kg/m3 for the fill) suggests a pressure of about 160 kiloPascals (kPa). This pressure exceeds that allowable for soft clays and silts (limited to about 75 kPa) and even for firm clays (75 to 150 kPa) - bearing pressures sourced from Blake (1989). The barrages may therefore sink into the substrate with some consolidation below the barrages and plastic upwelling of estuarine mud either side of the barrage. If the consolidation is not uniform, it could potentially induce barrage failure. This matter is explored further in terms of the stratigraphic heterogeneity below. The many stratigraphic cross-sections in Semeniuk (1980c), in fact, show sedimentary heterogeneity at the scale 1 m - 10 m, so that this aspect is not a trivial one. Semeniuk (1980c) shows not only thick sections of plastic mud, but that it is irregularly interposed with 3-4 m thick sections of interlayered mud and sand, which in turn overlie sand. Under conditions of permanent to more prevailing saturation as can be expected in the proposed flooded basins, the sandy sections probably will slump. A corollary is that the heterogeneous nature of the distribution of sand and mud will potentially create foundation problems as well as ‘piping’ erosion from underflow or seepage (Blake 1989), as is abundantly evident along the daily exposed margins of large sand shoals exposed at low tide. Paragraph 3 indicates that geotechnical surveys have yet to be undertaken, which suggests that the proposed foundation system (and hence its construction) has yet to be determined. In the absence of such information it is impossible to 31 assess environmental impacts from the construction phase since direct deposition of material, or dredging, or pile driving, or use of cofferdams, all have vastly different implications environmentally. This issue should be addressed prior to any further consideration of the proposal. This is amplified by DeF. Quinn’s (1961, p 148) comment (which is equally applicable to barrages and breakwaters in this context): “The character of the bottom may well be the determining factor in the type of breakwater selected, as it usually difficult, if not impossible, and expensive to prepare a solid foundation on soft material for the support of a wall-type gravity structure.” (Italics added for this report). In conjunction with the results of Semeniuk (1980c), this clearly points to major problems in the proposed construction of the barrage in Doctors Creek. CER Section 5.1 Barrages paragraph 1 In this section of the CER, there is no indication of: 1. the proposed foundation system or construction technique to build the barrages; 2. the storm surge capability of these structures; 3. how any barrage failures would be rectified; 4. the type of fill to be used from Point Torment; 5. specifically where that fill will come from on Point Torment; 6. the impacts of removing that fill from Point Torment; 7. the mode of transport and deposition of that fill. This suggests that the CER has been assembled either in haste or on a limited budget - both of which are likely to result in optimistic construction cost estimates leading to an unrealistic project viability and (worse), in executing the construction contracts, contractors will need to ‘cut corners’ to match the work costs to the estimates. This generally leads to unsatisfactory structures which are likely to perform poorly, suffer premature failures, or impose high maintenance costs. High risk projects of this nature need to be fully studied and analysed prior to consolidating any proposals. CER Section 5.1 Barrages paragraph 3 In this section on the constructions of the barrages, there is no indication of: 1. the amount of rock to be removed from Point Torment; 2. the suitability of that rock to endure 120 years of marine assault; 3. the impacts of removing that rock from Point Torment. 32 There is, in fact, little or no rock exposed at Point Torment. There is rock at depth in the Point Torment area, but perhaps the CER meant to refer to Black Rocks, on the eastern shore of King Sound, a location where ferruginised sandstone crops out. At any rate, this eastern shore, and Point Torment itself for that matter, are significant in their own right, and should not be indiscriminately quarried for rock. CER Section 5.2 Levees Although a safety margin on height is given for the levees, there is no indication as to their capability to resist lateral thrust from the stored water. CER Section 5.7 Neap Tide Enhancement paragraph 3 The CER states: “... and there is also an option ... to develop a new gas-fired power station at an industrial estate further out of town”. A 48 Megawatt gas-fired power station would prove cheaper than the proposed hydroelectric station to