Economic Activity and Markets Gary Santoni Grade Levels: 9,10,11,12 Document Type: Instructional Unit; Supplementary Materials Description: Relates how the nation's economic activity is coordinated in producing the goods and services the country demands.(free) This document may be printed. ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MARKETS Economic Activity Some Initial Observations National Income, a measure of the value of all goods and services produced in the United States, was $2,646,700,000,000 in 1983(1). Included in this total are the values of literally hundreds of thousands of different types of goods and services, ranging from bubble gum and houses to plumbers and surgeons. These goods and services were produced by 100,834,000(2) individuals of whom over 43 percent were female, 14.6 percent were black or of Hispanic origin and 6.6 percent were teenagers(3). These individuals used a great variety of raw materials, equipment, machinery, land and sources of power in the production process. For their activity, these individuals were paid amounts which, when totaled, were roughly equivalent in value to the goods and services they produced. In 1983, wages and salaries totaled $1,984,900,000,000(4) which was 75 percent of National Income. The remaining 25 percent was paid to the owners of rental property ($58,300,000,000 or 2.2 percent of National Income), business proprietors ($121,700,000,000 or 4.6 percent of National Income), owners of corporations ($203,189,000,000 or 7.7 percent of National Income) and net interest ($256,600,000,000 or 9.7 percent of National Income)(5). As these numbers suggest, the U.S. economy is very complex. Millions of individuals cooperate in producing hundreds of thousands of separate goods and services. As complex as this system is, many individuals take into account your specific desires when making production decisions. Although this statement may seem improbable, it is nonetheless true and can be demonstrated by a simple example. When you go to a local restaurant with the idea in mind of buying a hamburger, your experience tells you that you will, in fact, be able to obtain the hamburger when you order it. Clearly, the owner of the restaurant anticipated your wants and the wants of others like you when he or she decided upon the number of hamburgers to produce. this is true not only of hamburgers, but also of other goods you buy. It is true for you and for everyone else. Generally speaking, producers make available the kinds and quantities of goods that individuals want to buy. Of course, there have been exceptions to this general proposition, such as the 1979 gasoline shortage in the United States. While such exceptions are rare in the U.S., they are common in some other countries. Later in this pamphlet, we will examine why there are occasional shortages of some goods and surpluses of others. What This Pamphlet Is About This pamphlet is intended to help you understand how the economic activity of individuals is coordinated in producing the goods and services we all want. Some specific topics that will be discussed include scarce goods and choice, production and cooperation, specialization and coordination, markets, prices and profits. Scarce Goods, Choice, and Cost If wishes were horses then beggers would ride." You may have heard this from your father when you told him you wanted your own record player, scuba equipment or new dress, etc. His response reflects a fundamental problem that all people must confront––the problem of relative scarcity. This problem refers to the fact that if you (or anyone) want to obtain more of a particular good, you must necessarily give up some of another desirable good. To extend the example given above, your father might say to you, "If you really want that record player, you will have to earn enough to buy it." Suppose you really do want it and you get a job after school in order to buy it. Your job will prevent you from doing other things that you would have enjoyed doing had your afternoon been free. You will not be able to play baseball, go swimming or enjoy the company of your friends. The enjoyable things that you would have done had you not been working are the goods you have to give up to obtain the record player. In other words, they are the true cost of the record player to you. The cost of obtaining any good is the value you associate with the other goods you would have obtained but necessarily gave up. Why must you earn the record player? Why aren't record players free? For that matter, why aren't all goods free? To answer these questions, let's consider another example. If you were to decide to go swimming after school you could not play baseball at the same time because it is physically impossible for you to do both things at once. The cost of enjoying the swim is the enjoyment you necessarily give up by not playing baseball. This same consideration applies to the production of record players. Given the total resources that are available, it is physically impossible to produce all of the record players, baseball equipment, swimming pools, new dresses, T-bone steaks, cars, amusement parks, movies, milk shakes, etc., that people want. As a result, if people want more of some of these items (for example, record players), they will necessarily give up some other things they otherwise would have enjoyed. Record players are not free because the resources needed to produce them, as well as the other goods people want, are scarce. When you engage in some activity in order to obtain the record player, you are engaging in an economic activity. An economic activity is any activity that attempts to deal with the problem of relative