OnExchangeandItsGains1 August2016 GeoffreyBrennan Philosophy,ANU;Philosophy,UNC‐ChapelHill;PoliticalScience,DukeUniversity “Iwant…economists…toconcentrateonexchangeratherthanonchoice.” [Buchanan(1964)emphasisinoriginal] IIntroduction OverthehistoryofEconomics,therehavebeenasmallnumberofinfluential voicesinsistingontheprimacyoftheideaof“exchange”withinaproperaccount oftheEconomicsdiscipline.Sometimesthisviewhasbeenexpressedintermsof recommendationsforachangeinthediscipline’sname–awayfromoeconomia (withitsconnotationofhouseholdmanagement)andtowards“catallactics”or “catallaxy”–thescienceofexchange.RichardWhateley–thesecond2incumbent oftheDrummondChairatOxford(1829‐1831)–wasanotableexponentofthis view.SotoowasHayek(1976ch10)followingvonMises(1949).But,inrecent times,perhapsthemostpersistentproponentoftheexchangefocushasbeen JamesBuchanan;andperhapsthemostextendedandexplicitpleaforthisview iscontainedinhis1964PresidentialAddresstotheSouthernEconomics Association,subsequentlypublishedas“WhatShouldEconomistsDo?”.The centralmessageofthataddress/paperisnicelycapturedbythequotationfrom it,offeredhereastheepigraph.Economistsshouldfocus‐‐notonchoice,noton rationality,notonrelativeprices,notonscarcity–butonexchange!3 IshallshortlylayoutwhatIbelieveBuchanan’sreasonswereforthis preference;butbeforedoingso,itmightbeaswelltosayalittleaboutwhatisat stakeinanyclaimsaboutadiscipline’s“concentration”orprimaryfocus.After all,onemightthinkthatthebasicelementsinthe“economicwayofthinking”are properlyconstruedascomplementaryratherthanrival4.Soideasofscarcity,and 1Anearlierversionofthispaperwasgivenasthe2016BrianBarryMemorialLectureattheLSE inJune2016. 2Hehadearliertutoredthefirstincumbent,NassauSenior. 3Icanattest,frompersonalconversationsonmanyoccasions,toBuchanan’sjudgmentthatthe realtestofthequalityofanEconomicsPrinciplescoursewashowsoonitgottoexchange.He hadinmindsomethinglikethefirstfiveminutesofthefirstlecture! 4IhavelongthoughtthatPaulHeyne(1973)wasrighttoinsistthateconomicsisbetter understoodasa“wayofthinking”thanasasubjectmatter.Themajorjournalsarefullofpapers withtitleslike“theeconomicsof…”wheretheobjectcanrangeacross:crimeandpunishment; time;suicide;politics;thecourts;self‐confidence;esteem;climatechange;corruption–indeed,it wouldbeaninterestingchallengetodeviseatopicwhichwouldreducetheeconomiststo silence!Allthesepapersarerecognizedbytheboundary‐ridersofthediscipline(thejournal editorsandreferees)asbeing“economics”insomemeaningful(andpublishable)sense. rationalchoice,andtheroleofrelativeprices,orforthatmattermethodological individualism,andtheideaofequilibrium5,allplayaroleinEconomics–and arguablyanindispensablerole.AnditiscertainlynotBuchanan’sambitionto dispensewithrationalchoiceorscarcityascentralelementsinthestructureof thediscipline. Itakeitthatbyemphasizingexchangeastheappropriateconcentration, Buchananissuggestingsomethinglikeaguidingidea–agestalt,ortouseoneof hisownfavouritemetaphors,a“lens”6‐‐throughwhicheconomicenquiryisbest pursued.Effectively,heisborrowinganinsightfrom‘behaviouraleconomics’ abouttheimportanceofframing;andapplyingthatinsighttothedisciplineof economicsitself7.Ifthisisacorrectinterpretation,thenonenaturalquestionto askis:whatisatstakeinframingeconomicsthroughan“exchange”focus?And whatmightweseetheexchangefocusasdelivering?Putanotherway,whatare thechiefrivalstoanexchangefocus;andwhatareBuchanan’scriticismsofthese alternatives? ThetwoprimaryalternativesBuchanancanvassesinhis1964paperare ‘scarcity’and‘rationalchoice’;andIshallbrieflysummarizehisviewsonthese. Scarcity: Perhapsthemostfamiliar‘definition’ofeconomics–andprobablythe mostinfluentialwithintheprofession‐‐islaidoutbyRobbins(1932).As Buchananseesit,Robbinsthinksofeconomicsasaresponsetoaproblem. Thatproblemisscarcity–theconfrontationoflimitedmeanswith necessarily“competingends”.“Theeconomicproblem…isoneof allocationmadenecessarybythefactofscarcity,thenecessitytochoose.” [Buchananp30,emphasisinoriginal].ButasBuchananputsit:“Ipropose totakeonLordRobbinsasanadversaryandtostatecategoricallythathis all‐too‐persuasivedelineationofoursubjectfieldhasservedtoretard ratherthantoadvancescientificprogress.”AsIreadBuchanan,hischief objectiontothisRobbinsianconceptionofeconomicsisthatitis hospitabletoaninappropriatelevelofaggregation.Theapproachtoo readilyinvitesaconceptionof“societyatlarge”facingaproblemofhow toallocate“itsresources”.Itfailstoemphasizethatanysocietyis composedofindividuals,allofwhomfacetheirindividualproblems basedontheirownresourcesinasettingwhere“success”istoberatedin termsoftherealizationofthegoalsandpurposesofeach.“Society”is properlyunderstoodasahabitatforproblem‐solvers;notasa‘problem‐ solver’initself! RationalChoice: 5Eitherasastateofaffairsor(astheAustrianstendtothink)asamagnettowhichstatesof affairsaredrawnbeforethereissome(inevitable)exogenouschangeinprevailing circumstances. 6Buchanan’suseofthisNietzschianmetaphorisnicelyillustratedintheIntroductionto Buchanan(1967). 7Buchananwasnotasithappensespeciallyinterestedinbehaviouraleconomics;andwould probablynothaveusedthe‘framing’metaphorhimself,evenifithadthenbeencurrent. Buchanan’sobjectiontothinkingofEconomicsasastudyof‘rational choice’is,inonesense,almosttheoppositeofhisobjectiontoascarcity focus–namely,thatitistooindividuated.Afterall,rationalchoiceis somethingthatcanbepracticedbyCrusoeonhisisland.Crusoecanmake decisionsastowhethertofishorgathercoconutsorswimouttotheship, makingthemarginalcalculationsastowhichisbestforhimgivenhis endsandthetimeandenergyusedupineachactivity.“Theuniquely symbioticaspectsofbehaviour,ofhumanchoice,ariseonlywhenFriday stepsontotheisland,andCrusoeisforcedintoassociationwithanother humanbeing.Thefactofassociationrequiresthatawhollydifferentand whollynewsortofbehaviourtakesplace–thatof‘exchange’…”[Buchanan (1964)p35]. OrasBuchananwastomakethepointsomeyearslater8: “Economicsis,orshouldbe,aboutindividualbehaviourinsociety” BrennanandBuchanan(1985)p1 However,insistencethatEconomicsisasocialscience,andthereforedealswith individualsinsociety,wherethestructuresofinterdependenceandpatternsof associationareacentralissue,isIthinkonlyonepieceofBuchanan’scase.The otherpiececonnectstothespecifically“symbioticaspects”ofsocialbehaviour. ForBuchanan,onethingthattheexchangegestaltservestomakesplainisthe positive‐sumpossibilitiesinhumaninteractions.Clearly,inthemorefamiliar biologicalsetting,symbiosisreferstoastructureofinterdependencewhereeach (species)hasitssurvivalprospectsincreasedbytheactivitiesoftheother.And whenheappealstothattermBuchanansurelymeanstosignalafocusonthe mutualgainsthatassociationmakespossible.Possible,butofcoursenot inevitable.WhenFridayarrivesontheisland,thereistheprospectofwarfare,of theft,ofinteractionsthathaveacharacteristicallynegativevalence.Andthough Buchananmightinclude,withinthedomainofpossible‘exchanges’,an agreementbetweenCrusoeandFridaytodividetheislandandleaveoneanother inpeace,thatisnottheemphasisheseestheexchangefocusasdelivering:he hasinmindpositivesuminteractions,ratherthantheavoidanceofnegativesum ones.9 Wheneconomists(andcertainlyBuchanan)talkof“exchange”,theideaof“gains fromexchange”followalmostimmediatelyinthewake.Ifyouaskthetypical economistthequestion:“whatdoes‘exchange’involve?”themostlikelyanswer is:“mutualgains”.Indeed,asHeath(2006)perceptivelyobserves,Buchanan effectivelyuses“gainsfromexchange”ascoterminouswith“mutualadvantage”. Soinparticular,Buchanan’sconstitutionalcontractarianism(andhis‘economic 8Admittedlyinaratherdubiouscollaboration. 