FEATURE 3 Are we facing a new Cold War? The blusterings and sabre rattlings of the Reagan Administration together with its sinister activities in the Central America would indicate that we are already in one. But what about the Russians? Do they also have their nuclear hawkes and their worst-case theorists? The balance of the world’s forces has substantially altered since the ig 5 0 s . The People’s Republic of China, a wild card in the world power game, is now a major nuclear power. The nonaligned movement has developed and expanded its influence and the anti war movement seems to be riding the crest of a popular wave of concern. But the existence of an increasing number of volatile smaller states possessing nuclear capacity means that the Cold War of the 1980s could be more unstable and menacing than the sterile power plays of the 1 9 5 0 ’s. In this article a controversial argument is put forward that the policies of both the tJ.S.S.R. and the U.S.A. is determined by self-interest as interpreted by their social and military elites. KEN ENDERBY 48 AIORE C O LD WAR election of Ronald Reagan marked the culmination of a concerted campaign by those on the extreme Right of American politics to refreeze their nation's relations with its principal adversary, the Soviet Union, and to return the world to the Cold War atmosphere of the nineteen forties, fifties and sixties. And despite the monumental changes which have taken place irf the world since the Cold W ar was at its height, the campaign has met with spectacular, if temporary, success — at a governmental level at least. W hat factors have brought about this decisive shift in political thinking in America, a development which has undoubtedly propelled the world closer towards the nuclear precipice? W hat is the Russian attitude to the new political climate? and more fundamentally, what is the nature of the so-called "New Cold War" and how does it relate to the original Cold War and to the period known as detente? All these questions require answers if we are to devise a rational and realistic response to a p h en o m en o n w hich now d irec tly jeopardises our future security. ’ In the view of America's hard-liners (the so-called "hawks"), there is nothing particularly new about the New Cold War. They see it as simply a return to the sensible policies which a well-meaning but naive America chose to abandon after ignominious defeat in the Viet Nam War. The Soviet Union, they argue, "duped" America into believing that co operation was possible, while relentlessly pursuing its plans for world domination. Paul Nitze, co-founder of the hawkish Committee on the Present Danger, and currently a senior Reagan foreign policy adviser and arms control negotiator, expressed this myopic world view in Foreign A ffairs journal: 'T he Kremlin leaders do not want war; they w ant the world. They believe it unlikely, however, that the West will let them have the world without a fight."1 Nitze and his colleagues believe that mos_t of the world's ailments are attributable to the Soviet Union: "For example, it appears probable that the Red Brigades in Italy, the assault on the Mosque in Mecca, and the seizure of the American hostages in Iran were supported and perhaps instigated by agents of the Soviet bloc."2 The fact that there is no hard evidence for such allegations is irrelevant,3 for the hawks base their case largely on recent examples of Soviet military involvement in Angola, Ethiopia and Afghanistan. And it is this concept of a ruthless and relentless communist expansionism which has, they claim, forced the United States, to adopt a tough, uncom prom is ing and interventionist stance of its own. To give these men their due, one must certainly agree that the Soviet Union has been responsible for many dangerous and provocative actions. But the Soviet Union has always acted in this fashion, and a brief glance through the pages of American history will show that the United States has behaved no differently (in fact its b e h a v io u r has been considerably worse).4 Rather than being a decisive factor in reinvigorating the Cold War, Russian actions have merely served as a pretext to justify a shift in American foreign policy whose roots lie elsewhere. It must be remembered that the invasion of Afghanistan took place fully two and a half years after American hawks began calling for a tougher, more militant stand against the Soviet Union. If anything, the Russian decision to re establish control in that country by military means was encouraged by what was u n d o u b te d ly p erceiv ed as a dangerous and provocative change in American foreign policy. It is no coincidence that the invasion took place A utum n 1983 just two weeks after the NATO decision to deploy Pershing and Cruise missiles in Western Europe. These missiles will, for M o u n ted P ersh ing 1 m issile In West the first time, give NATO the option of G erm an y initiating a devastating nuclear strike Has this lesson simply been lost on the against military targets in the Soviet Union, a development which will, hawks? In many cases the answer is probably yes; however, men such as Paul ironically, in the event of a crisis, give the Russians a strong motivation to destroy Nitze have been close to the seat of power for a long time (Nitze himself was a senior these missiles before they can be used. The Russians tried very hard to forestall foreign policy adviser to President deployment of these weapons, offering to Truman, and chaired the committee freeze production of their own SS20s which produced NSC-68, the blueprint which were then only very few in number, for the Cold War), and for all we might b u t no A m eric an response was