scarcity. Let's examine this concept more closely. Economic activity clearly involves making choices. The problem of relative scarcity requires that you decide. Remember, you cannot have both the record player and the baseball game. Would the record player have been less scarce (would the requirement to choose have been avoided) had you convinced your father to buy it for you? No! The responsibility for making the choice merely shifts to him, and he must now bear the cost of obtaining the record player by foregoing something he would have enjoyed otherwise. Remember, producing more record players so that you can have one is costly, since it means that other things have been forfeited by someone in society. It is not surprising that people make different choices when costs change. Suppose the price of the record player that you want increases but your salary remains the same. You must now work more hours at your job to obtain enough to buy the record player. In other words, you will have to give up more baseball games and other things to acquire the record player. The cost of the record player has increased. In this situation, you may decide to purchase a record player that is cheaper (less costly in terms of the number of baseball games its purchase requires you to give up). If the price of the record player increased substantially, you would certainly make this substitution. Economists have observed that as the cost of a good increases, most people will buy less of it. They use a special term––the Law of Demand––to describe the behavior. The Law of Demand states that people will choose less of a good when its price (cost) rises in terms of other goods that they value. On the other hand, suppose you are an exceptionally good employee and your employer increases your salary. The true cost of the record player to you will decline. The same record player will not cost you as many baseball games. As a result, you may decide to buy a record player that is more expensive than the one you originally intended buying but, after your pay increases, is less expensive in terms of baseball games. Sometimes it is convenient to depict the Law of Demand in the form of a graph. Figure 1 presents Bill's demand curve for milk shakes. The horizontal axis shows the number of milk shakes Bill decides to consume (demand) per month. The vertical axis shows various unit prices of a milk shake. The Law of Demand states that as the unit price of milk shakes increases, Bill will decide to consume fewer milk shakes per month. The line labeled DD depicts this relationship. If the price of a milk shake is 80 cents, Bill demands three milk shakes per month. However, at a lower price (for example, 40 cents per milk shake) Bill demands seven milk shakes per month. Bill's demand curve indicates how Bill's consumption of milk shakes will vary in response to changes in the unit price of milk shakes. Previously when we discussed the purchase of record players, the price was stated in terms of the number of baseball games given up. Don't be confused by the fact that Figure 1 expresses the price of milk shakes in dollars rather than in units of some other good. If the price of a milk shake is 80 cents and the price of a soda is 20 cents, purchasing one more milk shake requires that Bill give up four sodas. At this price, Bill decides to buy three milk shakes per month. If the dollar price of milk shakes falls to 40 cents (while the dollar price of soda remains unchanged), the price of milk shakes in terms of soda falls to two sodas per shake. Since a milk shake costs fewer sodas after the price change, Bill increases his purchase of milk shakes to seven per month. The price of milk shakes can be stated in terms of any other good as long as we know the dollar price of milk shakes and the dollar price of the other good. The number of other goods that Bill is required to give up when he purchases a milk shake is what is important to him in making a decision concerning how many milk shakes to buy. There are, of course, many people who like to consume milk shakes, and each will have a demand relationship similar to Bill's in that each person will demand fewer milk shakes at higher prices than at lower prices. Of course, they will differ in other respects. At a price of 80 cents, Bill demands three milk shakes. At the same price, Jim might demand 10 milk shakes while Sally, who is on a diet, demands only two. The community demand for milk shakes at a price of 80 cents is the sum of the number of milk shakes demanded by each individual at that price. If Bill, Jim and Sally were the only individuals in the community, the community demand would be 15 milk shakes at a price of 80 cents. At a price lower than 80 cents, each person would demand a greater quantity and this increase would be reflected in the community demand. Let's summarize what we have said. Economic activity involves making choices in the face of scarcity. Making choices involves a cost. Costs are things we would like to have, but choose to give up in order to obtain the things we want more. The choices we make will depend on the costs we experience. Production and Cooperation Economic activity involves production. Production occurs when less-valued goods are transformed into goods that are valued more highly. Let's see how this concept applies in our example. With the help of the person who sells record players, you convert baseball games (the good you value less) into a record player (the good you value more). With your help, the person who sells record players converts record players (the good he or she values less) into ball games or whatever else he or she values more highly than record players. While this