FEWS NET
FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK
GLOBAL Weather Hazards Summary
June 17-23, 2016
Abnormal dryness in southern Haiti and parts of East Africa
Africa Weather Hazards
Flooding
Abnormal Dryness
Drought
Severe Drought
Tropical Cyclone
Potential Locust Outbreak
Heavy Snow
Abnormal Cold
Abnormal Heat
Seasonally Dry
1. Despite enhanced rain
over some areas of the
1
Gulf of Guinea over the
past few weeks, low and erratic
rainfall during April and May has persisted and led to
growing moisture deficits over Liberia and parts of
Sierra Leone.
3
2
2. Low and infrequent rainfall since late March has resulted
in drought across parts of southeastern Kenya and
northeastern Tanzania. The potential for recovery remains
unlikely as suppressed rain is forecast during the next
week for coastal regions, and areas inland are now
climatologically dry.
3. Consistently below-normal rainfall over the past 4 weeks
has resulted in abnormal dryness for portions of Uganda and
western Kenya. This pattern has resulted in low soil moisture
and poor vegetation health index values.
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for
International Development or the United States Government.The FEWS NET weather hazards process and products include participation by
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Source: FEWS NET/NOAA
me areas, but resulting in flooding for others.
Valid: June 8 – June 14, 2016
reased
rainfall
this past
helped
to diminish
deficits for
Satellite-Estimated Total Rainfall (mm)
er
the past
7 days,
theweek,
heaviest
rainfall
was recorded
in
me areas,
but resulting
in flooding
for region.
others. Parts of Guinea,
Valid: June 8 – June
14, 17-23,
2016 2016
stern
portions
of the
Gulf
of
Guinea
Weather
Hazards
Summary
June
thern Liberia, Cote D’Ivoire, and Ghana all received in
Africa
Overview
eased
past
week,
helpedrainfall
to
deficits
for
er
past
7this
days,
the
heaviest
was recorded
in
Satellite-Estimated Total Rainfall (mm)
esstheofrainfall
150mm
of
rain
according
to diminish
satellite
estimates
e
areas,
but
resulting
in
flooding
for
others.
Valid: June 8 – June 14, 2016
stern
portions
of
the
Gulf
of
Guinea
region.
Parts
of
Guinea,
gure 1). Locally
heavy
coastal
reportedly
Increased
rainfallrainfall
this pastinweek
helpedGhana
to diminish
deficits for some areas
Figure 1: Satellite-Estimated Total Rainfall (mm)
uthern
Liberia,
Cote
D’Ivoire,
and
Ghana
all
received
in
ulted in flooding
around
Accrafor
and
Cape Coast. Many other
Valid: June 8-14, 2016
but resulted
in flooding
others
r the
past
7 days,
the
rainfall
was
recorded
in
cess
of
150mm
rainheaviest
according
to satellite
estimates
as
throughout
theofwestern
African
region
received
neartern rains
portions
of the
GulfSome
of Guinea
region.
Parts of
ofreportedly
Guinea,
gure
1). Locally
heavy
rainfall
inthecoastal
Ghana
mal
for
driest
southern
Overthe
theweek.
past 7 days,
theof
heaviest
rainfallareas
was recorded
in western portions
hern
Liberia,
Cote
D’Ivoire,
and
Ghana
all
received
in Cote D’Ivoire,
ulted
in
flooding
around
Accra
Cape
Coast.
Many
other
rra Leoneofand
coastal
Liberia
missedsouthern
out on
the
the Gulf
of Guinea
region.largely
Parts of Guinea,
Liberia,
ess
of
150mm
of
rain
according
to
satellite
estimates
eas
throughout
the
western
African
region
received
nearand
all received
excess
of 150mm of rain, according to satellite
viest rains,
soGhana
deficits
remaininlittle
changed.
ure 1).
Locally
inheavy
coastal
Ghana
reportedly
rmal
rains
for theheavy
week.
Some
of
the
driest
areas
of
southern
estimates
(Figurerainfall
1). Locally
rainfall
in coastal
Ghana reportedly
ulted
in
flooding
around
Accra
and
Cape
Coast.
Many
other
erra
Leone
and
coastal
Liberia
largely
missed
out
on
the areas
resulted
in
flooding
around
Accra
and
Cape
Coast.
