by Sidney Rutberg and Michele Ocejo W hile the sun shone brightly in San Diego through most of the 61st Annual Convention of the Asset-Based Financial Services Industry, the lending business may be facing some bumpy weather. At the breakout sessions on problems facing the industry, it appeared that, although the economy is strong, there is simply too much money chasing too few borrowers. And adding to the mix is the growth of the hedge fund industry as aggressive competitors for the sub-prime loans. Hedge funds, which were originally mutual funds that added leverage and short selling to the arsenal of investment tools, are now diversified financial powerhouses with rapidly growing capital resources that have moved into the turf of asset-based lenders. Total funds under management by the hedge fund industry is now estimated at $1.1 trillion and still growing. According to Alec H. Petro, of Gamma Investors, King of Prussia, PA, moderator of a panel on hedge funds, the funds are not very active in senior-debt markets yet, but their interest is growing rapidly. He said that returns are getting smaller on most investments so they are more interested in the debt markets. Mr. Petro said that originally hedge funds were purchased by high net-worth individuals, but that type of investment is slowing down and now endowments and 58 foundations are becoming significant investors. Ten years ago, he said, plenty of universities had no money in hedge funds. Now many have about 10 to 15 percent of their endowments in hedge funds and Harvard and Yale have about 35 percent, Mr. Petro said. He added that, while returns to investors are slimming, the capital inflow is still growing. There are now about 7,000 hedge funds, but about a quarter of these go out of business every year. They provide higher compensation at higher risks, he said. Another speaker at the session, Kenneth M. Sands, Fortress Credit Corp. and Fortress Investment Group, New York, said hedge funds have been mainly buying high-yield debt and buying into syndicated deals. “Hedge funds don’t have the personnel to be in negotiated deals.” In order to provide the returns expected by hedge fund investors, the funds must employ leverage, according to Mr. Sands. With leverage of 4 to 1, hedge funds can lend money at five, six, or seven percent and still provide a yield that their investors expect. Michael Szwajkowski, managing director, CapitalSource, Chevy Chase, MD, said that he started as a lender and built a business on the origination side. He noted that his firm operates with a more moderate risk (Continued on page 60) THE SECURED LENDER than other hedge funds. Generally, hedge funds’ target is a 20 percent return on equity, according to Mr. Szwajkowski. It was explained that because of the return requirements, which are based on a percentage of equity, gross returns may start at 20 percent but, since the fund takes two percent as a fee, the return is down to 18 percent. Then the fund takes 20 percent of the profits, which comes to 3.6 percent of the equity in a $1 billion fund, and reduces the investors return to 14.4 percent. Among the problems hedge funds face is the possibility of a run on the bank since most offer redemption that allows investors to take their money and run. However, some funds have restrictions on withdrawals. One panelist noted that his firm offers annual redemptions, with provisions for slow pay and fast pay. The fast-pay method provides for payment when the money is available, but provides no yield until payment. The slow pay, he said, can take years, but the yield continues until payment. It’s like the roach motel, he said, “You can check in, but you can’t check out.” There was also a hedge fund representative at a session on what is happening in the asset-based lending industry. Kevin P. Genda, managing director of Cerberus Capital Management, said that the $16 billion hedge fund has about $3.5 billion in loans outstanding. He pointed out that more hedge funds are coming into the market every week. Some funds originate transactions, but most still just buy pieces of others’ deals. “There is so much capital in the market that I think there will be real trouble for those who can’t originate their own credits,” Mr. Genda said. “Lending is still a relatively new strategy for opportunistic hedge funds, “ Mr. Genda pointed out. 60 While the hedge funds will be growing as competition for loans, there is another side: Hedge funds may also become an important financing source for finance companies. Others on the panel with Mr. Genda were John Fox, chairman and CEO of Rockland Credit Finance, LLC, Owings Mills, MD, who represented the relatively small entrepreneurial firm; Michael J. Maiorino, executive vice president and managing director, Sovereign Bank, Iselin, NJ, representing the middle-market lenders; and Terrence J. Ullrich, senior vice president of Chase Business Credit, New York, speaking for the