Relative Deprivation and Adolescent Outcomes in Iceland: A Multilevel Test Jon Gunnar Bernburg, University of Iceland Thorolfur Thorlindsson, University of Iceland Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Reykjavik University The theory of relative deprivation emphasizes that social comparisons contextualize how people experience impoverishment. An important application of this theory argues that relative deprivation that stems from unfavorable social comparisons can result in anger, normlessness and an increased likelihood of deviant behavior. We test this theory in a new societal setting - Iceland. Specifically, we test the proposition that the effects of economic deprivation on individual outcomes are contingent on the standard of living enjoyed by the person's reference groups. Using multilevel data on 5,491 Icelandic adolescents in 83 school-communities, wefindconsistent support for the theory. We show that the effects of economic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, delinquency, violence and subjective relative family status are weak in school-communities where economic deprivation is common, while the effects are significantly stronger in school-communities where economic deprivation is rare. The theory of relative deprivation combines enduring sociologioal themes that cut across levels of analysis. The theory focuses on the effects of deprivation on individual behavior, attitude and well-being. It emphasizes that the social context specifies the effects of deprivation on individual outcomes. Thus, relative deprivation implies that economic deprivation has relative, as opposed to absolute, effects on experience, because the standard of living among the person's reference groups contextualizes how the person experiences deprivation (Merton and Rossi 1968; Runciman 1966). Perceiving affluence among reference groups tends to raise the person's aspirations and a sense of entitlement to a comparable The preparation of this article was aided by grants from the University ofIceland Research Fund and the Scandinavian Council for Criminology. We thank Sigrun Olafsdottir for helpful comments on an earlier draft, and Stefan Jansen, Huida Orradóttir and Bryndis Björk Ásgeirsdóttir for providing us with supplementary data used to examine measurement validity of focal measures. An earlier version of this article was presented at the 2007 Meeting of the American Sociological Association. Direct correspondance to Jon Gunnar Bernburg, Department of Sociology, University of Iceland, Cimli Building, 101 Reykjavik, Iceland. E-mail: [email protected]. © The University of North Caroiina Press Social Forces 87(3). March 2009 1224 • Social Forces 87(3) Standard of living. Hence, when people think that referenced others enjoy more affluence than themselves, they tend to feel a sense of injustice and frustration. Furthermore, highlighting the broader social context, theorists argue that relative deprivation is particularly salient when the cultural and structural context promotes values and beliefs that stress egalitarianism, equal opportunity and individual achievement because such features encourage people to compare themselves to affluent others, regardless of their own backgrounds (Blau and Blau 1982; Krahn, Hartnagel and Gartrell 1986; Merton 1968; Passas 1997; Runciman 1966). Egalitarian values and beliefs thus create a sense of opportunity and deservingness, bolstering aspirations and expectations of economic prosperity, and, therefore, promote a sense of injustice and frustration among the impoverished. While relative deprivation theory has a long history in social research, inspiring analyses of various topics, including satisfaction among soldiers (Stouffer et al. 1949) and workers (Wilensky 1963), historical changes in public perceptions of social justice (Runciman 1966), political revolt (Davies 1962) and experiments in social psychology (Crosby 1976), an important application of relative deprivation theory has been a focus on the effect of relative deprivation on deviant behavior (Agnew 1999; Agnew et al. 1996; Blau and Blau 1982; Merton 1968; Merton and Rossi 1968; Stiles, Liu, and Kaplan 2000) and poor well-being (Yngwe 2003). This literature argues that relative deprivation that results from unfavorable social comparisons can increase the likelihood of violent and criminal behavior because relative deprivation often produces anger, frustration and a weak commitment to the social norms. Importantly, this theoretical approach implies a specific pattern of interaction effect that is rarely tested in research. It proposes that the effect of economic (absolute) deprivation on individual outcomes such as anger, weak commitment to social norms (normlessness), and delinquent and violent behavior should be directly proportional to the standard of living of the person's reference groups. That is, the effect of economic deprivation on such outcomes should be strong among persons whose reference groups are affluent, because they are more likely to experience unfavorable social comparisons (relative deprivation), while the effects of economic deprivation on individual outcomes should be weaker among those whose reference groups are less affluent. This proposition is rarely examined empirically although it is central to relative deprivation theory. The current study tests this proposition by using multilevel data on Icelandic adolescents. Specifically, we examine whether the effect of economic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, delinquency and violence is contingent on the standard of living in the local schoolcommunity We focus on adolescents because it allows us to assume that the standard of living of peers and other members of the local Relative Deprivation Theory • 1225 comnnunity connprise an important frame of reference for the person. Thus, impoverished adolescents living in affluent communities should be more likely to experience relative deprivation than impoverished adolescents living in impoverished communities (Johnstone 1978). By implication, the effects of economic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior should be weak in communities where economic deprivation is common while the effects should be substantially stronger in communities where economic deprivation is rare. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we add to the scant research on relative deprivation and individual deviance. This research has been limited in scope and application. In particular, the literature consists of rare and incomplete attempts to test for interaction effects. Thus, only a handful of studies have examined whether the effect of economic deprivation on deviant behavior is contingent on affluence among the person's reference groups and the findings are inconclusive. Johnstone (1978) and Jarjoura and Tripplett (1997) found that low status youths living in high status communities were more likely to commit criminal acts than low status youths living in low status communities, while Tittle and Meier (1991 ) found no support for such interaction effects. Rather than examining interaction effects, research on relative deprivation and deviance consists mainly of two types of studies. The first type has focused on the effect of economic inequality on crime rates (Blau and Blau 1982; Krahn, Hartnagel and Gartrell 1986; Messner 1989; Messner and Tardiff 1986). But, due to the aggregate-level nature of this research, it has been unable to link relative deprivation with individual deviant behavior (Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000). The second type includes research on the straindelinquency link. This research has found various subjective measures of relative deprivation to have a positive effect on youth delinquency (Agnew et al. 1996; Baron 2003, 2006; Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000). Second, we examine relative deprivation theory in a more comprehensive manner than most prior studies. Theorists have argued that relative deprivation tends to produce anger, negative self-feelings and normlessness, and that relative deprivation increases the likelihood of deviant behavior (Agnew 1999; Blau and Blau 1982; Merton 1968; Merton and Rossi 1968; Messner and Tardiff 1986; Runciman 1966; Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000). Accordingly, affluence among reference groups should interact with the effects of economic deprivation on anger and normlessness in the same way as it interacts with the effect of economic deprivation on delinquent and violent behavior. To our knowledge, the research has not examined such interaction effects, despite the theoretical significance doing so. Rather, prior research on interaction effects has examined deviant outcomes only. The current study goes beyond prior work by examining whether the effects 1226 • Social Forces S7{3) of econonnic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior are contingent on the standard of living in the local community. Third, we explore the relationship between objective economic deprivation and subjective relative deprivation. Prior research has rarely focused on this relationship (see Agnew 1999), while a few studies have examined the effect of subjective relative deprivation on youth deviance (Agnew et al. 1996; Baron 2003, 2006; Burton et al. 1994; Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000). We point out that, according to relative deprivation theory, the relationship between objective deprivation and subjective relative deprivation is dependent on the standard of living of reference groups. Specifically, in the case of adolescents, the standard of living of peers and other members of the school-community may influence how adolescents perceive their own standard of living relative to typical others. This argument provides an important hypothesis that we test - that the negative effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative family status (perceived economic status of own family relative to other families in Iceland) should be stronger in communities where economic deprivation is rare than in communities where economic deprivation is common. Fourth, the research setting provides a unique opportunity to examine relative deprivation theory. Icelandic schools are encapsulated in small, local communities in which adolescent social participation and neighborhood residence are tightly coupled. In contrast to many other countries, the great majority of Icelandic adolescents attend small, neighborhood-based, public schools operated by the county governments. Children and adolescents are selected into the schools based on where they live, regardless of social and economic background. Hence adolescents are dependent on the school-community for peer companionship, status achievement and leisure activity (Bernburg and Thorlindsson 2007). This universal organization of the schools in Iceland makes it particularly plausible to assume that the school-community context affects adolescent proximity to referenced others. Finally, Iceland is a highly relevant setting in which to apply relative deprivation theory, because it is characterized by societal features that produce a fertile ground for upward social comparisons, namely, strong egalitarian values, upward social mobility and economic prosperity (Bjarnason 1974; Olafsson 1999; Thorlindsson 1988; Tomason 1980).^ Hence, we expect relative deprivation to be salient among impoverished youths in Iceland. Moreover, in order to establish the general value of any social theory, it needs to be tested in different social settings. In this sense, Iceland provides an additional setting to test the generalizability of relative deprivation theory. Relative Deprivation Theory • 1227 Reference Groups and Relative Deprivation Examining whether the effect of deprivation on individual outcomes is contingent on the affluence of referenced others introduces a difficult research challenge. While such a test requires individual-level data on economic status as well as behavioral, emotional and attitudinal outcomes, it also requires data on the standard of living among the person's reference groups. However, identifying the person's reference groups involves complex issues (Petersen 2004). Theorists argue that people compare their status to others with whom they perceive as sharing important similarities or with whom they identify in fundamental respects (Levene and Moreland 1987; Merton and Rossi 1968; Runciman 1966). Referenced others may be friends, colleagues or members of the local community, but they also constitute, in part, abstract ideas about what is normal, average and fair (Schor 1999). Moreover, the salience of persons or groups as possible targets of comparison depends on "the availability of information regarding the target's standing on dimensions relevant to the comparison." (Levene and Moreland 1987:112) Identifying reference groups thus raises empirical issues concerning the person's (or the group's), structural position, proximity to referenced others, and/ or perception of their standard of living, as well as issues concerning the characteristics of the broader cultural and structural context. Therefore, different social groups (age groups, ethnic groups, occupational groups, etc.) may require different approaches to conceptualizing and tackling the person's reference groups. We assume that when the target population consists of adolescents, the standard of living in the local community, in particular among same-aged peers, is salient in influencing the adolescent's proximity to and perception of referenced others (Johnstone 1978), even if the local community often has less relevance for adults (Schor 1999; Yngwe et al. 2003). Mechanisms of Social Comparison We suggest two theoretical mechanisms that explain how the standard of living in the school-community may condition the effect of economic deprivation on relative deprivation, and affect subjects' anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior. First, relative deprivation may result from comparison with other members of the local community, in particular with same-aged peers and their families. Thus, impoverished adolescents in affluent schools are