9Thedistinctionseemstobeanimportantoneinthe‘framing’sense.Forexample,in understandingthefunctionsof‘rights’,economistsarelikelytoemphasizetheirrolein facilitatingexchange–andtherebyincreatingpositivebenefits[Coase(1961)exemplifies]; whereaspoliticalphilosophersarelikelytoemphasizetheroleofrightsasprotectionsagainst losses,reflectingIsuspectabroadlyHobbesianpictureofthestateofnaturewhererightsare absent.SeeBrennan(2016)foranextendedtreatmentofthisthoughtinthecontextofhow ‘liberty’tendstobeunderstoodinthedifferentdisciplinarysettings. theoryofpolitics’)isdevelopedasanapplicationofthe“exchangefocus”broadly interpreted. “Inthemostgeneralsense(perhapstoogeneralformost…toaccept),the approachtoeconomicsthatIamadvancingextendstocovertheemergence ofapoliticalconstitution.”Buchanan(1964)p39 Relatedly,the“synthesisofthetheoriesofpoliticalandeconomicdecisionmaking (PublicChoice)”10forwhichBuchananwasawardedtheNobelPrize,hewould oftendescribeintermsofthestudyof“politicsasexchange”.11 OneinterestingfactinthisconnectionisBuchanan’sstatedpreferencefor “symbiosis”over“catallaxy”.Symbiosismightbeunderstoodtoincludeallcases ofmutualbenefit;catallaxyfocusesonexchangeassuch.ForHeath,this predilectiontowrapupall“mutualadvantage”(touseRawls’phrase12)inthe “gainsfromexchange”terminologyfailstodistinguishthefactofmutualbenefit fromthe“mechanism”(Heath’sterm)bywhichsuchmutualgainisrealized. Exchangemaybeonemeansofsecuringmutualadvantage;butatleastin principle,mutualadvantagemightbesecuredinotherways.Heaththinksthat therearesuchotherways;andconsidersthatthe‘exchange’focuslendsa “catallacticbias”tothenormativeanalysisofsocialinteractions.13 Buchananclearlythoughtthatmarketexchangewasnottheonlyarenainwhich mutualgainscouldbesecured,because,asnoted,heexplicitlysoughtto conceptualizepoliticsthroughtheexchangelens;butthereissomeevidencethat hethoughtofmarketexchangeasthenaturalpointofdeparture.Asheputitin laterlife: ‘Thesimpleexchangeofapplesandorangesbetweentwotraders–this institutionalmodelisthestartingpointforallthatIhavedone…theideas thatcapturemyattentionarethosethatdirectlyorindirectlyexplainhow freelychoosingindividualscansecurejointlydesired14goals.”Buchanan (1986/99)p26 Inwhatfollows,Ishall,likeHeath,beconcernedwiththerelationbetween exchangeandmutualgainsormutualadvantage.Ishallbeconcernedwith mutualadvantagethatarisesotherthanviaexchange.AndIshallbeconcerned toinvestigatewhethervoluntaryexchangealwaysyieldsmutualadvantage–or atleasttouncovercaseswhichputpressureonthatconnection.AndIshallbe concernedtoexplorecaseswhere,notonlyisitthecasethatmutualadvantage canarisewithoutexchangebutwhereexchange(atleastinthefolk 10NobelPrizepressrelease(1986) 11Tobesure,Buchananreferredoftentopublicchoiceanalysisalsoas“politicswithout romance”.Foranextendedtreatmentofthe“politicsasexchange”theme,seeBrennan(2012). 12Rawlsfamouslyreferredto“society”asa“cooperativeventureformutualadvantage”. 13HeaththinksthatthatcatallacticbiasextendsfarbeyondBuchanan–toalmostall contractariansocialtheorists. 14Thereferenceto“jointlydesired”goalsisliabletomisinterpretation.Exchangedoesnot requireornormallydependonanyprioragreementaboutthedesirabilityofparticularstatesof affairs.Thereneedbenoconsciousnessoftheotherinwhicha“jointdesire”mightbegrounded. Muchofeconomicsisconcernedwithwhateconomistsrefertoas“impersonalexchange”in whicheachtradersimplyrespondstothemarketcircumstancesinwhichshefindsherself. understandingofwhatexchangeinvolves)wouldactuallydestroythebenefits onoffer.Itakeitthattheseexamplesaresufficienttoundermineanystrictly logicalconnectionbetweenexchangeandgains.Ofcourse,thatclaimdoesnot denythat,inmostcasesofsignificance,exchangeisthemostsignificantsourceof generalgain.15 BeforeIattendtothesepropositions,IneedtosayalittleabouthowIshall understandexchange;andwhyBuchananmightthinkthegainsthatitgivesrise toaresignificant.ThiswilloccupysectionIIofthispaper.Ineedalsotoexpose whatIthinkofasasomewhathiddendisagreementwithintheeconomics professionastowheretheso‐called“gainsfromexchange”inmarketsoriginates. ThatwilloccupysectionIII.IshalltheninsectionIVdiscussthecaseofexchange withoutmutualgains.SectionVwillbeconcernedwithcasesofmutual advantagewithoutexchange.InsectionVI,Ishallwanttoputsomepressureon theideaofmutuality.AndinsectionVII,focusoncaseswheremutualbenefitcan ariseonlyifexchangeisruledout.SectionVIIIoffersabriefconclusion. IIExchangeDefined Idonotintendtoattemptanythingespeciallyelaboratebywayofdefinitions here.ButitwillhelptobeclearwhatImeanwhenIrefertoexchange.Andfor thispurposeitwillbesufficienttogobacktoAdamSmith. InthesecondchapteroftheWealthofNations,Smithcontraststwowaysof gettingwhatwewantfromothers–byappealingtotheirbenevolence,onthe onehand;andbyquidproquo,ontheother.Hethinksquidproquoismuchthe moresignificant–andIshalltakeitthatthislattercaseisthearchetypical exampleofexchange. “GivemethatwhichIwantandyoushallhavethatwhichyouwant…”is the“mannerinwhichweobtainfromoneanotherthefargreaterpartof thosegoodofficeswhichwestandinneedof”[WN.I.ii.2] TheactivitiesthatSmithhasinmindareintentional;inbothcases,eachactoris takentobemotivatedbyadesireforthatwhichtheothermightprovide. Distinctively,intheexchangecase,IsecurewhatIwantbyofferingaquid‐pro‐ quothattheotheraccepts.ThatexchangeismadepossiblebythefactthatIhave agreaterdesireforthatwhichtheotherhas(andIwant)thanforthatwhichI have(andtaketheothertowant).Consistentdesires(inthissense)arenotof coursesufficient;theexchangemustactuallybeconsummatedforthemutual advantagetobeproduced.ButItakeitthattheideaofexchangeinvolvesan identifiablequidandanidentifiablequo;andarelevantdivergence(eitheractual orpotential16)intheeffectivedesiresofthetwoparties.AndIamtakingitthata 15Inthatsense,Idonotseemyselfweighingintothequestionofwhetherthereisa‘catallactic bias’incontractarianpoliticalphilosophy.Logicinitselfcannotestablishorrefute‘bias’claims. 