Many
other
analysis of the cumulative rainfall anomalies during the
last
as
throughout
the
western
African
region
received
nearaviest
rains,
so
deficits
remain
little
changed.
throughout
the
western
African
region
received
near-normal
days still reveals an area of abnormal dryness in Sierrarains for the
week.
of the
driestofareas
ofdriest
southern
Sierra
Leone
and coastal Liberia
mal
for
theSome
week.
Some
the
areas
of25-100mm
southern
ne rains
and Liberia.
Rainfall
deficits
range
between
largely
missed
out
on
the
heaviest
rains,
so
deficits
remain.
ra
Leone
and
coastal
Liberia
largely
missed
out
on
analysis
of
the
cumulative
rainfall
anomalies
during
the
last
re (Figure 2). Other local areas of deficits are evidentthe
in
viest
rains,
so
deficits
remain
little
changed.
days and
still central
revealsNigeria.
an areaRains
of abnormal
dryness
in Sierra
Figure 1: NOAA/CPC
thern
have been
frequent,
if not
An analysis
of the cumulative
rainfall anomalies
during
the last 30 days still
one
and
Liberia.
Rainfall
deficits
range
between
25-100mm
heavy asreveals
normal,
soof concern
about inground
impacts
is where
an area local
abnormal
Sierraduring
Leone
and
re (Figure
2).
Other
areasdryness
ofanomaly
deficits
are
evident
in
analysis
of the
cumulative
rainfall
anomalies
theLiberia,
last
Satellite Estimate Rainfall anomalies
imal
to this
point.
The
precipitation
field
indicates
rainfall deficits range between 25-100mm (Figure 2). Other local areas
Figure 1: NOAA/CPC
uthern
and
central
Nigeria.
Rains
have
been
frequent,
if
not
Valid: May 16 – June 14, 2016
days
still
reveals
an
area
of
abnormal
dryness
in
Sierra
many other
areas
such as
Guinea,
and
of deficits
are evident
in southern
and Cote
centralD’Ivoire,
Nigeria. Rains
have been
heavy
as
normal,
so
concern
about
ground
impacts
is
ne and
Rainfall
deficits
range
between
25-100mm
ana
haveLiberia.
been
wetter
normal
during
the past
month
frequent,
if not than
as heavy
as normal,
so concern
about
groundorimpacts is
Satellite Estimate Rainfall anomalies
nimal
to
this
point.
The
precipitation
anomaly
field
indicates
eMost
(Figure
2).
Other
local
areas
of
deficits
are
evident
of central
Africa
has been anomaly
wet as field
well.indicates that manyinother areas,
Source: NOAA/CPC
minimal.
The precipitation
Valid: May 16 – June 14, 2016
Figure
1:
NOAA/CPC
thern
many
such
as Guinea,
Cote
D’Ivoire,
andother
central
Nigeria.
have
been
frequent,
if and
not
such
asareas
Guinea,
CoteRains
D’Ivoire,
and Ghana
have
been wetter
than normal
Figure 2: Satellite-Estimated Rainfall Percentile (%) ana
have
been
wetter
than
normal
during
thethat
past
month
or
heavy
as
normal,
so month
concern
about
ground
impacts
is
Valid: May 16 - June 14, 2016
during
the
past
or so. Most
of central
Africa
has
been
wet as well.
ing the
next
week,
model
forecasts
suggest
rainfall
will
Satellite Estimate Rainfall anomalies
Most
of
central
Africa
has
been
wet
as
well.
mal tonormal
this point.
The of
precipitation
fieldmay
indicates
above
for most
the region. anomaly
Local areas
see in
Valid: May 16 – June 14, 2016
many
other
as
Guinea,
Cote
D’Ivoire,
and
Duringareas
the next
week,This
model
suggest
thatfor
rainfall
will be above
ess
of 100-150mm
ofsuch
rain.
isforecasts
especially
likely
areas
ring
the
next
week,
model
forecasts
suggest
that
will
normal
forNigeria.
most
of the
region. Local
areas
seerainfall
in excess
na have
been
wetter
than
normal
during
themay
past
month
orof 100-150mm
Cote
D’Ivoire
and
Widespread
heavy
rain
may
pose
of
rain.
This
is
especially
likely
for
areas
in
Cote
D’Ivoire
and
Nigeria.
above
normal
for
most
of
the
region.
