Geothermal Express Consultants Ltd. Attila Kujbus Managing Director Geothermal Potential in the Pannonian Basin Renewable Heating&Cooling Technology Platform 2nd Annual Conference, Budapest, 5 May 2011 Contents 1. Geological background, review of the geothermal potential by isothermal maps 2. Opportunities of geothermal heating&cooling developments by reviewing technological opportunities 3. Evaluation of the Hungarian Renewable Energy Action Plan 4. Heating and cooling market segments 2 Geological opportunities in the Pannonian Basin Temperatures of Europe in 5000 meter depth (EGEC) Geothermal potential in Europe (EGEC) 3 120oC isothermal map related to sea level in meter 4 160oC isothermal map related to sea level in meter 5 200oC isothermal map related to sea level in meter 6 Summary from the isothermal maps Temperature oC Min. depth m Max. depth m Min. H&C power, MWth per well Max. H&C power, MWth per well 80 1200 1500 2 4 120 1800 2200 4 8 160 2600 3200 6 12 200 3600 4200 8 16 • The geothermal potential is higher than the European average • The geothermal gradient is 55 oC/km in the 75% of the Hungarian area an also in the majoríty area of the Pannonian Basin. • Based on the geothermal potential, almost the whole area of Hungary is prospective for geothermal energy exploration, as well as competitive heating&cooling energy production. • Natural or artificial reservoirs, deeper than 3000 m, can be prospective to supply thermal heat for geothermal power plants as well. 7 Key technical data to evaluate the geothermal potential Distribution and temperature of thermal wells in Hungary Source: VITUKI, Hungarian Water Science Research Institute, 2007 Calculated Load factor is 0.44 (A. Tóth, 2010) Water temperature 50-60 oC 60-70 oC 70-80 oC 80-90 oC 90-100 oC Thermal power per well 3.12 3.80 5.47 6.07 8.57 >100 oC 11.50 Source: Hungarian Country Update, Dr. Anikó Tóth, 2010 8 Opportunities of geothermal H&C development Depth in Plant model, PannonnianB MWth asin (m) Thermal water temperature range (oC) Average power (MWth) Number of installed production wells Total power (MWth) 1–3 500 – 1000 50 – 70 2 100 200 2–4 1000 – 1500 70 – 90 3 100 300 3–6 1500 – 2000 80 – 120 4.5 60 270 6 – 12 2000 – 2500 100 – 140 9 20 180 Electric pp > 2500 70 - 90 3 30 90 3.7 310 1140 Total The geothermal potential of the Pannonian Basin prove that the Hungarian Renewable Energy Action Plan 2020 is feasible, more ambitious objectives would also be feasible. 9 Segments of the geothermal heat production Main segments of the geothermal heat production: • ground source heat pumps (30oC – 60oC range), • direct heat sales with thermal water production (60oC – 120oC range), • heating part from outlet temperature of CHP electricity production (the range from 70oC – 90oC to 40oC – 60oC ). Further partial segments • wide range cascade systems, • hybrid systems with conventional energy resources (combined with old HC field production), • hybrid systems with other renewable energy resources (biomass, biogas, etc.) • heat storage. 10 Utilization of hydrocarbon wells 8000 hydrocarbon wells were drilled in the latest 80 years. More than 60% are abandoned and numerous have good geothermal potential. Distribution of hydrocarbon wells In the latest years exploration projects determined several advantages and constraints of the utilization of existing wells. Disadvantages Not optimal location for geothermal purposes and small diameter Often old wells with incomplete documentation Cement column is often not appropriate No temperature insulation Prospective wells are far from heat market Advantages Lower well cost for each existing well Often existing infrastructure Existing core samples Well files; information 11 The development of geothermal energy heating&cooling program depends on Research&Development geothermal exploration reinjection technologies sustainability Regulations consequent legislation licensing processes Macroeconomic background end of the World Crisis financial resources for renewable energy programs EU and Government subsidies innovation programs risk management programs. 12 Thank you for your attention! Attila Kujbus Managing Director Geothermal Express Consultant Ltd. 26/B. Hant str. Budapest, H-1223 Fax: + 36 1 238 0817 Cell.: +36 70 618 1824 E-mail: [email protected]
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