16Therelevanceofpotentialdifferenceisobscurehere.Buttheissuewillbetakenupbrieflyin sectionIII. characteristicfeatureofexchangeisthepresenceofdesirespecificallyforthe relevantquo. Inthatsense,thereisasignificantdistinctionbetweenexchange(thecentral notionincatallax/catallactics)and“symbiosis”–whereatleastinthestandard biologicalinterpretationsthereisnointentionality.Theremaybeanaloguesto symbiosisinthehumancontext17–casesinwhichtheflourishingoftwo(or more)personsaremutuallyandpositivelyinterdependent.Butsuchcasesare notinstancesofexchange,asIshallunderstandit(followingSmith,asIread him.)Buchananmaybedisposedtowanttoincludewithinthescopeof economicsallcasesofpositiveinterdependence–butthereisadistinction betweensymbioticandexchangeprocessesanditisonethatBuchananmust recognize(otherwisehecouldnothaveapreference).Ishallmeanbyexchange themutualforgoingofsomethinglessdesiredforsomethingmoredesiredonthe partoftheexchangingparties. Inordertosetthestage,itwillalsobehelpfultosayalittleaboutthescaleofthe gainsfromexchange,asmosteconomistsseethem.Accordingly,Isetoutin Table1ahistoricalpictureoftheworldsince1700,showingGDP/head (measuredin1990internationaldollars)forboththeworldandsomenotable subsets;andworldpopulation.Overthisperiod,thedataaresuchasto commandreasonableconfidence.AndIthinktheytellaspectacularstory. Overthosethreecenturies,worldGPDperheadhasincreasedbyafactorof around10;atthesametimeasworldpopulationincreasedbyafactorofabout thesameproportion.Intotal,theproductivecapacityoftheworldincreased roughly100‐fold.So,whateverelsewecanconcludewecancertainlydeclare thattherehaveturnedouttobevast“generalgains”onoffer.Andifwetake AdamSmithatfacevalue,thesevastgainshavebeendeliveredinlargemeasure bymarketexchangeandtheincreaseddivisionoflabourassociatedwithit. Table1 GDP/head(at1990internationaldollars)andWorldPopulation UK W.Europe World World year USA gdp/head gdp/head gdp/head gdp/head Popninm.s 1700 527 1250 997 616 600/680 1820 1257 1706 1202 667 900/1200 1870 2445 3190 1960 873 1300/1500 1913 5301 4921 3457 1526 1800 1950 9561 6939 4578 2113 2557 1973 16689 12025 11417 4091 4000 2003 29037 21310 19912 6516 6200 17Itisworthnotingthatthebiologicalcasesdifferfromthesocialintermsoftheevaluand.In thebiologicalsetting,theobjectofconcernissurvival;intheeconomic,itisflourishinginmore individualizedsenses(eitherpreferencesatisfactionortheindividuals’objectivewell‐being). [TheincreaseinpercapitaGDPintheWesthasbeengreaterthanfortheworld asawhole–afactorofabout60fortheUS;ofaround17intheUK;andabout20 inWesternEurope.] Assessingsuchchangesintermsoftheirnormativesignificanceraises,ofcourse, lotsofinterestingquestionsmostofwhichIdonotintendtoengageinanydetail here.Butofcourse,Iconcedethatpercapitagdpisnotanunquestionable measureofmaterialwell‐being,partlybecauseitleavesoutofaccountlotsof relevantelementsandpartlybecauseitmayincludesomeelementsthatdonot trackwell‐beingatall18. Itshouldalsobeconcededthatpopulationincreasesinthemselveshavea somewhatcontestednormativestatus.Butsomeaspectsofincreasedpopulation areperfectlyuncontroversial.Forexample,one(significant)sourceofincreased populationoverthelastthreecenturieshasbeenincreasedlifeexpectancy19and mostwouldregardthatelementpositively,becauseitcanbeseenasimproving thelivesofpersonsthatalreadyexist.Whetheranincreasedbirthrateis desirable–assimpleutilitarianismwouldclaim–isamuchmorecontentious issue.ButtherelevanceofincreasedpopulationforthepointIwishtomakeis simplythis:thatiftheworldsocialorderhadbeenroughlyzerosum,anincrease inpopulationcouldonlyhavetheeffectofreducingthewell‐beingoftheaverage person.Thatthathasnothappened–thefactthatgdp/headacrosstheworldhas increasedverysubstantially–showsthathumansocietydoesactuallyexhibit positivesumpossibilities,oratleastthatithasdoneforthelast300years! Thatthishasbeentheresultofexchangeprocessesspecificallymaynotbe entirelyobvious;butthatiswhatAdamSmithclaimedanditiswhateconomists eversincehavebeeninclinedtobelieve.20 IIIMarketExchangeanditsGains If,asinthespiritofHeath(2006),wearetobecarefultospecifythevarious mechanismsbywhichgeneralgainscancomeabout,itseemsdesirableto distinguishgainsfromexchangeassuchfromthegainsarisingfromthedivision 18Increasedexpenditureonprotectionagainstcrimeassociatedwithincreasedcrimerates wouldbeanexample. 19Forexample,lifeexpectancyinmostWesterncountrieshasincreasedbyaroundtwoyearsfor everydecadethroughthetwentiethcentury. 20Apoliticaltheorycolleagueremarkedtomethatideaslikejusticeandlibertycouldgether excited;butshehadnosimilarfrissoninrelationtotheideaofexchange.Aneconomistmight respondthatthatsimplyrevealsignoranceonherpart–thatinanyassessmentofthe developmentsoverthelastthreehundredyears,exchangeanditsupshotshaveprobablybeen considerablymoresignificantthananychangesinlibertyorjustice.Thatfactdoesnotestablish anycurrentpriorities:indeed,onemightthinkthatthefact(whichItakeittobe)thattherehas beensomuchprogressinmaterialwell‐beingsuggeststhatwenowoughttoassignhigher prioritytootherthings.Buttotheextentthatherattitudescanbegeneralizedacrosspolitical theorists/philosophers,itisworthemphasizingthatexchangeanditsupshotsarebynomeans normativelynegligible! oflabour21.AlthoughSmith’sdiscussionintheWealthofNationsinvolvesaclose connectionbetweenexchangeandthedivisionoflabour(specialisation)these aredistinctphenomena–asIbelievealittlereflectionwillshow.InSmith’sown discussion,forexample,chapteroneofBookIoftheWealthofNationsfocuses exclusivelyonthedivisionoflabour(ie‘specialization’),leavingittochapter2to discussexchange.Tobesure,Smiththinksthatasamatterofhistory,the divisionoflabourarosefromthe“propensitytotruck,barterandexchange”. Indeed,heclaimsthat“itisthenecessary…consequence”(myemphasis)ofthat propensity.ButwecanshowthatSmithwasinerrorhere;for,asweshallsee, therecanbecasesinwhichtherecanbeexchangewithoutanypossibilityof specialization. Anexamplewillmakethepoint.Inapapersometimesprescribedinprinciples‐ of‐economicscourses,R.A.Radford(1945)describeshowaprimitivemarket emergedamongtheinmatesofthevariousprisoner‐of‐warcampswherehe himselfhadbeenheldinthesecond‐world‐war.Thetradehedescribesisofthe variousgoodsthatperiodicallycameinRedCross“packages”toallinmates‐‐ andoccasionallyindedicatedpackagestospecificinmatesfromfamily“at home”.Radforddescribeshowcigarettesrapidlybecamethecurrencyof exchangeandhowthecigarette‐priceforchocolateandbullybeefandsoapand tinnedmilkandcertainarticlesofclothingbecamereasonablywell‐established‐ ‐thoughsubjecttofluctuation,dependingonthetimelapsebetweenthearrival ofRedCross(andother)parcels22.Themainpotentialforexchangedependedon differencesinindividuals’tastesforthedifferentcommodities.However,other differenceswererelevantaswell:therelativelyrisk‐aversecouldexchangewith therisk‐loving23;individualswithahighrateofdiscountcouldexchangewith thenaturalhoarders;andsoon. However,Radford’sisanessentially“manna”economy:thereisnoproduction, nodivisionoflabour,nospecialization24.Thereisnoincreaseinthenumberof cigarettesorbarsofchocolate.Giventhatagentsarebroadlyrational,thereisa presumptionthatallpartiestoallexchangeswillhavehigherpreference satisfactionafterexchangethantheywouldhavehadifsuchexchangeshadbeen precluded.Buttherewillbenoobjectivemeasuresoftheincreaseinwell‐being. Radford’sisinthatsenseanessentiallysubjectivistexercise. 21Interestingly,Heathhimselfisratherunclearaboutthatdistinction.Hesays(p314):“thebest knowninstanceof….thebenefitscooperationcanproduce…isthegainsfromtradeachieved throughmarketexchange(orthedivisionoflabour)”.So,isthe“or”heretobeinterpretedasan equivalence;orisHeathdrawingadistinctionbetweentwodifferentmechanismsthatmightbe subsumedunder“gainsfromtrade”?Iwanttoinsistonthelatter. 22Forexample,thecigarettepricestendedtofallasthetimebetweenpackagearrivalincreased, assmokerstendedtouseuptheircurrencyforpureconsumptionpurposes. 23Themainsourcesofrisklayinthestochasticnatureofpackagearrival–buttherewerealso occasionalbombingraidsandotheruncertaintiesrelatingtochangesincampmanagement. 