Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities LOWER MAINLAND/SEA TO SKY Seniors and Seniors’ Services Between 2007 and 2027, the total population of the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is projected to increase by 30%. The aging of the baby boom generation means that the number of adults 65 years of age and over will more than double (118%). This dramatic rise in the number of older adults in our communities raises significant issues for each us – as relatives, neighbours, citizens and workers. A key issue for the larger community is whether healthy attitudes towards aging are taking hold. Other important issues relate to the creation of age-friendly communities. We need to see that the right policies, services and programs are put in place so that opportunities exist for all seniors to live independently and participate fully in their communities. This report, funded by United Way of the Lower Mainland, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for older adults, both for the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area as a whole and, in the accompanying community profiles, for the region’s municipalities. For the most part, the demographic portrait and projections are based on Statistics Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas. The report also offers a preliminary overview of existing seniors’ services in the region, in terms of their number, type and municipal location. Data on 189 seniors’-focused organizations has been drawn from Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors’ Population and Services has also been prepared. It is hoped that this information will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of the region’s aging population. The community profiles have been created in hand-out form to meet the needs of the six (soon eight) seniors’ community planning tables that United Way of the Lower Mainland is currently supporting in the region. Summary The doubling of the older adult population in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Corridor over the next two decades presents the community with some real challenges and opportunities. People are living longer than ever before. And many seniors are able and keen to play an active role in all areas of their lives. But there are also growing numbers of seniors, many of whom are older women, living alone, vulnerable to poverty, experiencing housing affordability and other issues, at risk of social isolation, and likely to require in-home supports as they age. The region’s older adult population also includes growing numbers of Aboriginal, foreign-born and non-English speaking individuals. Now is the time to examine more closely the current array of seniors’ services in Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky communities. The preliminary exploration in this report, based upon Red Book listings, suggests that while there are communities where the numbers of services and seniors are roughly matched – in Vancouver, the share of agencies actually exceeds its share of seniors by a wide margin – there are other communities where seniors are poorly served. Communities falling into the first category – where services and seniors’ populations are more or less matched – include West Vancouver, North Vancouver, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, New Westminster, and Burnaby. In the other category – where a shortage of seniors’ services seems to exist – are Surrey and White Rock, Richmond, Langley and the Sea to Sky communities of Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton. The most common seniors’ services in the region are multi-activity programs, in-home support services, adult day centres and clinics (both run by local health authorities), as well as counseling and assistance services. The services that are absent in most communities are household support services (cleaning, laundry, yard maintenance, etc.), advocacy, education and training, and financial services, all for seniors. Agencies offering seniors’ services with a particular ethno-cultural focus or in languages other than English are also in short supply. This preliminary analysis of seniors’ services in the region provides a basis for further examination, discussion and planning so that the demands of an aging population are met in the best ways possible. The mission of United Way of the Lower Mainland is to strengthen our community’s capacity to address social issues. In the case of seniors, United Way works with partners across the community to support an active aging agenda. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Seniors In 2007, people over 65 represented 12% of the total Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky population (Table 1). By 2027, their numbers will have increased by 118% and seniors will account for one in every five citizens in the region. Table 1: Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors’ Population Table 2 shows the projected increase in the population age 65 and up over the next two decades, as well as each Local Health Area’s share of the total seniors’ population in each of 2007, 2017 and 2027. 2007 2017 2027 % % % 2007-2017 2007-2027 2,975,424 100.0 15.9 30.0 Total Pop. 2,288,917 100.0 65+ 280,304 75+ 136,230 85+ 39,313 1.7 % Change 2,653,502 100.0 12.2 410,092 15.5 610,386 20.5 46.3 117.8 6.0 170,854 6.4 262,235 8.8 25.4 92.5 56,062 2.1 69,205 2.3 42.6 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Local Health Areas The Local Health Areas where the largest increases in the older age groups are expected to occur are the sparsely populated communities of Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton (244%), the Tri-Cities area (188%) and Richmond (163%) Table 2: Population Age 65+ 2007 2017 2027 No. of Seniors % of Total No. of Seniors % of Total No. of Seniors % of Total % Chg 20072027 Vancouver 77,297 27.6 100,356 24.5 140,406 23.0 81.6% Surrey/White Rock 52,747 18.8 83,083 20.3 127,026 20.8 140.8% Burnaby 28,111 10.0 38,311 9.3 56,013 9.2 99.3% Richmond 23,132 8.3 39,045 9.5 60,759 10.0 162.7% Tri-Cities 20,214 7.2 34,397 8.4 58,178 9.5 187.8% North Vancouver 17,852 6.4 24,141 5.9 34,579 5.7 93.7% Langley 16,112 5.7 24,866 6.1 38,143 6.2 136.7% Delta 13,452 4.8 20,761 5.1 28,727 4.7 113.6% West Vancouver/ Bowen Island 11,041 3.9 14,081 3.4 17,187 2.8 55.7% Maple Ridge/ Pitt Meadows 10,153 3.6 15,971 3.9 25,263 4.1 148.8% New Westminster 8,010 2.9 10,811 2.6 16,591 2.7 107.1% Squamish/Whistler/ Pemberton 2,183 0.8 4,269 1.0 7,514 1.2 244.2% Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky 280,304 100.0 410,092 100.0 610,386 100.0 117.8% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Local Health Areas West Vancouver, which currently has one of the highest concentrations of seniors among its residents, will experience the least percentage change (56%), followed by Vancouver (82%) and North Vancouver (94%). At present, Vancouver represents the largest share of the region’s seniors’ population, at 29%, while Surrey/White Rock have the second largest with 18%. In 20 years’ time, the aging of the suburbs will mean that Vancouver and Surrey/White Rock each have 22% of the region’s 65 and over population, followed by Richmond (10%) and Burnaby (10%). Adults aged 80 and older are more likely to be frail and require greater service supports. Table 3 shows the projected increase in this population over the next two decades, as well as each Local Health Area’s share of the regional total in 2007, 2017 and 2027. The table is ranked by the largest to the smallest share of regional seniors aged 80+ in 2007, with Vancouver again accounting for the largest share at over 28%. The expected average rate of increase for this age group over the next two decades is 77%, with New Westminster experiencing the lowest rate of growth (20%) and Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton experiencing the greatest (236%). By 2027 Vancouver will still have the largest share of all adults age 80+ (22%), but its share will have fallen off from 2007. Communities such as Surrey and White Rock, Richmond, Langley, Tri-Cities, Delta, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, and Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton will all increase their share of seniors in this age group. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 3: Population Age 80+ 2007 No. of Seniors % of Total 2017 2027 No. of Seniors % of Total No. of Seniors % of Total % Chg 2007-2027 Vancouver 23,028 28.6 27,300 26.2 31,700 22.2 37.7 Surrey/White Rock 14,791 18.4 20,537 19.7 31,112 21.8 110.3 Burnaby 8,114 10.1 10,254 9.9 12,963 9.1 59.8 Richmond 6,327 7.9 9,710 9.3 14,386 10.1 127.4 Langley 5,127 6.4 6,303 6.1 9,454 6.6 84.4 North Vancouver 5,085 6.3 6,218 6.0 8,133 5.7 59.9 Tri-Cities 4,933 6.1 7,988 7.7 12,518 8.8 153.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 3,737 4.6 4,037 3.9 4,909 3.4 31.4 Delta 3,586 4.5 4,419 4.2 6,982 4.9 94.7 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 2,703 3.4 3,990 3.8 5,912 4.1 118.7 New Westminster 2,629 3.3 2,407 2.3 3,143 2.2 19.6 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 464 0.6 895 0.9 1,559 1.1 236.0 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 80,524 100.0 104,058 100.0 142,771 100.0 77.3 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Local Health Areas Median age and median age at death provide a gauge of the relative youthfulness or maturity of communities. In 2007, for example, the region was slightly younger than the province as a whole, with a median age of 38.8 compared with 40.1 for British Columbia. Table 4 ranks the Local Health Areas from oldest to youngest in 2007, based on the median age, and shows the corresponding median age at death. As illustrated here, median age levels across the region range from the more youthful Howe Sound area’s 34.6 to the older West Vancouver’s 47.9. This pattern repeats itself with respect to the median age at death, ranging from a low of 73 in Howe Sound to a high of 84.3 in West Vancouver. Table 4. Median Age and Median Age at Death West Vancouver/Bowen Island Median Age Median Age at Death 47.9 84.3 Delta 41.4 80.8 North Vancouver 40.9 81.2 Richmond 40.7 80.9 New Westminster 40.1 79.9 Langley 39.0 80.8 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 38.8 77.0 Burnaby 38.7 81.1 Tri-Cities 38.7 76.7 Vancouver 37.8 79.8 Surrey/White Rock 37.7 80.0 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 34.6 73.0 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 38.8 80.1 British Columbia 40.1 79.5 BC Stats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Key issues Longer life-spans » Most seniors in the region are under 80 and many are active and healthy. While 71% of the region’s seniors are now 65 to 79 years old, 29% are over 80, and 5% are over 90. By 2027 the proportion of younger seniors will increase to 77%, those over 80 will decline to 23% and those over 90 will remain at 5% of all seniors. As a larger number of younger seniors move into older age groups, they will likely need more supports. » The median age at death in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is now 80.1, up from 75.9 in 1987. In 2027, it is forecast to rise again slightly to 80.3. » As women tend to live longer than men (although the gap is narrowing), the proportion of women among seniors increases with age. Currently women represent 52% of seniors aged 65-74 in the region and 67% of those 85 and older. Living on their own » The number of older adults living alone is also rising steadily. Many of those over 80 who live on their own or with other non-family members are especially vulnerable, of social isolation among other things. With in-house support they are able to live in their homes longer. » Since the baby boom generation has had fewer children than earlier generations, there will be fewer family support systems for frail and elderly seniors. Vulnerability of poor and unattached seniors » While the proportion of low-income seniors in Metro Vancouver has declined over the past quarter century, significant numbers still remain below the poverty line.1 In 2005, 18% of Metro Vancouver residents over age 65 lived in poverty, the second highest proportion in the country after the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area (Metro Vancouver, Vital Signs, 2007). Table 5: Seniors Receiving Maximum Government Income Supplement Local Health Area Total Female Male Richmond 8.5 9.2 7.5 Vancouver 8.3 9.6 6.6 Burnaby 6.2 7.1 4.0 Surrey/White Rock 5.1 5.5 4.6 Tri-Cities 5.0 5.8 4.0 New Westminster 4.3 4.7 3.7 Delta 3.1 3.5 2.7 North Vancouver 3.1 3.4 2.7 Squamish/Whistle/Pemberton 2.2 2.7 1.8 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 1.9 2.3 1.3 Langley 1.6 1.9 1.2 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 1.6 1.6 1.6 Metro Vancouver (excluding Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton) 5.6 6.3 4.7 BCStats Socio-Economic Profiles » Municipalities in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area with the greatest proportion of low-income seniors in 2006 include Langley City (31.1%), Vancouver (26.7%), Richmond (25%), New Westminster (24.6%) and Burnaby (24.1%). Those with the lowest include West Vancouver (11.5%), White Rock (12.7%), Port Moody (12.7%), Squamish (13.4%) and Delta (15.1%). » Table 5 shows the proportion of seniors in each Local Health Area receiving the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) in 2006. Richmond, Vancouver, and Burnaby are again represented among the poorest areas. » Unattached seniors have a significantly higher poverty rate than those sharing accommodation. In 2005, 40% of Metro Vancouver seniors living alone had incomes below the poverty line (Vital Signs, 2007).1 » Elderly women who live alone have a low-income rate considerably higher than that of unattached senior men and couples. The gender disparity is evident as well in their respective shares of maximum GIS income (Table 5). » From 2002 to 2008, the number of homeless people 55+ in Metro Vancouver increased three-fold (or 316%). Homeless seniors, while concentrated in Vancouver, were also found in significant numbers in New Westminster, Surrey and North Vancouver. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Foreign-born and non-English speaking seniors on the rise » In 2006, four out of ten Metro Vancouver residents were foreign-born. Just over 152,000 of these immigrants were recent arrivals who moved here within the past five years. The largest newcomer groups are from Mainland China (26%), India (12%), the Philippines, and South Korea. The majority of these recent immigrants live in Vancouver, Richmond, Burnaby and Surrey. » Many recent immigrants live with their families and can take advantage of in-home supports. However, compared to Canadian-born seniors, a 2005 study found “additional barriers to accessing services for low-income, isolated, or non-English speaking seniors.”2 More active seniors » Many older adults choose to work past the age of 65, while others continue working out of necessity. Many assume volunteer roles. The number of retirees with higher education levels is growing and the growth of educational programs by community service organizations attests to a growing interest in lifelong learning. Nearly 30% of seniors aged 65 and older now use the Internet for information, networking or shopping (Statistics Canada, Survey of Canadian Internet Use, 2007). Services for seniors In 2008, the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained nearly 190 listings of organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 6 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations by Local Health Area in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver where many seniors’ agencies have served the city’s sizable older adult population for many years. Table 6 also gives a rough indication of the current match (or mismatch) between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the region’s various municipalities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed its share of the region’s population over the age of 65. Table 6: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area No. of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings No. of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/ Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/ Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/ Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Some cities seem to have a good match between the agencies and the population they serve—most notably North Vancouver, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, New Westminster, Burnaby, and West Vancouver. Other communities have comparatively few services for seniors, given the number of older adults living within their boundaries. Surrey and White Rock, Richmond, the Tri-Cities and Langley fall into this category. For example, where Surrey and White Rock are currently home to almost one in five seniors in the region, the two communities had only 11.6% of the region’s share of seniors-oriented social services in 2007 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 5 Table 7 presents the types of seniors’ services offered by agencies in the area, according to the frequency of their listings in the Red Book: Table 7:Seniors’ Services by Type » The most readily available services for seniors in the region are what might be called multi-activity programs. One in four services available to older adults are of this type. Commonly carried out in community centres or on the premises of seniors’ organizations, such activities include educational, social, recreational, therapeutic or other programs. Some agencies may also offer transportation to and from such sessions or seniors’ lunches on the premises. » In-home support services, the next most common type, representing 15% of the services available to seniors in the region, are carried out in the home. This type of service includes » formal government-subsidized personal health care or homemaker services offered through health authorities (23 listings) » social supports, including home visit programs and support calls, errands, shopping and delivery, and computer help (19 listings) » meal preparation and delivery, such as Meals on Wheels programs (12 listings); and » household supports — the least numerous (4 listings) — such as house cleaning and laundry, home handyman services (maintenance and repairs), yard maintenance and lawn mowing, and pet care. » Health support services (50 listings), which are provided mainly through Vancouver Coastal or Fraser Health Authorities, include adult day centre programs and mental health centres or clinics. » Counseling and assistance on such matters as personal issues or filling out tax, pension, or legal forms are the fourth most frequent component (46 listings). These services are often combined in centres which offer information and referrals. » An ethno-cultural focus is provided by 38 agencies. These include programs and services for Aboriginal and immigrant seniors, and are located mainly in the City of Vancouver. » Information, directories and referral operations (37) have as one of their main functions the provision of information, the production of directories or referrals to other community agencies. » 23 agencies offer language services (including Mandarin, Cantonese, Hindi, Punjabi, Spanish and Vietnamese) or ESL classes for non-English speaking newcomers. No. of Listings Percent of Total Multi-Activity 97 24.7 In-home Support Services 58 14.8 Health Support Services 50 12.7 Counseling and Assistance 46 11.7 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 9.7 Information, Directories, Referral 37 9.4 Language Services 23 5.9 Advocacy 15 3.8 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 3.3 Education and Training 12 3.1 Financial Assistance 4 1.0 Total 393 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) » Advocacy organizations or programs (15), such as the BC Old Age Pensioners’ Organization, advance the socio-economic position of seniors, as well as arguing for improved services. » Transportation services listed in the Red Book (13) offer transport for older adults to and from their homes, excluding HandyDart operations. » Education and training services (12) provide either formal education programs for seniors as consumers or applied training for employees and professionals who work with seniors. » Financial Assistance services (4) are mainly income-support and housing programs offered by the government (e.g. Shelter Aid for Elderly Residents or SAFER). The municipal location of the different types of seniors’ services is presented in Table 8. The extent to which these services are concentrated in Vancouver is readily apparent. Six out of ten agencies providing education and training services, six out of ten agencies with an ethno-cultural focus, more than half of seniors’ advocacy organizations, almost half of all health support services, four out of ten counseling and assistance services, and even four out of ten multi-activity services are located in Vancouver. Outside of Vancouver, only Burnaby has agencies representing the full complement of services offered to seniors in the region. The Sea to Sky communities have the narrowest range available (health support, counseling and assistance, personal care, and information, directories and referrals). Services that are absent in most communities are household support services (cleaning, laundry, yard maintenance, etc.), advocacy, education and training, and financial services specifically for seniors. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 6 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 7 55 Total Municipalities 1 1 5 Lower Mainland/ SW BC BC 3 3 Metro Vancouver Agencies also serving: 1 1 Whistler White Rock 16 2 12 8 2 4 3 27 1 58 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 4 2 3 22 9 Vancouver West Vancouver 2 1 1 5 1 4 2 Surrey 3 Richmond Squamish 1 1 Port Moody 1 Port Coquitlam 1 Pemberton North Vancouver Pitt Meadows 2 4 New Westminster 1 1 Maple Ridge 2 1 3 2 2 5 Delta 1 Health Support Langley 1 Financial Assistance 1 1 1 Education & Training 1 Burnaby Coquitlam Counselling & Assistance Advocacy In-home Support Services Table 8. Type of Seniors' Service by Municipality 6 1 1 1 1 2 Household 1 19 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 Meals 1 1 25 2 3 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 Social 1 28 2 1 10 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 Personal Care 2 3 115 4 6 46 10 6 3 3 3 7 4 2 2 4 4 11 MultiActivity Programs 17 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 Transportation 2 5 33 21 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 Ethno-cultural Focus 1 1 22 1 9 3 2 1 1 1 1 3 Language Services 15 9 17 455 15 4 24 179 34 5 27 11 11 11 3 27 15 10 12 18 12 37 Total Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) 3 1 1 45 2 1 2 14 3 1 5 1 1 1 5 2 1 1 1 4 Information Directories Referrals Seniors’ Services in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Area Listed in Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book, 2008 Burnaby Multi-Activity Burnaby (City) Burnaby Parks, Recreation and Cultural Services Chinese Christian Mission Fraser Health Authority Network of Burnaby Seniors Seniors South Asian Friendship Society Seton Villa Volunteer Grandparents In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Household Senior Citizens’ Repair Service Seton Villa In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Langley Meals on Wheels Services Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Langley Senior Resources Society Counseling & Assistance Fraser Health Authority Health Support Services Multi-Activity Programs Boys and Girls Club Community Services of Delta/Richmond Delta Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Delta Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services Multi-Activity Programs Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Parks and Leisure Services Counseling & Assistance Ridge Meadows A ssociation for Community Living Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Transportation Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services New Westminster In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Burnaby Community Connections Seton Villa In-Home Services: Social Supports Deltassist Family and Community Services Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Burnaby (City) Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society Transportation Deltassist Family and Community Services Society Health Support Services Chinese Christian Mission Edmonds Community Centre for Older Adults Fraser Health Authority Langley Information, Directories & Referral Burnaby Parks, Recreation and Cultural Services Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society Edmonds Community Centre for Older Adults Advocacy BC Old Age Pensioners’ Organization Langley Coalition Against Abuse of Seniors Information, Directories & Referral New Westminster (City) Seniors Services Society Counseling & Assistance Ishtar Transition Housing Society Langley Senior Resources Society Counseling & Assistance New Westminster (City) Seniors Services Society Health Support Services Langley Senior Resources Society Information, Directories & Referral Langley Senior Resources Society Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Transportation Langley Senior Resources Society Information, Directories & Referral Capilano Community Services Society North Shore Community Resources Society North Shore Neighbourhood House Parkgate Community Services Silver Harbour Centre Society Ethno-cultural & Language Services Chinese Christian Mission Services for Seniors (ESA, CHI) Seniors South Asian Friendship Society (SA, HIN, PUN) Advocacy Network of Burnaby Seniors Counseling & Assistance Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society Education & Training Western Community-Centred College for the Retired Financial Assistance/Income Support BC Housing Transportation Burnaby Community Connections Delta In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority Multi-Activity Programs BC Old Age Pensioners’ Organization Langley Senior Resources Society Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Household Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows CommunityServices In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services North Shore Neighbourhood House North Shore Restorative Justice Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi In-Home Services: Social Supports Capilano Community Services Society Advocacy North Shore Community Resources Society Education & Training Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Multi-Activity Programs Fraser Health Authority New Westminster (City) Seniors Services Society Transportation Capilano Community Services Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority Information, Directories & Referral Always There for You Home Support Services Inc. Richmond Multicultural Concerns Society Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services SUCCESS Volunteer Richmond Information Services In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Seniors Services Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Seniors Services Society North Vancouver Multi-Activity Programs North Shore Assn for the Mentally Handicapped North Shore Neighbourhood House Parkgate Community Services Silver Harbour Centre Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Richmond Multi-Activity Programs Richmond Kinsmen Home Support Society Richmond Multicultural Concerns Society Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services Salvation Army, The - BC Division Volunteer Richmond Information Services Counseling & Assistance Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services SUCCESS (United Chinese Community Enrichment Services Society) Volunteer Richmond Information Services In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Richmond In-Home Services: Household Always There for You Home Support Services Inc In-Home Services: Social Supports Volunteer Richmond Information Services Health Support Services Richmond Kinsmen Home Support Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Richmond Counseling & Assistance Capilano Community Services Society North Shore Community Resources Society United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 8 Transportation Always There for You Home Support Services Inc. Ethno-cultural & Language Services SUCCESS (United Chinese Community Enrichment Services Society) SUCCESS Richmond Service Centre (IM, SEC, CAN, ESL, HIN, MAN, PUN) Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Counseling & Assistance Sea to Sky Community Services Society Information, Directories & Referral Sea to Sky Community Services Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Surrey and White Rock Multi-Activity Crescent Beach Community Services at Camp Alexandra DiverseCity Community Resources Society Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society White Rock Leisure Services In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Surrey-North Delta Meals on Wheels Society White Rock Meals on Wheels In-Home Services: Social Supports Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society Peace Arch Community Services Counseling & Assistance Fraser Health Authority Peace Arch Community Services Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. Information, Directories & Referral DiverseCity Community Resources Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society White Rock Leisure Services Ethno-cultural & Language Services Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society (SEC, ESL, HIN, PUN, URD) Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society (SA, HIN, PUN, URD) DiverseCity Community Resources Society English Classes – CAAPRI – (SEC, ESL) Advocacy Council of Senior Citizens’ Organizations of BC Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Education & Training DiverseCity Community Resources Society Surrey Crime Prevention Society Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Transportation White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society Tri-Cities Multi-Activity Programs Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Fraser Health Authority Pinetree 50plus Society Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery PoCoMo Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. Counseling & Assistance Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority (FHA) Information, Directories & Referral Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. Ethno-cultural and Language Services Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Tri-Cities Seniors Peer Counselling (ESA, CAN, MAN) Vancouver Multi-Activity Programs 411 Seniors Centre ASK Friendship Society Britannia Community Services Centre Society Brock House Seniors Citizens Activity Centre Cedar Cottage Neighbourhood House Centre, The (LGTB Community Centre) Chown Adult Day Centre Continental Seniors Centre Crossreach Seniors’ Day Centre Downtown Eastside Residents’ Association Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Gordon Neighbourhood House Health and Home Care Society of BC Italian Cultural Centre Society Japanese Community Volunteers’ Association Jewish Community Centre of Greater Vancouver Jewish Seniors Alliance of Greater Vancouver Kiwassa Neighbourhood House Lions Den Recreation Centre Little Mountain Senior Live Wires Marpole Oakridge Area Council Society Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC New Leaf Friends Oakridge Seniors Centre Peretz Centre for Secular Jewish Culture Renfrew-Collingwood Seniors’ Society Salvation Army South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Sunset Indo-Canadian Seniors Society Taoist Tai Chi Society of Canada Vancouver (City) Vancouver Aboriginal Friendship Centre Society Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Second Mile Society West End Seniors’ Network Health Support Services 411 Seniors Centre Health and Home Care Society of BC Holy Family Hospital Kitsilano Neighbourhood House Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC New Roots Centre Renfrew-Collingwood Seniors’ Society Seniors Well Aware Program SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Vancouver Vancouver Community Mental Health Services Vancouver General Hospital CABC) Saint James Community Service Society Seniors Well Aware Program South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Vancouver West End Seniors’ Network In-Home Services: Personal Care Holy Family Hospital Jewish Family Service Agency South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Vancouver Vancouver General Hospital In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Health and Home Care Society of BC Jewish Family Service Agency In-Home Services: Social Supports Britannia Community Services Centre Society Chalmers Lodge Japanese Community Volunteers’ Association Jewish Family Service Agency Information, Directories & Referral 411 Seniors Centre BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Britannia Community Services Centre Society Fedsinfo Japanese Community Volunteers’ Association Little Mountain Senior Live Wires Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House Vancouver (City) Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Coastal Health Authority – Vancouver Vancouver Second Mile Society West End Seniors’ Network Ethno-cultural & Language Services 411 Seniors Centre Multicultural Resource Center (ESL, MAN, SPA) Counseling & Assistance Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn BC Coalition to Eliminate Senior Citizens’ Club (ESA, CHI) Abuse of Seniors Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Centre, The (LGTB Community Centre) (ESA) Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Health and Home Care Society of BC Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Meals on Wheels (ESA) Fedsinfo Italian Cultural Centre Society Gordon Neighbourhood House Drop-in Center for Seniors (EUR) Holy Family Hospital Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Tonari Gumi – Social/Community Jewish Family Service Agency Services Ken Lagasse Chartered Accounting (ESA, PEC, JAP) Kitsilano Neighbourhood House Jewish Community Centre of Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation Greater Vancouver Ministry of Attorney General and Minister Jewish Seniors Program Dept. (ME, PEC) Responsible for Multiculturalism L’Chaim Adult Day Center (ME) Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Jewish Family Service Agency (ME, PEC) Native Courtworker and Jewish Seniors Alliance of Counselling Association of BC (NCGreater Vancouver (ME, SEC) United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 9 Kiwassa Neighbourhood House (AB, IM, PEC) Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Seniors Services (ESL) Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC Aboriginal Elders Support Program (AB) Peretz Centre for Secular Jewish Culture Solem Aleichem Seniors (ME) South Granville Seniors Centre South Granville Seniors Friendship Center Society (GEC) South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Chieng’s Adult Day Center (ESA, SEC, CHI) Harmony House Assisted Living (ESA, SEC, CHI) Sunset Indo-Canadian Seniors Society (SA, SEC, HIN, PUN) Taoist Tai Chi Society of Canada Vancouver Aboriginal Friendship Centre Society (AB, SEC) Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Ray-Cam Cooperative Center (AB, ESA, GEC) Vancouver (City) (AB, GEC) Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Vancouver Aboriginal Wellness Program (AB) Home Support Program (SA) Advocacy 411 Seniors Centre BC Association of Community Response Networks BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Jewish Seniors Alliance of Greater Vancouver Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation Ministry of Attorney General and Minister Responsible for Multiculturalism Vancouver Second Mile Society Education & Training 411 Seniors Centre BC Association of Community Response Networks BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation National Academy of Older Canadians Seniors Well Aware Program Vancouver Second Mile Society Financial Assistance/ Income Support Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Columbia Housing Advisory Association Vancouver (City) Vancouver Coastal Health Authority – Vancouver West Vancouver and Bowen Island In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery North Shore Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports North Shore Volunteers for Seniors Senior Citizens’ Special Services Society West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Multi-Activity Programs North Shore Volunteers for Seniors Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Counseling & Assistance Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Transportation Senior Citizens’ Special Services Society West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Appendix: Ethno-cultural and Language Codes Ethno-cultural AB Aboriginal AF African SEC Solely European Community PEC Primarily European Community GEC General Community and European Community IM Immigrants CB Caribbean ESA East and South Asian EU European LCSA Latin, Central and South American SA South Asian WA West Asian ME Middle East RF Refugees Language HIN Hindi PUN Punjabi CHI Chinese CAN Cantonese MAN Mandarin SPA Spanish URD Urdu KOR Korean VIE Vietnamese ESL English as a second language JAP Japanese Endnotes 1The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. 2See Simces, Zena & Associates, “Feasibility of Community-based Alternatives to Provide Daily Living Supports to Low Income Seniors in South Vancouver” (January, 2005) and Vancouver Coastal Health, “Seniors’ Services Partnership Initiative: Identifying Continuum Gaps and Vancouver Coastal Health. Seniors’ Services Partnership Initiative: Identifying Continuum Gaps and Opportunities in Providing Daily Living Supports to Seniors (September, 2005) Sources: Statistics Canada, 2006 Census, A Portrait of Seniors in Canada (2006),The Daily and “Dependent seniors at home—formal and informal help” (2003 report); BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008); Metro Vancouver’s Vital Signs 2007; CBC Radio British Columbia; Special Senate Committee on Aging, Embracing the Challenge of Aging (First Interim Report, March 2007); and Simces, Zena & Associates, “Feasibility of Community-based Alternatives to Provide Daily Living Supports to Low Income Seniors in South Vancouver” (Jan. 2005) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) Financial Services Columbia Housing Advisory Association Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Vancouver (City) Transportation Chown Adult Day Centre Crossreach Seniors’ Day Centre United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 10 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. BURNABY Seniors and Seniors’ Services Over the next two decades the number of adults age 65 and up is projected to double in the Burnaby Local Health Area.1 Dramatic as this growth is, the rate for seniors across the broader Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is expected to be even higher, at 118%. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a prewliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors Burnaby has the third largest seniors’ population in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area after Vancouver and Surrey/White Rock. Its total population is expected to rise by 35% between 2007 and 2027 – a rate of increase slightly higher than the regional growth expected of 30%. As Table 1 shows, Burnaby’s share of seniors in 2007 as a portion of its total population is slightly higher in each age category than the distribution across the broader region – a situation that reverses by 2027, when Burnaby’s share of older adults is expected to be slightly lower than the region as a whole. Focusing on the ten-year period to 2017, the number of Burnaby seniors age 65 and up is expected to rise by over one-third, from 28,100 to 38,300. The area’s share of seniors in the region will fall slightly over this period, from 10% to 9%. Burnaby adults age 80+ will increase by 26%, from 8,100 to 10,250, with the LHA’s share of all seniors in this category remaining steady at approximately 10%. Summary One in ten older adults in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area currently resides in Burnaby, making the community the third largest concentration of seniors in the region. Even so, Burnaby’s older adult population is expected to double over the next two decades. The community has the third largest number of older adults living alone in the region, the fifth highest proportion of low-income seniors, and a highly diverse population. One in five residents is a recent immigrant, having arrived since 2001. Current seniors’ services in Burnaby roughly match its share of the region’s seniors’ population and, unlike most communities in the region, the full range of seniors’ services is available locally, including several agencies with an ethno-cultural focus and language services. Unless the growth in services keeps pace with the growth in the seniors’ population, however, a shortfall in number and range of seniors’ services can be expected in the future. Table 1: Burnaby LHA Seniors 2007 2017 % Total Pop. 215,735 100.0 65+ 28,111 75+ 13,660 85+ 3,862 2027 % % Change % 2007-2017. 2007-2027 . 291,779 100.0 17.8 35.2 15.1 56,013 19.2 36.3 99.3 6.5 23,773 8.1 21.5 74.0 2.1 6,499 2.2 40.0 68.3 254,112 100.0 13.0 38,311 6.3 16,594 1.8 5,407 Source: BC Stats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Burnaby Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Burnaby 22,995 41,413 80.1 14,451 32,240 123.1 9,798 17,274 76.3 3,862 6,499 68.3 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents the population figures for Burnaby adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the 65-74 age group, which will experience the greatest increase both in Burnaby (123%) and regionwide (142%) over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by 5-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Burnaby 7,668 6,783 5,546 4,252 2,556 1,306 28,111 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Burnaby’s Share 9.7% 10.4% 10.0% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 10.0% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in Burnaby by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. The current median age of 38.7 (half of the population is below this age and half above) in Burnaby will rise to 41.5 by 2017 and to 44.7 by 2027. The median age at death, now 81.1, is expected to rise slightly to 81.6 in 2017 before falling back to 80.5 in 2027. Older people residing on their own are often more vulnerable and generally more in need of in-home support services. According to the 2006 Census, over one quarter (27%, or 7,150) of Burnaby seniors in private households lived alone. Burnaby has the third largest number of older adults living alone in the region, after Vancouver and Surrey. Burnaby LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults age 65 and up in Burnaby was 24.1%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland as a whole. Burnaby has the fifth highest proportion of low-income seniors in the region. In the same year, 6.2% of Burnaby seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—7.2% of female and 4% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, for which immigrant seniors’ data is not yet available, 50.3% of Burnaby’s population are immigrants and one in five of the total population is a newcomer (21% or 21,790 individuals), having arrived in the community sometime between 2001 and 2006. The majority (72%) of Burnaby’s recent immigrants are from Asia, including Mainland China, Hong Kong, the Philippines and India. After English, the languages most often spoken in the home are Chinese (21%), Korean (3%), and Punjabi (2%).3 The Census reports that 10.2% of Burnaby’s immigrant population has knowledge of neither English nor French. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Burnaby Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Population Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.). agencies and the size of the population they serve. Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also provides a rough indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. Like most communities, the most common type of seniors’ service available in Burnaby is the multi-activity program (nearly 30% of all listings). In-home support services come next (almost 20%), including household services (2 listings), meal preparation and delivery (12), social supports (19) and personal care (23). Health authority services such as adult day programs and mental health centres come third (13.5%). With 18 agency listings, or 9.5% of the total, Burnaby’s proportion of services is close to its share of the region’s seniors’ population (10%). This puts it in the same category as North Vancouver, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, New Westminster, and West Vancouver – communities where a rough match seems to exist between the number of The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Burnaby provide a full array of service, a situation found in very few communities in the region. Table 5 ranks the seniors’ services in Burnaby by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC, or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Burnaby % of Burnaby % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 11 29.7 11.3 In-home Support Services 58 7 18.9 12.1 Health Support Services 50 5 13.5 10.0 Information, Directories, Referral 37 4 10.8 10.8 Language Services 23 3 8.1 13.0 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 2 5.4 5.3 Advocacy 15 1 2.7 6.7 Counseling and Assistance 46 1 2.7 2.2 Education and Training 12 1 2.7 8.3 Financial Assistance 4 1 2.7 25.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 1 2.7 7.7 Total 393 37 100.0 9.4 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Burnaby Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs Burnaby Parks, Recreation and Cultural Services Chinese Christian Mission City of Burnaby Fraser Health Authority Network of Burnaby Seniors Seniors South Asian Friendship Society Seton Villa Volunteer Grandparents In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Burnaby Community Connections Seton Villa In-Home Services: Social Supports Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society City of Burnaby Health Support Services Chinese Christian Mission Edmonds Community Centre for Older Adults Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Household Senior Citizens’ Repair Service Seton Villa Information, Directories & Referral Burnaby Parks, Recreation and Cultural Services Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society Edmonds Community Centre for Older Adults Ethno-cultural & Language Services Chinese Christian Mission Services for Seniors (East and Chinese) Seniors South Asian Friendship Society (South Asian, Hindi, Punjabi) Counseling & Assistance Burnaby Seniors Outreach Service Society Education & Training Western Community-Centred College for the Retired Financial Assistance BC Housing Transportation Burnaby Community Connections Advocacy Network of Burnaby Seniors Endnotes 1 The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2 The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty – Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. DELTA Seniors and Seniors’ Services The number of adults age 65 and up is projected to double in the Delta Local Health Area1 over the next two decades, rising 113% by 2027. Dramatic as this growth is, the rate for seniors across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is expected to be slightly higher, at 118%. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors The total population of Delta Local Health Area, now accounting for less than 5% of regional residents, is expected to rise over the next two decades by one of the lowest rates in the region (3.5%) – much lower than the broader area’s population growth of 30%. Against this backdrop, however, Delta seniors as a portion of its total population will increase significantly. Currently the Local Health Area’s share of seniors in each of the age categories shown in Table 1 is similar to the distribution for the region. By 2027, however, Delta’s share of seniors is expected to be greater than the average for the broader region and in fact the second largest among the Local Health Areas after West Vancouver. Adults aged 65 and up in Delta will then represent 27% of its total population (compared with 30.4% in West Vancouver and 21% for the region). Those aged 75+ in Delta will account for 12% of its total population (compared with 9% in the region), and those aged 85 and up, for 3% (compared with 2% across the region). Summary Delta is the region’s eighth largest Local Health Area in terms of total population, and the number of residents is forecast to grow very slowly (under 4%) between 2007 and 2027. As a portion of its total population, however, Delta’s seniors are expected to double over this period, coming to represent over one-quarter of its total population – and the second largest concentration of seniors in the region after West Vancouver. The number of its current seniors’ services—and also the number of services provided by organizations in adjacent communities – falls slightly below its share of the region’s seniors’ population. This shortage will need to be addressed as the projected doubling of the 65+ population calls for even more services to meet the demands of an aging population. For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of Delta adults 65 and over is expected to rise by over one-half, from 13,450 to 20,750. The area’s share of seniors in the region will increase slightly over this period, from 4.8% to 5.1%. Delta adults age 80+ will increase by 23%, from 3,600 to 4,400, with the area’s share of all seniors in this category remaining falling very slightly from 4.5% to 4.2%. Table 1: Delta LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 % 2027 % % Change % 2007-2017 2007-2027 100.0 2.8 3.5 28,727 27.1 54.3 113.6 13,062 12.3 31.2 113.1 2.8 42.0 75.3 Total Pop. 102,375 100.0 105,199 100.0 65+ 13,452 13.1 20,761 19.7 75+ 6,129 6.0 8,044 7.6 85+ 1,709 1.7 2,426 2.3 2,996 105,949 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Delta Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 2007 2027 % Chg 65-74 2007 2027 % Chg 75-84 2007 2027 % Chg 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg Delta 13,544 14,685 8.4 7,323 15,665 113.9 4,420 10,066 127.7 1709 2,996 75.3 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Delta adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age 65-74 and 75-84 groups. These will experience the greatest increases in Delta (114% and 128% respectively) and the region as a whole (142% and 99% respectively) over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by 5-Year Age Groups 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Delta 4,253 3,070 2,543 1,877 1,176 533 13,452 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Delta’s Share 5.4% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 3.8% 4.8% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in Delta by five-year age groups in 2007. As with most other communities in the region, adults aged 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. The current median age in Delta of 41.4 (half of the population is below this age and half above) will rise to 46.6 by 2027. The median age at death is now 80.8. Delta LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older adults residing on there own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, 22.9%, or 2,770) of Delta seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. This puts Delta close to Richmond and Surrey, the two communities with the lowest proportions of live-alone seniors in the region (20% and 20.7% respectively). In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among older adults age 65 and up in Delta was 15.1%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. In the same year, 3.1% of Delta seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—3.5% of female seniors and 2.7% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, for which immigrant seniors’ data is not yet available, just over a quarter of Delta’s residents (28%) are immiSource: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Delta Local Health Area grants. Of these immigrants, 8.6% have knowledge of neither English nor French. Newcomers who arrived between 2001 and 2006 make up 13.7% of the immigrant population. Most of these people (72%) are from India and other parts of Asia. After English, the languages spoken most often at home by Delta residents are Punjabi (7%), Chinese (3%), Hindi (0.7%), Filipino (0.6%), and Korean (0.4%).3 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for the LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives a rough indication of the current match or mismatch between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various cities in the region. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With seven listings, or 3.7% of the total, Delta’s share of service agencies is slightly lower than its share of the regional seniors’ population (4.8%). The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Delta each provide a quite limited range of services. Table 5 ranks the seniors’ services in Delta by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Like most communities, multi-activity programs are the most common type of seniors’ service in Delta, followed by counseling and assistance services, and health authority services such as adult day programs and mental health centres. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. The distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities is presented in Table 8 of the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As that table shows, the existence of agencies serving Delta from adjacent municipalities results in an increase in the number of services offered to older adults from 10 to 18, or 4% of the region’s overall total. The transportation difficulties many seniors experience in accessing services also needs to be taken into account. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Delta % of Delta % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 3 30.0 3.1 Counseling and Assistance 46 2 20.0 4.3 Health Support Services 50 2 20.0 4.0 In-home Support Services 58 2 20.0 3.4 Transportation 13 1 10.0 7.7 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Information, Directories, Referral 37 0 0.0 0.0 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0 0.0 Language Services 23 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 10 100.0 2.5 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Delta Red Book Listings In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Langley Meals on Wheels Services Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Langley Senior Resources Society Counseling & Assistance Fraser Health Authority Health Support Services Multi-Activity Programs Boys and Girls Club Community Services of Delta/Richmond Delta Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Delta Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Deltassist Family and Community Services Society Transportation Deltassist Family and Community Services Society Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. LANGLEY Seniors and Seniors’ Services While the overall population of the Langley Local Health Area1 is projected to increase by 56% over the next two decades, the number of older adults within its boundaries is expected to more than double. The 137% increase in Langley’s population 65 years and up exceeds the growth rate for seniors anticipated for the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area as a whole – 118% The Langley Local Health Area (hereafter called Langley) encompasses the City and Township of Langley, with the City representing just less than one-fifth of the total population (or 23,600 residents). In 2007 the area’s total population of 125,400 accounted for 5.5% of all Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky residents. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of Langley seniors age 65 and up is expected to rise by just over one-half, from 16,100 to 24,800. The area’s share of seniors in the region will increase slightly over this period, from 5.7% to 6.1%. Summary The age distribution of older adults in Langley is very similar to the pattern found across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. However, the projected growth rate for its population over 65 is considerably higher than that forecast region-wide. Langley City has both the highest percentage of low-income seniors and seniors who live alone in the region. Like most communities, the number of agency listings for Langley is lower than its share of the regional seniors’ population. Even when the full scope of services by type and those offered from adjacent communities are taken into account, however, Langley (along with the Howe Sound Local Health Area) has the lowest share of seniors’ services in the region. The sizeable increase expected for the seniors’ population calls for more services to meet the demands of Langley’s aging population. Langley’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population in 2007 is a little higher in each age category in Table 1 than the distribution for the region, but this will reverse modestly by 2027, when seniors 65 and up in Langley will account for just under one in five total residents, and the older age groups (75+ and 85+) will make up around 9% and 2% respectively. Langley adults age 80+ will increase by 23%, from 5,100 to 6,300, with the Local Health Area share of all seniors in this category falling slightly from 4.1%to 3.9%. Table 1: Langley LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 2027 % % % 2007-2017 % Change 2007-2027 55.7 Total Pop. 125,382 100.0 159,751 100.0 195,201 100.0 27.4 65+ 16,112 12.9 24,866 15.6 38,143 19.5 54.3 136.7 75+ 8,192 6.5 10,348 6.5 16,819 8.6 26.3 105.3 85+ 2,590 2.1 3,636 2.3 4,565 2.3 40.4 76.3 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Langley LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Langley 14,213 24,716 73.9% 7,920 21,324 169.2% 5,602 12,254 118.7% 2,590 4,565 76.3% LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8% 144,074 348,151 141.6% 96,917 193,030 99.2% 39,313 69,205 76.0% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Langley adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the 65-74 age group, which will experience a significant increase over the next two decades – nearly 170%, compared with 142% across the region. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Langley 4,426 3,494 3,065 2,537 1,733 857 16,112 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Langley’s Share 5.6% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.7% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying graph show seniors in the Local Health Area by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just under half of all seniors. The median age in Langley is currently 39 (half of the population is below this age and half is above). This is expected to rise to 40.7 by 2017 and to 43 by 2027. The corresponding figures for the median age at death are 80.8, 80.3, and 80.4. Langley LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 5% 90+ Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, 43% of seniors (or 1,690 individuals) in Langley City and 38% (2,410) in the Township of Langley who resided in private households lived alone in 2006. Langley City has the highest proportion of live-alone seniors in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. 11% 85-89 16% 80-84 19% 75-79 22% 70-74 In 2006, the incidence of low income among older adults age 65 and up in Langley City was 31.1%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. In fact, Langley City has the highest percentage of seniors living in poverty in the region, ahead of Vancouver and Richmond with 26.7% and 25% respectively. In 2006, 1.6% of Langley seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—1.9% of female seniors and 1.2% of male seniors. 27% 65-69 2 85-89 11% 90+ 5% 65-69 27% 80-84 16% 75-79 19% 70-74 22% Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Langley Local Health Area According to the 2006 Census, for which no immigrant seniors’ data is yet available, immigrants made up 17.7 % (4,170 individuals) of the population of Langley City and 16.9% (15,885) of the Township. Nearly 17% of the City’s immigrants and 15% of the District’s immigrants are newcomers who arrived between 2001 and 2006. The majority of the recent immigrants are from Asia. After English, the top languages spoken most often at home are Korean, Chinese, Vietnamese, and Punjabi. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives a rough indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With six agency listings, or 3.2% of the total, Langley’s proportion of services represents just over half its share of the region’s seniors’ population (5.7%). This puts in Langley in step with most communities in that the number of seniors’ services falls below their propor- tion of the region’s seniors’ population. In the Tri-Cities, Richmond, and Surrey/White Rock this mismatch is even more pronounced. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Langley each provide one or more types of service. Table 5 ranks these services by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. Langley’s seniors’ services include advocacy, counseling and assistance, in-home support services and information, directories and referrals. There are two listings for multi-activity programs, the most commonly offered seniors’ service across the region, but several other kinds of services for older adults are not available locally. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As that table shows, the existence of agencies serving Langley seniors from adjacent municipalities increases the number of services offered to 12. However, the difficulties many older adults experience with transportation need to be taken into account. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Langley % of Langley % of LM/SS In-home Support Services 58 3 25.0% 5.2% Advocacy 15 2 0.0% 13.3% Counseling and Assistance 46 2 16.7% 4.3% Multi-Activity Program 97 2 16.7% 2.1% Health Support Services 50 1 8.3% 2.0% Information, Directories, Referral 37 1 8.3% 2.7% Education and Training 12 0 0.0% 0.0% Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0% 0.0% Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 1 8.3% 7.7% Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0% 0.0% Language Services 23 0 0.0% 0.0% Total 335 12 100.0% 3.6% Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Langley Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs BC Old Age Pensioners’ Organization Langley Senior Resources Society Advocacy BC Old Age Pensioners’ Organization Langley Coalition Against Abuse of Seniors Health Support Services Langley Senior Resources Society Information, Directories & Referral Langley Senior Resources Society Transportation Langley Senior Resources Society Counseling & Assistance Ishtar Transition Housing Society Langley Senior Resources Society Endnotes 1 The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2 The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. MAPLE RIDGE Seniors and Seniors’ Services While the contingent of adults age 65 and over in the Maple Ridge Local Health Area1 is currently the second smallest in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, the seniors’ population will more than double over the next two decades. The projected increase of nearly 150% is considerably higher than the 118% growth rate anticipated for the region as a whole. Summary Ridge Meadows currently has the third lowest share of seniors in the region, after the Sea to Sky communities and New Westminster. At 3.6%, this share is roughly matched by the LHA’s percentage of the region’s seniors’ services (3.7%). However, by 2027, having grown faster than all but three LHAs in the region, the seniors’ population in Ridge Meadows will be more than double what it is today and one in five residents will be 65 years of age and over. Unless more services are put in place, a shortfall in the number and range of seniors’ services can be expected The Maple Ridge LHA encompasses the District Municipalities of Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows and is also known as Ridge Meadows. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors In 2007 Ridge Meadows’ population of 92,500 represented 4% of the region’s total residents. As the population is expected to increase by 40% over the next two decades, it will grow faster than the region as a whole (30%). For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of Ridge Meadows seniors age 65 and up is expected to rise by over 50%, from 10,150 to 15,900. The LHA’s share of seniors in the region will increase very slightly over this period, from 3.6% to 3.9%. Ridge Meadows adults age 80+ will increase by just under half, from 2,700 to 4,000, with the LHA share of all seniors in this category growing only slightly from 3.4% to 3.8%. Maple Ridge LHA’s share of seniors in each of the age categories shown in Table 1, while currently lower than the region’s share in each category, will shift to an age distribution like the region’s by 2027. At that time, adults 65 and up will account for one in five Ridge Meadows residents, and the older age groups (75+ and 85+) will make up around 8% and 2% of the community’s total population, respectively. Table 1: Maple Ridge LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 2027 % Change Total Pop. 91,514 100.0 109,716 100.0 128,294 100.0 19.9 40.2 65+ 10,153 11.1 15,971 14.6 25,263 19.7 57.3 148.8 75+ 4,766 5.2 6,694 6.1 10,580 8.2 40.5 122.0 85+ 1,259 1.4 2,082 1.9 2,819 2.2 65.4 123.9 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Maple Ridge LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Maple Ridge 9,464 17,480 84.7 5,387 14,683 172.6 3,507 7,761 121.3 1,259 2,819 123.9 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents the number of adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups for both the Maple Ridge LHA and the whole region between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation is evident in the growth forecast for the 65-74 age group. While the Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky area is expected to experience a significant increase (142%) in this age group over the next two decades, its growth rate is even higher in Ridge Meadows (173%). Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Maple Ridge 3,007 2,380 2,063 1,444 860 399 10,153 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Maple Ridge’s Share 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 3.4% 2.9% 3.6% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the LHA by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults age 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. The median age in Ridge Meadows is currently 38.8 (i.e. half the population is below this age and half is above). This makes it one of the younger communities in the region, particularly in comparison to West VancouverBowen Island where the median age is now 47.9. This is expected to change, however, as the median age in Ridge Meadows rises to 41.4 by 2017 and 43.4 by 2027. Corresponding figures for the median age at death in Ridge Meadows are 77, 78 and 79. Maple Ridge LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older people residing on their own generally need more in-home support services. According to the 2006 Census, just over one-quarter (27.7%, or 2,050) of the seniors in Maple Ridge and 26.1% (455) of those in Pitt Meadows lived alone. The percentage of live-alone seniors ranges from a high of 43% in the City of Langley to a low of 20% in Richmond. In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults 65 and up was 17.6% in Maple Ridge and 18.1% in Pitt Meadows, slightly lower than the 20.8% average for the BC Lower Mainland. In the same year, 1.9% of Ridge Meadows seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—2.3% of female and 1.3% of male seniors. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Maple Ridge Local Health Area According to the 2006 Census, for which no immigrant seniors’ data is yet available, immigrants made up 17% (11,745 individuals) of the population of Maple Ridge and 21% (3,240 persons) of Pitt Meadows. Of these immigrants, 3.3% in Maple Ridge and 4.3% in Pitt Meadows had knowledge of neither English nor French. Twelve percent of Maple Ridge immigrants and 14% of Pitt Meadows immigrants were newcomers, having arrived between 2001 and 2006. Approximately half of the recent immigrants in Maple Ridge were from Asia, and the same proportion in Pitt Meadows came mainly from the Chinese Mainland and India. The languages spoken most often at home by Maple Ridge residents, after English, are Chinese (0.9%), Korean (0.7%) and Punjabi (0.6%).3 Pitt Meadows also has small numbers of Chinese (2.5%), Punjabi (2.5%) and Korean (0.8%) speakers. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Seniors’ Services In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for the LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, an indication of the city’s role as the region’s seniors’ service hub. The table also provides a rough indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in various communities. It shows that only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of its population over 65. With seven agency listings, or 3.7% of the total, the Maple Ridge LHA’s proportion of services approximates its share of the region’s older population (3.6%). This puts Ridge Meadows in the same category as North Vancouver, New Westminster, and West Vancouver – communities where a rough match currently exists between the number of seniors’ agencies and the size of the population they serve. The seniors’ service agencies and branch operations based in Ridge Meadows provide an incomplete array of services. (For the classification of seniors’ services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Table 5 ranks the Maple Ridge LHA’s seniors’ services by type. The most common kind of service for seniors in Ridge Meadows is in-home support. All sorts of in-home support services are available for seniors in this community, including household (home and garden maintenance), meal preparation and delivery, social supports, and personal care. This makes Ridge Meadows different from other communities where multi-activity programs tend to predominate. Seniors’ services that are not available locally (according to the Red Book) are education and training services, financial assistance, and services offering an ethno-cultural focus or language service. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwester BC or province-wide. The distribution of this full scope of seniors’ services across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is presented in Table 8 of the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Maple Ridge % of Maple Ridge % of LM/SS In-home Support Services 58 3 25.0 5.2 Advocacy 15 2 0.0 13.3 Counselling and Assistance 46 2 16.7 4.3 Multi-Activity Programs 97 2 16.7 2.1 Health Support Services 50 1 8.3 2.0 Information, Directories, Referral 37 1 8.3 2.7 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 1 8.3 7.7 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0 0.0 Language Services 23 0 0.0 0.0 Total 335 12 100.0 3.6 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows Red Book Listings In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Household Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services Counseling & Assistance Ridge Meadows Association for Community Living Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Transportation Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services In-Home Services: Social Supports Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Community Services Multi-Activity Programs Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows Parks and Leisure Services Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form a part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and Township), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. Projection Run 32, 2006 Census and Socio-Economic Profiles; BC Multiculturalism & Immigration Branch, Profiles of Immigrants in BC Communities 2006; Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. NEW WESTMINSTER Seniors and Seniors’ Services Older adults age 65 and up will double in the New Westminster Local Health Area1 over the next two decades. Dramatic as this growth is, the rate for seniors across the broader Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is even greater, at 118%. Summary New Westminster has only 3% of the total population in the region, making it the second smallest Local Health Area after the Sea to Sky communities. The small proportion of residents aged 65 and over make it second smallest in this respect too (18.5%), again after Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton (15%). New Westminster has the fourth highest proportion of low-income seniors in the region. Like many other communities in the Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky area, the number of seniors is expected to double in New Westminster between 2007 and 2027. Although the full range of seniors’ services is not available in the community, the number of services available through organizations in adjacent municipalities means there is a rough match between services and New West’s share of the region’s seniors’ population. The doubling of the 65+ population calls for more services to meet the demands of an aging population. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors With respect to total population, the New Westminster Local Health Area is currently the third smallest in the region. Its 63,000 residents in 2007, representing only 2.8% of the region’s total, will rise by almost half again over the next two decades to nearly 90,000. This growth rate is higher than the broader region’s increase of 30% over this period. New Westminster’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population in 2007 is slightly higher in each age category in Table 1 than the distribution across the region as a whole — a situation that reverses by 2027, when New Westminster’s share of older adults is expected to be slightly less than the regional distribution. For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of New Westminster adults age 65 and up is expected to rise by just over a third, from 8,000 to 10,800. The area’s share of seniors in the region will fall slightly over this period, from 2.9% to 2.6%. New Westminster adults age 80+ will decrease by 8%, from 2,600 to 2,400, with the area’s share of all seniors in this category also falling from 3.3% to 2.3%. Table 1: New Westminster LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 % 2027 % 2007-2017 2007-2027 63,018 100.0 76,437 100.0 89,856 100.0 21.3 42.6 65+ 8,010 12.7 10,811 14.1 16,591 18.5 35.0 107.1 75+ 4,292 6.8 4,045 5.3 6,421 7.1 -5.8 49.6 85+ 1,303 2.1 1,299 1.7 1,274 1.4 -0.3 -2.2 Total Pop. % % Change BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, New Westminster LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg New West. 7,184 13,616 89.5 3,718 10,170 173.5 2,989 5,147 72.2 1,303 1,274 -2.2 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents New Westminster adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age group 65-74, which will experience a significant increase, particularly in New Westminster (174%), but also in the region as a whole (142%) over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total New West. 2,047 1,671 1,663 1,326 831 472 8,010 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 New West’s Share 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 2.9% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the New Westminster Local Health Area by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up nearly half of all seniors. The current median age in New Westminster of 40.1 (half of the population is below this age and half above) will rise to 42.4 by 2017 and to 45.2 by 2027. The corresponding figures for the median age at death are 79.9, 75.1, and 75.1. New Westminster LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in more need of in-home support services than seniors sharing accommodation with a spouse, for example. According to the Census, over one quarter (26%, or 2,830) of New Westminster seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. This compares to Langley City with 43%, the highest proportion of seniors living alone in the region, and Richmond with 20%, the lowest. Of the 212 homeless seniors (55+) counted in Metro Vancouver’s 2008 homeless count, 16 (or 8%) were found in New Westminster. New West was one of four communities where more than 10 homeless seniors were counted (the others being Vancouver, Surrey and North Vancouver). In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among older adults age 65 and up in New Westminster was 24.6%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. The LHA had the fourth highest proportion of low-income seniors in the region, behind Langley City, Vancouver and Richmond. In 2006 as well, 4.3% of New Westminster seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—4.7% of female and 3.7% of male seniors. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Burnaby Local Health Area According to the 2006, for which immigrant seniors’ data is not yet available, immigrants made up 31.4% (18,360 individuals) of New Westminster’s population in 2006. Of these immigrants, 5.6% have knowledge of neither English nor French. Twenty-three percent of New West’s immigrant population is newcomers (4,245 individuals), having arrived between 2001 and 2006. The majority (72%) of these people are from Eastern Europe, the Philippines, and Asia including Mainland China and India. After English, the languages spoken most often at home in New Westminster households are Chinese (4%), Punjabi (3%), and Filipino (2%).3 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland and Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also provides a rough indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With five agency listings, or 2.6% of the total, New Westminster’s proportion of services is relatively close to its share of the region’s seniors’ population (2.9%). This puts it in the same category as North Vancouver, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, and West Vancouver – communities where a rough match seems to exist between the seniors’ agencies and the population they serve. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in New Westminster provide a quite limited range of services. Table 5 ranks the number of New Westminster’s seniors’ services by type. (For the classification of seniors’ services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Like most communities, multi-activity programs are the most common type of seniors’ service in New Westminster, followed by in-home support services (consisting of one listing each for meal preparation and delivery, social supports, and personal care), counseling and assistance, health support services (such as adult day programs and mental health centres), and information, directories, and referral services. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC, or province-wide. For the distribution of all seniors’ services in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As that table shows, the addition of agencies serving New Westminster from adjacent municipalities results in a modest increase in the number of services offered to the community’s seniors, from 13 to 15. However, the transportation difficulties many seniors’ experience need to taken into account as well. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS New West % of New West % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 4 30.8 4.1 In-home Support Services 58 3 23.1 5.2 Counseling and Assistance 46 2 15.4 4.3 Health Support Services 50 2 15.4 4.0 Information, Directories, Referral 37 2 15.4 5.4 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance/Income Support 4 0 0.0 0.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 0 0.0 0.0 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0 0.0 Language Services 23 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 13 100.0 3.3 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) New Westminster Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs Fraser Health Authority City of New Westminster Seniors Services Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Seniors Services Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Seniors Services Society Information, Directories & Referral City of New Westminster Seniors Services Society Counseling & Assistance City of New Westminster Seniors Services Society Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2 The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty – Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3 The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. NORTH VANCOUVER Seniors and Seniors’ Services The number of seniors aged 65 and up will nearly double (93%) in the North Vancouver Local Health Area1 over the next two decades, a growth rate that falls below the 118% increase expected in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area as a whole. The North Vancouver LHA encompasses both the City and the District of North Vancouver, with the City representing about a third of the total population. In 2007 the LHA’s population of 137,500 represented six percent of the region’s total. The total population of the LHA is projected to rise by 17% over the next two decades, again a rate much lower than the 30% increase anticipated for the region as a whole. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors North Vancouver LHA’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population in 2007 is slightly higher in each of the age categories (Table 1) than the distribution across the region, and will remain so until 2027. At that time, adults 65 and up will account for just over one in five North Vancouverites, and the older age groups (75+ and 85+) will make up around 9% and 2% respectively. Summary North Vancouver’s median age makes it the third ‘oldest’ community in the region. Its seniors’ population accounts for 6.4% of all seniors region-wide. The number of older adults in North Vancouver will nearly double by 2027, even though its share of the region’s seniors at that time is expected to be slightly lower than it is today (5.7%). North Van currently has a slightly higher proportion of low-income seniors than average, and an overall population less diverse than most. A more or less complete range of seniors’ services is currently available and the proximity of service organizations in West Vancouver means a larger number of services are available to North Vancouver’s older residents. Even so, the doubling of the 65+ population calls for more services to meet the demands of an aging population For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of North Vancouver adults age 65 and up is expected to rise by over one-third, from 17,800 to 24,100. The LHA’s share of seniors in the region will fall slightly over this period, from 6.4% to just less than 6%. North Vancouver adults age 80+ will increase by 22%, from 5,000 to 6,200, with the area’s share of all seniors in this category declining very slightly from 6.3% to 6% Table 1: North Vancouver LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 2027 % % % 2007-2017 2007-2027 Total Pop. 137,495 100.0 65+ 17,852 75+ 8,733 85+ 2,444 % Change 150,644 100.0 161,228 100.0 9.6 17.3 13.0 24,141 16.0 34,579 21.4 35.2 93.7 6.4 10,177 6.8 14,610 9.1 16.5 67.3 1.8 3,376 2.2 3,871 2.4 38.1 58.4 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, North Vancouver LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg North Van 16,146 22,960 42.2 9,119 19,969 119.0 6,289 10,739 70.8 2,444 3,871 58.4 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents North Vancouver adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation is evident in the 65-74 age group, where an increase of 119% over the next two decades is expected (compared with 142% region-wide). Table 3: Seniors by 5-Year Age Groups 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total North Van 4,952 4,167 3,648 2,641 1,627 817 17,852 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 North Van’s Share 6.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.4% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the North Vancouver by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. North Vancouver is currently the third oldest LHA in the region after West Vancouver and Delta. Its current median age of 40.9 (half of the population is below this age and half is above) is expected to rise to 43.3 by 2017 and to 45.1 by 2027. The corresponding figures for the median age at death are 81.2, 81.9, and 81.2. North Vancouver LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and in need of more in-home support services than those sharing accommodation with a spouse, for example. According to the Census, four in ten seniors (2,350 individuals) in North Vancouver City and one-quarter (25.5%, or 2,710 persons) in the District who resided in private households lived alone in 2006. In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults age 65 and up in North Vancouver was 22.5%, compared with the average of 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. In the same year, 3.1% of North Vancouver LHA seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) — 3.4% of female and 2.7% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, immigrants made up 36.3% (16,385 inSource: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, North Vancouver Local Health Area dividuals) of the population of North Vancouver City and 31.5% (25,995) of the District. Of these immigrants, 3.8% in the City and 2.6% in the District had knowledge of neither English nor French. Twenty-one percent of the City’s immigrants (3,470) and 15.7% of the District’s immigrants (4,075 persons) were newcomers who arrived between 2001 and 2006. Over half of the recent immigrants in the area were from Asia and the Middle East. After English, the languages most often spoken at home are Persian (Farsi), Chinese, and Korean. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Population Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Seniors’ Services In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland and Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of these listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also provides an indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With 12 agency listings, or 6.3% of the total, North Vancouver’s proportion of services closely approximates its share of the region’s seniors’ population (6.4%). This puts it in the same category as Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, New Westminster and West Vancouver – communities where a match seems to exist between the number of seniors’ agencies and the size of the population they serve. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in North Vancouver provide a fairly complete range of services. Table 5 ranks the number of North Vancouver seniors’ services by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Two kinds of services are commonly available for older adults in North Vancouver – information, directories and referral, and multi-activity programs. Most other services are available in the LHA, the exceptions being education and training, transportation services and financial assistance. Some seniors’ organizations listed in the Red Book also offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As that table shows, some of the North Vancouver and West Vancouver agencies offer programs and services across the North Shore, which means that the full extent of services available to seniors in the North Vancouver increases from 23 to 27. Whether older adults can make use of these services depends on their ability to access transportation. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS North Vancouver % of North Vancouver % of LM/SS 37 5 21.7 13.5 In-home Support Services 97 5 21.7 5.2 Health Support Services 46 4 17.4 8.7 Information, Directories, Referral 50 4 17.4 8.0 Multi-Activity Programs Language Services 58 2 8.7 3.4 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 15 1 0.0 6.7 Advocacy 12 1 4.3 8.3 Counseling and Assistance 13 1 4.3 7.7 Education and Training 4 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 38 0 0.0 0.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 23 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 23 100.0 5.9 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) North Vancouver Red Book Listings Information, Directories & Referral Capilano Community Services Society North Shore Community Resources Society North Shore Neighbourhood House Parkgate Community Services Silver Harbour Centre Society Multi-Activity Programs North Shore Assn for the Mentally Handicapped North Shore Neighbourhood House Parkgate Community Services Silver Harbour Centre Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Counseling & Assistance Capilano Community Services Society North Shore Community Resources Society North Shore Neighbourhood House North Shore Restorative Justice Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi In-Home Services: Social Supports Capilano Community Services Society Advocacy North Shore Community Resources Society Education & Training Vancouver Coastal Health Authority Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Transportation Capilano Community Services Society Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. RICHMOND Seniors and Seniors’ Services The number of older adults age 65 and up in the Richmond Local Health Area1 is expected to more than double over the next two decades. The projected growth rate of 163% for Richmond seniors is much higher than the growth rate of 118% anticipated across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Summary Richmond’s older adult population is projected to grow faster over the next 20 years than all but two areas in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky region, Howe sound and the Tri-Cities. Richmond is also expected to be third (along with Tri-Cities) in terms of absolute gains in the over 65 population, behind Surrey/White Rock and Vancouver. While the proportion of seniors living alone in the community is the lowest in the region, the percentage living under the poverty line is high – only Langley City and Vancouver have larger shares of low-income seniors. Although 2006 census data for immigrant seniors is not yet available, the municipality has the highest proportion of foreign-born people in the country, many over 65. With only nine seniors’ service agency listings in the Red Book, or 4.8% of the region’s total, Richmond’s share of services is only a little more than half its share of the region’s seniors’ population (8.3%). This puts it in the same category as Surrey and White Rock, the Tri-Cities and Langley – communities that have a clear shortage of services for seniors. There is also an incomplete array of services for older adults in Richmond. The growth projections for older age groups in Richmond call for more services to meet the demands of its aging population. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors Richmond (over 185,000 people) represents a little over 8% of the region’s total population. The community is expected to grow by 28% over the next two decades, a rate slightly below that anticipated for the region as a whole (30%). These growth rates pale in comparison to the increase projected for Richmond’s seniors, which at 163%, is much higher than the rate forecast for seniors region-wide (118%). In fact Richmond can be expected to experience the third highest percentage and absolute gains in the over 65 age group in the region. Only the Sea to Sky communities and the Tri-Cities are expected to see larger percentage gains in their older adult populations over the next 20 years. And only Surrey/White Rock and Vancouver will see larger absolute gains. Richmond and the Tri-Cities are each predicted to have almost 38,000 more individuals 65+ in 2027 than they do today. In 2007, for each of the age categories in Table 1 – 65+, 75+ and 85+ – Richmond’s population distribution in 2007 is not unlike that of the region as a whole. This changes by 2027, however, when the aging of Richmond’s population intensifies, as indicated by the larger percentages of seniors in each of the three categories. Table 1: Richmond LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 2027 % % % % Change 2007-2017 2007-2027 Total Pop. 185,225 100.0 212,687 100.0 237,273 100.0 14.8 28.1 65+ 23,132 12.5 39,045 18.4 60,759 25.6 68.8 162.7 75+ 10,863 5.9 15,716 7.4 27,153 11.4 44.7 150.0 85+ 3,071 1.7 5,199 2.4 7,131 3.0 69.3 132.2 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Richmond LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Richmond 22,943 33,530 46.1% 12,269 33,606 173.9% 7,792 20,022 157.0% 3,071 7,131 132.2% LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8% 144,074 348,151 141.6% 96,917 193,030 99.2% 39,313 69,205 76.0% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Richmond adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation is most apparent in the age group 65-74. Here, the increase in Richmond (174%) can be seen to be much greater than in the region as a whole (142%) over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Richmond 6,510 5,759 4,536 3,256 2,039 1,032 23,132 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Richmond’s Share 8.3% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 7.4% 8.3% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the Richmond LHA by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults age 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. The current median age in Richmond of 40.7 (half of the population is below this age and half above) will rise to 44.5 by 2017 and to 47.6 by 2027, at which time the community will be the second oldest LHA in the region, after West Vancouver (49.3). The corresponding figures Richmond LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 for median age at death for Richmond are 80.9, 82.2, and 81.9 – again amongst the oldest in the region. Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and in need of more in-home support services than seniors who share accommodation with a spouse, for example. Richmond stands out with respect to seniors’ living arrangements. According to the 2006 Census, one in five (20%, or 4,330) Richmond seniors lived alone – the lowest percentage in the region. The highest percentage is in Langley City, where 43% (or 1,690 seniors) live alone. In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among older adults age 65 and up in Richmond was 25%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland as a whole. This put Richmond in third place, behind Langley City and Vancouver, in terms of the proportion of seniors living below the poverty line. In 2006 as well, 8.5% of Richmond seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)—9.2% of female and 7.5% of male seniors. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Richmond Local Health Area In the City of Richmond foreign-born residents now outnumber those born in Canada. According to the 2006 Census, for which no immigrant seniors’ data is yet available, just over half (57.4%) of Richmond’s total population was born outside Canada, making it the municipality with the highest proportion of foreign-born persons in the country. Of these immigrants, the Census reports, 13.7% have knowledge of neither English nor French. Nineteen percent of the City’s immigrant population (or 18,780 individuals) are newcomers, having arrived between 2001 and 2006. Half of these recent immigrants are from Mainland China. After English, the top languages spoken most often at home by Richmond’s residents are Chinese (34%), Punjabi (2.3%), and Filipino (1.8%).3 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for Seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland and Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as the seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives a rough indication of the match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ services in LHAs throughout the region. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With only nine agency listings, or 4.8% of the total, Richmond’s proportion of services is a little more than half its share of the region’s seniors’ population (8.3%). This puts it in the same category as Surrey and White Rock, the Tri-Cities and Langley – communities that have a clear shortage of services for seniors. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Richmond also provide an incomplete array of services. Table 5 ranks Richmond’s seniors’ services by type. (For the classification of services used for this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) The most common seniors’ services in Richmond are information, directories and referrals, and multi-activity programs. Next are counseling and assistance, and in-home support services. Listings for inhome support include one each of household services (such as house cleaning and handyman repair), social supports, and personal care. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky communities, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. This table shows that because Richmond’s seniors may be served by agencies in adjacent communities as well as Richmond itself, the number of services increases from 21 to 27. While this brings the number of services closer to Richmond’s share of the region’s seniors’ population (8.3%), the transportation difficulties many seniors experience also need to be taken into account. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type of Service LM/SS Richmond % of Richmond % of LM/SS Information, Directories, Referral 37 5 23.8 13.5 Multi-Activity Programs 97 5 23.8 5.2 Counseling and Assistance 46 3 14.3 6.5 In-home Support Services 58 3 14.3 5.2 Health Support Services 50 2 9.5 4.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 1 4.8 7.7 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 1 4.8 2.6 Language Services 23 1 4.8 4.3 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 21 100.0 5.3 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Richmond Red Book Listings Information, Directories & Referral Always There for You Home Support Services Inc. Richmond Multicultural Concerns Society Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services SUCCESS Volunteer Richmond Information Services Multi-Activity Programs Richmond Kinsmen Home Support Society Richmond Multicultural Concerns Society Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services Salvation Army Volunteer Richmond Information Services Counseling & Assistance Richmond Recreation and Cultural Services SUCCESS (United Chinese Community Enrichment Services Society) Volunteer Richmond Information Services In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Richmond In-Home Services: Household Always There for You Home Support Services Inc Health Support Services Richmond Kinsmen Home Support Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Richmond Transportation Always There for You Home Support Services Inc Ethno-cultural & Language Services SUCCESS SUCCESS Richmond Service Centre (IM, SEC, CAN, ESL, HIN, MAN, PUN) In-Home Services: Social Supports Volunteer Richmond Information Services End notes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form a part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and Township), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. SQUAMISH, WHISTLER AND PEMBERTON Seniors and Seniors’ Services In the next two decades, the Howe Sound Local Health Area1 is expected to see its seniors’ population increase by 244%, the highest increase in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area and more than double that expected for the region’s seniors’ population as a whole – 118%. The Howe Sound LHA includes the District Municipalities of Squamish (46%) and Whistler (28.5%), and the Village of Pemberton (6.8%). With a population of 35,500 in 2007, the LHA represented 1.5% of the total Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area’s population. By 2027, Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton combined are expected to grow by almost 50% — a rate higher than the 30% growth rate expected region-wide. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors' Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Summary The small and youthful communities of the Sea to Sky Corridor will experience the region’s largest percentage increases in their seniors’ population over the next two decades. The lesser but equally significant gains in the number of seniors aged 75+ and 85+ will far outpace those expected elsewhere in the region. Currently, Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton have both the fewest seniors’ services and the most limited array of services for seniors in the region. More seniors’ services are called for to meet the demands of an aging population in this area. Seniors With a median age of 34.6 (half of the population is below this age and half above), Howe Sound is the youngest Local Health Area in the Lower Mainland/Sea region. In 2007, the LHA’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population was much lower than the region’s share in each of the 65+, 75+ and 85+ categories (Table 1). Even by 2027, despite the very high rate of increase in seniors (244%), adults 65 and up are expected to remain a lower portion of the LHA’s total population than in the region as a whole. At that time, they will account for 15% of the LHA’s total (compared with 21% for the region), while the older age groups (75+ and 85+) will make up around 6% and 1% respectively, compared to 9% and 2% across the region. Table 1: Howe Sound LHA Seniors 2007 2017 % % 2027 2007–2017 2007–2027 % % Chg. % Chg. 50,060 100.0 27.7 49.3 10.0 7,514 15.0 95.6 244.2 3.7 2,854 5.7 83.6 231.9 1.1 724 1.4 112.3 241.5 Total Pop. 33,526 100.0 42,803 100.0 65+ 2,183 6.5 4,269 75+ 860 2.6 1,579 85+ 212 0.6 450 Source: BC Stats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Howe Sound Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55–64 65–74 75–84 85+ LHA 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Howe Sound 2,925 6,861 134.6% 1,323 4,660 252.2% 648 2,130 228.7% 212 724 241.5% LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8% 144,074 348,151 141.6% 96,917 193,030 99.2% 39,313 69,205 76.0% Source: BC Stats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Howe Sound area adults 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age 65-74 and 75-84 groups, which will soar by more than 200% over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by 5-Year Age Groups 2007 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total 155 57 2,183 25,411 13,902 280,304 0.4% 0.8% Howe Sound 771 552 396 252 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 Howe Sound’s Share of LMSS 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% Source: BC Stats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the area by five-year age groups in 2007. Six in ten seniors in Howe Sound are currently in the younger age 65-74 cohort. Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, 26.8% (or 330) of Squamish seniors, 6.4% (75) of Whistler, and 7.3% (20) of Pemberton seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. The figure for Squamish is comparable to the percentage of seniors living alone in Ridge Meadows and Burnaby. Howe Sound LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among older adults age 65 and up in Squamish was 13.4%, much lower than the comparable figure of 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. In the same year, 2.2% of Howe Sound seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) — 2.7% of female and 1.8% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, for which no immigrant seniors’ data is yet available, immigrants made up 21% of the population in Squamish, 15.7% in Whistler and 16.7% in Pemberton. Newcomers (or immigrants arriving between 2001 and 2006) accounted for 18.6% of Squamish’s immigrants, 19.2% of Whistler’s, and 30.6% of Pemberton’s. The majority of recent immigrants in the Sea to Sky Corridor were from Asia, Oceania (Australia, New Zealand), and Europe. After English, the languages spoken most often at home in area’s households are Punjabi, French, and Chinese. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Howe Sound Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Total 189 100 280,304 100.0 Source: Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008), and BCStats Services for Seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs throughout the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives an indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With five listings, or 2.6% of the total, Howe Sound’s proportion of seniors’ service agencies is slightly greater than its modest share of the region’s seniors (less than 1%). The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Howe Sound provide a very narrow range of services. Table 5 ranks the LHA’s seniors’ services by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) The Sea to Sky communities have the fewest and most narrow range of seniors’ services available in the region – health support, in-home support services (comprising only personal care), counseling and assistance, and information, directories and referrals. The area has no multiactivity programs, and is without a large number of other seniors’ services as well. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or provincewide. The distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities is presented in Table 8 of the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Howe Sound % of Howe Sound % of LM/SS Health Support Services 50 4 50.0 8.0 In-home Support Services 58 2 25.0 3.4 Counselling and Assistance 46 1 12.5 2.2 Information, Directories, Referral 37 1 12.5 2.7 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 4 0 0.0 0.0 Multi-Activity Programs 97 0 0.0 0.0 Transportation 13 0 0.0 0.0 Ethnocultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0 0.0 Language Services 23 0 0.0 0.0 393 8 100.0 2.0 Financial Assistance/Income Support Total Source: Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008). Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton Red Book Listings Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Counseling & Assistance Sea to Sky Community Services Society Information, Directories & Referral Sea to Sky Community Services Society In-Home Services: Personal Care Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. SURREY / WHITE ROCK Seniors and Seniors’ Services Older adults age 65 and up will more than double in the Surrey Local Health Area1 over the next two decades. The 140% increase in the seniors’ population in Surrey and White Rock projected for 2027 is considerably higher than the %118 increase expected across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Summary The Census reminds us that the Surrey Local Health Area is made up of two very different municipalities. Surrey, with nearly 400,000 residents in 2006, accounted for 19% of the region’s population, while White Rock, with 18,755 residents, represented a mere 1%. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors In 2007 the Surrey Local Health Area represented nearly one-fifth (19.4%) of all Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky residents, making it the second largest Local Health Area in the region. As Table 1 shows, the total population will rise by almost 42% over the next two decades. This growth rate is higher than the broader area’s expected increase of 30% over this period. The area’s 2007 share of seniors as a portion of its total population in each of the age categories in Table 1 is currently lower than the distribution for the region. By 2027, however, it will approximate more closely the situation in the region, with seniors 65 and up accounting for one in five total residents, and the older age groups (75+ and 85+) making up around 9% and 2% respectively. The current median age of 37.7 (half of the population is below this age and half above) will rise to 43.9 by 2027. The median age at death is now 80. The Surrey/White Rock area has the second largest number of seniors in the region after Vancouver. Nearly one in five seniors in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area reside in the two communities. Only Vancouver has more, with 27.6% of the region’s total. Growth projections for the communities’ 65+ population in the next 20 years call for the largest addition of seniors in the region – over 74,000 people. While White Rock has long had a significant concentration of older adults, Surrey’s population is now aging too. The proportion of older adults living in poverty is lower than the regional average in both communities. However, where Surrey has the lowest percentage of live-alone seniors in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, White Rock has the second highest, after Langley City. A shortfall of seniors’ services currently exists in the area – when combined, Surrey and White Rock have a much smaller share of seniors’ services than their share of the regional seniors’ population. The anticipated growth of older adults in the area calls for more services to meet the demands of an aging population. Table 1: Surrey LHA Seniors’ Population Total Pop. 2007 2017 2027 % % % 2007-2017 2007-2027 21.9 41.8 444,470 100.0 65+ 52,747 75+ 25,049 85+ 7,053 % Change 541,749 100.0 630,356 100.0 11.9 83,083 15.3 127,026 20.2 57.5 140.8 5.6 34,583 6.4 55,904 8.9 38.1 123.2 1.6 10,748 2.0 14,731 2.3 52.4 108.9 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Surrey LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Surrey 48,471 85,871 77.2% 27,698 71,122 156.8% 17,996 41,173 128.8% 7,053 14,731 108.9% LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8% 144,074 348,151 141.6% 96,917 193,030 99.2% 39,313 69,205 76.0% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Surrey Local Health Area adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age 65-74 group, which will experience a significant increase of 142% in the region – and even more so in the Surrey Local Health Area (157%) – over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Surrey 15,337 12,361 10,258 7,738 4,578 2,475 52,747 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Surrey’s Share 19.5% 18.9% 18.4% 18.8% 18.0% 17.8% 18.8% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the pie chart below show seniors in the area by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. In Surrey, immigration patterns and affordable housing have resulted in a relatively youthful population compared with other communities in the region. White Rock, on the other hand, has long been home to a growing seniors’ population. In 2006 the median age in the City of Surrey was 37, compared with 51.3 for White Rock. Those aged 65 and up accounted for 11% of Surrey’s total population, while making up more than double that proportion – no less than one quarter (25%) – of all White Rock residents. Surrey / White Rock LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 In 2006, the incidence of low income2 amongst adults 65+ was 16.4% in Surrey and 12.7% in White Rock, lower in both cases than the 20.8% average for the Lower Mainland. In the same year, 5.1% of Surrey LHA seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) — 5.5% of female seniors and 4.6% of male seniors. Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, just over one in five (20.7%, or 8,995) Surrey seniors and 42.4% Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Surrey Local Health Area (1,935) of White Rock seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. These figures place Surrey amongst communities like Richmond (20%) and Port Moody (22.2%) with the lowest percentages of live-alone seniors in the region, and White Rock amongst those with the very highest, like Langley City (43%). According to the 2006 Census, for which no data on immigrant seniors is yet available, immigrants made up 38% (over 150,000 individuals) of the population in Surrey and 24% (4,430 individuals) in White Rock. Of these immigrants, the Census states, 11.5% in Surrey and 2% in White Rock had knowledge of neither English nor French. One in five of the Surrey immigrants and one in eight White Rock immigrants were newcomers, having arrived in their respective communities between 2001 and 2006. Over half of Surrey’s recent immigrants are from India and the Philippines while the same proportion in White Rock come from a variety of Asian countries. After English, the languages spoken most often at home by Surrey residents are Punjabi (15%), Chinese (3%) and Korean (2%). In White Rock, English accounts for 93% of home languages, with small representations of Korean (2%) and Chinese (2%). United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Total 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives an indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With 22 agency listings, or 11.6% of the total, the Surrey LHA’s proportion of services is lower than its share of the region’s seniors’ population (18.8%). This puts it in the same category as Richmond, the Tri-Cities, and Langley – communities with a shortage of seniors’ agencies given the size of the population they serve. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in the Surrey LHA each provide one or more types of service. Table 5 ranks the LHA’s seniors’ services by type. For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Like most communities, multi-activity programs are the most common type of seniors’ service in the Surrey/White Rock area. There are three listings for in-home support services, including one each for social supports and personal care, and two for meal preparation and delivery. In fact, most seniors’ services are available in the area. All the ethno-cultural and language services for seniors in the area are located in Surrey. Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As that table shows, because Surrey/White Rock seniors are served by agencies in adjacent communities as well, the total number of services available increases from 41 to 49. Even so, the number of seniors’ services remains well below the communities’ combined share of the region’s seniors (18.8%). United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Surrey % of Surrey % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 12 29.3 12.4 In-home Support Services 58 8 19.5 13.8 Information, Directories, Referral 37 4 9.8 10.8 Counseling and Assistance 46 3 7.3 6.5 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 3 7.3 7.9 Language Services 23 3 7.3 13.0 Advocacy 15 2 4.9 13.3 Education and Training 12 2 4.9 16.7 Health Support Services 50 2 4.9 4.