more likely than those in less affluent schools to feel a sense of deprivation relative to referenced others. Second, to the extent that the local community provides a window through which adolescents learn about the standard of living of other members of society, the standard of living of peers and other families in 1228 • Social Forces 87{3) Figure 1. Hypothesized Interaction Effects Level 2 Economic Deprivation in the Schooicommunitv Path B (-) Level 1 Level 1 Economic Deprivation Path A (+) Outcome Variables Anger Normlessness Deiinquency Violence the local community may influence their perception of the standard of living of typical others. Thus, the community context may influence beliefs about what is average or normal (Schor 1999). Belonging to a community where economic deprivation is common may reduce perceived affluence of typical others and hence may reduce the tendency for economic deprivation to result in relative deprivation. While these two mechanisms differ, both imply that economic deprivation has weaker effects on adolescent outcomes such as anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior in communities where economic deprivation is common than in communities where economic deprivation is rare. The first mechanism implies that the weakening of the effects reflect a more favorable comparison with peers, while the second mechanism implies that the weakening of the effects reflect a more favorable comparison with what is perceived as an average standard of living. As shown in Figure 1, we hypothesize that the level of economic deprivation in the schooi-community moderates (Path B) the individual-level effect (Path A) of economic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, delinquency and vioience. Such interaction effects are called cross-level interaction effects (Bryk and Raudenbush 1992). Furthermore, relative deprivation theory implies that the effect of objective deprivation on perceived or subjective relative deprivation should be contingent on the standard of living of referenced others. We test this proposition by focusing on the second mechanism. This mechanism implies that the standard of living of peers in the schoolcommunity influences how adolescents perceive their own standard of living relative to typical others in the society. Accordingly, uve expect economic deprivation to have a stronger effect on subjective relative family status in schooi-communities where economic deprivation is rare than in school-communities where deprivation is common. Relative Deprivation Theory • 1229 The Influence of Relative Deprivation on Anger, Normlessness and Deviance Theorists argue that relative deprivation tends to produce anger as well as weak commitment to the social norms, which in turn increase the likelihood of deviant behavior (Agnew 1999; Blau and Blau 1982; Canache 1996; Merton 1968; Merton and Rossi 1968; Messner and Tardiff 1986; Runciman 1966). Relative deprivation may tend to result in anger because the person is deprived of what others are perceived to have the opportunity to obtain (Blau and Blau 1982; Burton et al. 1994; Merton 1968; Runciman 1966). As experimental research indicates, feelings of unfairness tend to produce anger and aggression (Crosby 1976). Perceived injustice may also undermine commitment to the social norms (Reis 1987). Also, the effect of relative deprivation on anger and normlessness may be driven by perceived goal blockage. Merton (1968) has argued that heightened aspirations in the context of disadvantage (blocked opportunities) constitutes strain to which individuals may adapt by developing a utilitarian attitude toward the social norms (Menard 1995), and Agnew (1992) has argued that perceived goal blockage often results in anger. Studies have found a positive relationship between measures of subjective relative deprivation and youth delinquency (Agnew et al. 1996; Baron 2003, 2006; Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000; for an exception, see Burton et al. 1994), and experimental evidence indicates that upward social comparisons can produce hostility and frustration (Testa and Major 1990). Consistent with such results, survey research has shown an association between low social status and adolescent alienation, aggression (Wright et al. 1999), and normlessness (Menard 1995). More research exists on the effects of anger and normlessness on deviance. Anger has been shown to influence adolescent violence (Agnew and White 1992; Aseltine, Gore and Gordon 2000; Sigfusdottir, Farkas and Silver 2004), presumably because anger increases the individual's level of grievance, creates a motivation for retaliation, energizes the individual for corrective action, and lowers inhibitions (Agnew 1992). Normlessness has been shown to influence deviant behavior, presumably because it reduces internal control and social control (Bernburg and Thorlindsson 2007; Kingery, Biafora and Zimmerman 1996; Menard 1995; Thorlindsson and Bjarnason 1998). Cultural and Structural Characteristics of the Research Setting Relative deprivation theory argues that the broad patterns of culture and social structure influence how people select their reference groups. While people tend to compare their status to the status of those that they perceive as sharing similarities with themselves, macrosocial patterns, in turn, shape people's perception of similarity. Specifically, relative deprivation is held to be particularly salient when the societal context 1230 • Social Forces 87(3) emphasizes egalitarianism and equal opportunity, because such beliefs motivate upward social comparisons (Krahn, Hartnagel and Gartrell 1986; Merton 1968; Merton and Rossi 1968; Parkin 1971; Passas 1997; Stack 1984; Runciman 1966). Economic prosperity, upward social mobility, and a low level of class based segregation are also held to motivate upward social comparisons (Runciman 1966), as well as the visibility of affluent people (Agnew 1999). All of these features characterize Icelandic society. Research indicates that Icelanders strongly value social equality (Bjarnason 1974; Olafsson 1999; Thorlindsson 1988; Tomason 1980). Tomason (1980:195) argues that egalitarianism is a pervasive value that has been held throughout Icelandic history, even while Icelanders recognize the existence of "vaguely defined social classes" and that occupations vary in social prestige and income. In Tomason's words, "...there are few things Icelanders believe more about themselves than that theirs is a country where there is equality among interacting individuals and equality of opportunity, even if some people have more money and more education than others." Supporting this view, cross-national surveys have shown that a high percentage of Icelanders value economic equality, relative to other European nations (Olafsson 1999). Research indicates that Iceland has been characterized by a high level of upward social mobility in the past few decades. Thorlindsson (1988) found a considerable inflow of students into college education from all other educational levels, where only about one in every four college students had a