Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Earth-Science Reviews journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/earscirev Vegetation response to Holocene climate change in East Asian monsoon-margin region Yan Zhao a,⁎, Zicheng Yu b a b MOE Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System, Research School of Arid Environment and Climate Change, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lehigh University, 1 West Packer Avenue, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 31 March 2011 Accepted 1 March 2012 Available online 9 March 2012 Keywords: East Asian monsoon Fossil pollen Holocene Climate change Vegetation response Spatial complexity a b s t r a c t Fossil pollen records from 20 sites with reliable chronologies and high-resolution data in the East Asian monsoon margin region were synthesized to document Holocene vegetation and climate change and to understand the large-scale controls. The vegetation experienced different changes over the Holocene in various sub-regions. (1) Near the boundary between modern forest and temperate steppe in Northeast China, forest showed clear expansion in the middle Holocene. (2) In central China near the boundary between steppe/forest and desert, vegetation showed various patterns at different sites. (3) Further west on the Tibetan Plateau near the boundary between highland meadow/steppe and semi-desert/desert, forest expanded at most sites during the early and middle Holocene. Our synthesis indicates that climate in the margin region was slightly moist in the early Holocene, wettest in the middle Holocene, and dry in the late Holocene, though there are regional differences as reflected by vegetation change. This general pattern is very different from either monsoon- or westerly-dominated regions. The maximum moisture occurred during the early Holocene in the monsoon region, while the arid central Asia dominated by the westerlies was driest in the early Holocene and wettest in the mid-Holocene. The interplay of the Asian summer monsoon, westerlies, topography and regional vegetation factors might have contributed to this spatial complexity. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Contents 1. 2. 3. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Study region, data sources and analysis methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Temporal and spatial patterns of Holocene vegetation and moisture shifts . . . . . . . . . . 3.1. Transitional zone between forest and temperate steppe vegetation . . . . . . . . . . 3.2. Transitional vegetation zone between temperate forest/steppe and desert . . . . . . 3.3. Transitional vegetation zone between highland meadow/steppe and semi-desert/desert 3.4. General spatial patterns of Holocene vegetation and moisture changes . . . . . . . . 4. Possible mechanisms of complex regional vegetation and climate responses . . . . . . . . . 4.1. Interacting controls of low- and high-latitude atmospheric circulations . . . . . . . . 4.2. Topography-mediated regional climate changes in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau . 4.3. Possible land-surface and vegetation feedbacks to regional climate changes . . . . . 5. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix A. Supplementary data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 2 2 2 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 8 9 1. Introduction ⁎ Corresponding author at: Research School of Arid Environment and Climate Change, Lanzhou University, China. Tel.: + 86 931 8912329; fax: + 86 931 8912330. E-mail address: [email protected] (Y. Zhao). 0012-8252/$ – see front matter © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2012.03.001 The East Asian monsoon is believed to have begun ca. 7 million years ago (An et al., 2000) and has displayed strong variations on many time scales (Liu and Ding, 1998; Wang et al., 2001; Yuan 2 Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 et al., 2004; Wang et al., 2005a, 2005b). At the orbital time scale, monsoon intensity follows the precession-driven change in seasonal insolation (Kutzbach, 1981; COHMAP, 1988; Ruddiman, 2008); this insolation-driven monsoon hypothesis has been confirmed by many paleoclimate proxy records (e.g., Winkler and Wang, 1993; An et al., 2000; Morrill et al., 2003), including the new Chinese cave record spanned over the last 224,000 years (Wang et al., 2008). During the Holocene, various proxy records show that both Indian Summer Monsoon and East Asian monsoon intensities increased sharply at the onset of the Holocene, but reached maximum monsoon intensity at 8–9 ka (1 ka = 1000 cal yr BP) (Fleitmann et al., 2003; Dykoski et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2005a, 2005b; Shao et al., 2006). This time lag has been attributed to possible response of monsoon intensity to multiple forcing, including changes in precession-driven insolation, obliquity-driven insolation and ice volume (Clemens and Prell, 2007). Further inland on Eurasian continent in the westerly-dominated central Asia, our recent synthesis indicates that its Holocene moisture history is very different from the monsoon region (Chen et al., 