Network Separation and Access Regulation – We make ICT strategies work Introduction – Why now ? The evolution of NGA requires a redefinition of technology neutral access regulation including products and processes, and it may involve separation and business models. NGA technology neutral access regulation Technology neutral access regulation is related to two meanings 1. Evolve regulation with technology 2. Regulate independent of technology With the evolution of regulation, network separation models and the related business cases have to be re-considered With NGA technology, options for access and unbundling obligations change Regulatory principles for access provisioning, e.g., Equivalence of Outputs or Pinputs (EoO or EoI) Structural separation for NGA business units Related to the new regulatory realities, the optimal response for operators might be different from the status quo, requiring to re-calculate the current business cases and re-adjust business models Bottleneck definition and rationale for regulatory intervention Technology assessment Wholesale product definition – Local Loop Unbundling – Bitstream access options / VULA – Ducts and dark fiber Technology neutrality involve further regulatory instruments and policies Potential Obligations such as unbundling and bitstream but also multicast obligations Benchmarks and recommendations –2– © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Network separation models and business cases Overall Trend – Adjustment Areas The adjustments in NGA regulation are related to regulated network access products, processes, conditions and business models. VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Retail FTTx and ultra-high speed DSL and coax technologies such as Vectoring VDSL and Hybrid Fiber-Coax (HFC) Wholesale New access and transport products reflecting retail service and technology evolution such as Virtual Unbundled Local Loop (VULA) as well as passive products Regulated products Revision of bottlenecks and rationale for regulatory intervention Processes & conditions Roll-out processes Coordination, rights of way, property rights in general Retail processes Provisioning, but also servicing etc. Wholesale processes Provisioning, but also servicing etc. Joint retail and wholesale processes with regard to equivalence principles, i.e. Equivalence of Outputs/Inputs EoO/EoI –3– Business models and structure Strategic focus Re-Balancing weight and focus on retail versus wholesale, increased emphasis on partnering approaches Pricing innovation New tariff models (e.g., including risk sharing elements, QoS pricing) © Detecon Technology & products Challenges – New Technology Trend Vectoring in Fixed Access On example for new technology is Vectoring VDSL as the next evolution of VDSL2 pushing coverage and bandwidth of standard VDSL. VDSL50+ (VDSL80) Sub-loop unbundling with different systems needs to be prohibited in the respective roll-out area, otherwise the vectoring effect will be reduced to almost zero. Regulator will most likely allow only fist mover to roll-out VDSL in an Central Office area. As an alternative the regulator will force the Vector VDSL operator to offer bitstream access. An agreement with other fixed line operators should be negotiated offering a V-VDSL wholesale product for a reasonable price to avoid the roll-out of competitive VDSL2 networks in operators’ central offices Increased power consumption VDSL2 + Vectoring 80 + Rate 50 (VDSL80) + Coverage VDSL50 27 VDSL2 16 17 MHz-Profile VDSL25 100 m VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Regulatory implications & risks (VDSL50) 300 m 500 m 1,000 m Reach Key benefits Vectoring improves VDSL maximum speed and enlarges the VDSL coverage by reducing the far-end and near-end crosstalk Standardized by the ITU Standards Association as G.Vector Vectoring improves possibilities for guaranteed bandwidth The CAPEX needed for a Vector VDSL roll-out is much lower than FTTH roll-out; the upgrade of an existing VDSL Network needs only swap the DSL line cards and the CPE –4– © Detecon Mbps Proposed vectoring solution Challenge and Solution The regulatory solution to the current challenges with NGA evolution balances adjustments against continuation and extension of regulation. Network separation models and business cases Adjust current regulation to incorporate new technologies while minimizing disruptive regulations Relax physical unbundling obligations and introduce substitute options such as Virtual Unbundled Local Access (VULA), i.e. local bitstream access in addition to national and/or regional bistream access. Continue to safeguard competition by minimizing risk of stranded assets to ensure maximum investment certainty Implementation of new regulations, e.g., with regard to roll-out priorities, rights of way, and exclusivity rules in a way that balances existing assets and the incentives to roll-out new technology. Avoid new competition problems and reduce potential for anti-competitive behavior Ensure that new technologies are strictly regulated if new bottlenecks arise. With persistent problems introduce appropriate Equality Obligation to minimize need for structural separation as this approach only partially addresses competition issues. –5– © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX NGA technology neutral access