dislike them and disagree with them, we must give them credit for intelligence and forthcoming. The point which needs to be made is cunning. These men are acutely aware that the New Cold W ar has done nothing that the Cold War serves as a vital to curb the Russians — they are still in instrument in the exercise of American Afghanistan and Ethiopia (and Eastern power. And, as we shall see, the roots of Europe) and look like remaining there the New Cold W ar lie primarily outside for some time to come. Indeed, there was the orbit of the superpower military never any possibility the United States confrontation. could do anything to change Soviet policy by adopting a confrontationist stance. The overriding lesson of the 1950s is that posturing and proselytising are I N everth eless, that confrontation is still entirely lost on the adversary during a the basis of the Cold W ar world order, climate of tension and conflict. In fact, and it has become so widely accepted that ironically, Soviet adventurism was at its it is now believed by most people to be peak during the period of maximum both permanent and inevitable. The American diplom atic and military division of the world into two armed coercion (1947-1953). The times when camps is nowhere more evident than in Soviet co-operation has been most Germany, particularly since the erection forthcoming have been during partial of the Berlin Wall in 1961. According to thaws in the Cold War. The Partial Test the unending stream of propaganda Ban Treaty and a whole series of similar emanating from both camps, the world is undergoing an ideological struggle agreements were signed in the 12 months following the Cuban Missile Crisis of between the forces of good and the forces 1962, before Kennedy and Khrushchev of evil (of course which superpower were b o th rem oved fro m office. represents which forces depends entirely Similarly, SALT emerged during the early days of detente, a period when the Soviets dramatically increased the quota of Jews permitted to leave the country. Now, with the refreezing of the Cold War, the number leaving has been reduced to a trickle.5 N A u s t r a l ia n Le f t Re v ie w 83 upon whom one chooses to believe), and smaller nations must take shelter beneath IQ the ideological and military umbrella of ” ™ the one superpower, for fear of being engulfed by the immutably aggressive designs of the other. So the argument goes. l n order to meet the seriousness of the threat as it is presented to the public, each superpower has deployed a gruesome array of sophisticated weaponry, and stands poised to rain unparalleled destruction on its adversary at what is literally a moment's notice. An arms race of-this magnitude is unavoidable given the nature of the Cold War, and the great ■ | tragedy is that this arms race will undoubtedly destroy us unless the Cold W ar can be rapidly and permanently term inated. Again, most of the hawks are well aware of this, as evidenced, by their admission of the ultimate need for nuclear disarmament. The Reagan adm inistration has proposed a SovietAmerican arms reduction of one-third of existing strategic nuclear stockpiles. But because it publicly argues that the Soviets can never be trusted to keep their word, the adm inistration has a very convenient e x c u se fo r g iv in g d is a rm a m e n t negotiations only perfunctory attention. The problem is that the short term benefits derived from prolonging the Cold War are perceived as being more im portant than the long term advantages ot superpower co-operation. And so leaders cling to an antiquated and dangerous world order which at least promises certainty, if not security. 49 MORE COLD WAR 50 This certainty derives from the Brezhnev's Russia is represented by confrontation itself and the "black and power, privilege, and a holiday house on white" propaganda it generates. And yet, the Black Sea. The Russia most of its in historical perspective, the degree of citizens know is represented by petty antagonism between the superpowers corruption, shortages of consumer hardly seems justified by their legitimate goods and a lack of political freedom. disputes. They share no common border Similarly, Ronald Reagan's America is and hence have no conflict over territory; symbolised by corporate power, fabulous they do not compete for markets (the wealth, and a 700 acre ranch at Santa Russians do not believe in the market Barbara; while that of millions of its principle), or for resources and energy citizens is symbolised by ram pant crime, (the Russians are almost entirely self corporate corruption, and social injustice sufficient in resources, and are net on a scale only understood by those who energy exporters); nor do they conflict are forced to live in the ghettos of urban over religious doctrine (the Russians care America. The fact that the American little a b o u t re lig io n ). S uch an citizen had no better choice for President observation raises critical questions than that between Jimmy Carter and about the nature of the superpower Ronald Reagan is ample evidence that confrontation, for most wars are fought his/her political influence is, in practice, between nations with common interests little better than that of his. her Soviet the two World Wars being good c o u n te rp a rt. T he A m erican elite examples. Until 1917, the United States discovered long ago that democracy was and the Soviet Union had very little no threat to privilege as long as it contact with one another. After the remained ineffective. revolution, the Americans, in concert with other capitalist powers, briefly attem pted to overthrow the fledgling Bolshevik regime, then succeeded in W Bow , then, does eacn ol the