father with college education. Moreover, in recent years Icelanders have experienced a spurt of economic prosperity (Statistics Iceland 2007). As Runciman (1966) argues, upward mobility and economic prosperity nurture the belief in equality, as well as bolstering aspirations and expectations among youth. Increased purchasing power, a highly publicized success of Icelandic companies on the international scene, and high salaries of executives and leading businessmen have also created a fertile ground for upward (unfavorable) social comparisons in Icelandic society. We suspect that glamorizing of material success in the media has raised the aspirations of young people. Finally, the levels of poverty and economic inequality are quite modest in Iceland relative to many European countries (Statistics Iceland 2007). Thus, severe economic deprivation is relatively unusual in Iceland, which should enhance the salience of relative deprivation among the impoverished in Iceland. Data The data come from a national, population survey of Icelandic adolescents. The full sample consisted of all students born in 1990 and 1991 (15 and 16 years old), attending the compulsory 9* and 10'*^ grade of the secondary Relative Deprivation Theory «1231 Table 1: Descriptive Statistics Standard Deviation Minimum Value 1.32 4.60 .52 .08 .02 .28 2.99 1.79 -.00 1.61 .57 .99 .50 .27 .12 .45 .76 .70 .61 1.02 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -.23 1 5 7 1 1 1 1 5 4 10.26 7 1.35 .23 .02 .08 .29 .11 .42 .02 .06 .10 1.18 0 0 0 .09 1.74 1 .12 .40 .56 Mean Level 1 Variables (N = 5491) Economic deprivation Subjective relative economic status Female Residential mobility Immigrant status Family disruption Normiessness Anger Delinquency Violence Level 2 Variables (N = 83) Community economic deprivation Rural location Immigrant concentration Residential mobility Family disruption Maximum Value school. Anonymous questionnaires were administered to all students present in class in March 2006. Questionnaires were distributed in sealed envelopes by teachers and research assistants. A total of 129 schools (96 percent of all the schools in Iceland) participated in the survey. Valid questionnaires were obtained from 7,430 respondents, about 84 percent of the population of the two cohorts. No attempts were made to reach students that were absent on the day of the survey.^ To ensure a sufficient number of respondents in each school-community, schools with less than 20 respondents, all located in rural areas, were excluded from the analysis (46 schools). Also, we excluded 1,002 respondents who did not attend their local neighborhood school. The final analysis includes 5,491 respondents (51 percent female) in 83 public schools. On average, the school-level data is based on about 71 respondents from each school, with a standard deviation of about 48. The largest school had 286 respondents, the smallest had 21 respondents (11 schools had less than 40 respondents, including six schools with 20 to 29 respondents). Dependent Variables Descriptive statistics for all variables are reported in Table 1. /lA7c/e/-(Derogatis, Lipman and Covi 1973) is measured with the mean score on five questions about how often subjects experienced bad temper/ irritability, fits of temper, whether they had wanted to break or smash things, whether they got into arguments, and whether they had screamed 1232 . Socio/forces 87(3) or thrown things during the week prior to the survey (Chronbach's alpha = .84). The scales range from 1 (never) to 4 (often). Normlessness is the mean score on eight items for weak commitment to social norms and a utilitarian attitude toward rules (Bernburg and Thorlindsson 2007): "You can break most rules if they don't seem to apply," "I follow whatever rules I want to follow," "In fact, there are very few absolute rules in life," "It's hard to trust anything, because everything is subject to change," "In fact, nobody knows what is expected of her or him," "One can never be certain of anything in this life," "Sometimes you have to break the rules in order to succeed," "Following rules does not guarantee success." Cronbach's alpha = .78. The scales range from 1 (very much disagree) to 5 (very much agree). Delinquency is measured with nine questions about delinquency during the past 12 months. Respondents were asked how many times in the past 12 months they had stolen something worth less than 5,000 kroner (about $65), stolen something worth more than 5,000 kroner, burglarized a building or a car to steal something, damaged things that did not belong to them, and committed another criminal offense. Response categories for these items ranged from "never" to "18 times or more." Also, respondents were asked how many times they had been interrogated at a police station due to a suspicion of crime, confessed to a crime that they had committed, refused to confess to a crime that they had committed, and how many times they had been adjudicated for a crime. Response categories for these items ranged from "never" to "six times or more." All the items were standardized and then averaged (Chronbach's alpha = .81). Violence is the mean score on seven questions about aggressive and violent behavior during in the past 12 months. We asked subjects if they had punched someone, kicked someone, hit someone, shoved someone, engaged in physical fighting, threatened someone with violence. We also included a subjective question about using physical violence (Chronbach's alpha = .93). The response categories ranged from 1 (never) to 10 (18 times or more). Previous research has found good construct validity for all of the above mentioned indexes (Bernburg and Thorlindsson 2007; Sigfusdottiretal. 2004). Subjective Relative Family Economic Status. Following Baron (2003, 2006), respondents were asked to rate the economic status of their family relative to other families in Iceland, on the scale of 1 (much worse off) to 7 (much better off). Relative Deprivation Theory • 1233 Economic Deprivation While research has produced mixed results concerning the effects of parents' social and economic status on adolescent deviant behavior (Braihwaite 1981; Dunaway et al. 2000), studies tend to show an effect when focusing on parental economic deprivation or poverty (Bernburg and Krohn 2003; Bjerk 2007; Farnworth et al. 1994). Hence, we focus on economic deprivation rather than parents' socioeconomic status. The current research strategy (see Figure 1) requires that we measure economic deprivation on two levels, the individual-level (Level 1) and the school-community level (Level 2). Economic Deprivation (Level 1) Four survey items tackle economic hardship at home and inability of parents to pay for basic necessities (Chronbach's alpha = .77): "Your parents' financial status is bad," "Your parents cannot afford to own and operate a car," "Your parents hardly have enough money to pay for basic necessities (e.g. food, housing, phone)," and "Your parents cannot afford the type of leisure activity that you would most prefer to practice (e.g., music or sports)." The response categories ranged from 1 (almost never) to 5 (almost always). We combined the items by using the mean score on the four items. Relative frequencies for individual items are reported in the Appendix. We note that supplementary research of measurement validity indicates a strong association between the current measure of economic deprivation and parents' reporting of economic deprivation.