Local
areas
may
see
in
Most
of
central
Africa
has
been
wet
as
well.
tinued flooding risk for already wet areas like southern Cote
Widespread heavy
rainThis
may pose
continued flooding
riskareas
for already wet
cess
of
100-150mm
of
rain.
is
especially
likely
for
voire, and Ghana. On the other hand, the pattern could
areas
like southern
D’Ivoire,suggest
andheavy
Ghana.rain
On rainfall
the
other
hand, the pattern
Cote
D’Ivoire
and
Nigeria.
Widespread
may
pose
ng the
next
week,
modelinCote
forecasts
will
minate
abnormal
dryness
far western
Africa.that
could
eliminate
abnormal
dryness
in
far
western
Africa.
ntinuednormal
flooding
forofalready
wet areas
southern
Cote
above
forrisk
most
the region.
Local like
areas
may see
in
voire,
and Ghana. ofOn
theThis
other
hand, thelikely
pattern
could
ess
of 100-150mm
rain.
is especially
for areas
Suppression
of rains
for
and
eastern parts of the region raises
minate
abnormal
in
farsouthern
western
Africa.
ppression
of rains
for southern
and
eastern
parts
of may
the region
ote D’Ivoire
and dryness
Nigeria.
Widespread
heavy
rain
pose
concerns
over
dryness
es
concerns
over
dryness.
inued flooding risk for already wet areas like southern Cote
oire, and During
Ghana.
On week,
the satellite
other hand,
the pattern
could
thefor
past
rainfall estimates
show
heaviest rainfall
ppression
of rains
southern
and eastern
parts
of
the the
region
ing the
past
week,
the
heaviest
rainfall
was
confined
to was recorded
inate
abnormal
dryness
in
far
western
Africa.
confined
to
western
Ethiopia,
where
more
than
200mm
of
rain
ses concerns
over
dryness.
Figure 2: NOAA/CPC
stern
Ethiopia
according
to
satellite
rainfall
estimates.
More
in local areas. Rains were moderate and near normal over most of Sudan and
n 200mm into
of western
rain was
recorded
in spots.rainfall
Moderate,
near- suppressed
South
Sudan. Meanwhile,
was significantly
ring rains
the of
past
week,
the
heaviest
rainfall
wasof
confined
to
Satellite-Estimated RainfallSource:
Anomaly
pression
rains
for
southern
and
eastern
parts
the
region
mal
occurred
for
a
large
swath
of
Sudan
into
western
NOAA/CPC
in southeastern South Sudan, Uganda, and through the Lake Victoria
region 2:
Figure
NOAA/CPC
Valid:
May
16
–
June
14,
2016
stern
Ethiopia
according
to
satellite
rainfall
estimates.
More
es
concerns
over
dryness.
uth Sudan.ofMeanwhile,
rainfall
wasconsecutive
significantly
suppressed
Kenya. Since this
is another
weeks
of below-average rainfall
Figure 3: Satellite-Estimated Rainfall Anomaly
n 200mmforofthese
rainregions,
was
recorded
in spots.
Moderate,
southeastern
South
Sudan,
Uganda,
andrapidly
through
the nearLake
Valid: May 16-June 14, 2016
rainfall
deficits have
increased.
As evidenced in
Satellite-Estimated Rainfall Anomaly
rmal
rains
occurred
for
a Since
largetotaling
swath
Sudan
into
western
ng
past
week,
thedeficits
heaviest
was
confined
to in Uganda
Figure
3,Kenya.
30-day
more
than
100mm
exist
oriathe
region
of
thisrainfall
isof another
in now
several
Valid: May 16 – June 14, 2016
Figure 2: NOAA/CPC
uth
Sudan.
Meanwhile,
rainfall
was
significantly
suppressed
tern
Ethiopia
according
toNegative
satellite
rainfall
estimates.
and
western
Kenya.
anomalies
are
observed
toMore
stretch across
secutive
weeks
of below-average
rainfall
for
these
regions,
South
Sudan,
Uganda,
through
the
Lake
of the
greater
horn,
while
rainfall
hasin
been
ample in western
nsoutheastern
200mm
ofhave
rain
was
recorded
in 30-day
spots.
Moderate,
nearfall
deficitsmuch
rapidly
increased.
Asand
evidenced
Figure
toria
region
of
Kenya.
Since
this
is
another
in
several
Satellite-Estimated Rainfall Anomaly
Ethiopia
and
the
Sudans.