isolating it from the world community by superpowers pursue this common encircling it with a cordon of anti-Soviet interest? In the Soviet Union, privilege is states. The Soviets pursued the only maintained both by prohibiting social, economic and political reform, and by option available to them isolationism a policy broken only when Hitler's ensuring that Russia is never again invasion thrust them into the heartland threatened by invasion. Russian policy of Europe. directly reflects Russian history brutal, introspective and, ironically, relatively conservative. In the United States, on the other hand, privilege is pursued by the preservation of a grossly |t is therefore quite evident that the in e q u ita b le eco n o m ic o rd e r, b oth Cold War is fundamentally different domestically and internationally. With from other recent great power disputes. only 5% of the world's population, The fact that it has never escalated to a America consumes fully 27% of its direct military engagement, even during resources, and 29% of its energy.7 the period of greatest tension when the American power and wealth rest on the United States had an effective nuclear exploitation of peoples around the globe monopoly (1945-1954). indicates that the including the American people. The roots of the conflict lie outside the m u ltin a tio n a l c o rp o ra tio n s w hich reasons traditionally presented to control the bulk of wealth in the western explain it. world and which are responsible to noone but themselves, are, in very blunt terms, international pirates, pillaging iro n ic a lly , despite the geographical, resources and labour from the Third World and leaving a legacy of pollution, political, economic and social chasm which divides them, the superpowers repression and economic deprivation.8 share a great deal in common, although A g a in , A m e ric a n p o lic y re fle c ts both would be unlikely and unwilling to American history —" brash, daring, recognise this, The ideological conflict ruthless, and usually successful. between them is, in practice, far less meaningful than they would have us believe. After all, w hat is ideology if not merely an intellectual justification for the only difference between the pursuit of self interest )bethat the interest superpowers is in the scale of their of tne many or the few)? And it is a ruthlessness, with the United States being p ro fo u n d self in te rest w hich the responsible (either directly or indirectly) superpowers share in common. Both are for a great deal more repression than the p r i m a r i l y c o n c e r n e d w ith th e Soviet Union (certainly since the demise preservation of domestic privilege. There of Stalin). So often, however, this is no doubt that both social systems are unpleasant reality is overlooked, mainly highly stratified, and largely exist to because, unlike Russian brutality, protect the interests of the very few. American brutality is mostly manifested When Leonid Brezhnev speaks of Russia, against foreign peoples and usually in it is in most cases a totally different very subtle forms (the death of a million country to that lnhamted by its citizens.0 children each year through the sale of infant formula is every bit as horrific in scale as the stalinist purges or the nazi holocaust).9 u In America's case, the Cold War has been absolutely essential for the pursuit of its foreign policy goals. A good example of this is the CIA-organised coup which toppled the government of Guatemala in 1954. The real reason the United States chose to take this illicit action was because the American-owned United Fruit Company objected to the Guatemalan government's decision to expropriate unused company lands and redistribute them to landless peasants.10 But the Eisenhower adm inistration was well aware that the American public was not prepared to accept the overthrow of a democratically-elected government in the name of preserving United Fruits land holdings. The American people have never held the free enterprise principle to be absolutely sacrosanct, for the War of Independence was fought to e n a b le A m e ric a to b r e a k fre e economically from Britain. Consequent ly, Eisenhower "sold" the coup to the public as necessary in order to prevent Guatemala from going communist (the public, of course, was never told the CIA was actually behind the coup, merely that the new Guatemalan government should be welcomed). This justification was highly effective, for a radically leftwing Guatemala raised the spectre of Soviet troops and nuclear weapons in the western hemisphere, a development which would pose a military threat to the United States. And so the Cold War preserved United Fruit's lands and has kept Guatemala in a state of abject poverty ever since. The same can be said of a dozen other nations in which the United States has exerted its political, economic and military muscle to topple "unfriendly" regimes (Iran, Brazil, Indonesia, Ecuador, Zaire, Chile, the Dominican Republic, Viet Nam, etc.). Similarly, when the Soviets wish to crush demands for reform in Eastern Europe, they justify their actions by raisin g the sp ectre of A m erican "imperialism" and its concomitant military threat. The Soviet people are understandably sensitive about invasion from the West (having lost over 20 million people in the last World War) and are quite prepared to support their leaders'actions in the name of "peace". In reality, of course, the Soviet elite is unwilling to permit any real freedom in the Eastern bloc for fear it might spread to the Soviet Union and destroy its system of privilege. And so the Cold War has evolved as a means of accommodating the needs of two ideologically different