regulation Challenges – Regulatory Challenges of and Solutions for Vectoring VDSL The regulatory changes from Vectoring VDSL include duct access, migration rules, investment and competition protection, and may be extended to cable networks. Vectoring VDSL challenges Central office (CO) Street cabinet (SC) Distribution point (street) App 1 Customer premises App 2 DP ADSL VDSL V-VDSL LLU/SLU DA+SLU DA+VULA Copper Fibre Copper wiring loom Regulatory challenges Line unbundling (LLU and SLU) rendered technically infeasible Necessity to drive the complete wiring loom by one DSLAM means only one operator for whole loom Investment and competition protection (stranded assets) Regulatory solutions Substitution of Local Loop/Subloop Unbundling (LLU/SLU) by Virtual Unbundled Local Access (VULA) With VULA as substitute for SLU, duct access between CO and SC required Vectoring register and compensation Side conditions Migration of existing LLU requires adaption at access-takers, too First mover SC registration must be carefully designed (incl. roll-out obligation) to avoid strategic reservation Fair access to SCs for roll-out for equal chances for first mover effects VULA follows concept to mandate the provision of the highest-quality access product at the lowest possible level. The “Local Bitstream Access” approach provides a path to extend access regulation to Coax networks, too. –6– © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX In order to realize the potential of V-VDSL, the complete wiring loom has to be driven by one vectoring DSLAM. Challenge and Solution – Snapshot of Equivalence Concepts Source: Oxera based on Ellare EoO: The concept in which, in respect of a particular retail product or service, the wholesale input supplied to the incumbent’s own retail arm is equivalent to the comparable wholesale product or service supplied to other communications providers but not necessarily supplied in an identical manner. EoI: The concept established by the BT/Openreach undertakings in which the incumbent provides, in respect of a particular retail product or service, the same wholesale product or service (input) to all communications providers (including its own retail arm) on the same timescales, terms and conditions (including price and service levels), and by means of the same systems and processes. –7– © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Independent of the particular network type and technology of a given NGA network, any access regime has to consider some separation. Challenge and Solution – Equivalence Concepts in Detail With regard to the implementation complexity, the main step is between EoO and EoI, whereas the latter requires significant changes at the regulated entity. The Equivalence of Output principle implies a parallel usage of WS CRM for external wholesale customers and of a separated CRM for “internal” retail customers. In Equivalence of input the WS CRM must be used by retail unit in the same way as by ISPS, i.e. the usage of WS CRM will not be parallel, but cascaded and used after the orders will come to RT CRM. EoO EoI EoO retail process EoI processes VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Ordering & provisioning Retail Competitors EoO wholesale process Competitors Comp. CRM WS gateway Wholesale CRM Retail CRM WS gateway Wholesale CRM Ordering & provisioning Comp. CRM Ordering & provisioning –8– Requirement that same systems and processes shall be used for provision of identical products and services to external and internal customers. © Detecon Retail CRM Retail Challenge and Solution – Equivalence of Inputs Concept With Equivalence of Inputs, the network unit shall provide exactly the same products and services to all operators (including own retail arm). EoI concept products and services information about products, services, systems, processes Available to other operators: Same… systems terms & conditions (including prices and timescales) (including ordering, provisioning, fault clearance) The Equivalence of Input concept leads to far-reaching consequences and high cost and thus should only be applied where significant problems have been identified or where new access regimes are to be designed. –9– © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX processes (including reliability & performance) Equivalence of Inputs – Same Products, same Prices EoI is suited to solve competition problems at the passive and active input product level simultaneously, and without the requirement of legal separation. Same products and services Access Aggregation ULL ULL Same terms & conditions (prices & payments) EoI Access BSA EoI Aggregation ULL BSA–ULL BSA EoI Retail Competitors Retail ULL and BSA serving as illustrations for all passive and active products. – 10 – Competitors A transfer pricing system might support transparency, however it might not be strictly required with margin squeeze testing. * WS may receive share of one-off fees for handling as one option. © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX * Wholesale „Classical“ Structural Separation – AccessCo Example „Classical“ structural separation should be stricly separated from Equality principles, as separation variants focus network elements rather than products and processes. Fixed NetCo(s) demarcation (Cu passive only) Cu Metallic access