2008). A synthesized moisture index curve from 11 lakes in arid central Asia shows a consistently dry climate in the early Holocene, an abrupt shift to wet climate at 8 ka, a regional maximum moisture condition at 6 ka and then decreasing moisture trend for the rest of Holocene (Chen et al., 2008). This general pattern is clearly shown in paleoclimate records reviewed in the above paper, including Bosten Lake (Wuennemann et al., 2003; Huang et al., 2009), Issyk-Kul (Ricketts et al., 2001). The relatively large between-site variability of reconstructed moisture conditions during the mid- and late Holocene suggests the various regional or site-specific controls of either regional climate or individual proxy records. Most lakes in northwest China and elsewhere in central Asia were either not filled up or completely dried up before 8 ka, but abruptly changed to wet condition after 8 ka across continental interior in central Asia (e.g., Ricketts et al., 2001; Wuennemann et al., 2003; Feng et al., 2005). This extremely dry climate in central Asia during the early Holocene has been interpreted as caused by delayed increase of sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the North Atlantic Ocean (Chen et al., 2008) and by the enhanced subsidence of dry air masses induced by maximum summer insolation in the early Holocene (Broccoli and Manabe, 1992; Zhao et al., 2007). Cool SSTs due to the presence of waning ice sheets in the early Holocene reduced the moisture transport from the Atlantic to Eurasian continent. Also, the maximum insolation in the early Holocene and heating on the Tibetan Plateau would have induced strong subsidence of dry air masses in surrounding areas north of the plateau. However, the timing and even directions of moisture changes during the mid- and late Holocene are highly variable for large variability of reconstructed moisture conditions in the mid- and late Holocene and appear to lack a coherent spatial pattern across the region (Rhodes et al., 1996; Chen et al., 2008). In semi-arid north and northwest China near the limit of East Asian summer monsoon influences, climate is likely influenced and mediated by the mid-latitude westerlies and regional features, such as topography and vegetation, in addition to the summer monsoons. As a result, the regional climate changes during the Holocene in the monsoonal margin are complex, due to the interactions of these large-scale and regional controlling factors. The general trends of climate changes have been broadly documented in East and central Asia over the Holocene, especially at orbital- and multimillennial time scales (Herzschuh et al., 2006; Chen et al., 2008). However, the major patterns of temporal and spatial variation in past vegetation and climate in the monsoon margin are still poorly documented and understood. Here we review available fossil pollen records, in the monsoonal margin from the east in Northeast of China to the west on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Our objectives were to document patterns of Holocene vegetation and climate change at millennial timescales and to understand the causes of climate change and ecosystem responses in the East Asian monsoon margin. 2. Study region, data sources and analysis methods East Asian monsoonal margin is located at the transition between the monsoon- and westerly-dominated regions; however, it is not a clearly-defined boundary but a broad transitional zone. Due to the large latitudinal and altitudinal extents, this transitional region represents various climatic and vegetation zones. As a result, the vegetation across the transitional region from east to west is characterized by the ecotones between major biomes, including the ecological boundaries between forest and temperate steppe, between temperate steppe and desert, and between highland meadow/steppe and semidesert/desert (Fig. 1B). Many paleoclimatic records from monsoonal margin have been published. However there is a large disparity in sample resolution and age controls. In this study we used 20 selected pollen records from lakes or peatlands, with an exception of Dunde ice cap, that have an analysis resolution of b200 years and multiple age controls of >4 dating determinations at each site (Table 1). Radiocarbon dating was the geochronological technique used to date all the records used in this paper, except for Dunde ice core, which was dated by ice layer counting and ice flow modeling. Bulk organic matter, pollen or plant macrofossils were used for 14C dating from lacustrine and peat deposits. We have followed the original publications and made old carbon corrections of the measured 14C dates at Bayanchagan, Sanjiaocheng, Qinghai Lake, Hurleg Lake and Zigetang Lake, on the basis of the dating of surface sediments at these sites (Table 1). We did not make correction for other sites owing to the lack of such information. In this paper, all radiocarbon dates were calibrated to calendar years before present (BP = 1950 AD) using Calib. 