With
substantiation
from
soil
moisture
mal
rains
occurred
for
a
large
swath
of
Sudan
into
western
30-day deficits totaling more than 100mm now exist in estimates
Valid: May 16 – June 14, 2016
nsecutive
weeks
of
below-average
rainfall
for
these
regions,
and
vegetation
health
indices,
it
is
likely
that
effects
of
abnormal
dryness
are
th Sudan.
Meanwhile,
rainfall
was significantly
suppressed
anda
and western
Kenya.
Negative
anomalies are
observed
nfall
deficits
have
increased.
As
evidenced
in rainfall
Figure
being
felt rapidly
onSudan,
thethe
ground
in Uganda.
Additionally,
both
a Lake
delayed start and
outheastern
South
Uganda,
and
through
the
tretch
across
much
of
greater
horn,
while
30-day
an
early
end
to
the
April-May
(Gu)
rains
in
southern
Somalia
is
30-day
deficits
totaling
more
than
100mm
now
exist
inexpected to
oria
region
Since
this and
is another
in several
been
ampleof inKenya.
western
Ethiopia
the Sudans.
With
adversely
affect
cropping.
Crop yields
are expected
to be reduced in the key
anda
and
western
Kenya.
Negative
anomalies
are
observed
secutive
weeks
below-average
rainfall forand
these
regions,
stantiation
fromof soil
moisture
estimates
vegetation
producing
areas
of the
Lower Shabelle
and Bay.
Drier-than-normal
weather is
stretch
across
much
of
the
greater
horn,
while
30-day
rainfall
fall
have
rapidly
increased.
evidenced
inWestern
Figure
lth deficits
indices,
it is likely
that
effects
ofAsnext
abnormal
dryness
are
forecasted
for
Uganda
once
again
week,
while
Ethiopia
should
s been
ample
in
western
Ethiopia
and
the both
Sudans.
With
30-day
deficits
totaling
more
than
100mm
nowa exist
in
ng
felt on
the
ground
in rains.
Uganda.
Additionally,
delayed
see
more
heavy
bstantiation
from
soil
moisture
estimates
and
nda
Kenya.
Negative
anomalies
areinvegetation
observed
t andand
an western
early
end
to the
April-May
(Gu) rains
southern
alth
indices,
it
is
likely
that
effects
of
abnormal
dryness
are
retch
across
much
of
the
greater
horn,
while
30-day
malia is expected to adversely affect cropping there.rainfall
Crop
ng
felt
on
the
ground
in
Uganda.
Additionally,
both
a
delayed
been
ample in towestern
Ethiopia
Sudans.
With
ds
are expected
be reduced
in theand
key the
producing
areas
of
rt and an early
to the April-May
(Gu) rains
southern
stantiation
from end
soil
estimates
and in
vegetation
Lower Shabelle
andmoisture
Bay. Drier-than-normal
weather
is
malia
is expected
to adversely
croppingdryness
there. Crop
Source: NOAA/CPC
th indices,
is likely
that again
effectsaffect
of abnormal
are
ecasted
for itUganda
once
next
week,
while
Western
lds
areonexpected
to be
reduced
inAdditionally,
the key producing
areas of Figure 3: NOAA/CPC
g felt
the see
ground
in heavy
Uganda.
both a delayed
iopia
should
more
rains.
Lower
Shabelle
Bay.
Drier-than-normal
is
t and
anFamine
earlyoutlook
end and
to
the
April-May
(Gu)
rains
inweather
southern
Early
Warning
Systems
Network
2 (up to
ote:
The hazards
map onagain
page
1next
is based
on current
weather/climate information and short and medium range weather forecasts
ecasted
for
Uganda
once
week,
while
Western
Figurepolygons
3: NOAA/CPC
malia
expected
adversely
affect
cropping
there.
Crop Shaded
eek). Itis
assesses
theirtopotential
impact
on crop
and pasture
conditions.
are added in areas where anomalous conditions hav
hiopia
should The
seeboundaries
more heavy
rains. polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long rang
en are
observed.
of these
ds
expected to
be reduced
in the key producing areas of
asonal
forecasts
indicate
current
or projected
food
security
ote:
Theclimate
hazards
outlook
map
on page
1 is based
on current
weather/climate
information and short and medium range weather forecasts (up to
Lower
Shabelle
andor
Bay.
Drier-than-normal
weather
is conditions.