construct initially, and in view of the potentially high maintenance costs of the hydro plant, may actually provide cheaper power over its lifetime; a comparative life cycle costing study would resolve this and needs to be undertaken prior to any further consideration of this proposal. CER Section 5.11 Decommissioning For a complex project of this nature being imposed onto a sensitive environment, a full decommissioning plan should be developed from the outset to cater for abandonment of the project at any stage. The CER indicates that: “In the event that decommissioning is proposed, a decommissioning plan will be developed which will address the removal of plant and equipment”. This is unacceptable as: 33 1. the timing of such planning would be too late - decommissioning costs can be very high and often are not provided, thus little or no decommissioning may occur due to lack of funds leaving derelict plant, equipment and structures to dissipate naturally (usually unaesthetically on the landscape); 2. the proposal does not address the civil structures (barrages, levees, channels, etc.) for either removal or the environmental impacts of leaving such structures in situ; for example were the proponent to become bankrupt with only half of one barrage constructed, what would be the impacts of leaving such a structure in situ? 8.0 Economic considerations Despite all the positive commentary in the CER in relationship to the French installation at La Rance, no data are supplied with respect to the economic viability of the power to be generated at the proposed Doctors Creek site. A project of this nature requires a complete life cycle costing study which identifies all costs including: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. initial design and site investigations; construction and its problems, such as failure of the substrate, local material found to be inappropriate for the filling of barrages or levees, oil spills from dredges or service barges, etc.; operation and maintenance, including major component servicing or replacement such as sluice gates, turbines, raceway maintenance; contingencies for force majeur such as barrage collapse or displacement, power transmission line destruction by cyclone, etc.; final decommissioning of the plant at the end of its service life, or if the project should be abandoned at any stage, and commitment to all the restorative work necessary to return the environment to a safe and acceptable condition. 34 There is another matter in regard to economic factors, and this is in relationship to the power station at La Rance. Say (1973, p. 6-5) states: “The only large tidal scheme in operation is that on the River Rance in Northern France and this, although technically successful, is hardly economic.” If this is still the case, then the economic benefits of the proposed Derby Hydro Power scheme are seriously cast in doubt. Emplacing barrages and levees within this macrotidal setting on a deep substrates of mud and sand is an expensive and a logistically difficult and risky task. There is no documented experience of excavating and emplacing such structures on such heterogeneous muddy-sandy substrates in settings with such large tides. VCSRG experience elsewhere in Western Australia (e.g., environmental assessment of trenching for emplacing a pipeline though a mangrove area; and assessment of trenching for bridge foundations, amongst others), in settings with similar though a lesser thickness of mud, and with lower tidal ranges, shows that engineers fail to appreciate the difficulties of working muddy macrotidal environments. Often, the full difficulties of working in muddy tidal environments only begin to emerge once the project is underway and the earth-moving machinery is in place, bogged and/or floundering. The reality in this proposed engineering exercise is that the Doctors Creek embayment is macrotidal, with spring tides exceeding 10 m, and with an underlying substrate deep muddy thixotropic sediment. This is an extremely difficult, expensive and risky environment to work in, and not one that can be designed from a desk-top. To re-emphasise an earlier point: there is no experience documented in working in such environments elsewhere, and in effect, the Derby project will a first attempt globally to attempt such a feat. Note should be taken that the La Rance hydro-power station is located in a very different geological (and geomorphicl) setting, with rock basement forming headland spurs, and sharply defining the estuary banks, and with a rocky island (Ilot de Chalibert) three quarters of the distance between the left and right extremities of the dam; there also is a regular rocky seabed which forms a solid foundation for the dam (Considine 1977). This effectively is the engineering antithesis of Doctors Creek, a completely different situation which is vastly simpler in engineering terms. Note also that La Rance setting is not in a net erosional state. 