large lenders. Michael D. Haddad, executive vice president of Marquette Business Credit, Dallas, was moderator. Mr. Ullrich described the economy as “healthy” with low unemployment, low inflation, rising but still low interest rates and default rates at cyclical lows. About the only soft spots, he said, are the auto and airline industries. “Banks are earning a lot of money and looking to put on loans. They are looking to expand and grow.” He added that all markets are open, IPOs and the high-yield market are good. “There is a lot of money around and pricing is low.” He noted that institutional investors continue growing more active in the leveraged market and are now an extremely important source of liquidity. They provide a majority of funds raised in highly leveraged transactions, particularly in new leveraged buyouts. Also, Mr. Ullrich pointed out, LBOs are becoming increasingly leveraged. In the first nine months of 2005, the average equity contribution in LBOs dropped to 32.3 percent from 37.8 percent in 2000. Mr. Maiorino outlined the optimal strategy for the middle-market lender. These included customized solutions, working within a company’s skill set, developing niches to add value, looking for geographic opportunities, spreading risk with strong syndication capability, understanding the nuances of collateral and controlling internal leakage of ABL deals with a strong credit policy. He described the middlemarket asset-based lender as squeezed by bank middlemarket lenders, a lack of opportunities within traditional framework, hedge funds, ignorance, air balls and compressed margins. However, he cited under “good news,” a potential economic downturn which will increase problem THE SECURED LENDER loans and create opportunities, better margins and a more rational structure of asset-based loans. Among the problems for the small finance companies, Mr. Fox said, were the need to get reasonable lines of credit, getting and keeping good people, strong competition and compressed rates. In order to be competitive, Mr. Fox stressed the need for automation to lower costs and improve efficiency, improve service to clients, help spot problem areas, and prospect for new business. It was Mr. Fox who cited hedge funds as potential sources of financing for the small finance company. Another assessment of the economy came at a session on capital markets and it pretty much was in line with Mr. Ullrich’s vision. Jay Bryson, vice president and global economist at Wachovia Corp., Charlotte, said the economy in the third quarter of 2005 grew 3.5 percent, which he called “a pretty decent growth rate.” He said the growth was led by the consumer sector, which accounted for 2 ½ percent of the growth with business investment providing one percent. However, for the next year or so, business JANUARY/FEBRUARY, 2006 spending will be the engine for growth, he said. “Business capital is growing at doubledigit rates and balance sheets are strong,” he said. However, Mr. Bryson said he did see a possible consumerdriven recession in 2007 or 2008. Another speaker at the capital markets session, David Hinman, portfolio manager at Ares Management, LLC, a Los Angelesbased hedge fund, agreed that the next recession would be consumer-led and noted that all the savings are in corporations. He said that corporate balance sheets show $800 billion in cash. The CFA convention, held at the Marriott Hotel and Marina, attracted some 1,600 delegates, who, in addition to the breakout sessions, were enlightened and entertained by several high-profile speakers. Former Secretary of State, General Colin L. Powell, spoke at the opening session and outlined his philosophy of leadership. He avoided politics, but managed to keep the audience spellbound with his crisp sense of humor and anecdotes of his personal experiences with world leaders. 61 Patricia A. Redmond, also with Stearns Weaver, explained that under the new law, if someone moves within two years of bankruptcy to a state with higher exemptions, the exemptions would be limited to that of the state where the person or company was based before the move. The third panelist, Michael R. Enright, Robinson & Cole, Hartford, spoke about the new restrictions on payments to key employees. Other notables addressing the convention were Howard Putnam, former CEO of Southwest Airlines, one of the few profitable airlines, and Carly Fiorina, former chairman and chief executive officer of Hewlett-Packard Co. Among the breakout sessions that attracted enthusiastic crowds were ones on the new bankruptcy law; a discussion of the role of accountants in relation to asset-based lenders; international financing for the entrepreneurial finance company; evaluation of intellectual property; and trends in junior debt financing. The bankruptcy session reviewed some of the changes in new bankruptcy law that apply to business bankruptcies, particularly Chapter 11. The moderator, Stuart D. Ames of