2. Option definitions, payoffs, and boundaries Liuren Wu We consider one “underlying” risky security (it can be a stock or exchange rate), and we use S to denote its price, with S0 = 100 being its current price and ST being its future price at time T . Ignore bid-ask spread and transaction cost and assume that you can buy or sell any amount of the security at the price S0 = 100. 1. Plot the payoff of a long call option position with strike K = 80 and expiry T . Answer: The payoff is max(0, ST − K), or you can write it as (ST − K)+ , where the positive sign means that you only take the positive value. If (ST − K) is negative, you don’t exercise and hence get zero. 60 50 Payoff = max(ST−K,0) 40 30 20 10 0 −10 −20 60 70 80 90 100 ST 110 120 130 140 (a) Also plot the payoff of a short call, a long put, a short put, respectively, all at the same strike and expiry. Answer: I’ll plot all 4 cases together for comparison: 1 Short call 60 40 40 20 20 Payoff = −max(ST−K,0) Payoff = max(ST−K,0) Long call 60 0 −20 −40 −60 60 0 −20 −40 70 80 90 100 ST 110 120 130 −60 60 140 70 80 90 60 40 40 20 20 0 −20 −40 −60 60 110 120 130 140 110 120 130 140 110 120 130 140 Long put 60 Payoff = max(K−ST,0) Payoff = −max(K−ST,0) Short put 100 ST 0 −20 −40 70 80 90 100 ST 110 120 130 −60 60 140 70 80 90 100 ST (b) Plot a forward with delivery price K = 80. I plot the payoff of both long forward and short forward position: Short forward 60 40 40 20 20 Payoff = K−ST Payoff = ST−K Long forward 60 0 0 −20 −20 −40 −40 −60 60 70 80 90 100 ST 110 120 130 140 −60 60 70 80 90 100 ST Show how to replicate the forward contract with (i) the underlying and bond and (ii) with calls and puts at the same strike and expiry. (i) You can do the buy-and-carry argument as we did in the first homework, using the underlying and bond. By “bond,” I mean you can borrow money and save money in the bank. Borrowing money is equivalent of selling a bond. Whereas saving the money in the bank is similar to buying a bond. (ii) Long call and short put at the same strike will create a long forward. This is shown by 2 comparing the long forward payoff with the payoff from Long call + short put (the first column of the previous four charts). The short forward position can be similarly created by short call+ long put (the second column of the four charts). (c) Assume zero rates and no dividends. If the call and the put (at K = 80 and same T ) are quoted at $26 and $5, respectively. Is there an arbitrage? Long call and short put creates a long forward. This portfolio costs 26 − 5 = 21. You can think of this as the value of a “synthetic” forward, a forward created/synthesized from long a call and short a put. On the other hand, we know the value of this forward should be erT (F − K). The forward price is 100 (as there is zero rates or dividends). The value of the forward should be 100 − 80 = 20 (zero rates). This value is generated based on buy and carry. Since these two are the same contracts (payoffs), but difference prices, we should buy the forward at $20, and sell the synthetic (sell the call, buy the put) for a selling price of $21. Thus, we net $1. 2. Assume zero rates and no dividends, is there an arbitrage trade if the call (at K = 80) is quoted at $101? The call price looks high. The highest price of the call cannot be higher than the present value of the forward price, which is 100. Hence, 101 is too high. To trade against this, sell the call for 101, and buy the forward with zero delivery price for 100. You make one dollar right away and at expiry, the payoff is ST − max(0, ST − 80). When ST > 80, we have ST − ST + 80 = 80. When ST < 80, we have ST . The payoff is always positive, even though you received $1 to get into this portfolio. Is there an arbitrage if the call is quoted at $19? This looks low. I would check the lower bound, which should be the value of the forward with the same strike (delivery price K − 80). The value of this forward is 100-80=20. And the option value cannot be lower than the forward value of 20. So we buy the option for 19 and sell the forward for 20, and net $1. At expiry T , the payoff is max(ST − K, 0) − (ST − K). When ST > K = 80, the payoff is ST − 80 − (ST − 80) = 0. When ST < 80, the payoff is 0 − (ST − K) = 80 − ST > 0. Hence, always positive. 3. Assume zero rates and no dividends, is there an arbitrage if a put at K = 110 is quoted at $111? Is there an arbitrage if it is quoted at $9? The put payoff is (K − ST )+ . The price of $111 looks high because even if the stock price drops zero, the payoff is only K − 0 = 110. Given zero rates, the present value of this payoff is $110. So the put price cannot be higher than $110 as the stock price cannot drop below zero. The arbitrage would be to just sell the put and say the sales receipt of $111 in the bank. At expiration, the worst is if the stock price drops to zero an you pay $110, which will still leave you with one dollar. You’ll have more left in the bank if the stock price ends above zero. The price of $9 looks low, because the current stock price is S0 = 100 (and hence the forward is 100 since there is no rates and dividends)and the intrinsic value of the put option is e−rT (K − F) = 110 − 100 = 10. Remember the option value is equal to time value (optionality value)+intrinsic value. When the option value is lower than the intrinsic value, there is an arbitrage. Another way of saying it is: The short position in a forward with the same strike is worth e−rT (K − F) = 10 and the option is worth more than the forward because of the optionality. The arbitrage is to long the forward (short the short position) at strike $110, which costs you $10, and buy the put at $9. You net one dollar today. At expiration, you cannot possibly lose money. Specifically, if the stock price is below strike, you exercise the option to get the payoff of K − S, which cancel with the long forward position payoff S − K. If the 3 stock price is above strike, you make money from the forward S − K > 0, but you don’t need to exercise the put option. 4. How will the answers be changed if the underlying security is a stock that pays $1 per share dividend every quarter if the option has a one-year maturity? (still zero rates) This changes your forward valuation. The forward price becomes S − 4 = 100 − 4 = 96. The forward calculation becomes very easy this time because the rates are zero and hence the future value of dividends are just the raw dividend amount (no need for compounding or discounting). Let’s focus on question 3. It does not affect the answer if the put is worth $111 because we are comparing with stock price dropping to zero. Now, if the put price is $9, the arbitrage is larger because the value of the short forward contract is worth more now at e−rT (K − F) = 110 − 96 = 14. The put has to be higher than $14 to exclude arbitrage. 4
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