24Actually,thereissomeminorspecialization.Radfordreportstheactivitiesofaparticular padrewhooperatedasamiddlemanexploitingknowledgeaboutdifferencesinrelativeprices acrossdifferenthutsanddifferencesintastesasbetweendifferentindividuals.Thispadremight havebeensaidto‘specialize’inbrokerage. Now,onemightthinkthatthereisanaturalextrapolationofRadford’slogicto theproductionsideoftheeconomy.Justas,intheRadfordcase,gainsfrom exchangearisefromdifferencesinpreferences,soontheproductionside,gains arisefromdifferenceinnaturaltalents.Thisisinfactanoldidea.Itisevidentin Plato’sandAristotle’saccountofthedivisionoflabour25andinStPaul’s descriptionofthefunctioningofawell‐orderedchurch26.Andthissamenotionis inplayinRicardo’saccountofthebenefitsofinternationaltradeandcountry‐ widespecialization.ThebasisofexchangeinRicardo’saccountliesinthenatural climaticdifferencesbetweenPortugalandEngland–theformerbeingrelatively conducivetowineproductionandthelatterrelativelyconducivetowool production.Notethoughthatintheseaccounts,thepossibilityofgainsfrom exchangedependscruciallyonsuchdifferencesarising‘naturally’:without differencesinclimateorinnaturalresourcesorinindividualtalents,there wouldbenobasisforspecializationandnogainsfromexchangeonoffer. AdamSmith’spictureofthegainsfromexchangeisdistinctiveinthisrespect.On theSmithianpicture,thedifferencesthatarerelevantforexchangeare “artificial”ratherthannatural–theyareendogenoustotheexchangeprocess ratherthanexogenousfactsrelatingtohumanorgeneticorclimaticdifferences. Smithrecognizeswellenoughthatone’srelationshipwithone’sbutcherissuch thatbothpartiesrealizegainsfromtheexchange:thebuyerismadebetteroffby gettinghermeatandthebutcherbetteroffbyhavingthebuyer’smoney.Butthis isnotwhatSmithidentifiesasthemainbenefitarisingwithincommercial society.Themoremajorsourceofbenefitarisesfromfeaturesthatareintrinsic tospecializationassuch.Smith’sstoryisoneof“learningbydoing”,ofquasi‐ Fordistefficiency,andofthedevelopmentofmachines.Themagnitudeofthe mutualbenefitsderivedfromthesesources,hereckons,arevast:theyamountto increasesinpercapitaaggregateoutputperhaps240‐foldandmaybeeven4800‐ fold(totakethe“trifling”exampleofpinmanufacturethatSmithspecifically cites).Suchspecializationarisesinthemarketmoreorlessspontaneously, withoutanynecessarynaturaldifferencesinpersons’tastesortalents:the necessarydifferencesemergefromspecializationitself,notfromdifferencesin talents.Indeed,Smithhimselfevincesscepticismastowhetherindividualsdo differthatmuchintermsoftheirnaturaltalents.Inthatsense,heidentifies himselfexplicitlyonthe“nurture”ratherthanthe“nature”sideofawell‐known (andlong‐standing)debate.27Inanyevent,itseemsquiteclearfromSmith’s discussionthat,inhisview,thegainsfromexchangeassucharesmallbeer comparedwiththegainsthataccruefromspecialization.NothingintheRadford accountwouldleadonetoconcludethatthebenefitsareequivalenttoa4800‐ foldincreaseinoutput! 25ForPlatoandAristotle,suchnaturaldifferencesconstitutedthegroundsfortheformationof humansociety. 26IntheFirstEpistletotheCorinthiansch12. 27Itwasthisview–andthecorrespondingfailureofthe‘economists’todiscriminatebetween whitesandblacks–thatearnedeconomicsthefamoussoubriquetof“thedismalscience”in Carlisle’s(1849)essayonthe“niggerquestion”.JohnStuartMill,inresponsetoCarlisle, identifiedthestandard19thcenturyeconomist’sline:Carlislehadmadethe"vulgarerrorof imputingeverydifferencewhichhefindsamonghumanbeingstoanoriginaldifferenceofnature." Mill(1850).SeeLevy(2002)foranentertaininganalysisofthathistory. ThereisanothernotablefeatureofSmith’saccount–namely,thattheextentof thedivisionoflabourispositivelyrelatedtothesizeofthetradingnexus.That aspectisthesubjectofchapter3ofBook1.Smith’sfocusinthischapterseemsto bedirectedmainlyatgeography–andspecificallytheassociationbetweenthe superiorityofwatertransportandthelocationofproductionactivities.Butthere isamoregeneralmessage–thatthelevelofdevelopmenttendstoincreaseas thepopulationincreases.Thisistheso‐called“increasingreturns”aspectof Smith’sanalysis.28 ThisrelevanceofthiselementinSmith’saccountcanbeindicatedbyconsidering asimplecaseoftwoidenticalnationaleconomies–exhibitingthesameclimate, thesameindividualtalents,thesamepopulationsize,andhencethesamepre‐ traderelativepricesbetweenallgoods.TheRicardianapproachwouldseemto denythattherecouldbeanybasisatallfortradebetweenthesetwocountries: therearenorelativepricedifferencespre‐tradeandnocomparativeadvantage onwhichprofitablespecializationmightbebased.Butiftradebetweenthetwo economiesispermitted,thesizeofthetradingnexuswilldouble:andthat doublingpermitsamorerefineddivisionoflabour,whichwillinturnmorethan doubletotalrealoutput:realpercapitagdpwillincrease.Interestingly,this “increasingreturns”aspectofSmith’sdiscussionisnotafeatureof contemporarygeneralequilibriumtheory29,whichtends‐‐likeRicardo’s accountofcountryspecialization‐‐tobelodgedwithinaconstantreturnsto scalemodel. Nowwehavesaidthatthemarket‘makespossible’thedivisionoflabour.Butit seemsself‐evidentthatitwouldbepossibletohaveadivisionoflabourwithout amarket.Aplatoon‐commandermayallocatedifferenttaskstodifferentsoldiers –andiftheallocationofindividualstotasksisconstantovertime,thenthe benefitsofspecializationcanbeexpectedtoaccrue.Totakeanotherexample, thereisdisciplinaryspecializationwithintheorganizationofenquiry–afactthat Smithhimselfmentions: “…philosophyorspeculation…likeeveryotheremployment…issubdividedintoa greatnumberofdifferentbranches,eachofwhichaffordsoccupationtoapeculiar tribeorclassofphilosophers;andthissubdivisionofemploymentinphilosophy… improvesdexterityandsavestime.Eachindividualbecomesmoreexpertinhisown peculiarbranch…andthequantityofscienceisconsiderablyincreasedbyit.” WN.I.i.9] 28InHeath’saccount,hedistinguishes‘scale’from‘exchange’asdifferentmechanismsformutual advantage.Andhemightplausiblydrawthatdistinctioninrelationtogainsfromexchangeas suchandgainsfromspecialization.ForitiscertainlytruethatonSmith’saccount,thegainsfrom specializationincludeanimportantscaleelement.Butspecializationisamatterofthe organizationofproductionandtheorganizationinquestionmightbesubstantiallyindependent ofthenumberofagentstobesoorganized.Smithseesspecializationasanupshotofexchange; butasIsay,wecouldimagineexchangewithoutspecializationandspecializationwithout exchange.Andincreasesinscaleareonlyvaluableifthoseincreasesgiverisetoamorerefined divisionoflabour–somethingthatdoesnotseemtobealogicalnecessity. 