simple explanation extracts the essence of what occurs in the production process, productive activity is much more complicated. For example, if you accept a job as a cook's assistant at a local restaurant, you are engaged in productive activity. You are converting lower-valued goods (baseball games, etc.) into a highervalued good (the record player). However, there are a number of intermediate steps in this process. You search for the best job and you cooperate with the restaurant owner, the cook, the waiters, the men who deliver food from suppliers, the people who wash dishes, etc., in producing meals for customers. Because you are helping to produce something (meals) that the customers value and because in doing so you are giving up something (baseball games) that you value, you earn a wage. Finally, you use your wage to buy the record player. Your ability to buy the record player (the good you value more highly) with your wage compensates you for giving up baseball games (the good you value less highly). All of the individuals you help and who help you to produce meals for the restaurant's customers are accomplishing the same thing that you are accomplishing. They are converting goods that they value less highly into goods they value more highly. The people who help produce record players are engaged in the same process. People find it advantageous to cooperate with each other in the production process. Let's summarize. Economic activity necessarily involves production. Production means transforming less-valued goods into goods valued more highly. People will cooperate with each other in producing goods. Specialization Why do people find it advantageous to cooperate in producing goods? To put the question another way, why don't you build your own record player instead of working at the restaurant? When the question is posed this way, the answer is obvious. Because you are not an expert in producing record players and because it would take too long to become an expert, you decide that record players are cheaper (cost fewer ball games) if you specialize in the productive activity you do best and trade with other experts for the things you want. People specialize when they produce some specific good in greater quantity than they want for their personal use. You specialize in producing meals; the record player producer specializes in producing record players. In doing so, you both obtain the other things you want at lower cost. In short, people specialize in production because specialization lowers the cost of the things they want. When a person specializes, he produces more of a particular good than he personally uses. The specialist uses his share of the proceeds from the sale of goods he helps produce to buy other goods. How is the productive activity of all these specialists coordinated? It is unlikely that you would be willing to help the restaurant owner produce meals if he were not willing to pay for your help. You must give up other things that you like to do in order to help him produce meals and, if he does not pay you, you cannot obtain the record player and other goods in compensation. Consequently, if employers do not compensate people for the costs they incur, they will be unable to obtain help. The same is true for you. If you do not pay the producer of record players, he will not help you obtain a record player. These payments, or prices, are very important in coordinating the activity of all specialists in the production process. If the compensation (price) that a specialist (producer) receives rises relative to the costs (prices) of the goods he buys, he will be encouraged to produce more. This is just another way of saying that he will make a different choice when prices change (you may want to review the previous discussion of choice). If the compensation that the specialist receives rises, he will work more at his specialty, produce more of the good in which he specializes and buy more from others in the community. On the other hand, if the prices of the goods he buys rise relative to the compensation (price) he receives for his help, he will work less at his specialty, produce less of the good in which he specializes and buy less as well. Note that we said he would "work less at the specialty" and not that he would work less. if your wage as a cook's assistant falls relative to the prices of the goods you buy, you will probably decide to work fewer hours per week at the restaurant since the things you buy with your wage cost you more now in terms of the things you give up by working. You will work fewer hours per week at the restaurant, but more hours per week organizing baseball games or doing other things that you value. Does the above discussion seem confusing? What we are saying is really very simple. If your wage goes up relative to the prices of the things you buy, you will now be able to "afford" more of the other things that compensate you for the ball games you give up. From your point of view, working in your specialty is now more productive in terms of satisfying your wants. As a result, you will spend more time working and less time playing ball. Of course, the opposite occurs if your wage falls relative to the prices of the other things you buy. The above discussion can be summarized as the Law of Supply. The Law of Supply states that people will supply (offer for sale) more of a good when its price rises relative to the prices of other goods. Just as with the Law of Demand, it is sometimes convenient to depict the Law of Supply in the form of a graph. Figure 2 does this for milk shakes. The horizontal axis shows the number of milk shakes offered for sale per month, and the vertical axis