Short Selling on the NYSE James J. Angel Georgetown University Room G4 Old North Washington, D.C. 20057 (202) 687-3765 Current Draft: October 27, 1997 I wish to thank seminar participants at NYU, Georgetown University, and the Financial Management Association meetings for helpful comments, and I wish to thank Georgetown University and the Georgetown University Center for Business and Government Research for funding assistance. Short Selling on the NYSE Abstract: Despite centuries of controversy, little has been known about who engages in short selling and the impact of short sales on stock prices. Index arbitrage trades represent a much higher percentage of short sales than regular sales, while individuals do relatively less short selling, except in the smaller stocks. The uptick rule impedes short sales over 90 percent of the time and reduces the number of short sale orders during periods of rapid price decline. Short sales have less impact than regular short sales on subsequent bid quotes and the same impact on offer quotes. Short Selling on the NYSE He that sells what isn't his'n, Must buy it back, or go to prison. - Daniel Drew, circa 1875 (via White (1910, page 180)) Short selling, the sale of a security for which delivery is made with a borrowed security, has long been controversial in financial markets. Many short sellers engage in the practice to profit from an anticipated decline in price, but this is not necessarily the case for all short sales. Market makers often short stock as part of their normal market making activities. Some short sellers may be hedging the price risk of long positions in other assets such as convertible securities. Others may be arbitraging price differences between cash stocks and stock index futures contracts. Still others may be shorting securities that they already own (shorting "against the box"), for tax purposes.1 Despite the long controversy over short selling, along with outright bans or other restrictions on the practice, little is known about who actually engages in short selling and what impact short sales have on financial markets. This paper documents several interesting features of short sales. Contrary to the image of the bearish speculator, index arbitrage and program trading activity comprise almost half of the short orders placed and over a third of the short order volume placed through the NYSE SuperDot system. Individuals generally engage in less short selling than other investor types. Even though short selling comprises approximately eight percent of total reported sales (NYSE (1996)), little is known about how the short sale process affects security prices. Does a short 1 sale convey more or less information than a regular sale? It is tempting to think that short sellers may be better informed than other investors, and that, measured by the impact on price, a short sale should convey more information than a regular sale does. However, the opposite is true: short sale orders have the same or significantly less effect on subsequent quotes and trades than do regular sale orders. Little has also been known about the empirical impact of the uptick rule, which prohibits short sales at prices lower than the previous trade. This study documents that it allows an immediate market short sale only an average of 6.8 percent of the time, and that it does indeed seem to result in less short sales during periods of rapid market decline. The next section chronicles some of the historic and current restrictions on short selling and then looks at previous academic research. Section II describes the NYSE order data used for this study, while Section III describes the results. I. The History of Short Selling: Restrictions and Prior Research A. Restrictions on Short Selling Traditionally, critics of short selling have blamed it for destabilizing stock prices and causing price declines, especially by facilitating "bear raids." As NYSE economist J. Edward Meeker (1932, page 115), points out, "The agitation against short selling of securities seems a perennial affair, and naturally exhibits itself most strongly after some panic or sharp break in prices has occurred." This observation holds true for the current era, in which the 1991 crash of the Japanese market gave rise to complaints about short selling by foreign institutions, as reported by Wada (1992). Other arguments against the practice, on moral grounds, assert that selling what is not owned 2 is wrong, or that short selling is just a form of gambling.2 This moral distrust of the practice along with the fear that it disrupts markets have led to numerous attempts to ban or restrict short selling. As far back as 1610, the Dutch banned short selling at the request of the East India Company, which blamed short selling for declines in its share price.3 The law was widely flouted, so in 1689 the Dutch government instead imposed a tax on the profits from short sales. In the 18th and 19th centuries, short selling was banned at various times in England, France, and Germany. Again, these rules were seldom enforced, and traders found that they could easily evade them. In the United States in 1812, New York State imposed an ineffective ban on short sales. Curiously enough, even though laws had been enacted for over 200 years against selling securities that were not owned, the phrase short selling did not come into use until the 1850s, according to Zweig (1991). During World War I, the warring powers banned short selling on their stock exchanges, both to prevent enemy agents from disrupting security markets and to prevent speculative excesses. In September 1931, the turmoil surrounding England's decision to abandon the gold standard led the NYSE to ban short selling, but it reversed the ban after only two days. During the financial convulsions of the 1930s, there was widespread debate on the merits of short selling, culminating in the issuance of Rules 10a-1 and 10a-2 by the Securities and Exchange Commission. The "uptick" rule prohibits a short sale in an exchange-listed stock if it would result in a price lower than the last trading price.4 But this rule, too, can be avoided, through overseas trading or through trading in options.5 The original uptick rule did not apply to OTC or Nasdaq stocks. Recently the SEC (1994) approved an experimental "bid-test" rule for Nasdaq stocks that prohibits short sales at prices at or below the inside bid when that price is lower than the previous inside bid. Short selling is still generally restricted in Asia, according to Evans (1993). Short selling is 3 possible for Japanese securities, but much of the lendable supply of Japanese securities is held outside Japan. Restrictions on short selling have just been relaxed in Hong Kong; most Asian nations, however, still severely restrict it. In addition to the uptick rule in the United States, a variety of other regulations restrict short selling. In general, retail investors do not earn interest on the proceeds of short sales, and must post additional margin to protect the lenders of securities from losses.6 Larger investors can negotiate partial use of the proceeds. The brokerage