29SeeforexamplePaulRomer(1987)andYang(2001)foramoredetaileddiscussion. Butthereisnonecessarypresumptionthattherelationsbetweenthevarious disciplines/“branches”aregovernedbymarketrelations. Equally,inastrictlyplannedeconomy,individualsmightbeassignedtodifferent tasksonarandombasis,butprovidedtheysticktothetaskstheyareassigned, benefitswillarise(providedthosetasksareconscientiouslyperformed).Tobe sure,theincreasedproductionthatissuesfromanysuchdivisionoflabourwill normallyinvolvetransfersofgoodsfromspecializedproducerstonon‐ specializedconsumers:noman,aswemightputit,livesbypinsalone!Butthere isnologicalrequirementthatsuchproducer/consumerrelationsneedbe mediatedbymarkets.Inasimilarmanner,bureaucratsmightbeassignedthe taskofdetectingtalentanddirectingindividualstoemploymentswheretheir productivecapacitiesarelikelytobegreater30.Suchaneconomywillpredictably producemoregoodsthaninanunder‐specializedone.Ofcourse,thereisa probleminanysuchplannedeconomyastohowtodeterminewhatexactlyisto beproduced;andhowmanyindividualsaretobeassignedtodifferenttasks31. Marketsdeterminetherequiredtransfersinthelightofthepreferencesof consumers–andeconomistsareinclinedtobelievethatsuchmarketprocesses areameansformaximizingconsumersatisfaction.Myobjecthereisnotto entertainadebateaboutthevirtuesorotherwiseofmarkets.Itissimplytoinsist thatthereisalogicaldistinctionbetweenfreeexchangeontheonehandand specializationontheother.Onecanhaveexchangewithoutspecialization–asin apure“manna”economy;andonecanhavespecializationwithoutexchange(as inthecontemporaryuniversity). Ofcourse,inthekindofcommercialsocietythatSmithdescribes,thereisboth specializationandmarketexchange;andwithincommercialsocietythese featuresaremutuallysupportive.Buttheyaresurelynotthesameactivity.Andit seemstobeSmith’sviewthattheprimaryelementinproducingthe“general plenty”(or“universalopulence”)whichheidentifieswitha“well‐governed (commercial)society”isthedivisionoflabour,notmarketexchangeassuch. Smithreferstoincreasesinproductivityfromthedivisionoflabourasbeingof theorderof4800‐fold(orperhaps240‐fold)inthecaseof“verytrifling” exampleofthepinfactory.WemighttakeitthatnothingintheRadford‘manna economy’offersgainsofanythinglikethismagnitude! LetmeattempttosummarizethisbriefdiscussionbyunderliningwhatItaketo bethecentralconclusions: 1. Therearegainsforexchangeassuch–buttheseoughttobedistinguished fromthegainsfromthedivisionoflabourwithwhichtheyareassociated inamarketorder; 2. OnSmith’sview,thegainsfromthedivisionoflabourarehugerelativeto thegainsfromexchangeassuch; 3. Thegainsfromthedivisionoflabour,becausetheyariseonthe productionsideofthemarket,are‘objective’–theycanbemeasuredin termsofincreasedoutput; 30RecruitsfortheBolshoiBalletweredeterminedbysuchaprocess 31Thatisthecentralthemeinthe‘socialistcalculationdebate’ 4. Thegainsfromexchangeassuchareessentiallysubjective.Their realizationdependsbothontherebeingdifferencesin preferences/desiresamongdifferentindividuals(inthepre‐exchange situation)andonindividualsbeingbroadly‘rational’intheirexchange behaviour. 5. Thereisadistinctionbetweenthoseanalystsofthe‘divisionoflabour’ whoattributegainstopre‐existing‘naturalphenomena’(differencesin preferences,orclimate,ornaturalresourcesornaturaltalents)andSmith whoseesspecializationasanendogenousprocessarisingincommercial society. 6. Relatedly,allbenefitsarisingincommercialsocietyissuefromrelevant differencesbetweenindividuals.Butsuchdifferencescanbe‘potential differences’:‘comparativeadvantage’canbeapre‐cursorofexchange,but itcanalsobearesultofit. Intheforegoingtreatmentofthe“gainsfromexchange”,IhavefollowedSmith ratherthanthekindoftreatmentonemightderivefromabasicEconomics textbook.Therearethreereasonsforthis.OneisthatSmith’saccountistheone thatBuchananhimselfendorsed.AsecondisthatSmith’sdiscussionisricherand moreinclusivethanthestandard‘constantreturnstoscale’account.Andathird isthatSmith’streatmentoffersastraightforwardexplanationoftheworld growthdatadescribedintheprevioussection:theorthodoxtextbooktreatment doesnot. IVExchangewithoutMutualGains Ifpartofthemotiveforaconcernwithexchangeisnormativeandifthe normativestatusofexchangehangsonthepropertythatbenefitsfromexchange accruetobothpartiestoatransaction,thenitisaswelltobeginby distinguishingthoseexchangesforwhichmutualityofbenefitappliesfromthose wheresuchmutualityisabsent–thecaseofpositive‐sumexchangesfrom (necessarily)zero‐sumones. Withintherationalchoicetradition,thefactthatanagentwishestoenterintoan exchangeisevidenceofabeliefthatthatagentholdstotheeffectthatthe exchangewillmakeherbetteroff.Butofcourse,theagentmaybemistaken.She mayholdfalsebeliefsaboutthequalitiesoftheobjectsheacquires.Andshemay holdfalsebeliefsevenifshehasacquiredtheoptimalamountofevidence32 concerningrelevantfacts.Andthoughmarketsmaythemselvesgosomewayto providinginformationaboutproductquality33,atleastsomepartiestoexchange, atleastsomeofthetime,mayhavetheirexpectationsaboutfuturebenefits disappointed. 32Theverynotionofthe“optimalamountofevidence”maynotbewell‐defined,sinceinmany casestheagentcannotknowthevalueofnewevidenceuntilshehasacquiredit.Thisisapoint emphasizedbyElster( 33ChoicemagazineandtheMichelinrestaurantguidearetwoexamplesofaphenomenonthatis quitewidespread. Onemightthinkthoughthatsuchoutcomesoccuronlybyaccident.Ofcourse, onemightsay,agentscanmakemistakesandberenderedworseoffbyan exchangethattheyexpectedtobebeneficial–butthegeneralcaseisonewhere partiesexpecttobenefitandtheirexpectationsarebroadlyrealized. Thereishoweveronefamiliarsettinginwhichthebasisofexchangeisitself constitutedessentiallybymutuallyexclusiveexpectations–namely,the exchangeofassetsonthestockexchange.Clearly,everytransactiononthestock exchangeinvolvesbothasellerandabuyer–andinvirtuallyeverysuch transaction,thebasisoftheexchangeliesinthefactofdivergentexpectations. Thebuyerbelievesthepriceofthestockpurchasedisgoingtogoupvis‐à‐vis othertradeableassets;andthesellerbelievesthatthepriceofthestockisgoing togodown.Ofcourse,therecanbecaseswheretheseller’sandbuyer’stime‐ profilesofconsumptiondiffer,orwherebothsellerandbuyerareseekinga “morebalanced”portfoliotohedgeagainstrisk(sothattheexchangeis consistentwithzeropricechangeexpectations).Butthepresenceofsuch motivesseemsincidental–notnecessary.Itseemsclearthatmosttradesin listedsharesreflectdifferingbeliefsaboutthesamefutureevent.Ifthebuyeris rightthesellerloses;ifthesellerisrightthebuyerloses.Bothcannotberight! Andbothpartiesmustknowthispriortoexchange:thisisacasewhereitis commonknowledgethattherecanbenomutualgainsfromexchange. Nowitisclearthatwhatevertheeconomistshaveinmindwhentheytalkofthe gainsfromexchange,thesekindsofsharetradesarenotit!Suchsharetradesare essentiallyzero‐sum.Andweshouldconcedethatmanytransactionshavean elementofdivergentexpectationsinthem.SoAdecidestosellhishousein locationLandpurchaseahouseinlocationMwhenheshiftshisplaceof employmenttofromLtoM.Butheislikelytobeinfluencedinthisrespectby whatheexpectshouse‐pricemovementstobeinLandMoverthenextlittle while.Inthatrespect,hisdecisionsabouttimingofsaleandperhapsthefactof saleitselfwillbedeterminedbyhisexpectations–aswillthoseofanypotential buyerofhisproperty.Theaggregateofsucheffectswillincorporateinconsistent beliefsamongsellersinLandMtosomeextent.Thereisa“winner’scurse” aspecttoanysuchtransactions.34 Framedinthelightofthe“divergentexpectations”viewofexchangerelevantfor stockmarkettransactions,theonusofproofwouldseemtoliewiththosewho (liketheeconomists)believethatmostmarketexchangeis“basically”apositive sumactivity.Andsuchproofneedstobecarefulinspecifyingwherethegains 34Consideranauctionamongn‐contendersforagivenobject(agivenhouseinagivenlocation say).Thehighestbiddermustacknowledgethathisownestimateofthehouse’svalueexceeds thatofallotherevaluatorsintheauction.Totheextentthattheevaluationsofothersaffectthe resalepriceofthepropertyandthatresalepriceisanobjectofconcerntothebuyer,thebuyeris saidtosufferfromthe“winner’scurse”.Notethatthe‘winner’scurse’presupposesthatan elementinevaluationisestimatingthevaluesofothers.Inamarketforobjectsacquiredforpure