shows the various unit prices of a milk shake. The line labeled SS shows the relationship between the price of milk shakes and the quantity supplied. The SS line is called a supply curve. The supply curve in Figure 2 indicates that at a low price of 30 cents per milk shake, the collection of individuals who specialize in the production of milk shakes will offer for sale only 200 milk shakes per month. However, at a higher price of 70 cents, they will offer 1,000 milk shakes for sale. At prices higher than 70 cents, more than 1,000 will be offered for sale. Just as the demand curve shown in Figure 1, the particular supply curve shown in Figure 2 is imaginary. The purpose of these particular curves is not to reflect the real world exactly, but to help us think correctly when we are using the Laws of Demand and Supply. Markets What is a Market? Broadly speaking, a market consists of all of the people who are interested in buying or selling a particular good or service. You become a part of the restaurant market when you decide to look for a job as a cook's assistant. You are part of the market for phonographs when you decide to buy a record player. More particularly, a market is the collection of specialists who are interested in producing and selling a particular good, along with the people who are interested in buying that good. For our purposes, think of markets as being made up of people. It is not useful for us to think of markets as places. In some cases, buyers and sellers find it convenient to come together in a common place to conduct their business. That is why people refer to their grocery store as the market. However, a particular grocery store does not make up the entire market for groceries. There are, clearly, many grocery stores and customers located throughout the United States. The market for groceries includes all of the individuals who sell groceries in these stores, the people who supply groceries to the stores and the customers. Markets and Exchange Cost Individuals who participate in the market process perform some very important functions, apart from simply exchanging goods. For example, the specialist who sells phonographs provides potential customers with a considerable amount of information at low cost. If you were interested in buying a phonograph, you would want to know who is interested in selling phonographs, what different kinds of phonographs are available, how each kind operates, how each is maintained and how much each costs. It would be very difficult (costly) for you to gather all of this information without the help of the specialist. The attempt to buy a phonograph is costly because it cuts into the amount of time you have to play ball or work on other things you like to do. The specialist reduces these information costs. He lets you know that he is interested in selling record players by opening a store in a convenient location, by putting up signs and by advertising on radio, television and in the Yellow Pages. Through his advertisements, he tells you about the available kinds of phonographs and the prices at which he is willing to sell them. He also provides a ready inventory of phonographs from which to choose, as well as a pleasant establishment in which to conduct your business. By engaging in these activities, the specialist reduces your total cost of obtaining the goods. Markets and Prices Previously, we noted that prices are important in coordinating the economic activity of individuals. If the prices of the things a person buys rise relative to his wage, he will buy less of those things and he will work less in his specialty. He does this because working in his specialty is no longer as productive as it once was in satisfying his wants. The opposite is true if prices fall. What factor determines the prices to which individuals react? The interaction of buyers and sellers in the market determines prices. Let's apply our example to this concept. When you begin to search for work as a cook's assistant, you want to find a job that pays a very high wage (price) for your services. As far as you are concerned, the higher the wage, the better. Although nothing prevents you from offering your services at $100 per hour, you will find that no one is willing to accept your offer because other potential employees are willing to offer their service at wage rates lower than what you are asking. The restaurant owner will not accept your offer if he thinks he can hire someone else at a lower wage who is essentially as good as you at the job. In this example, you have confronted the basic market rule facing sellers of all goods and services. Competition among sellers prevents any one of them from obtaining a higher price for their goods or services than is obtained by other sellers. On the other hand, what prevents the restaurant owner from offering a very low wage rate, say, one dollar per hour? In this case, the restaurant owner is the buyer. He would like to buy your help at a low price. As far as he is concerned, the lower the wage, the better. However, there are many other buyers (restaurant owners and others) who would be willing to pay you much more than one dollar per hour to obtain your services. You will not have to sell your services at this low wage because you know there are other competing buyers who would be willing to pay you more. If any buyer wants to obtain your services, he will have to offer you at least as much as competing buyers are willing to pay. It is this competition ––sellers against other sellers and buyers against other buyers<longdash>that finally determines the wage you will receive and the prices you pay. Of course, if you do not like the results of this