C P E* N T O N T P O D P Services D S L A M M D F ST’s service platforms Aggregation ring(s) Fiber access C P E* Core Core network O L T Dark fiber P2P WS Competitors service platforms Competitors Bitstream access (Eth., local) Bitstream access (Ethernet and IP, national) I C O D F NetCo products Act. WS Duct access** ULL and SLU** TLL*** Dark fiber P2P, e.g., for mobile backhaul VULA (BSA local) If BSA Multicast is introduced, MC option has to be added to all BSA products of NetCo and ServCo! Mobile (only shared elements of relevance) Mobile Radio access B T S * CPE includes Splitter, Modems, HAGs etc. ** Where feasible *** Termination Leased Lines Source: DTC project B S C – 11 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX FTTx C C C Aggregation „Classical“ Structural Separation vs. Equivalence of Inputs Contrarily to EoI, with a separation in two entities, only one possible “problem level” is solved “really” structurally, while the other is solved through separation of accounts. Objections and value chain Margin squeeze Retail / resale competitors Depending on the allocation of products to the separated entity, the stronger remedy is either on ULL or BSA related objections: ULL ! ULL % ~ ! = % ! = = BSA BSA % % ! = ~ = Active products (“BSA”) % % RT ! = % Vertically integrated Telco Explanations – 12 – separated % Rem. risk Passive upstream products (“ULL”) RT Competitors % ! = Solved: Nondisc. supply ~ = Softened: Contract/ transfer p. © Detecon Competitors Rem. risk WS broadband access market WS infrastructure access market VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Retail market End users Retail products Solution focus Equivalence of Inputs – Same Products, same Prices However, from a systems and processes perspective, the implementation of EoI might come very close to a separation scenario, as both, retail and wholesale are affected. Retail Comp. CRM PGW** New 2nd “WS CRM” Old (path) New (path) x Ordering + provisioning Network Which systems have to be split/duplicated (partially)? What would be the estimated cost and duration? How would bundles affect the feasibility/complexity of such an approach? What would be the information to be shared by WS with the competitors, and what impact would that have? Should the implementation only focus the regulated products, or should this approach be a business architecture modification in general? What organizational changes are required to implement the concept? * Illustrative – other systems to be adjusted, too. ** Provisioning/partner gateway PGW might not necessarily be required. WS information available to retail arm has also be available to competitors. – 13 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX EoI CRM WS service provision Competitors Questions Packaging & distribution Same systems, processes and information* Separation and Equivalence Approaches – Efficiency of Intervention Accordingly, to ensure efficient regulation, (non-discrimination-) benefits and cost have to be balanced taking the actual shape of the cost curve into consideration. Stylized (BEREC) view Actual cost curve By the regulatory bodies it is assumed that different behavior of incumbents (x-axis) can directly be linked to different levels of separation (intrusiveness of the remedy; y-axis).* The cost to improve the assured level of nondiscrimination (x-axis) increase massively with separation (expensiveness of the remedy; y-axis). This is especially true, as cost are largely independent of operator and country size. Very expensive Very intrusive 6 Ownership separation 5 Legal separation Cost of intervention Level of intervention 5 Legal separation 4 Functional separation + incentives/governance 3 Functional separation 2 Virtual separation 1 Creation of a Wholesale Division 4 Functional separation + incentives/governance 3 Functional separation 2 Equivalence of Inputs (Virtual separation) 0 Accounting separation Least intrusive Discriminatory practices are very likely Level of nondiscrimination Least expensive Discriminatory practices are very rare 1 Creation of a Wholesale Division (and Equivalence of Output) 0 Accounting separation Level of nondiscrimination *Source: DT; based on BEREC Guidance on functional separation under Articles 13a and 13b of the revised Access Directive and national experiences, February 2011, p.7. – 14 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX 6 Ownership separation Implementation Cost Estimation – Cost Composition IT CAPEX and FTE increases from necessary duplications are the main drivers of the implementation cost of Equivalence of Inputs as well as functional and legal separation. Implementation cost composition (cumulated payments, m EUR) 200.0 3.0 Realistic example figures 290.0 54.0 3.0 6.0 84.