consumptionpurposes,theideathateachbuyergetsanobjectforwhichno‐oneelsewouldbe preparedtopayasmuchisafeaturenotjustofequilibriumbutalsoofmaximalpreference satisfaction:theso‐called‘winner’scurse’hereisa‘winner’sblessing’! fromexchangeariseandwhysuchgainsaremutual.Ifmanyimportant purchaseshaveanasset‐valueelement,thentheextentofmutualgainmustbe diminished. VMutuality? Itisaninterestingfeatureofthevocabularyof‘advantage’thatitalmostalways appearsinassociationwith‘mutuality’.Thatusagetendstogive‘advantage’a catallacticgloss–asifwheneverwetalkofadvantageinthesocialsetting,weare thinkingofmarkets35.SowhenRawlsdescribessocietyasa“cooperativeventure formutualadvantage”,itisnotentirelyclearwhatworktheterm“mutual”is supposedtodo.Isittodirectattentionspecificallytothebenefitsfrommarket transactionsthatthelawsdefiningbasicpropertyrightsandrulesofexchange support(andoncertainviewsareindispensiblefor)?Orisittosuggestthat,ina contractarianspirit,eachcitizenisinvolvedinanexchangewiththerestof societyfromwhichsheexpectstobenefit–orperhapsisevenguaranteedto benefit?InwhatwaywouldthespiritofRawls’descriptionbealteredifwewere toreferto“generaladvantage”–or“expectedadvantage”or“aggregate advantage”ratherthan“mutual”? Afterall,wecanimagineexchangesinwhichthereisaggregateadvantage–and inthatsenseexpectedadvantage–whereitiscommonknowledgethatthe advantagecannotbemutual.Bothpartiesknowthatoneofthemwilllose. ConsiderthecasewhereAandBarebothdyingofdifferentdiseases–oneofthe lungsandtheotheroftheheart.Eachmightplausiblyenterabargaininwhich eachagreestoa50/50chanceofgettingtheorganheneedsfromtheotherin exchangeforanequalchanceofhavingtogiveuphishealthyorgan.Sinceeachis goingtodieanyway,thisisagooddealforthemboth–inexpectedterms.There isapositivenetadvantageonthetable.Butbothknowthatasaresultofthis deal,oneofthemwilldie–presumablysomewhatearlierthanotherwise.So therecannotbemutualbenefit–justpositiveexpectedbenefitforeach. Thepointhereisthat,althoughinmostexchangesbothpartiescanknowthat eachwillbebetteroffinherownlightsasaresultoftheexchange,thatisnota necessaryfeature.Referenceto“mutualadvantage”suggeststhatitisa necessaryfeature.Ifthesocialcontractmayconceivablyleavesomepersons worseofftosomeextent,thentheterminologyofgeneraladvantageor aggregateadvantagewouldbemoreapt.Theterm“mutual”carriesthe implicationofnolosers.. AdamSmithexplicitlystateshisbeliefthatthe“opulence”associatedwith commercialsocietyis“universal”and“extendsitselftothelowestranksofthe people.”Thedivisionoflabourwithinthetradingnexusproducesa“general plenty[that]diffusesitselfthroughallthedifferentranksofthesociety.”[WN I.1.10]Referencetotheideaofmutualadvantageinassociationwiththegains 35JoeHeath(2006)complainspreciselyofthiscatallacticbiasinhisanalysisofthe“benefitsof (social)cooperation”. fromexchangemightleadonetothinkthatSmith’sclaimisananalytictruth.Itis not. Partoftheconfusionherearises,Ibelieve,fromatendencytothinkthatallthe gainsfromtypicalmarketexchangeareabsorbedwithoutremainderbythe partiestotheexchange.Thatisanimpressionperhapslenttodiscussionofthe distributionaleffectsofexchangebyNozick(whoIbelievesomewhererefersto marketexchangeas“commercialtransactionsbetweenconsentingadults”).The implicationofNozick’sremarkisthatthemarketisaninstitutionofentirely voluntaryactivity(andperhapsforthatreasona“morallyfreezone”asDavid Gauthierputsit).Butanymarkettransactionislikelytohaveeffectsonpersons otherthanthosewhoarepartytoit.Thereareresidualgainsandlossesthat reflectthefactthatthemarketisavastnetworkofinterdependencies,inwhich eachisconnectedinmultiplewaystoeachother.Perhapsinmanycasesthe interdependenciesaresosmallastobeundetectable.Nevertheless,insome casestheeffectsofparticularmarketexchangesarelargeandnegativeforsome people–eventhoughgainsmayexceedlossesacrosstheboard.Thatis,some specificexchangesareratherlikethelung/heartcase,thoughwithoutthe propertythatlosersconsentedtothedeal.Andonsomereadings,thesecasesare centraltothemarket’scapacitytodelivergeneraladvantage. Schumpeterisfamousfordescribingthemarketprocessasanexercisein “creativedestruction”.Whathehadinmindwasthatnewinventionsandnew technologiesservedbothtocreatenewopportunities–bettergeneral consumptionprospectsorcheapermeansofdoingthingsorboth–andinthe processdestroythevalueofassetsassociatedwitholderwaysofdoingthings. Suchprospectsforinnovationarejustoneaspectofthedivisionoflabour,as Smithexplains.Butwhensuchinnovationsoccurtheyoftenrenderobsolete(or significantlyreducethevalueof)thehumancapitalthatisassociatedwith currenttechnologies.Andofcoursesuchhumancapitalisalsoonesignificant aspectoftheadvantagesofthedivisionoflabour.Specialisationinvolvesthe acquisitionofskillsthataretosomeextentjob‐specific.Andinnovationwill typicallyleavesomeskillsredundant(oratleastgreatlyreducetheirvalue).The Ludditeswerealmostcertainlycorrecttothinkthattheintroductionofnew textile‐makingtechnologywouldreducetheirincomes.Totheextentthatthey believedlabour‐savingtechnologiesinaspecificindustryreducedthereal returnstolabourtoutcourttheywereprobablywrong.Butthatisnotnecessary toadmitthepointthatmanyvoluntarytransactions(egbetweentheinventorsof newmachinesandmill‐owner/managers)imposeentirelyinvoluntarylosseson specificindividuals.Thesuggestionthatthemarketisanarenaofgeneralized voluntarismistomakethemistakethatonlypartiestoanexchangeareaffected byit.Lotsoftransactionsinvolvesignificantlossesforsomeindividuals.Thatis thewaymarketswork. IoccasionallyremindmyDukestudentsthatwhenBuckDukeacquiredtheright touseJamesBonsack’smachineformakingready‐rolledcigarettes,hevery substantiallydiminishedthevalueofthehumancapitalthathadbeenacquired bythosewhohand‐rolledcigarettes.Theworkersinquestionsustainedthatloss entirelyinvoluntary. Onewayofputtingthepointistorecognizethatrightsinthemarketplace– rightstopropertyandrightstoexchange–arenotjustprotectionsfromcertain kindsoflosses(thoselossesthatmightbedescribedasrightsviolations).They arealsopermissionstoimposelosses.Thatsucharightsstructureinvolves generalbenefits(aseconomistshavelongargued–inmyviewtotally convincingly)doesnotestablishtheuniversalityoftheiradvantagesinany particularcase.Andwecannotperhapsevenruleouttheprospectthatsome individualsmightloseoverall–ascomparedwithsomeplausiblebenchmark. Theupshotoftheseobservationsisthat,whateveritisthatreferencesto “mutuality”ofadvantagearemeanttoconveyshouldnotbetakenatfacevalue. VIMutualAdvantageWithoutExchange In“TheProblemofSocialCost”,RonaldCoaseoffersanexampleofaroad intersection.Itwouldbepossibletoimagine,henotes,anauctioneeratevery suchintersectiontakingbidsastowhoshouldproceedfirstwhenprogressis contested.Thatwouldbeanexchangeprocessinafairlystandardsense.Each road‐userwouldpayapriceforproceeding;andthetrafficflowwouldbe determinedbytherankorderingofbids.36Whatevertheinstitutionaldetails, Coasepointsoutthatthisispreciselynotwhatweobserve.Wehavetrafficlights orgivewaysignsor“givewaytotheright”rulesorsomeotherprocedurefor determiningorderofproceeding–butnoneoftheseinvolvesadirectexchange process.Thereasonis,Coasetellsus,thatthetransactionscostsassociatedwith theauctioneersystem(andanyanalogousdirectexchangeprocess)arejusttoo