competition, i.e., if the highest wage offer is too low to compensate you for the ball games you must give up by working, you can always withdraw your offer. Nothing requires you to accept the job. On the other hand, if the wage compensates you for the things you must forego because of working, you will accept the job. Competition among buyers and sellers determines the wage you receive. The above discussion is summarized in Figure 3, which combines in one diagram the community demand curve (Line DD) and supply curve (Line SS) of milk shakes. Various unit prices of a milk shake are measured along the vertical axis, while the quantity of milk shakes per month is measured along the horizontal axis, as in Figures 1 and 2. Figure 3 is read in the same way as Figures 1 and 2. For example, if the price of a milk shake is 80 cents, the number of milk shakes demanded per month is 600 (read from 80 cents on the vertical axis over to the DD line and then down to the horizontal axis). At a lower price of 40 cents, the number of milk shakes demanded is 1,000. The amounts supplied at these two prices are 1,200 at a price of 80 cents and 400 at a price of 40 cents (read from the relevant price on the vertical axis over to the SS line and then down to the horizontal axis). Suppose that the price of a milk shake is 80 cents. At this price, total community demand for milk shakes is 600, while the number offered for sale is 1,200. More milk shakes are offered for sale at a price of 80 cents than buyers want. Sellers, of course, will only be able to sell 600 at a price of 80 cents even though they would like to sell 1,200. Frustrated sellers will attempt to lure buyers away from other sellers through competition. An effective way to do this is to offer milk shakes at a lower price. As a result of this competition among sellers, the price of milk shakes will begin to fall. As the price falls, the DD curve indicates that customers will begin buying more milk shakes. The competition among sellers that results in the price decline is effective in increasing sales. The SS curve indicates that the price decline is also effective in reducing the number of milk shakes offered for sale by sellers. Competition among sellers will result in lower prices as long as the number of milk shakes that customers want to buy at the existing price is less than the number that sellers want to sell at the existing price. At the price of 60 cents, the number of milk shakes customers want to buy is 800. The number of milk shakes that sellers offer for sale at this price (60 cents) is 800, exactly the number that buyers want to buy. At a price of 60 cents, there are no frustrated sellers. Because the number of milk shakes individuals want to buy is equal to the number sellers offer, there is no further pressure to lower price. Sellers believe they are able to sell just the right amount at this price. At any price above 60 cents, competition among sellers will result in decreasing the price of milk shakes to 60 cents. What happens if the price falls below 60 cents? For instance, at a price of 40 cents, customers will want to buy 1,000 milk shakes per month while sellers will want to offer only 400. Customers will be frustrated because they will be unable to obtain as many milk shakes as they want. Consequently, they will compete for the relatively few milk shakes that are available. In the process, they will offer higher prices. As the price increases, more milk shakes will be offered for sale (sellers move up the SS curve), while the number demanded by customers decreases (customers move up the DD curve). The pressure to increase price is eliminated at a price of 60 cents, because the number of milk shakes customers want to buy at a price of 60 cents is exactly the number that sellers offer. The 60-cent price is called the equilibrium price because at any other price (given the SS and DD curves) competition among sellers and buyers will result in pushing the price to 60 cents. What are Profits? Profits are the gains that buyers and sellers experience when they engage in exchange. The prospect of earning a profit is what motivates buyers and sellers to seek exchange opportunities. In the example we have been using, you want a phonograph. Essentially you have two ways to obtain it: you can build one yourself or you can buy one from someone else. Either of these choices will incur costs in terms of foregone ball games and other goods. The first choice requires that you learn how to construct and assemble each different piece, that you obtain the materials you need and that you then construct the phonograph. The other method requires you to produce something that others value and trade it for the phonograph. Which method costs less? For most of us, it is certainly cheaper to produce something that others value and trade for the record player. This is what you do when you decide to work as an assistant cook. You give up fewer ball games in obtaining the record player by this method than you would if you tried to build one yourself. The reduction in the number of ball games you give up by trading for the phonograph is your profit from the exchange. Similar reasoning applies to the seller. He specializes in the production or sale of phonographs and trades for the other things he wants. By doing so, he obtains these other things at lower cost. As in your case, this reduction in his cost represents his profit from the exchange. Profits are nothing more than the benefits individuals derive from the process of exchanging goods. Both buyers and sellers earn profits in the trading process. If it were not for these profits, buyers and sellers would not trade because there would be no reason