POVERTY IMPEDES COGNITIVE FUNCTION A NA N D I M A N I , S E N D H I L M U L L A I NAT H AN, E L DA R S H A F I R , J I AY I N G Z H AO Presented by: Amy Ostrander Project Concern International May 3, 2016 SOURCES • Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function Anandi Mani, Sendhil Mullainathan, Eldar Shafir, Jiaying Zhao. Science 341, 976. August 2013. • Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much Mulainathan, Sendhil & Shafir, Eldar. Henry Holt. 2013. POVERTY & BEHAVIOR • Studies repeatedly show that poverty is correlated with counterproductive behavior that can in fact deepen poverty • The standard explanations are: • Environmental factors (Predatory lenders, poor transportation) • Characteristics of the poor themselves (low education, learned behavior across generations) • Scarcity theory proposes that: “Poverty itself reduces mental capacity” SCARCITY PRIMER SCARCITY • When we have a shortage of something we tend to pay closer attention • This why deadlines are so effective • They create a time scarcity that helps you focus your mind • On a tight deadline we are less distracted and work harder or more efficiently • This is because scarcity captures the mind, allowing you to shut out other concerns FOCUS & TUNNELING • The capture of the mind can be a positive or a negative • Focusing is a positive • The “focus dividend” – you’re less distracted and more effective • But focusing on something means that we are ignoring or neglecting other things • Tunneling is the negative side (think tunnel vision) • So focused on a deadline that you forgot to pick your kid up from school LESS BANDWIDTH • Focus on scarcity is involuntary • It fills our mind and results in less bandwidth for everything else • Bandwidth – what our brain can do. It’s our “computational capacity, ability to pay attention, to make good decisions, to stick to our plans, and to resist temptations.” SCARCITY IN ACTION • How can we tell when this is happening? How do we test it? • Measure two things: • Cognitive capacity • Executive control RAVEN’S MATRICES RAVEN’S MATRICES COGNITIVE CAPACITY • Fluid intelligence – the capacity to think logically, analyze, and solve problems • Tests of fluid intelligence are common on IQ tests • Measured using Raven’s Matrices tests • Tests that don’t require any previous knowledge, language ability, or formal education EXECUTIVE CONTROL Press the SAME side as the heart Press the OPPOSITE side of the sun EXECUTIVE CONTROL • Executive control is used to direct attention, initiate action, inhibit intuitive responses, and resist impulses • (Think of the marshmallow study - to see if kids could resist eating one marshmallow in order to get two a while later. Those who resisted showed more executive control.) • Tested using tasks that require people to respond quickly and often contrary to their first impulse • (Say the color the word is written in: BLUE) SCARCITY CAPTURES THE MIND • These two types of tests were used in experiments to measure scarcity’s effect on participants • May seem strange to measure intelligence and control repeatedly on the same person • We’re used to thinking about them more or less as fixed quantities, at the very least slow to change • This is the point – scarcity captures the mind • If that is true, then these results can change with different circumstances SCARCITY & POVERTY • Now that we know the background – let’s look at one particular form of scarcity – poverty For these studies • Poverty is broadly defined – the gap between one’s needs and the resources available to fill them LIFE IN POVERTY • The “poor manage sporadic income, juggle expenses, and make difficult trade-offs” • These financial concerns are constant and are frequently called to mind - pulling at their attention • Furthermore, as a result of limited resources, the poor have a smaller margin of error • There’s no cushion when they make a “mistake” • Mistakes are more noticeable or have a bigger impact Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function Anandi Mani, Sendhil Mullainathan, Eldar Shafir, Jiaying Zhao. Science 341, 976. August 2013. • Highlights two studies testing the effects of poverty on cognitive function • Study #1 – lab study – United States - evoke thoughts of financial strain for rich and poor participants • Study #2 – field study – India – tested sugarcane farmers at different stages – poor pre-harvest and richer post-harvest STUDY #1 NEW JERSEY MALL NEW JERSEY MALL STUDY • Four experiments - paid participants in a New Jersey mall • Median HH income of $70,000, lower bound of $20,000 • Use financial scenarios with the intent to trigger thoughts of the participant’s own active financial concerns NEW JERSEY MALL STUDY • Example scenario: “Your car is having some trouble and requires $X to be fixed. You can pay in full, take a loan, or take a chance and forego the service at the moment. How would you go about making the decision?” NEW JERSEY MALL STUDY • “Easy”, $150 repair – • Should not cause concern for either rich or poor • “Hard” $1500 repair – • Is likely to cause concern in the poor but not the rich • After (or while) considering how they would solve the financial scenario they performed two computer-based tasks • Measured cognitive