large.Otherinstitutionalarrangementssubstituteforthemarket. ForCoase,thetrafficanalogyappliesmoregenerally–andspecifically,tocases wherepropertyrightsarecontested.Sosmokyfactoriesandnearbylaundries havetheirdisagreementssettledbythecourts.Tobesure,inthejudicial determinations,thejudgeissupposedtoworkouttheoutcomethatanidealized marketinthecontestedresourcewouldproduce(inthefactory/laundrycase, cleanair)andallocaterightsaccordingly‐‐soasto“minimizesocialcost”as Coaseputsit.Butbyhypothesis,themarketitselfcannothandlesuchsituations “efficiently”:thecourtdeterminationprocessistakentobemoreefficient. ThesamegeneralthoughtliesbehindCoase’s(1937)theoryofthefirm.Itwould, Coaseobserves,bepossibletoimagineamarketorderinwhichallrelations betweenallindividualsweremediatedbyexchanges.Soinsteadofapinfactory, wewouldobservethemultipletasksinpinmanufactureallbeingconductedby individualentrepreneur‐craftsmen.Themanwho“drawsoutthewire”would purchasetheinputstohisprocessandsellonthedrawnoutwiretothenext craftsman(the“straightener”inSmith’saccount)inthechain,whointurnsells thestraightenedandextendedwireontothecutter,whosellstothepointer, 36Therewouldhavetobechargesmadeinordertoensurethatbidsreflectedgenuine preparednesstopay. whosellstotheheadgrinderandsoon.Butthatisnottheprocesswetendto observe.Ratherwesee“firms”inwhichtherelationsbetweendifferenttasksare coordinatedandsupervisedbyaspecialistmanagerwhooperatesnotvia purchasebutbyissuinginstructionsandmonitoringeffort.Thetransactions costsimposedbythemarketarrangementaretoohigh(atleastrelativetothe administrativealternative).Hencefirmsoperateinaseaofmarketrelations;but relationswithineachfirmarenotthemselvesmarketrelations.Norarethey exchangerelationsinanydirectsense. Butaretheyexchangerelationsinsomeindirectsense?Buchananclearly thoughtso.Hethoughtthatthesenon‐marketinstitutionscould(andshould)be analysedthroughanexchangelens.So,thoughthelawoperatesviadirectives andthoughpoliticsoperatesviaapparentlycoercivefiscalandregulatory procedures,theycanbothbethoughtofasexchangeprocessesinabroader sense.Butisthisanymorethanobservingthatsuchprocessescanbetothe generaladvantageofparticipantsinthem?Inotherwords,isBuchanansimply ridingrough‐shodoveranypossibledistinctionbetweenexchangeandgeneral advantage?Afterall,itisacharacteristicfeatureofcourtdeterminationsthatone partywinsandtheotherlosesinanycase.Equally,inpoliticsitwilloftenbethe casethatspecificgroupsloseout(andsometimesloseoutconsistently)even whentheypossessfranchiseandvoice.Sowhereasitisanecessaryfeatureof ordinary37marketexchangethattwopeoplebenefit,itseemsthatinpoliticsand inlawoneperson(orgroup)benefitsandotherslose.Thisisnottodenythat overtheaggregateofmanysuchtransactionstheremaybenetbenefitstoalmost allparticipants:theclaimissimplythatsuchtransactionsarenotthemselves instancesof‘exchange’relations. VIIMutualAdvantageNecessarilywithoutExchange Intheprevioussection,Ilaidoutsomecaseswheregeneraladvantagecouldbe thoughtofasarisingwithoutexchangeassuch.Theclaimatstaketherewas: exchangeisnotnecessaryforgeneraladvantage.Andweestablishedinsection IIIthatexchangeisnotsufficientforthemutualadvantageofexchangingparties –evenwherethereisnoforceorfraud.InthissectionIwanttomakeastronger claim–namelythattherearesomecasesofgeneraladvantageinwhich exchangeisnecessarilynotinvolved. Iwanttocitetwoexamples.Thefirstisacaseinwhichtheterm“exchange”is oftenused–andwhereeconomistssometimesmisreadthefactofcontingent reciprocitytoinduceacaseofstandardquid‐pro‐quothinking.Ihaveinmind “giftexchange”–andwillbeginwiththesimplecaseofChristmascards. Somebroadfacts.PeoplesendChristmascardsandrecipientsliketogetthem. Interestingly,thepeoplewhoyousendChristmascardstoareprettymuchthe samepeoplewhosendthemtoyou.Moreover,ifsomeoneceasestosendyoua cardforafewyears,thenyoutendtoallowthosepeopletofalloffyourownlist. 37Iamtreatingtheorganexchangeexampleoutlinedearlierasan‘extraordinary’exchange. Soasaroughempiricalgeneralization,wecandescribeChristmascard “exchange”asacontingentlyreciprocalactivity:itlookslikeaquid‐pro‐quo, muchlikemarketexchangesare.AndIhavebeenpresentinseminarswhen economistshavetriedtoanalysetheChristmascardcaseinexactlytheseterms. WiththeobviousRohanAtkinsoninterpretationthat,ifwhatyouwantistoget lotsofChristmascards,thebestthingtodoistosendthemtoyourself. Itseemstomeself‐evidentthattheexchangeofChristmascardsisasignalthat thepartiesstandinacertainkindofrelationship.Thesignalisofcourseinternal tothepartiesinvolvedinsuchexchange.Butitishardlysurprisingthat,ifoneof thepartiesdecidesthatshedoesn’tsharethatrelationship,thentheotherwill soonfeelthatitisinappropriatetosignalthattherelationshipisintact.Ittakes twototango! Ofcourseitmaybethatpeopleareself‐deceptive.Theymayliketofeelthatthey havelotsoffriends.Andtwosuchself‐deceptivepersonsmightcontinueto exchangeChristmascardsnotbecausetheysharetherelationshipbutbecause theyliketothinktheydo.Andequally,peoplewhovisityourhouseandview yourextensivearrayofcardsmaybeimpressedbyhowmanyfriendsyouhave! Sotwopartiesmaycontinuetoexchangecardseventhoughtherelationshipthey attesttoisnotpresent.Butdoingthisis,initsownlittleway,deceptive–itfree ridesonandeventuallycorruptsaninstitutionthatisotherwisemeaningful. InthissensetoviewChristmascardreceiptinquidproquotermsseemstoget somethingdeeplywrong.Icannotsaytoyou:“SendmeacardwhichIwant,and youshallgetfromacardwhichyouwant”:thatwouldbejusttomistakewhat thecardissupposedtosignify. Ortakearelatedpracticeofthedinner‐partyculture.We(mywifeandI,inthis case)acceptyourinvitationfordinner;andsowefeelanobligationsubsequently toinviteyoutodinner.Butthisisbecausethedinner‐partycultureisreciprocal. Iliketohavedinnerconversationandenjoygoodfoodandwinewithyou;buton theassumptionthatyouenjoytodothiswithme.Ifprovidinggoodfoodand winewereviewedasameansofsecuringyourcompany,withoutanyongoing presumptionsofreciprocity,itisdoubtfulwhetherthepracticewillcontinue. Certainly,ifattheendoftheeveningIgotoutmycheckbookandpaidyoufor thefoodandwine(includingproperallowanceforthelabourinvolvedin preparation)youwouldthinkIhaddonesomethingoutrageous‐‐thatIhad misunderstoodthenatureofaprevailingnormanddonesomethingseriously insulting38. Butwhyshoulditbethought“insulting”?Becauseingeneralpaymentsincashof thekindthatoperateinmarkets–andmarketexchangesmoregenerally–are obligation‐obliterating.OnceyouhavewhatyouwantandIwhatIwant,eachcan contentedlywalkaway.Thereis,astheysay,“closure”.ButItakeitthat,inthe giftexchangecase,althoughreciprocalobligationscanbecreated,theyarenot 38Aninterestingfeatureofsuchgiftrelationshipsisthatthecurrencyofexchangeseemstoplay acriticalrole.Undernormalcircumstances,givingcashforChristmasgiftsisdecidedly‘tacky’. totallyobliteratedwhenthereciprocalactionisundertaken.Ratherfulfilmentof theobligationsimplyrecreatesareciprocalobligation.