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 2 4.9 15.4 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 41 100.0 10.4 Surrey and White Rock Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs Crescent Beach Community Services at Camp Alexandra DiverseCity Community Resources Society Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society White Rock Leisure Services In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Surrey-North Delta Meals on Wheels Society White Rock Meals on Wheels In-Home Services: Social Supports Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society Peace Arch Community Services Counseling & Assistance Fraser Health Authority Peace Arch Community Services Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. Information, Directories & Referral DiverseCity Community Resources Society Surrey Parks, Recreation and Culture Dept. White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society White Rock Leisure Services Ethno-cultural & Language Services Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society (Solely European Community; English as a second language, Hindi, Punjabi, Urdu) Surrey Delta Indo Canadian Seniors Society (South Asian; Hindi, Punjabi) DiverseCity Community Resources Society English Classes – CAAPRI – (Solely European Community; English as a second language) Advocacy Council of Senior Citizens’ Organizations of BC Progressive Intercultural Community Services Society Education & Training DiverseCity Community Resources Society Surrey Crime Prevention Society Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Transportation White Rock/Surrey Come Share Society Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty – Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. TRI-CITIES Seniors and Seniors’ Services The Coquitlam Local Health Area1, better known as the Tri-Cities, will see a dramatic rise in the number of seniors over the next two decades. The population of adults 65 years of age and over is projected to increase by nearly 190% over this period — far outpacing the gain of 118% expected across the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area as a whole. The Tri-Cities’ nearly 210,000 residents represented 9.2% of the total Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area population in 2007. The City of Coquitlam accounted for 55% of this population, Port Coquitlam 26%, Port Moody 13% and the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra much smaller percentages. The Tri-Cities’ population is expected to increase by over 40% in the next 20 years — a growth rate higher than the 30% increase projected for the region as a whole. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors The Tri-Cities is a relatively youthful and rapidly growing community. The expected growth of its seniors’ population is mirrored by the higher than average rate of expansion anticipated in the area’s total population. Summary While the Tri-Cities area currently has a lower-than-average share of seniors amongst its population, within two decades the number of older adults will rise dramatically. In fact, the Tri-Cities will see the second highest percentage gains in the over 65 population in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, behind the communities of Howe Sound. Its growth in the oldest age groups is also forecast to be very high compared to other parts of the region. The Tri-Cities’ share of senior’s services is much lower than its share of the region’s seniors’ population and the range of services available to the community’s older adults is quite limited. The growth projections for the 65+ and 85+ segments of the population call for more services to meet the demands of an aging population. The share of older adults as a portion of the Tri-Cities total population is currently lower in each of the age categories 65+, 75+ and 85+ than that found in the region (see Table 1). This will remain until 2027, when adults 65 and up will account for one in five Tri-Cities residents, and the older age groups (75+ and 85+) will make up around 8% and 2% respectively. The current median age in the TriCities is 38.7 (half of the population is below this age and half is above), a figure expected to rise to 44.1 by 2027. The median age at death is now 76.7. Table 1: Coquitlam LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 2027 % % % % Change 2007-2017 2007-2027 Total Pop. 209,907 100.0 257,536 100.0 298,887 100.0 22.7 42.4 65+ 20,214 9.6 34,397 13.4 58,178 19.5 70.2 187.8 75+ 8,740 4.2 13,482 5.2 23,081 7.7 54.3 164.1 85+ 2,288 1.1 4,256 1.7 6,234 2.1 86.0 172.5 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Coquitlam LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg Coquitlam 22,171 42,387 91.2 11,474 35,097 205.9 6,452 16,847 161.1 2,288 6,234 172.5 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Coquitlam LHA adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the 65-74 and 75-84 age groups, which will soar by more than 200% and 160% respectively over the next two decades. The LHA will see lesser but equally significant increases in the number of seniors aged 75+ and 85+. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Coquitlam 6,442 5,032 3,807 2,645 1,526 762 20,214 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Coquitlam’s Share 8.2% 7.7% 6.8% 6.4% 6.0% 5.5% 7.2% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the area by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just over half of all seniors. Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, one-quarter (24.9%, or 2,980) of Coquitlam seniors, 24.1% (1,015) of Port Coquitlam’s, and 22.2% (465) of Port Moody’s seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. This places the LHA close to communities like Surrey and Richmond that have the lowest proportion of live-alone seniors in the region. Tri-Cities LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults age 65 and up was 21.6% in Coquitlam, 18.3% in Port Coquitlam, and 12.7% in Port Moody, compared with the average rate of 20.8% for the region. In the same year, 1.9% of the LHA’s seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS)— 2.3% of female seniors and 1.3% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, for which seniors’ data is not yet available, immigrants made up 39.2% of the population of Coquitlam, 28% of Port Coquitlam, and 29.3% of Port Moody. Of Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Coquitlam Local Health Area these immigrants, the Census states, 8.4% in Coquitlam, 6.2% in Port Coquitlam, and 3.7% in Port Moody had knowledge of neither English nor French. Newcomers (immigrants arriving between 2001 and 2006) accounted for 20% of Coquitlam immigrant population, 14% of Port Coquitlam’s, and 19% of Port Moody’s. The majority of recent immigrants in the Tri-Cities are from Asia. After English, the languages most often spoken in the home in Coquitlam are Chinese (11.5%), Korean (4.7%) and Persian (Farsi) (2.7%). In Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, the non-English languages most often spoken in the home are Chinese (5.8% and 3.8% respectively) and Korean (2.1% and 3.6% respectively). United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Total 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland and Sea to Sky area that offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the region. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives an indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With seven listings, or 3.7% of the total, Tri-City seniors’ service agencies represent approximately half of the Local Health Area’s share of the region’s seniors’ population (7.2%). This puts it in the same category as Surrey and White Rock, Richmond, and Langley – communities with a shortage of seniors’ services given the size of the population they serve. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in the Tri-Cities each provide one or more types of service. Table 5 ranks the number of seniors’ services by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. Like most communities, multi-activity programs are the most common type of seniors’ service in the Tri-Cities (just over one-third of its listings). In-home support services combined account for one-fifth of its listings. This category includes household services (for which there are no listings in the Tri-Cities), as well as meal preparation and delivery, social supports, and personal care (for which there is one listing each). Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or provincewide. The distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities is presented in Table 8 of the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Coquitlam % of Coquitlam % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 5 35.7 5.2 In-home Support Services 58 3 21.4 5.2 Health Support Services 50 2 14.3 4.0 Counselling and Assistance 46 1 7.1 2.2 Information, Directories, Referral 37 1 7.1 2.7 Ethnocultural Service Focus 38 1 7.1 2.6 Language Services 23 1 7.1 4.3 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 14 100.0 3.6 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Tri-Cities Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Fraser Health Authority Pinetree 50plus Society Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. In-Home Services: Personal Care Fraser Health Authority In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery PoCoMo Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. Counseling & Assistance Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Ethno-cultural & Language Services Coquitlam Leisure and Parks Services Tri-Cities Seniors Peer Counseling (East and South Asian; Cantonese, Mandarin Health Support Services Fraser Health Authority Information, Directories & Referral Port Coquitlam Parks and Recreation Dept. Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008– Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. VANCOUVER Seniors and Seniors’ Services The Vancouver Local Health Area1 is home to over one in four older adults in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area, making it the largest concentration of seniors in the region. Over the next two decades, the number of adults 65 and over in Vancouver (77,000) is expected to increase by 82%. Dramatic as this rise is, the growth rate for the older population across the region as a whole is much higher, at 118%. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors The total population of Vancouver, which now accounts for just over one-quarter of all Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky residents, is expected to rise by 16% over the next two decades – an increase much lower than the 30% lift forecast for the region. This compares to the 82% increase projected for the city’s seniors’ population over the same period. Vancouver’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population in 2007 is slightly higher in each of the age categories than the region’s share – a situation that reverses by 2027, when the city’s share is slightly lower than that of the region. For the ten-year period 2007 to 2017, the number of Vancouver adults age 65 and up is expected to rise by almost 30%, from 77,300 to 100,300, while the city’s share of the region’s older adult population will fall slightly, from 27.6% to 24.5%. Similarly, the number of Vancouver adults age 80+ will increase by 18.6%, from 23,000 to 27,300, while its share of seniors in this category will decline slightly, from 28.6% to 26.2%. Summary While the general population in Vancouver is expected to increase by 16% over the next two decades, the number of older adults in the city will rise by more than 80% to total over 140,000. While the growth of the seniors’ population in Vancouver is lower than the regional average of 118%, the number of people moving into the 65 and over age group is the second largest in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area after Surrey/ White Rock. Vancouver currently has the second highest proportion of low-income seniors in the region – more than a quarter live below the poverty line. The city clearly functions as the regional hub for seniors’ services. It has nearly half the region’s listings and these cover the full spectrum of service types. The city has the majority of multi-activity programs in the region, half the region’s health support services, nearly half of its counseling and assistance services, and the majority of seniors’ services related to financial assistance, education and training, and advocacy. In short, Vancouver’s share of seniors’ service listings is far greater than its share of the regional seniors’ population. The growth forecast for its population 65 and over calls for yet more services to meet the demands of its aging population. Table 1: Vancouver LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 % 2027 % 2007-2017 2007-2027 628,286 100.0 688,723 100.0 729,969 100.0 9.6 16.2 65+ 77,297 12.3 100,356 14.6 140,406 19.2 29.8 81.6 75+ 38,964 6.2 43,001 6.2 59,556 8.2 10.4 52.8 85+ 11,640 1.9 14,818 2.2 16,099 2.2 27.3 38.3 Total Pop. % % Change BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, Vancouver LHA United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 2007 2027 % Chg 65-74 2007 2027 % Chg 75-84 2007 2027 % Chg 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg Vancouver 65,465 101,613 55.2 38,333 80,850 110.9 27,324 43,457 59.0 11,640 16,099 38.3 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents Vancouver adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age 65-74 group, which will experience the greatest increase both in Vancouver (111%) and region-wide (142%) over the next two decades. Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total Vancouver 20,484 17,849 15,936 11,388 7,122 4,518 77,297 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 Vancouver’s Share 26.0% 27.3% 28.6% 27.6% 28.0% 32.5% 27.6% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show older adults in Vancouver by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up exactly half of all seniors. The current median age in Vancouver of 37.8 (half of the population is below this age and half above) will rise to 40.5 by 2017 and to 44.3 by 2027. The corresponding figures for the median age at death are 79.8, 80.3 and 79.3. Vancouver LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older adults residing on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely to be in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, over one quarter (29%, or 10,605) of City of Vancouver seniors in private households lived alone in 2006. This is roughly average for the region where the range is from a low of 20% senior live-alones in Richmond to a high of 43% in Langley City. In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults age 65 and up in Vancouver was 26.7%, compared with 20.8% for the Lower Mainland. In the same year, 8.3% of Vancouver seniors received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) — 9.6% of female seniors and 6.6% of male seniors. According to the 2006 Census, for which immigrant seniors’ data is Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run, Vancouver Local Health Area not yet available, 45% of Vancouver’s total population is immigrants. Nearly 17% of the city’s immigrant population (or 43,470 individuals) are newcomers, having arrived between 2001 and 2006. The majority (60%) of recent immigrants are from Mainland China, the Philippines, Southern Asia and India. After English, the languages spoken most often at home by Vancouver residents are Chinese (20.4%), Punjabi (2%), Vietnamese (1.5%), Filipino (1.5%), and Korean (1.1%).3 The Census states that 15% of all immigrants in Vancouver have knowledge of neither English nor French. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Pop. Vancouver 85 45.0 77,297 27.6% Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for Seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 listings organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example). of Vancouver’s seniors’ service by type. (For the classification of services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half the listings are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. Like most communities, multi-activity groups are the most numerous seniors’ service in Vancouver (just over one-quarter of its listings). The city also has several locations devoted to health support services such as adult day programs and mental health centres, in fact half of all such services in the region. The third most numerous service category is counseling and assistance, where once again Vancouver has nearly half of the regions’ services of this type. The city also provides the majority of seniors’ services related to financial assistance, education and training, and advocacy in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. The table also gives an indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With 85 agency listings, or 45% of the total, Vancouver’s proportion of services is considerably higher than its current share of the region’s seniors’ population. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in Vancouver each provide one or more types of service. Table 5 ranks the number Vancouver is clearly the major hub for seniors’ services in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. It has nearly half the region’s listings and representation across the full spectrum of service types. Some seniors’ organizations also offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC or province-wide. For the distribution of this full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS Vancouver % of Vancouver % of LM/SS Multi-Activity Programs 97 47 27.8 48.5 Health Support Services 50 26 15.4 52.0 Counseling and Assistance 46 22 13.0 47.8 In-home Support Services 58 17 10.1 29.3 Information, Directories, Referral 37 14 8.3 37.8 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 10 5.9 26.3 Language Services 23 10 5.9 43.5 Advocacy 15 9 5.3 60.0 Education and Training 12 8 4.7 66.7 Financial Assistance 4 3 1.8 75.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 3 1.8 23.1 Total 393 169 100.0 43.