capacity and executive control RESULTS • “Easy” condition – • Poor and rich perform similarly on both tests RESULTS • “Hard” condition – evoking financial concerns • Poor participants perform significantly worse than the rich RESULTS • These results were remarkably consistent throughout three additional variations of the experiment in order to rule out possible influencing factors Experiment 3 Experiment 4 STUDY #2 INDIAN SUGARCANE FARMERS SUGARCANE FARMER STUDY • 464 sugarcane farmers in 54 villages in Tamil Nadu, India • Small farmers - earn at least 60% of income from sugarcane • Pre-harvest they had more loans, pawned more items, and reported more often that they had struggled with bills • Harvests dates are staggered over 3-5 month period (due to sugar mills with processing constraints) • The same month can be pre-harvest for one farmer and postharvest for another (controlling for calendar effects) SUGARCANE FARMER STUDY • Each participant was interviewed twice – before and after harvest • So we’re looking at change in one person • To control for training effects (doing better simply because it’s the second time taking the test) – they held 100 farmers out of the initial set and they were only tested post-harvest. • They performed similarly to the sample set, indicating no training effects RESULTS • Pre-harvest the farmers were less accurate on the Raven’s matrices • They also took more time to respond to the questions requiring cognitive control and made more errors SO WHAT? ANALYSIS • Compared these results to studies from sleep research • Evoking financial concerns has the same cognitive impact as losing a full night of sleep • The difference in scoring on standard IQ tests is about 13 IQ points, nearly one full standard deviation • The difference between “superior” to “average” intelligence, or from “average” to “borderline deficient.” POVERTY • The “poor manage sporadic income, juggle expenses, and make difficult trade-offs” • These financial concerns are constant and are frequently called to mind - pulling at their attention • Furthermore, as a result of limited resources, the poor have a smaller margin of error • There’s no cushion when they make a “mistake” • Mistakes are more noticeable or have a bigger impact ANALYSIS • “Taken together, the two sets of studies (…) illustrate how financial conditions, which are endemic to poverty, can result in diminished cognitive capacity” • “Suggest(s) a different perspective on poverty.” • Poor contend not only with challenges of insufficient money but also with a shortfall of cognitive resources ANALYSIS • The poor, in this view, are less capable not because of inherent limitations, but because the very context of poverty imposes a load and impedes their cognitive capacity • “The findings, in other words, are not about poor people, but about people who find themselves poor.” IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR WORK IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR WORK • Facilitate a better understanding of the actions taken by those in poverty • Ask better questions about behavior and decisions • Recognize that some decisions are not consciously made, they’re just outside the “tunnel” • Think about the mental perspective of program beneficiaries • Ask them – what are your major concerns? • Identify what is already in a beneficiary’s “tunnel” for better targeting and outcomes • They’re likely to be interested already • When it’s not in their “tunnel” – what is our approach? IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR WORK • Be aware of how interventions tax bandwidth – and then make choices and trade-offs • Be smart about when and how you impose a cognitive tax • Training programs ask for time and focus • Can participants focus and learn? How can we help that? • How can we streamline so it take less bandwidth? • If they focus on training what might they be letting slip? • Is that more important? • If they can’t focus and learn then we’ve all wasted time IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR WORK • Beware of imposing strong cognitive taxes on the poor • Long forms, understanding new or complex rules, responding to complex incentives • Think about where these taxes can be reduced or eliminated • Instead focus on: • Smart defaults • Help filling out forms (or shorter forms, or no forms!) • Planning reminders or prompts IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR WORK Recognize and respond to natural variation in cognitive capacity Consider the timing of interventions for farmers In fertilizer studies farmers made higher-return investment decisions when done just after harvest as compared to later in the season QUESTIONS & DISCUSSION THANK YOU OTHER POTENTIAL CAUSES • Stress could be one explanation – did a 2009 study monitoring stress markers like heart rate and controlled for stress levels. • Pre-harvest farmers do experience stress, however, the findings for scarcity remain significant • Another study controlled for nutrition by factoring in spending on food • Attention capture is the most compelling explanation • It is consistent with observations in other domains of scarcity – such as insufficient time
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