firm will keep part of the interest on the proceeds to cover its expenses, which include fees paid to the lender of the securities. Stock lending fees vary according to the relative scarcity of the security. A large and liquid U.S. stock such as ATT may command a fee of about 10-20 basis points of the value, while a foreign equity may cost 300 or more basis points.7 The supply of securities available for shorting can also be problem, especially for institutional investors who wish to trade in size. Much of the supply of securities available for lending comes from brokerage firm margin accounts. Thus, stocks that are not marginable under Federal Reserve rules may be more difficult to find.8 Hansell (1992) reports that only about 600 to 800 stocks out of a universe of 6,000 domestic stocks are readily available for borrowing in the amounts sought by institutional investors. Some issues that are popular among short sellers may be particularly Ahard-toborrow@ as described by Kansas (1994). Tax rules can also impede the process, especially in countries that impose dividend withholding taxes, since in those countries the shorts may be responsible for the gross dividend instead of the net dividend.9 Furthermore, numerous investors are prohibited from making short sales. The charters of many mutual funds and closed-end investment companies prohibit short sales. Pension plans 4 governed by ERISA may worry that short investments will not be considered "prudent" and avoid them. One might expect that these restrictions on short selling by institutions would leave individuals and brokerage firms trading for their own accounts the major short sellers. Individuals, however, also face restrictions: short sales are generally prohibited in IRA accounts, and individuals usually do not earn interest on the proceeds of their short sales. Thus, it is an empirical question as to which type of investors are most active on the short side of the market. B. Previous Research on Short Selling Despite the centuries of controversy, there has been surprisingly little empirical work on short sales, although much theoretical work has explored the implications for asset pricing models of restrictions on short selling.10 Although market lore suggests that many apparent inefficiencies in the market are caused by the restrictions on short selling, Diamond and Verrecchia (1987) demonstrate theoretically that restrictions on short selling do not bias prices upward.11 Miller (1977, 1987, 1990), on the other hand, claims that short sale restrictions lead to upward biases in security prices: Since investors have differences of opinion, prices will be set by the most optimistic investors. Short sale restrictions keep the most pessimistic investors from trading upon their beliefs, biasing prices upward. Despite a scarcity of relevant data, over the years there have been some empirical studies on short selling. Macaulay and Durand (1951) use NYSE data from the 1930s to investigate the impact of short selling on prices. They conclude that short selling did not cause advances or declines in the overall market, but that a large increase in the short position for a given stock was correlated with greater price volatility for the stock. Most of the published studies have used the information on short interest in individual stocks which is published once a month in the Wall Street Journal, and is 5 also contained in Standard and Poor's Daily Stock Price Record.12 Figlewski (1981) constructs portfolios based on this data for 414 of the S&P 500 companies from 1973 to 1979 and finds that the portfolios with high short interest positions produced substantially lower returns than did the portfolios with low short interest positions. Asquith and Meulbroek (1995) also find that higher short interest is associated with lower subsequent returns. Peterson and Waldman (1984) combine the short interest data with IBES data and conclude that differences of opinion, as expressed in the dispersion of earnings forecasts, lead to increases in short selling. Brent, Morse, and Stice (1990) find that high beta stocks and stocks with options or convertible debt have higher levels of short interest, and that a seasonal pattern occurs that is "weakly consistent" with tax-loss selling. They find that changes in short interest do not help to explain stock returns in the following month. Choie and Hwang (1994) also use the short interest data and find that stocks with relatively large short interest underperform the S&P 500 ten days prior to the publication of the information and for 20 days afterward. Woolridge and Dickenson (1994) find that short sellers do not earn abnormal returns and provided additional by increasing short positions when markets were going up. The Securities and Exchange Commission (1963, 1976) has conducted its own studies from time to time on short sales. The Commission's 1963 Special Study concludes that the uptick rule does not prevent short sellers from selling in a down market, since there are enough upticks even in a down market for significant short activity to occur. The study recommends stronger restrictions on short selling. However, in 1976 the SEC proposed an experiment (which was never conducted) of temporarily abolishing the uptick rule to see what would happen. Former SEC commissioner Irving Pollack (1986) conducted a study for the NASD, finding that short interest in Nasdaq securities is usually lower than for exchange-listed stocks, and that short interest represented less than one percent 6 of the outstanding shares for about 80 percent of all Nasdaq stocks, as opposed to about 76 percent for exchange-listed stocks. Other empirical work has used data on aggregate short positions, in particular the specialists' short sales ratio, which is the ratio of short sales by stock exchange specialists to all short sales, published weekly in Barrons' "Market Laboratory."13 Reilly and Whitford (1982) find no predictive power in the specialists' short sales ratio, although Bowlin and Rozeff (1987) claimed that average stock returns are higher in periods following low values of the ratio than in periods following lower values. Bhattacharya and Gallagher (1991) also apply causality tests to the specialists' short sales ratio and find that short sales by specialists lead other short sales, but that because of the time lag in publication, other investors cannot profit from this information. The NYSE (1996) itself publishes a few statistics about short selling in its annual Fact Book. Short sales represent about 8.1 percent of reported 1995 sales volume. Member firms (including specialists) trading for their own accounts accounted for 53.7 percent of these short sales and specialist firms made 36.2 percent of them. However, the Fact Book provides little beyond these broad statistics. II. Data on Short Sale Orders Submitted to the NYSE This study of short selling uses SuperDot orders from the NYSE TORQ database that identifies which orders were short. The database contains data for 144 NYSE firms from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. These firms comprise approximately 15 firms