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) Vancouver Red Book Listings Multi-Activity Programs 411 Seniors Centre ASK Friendship Society Britannia Community Services Centre Society Brock House Seniors Citizens Activity Centre Cedar Cottage Neighbourhood House Centre, The (LGTB Community Centre) Chown Adult Day Centre Continental Seniors Centre Crossreach Seniors’ Day Centre Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Gordon Neighbourhood House Health and Home Care Society of BC Italian Cultural Centre Society Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Jewish Community Centre of Greater Vancouver Jewish Seniors Alliance of Greater Vancouver Kiwassa Neighbourhood House Lions Den Recreation Centre Little Mountain Senior Live Wires Marpole Oakridge Area Council Society Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC New Leaf Friends Oakridge Seniors Centre Peretz Centre for Secular Jewish Culture Renfrew-Collingwood Seniors’ Society Salvation Army South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Sunset Indo-Canadian Seniors Society Taoist Tai Chi Society of Canada Vancouver (City) Vancouver Aboriginal Friendship Centre Society Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Second Mile Society West End Seniors’ Network Health Support Services 411 Seniors Centre Health and Home Care Society of BC Holy Family Hospital Kitsilano Neighbourhood House Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC New Roots Centre Renfrew-Collingwood Seniors’ Society Seniors Well Aware Program SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Vancouver Vancouver Community Mental Health Services Vancouver General Hospital Counseling & Assistance BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Centre, The (LGTB Community Centre) Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Fedsinfo Gordon Neighbourhood House Holy Family Hospital Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Jewish Family Service Agency Ken Lagasse Chartered Accounting Kitsilano Neighbourhood House Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation Ministry of Attorney General and Minister Responsible for Multiculturalism Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Native Courtworker and Counselling Association of BC Saint James Community Service Society Seniors Well Aware Program South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Vancouver West End Seniors’ Network In-Home Services: Personal Care Holy Family Hospital Jewish Family Service Agency South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Vancouver Vancouver General Hospital In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery Health and Home Care Society of BC Jewish Family Service Agency In-Home Services: Social Supports Britannia Community Services Centre Society Chalmers Lodge Japanese Community Volunteers’ Association Jewish Family Service Agency Information, Directories & Referral 411 Seniors Centre BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Britannia Community Services Centre Society Fedsinfo Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Little Mountain Senior Live Wires Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation South Granville Seniors Centre South Vancouver Neighbourhood House Vancouver (City) Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Vancouver Coastal Health Authority – Vancouver Vancouver Second Mile Society West End Seniors’ Network Ethno-cultural & Language Services 411 Seniors Centre Multicultural Resource Center (ESL, MAN, SPA) Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Senior Citizens’ Club (ESA, CHI) Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre (ESA) Health and Home Care Society of BC Meals on Wheels (ESA) Italian Cultural Centre Society Drop-in Center for Seniors (EUR) Japanese Community Volunteers’ Assn Tonari Gumi – Social/Community Services (ESA, PEC, JAP) Jewish Community Centre of Greater Vancouver Jewish Seniors Program Dept. (ME, PEC) L’Chaim Adult Day Center (ME) Jewish Family Service Agency (JFSA) (ME, PEC) Jewish Seniors Alliance of Greater Vancouver (JSA) (ME, SEC) Kiwassa Neighbourhood House (AB, IM, PEC) Mount Pleasant Neighbourhood House Seniors Services (ESL) United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Moving Towards Age-Friendly Communities. WEST VANCOUVER AND BOWEN ISLAND Seniors and Seniors’ Services Older adults in the West Vancouver-Bowen Island Local Health Area1 represent less than 4% of all seniors in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Their numbers are expected to increase by half (from 11,000 to over 17,000) in the next two decades — a rate of increase much lower than the regional growth rate for seniors of 118%. In 2027, older West Vancouverites will account for a smaller portion of the region’s seniors’ population than they do today (2.8%). However, West Vancouver currently has the highest concentration of older adults in the region – one in five residents are 65 plus. The projection for 20 years from now is that almost one in three (30.4%) residents will fall in this age group. This report, along with its companion, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services, provides a summary of current and projected future population figures for seniors, based on Canada’s 2006 Census and estimates by BCStats for Local Health Areas in the region. It also offers a preliminary overview of seniors’ services, in terms of the approximate number, type and municipal location. For this data, the report draws upon Vancouver Information Services’ Red Book as the most current region-wide source available. An Atlas of Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services accompanies the two reports. It is hoped that this material will prompt further analysis, discussion and planning for the services required to meet the demands of an aging population. Seniors The West Vancouver Local Health Area is now home to 2.3% of all residents in the region, making it one of the smallest areas by population size. The area includes Bowen Island, with 6.5% of the area’s total population, and Lions Bay, with 2.6%. As Table 1 shows, the Local Health Area population is expected to rise by 9% over the next two decades. a much lower growth rate than the broader region’s 30% increase. West Vancouver’s share of seniors as a portion of its total population in 2007 is much higher in each of the age categories in Table 1 than the distribution across the region, a situation that intensifies by 2027. At that time older adults age 65 and up will account for 30.4% of all ages in the area (compared with 20.5% for the region), those age 75 and up for 15% (compared with 9%), and those age 85 and up for 4% (compared with 2.3%). Summary West Vancouver-Bowen Island currently has the highest concentration of seniors in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area – one in five residents is 65 years of age or older. This ratio is expected to increase over the next two decades – by 2027, almost one in three will fall in this age group. Because of its relatively small population, however, the community’s older adults account for less than 4% of the region’s seniors. The median age and median age at death make West Vancouverites the oldest in the region, the proportion of low-income seniors is the region’s lowest, while the percentage of older adults living alone in West Van is close to average. The number of seniors’ services in West Vancouver roughly corresponds with its share of the regional seniors’ population. While a full range of seniors’ services is not available in the community, seniors’ services elsewhere on the North Shore appear to make up for this. Unless growth in services keeps pace with growth in the seniors’ population, a shortfall in both the number and range of services can be expected in the future. During the ten-year period to 2017, the number of West Vancouver seniors age 65 and up is expected to rise by over one-quarter, from 11,000 to 14,000. Over the decade the area’s share of seniors in the region will fall slightly, from 3.9% to 3.4%. Adults age 80+ will increase by 8%, from 3,700 to 4,000, with the Local Health Area’s share of all seniors in this category declining from 4.6% to 3.9%. Table 1: West Vancouver-Bowen Island LHA Seniors’ Population 2007 2017 % 2027 % % Change % 2007-2017 2007-2027 Total Pop. 51,984 100.0 54,145 100.0 56,572 100.0 4.2 8.8 65+ 11,041 21.2 14,081 26.0 17,187 30.4 27.5 55.7 75+ 5,982 11.5 6,381 11.8 8,422 14.9 6.7 40.8 85+ 1,882 3.6 2,365 4.4 2,262 4.0 25.7 20.2 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run, West Vancouver Local Health Area United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 1 Table 2: Adults Age 55+ by Ten-Year Age Groups, 2007 and 2027 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg 2007 2027 % Chg West Van 8,162 7,934 -2.8 5,059 8,765 73.3 4,100 6,160 50.2 1,882 2,262 20.2 LM/SS 253,683 413,066 62.8 144,074 348,151 141.6 96,917 193,030 99.2 39,313 69,205 76.0 BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 2 presents West Vancouver adults age 55 and up in ten-year age groups between 2007 and 2027. The aging of the baby boom generation can be seen in the age group 65-74, which will experience the greatest increase in the West Vancouver Local Health Area (73%) over the next two decades, although to a much lesser degree than region-wide (142%). Table 3: Seniors by Five-Year Age Groups, 2007 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total West Van 2,825 2,234 2,245 1,855 1,208 674 11,041 LM/SS 78,722 65,352 55,706 41,211 25,411 13,902 280,304 West Van’s Share 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E 32 Projection Run Table 3 and the accompanying pie chart show seniors in the West Vancouver area by five-year age groups in 2007. Adults aged 65-74 make up just under half of all seniors. The elderly nature of the area’s population is reflected in its median age (the age at which half of the population is below and half above). Currently at 47.9, the West Vancouver-Bowen Island LHA’s median age is the highest in the region, followed by Delta (at 41.4) and North Vancouver (40.9). By 2017 it is expected to rise to 50.6, and then slip back to 49.3 by 2027. At both these times it will again be the highest in the region. The corresponding figures for the median age at death in the LHA are 84.3, 85.7 and 84.1—also representing the peak within the region. West Vancouver / Bowen Island LHA Seniors Age 65+, 2007 Older adults living on their own are generally more vulnerable and likely in need of more in-home support services. According to the Census, 29.2% of seniors (2,690 individuals) in West Vancouver District Municipality who resided in private households lived alone in 2006. West Vancouver seniors fare relatively well in terms of income compared with those in other communities. In 2006, the incidence of low income2 among adults age 65 and up in the City of West Vancouver was 11.5% – the lowest in the region. The comparable rate for the Lower Mainland was 20.8%. An equally small portion of seniors in the LHA (1.6%) received the maximum Government Income Supplement (GIS) in 2006. Source: BCStats P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run,West Vancouver Local Health Area According to the 2006 Census, for which immigrant seniors’ data is not yet available, immigrants made up 36.7% (15,455) of West Vancouver District Municipality’s population. Of these immigrants, 2.7% have knowledge of neither English nor French. Nearly 15% of the district’s immigrant population (or 2,295 individuals) are newcomers, having arrived between 2001 and 2006. The majority of recent immigrants are from Asia and the Middle East. After English, the top three languages spoken most often at home by West Vancouver District residents are Persian (Farsi) (4.8%), Chinese (4.3%) and Korean (2.2%).3 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 2 Table 4: Seniors’ Service Organizations by Local Health Area Number of Seniors in 2007 % Share of Seniors’ Population Vancouver Number of Listings % Share of LM/SS Listings 85 45.0 77,297 27.6 Surrey/White Rock 22 11.6 52,747 18.8 Burnaby 18 9.5 28,111 10.0 Richmond 9 4.8 23,132 8.3 Tri-Cities 7 3.7 20,214 7.2 North Vancouver 12 6.3 17,852 6.4 Langley 6 3.2 16,112 5.7 Delta 7 3.7 13,452 4.8 West Vancouver/Bowen Island 6 3.2 11,041 3.9 Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows 7 3.7 10,153 3.6 New Westminster 5 2.6 8,010 2.9 Squamish/Whistler/Pemberton 5 2.6 2,183 0.8 Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky 189 100.0 280,304 100.0 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) and BCStats Services for seniors In 2008 the Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland, published by Information Services Vancouver, contained the names of nearly 190 organizations in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area that currently offer services focusing on seniors. (Agencies conducting such services from more than one location are listed more than once in the Red Book, so an agency with a main office and two branch locations has three listings, for example.) Table 4 presents the Red Book listings of seniors’ organizations for LHAs in the Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area. Close to half of the listings (85, or 45%) are located in Vancouver, a sign of the city’s role as seniors’ service hub for the region. The table also gives a rough indication of the current match between the size of the seniors’ population and the number of seniors’ agencies in the various communities. Only in Vancouver does the share of seniors’ agencies significantly exceed the city’s share of the region’s population over 65. With six agency listings, or 3.2% of the total, West Vancouver’s proportion of services is relatively close to its share of the region’s seniors’ population (3.9%). This puts it in the same category as Burnaby, North Vancouver, Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows, and New Westminster – communities where a rough match seems to exist between the number of seniors’ agencies and the size of the population they serve. The seniors’ agencies and branch operations based in West Vancouver provide a relatively meager array of services. (For a classification of the seniors’ services used in this research, see Lower Mainland/ Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services.) The most common type of seniors’ service in West Vancouver-Bowen Island is in-home supports (three social support services and one meal preparation and delivery). Multi-activity programs, the most frequently listed seniors’ service in most communities, come second in this LHA. According to the Red Book, six types of seniors’ services are not provided by local agencies in West Vancouver (see Table 5). Some seniors’ organizations offer services in other communities, across Metro Vancouver, the Lower Mainland/Southwestern BC, or province-wide. For the distribution of the full scope of services across Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky municipalities, see Table 8 in the companion report, Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky Seniors and Seniors’ Services. As West Vancouver residents are served by several organizations with a service catchment area of the North Shore, the services available to seniors in West Vancouver-Bowen Island increases from 13 to 24. This translates to 5.3% of the region’s total listings—slightly above West Vancouver’s share of the regional seniors’ population. However, the transportation difficulties many seniors experience in accessing services also need to be taken into account. United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 3 Table 5: Seniors’ Service Listings by Type LM/SS West Van % of West Van % of LM/SS In-home Support Services 58 4 30.8 6.9 Multi-Activity Programs 97 3 23.1 3.1 Counseling and Assistance 46 2 15.4 4.3 Health Support Services 50 2 15.4 4.0 Transportation (excluding HandyDart) 13 2 15.4 15.4 Advocacy 15 0 0.0 0.0 Education and Training 12 0 0.0 0.0 Financial Assistance 4 0 0.0 0.0 Information, Directories, Referral 37 0 0.0 0.0 Ethno-cultural Service Focus 38 0 0.0 0.0 Language Services 23 0 0.0 0.0 Total 393 13 100.0 3.3 Information Services Vancouver, Red Book: Directory of Services for the Lower Mainland (2008) West Vancouver and Bowen Island Red Book Listings In-Home Services: Meal Prep & Delivery North Shore Meals on Wheels Society In-Home Services: Social Supports North Shore Volunteers for Seniors Senior Citizens’ Special Services Society West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Multi-Activity Programs North Shore Volunteers for Seniors Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Counseling & Assistance Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Health Support Services Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Transportation Senior Citizens’ Special Services Society West Vancouver Parks and Community Services Div. Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and District), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 4 Native Courtworker and Counselling Assn of BC Aboriginal Elders Support Program(AB) Peretz Centre for Secular Jewish Culture Solem Aleichem Seniors (ME) South Granville Seniors Centre South Granville Seniors Friendship Center Society(GEC) South Vancouver Neighbourhood House SUCCESS Multi-Level Care Society Chieng’s Adult Day Center (ESA, SEC, CHI) Harmony House Assisted Living (ESA, SEC, CHI) Sunset Indo-Canadian Seniors Society (SA, SEC, HIN, PUN) Taoist Tai Chi Society of Canada Vancouver Aboriginal Friendship Centre Society (AB, SEC) Vancouver Board of Parks and Recreation Ray-Cam Cooperative Center (AB, ESA, GEC) Vancouver (City) (AB, GEC) Vancouver Coastal Health Authority - Vancouver Aboriginal Wellness Program (AB) Home Support Program (SA) Advocacy 411 Seniors Centre BC Assn of Community Response Networks BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Downtown Eastside Residents’ Assn Downtown Eastside Women’s Centre Jewish Seniors Alliance of Greater Vancouver Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation Ministry of Attorney General and Minister Responsible for Multiculturalism Vancouver Second Mile Society Education & Training 411 Seniors Centre BC Assn of Community Response Networks BC Coalition to Eliminate Abuse of Seniors Llowyn’s Legacy Foundation National Academy of Older Canadians Seniors Well Aware Program Vancouver Second Mile Society Financial Assistance/Income Support Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Columbia Housing Advisory Association Vancouver (City) Financial Services Columbia Housing Advisory Association Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Vancouver (City) Transportation Chown Adult Day Centre Crossreach Seniors’ Day Centre Vancouver Coastal Health Authority – Vancouver Abbreviations used: Ethno-cultural AB Aboriginal AF African SEC Solely European Community PEC Primarily European Community GEC General Community and European Community IM Immigrants CB Caribbean ESA East and South Asian EU European LCSA Latin, Central and South American SA South Asian WA West Asian ME Middle East RF Refugees Language HIN Hindi PUN Punjabi CHI Chinese CAN Cantonese MAN Mandarin SPA Spanish URD Urdu KOR Korean VIE Vietnamese ESL English as a second language JAP Japanese Endnotes 1The BCStats’ PEOPLE Population Projections in this report are based on Local Health Areas (LHAs) which form a part of larger regional Health Service Delivery and Health Authority Areas. The Lower Mainland/Sea to Sky area is composed of Vancouver Coastal and Fraser Health Authorities, and the following LHAs: Burnaby, Coquitlam (including the Tri-Cities of Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody, as well as the Villages of Anmore and Belcarra), Delta, Howe Sound (including Squamish, Whistler and Pemberton), Langley (City and Township), Maple Ridge (including Pitt Meadows), New Westminster, North Vancouver (City and Township), Richmond, Surrey (including White Rock), Vancouver, and West Vancouver-Bowen Island. Within the Vancouver LHA, the City of Vancouver represents 94% of the total population. 2The terms poverty line and low income here refer to the measure most commonly used as a proxy for poverty--Statistics Canada’s Low Income Cut-offs (LICOs). These define an income threshold, based on family expenditures, below which families or individuals spend more than the average on basic necessities. The LICO figures cited here are based on income before tax. 3The percentages cited here represent single responses to the 2006 Census question on the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Sources: Statistics Canada 2006 Census; BCStats, P.E.O.P.L.E. 32 Projection Run and 2006 Census, Socio-Economic Profiles and Profiles of Immigrants and of Diversity in BC 2006; and Information Services Vancouver, Red Book Directory of Services (2008) Report prepared by Mayling Stubbs for the United Way of the Lower Mainland (2008) United Way of the Lower Mainland / November 2008 United Way of the Lower Mainland/November 2008 – Page 5
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