social systems which, in essence, exist in pursuit of somewhat similar domestic goals. The world has been divided into two "spheres of influence" so that each superpower may effectively control what it deems as its own. This is not, of course, to imply that there was collaboration on the part of the superpowers in developing this world order, despite the fact that Roosevelt, Churchill and Stalin were all well aware of what they were doing when they agreed on the principle of "spheres of influence" at the Yalta Conference in February 1945.11 A utum n 1983 T Russian reign ot terror in the East was preceded by a British and American reign of terror in the West, particularly in Greece where the left was very strong. Stalin dem onstrated his ruthlessly c o u n te r - r e v o lu tio n a r y n a tu re by abandoning the left in the West, and by even adm onishing Tito for giving aid to the Greek communists during the Civil W ar.12 The Cold W ar began as a ruthless tr a d e -o f f , w ith th e s u p e rp o w e rs sacrificing the ideals they publicly espoused in pursuit of the greater goals of "n a tio n a l se cu rity " and "n a tio n a l interest" (the Russians pursuing the former and the Americans pursuing the latterV Ol course, following the death of Franklin Roosevelt and the departure of his clique of foreign policy advisers ( S tim s o n , W a lla c e , H u ll) , th e inexperienced and overconfident Harry Trum an chose to overturn the carefully evolved postwar plans of his predecessor, and return American policy to the ideals of Woodrow Wilson. Trum an firmly believed in the policy of Open D oor — that no corner of the globe should be c lo s e d to A m e r ic a n e c o n o m ic penetration.13 Given the predominance of American economic power (America was responsible for half the world's industrial output and half its financial reserves in 1945), the Open Door principle was tantam ount to a global sphere of American influence. And, naturally, a Soviet sphere of influence was quite incompatible with this world view. But, as Roosevelt had been acutely aware, like it or not, there was nothing America could do about the Soviet sphere, short of armed conflict which, of course, was totally out of the question. A u s t r a lia n Le f t A n tl-n u c le a r d e m o n s tra tio n , A m s te r d a m , 21 N o ve m b er 1981 Roosevelt's main hope had been to preserve the G rand Alliance into the postwar period, and to use superpower co-operation as the basis for a lasting peace during which the two great powers could pursue their respective interests (which in Russia's case was economic recovery, and in America's case, economic expansion). He was banking on the notion that Stalin was longing to play the role of international statesman and would find no need to communise Eastern Europe so long as it deferred to Russian foreign policy requirements. The Czechoslovakian experience would seem to justify Roosevelt's faith. j ^ ^ ^ s p i t e the rapid deterioration of s u p e r p o w e r r e l a t i o n s a f te r th e in a u g u r a tio n o f H a rry T ru m a n , C z ec h o slo v a k ia still m anaged to maintain its independence until February 1948 when a domestic crisis induced P re sid en t Benes to dissolve the government and hand over power to the communists. In fact, with the exception of Poland (w hose L o n d o n -b a se d g o v ern m en t refused to co-operate in any way with the Soviet Union), none of the Eastern European states lost its independence until well into 1946, when it became clear to Stalin that the United States had reneged on its promise to exact reparations from the Western sectors of Germany. Reparations threatened to impede the economic recovery of the three W estern-controlled sectors of G erm any a n d , m ore im p o rta n tly , threatened to increase the appeal of socialism. By 1946, the preservation of the capitalist world order had become a m uch h ig h e r p r io r ity th a n th e Re v ie w 83 preservation of good relations with the S o v iet U nion. R u ssia's eco n o m ic reconstruction was the last thing the Trum an Administration wanted to hasten. And so Stalin was left with little option (at least as he saw it) other than to make the eastern Axis states pay for some of the damage caused to Russia during the w ar.14 The Soviet sphere of influence became a sphere of control — a political reality which has changed little to this day. The solution was brutal, but far from inevitable. Finland, Austria, Yugoslavia, Manchuria and N orthern Iran were all defeated or occupied by Soviet troops and are all independent today. They owe their freedom not to the West, but to a unilateral Soviet decision to relinquish power (which they could very easily have consolidated, had they so desired). If there is a way to ease the Soviet grip on Eastern Europe, it lies not in the perpetuation of the Cold War, for it was the Cold War which was responsible for the Soviets seizing control in the first place. Rather, it lies in a gradual thawing of the diplomatic freeze and in a return to friendly, nonconfrontationist relations. It must be very doubtful that American political leaders (with the exception of President Reagan) seriously believe that bellicose rhetoric can be of any help to the people of Poland. If anything, such r h e to r ic m erely e n c o u ra g e s th e continuation of repression, for a decision to abandon Poland would appear to the world as a sign of Russian weakness in the face of American resolve. Such a decision would also set an unacceptable precedent, giving the United States the impression it could get whatever it wanted by simply pushing hard enough. Indeed, it is highly unlikely that the American government seriously