5.0.1 based on IntCal04 calibration dataset (Reimer et al., 2004). The chronology at most sites was established based on linear interpolation, except at Hurleg Lake (site #18) and Tangke (site #12) with 3rd polynomial curve. Each of these fossil pollen sequences were resampled into 1000year bins by averaging tree pollen percentages or Artemisia/Chenopodiaceae (A/C) ratio, Artemisia/Cyperaceae ratio (A/Cy), Ephedra distachya/Ephedra fragilis (Ed/Ef) ratio or total pollen concentration of all samples within that binned time interval. The binned tree pollen percentages (or other pollen indices) were then standardized to zero mean and unit standard deviation. All standardized curves were averaged to generate the composite regional tree pollen record (Z-score), with standard error of the means as an estimate of variations among sites. We carried out these data synthesis analysis on each sub-region and for all sites. 3. Temporal and spatial patterns of Holocene vegetation and moisture shifts 3.1. Transitional zone between forest and temperate steppe vegetation This zone is located at the boundary between conifer forest and temperate steppe in northeastern China (Fig. 1B). We here first describe two pollen records that are representative of vegetation in this region, and then discuss the general pattern from all records. At Daihai Lake in Inner Mongolia (site #6 in Table 1), pollen record indicates a steppe forest (with tree pollen up to ~60%) at 8–3 ka, suggesting a wet climate, bracketed by steppe vegetation before 8 ka and after 3 ka (Xiao et al., 2004; Fig. 2A), and lake-level reconstruction from the same lake also indicates low and fluctuating lake level at 11–8 ka, high and stable lake level at 8–3 ka and decreasing and low level after 3 ka (Sun et al., 2009; Fig. 2A). The pollen assemblages from Bayanchagan Lake (site #3; Fig. 2D) just north of Beijing show that vegetation around the lake changed from a steppe at 12.5– Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 3 Fig. 1. A. Digital elevation model of southeast Eurasian continent (mostly China) showing the monsoonal margin transect and paleoclimate sites in the monsoon- and westerlydominated regions: a. Dongge Cave; b. Sanbao Cave; c. Guliya ice cap; d. Bosten Lake; e. Wulun Lake; f. Issyk-Kul. B. Vegetation map of China showing major biomes (Hou, 2001). Also shown are sites along the monsoonal margin: 1. Hulun Lake; 2. Haoluku; 3. Bayanchagan; 4. Diaojiao Lake; 5. Chasuqi; 6. Daihai Lake; 7. Dadiwan; 8. Qingtu Lake; 9. Sanjiaocheng; 10. Eastern Juyan; 11. Zoige Basin; 12. Tangke;. 13. Hongyuan; 14. Koucha; 15. Qinghai Lake; 16. Dalianhai; 17. Dunde; 18. Hurleg Lake; 19. Zigetang Lake; 20. Selin Co. 9.2 ka, through a Betula/Pinus-dominated steppe woodland at 9.2– 6.7 ka, back to steppe after 6.7 ka (Jiang et al., 2006). Jiang et al. (2006) used this pollen sequence to reconstruct climate changes using modern analogue technique on the basis of 211 surface pollen samples from northern China. The vegetation sequence and paleoclimatic reconstruction suggest that a relatively humid climate during the early mid-Holocene at 9.2–6.7 ka was favorable for the development of woodland. All sites in this sub-region, except at Haoluku, show the high tree pollen between 8 and 4 ka with peaks at ~6 ka, which is clearly reflected in composite tree pollen curve (Fig. 2G). These changes in pollen assemblages reflected shifts between forest and steppe vegetation, in response to change in precipitation caused by change in the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon. However, during the early Holocene, the sites from this region show complex vegetation and moisture patterns. For example, at Bayanchagan, tree pollen shows gradual increase in the early Holocene and reaches the maximum value at 6 ka before declining in two steps to the lowest values in the last 2 ka (Jiang et al., 2006). At Daihai Lake, tree pollen shows slightly increase (Xiao et al., 2004). Haoluku (site #2) shows high tree pollen in the early Holocene, but this is a site that has the lowest sampling resolution (Liu et al., 2002; Fig. 2E). At Diaojiao Lake (site #4), and Hulun Lake (site #1), tree pollen shows fluctuations (Shi and Song, 2003; Wen et al., 2010; Fig. 2C and F). 4 Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 Table 1 List of fossil pollen sites used in this review from the Asian monsoon margin region of China. Precipitation (mm/yr) Sample resolution (years) Number of datesa Dating material Old carbon correction (14C yr)* Type of archives Reference 545 333 N/A 13 Bulk organic matter – Lake core 1295 370 200 4 Bulk organic matter – Lake section Bayanchagan E116°45.42′, N42°57.38′ E115.21°, N41.65° Wen et al., 2010 Liu et al., 2002 1355 400 130 7 Bulk organic matter 570 Lake core 4 Diaojiao Lake E112°21′, N41°18′ 1800 421 85 4 Bulk organic matter – Lake core 5 Chasuqi E111°08′, N40°40′ 1000 400 70 4 Bulk organic matter – Peat section 6 Daihai Lake E112°33′, N40°29′ 1221 423 b100 8 Bulk organic matter – Lake core 7 8 9 Dadiwan Qingtu Lake Sanjiaocheng E105°54′, N35°01′ E103°40′, N39°03′ E103°20′, N39°00′ 1400 1309 1325 400 115 100–500 b50 150 b100 3 3 9 matter matter matter – – 540 Marsh section Lake section Lake section 10 Eastern Juyan E101.85°, N41.89° 892 480 140 5 Bulk organic Bulk organic Bulk organic charcoal Bulk organic matter – Lake core 11 Zoige core