The Political Economy of Mass Media David Strömberg October 2011 Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media October 2011 1 / 22 Introduction Media and Politics Media has a unique role transmitting information to mass audiences, potentially producing policial accountability and bias. Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media October 2011 2 / 22 A. Brunetti, B. Weder / Journal of Public Economics 87 (2003) 1801–1824 1811 Fig. 1. Corruption and press freedom. Note: corruption index ranges from 0 (highest corruption) to 6 (lowest corruption), index of press freedom ranges from 0 (highest press freedom) to 100 (lowest press freedom). and corruption is not driven by the differences between developed and less developed countries alone. This regression estimates the base specification for a sample containing only less developed (non-OECD) countries. The coefficient of PRESS is significant and of the expected sign. BUREAU remains significantly related to corruption whereas the coefficient of RULE is not significant in this regression. Compared to regression (1) the adjusted R 2 drops sharply from 0.67 to 0.38 indicating that including the developed countries in the sample improves the fit of the regression. To exclude possible outliers we restricted the sample to observations with residuals plus minus two standard deviations (results not reported). The results are not affected (the coefficient of press freedom is 0.017 with a t statistic of 5.4. Column (3) shows the results of a two-stage least squares Capture Media Pluralism as a Defense against Capture Besley and Prat (2006) Proposition Turnover of politicians and voter welfare are nondecreasing in The number of newspapers n; Audience-related news revenues a; Transaction cost between government and media τ. Capture by interest groups (Corneo 2006); Inequality and capture (Petrova 2007). Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 8 / 30 Capture Determinants of Media Capture: Evidence Cross-country: Media concentration correlated with negative political outcomes. Djankov et al. (2003) Argentinian newspapers with more government-funded advertising cover corruption less (Di Tella-Franceschelli, 2009). Increased commercial motive made newspapers more independent and aggressive in the US in 1870-1920 (Hamilton 2004, Gentzkow-Glaeser-Goldin 2006, Petrova 2009). Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 11 / 30 Free media Studied aspects of free media: what, how, who? What issues do the media cover? How are they covered? Who gets the news? Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 12 / 31 Issue Selection Accountability Media provides information. Voters can better hold politicians accountable on issues of which they are informed. More political e¤ort and better policies for voters who get the news and for covered issues. Proposition Public expenditures, ei , to group i are increasing in (a) the share of media users, ri , (who gets the news) and (b) the amount of coverage by the media to issues a¤ecting that group, qi , (what issues are covered). Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 14 / 30 Issue Selection Evidence: (a) Who gets the news in‡uences policy Voter turnout and New Deal spending increasing in share households with radio. (Strömberg, 1999, 2004b). Introduction of radio. Improved media access in rural America 1920-1940. Identi…cation: quality of reception (ground conductivity) drives radio ownership. Newspaper access in‡uenced Indian disaster relief (Besley and Burgess, 2002). Looks at responsiveness, interaction term between need and spending. Bias: people without media access receive less bene…ts. Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 17 / 32 Issue Selection Evidence: (b) What issues are covered in‡uences policy Agenda setting theory of policy e¤ects, (e.g. Soroka, 2003). foreign policy is MIP correlates positively with the number of articles about this issue in leading national media. Defense spending changes in the USA and the UK 1965-2000 correlated to responses to MIP facing the nation. Network news in‡uences U.S. government disaster relief (Eisensee and Strömberg, 2007). 5000 natural disasters 1968-2002, 10% covered in network news and 20% get U.S. relief. Identi…cation: other newsworthy events crowds out disasters from TV news. Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 18 / 32 Issue Selection Evidence: Bias favoring journalistically newsworthy issues (c) Media induces bias in U.S. relief to natural disasters favoring newsworthy disasters (Eisensee and Strömberg, 2007). Disaster type Volcano Earthquake Fire Storm Flood Landslide Drought Prat-Strömberg () Death ratio 1 2 12 280 674 882 2395 Continent Europe S. and C. America Asia Africa Pol Econ of Mass Media Death ratio 1 3 43 45 ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 19 / 32 Issue Selection Mechanism Proposition The outcomes: (i) the share informed voters, (ii) the responsiveness of votes to perceived competence di¤erences on issue i, and (iii) the e¤ort of politicians are all increasing in (a) the share of media users, ri , and (b) the amount of coverage devoted by the media to issues of interest to that group, qi . Evidence: (ii) - Priming literature, e.g. Iyengar and Kinder, 1987. - Votes responds more to reported corruption in Brazilian municipalities with local radio, (Ferraz and Finan, 2008). Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 20 / 32 Influence of local newspaper coverage on U.S. Congressional politics (Snyder and Strömberg, 2010) Congruence (match) between media market and congressional district drives coverage 7 6 40 60 80 100 Congruence*100 (Additional articles) 95 7.9 7.8 7.7 0 90 100 20 40 60 80 100 Congruence*100 (Additional articles) 85 80 80 60 75 40 Pct. Party Loyal Votes 20 7.6 20 Per capita spending 5 4 3 2 Witness Appearances .6 .5 .4 .3 Name recall 0 .2 .1 0 Policy (iii) Effort and selection of politicians 7.5 (i) Voter Information 0 20 40 60 80 100 Congruence*100 (Additional articles) Ideological Position and E¤ects on Elections What is the e¤ect of media ideology on partisan voting? Audience …lters out ideology, to some extent. Only unexpected endorsements have e¤ects (Chiang and Knight, forthcoming). What issues are covered matters more than how the coverage is ideologically slanted (Gerber, Karlan and Bergan (2006). Audience selects media based on ideological match. Gentzkow and Shapiro (2010), Durante and Knight (2009). Signi…cant e¤ects on elections – for new media and unstable voter preferences. Fox News increased the Republican vote share in 2000 U.S. presidential election (Della Vigna and Kaplan, 2007). NTV increased the opposition’s vote share in the 1999 Russian election (Enikolopov et al, 2009). Prat-Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media ESWC, Shanghai, August 2010 30 / 32 Conclusions and Discussion Future research E¤ects of new media technologies. Apply empirical methodology to new outcomes. Media in authoritarian regimes. A theory of optimal media regulation. Public service broadcasting What determines the ideological position of media. What is the e¤ect of media ideology on informativeness. Strömberg () Pol Econ of Mass Media October 2011 22 / 22
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