^ Prior research has found similar results (Huston, McLoyd and Coll 1994). Community Economic Deprivation (Level 2) Economic deprivation in the school-community is measured with the school mean on the economic deprivation measure described above. Thus, this measure tackles the standard of living of same-aged peers in the schoolcommunity, which is arguably an important reference group for adolescents who, again, tend to be dependent on peers in the school-community Given the study's focus on reference groups, this measure is more appropriate than, say, a measure tackling the aggregate economic status of all residents that live within the geographical boundaries of the school-community. Again, the current study includes the majority of the adolescent population in each school-community. Therefore, we are confident that the current measure of community economic deprivation represents quite well the standard of living of same-aged peers in the school-community. In fact, a supplementary analysis of measurement validity supports this claim. Thus, the current community economic deprivation measure is strongly correlated with the mean income of households with children in the school-community." 1234 . Soc/a/Forces 87(3) Table 1 and the Appendix show substantial differences in economic deprivation among the school-communities. For example, the school proportion of respondents saying that their parents' financial situation is "sometimes," "often" or "almost always" bad ranges from 3 percent to 45 percent, with an average of 17 percent (see Appendix).^ Control Variables Level 1 Control Variables A few control variables are included in the individual-level models below, based on prior delinquency research (Knoester and Haynie 2005; Sampson and Laub 1994). A dummy variable for respondent's Sex was coded "V'for females and "0" for males. Residential stability is coded "1 " is respondents indicate having moved to a new neighborhood/community in the past 12 months, and "0" otherwise. Family disruption is coded " 1 " if respondents indicate not living with both parents and "0" otherwise. Immigrant status is coded "1 " if respondents indicate that both parents are not born in Iceland and "0" otherwise. Level 2 Control Variables Based on the existing research on community context and youth delinquency (Bernburg and Thorlindsson 2007; Gottfredson, McNeil and Gottfredson 1991), we control for the direct, contextual effects of the following community-level variables (see Equation 2.0 below): Family disruption; the school proportion of respondents not living with both parents. Residential mobility; the school proportion of respondents that has moved to another community during the past 12 months. Immigrant concentration; the school proportion of respondents indicating that both parents are born in another country. Rural location is coded " 1 " for rural area and "0" otherwise. Statistical Analysis We use hierarchical linear regression, which is the appropriate statistical tool for analyzing linear effects in nested, multilevel data (Bryk and Raudenbush 1992). The analysis is conducted in HLM 5 (Raudenbush, Bryk and Cheong 2001). The baseline Level 1 (individual-level) specification: Yy = ßoj + ßij(Economic Deprivation¡|) -I- P2j(Female¡j) + p3j(Residential Mobility¡j) + ß4j(Family Disruption¡j) + ß(lmmigrant) + r ' ' where Y. is a value on a dependent variable for individual / in community /. Separate models are estimated for each dependent variable, that is. Relative Deprivation Theory • 1235 normlessness, anger, delinquency, and violence, ß^^ is the mean value of the dependent variable in community/; ß^^ is a slope coefficient for the effect of an individual-level variable (grand-mean centered) in community y; r¡j is the error term. Our focus is on yS,, the slope effect of economic deprivation (Path A in Figure 1). ß^ through ß^ are included for statistical control. The Level 2 (school-community) specification: ßoj = Too + Yio(Comnnunity Economic Deprivationj) + Y2o(Rural Locationj) -lY3o(lmmigrant Concentrationj) + Y4o(Residential Mobilityj) -I- (2) Y5o(Family Disruptionj) -I- UQ, ßii — Yio + Y i i ( C o m m u n i t y E c o n o m i c Deprivation,) -f Uij P2j = 720 + U2i (2.2) p3j = Y30 + U31 P4i = Y40 + U4j (2.3) (2.4) p5i = Y50 + Ugj (2.5) (2.1) where ß^. is the mean of Y in community/ (adjusted for Level 1 effects), •y^Q is an intercept and /¿^j is a random term for variation among the communities in mean value of Y Equation 2 estimates the contextual effects of community characteristics (grand-mean centered) on the dependent variable. Although these direct, contextual effects are not the focus of the analysis, such effects have been found in prior work and should be included for statistical control. Equations 2.1 through 2.5 are slopes-as-outcomes models, /ß,. through ß^. are Level 1 coefficients in community/; 7,^ through yj^are intercepts (average slopes across communities) and /X|^through ¡x^. represent random variation in the slopes between communities. Our focus is on the crosslevel interaction effect in Equation 2.1. In this equation, the individual-level effect of economic deprivation on the dependent variable is regressed on community economic deprivation. The term y,, denotes the effect of community economic deprivation on the Level 1 slope effect of economic deprivation on the dependent variable (Path B, Figure 1). A significant, negative coefficient (y,,) indicates that the effect of economic deprivation on the dependent variable varies inversely with the community level of economic deprivation, as we have hypothesized. We also estimate an additional model for each dependent variable, examining whether the slope effect ß^. has a significant between-communities variation {^l^) in the first place, prior to controlling for community economic deprivation (that is, we also estimate Equation 2.1 excluding y^). A significant betweencommunities variance in the slope effect provides empirical support for attempting to explain this variation. 