wants the repression to cease, for if it did, it would be much harder for the hawks to paint the Soviet U nion in the image of the insatiable aggressor, similarly, it is unlikely the Soviets seriously want the United State? to pull out of Central America for to do so would rob them of a veritable propaganda goldmine. Where would they be if there were no visible signs of US militaristic imperialism? G randstanding in the name of "freedom" or "equality" has become a standard method by which both superpowers reinforce the stereotyped images of the Cold War. They play on human nature, on our desire to identify who we are as individuals and as nations by who we are not. If no international "bad guy" existed, we couldn't possibly be the "good guy". The superpowers have both used this principle of "bonding-byexclusion" to unify their diverse etnnic p o p u la tio n s .15 Jo s e p h M c C arth y 's FEATUR Rather, the system evolved as a result of unilateral actions taken by each of the p a rtn e rs in th e G ran d A lliance. Roosevelt was intelligent enough to realise that the Russians had legitimate fears about a reunited and rearmed Germany, and would expect to be adequately compensated if they were to accept a world order in which virtually the entire globe was to become an American sphere of influence. Despite later denials by the Truman adm inistration, the evidence is quite conclusive that Churchill and Roosevelt sacrificed Eastern Europe to the whims of the Soviet dictator. There was little else they could do, given the fact that Soviet troops occupied these countries (many of which had fought loyally for the Nazis). The United States and Britain had control over the areas which were of economic importance (Western Europe, Greece, Japan, the Middle East). As far as they were concerned, Eastern Europe was of little interest (except for Romania, which had American-owned oil fields) and was a small price to pay for a free hand in the West. 51 peter kennard MORE COLD WAR committee, lor example, was established to investigate unAmerican activities. The domestic left.was isolated and repressed because it used slogans such as "peace" and "equality" which were identified with the Soviet Union. Even today, anyone who uses these terms is branded a communist or a KGB agent. And in Russia, dissidents who call for more "freedom" are jailed because they dare to use a word which has become a rallying cry in the West. W ithout each other to shout at and to criticise, the superpowers would have a great deal of difficulty stifling domestic opposition to what they are doing both at home and abroad. The Cold War is a convenient mechanism for pursuing the self interest of their respective elites. Nevertheless, the superpowers have been having increasing difficulty keeping their citizens and their allies in line. This became a particularly serious problem in the late 1960s when the United states was napalming Vietnamese women and children in the name of "freedom", and when the Soviet Union was shooting Czechoslovakians in the name of "peace". he invasion of Czechoslovakia d e s tr o y e d m a n y i l l u s i o n s th e international communist movement had had about the nature of Soviet ideology. Previously, loyal communist parties condemned the Soviet action, and set about redefining their relationship with that country. Similarly, the Viet Nam War b ro u g h t th e U nited S tates condemndation from its NATO allies and brought millions of previous apathetic citizens out into the streets to protest their government's policies. For the first time ever, American democracy was beginning to work and was threatening to inhibit the elite's ability to exert American power around the globe to protect its economic interests. B Dtb su p e rp o w ers were facing ideological crises, and needed a breathing space to rebuild their domestic consensus and to reassure their allies that they were still the "good guys". W hat emerged was the period known as detente — the relaxation of tensions. Of course, there Were other factors at work pushing the superpowers towards a less erratic Approach to international relations, •'oremost am ong these was a realisation ®‘ter the Cuban Missile Crisis that the jrOld War was becoming too dangerous 0r comfort, and that one day it might suddenly turn hot without either power nj*eaning or desiring this to hapen. It ap?u*d be remembered that the Cuban ‘•air is the only occasion when one “Empower has tried to move into the ther's sphere of influence. All other Postwar conflicts have taken place either by one superpower moving to crush ‘ssent within its own sphere , or by one u ernPting to move into a "grey", Af area wor*d (e-ggnanistan or parts of Africa). This is y the Missile Crisis was unique and so 's t r a l i a n Le ft Protest ag ain st British governm ent's p ro -N A T O p olicies dangerous. It was the only time the superpowers have gone so close to war, because their national interests were suddenly in direct conflict.16 Detente was an attem pt to manage the Cold War; it was never an attem pt to end it. The superpowers are far too addicted to it to contemplate undergoing "withdrawal". A nother major factor at work was the desire by Western multinationals to break into the lucrative Russian market. The American corporate elite has never given up hope of one day reintegrating the Soviet Union into the world capitalist economy.17 The multinationals hoped that, through the increased contact detente would allow, they could set up factories in the Soviet Union and take advantage of its cheap, state-controlled labour (conditions they would love to have in the United States). They also expected the volume of trade to rise d r a