from each market capitalization decile of the NYSE. The data include not only the trades and quotes familiar to 7 microstructure researchers through the ISSM database, but also information on orders that were transmitted to the NYSE through the electronic SuperDot system. The order information contains the time each order was placed; whether the order was to buy, sell, sell short, or cancel a previous order; the order size in number of shares, the limit or stop price if applicable; and information identifying the account type that placed the order.14 Furthermore, the file contains the execution history of each order: whether the order was executed, and if so when, as well as the price and number of shares of each part of the order. This study seeks to document facts about the effects of these short sales. The questions asked include: Who places short orders? How do short orders differ from other sales? What is the price impact of a short order and how does it compare with a regular sale? In addition to regular buy and sell orders, the data set identifies short orders, and includes tick-sensitive orders such as buy-minus and sell-plus orders.15 Short sales exempt from the short-sale restrictions, such as short sales by odd-lot dealers, are also identified. Contrary to widespread belief, neither trades by the NYSE specialist nor most trades by index arbitrageurs, are exempt from the uptick rule.16 This data also reveal the account type which placed each order, although the specific identity of each trader is not revealed. Specifically, the data identifies whether an order is for an individual, a proprietary order for the account of the brokerage firm, or an agency order in which the brokerage firm is an agent for an institutional investor or another brokerage firm. Accounts engaged in index arbitrage or other program trading are also identified. This information is missing for approximately six percent of the orders. Appendix 1 contains a more complete description of the account type information. 8 These results are for orders placed through the NYSE SuperDot system and do not reflect orders handled outside the SuperDot system, such as orders hand processed on the NYSE floor or orders sent to regional exchanges. Since the size of orders that can be handled through the SuperDot system is limited, the orders studied here are smaller than average NYSE orders. Conversations with specialists on the New York, Boston, and Pacific stock exchanges revealed no evident pattern of bias in the types of short orders that are executed through the SuperDot system, although the regional specialists indicated they did not see many short orders. It should be noted as well that the order file contains orders that were sent to the NYSE as opposed to actions by the NYSE specialist; thus short sales made by the specialist are not included. The short sale orders examined here represent a relatively pure and homogeneous set of nonspecialist orders that have not been subject to special handling like large orders that are "worked" on the floor. One potential problem with the data is that some trades marked as short sales may not actually have been short sales. Some firms with multiple trading desks may not know for certain if they are net long or short, and they may mark some sell trades as short so that they do not run afoul of the identification requirements for short sales and the uptick rule. Other investors may want to sell stock only on an uptick and so mark the trade as a short sale, even though they fully intend to deliver stock that they own for settlement. Although it is possible to enter such a tick-sensitive order as a sell-plus order, at that time the software systems at some firms could not handle sell-plus orders. For these reasons, the number of short sales reported may overstate the true number of short sales conducted on the NYSE. 9 III. Results This study addresses the following areas: A. Identities of Short Sellers The account type data indicate that index arbitrage orders were a larger fraction of short orders than of overall orders, and that individuals were under represented in the ranks of the short sellers. All of the 674,405 regular way orders in the TORQ database were examined for all 144 firms in the database. Table I presents frequency breakdowns of the orders, by order and customer type, and Table II presents the results for volume. Short sales were 4.8 percent of the total SuperDot orders (6.8 percent of order volume) submitted to the NYSE, which is 10.2 percent of the total sell orders (13.8 percent of total sell volume). Note that exempt short sales were a negligible fraction (.09 percent) of the total SuperDot sale orders. Over one-third of the short orders and over onefourth of the short volume were a result of index arbitrage trades conducted for brokerage firms= own accounts. Individuals were responsible for only 11.3 percent of the total short orders, even though they placed 46.1 percent of the total orders through the SuperDot system. Agency orders were also Please insert Tables I and II approximately here. a higher fraction of the short orders than the overall order mix. An interesting trading pattern appears across deciles of market capitalization. Table III displays the relative frequencies of short orders placed by each account type in each capitalization decile. Results in the largest decile mirror the overall results: Index arbitrageurs were the largest 10 users of short SuperDot orders, while individuals were under represented. As market capitalization decreases, index arbitrage trades placed by brokerage firms represented over half of the short sale orders in the fourth and fifth deciles. However, in the sixth decile and below the pattern reverses: The share of orders placed for index arbitrage and program trading fell dramatically, and the share placed by individuals climbed significantly. The lower rate of index arbitrage and program trading in the smaller stocks is not surprising, since most of the stocks in the S&P 500 index are in the larger deciles of market capitalization. Even when index arbitrage orders are excluded, the relative share of short orders from individuals rises substantially in the smaller deciles. Results for volume were Please insert Table III approximately here. similar and are not reported here. B. Order Placement Strategy of Short Sellers It is also interesting to see whether short sales differ from regular sales in the order placement strategies that investors follow. Since the uptick rule may make the execution of short sales problematic, investors may change their order placement strategies accordingly. Table IV displays the relative use of market and limit orders. Short sellers used fewer market orders and fewer "marketable limit" orders, that is, limit orders whose limit prices would allow them to be filled immediately at the current quotes, than did those who placed regular buy and sell orders. Market orders were used to place 60.3 percent of the regular sell orders, but only 54.0 percent of the short sale orders. 