for them to do so. This means that the owner of the phonograph shop would be unwilling to sell record players to you or anyone else and the owner of the restaurant would be unwilling to buy your services as an assistant cook. In fact, there would be no restaurants, phonograph shops, movie theaters, grocery stores, clothing stores, schools, gas stations, amusement parks, etc. There is one further point concerning profit that is very important. When the profits earned from a particular activity change, people change the amount of time and energy they devote to that activity. If people should change so that they now want more record players than phonograph producers want to produce at the current price, the price of record players will rise (as discussed above) along with the profits earned by sellers of record players. These sellers will, as a result, devote more time and energy to supplying more record players. You would do the same thing if the profits you earn as an assistant cook were to rise because people now prefer to eat out more. Prices and profits change in response to changes in the desires of buyers. Sellers respond to these changes in profits by supplying additional amounts of those things that buyers want more of and fewer amounts of goods buyers want less of. How Large are Profits? Table 1 presents some data concerning the profits of sellers for various years. Examination of these data will help us determine the magnitude of sellers' profits and how they have been changing. The before-tax profits of sellers in 1980 amounted to about 14 percent of National Income. On average, sellers who were sole proprietors earned $4,430 in profits during this year. Partnerships earned profits that averaged $5,797, while the average profits of corporations were $88,159. Although the average profits of corporations appear to be higher than those of proprietorships and partnerships, corporations include more owners than other business organizations and the higher profits must be divided among more people. The average dividend paid to individuals who owned corporate stock traded on the New York Stock Exchange was $1,878 in 1981(7). Table 1 Before-Tax Profits of Sellers(6) Type of Organization 1970 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Proprietorships: Total Profit (bil. of $) Average Profit $33 3,511 $45 4,135 $50 4,402 $51 4,495 $59 4,909 $61 4,947 $55 4,330 Total Profit as a percent of National Income Partnerships: Total Profit (bil. of $) Average Profit 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.6% $10 $8 7,456 $10 9,124 $13 11,275 $14 11,345 $15 $8 5,797 10,684 Total Profit as a percent of National Income Corporations: Total Profit (bil. of $) Average Profit Total Profit as a percent of National Income 11,538 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% $66 $143 $185 $219 97,681 $247 103,912 $285 $239 39,640 70,652 88,857 11,459 88,159 8.1% 11.5% 13.4% 14.5% 11.3% 14.1% 14.0% Changes in Willingness to Buy Prices, of course, change from time to time. Typically, these changes are caused either by a change in the willingness of sellers to offer goods at the existing price or a change in the willingness of customers to buy at the existing price. Suppose that individuals change in that they now demand more restaurant meals than before at the existing price of these meals. This change is shown in Figure 4 by a shift in the demand curve from D0D0 to D1D1. Prior to this change, D0D0 was the relevant demand curve. The equilibrium price of a meal was $4.50 and the quantity offered for sale (1,800,000) at this price was equal to the quantity demanded (1,800,000) at this price. After the change in customer wants, D1D1 becomes the relevant demand curve. At the same price of $4.50 per meal, customers now want to buy 2,000,000 meals per month in restaurants. However, at this same price, sellers will continue to offer 1,800,000 meals. At a price of $4.50, sellers believe that 1,800,000 meals is exactly the right number to offer for sale. They will not produce more than 1,800,000 meals because they would have to spend more time at the restaurant serving customers and have to forego other goods (ball games, etc.) they want to enjoy. Since the compensation the sellers receive for the things they would have to give up has not changed, they will continue to offer only 1,800,000 meals at a price of $4.50. This falls short of customer demand. Because the number of meals demanded exceeds the number of meals supplied, customers will find that the tables in restaurants are filling up more rapidly than before. Customers will have to wait longer in line during peak hours, and lines will form at hours that were previously slack periods. Some restaurants will run out of food and have to close early. All of these developments will frustrate customers. As we have discussed previously, customers will compete among one another for the relatively few meals that are available. Some customers will offer higher prices and these customers will be successful in obtaining the number of meals they want. Note that the new demand curve indicates that some customers are willing to pay $6 per meal for the 1,800,000 meals available. Other customers may become indignant and decide to take their business elsewhere, but this is just what the successful customers who bid higher prices had in mind. The increase in price increases the profit of the restaurant owners because they are serving more meals now at higher prices than before the change in wants. The increase in price also helps the individuals who choose to remain customers of the restaurant because they no longer have to wait in line to be served. Their willingness to pay the