m a tic a lly . T h e T r ila te r a lis ts , particularly Henry Kissinger, hoped that the Russians could be "bought off" from s u p p o r t i n g n a t i o n a l l ib e r a tio n movements around the world in exchange for easy access to much soughtafter Western technology.18 Re v ie w 83 he "crisis of democracy", as the Trilateral Commission came to call the problem, became alarmingly clear in 1976 when Angola fell to the Cubanbacked marxist M P L A .19 The Ford adm insitration desperately pleaded for sufficient funds to prolong the civil war, but the Senate refused, seeing no purpose in continued American involvement. The marxist forces had guaranteed not to in te rfe re w ith G u lf O il's d rillin g operations (in fact, Gulf's operations are currently being guarded by Cuban troops!), so there was no threat to American economic interests.20 The real threat was that a leftist victory might set a precedent in Africa and start a veritable chain of social upheaval among the w o rld 's m o st d e p riv e d n a tio n s , particularly those upon which the United States depended for cheap resources and e n e rg y ( N ig e ria , Z a ire , Z a m b ia , Rhodesia, South Africa).21 Ford and Kissinger were primarily concerned with dem onstrating to the world that America was still willing and able to defend its interests. It had become patently obvious that the Russian interpretation of detente was markedly different from American. The Russians had no more intention of term inating their pursuit of national interests abroad than had the United States. Nor did they intend reintegrating their economy into the capitalist system. Detente for them was merely the establishment of a more rational, less dangerous diplom atic and military climate within which to operate. Their dispute with China, which reached a climax in 1969, necessitated a relaxation of tensions on their Western borders. Detente was of trem endous benefit to them, and this very fact was a m atter for great irritation am ong the hawks in the United States who felt America was gaining nothing. Consequently, the right initiated a concerted campaign to discredit detente and its highly beneficial trappings (trade, scientific exchanges, arms control, etc.) and to restore the Cold War to its most dangerous phase. In this way, America could once again assert itself within its sphere of influence. FEATUR T But detente ended when the right wing of American capitalism realised that none of these goals was being realised. Rather than permitting America to rebuild its domestic consensus in support of intervention, accom modation with the Soviet Union was making it harder to portray that nation as the cause of all of America's international problems. The concept of the "international communist conspiracy" had lost its credibility now that America was fraternising with the "enemy". The Senate investigated the FBI and the CIA and began to curtail their power to operate as subversive organisations. Even the power of the p re sid e n t was red u ced w ith the introduction of the War Powers Act in 1973. R3 SYGNA/FtANC!NAN MORE COLD WAR 54 W arsaw, Poland, in M a y 1982. P o lice disperse cro w d with w a te r cann o n Unfortunately, however, a great deal has changed since the Cold War was at its height. In the first place, America's allies are no longer as compliant as they were. Many have been frightened by the militant rhetoric emanating from their hegemonic ally. Large numbers of young | people simply don't believe the Cold War propaganda any more. Peace movements are growing rapidly and are exerting considerable influence on government policy in Western Europe. The new awareness is even starting to spread into Eastern Europe. Romania recently witnessed peace marches in which 300,000 people participated, calling for nuclear disarm ament by both the superpowers. This call was reiterated by the Rom anian president in December 1981. T he allied nations are beginning to realise that their interests and those of realis their "protectors" are not necessarily the same. This is particularly the case in the Third World, where American allies are being ruthlessly exploited and plundered. Their populations are realizing in increasing numbers that their enemy is not the Soviet Union, or Viet Nam, or Cuba or any other communist bogey, but is, in fact, the capiitalist system itself and the m ultinational corporations which own their economies, buy the allegiance of their corrupt elites, and support whatever repression is necessary to keep the resources and profits flowing. In South Korea and the Philippines, for example, the American military bases exist not to defend these countries from enemy attack, but to defend American eco n o m ic in te rests fro m in te rn a l rebellion and revolution. This is the principal reason the Cold W ar warriors have been callihg for a m ajor new build-up in armaments. The United States already has many times m ore strategic nuclear weapons than it needs to adequately deter the Soviet Union from attacking either the American homeland, Europe or Jap an .22 W hat it lacked in the mid-1970s, however, was a large, well-armed, conventional force, trained in the tactics of counter-insurgency and ready to be sent to wherever American interests needed defending. This gap has now been filled by the Rapid Deployment Force, an airborne strike-force of 200,000 men which will serve to project American power to all four corners of the globe. The R D F's formation was publicly justified as a response to the invasion of Afghanistan. However, the decision was . actually leaked to the press at the beginning of 1978, almost two years before the Russian action.23 The hostage crisis, which gave