RM E102°21′, N33°57′ 3401 705 150 3 Bulk organic matter – Peat core 12 E103°25′, N32°20′ 3492 70 190 8 Charcoal – Peat core 13 Tangke ZB08-C1 Hongyuan E102°31′, N32°47′ 3505 700 175 31 Bulk organic matter – Peat section 14 Koucha Lake E97.2°, N34.0° 4540 470 200 4 Pollen – Lake core 15 Qinghai lake E99°36′, N36°32′ 3200 350 60 7 Bulk organic matter 1039 Lake core 16 17 Dalianhai Dunde E100°24′, N36°12′ E99°36′, N36°32′ 2850 5325 250 400 80 1–1000 – – Lake core Ice core 18 Hurleg Lake E96°54′, N37°19′ 2809 100 100 7 Plant macrofossil Ice layer counting and model Plant macrofossils 2758 Lake core 19 Zigetang Lake E90.9°′, N32.0° 4560 320 160 5 Bulk organic matter 2010 Lake core 20 Selin Co E88°31′, N31°34′ 4530 290 200 5 Bulk organic matter – Lake core Site no. Site name Latitude, longitude 1 Hulun Lake E112°00′, N48°31′ 2 Haoluku 3 Elevation (m a.s.l.) 10 - Jiang et al., 2006 Shi and Song, 2003 Wang and Sun, 1997 Xiao et al., 2004 An et al., 2003 Li et al., 2009 Chen et al., 2006 Herzschuh et al., 2004 Shen and Tang, 1996 Zhao et al., 2011 Zhou et al., 2010 Herzschuh et al., 2009 Shen et al., 2005 Cheng, 2006 Liu et al., 1998 Zhao et al., 2007 Herzschuh et al., 2006 Sun et al., 1993 – indicates no old carbon correction. a Corrections for too old date as shown. Fig. 2. Holocene paleoclimate records in monsoon margin region A (between forest and steppe): A. total tree pollen percentage and lake-level reconstructions at Daihai Lake, Inner Mongolia (tree pollen in green: Xiao et al., 2004; lake depth in black: Sun et al., 2009); B. total tree pollen percentage at Chasuqi (Wang and Sun, 1997); C. total tree pollen percentage at Diaojiao Lake (Shi and Song, 2003); D. total tree pollen percentage at Bayanchagan, Inner Mongolia (Jiang et al., 2006); E. total tree pollen percentage at Haoluku (Liu et al., 2002); F. total tree pollen percentage at Hulun Lake, Inner Mongolia (Wen et al., 2010); G. synthesized standard curve for tree pollen percentages. Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 3.2. Transitional vegetation zone between temperate forest/steppe and desert This zone is located at the boundary between temperate steppe and desert, with temperate forest in the highlands, in northwestern China (Fig. 1B). Dadiwan (site #7) is representative of the pollen sites in this region with a high sampling resolution of ca. 50 years (An et al., 2003; Fig. 3D). The pollen data indicate that vegetation around Dadiwan changed from a desert steppe at 12–8.5 ka, through Pinus-dominated steppe woodland (steppe forest) at 8.5–6.5 ka, to desert with sparse steppe after 6.5 ka. This vegetation sequence suggests that a relatively humid climate during the mid-Holocene at 8.5–6.5 ka was favorable for the development of woodland, while a relatively dry early and late Holocene allowed arid open vegetation to develop. Fossil pollen data from this region reveal a complicated pattern, and the composite curve of tree pollen and other pollen index show larges error bars during the early and middle Holocene (Fig. 3E). At Eastern Juyan (site #10), pollen assemblages at 10.7 ka-5.4 ka are characterized by highest values of Chenopodiaceae, Ephedra fragilistype and other desert plants, suggesting a dry climate (Herzschuh et al., 2004). Most favorable conditions are reconstructed between 5.4 ka and 3.9 ka on the basis of relative increase in abundance of Artemisia pollen. The pollen diagram from Sanjiaocheng suggests that the region was covered by steppe vegetation at 11.6–7 ka, desert or desert steppe at 7–3.8 ka, and desert after 3.8 ka, indicating a wet early Holocene, a dry mid-Holocene and variable late Holocene (Chen et al., 2006; Fig. 3B). Pollen concentration from Qingtu Lake shows a maximum during the middle Holocene and rather dry during the mid-Holocene (Li et al., 2009; Zhao et al., 2008; Fig. 3C). 3.3. Transitional vegetation zone between highland meadow/steppe and semi-desert/desert This zone is located at the boundary between highland meadow/ steppe and semi-desert/desert in the Tibetan Plateau (Fig. 1B). Shen et al. (2005) presented a high-resolution pollen record from Qinghai 5 Lake (site #14) on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and found gradual increases in total pollen concentration and in tree pollen (especially Betula) since 11 ka, reaching maximum at 7–6 ka (>40% tree pollen; Fig. 4F). Tree pollen gradually decreases after 6 ka and reach a minimum after 2 ka. An oxygen isotope record from Qinghai Lake shows that a positive water balance occurred earlier than indicated by pollen (Lister et al., 1991), perhaps suggesting different responses of lake hydrology and landscape vegetation (Wei and Gasse, 1999; Colman et al., 2007). While at Hurleg Lake (site #18), the only freshwater lake in the Qaidam Basin on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau, both Artemisia-to-Chenopodiaceae (A/C) pollen ratios, a proxy of landscape effective moisture, and sediment carbonate content, an indicator of groundwater/river water inputs and lake levels, show high moisture conditions at ~8.5–6.5 ka, driest period at 6.5–3 ka, and increasing moisture after 3 ka (Zhao et al., 2007, 2009a, 2009b, 2009c; Fig. 