1236 . Soda/Forces 87(3) Results We have hypothesized that the individual-level effects of economic deprivation on anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior should become weaker as economic deprivation is more common in the school-community. These hypotheses are examined in Table 2. Two models are estimated for each dependent variable. The first model includes only direct, non-conditional effects. This model thus shows whether the individual-level effect of economic deprivation on the dependent variable has a significant between-communities variation, that is, whether the random effect is significant (in which case we have empirical support for our attempt to explain this variation). The second model examines the cross-level interaction effect, that is, whether community economic deprivation influences the individual-level slope effect of economic deprivation on the dependent variable (Equation 2.1 ). Again, we predict that community economic deprivation should have a negative effect on the slope effect of economic deprivation on each dependent variable (Path B, Figure 1). Results in Table 2 lend consistent support to the hypotheses depicted in Figure 1, showing that the effects of economic deprivation on anger, normlessness, delinquency and violence are significantly weaker in schoolcommunities where economic deprivation is more common (Path B, Figure 1). First, consider the results for anger. Model la shows that economic deprivation has a significant, individual-level effect on anger. The random term associated with this effect is statistically significant, which indicates that the effect of economic deprivation on anger varies significantly across communities. Furthermore, as predicted. Model 1 b shows that community economic deprivation has a negative impact on the effect of economic deprivation on anger (y,, = -.54). The first column in Table 3 illustrates the substantive meaning of this cross-level interaction effect. The illustration shows that the predicted effect of economic deprivation on anger ranges from .29 in communities where economic deprivation is rare to .09 in communities where deprivation is common. This finding thus indicates a substantial cross-level interaction effect. We find even stronger results for delinquency and violence. In models 3a and 4a, the effects of economic deprivation on both delinquency and violence, respectively, have significant between-communities variances. Moreover, models 3b and 4b show that community economic deprivation has a negative influence the effects of economic deprivation on delinquency and violence, respectively. Again, the strength of the interaction effects is illustrated in Table 3. Thus, in communities where economic deprivation is common, the predicted effects of economic deprivation on both delinquent and violent behavior are about zero, while the effects are quite Relative Deprivation Theory • 1237 substantial in communities where economic deprivation is rare (.21 and .30 for delinquency and violence, respectively). Results for normlessness in Model 2a and Model 2b lend partial support to our thesis. Model 2b shows that community affluence has a significant, negative effect on the slope effect of economic deprivation on normlessness (y^ = -.42). However, Model 2a does not find a significant CO CNJ CM CO CO S o § § S c c« "S 60 * CNI CO CT) C I CO § o § § ss u s O O o •.-CsJOOCO C M O C O O C N J O u I S r-.- 'S- e n o o CO CD CD m CD CX3 o CD CD o CO er u ië O -a c O -^ <J5 OO •*- O ^ O O C5 O CD -a Ë (U o u î a V -a ? S CM ^ C <U 3 o .2 .2 *.< £ g .y T3 E o> o .= 13 Q S ^ §- ¿ 8 E o- i o>=* E _ _ E — E " t <u 0) ^ Ä :.CL Oi £ Q : ^ 0) > oPc e £ c e ù ; . £ rt "" -^ III *• flj ^ § * il. « q CL 2 a. Ü -^ V O W Z Í-I CL( 1238 . Social Forces 87(3) between-community variance in the effect of economic deprivation on normlessness. Hence the data do not support our attempt to explain differences in the individual-level effect of economic deprivation on normlessness across communities. Nevertheless, the cross-level interaction effect for normlessness is significant and negative, as predicted. CD C3 CO CO •<— CO r-.- C3 C3 C3 C3 o u u î oo to es CO oc i n •<— CM CO (U o o o Oí t o î CO CO > oo o oo ro CN CM O O CO CO CsJ CO CD .»— T - CM CM C3 o B CD r-^— cr> C3 CO er Î Î •>- CM . CO CNJ h ^ •<- o -o CO ^D O> T - C3 CM 'S 'S § CM > ci j V O 'ç- X Î CO V .g g 3 « , ^ E "S- S 3 S?-= E <» ro S- 'S 'SJ Ä o >? ™ :5 =^ .S'jM g u ) ^ c o c O ) O i 3 c Q ^ r o '••^ 8 LU V Relative Deprivation Theory • 1239 Table 3: Illustrating the Interaction Effects Community Economic Deprivation (Grand-Mean Centered) Anger Normlessness Delinquency Violence l ^ ^ l J m i n j m ü n i ( - : i 7 f „ ' T i r . _ -Jj. -29 ...L..^23J_; , „ _ _ _ , 2 1 ^.30 J J One staridard deviation belovy mean (-.11) .27 .2{ _ .18 ^ .25^ One standard^deviation above rneaj;[^(+.ji)_ ^^iid.arddèvÎatipnsVb-ove'mean,(4-".22)-" .15 '.09 ^11 .06 ^8^ .03'"' .07^^ '^-.02 ' ] Note:*The table shows the predicted Level 1 slope effects of economic deprivation on the outcome variables at different levels of community economic deprivation. Observed minimum value of community economic deprivation is employed to stay within the range of observed values on this variable. Additionally, a few significant direct effects are reported for the community variables (Equation 2), but these effects are inconsistent across the dependent variables.^ Thus, community economic deprivation has a significant effect on anger, rural location has a significant effect on normlessness, and immigrant concentration has a significant effect on delinquent behavior. In sum, the findings support the predicted pattern of interaction effects across the dependent variables, that is, anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior (Path B, Figure 1 ). The effects of economic deprivation on these outcomes are weak in communities where economic deprivation is common but substantially stronger in communities where economic deprivation is rare. Model Robustness To examine the robustness of the results in Table 2, we estimate a few additional models (results available from the authors upon request). First, controlling for other community characteristics in the slopes-as-outcome part of the models (Equation 2.1), that is, rural location, immigrant concentration, residential mobility and family disruption, has no impact on the findings. The other community characteristics do not exhibit any cross-level interaction effects. Second, prior research indicates that poverty influences delinquency in part through disrupted family processes, that is, family conflict and weak ties between adolescents and their parents (Sampson and Laub 1994). Such mechanisms do not contradict relative deprivation theory - poverty may influence adolescent deviance through both relative deprivation and family processes. Nevertheless, to deal with potential spuriousness, we re-estimate the Level 1 models (Equation 1 ), controlling for ties to parents (combining six items about how difficult or easy it is to receive support from parents, including warmth and caring, conversions about private 1240 . Social Forces 87(3) issues, advice, etc.) and two indicators of family conflict (dummy variables for parent-child arguments and parent-parent arguments during the past 12 months). The substantive results shown in Table 2 are unaffected by this procedure, although the average effects of economic deprivation on the dependent variables are somewhat reduced, as would be expected (not shown in table). Finally, impoverished adolescents living in affluent school-communities may be more likely to experience social isolation and exclusion from their peers than impoverished adolescents living in less affluent schoolcommunities. Hence, economic deprivation might have a stronger impact on anger and other negative outcomes in school-communities where