higher prices means that the other things they give up by paying higher prices are less valuable than the other things they would have given up by waiting in line longer. What about the individuals who decide to take their business elsewhere? They will find even longer lines at the lower-priced restaurants because other people switched restaurants when prices were raised. Eventually, these people will grow tired of the long wait, the overcrowding, the cold food, the poor service and all of the other problems that arise because of the shortage of meals at the lower price. Prices in these restaurants will eventually increase as well, with an accompanying increase in profits to owners sufficient to compensate them for the additional cost they incur in serving meals. The result is that the price of meals served in restaurants is somewhat higher and more meals are served. It is important to note that the increase in price and the resulting increase in profit to restaurant owners is caused by customers wanting more meals than restaurant owners were willing to provide at the old price. The action taken by the restaurant owners in supplying additional meals has the effect of holding the price increase below what it would have been otherwise. These points are illustrated in Figure 4. The price rises to a new equilibrium of $5 per meal. The number of meals supplied by restaurants increases from 1,800,000 to 1,950,000. Note that at the old price of $4.50, customers wanted 2,000,000 meals. However, as the price rises to $5, the number of meals demanded by customers falls to 1,950,000, which is equal to the number supplied at this price. A further point is important. Had the restaurant owners not increased the supply of meals, the price of a meal would have increased to $6. This is the price that equates the number of meals demanded (given the new demand curve, D1D1) to the original supply of meals, 1,800,000. In fact, the price does not rise to $6 because the restaurant owners increase the number of meals supplied from 1,800,000 to 1,950,000. The reverse would have happened if the willingness of customers to buy at existing prices had declined. Changes in Willingness to Sell The above developments occurred because of a change in the willingness of customers to buy at existing prices. On the other hand, there may be a change in the willingness of sellers to offer goods at existing prices. To illustrate this, let's take the market for phonographs as an example. Suppose that some enterprising owner of a phonograph shop discovers that he can purchase high-quality record players in Japan and have them shipped to the United States at lower prices than he can purchase record players from domestic producers. There is clearly a profit potential in importing phonographs. Of course, other phonograph shops will copy him, with the result that more phonographs become available for sale at the existing price. The sellers now are willing to offer more record players for sale at the existing price than buyers want at that price. The sellers will complain that business is slow even though they are selling as many record players as they had been prior to importing them from abroad. Eventually, some of the sellers will announce a sale of phonographs at reduced prices. They are willing to do this because of obtaining imported record players more cheaply. Although they would like to sell at the old higher prices, they have discovered that customers do not want to buy the number of phonographs offered for sale at the old price. When the price is lowered, some customers who were planning to buy at the old price will decide to buy a better record player. Others who were not going to buy at the old price will be attracted by the lower price. Others will decide to replace their old phonograph sooner than they would have. In short, the price reduction will increase the number of record players sold. The situation discussed above is illustrated in Figure 5. The original price ($400) and quantity of record players bought and sold (2,200) are shown by the demand curve (DD) and initial supply curve (S0S0). When importing begins, the supply curve shifts to S1S1. At a price of $400, sellers are now willing to offer 3,400 phonographs for sale. At this price, however, buyers continue to demand 2,200. Competition among sellers drives the price down to $350, and the price reduction increases sales from 2,200 to 2,600. The result of this change is that more phonographs are sold at lower prices. The profits of sellers are somewhat higher than they were before they began importing from Japan. The Impact of Price Control One of the best ways to appreciate the role that prices and profits play in helping buyers and sellers direct the production and use of goods is to consider what has happened during periods of price and profit control. On August 15, 1971, President Nixon froze all prices in the United States. This made it illegal for the price of any good to rise above its August 15, 1971, level. The results were disastrous. It was no accident that shortly after the price controls went into effect, shortages of many different types of goods began to appear. Some of the more notable shortages involved the markets for oil, gas, wood, beef, paper bags and bailing wire. The fact that these shortages occurred should not surprise you if you consider what happened in the restaurant example when buyers decided they would like to eat more meals in restaurants at the existing price. Customers wanted more meals at the existing price than sellers were willing to offer. People had to wait in long lines to be served. When they finally did get a table, the service was poor and the food was