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 40.0 2.0 35.0 3.0 Access-toaggregation Functional separation* Functionalto-legal (NPV 160.0) * The cost of implementation of Equivalence of Inputs comes very close to the implementation of Functional Separation. IT OPEX* IT CAPEX NT CAPEX Restructuring including FTE increases – 15 – General OPEX © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX 140.0 Options and Solutions A unified access regime such as requiring VULA for all networks would yield really technology-independent regulation which could then be SMP-dependent only. International trend Focus on Equivalence of Outputs or Inputs rather than on (partial) network separation Focus on access products at lowest possible level (ULL, VULA) Especially VULA as local bitstream access would allow to require symmetric access obligations independent of underlying network technology, i.e., VULA is possible for xDSL including Vectoring DSL, HFC and FTTx networks. The European Commission accepted the introduction of Vectoring DSL in combination with VULA despite the fact that ULL then would be rendered technically infeasible. As VULA comes very close to physical network element unbundling (with regard to the control over network parameters), it is a suitable substitute if offered at reasonable terms and conditions. With the decision of the European Commission, a single access form now became available for two types of networks (xDSL and FTTx, especially PON). Consequently, VULA would be a natural candidate for an obligation for HFC operators, as then FVNOs could source their inputs from the fastest available network in a given region. EU members and European Commission – 16 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Solution Why Detecon Having Detecon as partner means optimizing NGA regulation tailored to the specific country conditions while avoiding mistakes made by other players. A dedicated project team brings together all regulatory, technical, commercial and financial expertise and experience related to NGA access regulation in accordance with Client’s business strategy One experienced and competent partner regarding NGA regulation Regulation of NGA is optimized in the light of Client’s policy imperatives Based on sound regulatory strategy, Detecon’s solutions have been implemented in practice for many Clients worldwide Tangible solutions ready for implementation Benefit from hands-on strategic expertise while avoiding mistakes made by other regulatory authorities and operators worldwide Integration of NGA regulatory strategy within Client’s overall regulatory strategy Coherence of regulatory approach to NGA with overall strategy Understanding of NGA challenges from NRA’s and operator’s perspective and staff involvement Ownership over regulatory solution Full understanding of Client’s reality of targets, business and local market challenges Project team knows Client’s environment Regulatory solutions designed for NGA and tailored to the specific country are relevant to Client’s actual policy goals and business needs Presence with a local office in Client’s region of operation Holistic Team of experts from all disciplines VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Practical Real-world solutions instead of “theory” Impact Solutions with lasting value Customized International experience adapted Client Benefit – 17 – © Detecon Detecon Leverage Regulatory experience & references Since more than 30 years, Detecon successfully supports regulatory authorities, governments, operators and investors in regulatory affairs all over the world. References and clients of our regulatory projects worldwide VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Sector liberalization and privatization Regulatory instruments Licensing and authorization regime Access and interconnection regulation Spectrum management & monitoring Interconnection regulation Price regulation (retail & wholesale) Market analysis, definition and SMP assessment Universal services & access Dispute resolution & consumers‘ complaint Regulatory enforcement Promoting broadband development … – 18 – © Detecon Selected References The Client leverages Detecon’s lessons learned from similar assignments in regulatory strategy for Next Generation Access and regulation. Client European Commission Competition Case Elaboration and analysis of different regulatory options including network separation and equivalence of output and equivalence of input models. Economic assessment and quantification of options. UAE Development of FTTX cooperation models Detecon defined complimentary FTTx rollout strategies and developed regulation friendly cooperation models with competitors to facilitate CAPEX efficient rollout. UAE NGA BSA, ULL, dark fiber reference offer Detecon developed a successful, optimal and sustainable access regime that enabled the operator (“du) to grow its customer base while protecting its current revenues. Slovak Republic Turkey Development of Reference Bitstream Access Offer Defined wholesale reference broadband access portfolio and setup a regulatory negotiation strategy based on state of the art costing and pricing strategies BSA, LLU regulatory scenarios for Turk Telekom Benchmarking of tariff regulation regime and regulatory decisions in selected EU member states. Recommendations for Turk Telecom on rebalancing and retail tariff regulation. In-house cabling strategy – 19 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX Slovak Republic Reference Case Your Contact Persons Dr. Arnulf Heuermann Phone: Mobile: Fax: +49 221 91611550 +49 171 225 42 17 +49 221 91614630 Dr. Olaf Nielinger Phone: Mobile: Fax: +49 221 91611512 +49 151 17456395 +49 221 91614882 e-Mail: [email protected] – 20 – © Detecon VP_NETWORK SEPARATION AND ACCESS REGULATION FINAL_NEU.PPTX e-Mail: [email protected]
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