economic deprivation is rare, even in the absence of relative deprivation. To deal with this issue, we estimate the models by controlling for social ties to peers (combining five items about how difficult or easy it is to receive support from peers) and bullying by peers (respondents were asked how many times they had been attacked and/or hurt by a group of kids during the past 12 months). The substantive results are unaffected by the addition of these control variables. Subjective Economic Status of Family Relative to Other Families in Iceland According to one of the theoretical mechanisms proposed above, the standard of living in the school-community influences how adolescents perceive their standard of living relative to typical others in the society. Accordingly, the effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative economic status of family (i.e., perceived economic status of own family relative to other families in Iceland) should be stronger where economic deprivation is rare, but weaker where economic deprivation is common. Results in Table 4 support this hypothesis. Thus, Model la shows a significant between-community variation in the negative effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative status. Moreover, Model 1b supports our prediction, showing that the negative effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative family status is significantly weaker in communities where economic deprivation is common. The predicted effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative status ranges from about -.50 in schools where economic deprivation is common to about -.72 in schools where economic deprivation is rare. Conclusion The theory of relative deprivation portrays a genuinely sociological approach that illustrates how the social context influences individual outcomes. It has been applied widely in social research, and the link between relative deprivation and deviance is a classic subject in sociological theory (Merton Relative Deprivation Theory «1241 Table 4: Hierarchical Linear Regression of Subjective Economic Status of Family Relative to Other Families in Iceland Level 1 Variables (N = 5491) Economic deprivation [ß) intercept (yoo) Slope-as-Outcome (N = 83) Effect of community Economic deprivation on the effect of economic deprivation (y,,) Proportion of Level 1 Variance Explained Model 1a Random Fixed Model 1b Fixed Random -.61*** 3.42*** -.62*** 3.42*** .058*** .015*** — .58* .13 .13 .058*** .015*** Note: Fixed effects are unstandardized coefficients. Random effects are level 2 variance components. Significance tests are based on robust standard errors. *p < .05 **p < .01 ***p < .001 (two-tailed tests) 1968). The current study lends support to relative deprivation theory in several ways. First, findings support the central proposition that the effects of economic deprivation on individual outcomes are directly proportional to the standard of living of the person's reference groups (Johnstone 1978; Merton and Rossi 1968; Runciman 1966; Stouffer et al. 1949; Yngwe et al. 2003, 2005). The effects of economic deprivation on adolescent anger, normlessness, and delinquent and violent behavior are weak in schoolcommunities where economic deprivation is common, while the effects are significantly and substantially stronger in school-communities where economic deprivation is rare. The findings support relative deprivation theory in a more comprehensive manner than most prior research. Although scholars (Agnew 1999; Blau and Blau 1982; Canache 1996; Merton 1968; Merton and Rossi 1968; Messner and Tardiff 1986; Runciman 1966) have argued that relative deprivation often results in anger and normlessness, pointing out the role that these variables play in mediating the effect of relative deprivation on deviant behavior, empirical research has rarely included these variables. Moreover, although relative deprivation theory implies that the effect of objective deprivation on subjective relative status should be contingent on the affluence of reference groups, such interaction effects are rarely examined empirically. Therefore, it is important that our results lend consistent support to the theory, revealing a similar pattern of interaction effects across key concepts, namely, anger, normlessness, delinquency, violence and subjective relative status. We have argued that the Icelandic research setting provides a unique opportunity to examine relative deprivation theory. There are two reasons 1242 • Soda/Forces 87(3) for this. First, the assumption that peers and families in the schoolcommunity comprise an important frame of reference for adolescents is particularly plausible in the Icelandic setting. Icelandic schools comprise small, local communities in which adolescent social participation and neighborhood residence are tightly coupled. Using these sociologically meaningful aggregate-level units is an important methodological strength, especially given that community research often uses questionable criteria in drawing the boundaries of community-level units (see Bursik 1988). Second, because Iceland is characterized by a strong emphasis on values and beliefs that stress egalitarianism, equal opportunity and individual achievement (Bjarnason 1974; Olafsson 1999; Statistics Iceland 2007; Thorlindsson 1988; Tomason 1980), it provides a societal setting in which we would expect relative deprivation theory to be highly relevant (Merton 1968; Messner and Rosenfeld 1994; Passas 1997; Runciman 1966). However, we stress that the unique characteristics of the lelandic setting should not be seen to limit the general value of the findings. To the contrary, it is crucial for the general value, or generalizability of any social theory that it be applied it in different societal settings. As Lucas (2003:239) has pointed out, theoretical generalizability - that is, the extent to which a theory applies across social settings - does not always involve replicating the same research design across settings. To the contrary, generalizability "often involves testing the same theoretical principles with new measures in a new setting." Thus, the critical issue for the general value of a particular study is whether the test adheres to the scope conditions of the theory, that is, whether the findings are relevant to the theory, but not necessarily whether the particular findings can be reproduced in other settings. Simply put, testing the same theoretical principles across social settings may require different research designs, depending on the particulars of the social setting. In this sense, the Icelandic findings support the confirmatory status of relative deprivation theory as a viable factor in deviant behavior and poor well-being. The study overlaps in part with two studies conducted in the United States (Johnstone 1978; Jarjoura and Triplett 1997) that found having low social status has a stronger effect on youth delinquency in high status communities than in low status communities. Relatedly, a study conducted in Honduras found socioeconomic status to have a stronger, negative effect on adult support for political violence in affluent neighborhoods than in impoverished neighborhoods (Canache 1996). Also, a Swedish study has found the negative effect of economic deprivation on adult health to be stronger among individuals having high income reference groups (Yngwe et al. 2003).