11 Please insert Table IV approximately here. C. Sizes of Short Sales Short sell orders tend to be larger than regular sell orders. Table V presents summary statistics on size for intraday orders. The mean SuperDot buy order was for 808 shares with a median of 300 shares. Long sell orders averaged 852 shares, with a median of 300 shares, while short sell orders averaged 1,307 shares, with a median of 750 shares. Even though index arbitrageurs place a major fraction of short sale orders, their orders are not the only forces driving the larger-thanaverage size of short sales. As seen in Table VI, agency trades for institutions and the proprietary Please insert Tables V and VI approximately here. trades for brokerage firms are larger than the individual and index arbitrage trades. D. Time-of-Day Patterns Time-of-day patterns in both trading volume and the bid-ask spread are well known. There is also a time-of-day pattern in the placement of short sales. To investigate this, the orders were grouped into 30-minute intervals. Table VII reveals that short orders as a percentage of total orders were higher during the first hour of trading and lower mid-day, with an upturn in the last half hour of trading. From 9:30 until 10:00 AM, short orders formed 6.7 percent of the order flow; they fell to a low of 3.8 percent from 12:00 to 12:30, and picked up to 4.8 percent between 3:30 and 4:00 PM. 12 Please insert Table VII approximately here. E. Impact of the Uptick Rule Since the uptick rule was designed to prevent short sales from depressing prices, it is interesting to examine whether it actually impedes short sales in a declining market. To do so, I looked at the percentage of clock time each day that a short sale could have been executed in compliance with the uptick rule. By comparing the last New York sale price with the best bid and offer, it is possible to determine whether a short order could have been legally executed at the bid or at other prices between the bid and offer. Table VIII displays the results. Overall, a short market order could have been legally executed immediately at the best bid price only 6.8 percent of the time. However, short orders can often be filled legally at other prices within the bid-ask spread. This indicates that the uptick rule at least slows down the execution of short sales most of the time. For 40.4 percent of the time, a short order could legally have been filled at the offer price. Thus, a short market order would have been first in line to execute against the next incoming market buy order. Since trades frequently take place between the posted bid and offer prices, this finding indicates that for almost half the time the uptick rule would slow down -- but not block -- many short sales. For another 46.5 percent of the time a short sale could legally have been made at the offer price. Only 5.8 percent of the time was there no way to make a legal short trade at or within the current quotes. Please insert Table VIII approximately here. For reference, 5.8 percent is about 23 minutes out of the 390 minute trading day. 13 The uptick rule becomes more of a barrier, however, on days when a stock's price is declining. The daily stock returns for the stocks in this sample were placed in five categories based on their returns. For stocks that dropped 5 percent or more in a day, the uptick rule banned short trades (in the sense of not permitting them at the offer price or below) 10.0 percent of the time (about 39 minutes per day) and allowed immediate execution of a market short order at the bid price only 2.4 percent of the time. Conversely, on days when a stock's price increased by 5 percent or more, immediate execution of a short market order at the bid could have taken place 14.3 percent of the time, and outright banned such sales only 2.5 percent of the time. However, the reader should remember that these are averages, and that for an individual stock the uptick rule may block a particular short sale indefinitely. F. Short Sales and Price Declines Short sales have often been blamed for causing drops in prices. To see whether short sales are associated with price drops, I examine the frequency of short sales during periods when prices declined more than two percent versus periods in which prices declined less or increased, as shown in Table IX. As to be expected, an increase in the percentage of sell orders is associated with price decreases. Sell orders were 57.9 percent of the orders during the half hour intervals when prices declined more than two percent, but were only 29.8 percent during the half hour intervals when prices increased more than two percent. Unlike the monotonic pattern of the regular sell orders, short orders made up a smaller fraction of the order flow (3.4 percent) during the periods of greatest decline than at other times. This is presumably a result of the uptick rule, since investors would find it difficult to execute a short sale under those conditions and thus would be unlikely to place orders 14 that they did not expect to be filled. The highest percentage of short orders is during the period when prices declined between zero and two percent. Thus, there is some evidence here that the uptick rule Please insert Table IX approximately here. deters investors from placing short sale orders during periods of rapid price decline. G. Impact of Short Sales on Subsequent Quotes and Trades The implications of short selling for future stock price movements has long been debated. On the one hand, one may expect that short sellers, because of the added constraints and transactions costs they face, would transact only when they had more information than the average trader. This expectation implies that the information revealed by a short order should be more than the information revealed by a regular sale order. On the other hand, it can be argued that a short sale is either bullish or a neutral event, since the short investor must eventually purchase the stock to cover the short. To the extent that a short order reveals information, this information should be reflected in subsequent quotes and trades. The price impact on both quotes and subsequent trades was calculated by examining the difference between the best quotes before and after each order was placed, and between the last trade price before with the first trade after. If no events occurred within ten minutes after the order was placed, the changes were set to zero. When a short SuperDot order is placed, the specialist who receives the order knows that the order is for a short sale. Thus, the information that the trader is willing to short the security should be incorporated in the specialist's quote-setting behavior immediately, even if the uptick rule prevents 15 the immediate filling of the order. Table X displays the impact of orders on the next bid, offer, and trade after the order, in ticks ($.125). As would be expected from intuition, on average buy orders are followed by increases in both the bid and offer quotes of about .02 ticks, and sell orders are followed by decreases of about .02 ticks. The average price impact of a short order behaves asymmetrically: the bid declines by .004 ticks while the offer decreases -.03 