4C). This pattern has been confirmed by other geochemical proxy records (ostracode shell isotopes and trace elemental ratios) from the same lake (Zhao et al., 2009a, 2009b, 2009c, 2010). Fossil pollen data from this region reveal uniform pattern, with only a few exceptions, and the composite curve of tree pollen and other pollen index show small error bars during the Holocene (Fig. 4H). Along the south to north regional transect on the eastern Tibetan Plateau, tree pollen abundance at all sites increased in the early Holocene and reached the maximum abundance in the midHolocene, suggesting a wetter climate; however, tree-pollen abundance varied from >80% in Hongyuan peatland (site #13), to less than 30% at our study site in the central Zoige Basin (Tangke ZB08c1; site #12) and 80% in the northern Zoige Basin (Zoige core RM; site #11) (Shen and Tang, 1996; Zhou et al., 2010; Zhao et al., 2011), to b60% at Qinghai Lake and Dalianhai (Shen et al., 2005; Cheng, 2006; Fig. 4). At Koucha Lake (site #14), to the west of these sites above-mentioned, pollen assemblages are dominated by Cyperaceae and Artemisia (Herzschuh et al., 2009), and the vegetation around the lake region changed from steppe before 6.6 ka to highalpine meadow after then, suggesting that climate became cooler and wetter during the Holocene. Pollen concentration at Dunde Fig. 3. Holocene paleoclimate records in monsoon margin region B (between forest/steppe and sesert): A. Artemisia-to-Chenopodiaceae (A/C) pollen ratios and Ephedra distachyato-Ephedra fragilis (Ed/Ef) ratios at Eastern Juyan Lake, Inner Mongolia (Herzschuh et al., 2004); B. total tree pollen percentage at Sanjiaocheng, (Chen et al., 2006); C. total pollen concentration at Qingtu Lake, Hexi Corridor (Li et al., 2011); D. total tree pollen percentage at Dadiwan Lake, Loess Tibetan Plateau (An et al., 2003); E. synthesized standard curve for pollen index. 6 Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 Fig. 4. Holocene paleoclimate records in monsoon margin region C (between forest/highland meadow/steppe and highland semi-desert and desert): A. total tree pollen percentage at Selin Co, Tibetan Plateau (Sun et al., 1993); B. Artemisia-to-Chenopodiaceae (A/C) pollen ratios at Zigetang, Tibetan Plateau (Herzschuh et al., 2006); C. Artemisia-to-Chenopodiaceae (A/C) pollen ratios at Hurleg Lake, Qinghai (Zhao et al., 2007); D. pollen concentration at Dunde Icecap, Tibetan Plateau (Liu et al., 1998); E. total tree pollen percentage at Dalianhai, Qinghai (Cheng, 2006); F. total tree pollen percentage at Qinghai Lake, Qinghai (Shen et al., 2005); H. total tree pollen percentage at Zoige peatlands, Sichuan (Zhao et al., 2011); G. synthesized standard curve for pollen index. icecap (site #17) west to these sites shows high values during both the early and middle Holocene (Liu et al., 1998; Fig. 4C). In central Tibetan Plateau, A/C pollen ratio from Zigetang Lake (site #19) has highest value at 6.4–4.2 ka (Herzschuh et al., 2006; Fig. 4B). However, Selin Lake (site #20), another site from central Tibetan Plateau, shows the highest tree pollen abundance during the early Holocene (Sun et al., 1993; Fig. 4A). 3.4. General spatial patterns of Holocene vegetation and moisture changes These pollen records along the west–east transect in the semi-arid monsoonal margin region show variable but coherent shifts in regional vegetation (Fig. 5), reflecting changes in effective moisture. However, it appears that major vegetation shifts occurred at ~8 ka and at ~5 ka at most of these sites in the monsoonal margin region of China. The changes in effective moisture show different spatial patterns in different regions along this geographic transect. Most sites in the transitional zone between forest and temperate steppe vegetation show the high forest values and the most moist climate between 8 and 4 ka but peak at ~ 6 ka (Fig. 5B). In the transitional vegetation zone between temperate forest/steppe and desert, fossil-pollen data from this region reveal a complicated vegetation pattern, and the composite curve of tree pollen and other pollen indices have large error bars during the early and middle Holocene (Fig. 5C). Generally the sites in the transitional vegetation zone between highland meadow/steppe and semi-desert/desert reveals relatively uniform change indicated by the pollen composite curve, showing wet climate during the early Fig. 5. A. Synthesized moisture history of 11 lakes (relative moisture index: 0–4 representing from dry to wet) in arid central Asia (modified from Chen et al., 2008; two gray lines represent errors in standard deviations); B. synthesized standard curve for pollen index in Region A; C. synthesized standard curve for pollen index in Region B; D. synthesized standard curve for pollen index in Region C; E. synthesized standard curve for pollen index in all monsoon margin region; F. pollen-based moisture index in monsoonal China (Zhao et al., 2009a, 2009b, 2009c); G. oxygen isotopes (‰ relative to VPDB) at Dongge Cave, Guizhou (in green; Wang et al., 2001) and summer insolation (in red; Berger and Loutre, 1991). Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 and middle Holocene and dry climate during the late Holocene, with relatively small error (Fig. 5D). The synthesis curve of vegetation indices from all sites shows the maximum moisture during the middle Holocene at 8–4 ka and the driest period in the last 4 ka (Fig. 5E). This general pattern is very different from either the monsoon or westerly regions. In the monsoon region, the maximum moisture occurred during the early Holocene (Fig. 5F and G; Wang et al., 2005a, 2005b; Zhao et al., 2009a, 2009b, 2009c), whileas in arid central Asia, which is dominated by the westerlies, the early Holocene was driest and the midHolocene was wettest (Fig. 5A; Chen et al., 2008). 4. Possible mechanisms of complex regional vegetation and climate responses Climate in the transitional zone is influenced by multiple largescale climate controls and regional land surface factors. These controls include subtropical monsoon circulation as a regional expression of Hadley Cell (Webster, 2005), the mid-latitude westerlies, topography-induced vertical air motion around the Tibetan Plateau, and potential regional vegetation feedbacks. As a result of these interacting and competing factors, Holocene climate changes of this region were complex and regional heterogeneity as shown above. In addition to multiple large-scale climate controls and regional land surface factors above-mentioned, human activity might have also influenced the Holocene vegetation change in the monsoon margin region. Zhao et al. (2009a, 2009b, 2009c) reviewed the fossil pollen data in the monsoon region and their results showed that human activities could be an important factor affecting natural vegetation at a large scale during the last 2 ka. However, we argue that human activity is not a major player in the vegetation and climate change at multimillennial scale during most part of the Holocene. 4.1. Interacting controls of low- and high-latitude atmospheric circulations Interacting controls of low- and high-latitude atmospheric circulations might have contributed to the inconsistency of the vegetation and moisture change in the transition vegetation zone between temperate forest, steppe and desert. The onset and intensity of monsoons have generally been attributed to contrasts in the thermal properties between land surface and oceans, caused by summer insolation change and radiative heating (Kutzbach, 1981; Webster and Fasullo, 2003). However, recent studies have reexamined this conventional idea and attribute that the onset of monsoon circulations is in response to large shifts in Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) (Chao and Chen, 2001) and is caused by interactions of tropical overturning atmospheric (Hadley) circulation and extratropical eddies (Bordoni and Schneider, 2008). This new understanding may shed light on reconciling long-term monsoon history and dynamics during the Holocene. If monsoons are not primarily controlled by low-latitude insolation-driven heating of the continents, then we may not necessarily expect to see a close match between the maximum monsoon intensity and summer insolation maximum. This may explain the delay in the timing of monsoon maximum in related to peak summer insolation as documented in many low-latitude paleo-records, such as at Dongge and Sanbao caves. This delayed response in monsoon precipitation may be expected farther north, away from the center of monsoon influences, even just considering the subtropical monsoon circulation. For example, maximum moisture occurred during the mid-Holocene at the most sites in the transition zone between forest and temperate steppe, and maximum moisture occurred during the mid-Holocene or late early Holocene in the transition zone between highland meadow/steppe and semi-desert/desert. The timing difference of maximum moisture conditions occurring in the two zones, is 7 probably in response to rapid and intense heating of the Tibetan Plateau during summer insolation maximum. At mid-latitude regions, such as near the northern limit of monsoon influences, however, the mid-latitude westerlies likely also play a major role in mediating the influences of monsoon circulations. The intensity and moisture properties of the westerlies depend on large-scale boundary conditions. Farther inland in the mid-latitude region, moisture is supplied mainly from the North Atlantic Ocean and from inland seas and lakes along the cyclonic storms paths (Böhner, 2006). During the early Holocene ice sheets in North America and northern Eurasia were still large, as indicated by geological evidence (Lowe and Walker, 1997) and the sea-level record (Peltier and Fairbanks, 2006). These remnant ice sheets would have depressed the sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the North Atlantic Ocean (Koç et al., 1993; Kaplan and Wolfe, 2006) and air temperatures as documented in Greenland ice cores (Dahl-Jensen et al., 1998). Lower temperatures would have reduced evaporation from the North Atlantic and consequently vapor transport to Eurasian continent, thus producing relatively dry westerlies. Also, during the glacial boundary conditions the westerlies were stronger and penetrated further eastward into north-central China as shown by eolian data and GCM simulations (Vandenberghe et al., 2006). These strong dry westerlies farther into East Asia in the early Holocene may have delayed moisture maximum as documented at sites reviewed above in the mid-latitude transitional zone, as well as in central Asia (Chen et al., 2008). Also, the strong and dry westerlies would have blocked the northward movement of rain belts associated with the subtropical monsoon circulations. The interplay of monsoon and westerlies may have contributed to the complex patterns at various sites in the transitional vegetation zone between temperate forest/ steppe and desert in central China. 