35 In summary, for this Section on economic considerations: • the economic benefits cannot be ascertained until the proponent fully explores the costs involved in this project • the La Rance model for tidal power is not considered to be economic (Say, 1973) • there probably will be large costs and risks involved in the emplacement of the barrages and the levees because of the enormous logistic problems of working in this difficult tidal flat environment • the La Rance installation is situated in a rock-bordered and rock-floored embayment, with a regular rocky seabed, and thus cannot be used as a model for the Doctors Creek situation. CER Section 2.1 Overview - paragraph 9 The last sentence in this section of the CER states: “Six 8 MW or four 12MW turbine-generators would be installed in concrete structures producing up to 210 Gwh per annum”; which equates to an average output of about 24 Megawatts (continuous) over an 8766 hour year which is half the installed generating capacity. This represents a significant under-utilisation of equipment placing a cost penalty on the power delivered from this project. The CER lacks a cost-benefit analysis, hence it is not clear whether this underutilisation has been factored into assessing the economic viability of the project. The CER also does not assess how competitive the hydro-power is in comparison to conventional power plants (Note comment by Say 1973 under Economic Considerations). CER Section 2.1 Overview - paragraph 11 In relationship to mentioning the Broome power plant, the CER here fails to address two points: 1. who will maintain the Broome power plant “in the short term as a backup”, and 2. whether the cost of maintaining this station has been included in the operational costing for the proposed project. It is doubtful whether on the scale of proposed hydro-power generation that the proposed project would be capable of carrying such an extra cost burden. 36 CER Section 4.1 Alternative Sites Doctors Creek Derby paragraph 3 The mooted possibility of “ongoing siltation of basins” implies a significant maintenance cost and may threaten the economic viability of the project. Such an impediment should be thoroughly investigated at the outset, at least in a theoretical sense so that subsequent site investigations can be kept to a minimum both as a cost saving measure and to minimise environmental disruption. Semeniuk (1980c) shows massive erosion of the tidal flats in this region, a process that will not cease because a tidal power station has been built. Massive erosion means on-going large-volume sediment transport, a factor that is likely to result in large amounts of siltation. 37 9.0 References Allen, J.R.L., 1970. Sediments of the modern Niger Delta: A summary and review. In: J. P. Morgan (ed), Deltaic Sedimentation Modern and Ancient, Society of Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists, Special Publication No. 15, Tulsa, Oklahoma. Anonymous 1996. Australian National Tide Tables 1996. Government Publishing Service. Australian Blake L.S., (ed), 1989. “Civil Engineer’s Reference Book”, 4th ed. ButterworthHeinemann, London. Blasco, F., 1977. Outlines of ecology, botany and forestry of the mangals of the Indian Subcontinent. In: V. J. Chapman (ed), Ecosystems of the World 1. Wet Coastal Ecosystems, Elsevier, New York. Chapman, V. J., 1976. Mangrove Vegetation. Cramer, Lehre. Chapman, V. J., 1977. Introduction. In: V. J. Chapman (ed), Ecosystems of the World. 1. Wet Coastal Ecosystems, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1-29. Coleman, J. M., Gagliano, S. M. & Smith, W. G., 1970. Sedimentation in a Malaysian high tide tropical delta. In: J. P. Morgan (ed), Deltaic Sedimentation Modern and Ancient, Society of Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists, Special Publication No. 15, Tulsa, Oklahoma. Considine, D.M. (editor-in-chief), 1977. McGraw Hill, New York Energy Technology Handbook. DeF. Quinn A., 1961 Design and Construction of Ports and Marine Structures. McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc, New York. De Roy, R, & Thadani, R., 1992. India’s Wetlands Mangroves and Coral Reefs. World Wild Life Fund for Nature, India. Ministry of Environment & Forests, Government of India, New Delhi. Eberhard, R., 1997. Pattern & process: towards a regional approach to National Estate Assessment of Geodiversity. Report of the Workshop held at the Australian Heritage Commission 26th July 1996. 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