Weather Hazards Summary
June 17-23, 2016
Central Asia Weather Hazards
No hazards posted for Central Asia.
Flooding
Abnormal Dryness
Drought
Severe Drought
Tropical Cyclone
Potential Locust Outbreak
Heavy Snow
Abnormal Cold
Abnormal Heat
Temperatures
Above-normal temperatures were observed
across much of the region from June 5 to 11, with
the largest positive anomalies of 5 to 7 °C across
southern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan,
Uzbekistan, and northern Afghanistan. The hottest
temperatures were observed across western
Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, where
maximum temperatures ranged from 40 to 47 °C.
During the next week, seasonal temperatures are
predicted across most of Central Asia.
Precipitation
Widespread showers and thundershowers affected
the northern half of northern Kazakhstan from
June 5 to 11, with many locations in north-central
Source: FEWS NET/NOAA
Kazakhstan receiving more than 25 mm. The rainfall
since late May ended the short-term dryness that had
previously developed across northern Kazakhstan. The CPC unified gauge analysis depicts 30-day precipitation surpluses
across nearly the entire region.
Scattered showers and thundershowers (locally more than 25 mm) are forecast to continue throughout Central Asia during
the next week with the most widespread rainfall across northern Kazakhstan.
Central America and the Caribbean Weather Hazards
1. Thirty-day rainfall deficits have persisted
across portions of Guatemala, Honduras, and
El Salvador despite increased rain during the
past week. Heavy rain is forecast to continue
during the next week and is expected to help
alleviate dryness over many local areas.
2. The risks for flooding remain high across the
Pacific and central regions of Guatemala as
torrential rain is forecast to continue during the
upcoming week.
1
2
3. Poorly-distributed rain since early May has resulted in abnormal
dryness throughout the southern departments of Haiti and southwestern
Dominican Republic. Limited amounts of rain are forecast during the next
week, potentially worsening dryness over the region.
No Hazards
Posted for
Central America
Flooding
Abnormal Dryness
Drought
Severe Drought
Tropical Cyclone
Potential Locust Outbreak
Heavy Snow
Abnormal Cold
Abnormal Heat
Source: FEWS NET/NOAA
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
3
Weather
Hazards
Summary
is forecast
to continue
during
the the
next
seven
days.
her
is forecast
to
continue
during
next
seven
days.
June 17-23, 2016
America
and
the
Caribbean
Overview
crease
inCentral
rainfall
hashas
been
beneficial
to the
Primera,
May-August
season,
in Central
America.
During
the the
pastpast
seven
days,
nt
increase
in rainfall
been
beneficial
to the
Primera,
May-August
season,
in Central
America.
During
seven
da
ove-average
rain
was
observed
across
most
areas,
with
the
heaviest
rain
in
northern
Guatemala,
Belize,
the
Gulf
of
Hond
d above-average
rain was observed across most areas, with the heaviest rain in northern Guatemala, Belize, the Gulf of Ho
Wet weather is forecast to continue during the next seven days
dand
eastern
Nicaragua.
Meanwhile,
moderate
to heavy
rainrain
waswas
recorded
elsewhere.
Although
the the
stark
increase
in rainfall
o
eastern
Nicaragua.
Meanwhile,
moderate
to heavy
recorded
elsewhere.
Although
stark
increase
in rainfa
as
helped
to
eliminate
thirty-day
moisture
deficits
over
many
local
areas
of
northern
Central
America,
moderate,
neg
s has
helped
to
eliminate
thirty-day
moisture
deficits
over
many
local
areas
of
northern
Central
America,
moderate,
n
The recent increase in rainfall has been beneficial to the Primera (May-August) season in Central America. During the past seven
persisted
over
the
western,
northern,
and
eastern
parts
of
Guatemala,
Honduras,
and
El
Salvador.
In
Guatemala,
poo
sve
have
persisted
over
the
western,
northern,
and
eastern
parts
of
Guatemala,
Honduras,
and
El
Salvador.
In
Guatemala,
p
days, widespread, heavy and above-average rain was observed across most areas, with the heaviest rain in northern Guatemala,
yMay
hashas
already
ledGulf
to wilted
crops
over
some
areas.
Recent
vegetation
health
indices
have
indicated
mostly
marginal
to abo
already
led
wilted
crops
some
Recent
vegetation
health
indices
have
indicated
mostly
marginal
to
Belize,
the
oftoHonduras,
Gulf
ofover
Fonseca,
and areas.
eastern
Nicaragua.