ticks. Thus, the raw averages indicate that a short sale order has less impact on the bid than a regular sale order but more impact on the offer. However, the uptick rule makes it difficult to draw inferences from this raw statistic, since this may be a result of the uptick rule preventing a short sale from knocking out the bid (if it was set by an outstanding Please insert Table X approximately here. customer limit order) and causing a quote revision. To examine the impact of short sales on prices, it is necessary to control not only for whether an order is short, but also for other characteristics which may affect the price impact. These include whether the order is a limit or market order, the order size, the bid-ask spread in effect when the order is placed, and the size of the firm. To control for biases in the observed price impact that may be induced by the uptick rule, as well as to control for other features that may affect the price impact, I estimate a probit regression of the change in quotes on several control variables. A probit is chosen since most of the time the quotes either move one tick or do not move at all. The results are shown in Table XI. The control variables include whether the order was a limit or a market order, since Rock (1990) finds that the informed investors are more likely to place market orders than limit orders. Thus, if a market order 16 contains more information, then it should have more impact on price. Furthermore, I also control for whether the limit orders were pure limit orders that were away from the market, or a "marketable limit" order that can be immediately executed given the current quotes, since such orders often behave differently from regular limit and market orders. Other control variables include a dummy representing whether the order is larger than the quoted offer size, as well as dummies indicating the types of investors who placed the orders. Dummy variables which indicate the current status of the stock with respect to the uptick rule control for the impediments placed by the uptick rule. The significantly negative coefficient on SHORT, the indicator of a short order, demonstrates that short orders have less impact on subsequent bid quotes than regular sale orders. This does not hold true for the offer quotations: Although the sign is still negative, the coefficient lacks statistical significance, which is remarkable with over 275,000 observations. As to be expected, market orders and marketable limit orders have more impact on the subsequent quotes, as do large orders and orders placed when the uptick rule permits short sales at the bid price. Orders that were hand entered on the floor have less impact; this is reasonable since one would expect that the information contained in the order would already be impounded in stock prices. Short sale orders that were identified as index arbitrage trades had slightly more impact. Sell orders for smaller capitalization Please insert Table XI approximately here. stocks had less impact. One possible explanation for the smaller impact of short sales than regular sales could be the information about account type that a short sale indicates. NYSE specialists do not ordinarily see the account type indicators reported in the TORQ order file. However, they presumably know that index 17 arbitrageurs are responsible for a large fraction of the SuperDot short sales. Thus, when they see a short sale, they know that there is a better than average chance that the order represents an index arbitrage trade. Because the specialists observe the basis between the spot equity and futures market, and because index arbitrage trades tend to arrive in waves, a particular index arbitrage sell order is not likely to have any more information in it just because it is a short sale. IV . Conclusions and Implications Short selling forms about eight percent of sales volume on the NYSE, and over 13 percent of sell order volume placed through the NYSE SuperDot system. Index arbitrage and program trading are over a third of the short trades and volume executed through the SuperDot system. For larger stocks, institutions place more short orders than do individuals, but individuals= fraction of short orders increases dramatically in the smallest size deciles. The pattern here, that individuals are a larger fraction of the order flow in the smallest stocks, is consistent with market lore that institutional investors do not invest in small stocks. However, this phenomenon is not well modeled and is worthy of more investigation. The uptick rule impedes immediate execution of a short sale at the bid over 90 percent of the time, although usually a short sale within the bid-ask spread or at the offer would be legal. Even on days when stocks were rising more than five percent, the uptick rule would have impeded the immediate execution of a short sale at the bid over 85 percent of the time. On days when stocks were falling more than five percent, the uptick rule would have impeded immediate short sales at the bid over 97 percent of the clock time. Fewer short orders are placed during times of rapid price decline, indicating that the uptick rule may be dampening short-run volatility. 18 Short sales have less impact on subsequent bid quotations than do regular sales, even after correcting for other factors that may affect quote setting along with the effect of the uptick rule. The impact of short sales on the offer quote is also less than regular sale orders, but the result is not significant. This result is counter to the intuition that short sale orders, because they come from more sophisticated investors, should contain more information and thus move prices more than regular sale orders do. This result is consistent, however, with the intuition that a short position eventually must be covered, resulting in built-in future demand for the stock. 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Securities and Exchange Commission, 1976, Exchange Act Release No. 13091, Federal Securities Law Reporter, (CCH) P 80,837 December 28, 1976 Securities and Exchange Commission, 1994, Order Granting Temporary Approval and Notice of Filing and Order Granting Accelerated Approval of Amendment No. 8 of Proposed Rule Change Creating a Short Sale Bid-Test for Nasdaq National Market Securities, SEC Release Number 3434277, June 29, 1994 Sharpe, William, 1991, Capital asset prices with and without negative holdings, Journal of Finance 46, 489-510 Wada, Shigeru, 1992, Stock lending plummets along with prices, The Nikkei Weekly, July 11, 1992, 16 White, Bouck, 1910, The Book of Daniel Drew, New York: George H. Doran Company, 1910, 180 Woolridge, J. Randall, and Amy Dickenson, 1994, Short selling and common stock prices, Financial Analysts Journal, January/February 20-29 Worley, David 1990, The regulation of short sales: The long and the short of it, Brooklyn Law Review 55, Winter, 1255-1299 Zweig, Jason, 1991, Wall street words, Friends of Financial History 44, Fall 32-33 22 Notes: 23 24 Table I Frequencies of NYSE SuperDot Orders By Account Type This table presents the number of electronic SuperDot orders by account type for 144 NYSE stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. Buy-minus orders are orders to buy stock on a down tick and sell-plus orders are orders to sell on an uptick. Exempt short sales are short sales that are exempt from the uptick rule. The account types are as explained in the text and Appendix 1. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Account Type Code Regular Buy Buy-minus Regular Sell Sell-plus Short Sell Exempt Short Total Agency A 88,905 26.47 1,556 7.74 81,641 28.84 808 27.99 10,118 31.18 231 78.31 183,259 27.16 Proprietary Program C 5,249 1.56 2,448 12.18 6,532 2.31 944 32.70 623 1.92 0 0.00 15,796 2.34 Proprietary Index Arbitrage D 14,056 4.18 14,950 74.39 6,155 2.17 542 18.77 12,591 38.80 0 0.00 48,294 7.16 Individual I 165,803 49.36 1 0.00 141,412 49.96 0 0.00 3,664 11.29 2 0.68 310,882 46.08 Missing M 19,922 5.93 54 0.27 19,650 6.94 20 0.69 1,093 3.37 1 0.34 40,740 6.04 Proprietary P 18,255 5.43 9 0.04 17,901 6.32 2 0.07 3,421 10.54 61 20.68 39,649 5.88 Agency Index Arbitrage U 16,160 4.81 305 1.52 6,503 2.30 140 4.85 539 1.66 0 0.00 23,647 3.50 Agency Program Trades Y 7,583 2.26 774 3.85 3,245 1.15 431 14.93 405 1.25 0 0.00 12,438 1.84 335,933 49.79 20,097 2.98 283,039 41.95 2,887 0.43 32,454 4.81 295 0.04 674,705 100.00 Total 25 Table II Frequencies of NYSE SuperDot Orders By Order Volume (000) This table presents the volume of electronic SuperDot orders by account type for 144 NYSE stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. Buy-minus orders are orders to buy stock on a down tick and sell-plus orders are orders to sell on an uptick. Exempt short sales are short sales that are exempt from the uptick rule. The account types are as explained in the text and Appendix 1. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Account Type Account Code Regular Buy Buy-minus Regular Sell Sell-plus Short Sell Exempt Short Total Agency A 75,610 25.46 2,375 12.31 67,250 25.60 1,037 38.04 15,230 35.76 103 71.12 161,600 25.88 Proprietary Program C 4,011 1.35 2,032 10.54 6,023 2.29 636 23.34 783 1.84 0 0.00 13,490 2.16 Proprietary Index Arbitrage D 12,790 4.31 13,630 70.66 4,724 1.80 445 16.34 12,290 28.85 0 0.00 43,880 7.03 Individual I 75,680 25.49 100 0.00 70,380 26.80 0 0.00 3,243 7.61 1 0.90 149,300 23.91 Missing M 87,220 29.38 91 0.47 87,400 33.28 314 1.15 3,067 7.20 0 0.14 177,800 28.48 Proprietary P 21,920 7.38 22 0.11 17,860 6.80 76 0.28 5,877 13.80 40 27.84 45,730 7.32 Agency Index Arbitrage U 10,520 3.54 293 1.52 4,967 1.89 138 5.06 857 2.01 0 0.00 16,770 2.69 Agency Program Trades Y 9,181 3.09 845 4.38 4,038 1.54 430 15.79 1,252 2.94 0 0.00 15,750 2.52 26 296,900 47.56 Total 19,290 3.09 262,600 42.07 2,725 0.44 42,600 6.82 145 0.02 624,300 100.00 Table III Frequencies of Short NYSE SuperDot Orders By Deciles of Market Capitalization This table displays the short orders that were submitted for 144 stocks through the NYSE SuperDot system from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991 by account type and deciles of market capitalization, with one being the largest decile. The definitions of the account types are given in the text and Appendix 1. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Account Type Account Code Largest 1 Smallest 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Total 10 Agency Trades A 5,227 32.52 1,974 34.75 923 24.49 952 29.92 442 23.59 402 47.13 111 20.15 69 25.27 16 11.85 2 3.12 10,118 31.18 Proprietary Program C 254 1.58 165 2.90 83 2.20 78 2.45 25 1.33 13 1.52 4 0.73 1 0.37 0 0.00 0 0.00 623 1.92 Proprietary Index Arbitrage D 5,888 36.63 2,134 37.57 1,734 46.01 1,667 52.39 985 52.56 48 5.63 84 15.25 24 8.79 27 20.00 0 0.00 12,591 38.80 Individual I 1,437 8.94 768 13.52 445 11.81 154 4.84 187 9.98 211 24.74 240 43.56 109 39.93 90 66.67 23 35.94 3,664 11.29 Missing M 338 2.10 141 2.48 352 9.34 90 2.83 63 3.36 38 4.45 46 8.35 20 7.33 2 1.48 3 4.69 1,093 3.37 Proprietary P 2,373 14.76 333 5.86 179 4.75 152 4.78 123 6.56 130 15.24 55 9.98 40 14.65 0 0.00 36 56.25 3,421 10.54 Agency Index Arbitrage U 363 2.26 73 1.29 12 0.32 49 1.54 42 2.24 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 539 1.66 Agency Program Trades Y 193 1.20 92 1.62 41 1.09 40 1.26 7 0.37 11 1.29 11 2.00 10 3.66 0 0.00 0 0.00 405 1.25 16,073 5,680 3,769 3,182 1,874 853 551 273 135 64 32,454 Total 27 49.53 17.50 11.61 9.80 5.77 2.63 1.70 0.84 0.42 0.20 100.00 Table IV NYSE SuperDot Orders Use of Limit and Market Orders This table displays the NYSE SuperDot orders for 144 stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991 by the type of order and whether it was placed as a market or a limit order. Marketable limit orders are orders that are marked as limit orders, but with limit prices such that they can be filled immediately at the current quotes. (e.g. If the bid is at $10.25, a limit order to buy at $10.50 is classified as a marketable limit order, regardless of size or uptick rule status.) A buy-minus order is a buy order that can only be executed on a minus or a zero-minus tick, while a sell-plus order is a sell order that can only be executed on a plus or zero-plus tick. An exempt short sale is one which is exempt from the uptick rule. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Order Type Order Side Marketable Limit (percentage of total) Regular Buy Market (percentage of total) Limit (percentage of total) Total (percentage of total) 51,861 15.44 197,257 48.29 86,815 45.79 335,933 49.79 3 0.01 20,064 99.84 30 0.15 20,097 2.98 22,653 8.00 170,562 60.26 89,824 31.74 283,039 41.95 Sell-plus 3 0.10 2,879 99.72 5 0.17 2,887 0.43 Short Sell 2,039 6.28 17,521 53.99 12,894 39.73 32,454 4.81 26 8.81 240 81.36 29 9.83 295 0.04 76,585 11.35 408,523 60.55 189,597 28.10 674,705 100.00 Buy-Minus Regular Sell Exempt Short Total 28 Table V Sizes of Intraday SuperDot Orders This table presents size statistics for all regular way NYSE SuperDot orders for 144 stocks that were placed while the market was open from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. A buy-minus order is a buy order that can only be executed on a minus or a zero-minus tick, while a sell-plus order is a sell order that can only be executed on a plus or zero-plus tick. An exempt short sale is one which is exempt from the uptick rule. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Order Side Number of observations Mean size of order Standard Deviation of mean order size 25th percentile of order size Median order size 75th percentile of order size 95th percentile of order size 99th percentile of order size Regular Buy 293,595 807.75 2,115.63 100 300 800 3,000 10,000 Buy-Minus 19,246 968.60 1,415.32 200 400 1,200 3,584 6,700 Regular Sell 247,425 852.08 2,196.20 146 300 900 3,000 10,000 Sell-Plus 2,802 945.74 1,012.41 200 600 1,300 2,600 4,700 Short Sell 28,557 1,307.18 1,869.92 300 750 1,700 5,000 9,050 259 475.99 504.84 328 328 328 1,400 3,000 Exempt Short 29 Table VI NYSE SuperDot Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 Order size by account type This table presents data on the sizes of intraday NYSE SuperDot orders from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991 for 144 stocks. The account types are as described in the text and Appendix 1. Number of observations Mean size of order Standard deviation of mean order size 25th percentile of order size Median order size 75th percentile of order size 95th percentile of order size 99th percentile of order size Regular Buy Orders Agency 76,641 817.34 1,367.13 200.0 400 1,000 3,000 6,000 4,907 723.73 955.88 200.0 300 1,000 3,000 4,700 12,622 562.48 840.46 100.0 200 550 2,000 3,400 146,826 447.81 868.49 100.0 200 500 1,500 4,000 Missing 14,706 4,190.31 7,194.44 600.0 2,000 5,000 15,000 30,900 Proprietary 15,969 1,184.78 1,733.07 300.0 600 1,100 4,800 10,000 Agency Index Arbitrage 15,155 635.60 1,058.04 150.0 200 650 2,700 5,000 6,769 1,172.15 2,068.19 200.0 500 1,200 4,700 9,400 69,861 786.97 1,308.04 200.0 400 1,000 2,800 5,000 Proprietary Program 6,107 890.75 1,174.33 200.0 300 1,000 3,000 4,700 Proprietary Index Arbitrage 5,546 556.73 946.46 100.0 200 500 2,075 5,650 127,009 491.57 872.92 100.0 200 500 1,900 4,166 Missing 14,573 4,297.53 7,045.52 1,000.0 2,000 5,000 15,000 30,000 Proprietary 15,412 959.73 1,481.52 200.0 500 1,000 3,000 7,400 Agency Index Arbitrage 6,027 693.51 1,045.22 150.0 300 1,000 2,800 5,100 Agency Proprietary 2,890 1,137.35 1,773.52 200.0 500 1,200 3,900 10,000 Proprietary Program Proprietary Index Arbitrage Individual Agency Proprietary Regular Sell Orders Agency Individual Short Sell Orders 30 Agency 8,608 1,539.98 1,846.08 500.0 1,000 2,000 5,000 8,500 469 1,186.35 1,793.10 100.0 375 1,300 5,000 9,000 11,493 994.46 1,372.76 200.0 500 1,500 3,500 6,250 3,259 887.30 1,129.79 200.0 500 1,000 3,100 5,000 878 2,705.18 4,188.30 500.0 1,000 3,000 10,000 24,000 3,048 1,698.56 2,110.35 500.0 1,000 2,000 5,000 10,000 Agency Index Arbitrage 477 1,597.78 2,103.99 300.0 500 2,000 7,070 8,739 Agency Program 325 2,710.46 4,680.99 400.0 1,300 3,000 15,000 20,000 Proprietary Program Proprietary Index Arbitrage Individual Missing Proprietary 31 Table VII Time-of-day Patterns in NYSE SuperDot Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 This table presents statistics on NYSE SuperDot order submission by time-of-day for 144 stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. A buy-minus order is a buy order that can only be executed on a minus or a zero-minus tick, while a sell-plus order is a sell order that can only be executed on a plus or zero-plus tick. An exempt short sale is one which is exempt from the uptick rule. Percentages of the column totals are given below the numbers in each cell. The percentages in the bottom row are the percentages of the row total. Type of order Before Open 9:3010 10-10:30 10:30-11 11-11:30 11:30-12 12-12:30 12:301 1-1:30 Regular Buy 37,940 50.78 33,034 48.65 25,241 45.65 24,990 49.19 24,963 50.26 24,458 51.43 20,261 49.98 18,813 52.99 15,266 47.81 18,964 52.06 19,477 49.60 21568 48.61 23,460 51.25 27,332 50.09 763 1.02 3,444 5.07 2,873 5.20 1,968 3.87 1,784 3.59 1,437 3.02 1,399 3.45 947 2.67 786 2.46 1,044 2.87 873 2.22 1,069 2.41 868 1.90 842 1.54 32,196 43.09 26,465 38.98 23,108 41.80 21,144 41.62 20,219 40.71 19,553 41.11 17,133 42.26 14,184 39.95 14,233 44.57 14,912 40.93 16,962 43.20 19,686 44.37 19,492 42.58 23,545 43.15 Sell-plus 75 0.10 341 0.50 274 0.50 352 0.69 296 0.60 227 0.48 210 0.52 125 0.35 162 0.51 109 0.30 190 0.48 150 0.34 172 0.38 204 0.37 Short Sell 3,710 4.97 4,579 6.74 3,764 6.81 2,340 4.61 2,382 4.80 1,869 3.93 1,522 3.75 1,417 3.99 1,466 4.59 1,389 3.81 1,750 4.46 1,875 4.23 1,776 3.88 2,603 4.77 30 0.04 39 0.06 27 0.05 13 0.03 25 0.05 14 0.03 16 0.04 14 0.04 18 0.06 11 0.03 15 0.04 24 0.05 12 0.03 36 0.07 74,714 11.08 67,902 10.07 55,287 8.20 50,807 7.53 49,669 7.37 47,558 7.05 40,541 6.01 35,500 5.26 31,931 4.74 36,429 5.40 39,267 5.82 44,372 6.58 45,780 6.79 54,562 8.09 Buy-Minus Regular Sell Exempt Short Total 32 1:30-2 2-2:30 2:30-3 3-3:30 3:30-4 Table VIII NYSE SuperDot Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 Fraction of Time That Uptick Rule Impedes Short Sales By Price Change Categories This table determines the fraction of time that uptick rule would have permitted short sales at various prices relative to the best bid and offers from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. Stocks were classified each day by their price movement relative to the prior day. For example, a stock whose closing price is more than five percent below the prior day's close is classified as "Decline > -5%." The uptick rule permits short sales at prices which are an uptick or a zero plus tick. Unknown tick status results from the beginning of the data set when the previous trade was unknown, and from times when the quotes unusable, such as a locked market in which one market is quoting a bid price higher than another market's offer. Daily Price Change Percent of Time Short Sales Permitted at Bid Price Percent of Time Short Sales Permitted Between Bid and Offer but not at Bid Percent of Time Short Sales Permitted at Offer Percent of Time Short Sales Not Permitted at Offer Price or Below Percent Time Uptick Status Unknown Number of Observations Total Seconds Accounted For Stock fell (return < -5 percent) 2.39 23.63 63.68 9.98 0.32 413 9,664,200 -5 < return < 0 3.52 45.96 41.42 8.95 0.14 2,691 62,404,321 Unchanged 6.29 33.43 55.21 4.83 0.24 1,999 46,683,000 0 < return < 5 percent 9.40 44.95 41.94 3.57 0.14 2,964 68,913,000 Stock rose ( > 5) percent 14.28 29.83 52.92 2.52 0.45 520 12,144,600 Overall 6.76 40.44 46.49 5.82 0.49 8,989 209,208,039 33 Table IX NYSE SuperDot Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 Order Submissions and Price Movement This table presents data on intraday NYSE SuperDot orders for 144 stocks from November 2, 1990 through January 31, 1991, classified by the movement of the midpoint of the NYSE bid and offer quotations relative to the prior half hour period. For example, a stock whose quotes declined more than two percent in a 30 minute interval is classified as "Decline > -2%." Decline > -2% Buy Decline 0 to -2% Unchanged Increase 0 to 2% Increase > 2% Total 2,349 36.41 75,939 42.98 101,716 50.81 107,296 54.02 5,994 64.60 293,294 49.61 138 2.14 5,884 3.33 6,296 3.14 6,696 3.37 221 2.38 19,235 3.25 3,733 57.87 83,881 47.48 83,085 41.50 73,658 37.08 2,764 29.79 247,121 41.80 Sell-plus 9 0.14 933 0.53 800 0.40 1,046 0.53 14 0.15 2,802 0.47 Sell Short 221 3.43 9,927 5.62 8,230 4.11 9,871 4.97 284 3.06 28,533 4.83 Exempt Short 1 0.02 103 0.06 81 0.04 73 0.04 1 0.01 259 0.04 6,451 1.09 176,667 29.88 200,208 33.86 198,640 33.60 9,278 1.57 591,244 100.00 Buy-minus Sell Total 34 Table X Price Impact of NYSE SuperDot Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 This table displays the effect of NYSE intraday SuperDot orders on subsequent quotes and trades for 144 stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. The change reflects the change in the bid and offer quotes reflects the change in the best bid or offer before the order was received to the best bid or offer after the order was received. If no new quote occurred within ten minutes of receipt of the order, the change was defined to be zero. All changes