4.2. Topography-mediated regional climate changes in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau The Holocene hydroclimate pattern as shown at Hurleg Lake in the Qaidam Basin demonstrates the possible orography-mediated regional climate response to large-scale climate controls. During the Holocene there appears to be opposite changes in moisture conditions at Hurleg Lake (Zhao et al., 2007) and Qinghai Lake (Shen et al., 2005), only about 250 km to the east but at different elevations (2800 m in the basin vs. >4000 m asl on the plateau). It is in particular more clear at 6 ka, while maximum aridity occurred in the basin, but maximum moisture at Qinghai Lake) and over the last 3 ka (increasing moisture at Hurleg, but decreasing moisture at Qinghai). The similar out-of-phase patterns at low-elevation sites and surrounding high mountains appear also to occur during the last 1000 years, based on high-resolution multi-proxy records from Hurleg Lake (Zhao et al., 2009a, 2009b, 2009c) and tree-ring records from surrounding mountains (Sheppard et al., 2004; Shao et al., 2006) and during the last 50 years (e.g., Gahai Lake in the Qaidam Basin vs. Dunde ice core at 5300 m asl; Zhao et al., 2008). We propose that this difference between low- and high-elevation sites may be caused by the complex topography around the NE corner of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and the resulting convective pattern. The possible connection between the orographic effect of the TP and dry climate in central Asia has been well-understood through climate modeling and observational studies. Broccoli and Manabe (1992) investigated the role of the TP in maintaining mid-latitude dry climates using GCM simulations and found that the TP has large-scale effects on atmospheric circulation. The TP caused large-amplitude stationary waves in the Eurasian continent in the cold season. The dry regions north of the TP are located upstream of the troughs of these waves, hence they experience dry subsiding air. The plateau also plays a major role in responding to and mediating the Asian monsoon circulations through the intense heating of the plateau surface during the 8 Y. Zhao, Z. Yu / Earth-Science Reviews 113 (2012) 1–10 summer. The heating and upward motion of air over the plateau causes strong air subsidence to the northwest and north of the TP, inducing dry climate in central Asia. Wang et al. (2010) proposed that Hadley Circulation centered over the Tibetan Plateau during the early Holocene and resulted in subsidence in the surrounding regions leading to relatively dry conditions. This large-scale effect of the TP has also been indicated by observational data (He et al., 1987) and has been considered as an explanation for spatial pattern of Holocene wet-dry climate periods in central Asia (Herzschuh, 2006; Chen et al., 2008). We use the same mechanism to explain the different climate pattern in the Qaidam Basin and the surrounding mountains and plateau. This difference in topography not only allows eastward penetration of the dry westerlies into the Qaidam Basin but also induces a similar uplifting-subsiding motion regionally, similar to that described above for the Tibetan Plateau. It appears that such a mechanism also works at a fine spatial scale as demonstrated in climate simulations. Sato and Kimura (2005) used a regional climate model of 150-km spatial resolution to simulate the effect of diabatic heating over the Tibetan Plateau on subsidence in arid climate regions and found prominent regional-scale subsidence during the summer. Their high spatial resolution simulations show that the subsidence extends into the Qaidam Basin, especially in simulations with no condensation, suggesting the dominant role of sensible heat flux induced by the radiative heating on the plateau surface. A large topographic feature such as the Tibetan Plateau can modify the atmospheric circulation. During the instrumental period, Liu and Yin (2001) show that the plateau may be inducing different regional precipitation responses in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, because the flow associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation bifurcates around the plateau. They found a seesaw pattern in summer precipitation in northern and southern parts of the eastern Tibetan Plateau. It would be interesting to test this idea using paleoclimate records during the Holocene or last 2000 years, perhaps by focusing on abundant lakes and peatlands in the Zoige Basin. Considering that higher elevations have experienced greater warming over the last 50 years as documented by instrumental records on the Tibetan Plateau (Liu and Chen, 2000) and by ice core data from different elevations (Dasuopu at 7200 m, Guliya at 6200 m, and Dunde at 5325 m) on the Tibetan Plateau during the last 200 years (Thompson et al., 2003), it is important to understand the elevation-mediated regional climate responses. 