the American public a stark view of their nation as a "helpless giant" in the face of Third W orld nationalism "gone mad", was brilliantly orchestrated to elicit a flagwaving, guns-blazing, "nuke 'em till they glow" response. The Carter doctrine of explicitly threatening to resort to the first use of nuclear weapons as a means of defending American interests in the Middle East marked the spectacular climax of a campaign which began three years before.24 It is a testament to the power of the American elite that a man who came to power promising nuclear disarm ament and the continuation of detente, should have finished his political career by initiating the largest peacetime a rm a m e n ts b u ild -u p in A m erican history. T he tragedy is that the lesson of Viet Nam is still as valid today as it was a decade ago: revolutionary movements cannot forever be dealt with by resort to arms. It is only natural that people will choose to fight to better their lives when faced with gross deprivation (and e s p e c ia lly w hen s u r ro u n d e d by opulence). American interests will remain under threat as long as that nation supports the institutions of repression. Similarly, the threat to communism in Eastern Europe will remain as long as the Soviet Union refuses to grant the kind of political and economic reforms groups like Solidarity are demanding. T he answer to tne world's current problems lies outside the realm of Cold W ar politics. It lies in the restructuring of the world political and economic order towards a more equitable distribution of the planet's resources. It lies in the realisation that all peoples have the right to a decent, dignified and free existence, and th at nations are more than just spheres of influence to be used, abused and cast aside. The Cold War has become a dangerous anachronism which stifles the very changes necessary to ensure the survival of civilisation. It must be ended rapidly or it will end us. A utum n 1983 f0 0 TN0TES: P a u l H. Nitze, "Strategy in the Decade of I- logo's" in Foreign Affairs, Fall, 1980, vol. J n o . > -P -9 a 2 Nitze’ p- 91 These allegations (the latest of which is that h attempt on the life of the Pope was a Sov iet lot) have been tabulated in a recent book by rlaire Sterling, The Terror Network. sterlings thesis is that all international c r r o r is t activities are directed and co ordinated by the Kremlin. Her conclusions have more recently been refuted by Harry R o s i tz k e in his book. The K.G.B.: The Eyes o f HUSSia. Unlike Sterling. Rositzke has 25 years of experience with the CIA and OSS behind him, working mainly on Soviet operations. I n t e r e s t i n g l y enough, when Sterling took her findings to Jim m y Carter's adviser on t e r r o r i s m in the National Security Council, he r e p lie d : "You don't really believe this bunk about international terrorism?" See "Parking Your Helicopter", by Tony Clifton, in New Statesman, August 7, 1981, p. 17. 4. Between 1917 and 1940 the Soviets reconquered most of what had been the Tsarist empire, including Poland and the Baltic States. Under the aegis of the Nazi-Soviet Pact of 1939, they annexed Poland and Bessarabia, and invaded Finland (unsuccessfully). They set up "co-operative" regimes in Poland (1944), Romania and Bulgaria (1945), and ultimately throughout all of Eastern Europe. Later, they crushed uprisings in East Germany in 1953, Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968; and invaded Afghanistan and overthrew its comm unist government in 1979. The Soviet Union is currently directing the Ethiopian armed forces in a barbarous war against Eritrea. The United States intervened militarily in the affairs of other nations (mainly in Latin America) on 21 separate occasions between 1898 and 1924 alone! It conquered the Philippines, Hawaii, Panama and Cuba; it overthrew governments in Nicaragua, Haiti and Guatem ala before the Second World War. Since then it has militarily intervened in the Dominican Republicin 1965, Greece (1946-1948), South Korea (1945-46), Viet Nam (1961-1973), Cuba (1961) and Micronesia (seizing over 2000 islands under the guise of a UN Trusteeship). The CIA has Participated in the overthrow of governments in Zaire, Brazil, Chile, Guatem ala, Iran, Ecuador, Indonesia, Guyana, Ghana, Sudan and Syria. The US is currently directing the El Salvadoran armed forces in a barbarous war against leftwing guerrillas and nationalist groups. 5' The Soviets accepted the idea that Jews had the right to leave Russia in the early 1970s. The number of emigrants rose steadily during the subsequent years, reaching a pe. k of 51,320 in . ^000 were expected to leave in 1982. See Refusenik", in Time, October II, 1982. The class structure in the Soviet Union is •^cussed in great detail in: Milovan Djilas, New Class: A n Analysis o f the Communist System (Praeger, 1957); Hendrick Smith, The Russians (Quadrangle, 1976); Robert Kaiser, Russia: The People and the ower (A thanaeum , 1976); and Jerry Hough ovier Leadership in Transition (Brookings, 80). When criticising class divisions in the oviet Union, however, we must remember fee im portant points: firstly, these divisions A u s t r a lia n Left are m inor compared to those which exist in capitalist societies (although social mobility is more static); secondly, there is no widespread dissatisfaction with the existing system; and thirdly, and most importantly, it has been the development of this new class which has largely been responsible for the tremendous liberalisation th at has taken place since the death of Stalin. 7. For figures on American wealth and consum ption, see Richard Barnet, The Lean years: Politics in the Age o f Scarcity (New York, 1980). 