are measured in ticks ($.125). der Side Number of observations Change in Bid Quote Subsequent to Order (in ticks) Change in Offer Quote Subsequent to Order (in ticks) Change in Price of Next Trade Subsequent to Order (in ticks) Standard Error of Change in Bid Quote Subsequent to Order Standard Error of Change in Offer Quote to Subsequent to Order Standard Error of Change in Price of Next Trade Subsequent to Order gular Buy 293,595 0.0184 0.0187 0.0835 0.0007 0.0007 0.0011 y-Minus 19,246 0.0289 0.0026 0.0246 0.0031 0.0027 0.0044 gular Sell 247,425 -0.0192 -0.0174 -0.0812 0.0007 0.0007 0.0013 -Plus 2,802 -0.0126 -0.0309 -0.0120 0.0080 0.0078 0.0122 rt Sell 28,557 -0.0042 -0.0303 -0.0202 0.0022 0.0024 0.0037 259 -0.0279 -0.0177 -0.0198 0.0214 0.0202 0.0378 mpt rt 35 Table XI NYSE SuperDot Sell Orders 11/1/90 - 1/31/91 Market Impact of Short Sales on Quotes Probit Model of Quote Decrease This table displays the results of two probit models on quote revisions based on intraday NYSE SuperDot sell and short sell orders for 144 stocks from November 1, 1990 through January 31, 1991. The dependent variable is an indicator of a quote decrease. A positive coefficient indicates that the variable is more likely to cause a quote decrease. The intercept reflects a limit sell order for a stock in the largest decile of market capitalization when the bid-ask spread is one-eighth and the uptick rule would prohibit a short sale at the bid price. ** indicates significance at the one percent level. Dependent Variable: Independent Variable Change in Bid Quote Parameter Estimate Change in Offer Quote Standard Error Parameter Estimate Standard Error INTERCEPT -2.02** 0.0183 -2.96** 0.0332 Intercept SHORT -0.15** 0.0156 -0.02 0.0162 Indicates regular short order MARKET 0.44** 0.0121 0.30** 0.0121 Market order MARKLIM 0.59** 0.0164 0.30** 0.0224 Marketable limit order LARGE 0.35** 0.0164 0.26** 0.0192 Indicates order size > quote SHORTYES 0.37** 0.0197 0.36** 0.0397 Short OK at bid 0.03 0.0210 0.52** 0.0322 Short not OK at bid, but higher 0.08** 0.0158 0.22** 0.0314 Short OK at offer, not below FLOOR -0.19** 0.0287 -0.29** 0.0302 Indicates entered on floor TICK2 -0.06** 0.0118 1.51** 0.0152 Bid-ask spread=2 ticks ($.25) TICK3 0.13** 0.0213 1.91** 0.0202 Bid-ask spread=3 ticks ($.375) TICK4 -0.23** 0.0461 1.68** 0.0309 Bid-ask spread=4 ticks ($.50) INDEXARB 0.11** 0.0152 0.08** 0.0173 Index arbitrage trade DEC2 0.19** 0.0116 -0.13** 0.0132 2nd largest cap decile DEC3 0.13** 0.0142 -0.36** 0.0161 3rd largest cap decile DEC4 -0.12** 0.0190 -0.71** 0.0201 4th largest cap decile DEC5 -0.50** 0.0243 -0.91** 0.0280 5th largest cap decile DEC6 -0.85** 0.0373 -1.21** 0.0403 6th largest cap decile SMALLCAP -0.98** 0.0338 -1.30** 0.0360 Indicates 4 smallest deciles Number of observations 275,982 SHORTMAY SHORTOFF 275,982 Percent correctly 36 classified 94.6% 94.5% 37 Appendix 1 Account type codes Code Account Type A Agency trades performed on behalf of another institution, which may be another brokerage firm or an institutional investor C Program trades other than index arbitrage made for the brokerage firm's own account D Index arbitrage trades made for a brokerage firms' own account I Orders for natural persons M Missing account information P Proprietary trades made for the brokerage firm's own account that are not program trades or index arbitrage trades U Index arbitrage trades performed on an agency basis by the brokerage firm for another entity Y Program trades other than index arbitrage that are performed by the brokerage firm for another entity. 1. The "box" referred to here is presumably a safe deposit box in which the securities are already stored. U.S. tax laws treat a short sale against the box differently than selling the securities in the box, resulting in potential tax advantages. For example, an investor with a capital gain on the stock may wish to sell the stock but defer paying the capital gains taxes until the future. By shorting against the box, the investor locks in the price of the sale and removes the price risk of his position, but has not taken the capital gain on the shares that have appreciated. 2. See Foster (1932) for an example of the classic attack on short selling. 3. See Meeker (1932) for details on this and other attempts to ban short selling over the years. 4. For a thorough discussion of the regulation of short selling in the United States, see Worley (1990). 5. Selling a put option produces similar payoffs to selling short. Incidentally, options market makers are exempt from the uptick rule. 6. Federal Reserve Regulation T (12 CFR 220) governs margin requirements for short selling as well as for margin purchases. Generally, the initial margin requirement is 50%. NYSE Rule 431 sets the maintenance margin requirement for short sales at the greater of 30% or $5 per share for stocks priced over $5. 7. These prices are based on discussions with market professionals involved in stock lending. Stock 38 lending has not yet progressed to a screen based system in which good price information is readily available. Since the security lender holds the collateral which is invested in Treasury bills, the lender passes on the interest to the short, less the fee, which is usually quoted in basis points. For more on the institutional details of securities lending, see Fabozzi (1997). 8. Stocks listed on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq National Market are automatically eligible for margin under Fed rules. Other OTC stocks are eligible if they meet certain requirements. The Fed regularly publishes a list of eligible OTC stocks. 9. See Freeman (1991) for a description of the institutional details of stock lending in the United Kingdom. 10. See Lintner (1971), Ross (1977), Brito (1978), Jarrow (1980), Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1980), Dybvig (1984), Allen and Gale (1991), Sharpe (1991), and Alexander (1993) for work that investigates the effect of constraints on short selling in asset pricing models. 11. See Jacobs and Levy (1993) for a good practitioners view of short selling. 12. The NYSE "Blue Books" contained daily for September 1931 to September 1932 and weekly at other times. For a fascinating study of this data see Macaulay and Durand (1951). 13. The NYSE also publishes data on the monthly aggregate short interest in its annual fact book. 14. For more information on the database and on the mechanisms used for the handling of orders on the NYSE, see Hasbrouck (1992) and Hasbrouck, Sofianos and Sosebee (1993). 15. A sell-plus order is a long sell order that is to be executed similar to a short sale in accordance with the uptick rule. It can only be executed on an uptick or a zero-plus tick. Similarly, a buy-minus order is an order that is only to be executed on a downtick or a zero-minus tick. 16. Under the uptick rule, an exchange may adopt a rule to exempt the specialist. However, the NYSE decided not to exempt the specialist in NYSE rule 440B(b). Some arbitrage trades are exempt, but most index arbitrage activity is not. For more details, see Worley (1990). 39
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