^ The accumulation of such findings across societies (including the current findings) supports the generalizability of relative deprivation theory, as well as the external validity of the current Relative Deprivation Theory • 1243 Study (see Lucas 2003). Finally, our findings support studies that have used other nnethods to operationalize the effect of relative deprivation on deviance and crime, including studies based on subjective nneasures of relative deprivation (Agnew et al. 1996; Baron 2003, 2006; Stiles, Liu and Kaplan 2000) and studies on the effect of inequality on crime rates (Blau and Blau 1982; Krahn, Hartnagel and Gartrell 1986). We have proposed two theoretical mechanisms that explain how the community context conditions the effects of economic deprivation on adolescent outcomes. First, peers and other members of the local community comprise an important reference group for adolescents. Second, the standard of living of other community members may influence how adolescents perceive the standard of living of typical others, hence influencing their perception of their own status. The current findings are consistent with both these theoretical mechanisms. A logical next step in the analysis would be to bring in measures that are specific to each mechanism. The first mechanism implies that the effect of economic deprivation on subjective deprivation relative to peers should be weaker in communities where economic deprivation is more common. As we do not measure subjective deprivation relative to peers, this hypothesis awaits future research. However, because we measure subjective family status relative to other families in Iceland, we can tackle the second mechanism. This mechanism implies that the standard of living of others in the community influences adolescent perception of the average or normal standard of living in the society. Accordingly, the effect of economic deprivation on subjective family status relative to other families in Iceland should interact with community affluence. To date, the research has rarely examined how such social comparison dynamics influence subjective relative status among youth. Our findings show that the effect of economic deprivation on subjective relative economic status is weaker in communities where economic deprivation is more common. Although we acknowledge that our measure of subjective relative family status is based on a single survey item, this finding provides some support to one of the mechanisms that constitute the theoretical basis for our analysis. It also illustrates how the social context provides a framework that specifies how individuals experience impoverishment. A more comprehensive and detailed analysis of the theoretical mechanisms awaits future research. Notes It should be noted that while this description of the societal context holds for the tinne period in which the current data is collected, March 2006, during the fall of 2008 Iceland experienced an economic collapse that will lead to higher rates of poverty and downward mobility in the near future. 1244 • Social Forces 87(3) 2. Although the sample attrition rate for the current survey is quite low (16 percent), we were concerned with a possible bias due to fact that absence from school on the day of the survey could be systematically related to economic deprivation (a concern raised by an anonymous reviewer). Thus, schools in which economic deprivation is common may have a higher sample attrition rate, a tendency that could bias the findings presented in this paper. A supplementary analysis of the data (not shown), however, indicates that such bias is not present. First, we find no significant relationship between the school attrition rate and community economic deprivation (Pearson's r = .05; p = .631 ; N = 83). Second, we have replicated the analysis in Table 2 and Table 4, controlling for the school attrition rate, that is, including it as a predictor in Equations 2 and Equations 2.1 (see the section titled Statistical Analysis). This procedure does not change the substantive findings. 3. A pilot survey on adolescents and their parents (N = 90) was conducted in a single school in Reykjavik to examine the association between the current measure of economic deprivation and parents' reporting of economic deprivation (index combining seven items asking the parent about his or her inability to pay for necessities, including car, leisure, housing, food). Due to skewness in the items, we categorized the items into four equal groups. The Gamma coefficient for the association between the items was .68, and logit regression found that moving from the lowest through the highest value on the parental report measure increased the odds of being in the highest quartile on the current measure of economic deprivation by a factor of 46. Also, the current data (N = 5,491) reveals good construct validity for the current measure of economic deprivation. This measure is strongly related to known risk factors of adult poverty in Iceland, including single-parent households (especially if the single parent is female), non-college educated parents (especially if the father has no college education), immigrant status, parents' unemployment (especially if the father is unemployed), and rural location. 4. Statistics Iceland has on record the actual tax records of all persons in Iceland, by address and family type. Upon request, these data were aggregated by the geographical boundaries of the 83 school-communities (data based on tax records for the year 2005). Thus we were able to correlate the current community-level measure of economic deprivation with the mean income of all households with children in the geographical school-community. The correlations are r = -.61 in the urban, Reykjavik area, and r = -.74 in rural areas. 5. The maximum difference in mean income (households with children) among these units is a factor of 1.6 (based on tax records for the year 2005, provided by Statistics Iceland). 6. If we were focused on the direct, contextual effects of these variables, it might be more appropriate to create indicators that combine correlated community characteristics (e.g., combining economic deprivation, percent single parent households and immigration concentration into a single measure). For the purpose of the current study, however, we only need to control for the joint effects of the community-level variables. We note that dropping the independent variables from Equation 2 has a trivial impact on the substantive findings. Relative Deprivation Theory • 1245 7. The subjects of this study were grouped into reference groups based on the subject's social class, age, and living region. National average incomes in each category were used to rank the reference groups with respect to economic affluence. 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