8. See Richard Barnet, Global Reach: The Power o f the M ultinational Corporations (New York, 1974). 9. The Heinz and Nestle Corporations have become notorious for their abuse in the sale of p o w d e re d m ilk to m o th e rs in the u n d e rd e v e lo p e d w o rld . M o th e rs a re encouraged to feed their babies infant formula instead of breast feeding them. This denies the children vital antibodies only available in hum an milk, and they become quickly susceptible to disease. Clean water is rarely available, so m others use impure and sometimes stagnant water, diluting the milk to less than half the required strength. In 1981, the World Health Organisation attempted to place restrictions on the activities of companies involved in this deplorable trade. Of all the participating nations, only the U n ite d S ta te s c h o se to ig n o re the Organisation's recom m endations, the Reagan adm inistration declaring them to be against the principles of free enterprise. In the meantime, another I Vi million children have died. See Frances Moore Lappe and Joseph Collins, F ood First, (New York, 1978), pp. 336-348. 10. See Stephen Schlesinger, Bitter Fruit (New York, 1981). 11. See K. Enderby, "Origins of an Era: The Cold War Re-examined" for a detailed analysis of this period. 12. See in particular Daniel Yergin, Shattered Peace (London, 1977) and Gabriel and Joyce Kolko, The Limits o f Power (New York, 1972). 13. For a detailed disucssion of Open Door and its influence on both Roosevelt anc’ Truman, see: Gabriel Kolko, The Roots o f American Foreign Policy (Boston, 1969); and William Appleman Williams, The Tragedy o f American Diplomacy (New York, 1962). 14. See Adam B. Ulam, Expansion and Coexistence: The History o f Soviet Foreign Policy, 1917-1967 (London, 1968). 15. For a discussion of the concept of "bonding-by-exclusion", see E.P. Thompson, Beyond the Cold War (London, 1982). 16. A detailed discussion of the Cuban Missile Crisis can be found in "The Logic of Madness: The Development of Nuclear Policy", by K. Enderby. 17. Startling evidence for this can be found in the top secret 1949 U.S. plan for war against Russia, publicly released in 1977 through the Freedom of Inform ation Act. Operation Dropshot's ultimate aim was to be the occupation and subsequent reorganisation of Russia, restoring democracy and capitalism (supposedly to the relief of the Russian people). How this was to be achieved after a full-scale atom ic blitz was completely ignored! See Anthony Cave Brown, D ropshot (New York, 1978). R i VIEW 8 3 18. The Trilateral Commission is an international organisation of European, Japanese ad American businessmen who believe that excessive competition between Western nations is weakening their hold over the economies of the developing world. They are particularly disturbed by the demand for a New International Economic Order. Their members include Jim my Carter, Gerald Ford, Henry Kissinger, David Rockefeller, Cyrus Vance, Bzigniew Brzezinski and a large percentage of the American business elite. 19. In 1975 the Trilateral Commission published a book entitled The Crisis o f Democracy (New York, 1975) in which it suggested that American democracy was becoming far too democratic for its own good. " .... the effective operation of a democratic political system usually requires some measure of apathy and noninvolvement on the part of some individuals and groups" (p. 114). These groups include, of course, leftists and peace activists. The book concludes: "We have come to recognise that there are potentially desirable limits to economic growth. There are also potentially desirable limits to the indefinite extension of political democracy. Democracy will have a longer life if it has a more balanced existence." (p. I I 5). This is really just a subtle way of saying that democracy is tolerable only so long as it is powerless to affect the decisions of the nation's traditional ruling elite. For details on the events in Angola, see John Stockwell, In Search o f Enemies, (Norton, 1978). See also Michael T. Klare, "Assault on the 'Vietnam Syndrome': The United States relegitimizes intervention", in IC D P Peace Press, July-Sept. 1979. 20. Barnet, The Lean years, p. 228. 21. Half of America's cobalt comes from Zaire, a nation where one-third of the population is undernourished, and where food aid is sold off to the wealthy dictator Robert M obotu's uncle. 97% of the world's known chrome reserves are in South Africa and Zimbabwe. South Africa (including Namibia) has 86% o f the world's platinum, 64% o f its vanadium, 48% of its manganese, and 40% of its gold. Only the USSR is more self-sufficient in minerals than South Africa. See Barnet, The Lean years, ch. 5. 22. Defense Secretary Robert M cNamara estimated (in 1967) that the United States needed only 400 deliverable strategic nuclear warheads to deter a Soviet attack. The U.S. currently has 25 times this num ber of such warheads, as well as 50 times as many tactical nuclear weapons. 23. See Daniel Ellsberg, "Call to Mutiny", in Protest and Survive (New York, 1981). 24. For detailed discussion on recent developments in nuclear policy, see K. i l l Enderby, 'T he Logic of Madness: The Origin and Meaning of Nuclear Policy". For further D C detail on the Rapid Deployment Force, see Michael T. Klare, "Is Exxon Worth dying For", in The Progressive, July 1980. D L . 1 K en E n d erb y la a te a c h e r a n d a s tu d en t o f arm s control. He Is Q p re s e n tly on a le c tu re to u r In Europe acq u aintin g the European m ovem ent o f the nuclearisation o f this region. He does not belong to a n y p o litic a l p arty. U1 IL 55
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