cold. It was not until the price of meals and profits of restaurant owners rose that more meals were provided to satisfy the increased demand. Along with the increase in supply induced by the higher prices and profits, some customers were discouraged by the higher prices and decided to eat out less often. The increase in price matched the amount sellers wanted to supply to the amount customers wanted to purchase. With the price freeze of 1971, prices were not allowed to move upward when the willingness of customers to buy at the existing price increased. As a result, when customers wanted more gasoline, a shortage developed. We had to wait in long lines to buy gasoline. When we finally got to the pump, we served ourselves and washed our own windows and checked our own oil. The same thing happened in many other markets during the period of price control. It was not until prices were allowed to rise that the shortages vanished. Another example of the impact of price control occured in 1979. This example, also, concerns gasoline. In 1979, because of internal strife, Iran reduced the amount of oil it was producing. Since the United States was importing oil from Iran and because oil is used to produce gasoline, the supply of gasoline available in the U.S. decreased. Had the price of gasoline been free to move upward in 1979, the result would have been a higher price for gasoline. The higher price would have discouraged some consumption and encouraged more production from sources other than Iran, thus matching the amount demanded to the reduced supply. This is shown in Figure 6 by the shift in the supply curve because oil is used to produce gasoline, the supply of gasoline available in the U.S. decreased. Had the price of gasoline been free to move upward in 1979, the result would have been a higher price for gasoline. The higher price would have discouraged some consumption and encouraged more production from sources other than Iran, thus matching the amount demanded to the reduced supply. This is shown in Figure 6 by the shift in the supply curve because oil is used to produce gasoline, the supply of gasoline available in the U.S. decreased. Had the price of gasoline been free to move upward in 1979, the result would have been a higher price for gasoline. The higher price would have discouraged some consumption and encouraged more production from sources other than Iran, thus matching the amount demanded to the reduced supply. This is shown in Figure 6 by the shift in the supply curve from S0S0 to S1S1. The shift would have increased the price of gasoline from 82 cents per gallon to $1 per gallon, while decreasing consumption from 6.8 to 6.4 billion gallons per week. However, the price of gasoline was prevented from rising by a U.S. government price control which made it illegal for sellers of gas to charge higher prices. As a result, the quantity of gasoline demanded did not decline when supply fell, nor did production from other sources rise. A shortage of gasoline developed equal to the difference between the amount demanded (6.8) at a price of 82 cents and the new amount supplied at this price (5.9). Just as in 1971, this shortage was reflected by long lines at gas stations. Again, it was not until the government reversed its position and allowed gas prices to rise that the lines were eliminated. Note that when the price is allowed to rise, the amount demanded declines from 6.8 to 6.4 billion, while the amount supplied from sources other than Iran increases along the new supply curve from 5.9 to 6.4. The important lesson to draw from this example is that the shortage of gasoline in the U.S. was not caused by internal strife in Iran, but by the U.S. price control that prevented price from adjusting when supply or demand conditions changed. Summary: The purpose of this pamphlet is to help you understand how the economic activity of individuals is coordinated in producing the goods we all want. The answer is very simple. Individuals interact in markets by inducing one another, through the prices they offer, to supply the goods each wants. There is nothing mysterious about this process. It is not controlled by any particular individual or group of individuals. Each person who participates in the market process (and we all do) helps determine the results. Questions for Discussion 1. Are good grades scarce? Why? 2. How is choice related to cost? 3. What is the cost of going swimming after school? 4. Do people make different choices when costs change? Why? 5. Are you engaged in productive activity when you watch television? 6. What is meant by specialization? 7. Why do people specialize? 8. How are the productive activities of specialists coordinated with the wants of buyers? 9. What is the Law of Demand? 10. Did Congress pass the Law of Demand? What makes it a Law? 11. What is economic activity? 12. What is a market? 13. How does the specialist who sells shoes reduce the cost of acquiring a pair of shoes. 14. How are prices determined? 15. What causes prices to change? 16. What are profits? 17. "Buyers as well as sellers earn profits when they trade." Comment on that statement. 18. What happens when prices are not allowed to rise in response to an increase is the willingness to buy at the existing price? 19. Who controls economic activity? FOOTNOTES (1)Board of Governors, Washington, D.C. (2)Ibid. (3)Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1984. Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce, December 1983, p. 406 and 409. (4)Board of Governors, Washington, D.C. (5)Ibid. (6)Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1984, p. 532. (7)Ibid. p. 524.
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