Stearns Weaver Miller Weissler Alhadeff & Sitterson of Miami, opened the session by noting that, while part of the title of new law is “Consumer Protection Act”, the law is “anything but a consumer protection act. It is purely a creditor piece of legislation that has most effect on consumers.” However, there are some changes in business bankruptcies related to preferences, fraudulent transfers, homestead exemptions and payments to key employees. Robert F. Zadek of Buchalter Nemer Fields & Younger, San Francisco, pointed out that under the new law payments within 90 days before filing bankruptcy remains the time frame for preference actions, but the defenses against these actions have been liberalized. Instead of having to show that the payment was made in the ordinary course of business and in the normal terms of the industry, the “and’ was changed to “or” so either of those defenses would be sufficient. On fraudulent transfers, Mr. Zadek noted that the look-back period has been increased to two years from one year. 62 The panel on international finance for the entrepreneurial finance company covered purchase-order financing, the Export-Import Bank’s program for guarantees on exports and a review of overseas factoring chains. Edward P. King, managing partner of King Trade Capital, Dallas, covered purchase-order financing, which he said allows undercapitalized companies to fill orders that they would be unable to fill without capital provided by purchase-order finance companies. Otherwise, the company with the order would have to pay cash or obtain letters of credit, neither of which it is able to obtain. In order to finance purchases, Mr. King said, rather than depend on the client’s balance sheet, the finance company must look at the creditworthiness of the client’s customer and the ability of the supplier to deliver the goods, or what he called “the integrity of the transaction.” The help of purchase-order financing may be needed by start-ups or companies with seasonal businesses that require additional financing at peak seasons, according to Mr. King. Len Blum of Westwood Capital, New York, pointed out that international trade is booming and trade is growing faster than world gross domestic product. Additionally, the THE SECURED LENDER use of LCs is waning and there is more international business done on open account terms. He noted that there are a number of overseas organizations of factoring firms, including Factors Chain International, which has 204 factoring firms in 50 countries. A U.S. company working with this type of group obtains credit protection along with local knowledge of the exporters’ customers, Mr. Blum said. Wayne Gardella, vice president at the Export-Import Bank of the United States, said that the bank offers to guarantee 90 percent of the export invoices so long as the merchandise exported is at least 50 percent of U.S. content. It also provides advances up to 75 percent on inventory and up to 90 percent on receivables. In the session on the relationship between accountants and lenders, it became clear that, while lenders depend on figures provided in financial statements, the accountant’s first loyalty is the client. “It’s the client who pays us. Lenders can communicate with the accountant after first obtaining the permission of the client,” said Bruce Madnick, partner in Friedman, LLP, New York. Mr. Madnick also described the different types of statements issued, making it clear that compilations and reviews, in which accountants do little more than the arithmetic, are a com- Sidney Rutberg is the retired financial editor of Fairchild News Service, Women’s Wear Daily and the Daily News Record. He is a contributing editor to THE SECURED LENDER. pletely different breed than certified audits. However, even with certified audits, the lender “needs to do some of its own investigation,” Mr. Madnick said. The other panelist, Roy Grossman, senior vice president of Israel Discount Bank of New York, agreed, noting that “the financial statement is only one of the components of the credit decision.” Mr. Grossman also complained, “It is a struggle to get timely statements.” Mr. Madnick conceded that there are delays in preparing statements, but it is usually the result of the client not being ready. Moderator for the panel was Neville Grusd, executive vice president of Merchant Factors Corp., New York, and chairman of the CFA Committee on Cooperation with Accountants. In the session on evaluation of intellectual property, it was clear that it is much more difficult to evaluate that type of asset than it is to evaluate traditional assets such as receivables and inventory. But there are techniques that can help in appraising intellectual property. It was also JANUARY/FEBRUARY, 2006 explained that securitization of intellectual property involves the organization of a special-purpose entity to sell securities backed by an income stream, usually of royalties, while