4.3. Possible land-surface and vegetation feedbacks to regional climate changes Vegetation and land-surface features have important and significant impacts on regional climate, especially in arid/semi-arid regions. Vegetation influences regional climate through changes in vegetation types (vegetation cover, light transmittance) and leaf area index (canopy thickness, transpiration), both determining water and energy exchanges among soil, vegetation, and the atmosphere. Feedbacks of vegetation on climate or nonlinear responses of vegetation to climate have been well documented in climate simulations, e.g., in desert and steppe regions of northern China (Chen et al, 2004), northern Africa (Claussen, 1997; Ganopolski et al., 1998; Liu et al., 2006); and humid tropical rain forests (e.g., in Amazonia; Costa and Foley, 2000). Climate-model results show differences between midHolocene and present-day precipitation in the East Asian monsoon region in summer because during the mid-Holocene, larger areas were covered by taller vegetation (shrubs, forest instead of grass and desert). Larger leaf area of this woody vegetation increases evapotranspiration and, thus, local precipitation (Dallmeyer et al., 2010). Some paleoclimate records from the monsoon margin of China appear to show major vegetation shifts and associated lake level changes in the mid-Holocene, e.g., at Daihai Lake in the transitional zone between forest and temperate steppe vegetation (Fig. 2A; Xiao et al., 2004; Sun et al., 2009). Other sites that show major vegetation changes during the Holocene are located near the present-day biome boundaries (Fig. 1B), and the observed vegetation shifts are likely reflecting the movements of these boundaries. These shifts between forest steppe and desert steppe and between forest and steppe should significantly change evapotranspiration and albedo and produce changes in water and energy exchanges between vegetation/soil and the atmosphere, thereby affecting regional temperature and moisture conditions. However, a regional climate model that couples climate, vegetation, and hydrology at high-spatial resolution will be needed to simulate the responses of multiple climate fields (including wind vectors, temperature, water vapor fluxes, humidity) to broadscale and local controls. 5. Summary We show that Holocene climate histories are complex in the transitional zone between the East Asian monsoon and the westerlydominated central Asia based mostly on pollen records across monsoon margin region. Most sites in the transitional zone between forest and temperate steppe vegetation in northeastern China show the wettest climate between 8 and 4 ka. In the transitional vegetation zone between temperate forest/steppe and desert in central China, Holocene vegetation and climate pattern is complicated, especially during the early and middle Holocene. The sites in the transitional vegetation zone between highland meadow/steppe and semidesert/desert on the Tibetan Plateau reveal relatively uniform change with wet climate during the early and middle Holocene and dry climate during the late Holocene. The synthesis curve of vegetation indices for the monsoon margin region as a whole shows that the maximum moisture occurred during the middle Holocene (8–4 ka) and the driest conditions during the late Holocene (4–0 ka). This general pattern is very different from either monsoon or westerly regions. In the monsoon region, the early Holocene was wettest; whereas in central Asia dominated by the westerlies the early Holocene was driest and the mid-Holocene wettest. Although the mid-Holocene was wettest in both central Asia and the monsoon margin region, in the former region the early Holocene was driest whereas in the latter region the late Holocene was driest. We propose that these regional climate changes were controlled by interactions of large-scale atmospheric circulations, including the subtropical East Asian monsoon and mid-latitude westerlies, and regional factors, including topography and vegetation. These interacting and competing factors may have shifted their relative roles during the Holocene under gradually changing boundary conditions, including the insolation and waning ice sheets. Understanding the spatial and temporal patterns and possibly threshold response of regional climates to these large-scale forcing will provide essential information for revealing the underlying mechanisms of regional climate change. Acknowledgements This research was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program, grants #2012CB956102 and 2010CB950202), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants #41125006 and 41071126), and the US National Science Foundation (EAR #0518774). 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