“WemusthavetheX’s over:I’mprettysureit’sourturnandit’sbeenquiteawhilesincewelastateat theirplace.” Ofcourse,therearecultureswheregiftrelationshipsdodoubleduty:theyboth signifyarelationshipandtheysubstituteformoreformalmarket‐like mechanismsofexchange.Insuchcases,thedistinctionbetweensignifyinga relationshipandthedesireforquidproquointhemakingofgiftsmaysimplybe unclear.Butinatleastsomecases,thedistinctionisclear–eventhough objectivepropertieslikethefactofreciprocityispresentinbothcases.Andin suchcases,characterizingthe‘giftexchange’asjustaratherclunkyformof ‘marketexchange’getssomethingseriouslywrong. Thesecondexampleisdrawnfromthe‘economyofesteem’.Inmanysituations (thoughnotall39),thedesireforesteem(andtoavoiddisesteem)operatesasan incentivethatinducesindividualstobehaveinwaysthataregenerally advantageous–forexample:tobeprofessionallyconscientious;tobehonest;to begenerous;tobeof“goodcharacter”.Tosomeextent,theincentiveisstrictlyto appeartobethesethings.Butinsomecases,actingsoastoevincethegood featureisalmostasdesirableasactuallypossessingthatgoodfeature40.And arguably,thebeststrategyforreliablyevincingthegoodbehaviouristo internalizetherelevantdisposition(soesteemconsiderationscreateincentives atthelevelofdispositionacquisitionaswellasaction). Takeacasewheretheeffectsarepositiveoverall,sothatesteemincentives promoteactionthatisgenerallyadvantageous.Esteem(ordisesteem)isan attitude;andmoreoveranattitudethatisnotentirelyunderthe‘supplier’s control.Assuchitcannotbeboughtorsold.Icannotsaytoyou:“thinkwellofme andIwillgiveyousomethingyouwant”.Esteemcanofcoursebeearned–by performingtheactionsthatpeoplegenerallyapproveof.Indeedesteemcanonly beearnedinthisway41.However,differentaudiencesplacedifferentvalueson differentactivitiesanddifferentindividualsmayhaveratherdifferentjudgments astohowyourperformanceranks.Sodifferentpeoplewillesteemyoumore ratherthanless;andequallyyouwillesteemdifferentpeopledifferently.Soone oftheeffectsofthedesireforesteemisthatindividualswilltendtolocateamong audiencesthatthinkrelativelyhighlyofthem.Andsincethisistrueofeach,then therewillbeatendencyforanygroupofindividualstoself‐organizeinto “mutualadmirationsocieties”.Iamamemberof(say)yourphilosophy departmentbecauseyouareinclinedtothinkwellofmywork;andyouarea memberofminebecauseItendtothinkwellofyours.Suchapatternofself‐ organizationismutuallyadvantageous:ifesteemisanobjectofdesire,eachis 39Peerpressureseemstobeinplayinexplainingbehaviorinstreetgangsandterroristgroups wheretheexpresspurposeisanti‐socialaction. 40Thoughtobemotivatedinternallytoactasvirtuerequiresispresumablymorerobust:it remainsoperativewhentheselfistheonlyobserver. 41Acaveat:esteemcanalsobeearnedifpeoplecometobelievethatyoubehavedinanestimable way–andthatbeliefcouldconceivablybefalse. betteroffinthepondwhereothersesteemherrelativelyhighly.Therewillbe greaterdesiresatisfactioninsuchaworldthaninonewhereindividualsare distributedacrosssociallocationsrandomly.Anditmayseemasif,withinthe mutualadmirationsociety,eachesteemsothermembersbecausetheyesteem her. Butthegeneraladvantagethatarisesfromsuchself‐organizationcannotcome aboutbyexplicitquidproquo.Themotiveformyesteemingyoucannotlieinthe factthatifIdoso,youwillesteemme.Thereisnoexchangeofesteeminthat quidproquosense.Theveryideaofmyesteemingyouonlyifyouesteemmein returnisludicrousEachmustesteemtheotherforindependentreasons.Here thenisacasewherethereismutualadvantage–butthepresenceofthatmutual advantagedependsontheabsenceofexchange.42 VIIISummaryandConclusions Amongthemotivesforan“exchangefocus”ineconomics,oneimportantone,I believe,isthedesiretoemphasizethepositivesumpossibilitiesinsocial interactions.Thatis,atleast,amajormotivationforBuchanan–whohasbeen oneofthemoreexplicitdefendersoftheexchangeparadigmwithineconomics. Onthisbasis,theaiminthecurrentpaperhasbeentoexploretherelation betweenexchangeandtheso‐called“gainsfromexchange”.Asapreliminary,I havedefinedexchangeinSmithiantermsbyreferencetothepresenceofaquid proquoinbilateralrelations.AndIhaveattemptedtoindicatethescaleofthe general“gains”inquestion–whatevertheirprecisesource–byagestureatthe fateofthehumanspeciesoverthelastthreehundredyears. LikeHeath(2006)Ihavebeeninclinedtodistinguishbetweenthegainsfrom exchangeassuchandgeneralizedgainsthatarisefromotherprocesses.But unlikeHeathandunlikemosteconomists,Ihaveinthisconnectiondrawna distinctionbetweenthegainsfromexchangeassuchandgainsfrom specialization(thedivisionoflabour).Intheprocess,Ihavetriedtoemphasize twoaspectsofSmith’saccountofthedivisionoflabourwhichdistinguishesit fromotheraccountsfamiliarintheliterature–mostparticularlyAristotle’sand Ricardo’s.Specifically,Smith’saccountemphasizesthe‘increasingreturns’ aspectsofspecializationandthefactthatoverasubstantialrangespecialization emergesfromtheexchangeprocessratherthanfrom‘naturaldifferences’in individualtalents. Partofmyagendaherehasbeentoestablishthelogicalconnectionsbetween exchangeandthegeneralgainstypicallyassociatedwiththeexchangeprocess. Tothatend,Iemphasizethatexchangethatarisesfromdifferencesinbeliefs aboutthefuturecourseofrelevantpricesisquiteunlikeBuchanan’s“simple exchangeofapplesandorangesbetweentwotraders”inthatintheformercase, oneorotherofthepartieswilllosefromtheexchange.Therearenomutual 42AnextendedtreatmentofesteemisofferedinBrennanandPettit(2004). gainsonofferhereandthisfactcanberecognizedbybothparties.Indeed,the gainsandlossesfromsuchtransactionsexactlycancel.So,exchange(entirely voluntaryandnon‐fraudulent)doesnotlogicallyentailgainsfromexchange. Ithenturntotheissueof“mutuality”ofgains.Iarguethattheideaof“mutual advantage”thatisoftendeployedinrelationtothebenefitsofsocialinteraction (followingRawlsperhaps)ismisleading:itsuggests,ontheonehand,that marketexchangeisthemainexemplarofthosebenefits,andontheotherthat marketexchangeaffectsonlythepartiestotheexchangeandisthereforeafully voluntaryprocess.Myobjectistoputpressureonthesecondofthoseclaims.I thinkitispatentlyfalse–asalittlesimplereflectionshows.Iconcludefromthis that,whileitmaybelegitimatetorefertogeneraladvantage,itismisleadingto refertomutualadvantageasifeveryonewereabeneficiaryfromeachinstance of‘exchange’;orasifexchangeprocessesassuchensurethatoverasequenceof instancesofexchangeallwillbenefit. InsectionVI,Iofferanumberofexamples–familiarintheeconomicsliterature –ofgeneralgainsthatdonotdependonexchangeinthesensemosteconomists usethatterm.ButIthinkastrongerclaimcanbemadethantheseexamples suggest.Ithinktherearecasesinwhich‘exchange’ofthestandardkindwould obliteratethegainsthepartiesmightstandtomake(inthiscase‘mutualgains’). Onesuchexampleisthecaseofreciprocalgift‐givingwherethegivingisasignal oftherelationshipthatthereciprocatorsstandin.Anotherinvolvesthegiving andreceivingofesteem–andinparticularthepossibilityof‘mutualadmiration’ relations,whereesteemhappenstobereciprocalbutwhereanyesteemgiven hastobeindependentofesteemreceived. TheconclusionIcometoisthatthereisnologicallynecessaryconnection betweenexchangeontheonehandandthegeneralbenefitsthatBuchanan characteristicallyreferstoas“gainsfromexchange”ontheother.Tosaythisisof coursenottodenythatexchangeandthedivisionoflabourwithwhichitis associatedarethemostsignificantsourcesofgeneraladvantage‐‐asan empiricalmatter.Inthatsense,myargumenthereremainsagnosticonthe questionastowhethertheemphasison“gainsfromtrade/exchange”involvesa “catallacticbias”(asHeathclaims).Butanempiricalclaimrequiresempirical evidence;andtheupshotoftheargumentshereisthattheneedforsuch empiricscannotbefinessedbyappealstologicalone. 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