Meanwhile,
moderate
to heavy
rain
was
recorded
elsewhere.
Central
America.
serover
Central
America.
Although
the stark increase in rainfall over the past two weeks has helped to eliminate thirty-day moisture deficits over many local
areas of northern Central America, moderate, negative rainfall anomalies have persisted over the western, northern, and eastern
parts
of Guatemala,
Honduras,
and
El Salvador.
Guatemala,
poor
rain
during
April
andwith
Maywith
has
already
ledrain
to
wilted
crops
overGuatemala,
ek,
wet wet
weather
patterns
are are
expected
to continue
overover
Central
America,
heavy
rain
over
southern
week,
weather
patterns
expected
toIn continue
Central
America,
heavy
over
southern
Guatema
some
areas.
Recent
vegetation
health
indices
have
indicated
mostly
marginal
to
above-average
conditions
over
Central
America.
onduras,
GulfGulf
of Fonseca,
andand
the the
Southern
Caribbean.
Though
the the
forecast,
abundant
rainrain
should
helphelp
eliminate
mois
, Honduras,
of Fonseca,
Southern
Caribbean.
Though
forecast,
abundant
should
eliminate
m
excess
moisture
could
alsoalso
exacerbate
conditions
overover
already-saturated
andand
flood
prone
areas.
ThisThis
includes
thist
yeas,
areas,
excess
moisture
could
exacerbate
conditions
already-saturated
flood
prone
areas.
includes
Next week, wet weather patterns are expected to continue over Central America, with heavy rain over southern Guatemala, the Gulf
ken
areas
of the
Sumpango,
Sacatepéquez
department
of Guatemala,
Miguel
Arcangel,
Tegucigalpa
of Hondur
areas
of
the
Sumpango,
Sacatepéquez
department
of Guatemala,
andand
SanSan
Miguel
Arcangel,
Tegucigalpa
of Honduras.
of Honduras, Honduras, Gulf of Fonseca, and the Southern Caribbean. Though abundant rain should help eliminate moisture deficits
oderate
is forecast.
rate rainrain
is forecast.
over many areas, excess moisture could also exacerbate conditions over already-saturated and flood prone areas. This includes this
past week’s flood-stricken areas of the Sumpango, Sacatepéquez department of Guatemala, and San Miguel Arcangel, Tegucigalpa of
Week
1 Rainfall
Total
Anomaly
Forecast
(mm)
Week
1 Rainfall
Total
andand
Anomaly
Forecast
(mm)
Honduras. Elsewhere, light to moderate rain is forecast.
June
– June
2016
June
15 –15June
22, 22,
2016
Figure 5: Seven-Day Rainfall Anomaly Forecast (mm)
Figure 4: Seven-Day Total Rainfall Forecast (mm)
Valid: June 15-22, 2016
Valid: June 15-27, 2016
Source: NOAA/CPC
Source: NOAA/CPC
Figure
1: Source
NOAA
/ CPC
Figure
1: Source
NOAA
/ CPC
Poor rain since early May has led to abnormal dryness over portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic
While northern portions of Hispaniola have received abundant and above-average rainfall over the past thirty days, southern
areas have suffered from insufficient and below-average rain. Cumulative rain since mid-May has accounted only between 2550 this
percent
ofmay
the
in abnormal
dryness
over the southern Peninsula of Haiti. During the past seven days,
omments
product
beaverage,
directed
toresulting
[email protected]
or 1-301-683-3424.
nts aboutabout
this product
may be
directed
to [email protected]
or 1-301-683-3424.
moderate rain was limited over central Dominican Republic, while light rain was observed elsewhere. The uneven distribution of
rainfall over the past four weeks has already negatively impacted conditions on the grounds of many local areas. Recent crop
performance models and vegetation health indices have indicated further degradation in conditions over areas of southern Haiti.
During the next week, light and below-average rain is forecast to continu. Only localized areas of central Haiti and central
Dominican Republic are expected to receive moderate showers, while light to no rain is forecast elsewhere. The forecast
continuation of insufficient rain could further negatively impact the first rainfall season’s cropping activities.
ABOUT WEATHER HAZARDS
Hazard maps are based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week) and their potential impact on crop and
pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at
this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
4