collateralization is the use of intellectual property as security for asset-based loans. It was also clear that the use of IP as collateral is growing rapidly. The first speaker was David C. Drews, president of IPMetrics, San Diego, a specialist in evaluating IP. He said that among the criteria for evaluation is to determine the Michele A. Ocejo is executive editor of THE SECURED LENDER. She received a B.A. in journalism from Rutgers University, Newark, NJ. cash flow attributed to the asset, cost of reproduction of the asset or replacement of the asset. He also advised that any appraisal must pay attention to the opportunity costs. And, if there are a bundle of intellectual assets, it is important to understand how the assets relate to each other. He also said a lender should try to evaluate what the asset would be worth in liquidation. Andrea Kutscher, managing director of Westwood Capital, LLC., New York, said securitization is possible when there is cash flow, generally from royalties. The seller gets cash upfront available for other investments while the buyer gets a high return, she said. Also, she stressed that in a securitization, the asset is rented, not sold. The seller gets the asset back after the securities are paid off, Ms. Kutscher said. The third panelist, Edward Meintzer, senior vice president of business development at IP Innovations Financial Services, Charlotte, conceded that IP is more difficult to evaluate than traditional collateral, but noted that his firm has made asset-based loans against receivables and inventory and added in some intellectual property. He noted that the IP piece might help close air balls. Among the financial trends is the growth of second-lien or tranche B lending. In a session on this type of lending, it was pointed out that just five years ago second-lien lending totaled about $1 billion. It is now above $20 billion. Matthew R. Kahn, president of GB Merchant Partners, LLC, Boston, a division of Gordon Bros., was moderator. Panelists were Susan Chen, vice president of D.B. Zwern & Co., New York, and Greg Walker, Silver Point Capital, Greenwich, CT. Mr. Walker explained that while the first-lien lenders are secured by collateral, the second-lien lenders depend on the enterprise value of the borrower. However, as a defense (Continued on page 73) 63 CFA convention shows strong economy... (Continued from page 63) against the first-lien holder selling the collateral cheaply just to get its money out, the second-lien lender generally requires buyout rights, so it can pay off the senior lender and liquidate the borrower in the hope of getting a better return. Both panelists said that they never exercised the buyout rights, but that it was good to have. Attendees were queried about their experiences. Keith Gerding, vice president, Citigroup, New York, said, ‘This was my first CFA convention, and I must say that I was thrilled to have the opportunity to attend. General Powell’s speech was really spectacular, and the panels I attended were all well-presented and relevant to current issues in our industry, but I have to say the best part of the convention was the opportunity to meet and network with many of the individuals that I work with regularly, but don’t seem to have a chance to just sit down and chat with.” He added, “Given the huge increase in the participation of hedge funds in the debt capital markets, I found the hedge fund panel to be particularly intriguing. It was interesting to hear what others are thinking about the effect this will have on our industry both in the near term and down the road.” This was the first CFA convention for Nicholas Reason, credit analyst, LaSalle Business Credit, Chicago. He said, “It was well-organised, well-attended, with a good choice of seminars, an excellent venue, good networking and a broad cross-section of CFA members in attendance.” Mr. Reason found the hedge fund and second-lien loan panels to be the most helpful. “Such liquidity in the U.S. market is not seen in the UK where I work, and has had a market impact on deal structures and pricing. It is interesting to see how these funding vehicles have developed and how they plan to continue.” Angela Brown, senior vice president, GMAC-RFC Health Capital, Dallas, has been to three CFA conventions. “Overall, I thought the conference was very successful. I especially enjoyed listening to Colin Powell. The panel, Second-Lien, Junior-Secured Financing, was particularly helpful as this market niche continues to draw a lot of attention throughout the industry,” she said. Mark Picillo, vice president of Siemens Financial Services, Inc. Iselin, NJ, gained the most from the panel, “What is Going on in Our Industry? We Tell You.” He said, “They talked about the current state of affairs in ABL. It validated what we were explaining to our bosses regarding what is happening in our market place. ▲
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