DisgustandPublicOpinion CindyD.Kam ProfessorofPoliticalScience VanderbiltUniversity [email protected] BethEstes DoctoralStudent VanderbiltUniversity [email protected] WethankBunmiOlatunji,LizZechmeister,theResearchonIndividuals,Politics&Society LabGroup,andseminarparticipantsattheBehavioralResearchWorkshopatVanderbilt University,theClinicalPsychologyBrownbagseriesatVanderbiltUniversity,andtheVan EkLectureattheUniversityofColorado‐Boulder,forconstructivefeedback. ABSTRACT Wecontributetothegrowingliteratureonemotionsandpoliticsbyfocusingonthe politicalrelevanceofdisgust,abasicemotioncharacterizedbyvisceralaversiontoa potentiallyoffensivestimulus.Weofferaconceptualclarificationofdisgust’spotential connectiontopoliticsandweevaluatehowindividualsensitivitytofeelingdisgusted affectspublicopinion.Althoughthelimitedworkondisgustandpublicopinionsuggestsa relationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandpoliticalconservatism,weshowthatdisgust sensitivityoperatesindependentlyofpoliticalideologyandinformsawidearrayof protectionistpolicypreferencesacrosstheideologicalspectrum,evencontrollingforother relevantpredispositions.Ouranalysessuggestthatdisgustisdistinctfromsimple outgrouphostilityandtherelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandopiniononpolicies regardingoutgroupsdependsuponthecontentofthosepolicies.Finally,survey experimentalresultsdemonstratethatpoliticalcommunicationcanactivatedisgust sensitivityinpublicopinion. Iaimedatthepublic'sheart,andbyaccidentIhititinthestomach.–UptonSinclair UptonSinclair’snovel,TheJungle,chroniclesthestrugglesofaLithuanian immigrantworkinginChicago’smeatpackingindustry.Sinclair,ajournalist,novelist,and two‐timeSocialistcandidateforCongress,aimedtouseTheJungletospotlightthe heartbreakingconditionsofAmericanwageworkers,livingatthemercyofacorruptand mercilesswagesystem.Thepress,thepublic,andpoliticiansseizeduponthenovel,notso muchforitsharrowingportrayaloftheplightofwageworkers,butforitsgraphic descriptionsoftoxicpracticesinthemeat‐packingindustry.ThroughTheJungle, Americanslearnedthattheirsausageswerelacedwithrancidbeefandpork,orworse,rat meat;thatthecanned“chicken”theyatewasactuallybeefheartsandotherorgans;thata workercoulddieandbeabsorbedintothelardsoldontheirneighborhoodgroceryshelves. Then‐PresidentTheodoreRoosevelt,takingadvantageofthepublicoutcry,orderedtwo separateinvestigationsofthemeatinspectionandpackingindustries.Withinfourmonths ofTheJungle’sdebut,CongresspassedthePureFoodandDrugsActandtheMeat InspectionAct. TheJungleisbutonehistoricalexampleofthepotentialpotencyoftheemotionof disgustinanimatingpoliticaldebateandinshapingpublicopinion.Contemporary examplesalongtheselinesareeasytofindaswell.Anti‐abortiondemonstratorsroutinely usegraphicphotographsofabortedfetuses.PeoplefortheEthicalTreatmentofAnimals (PETA)hasstagedprotestsatFashionWeekeventsacrosstheglobe–withactivists wearing(nothingbut)skinnedfoxes,protestorsholdingbloodyphotosofharmedanimals, anddemonstratorscoveringthemselves(andothers)withfaux‐blood.And,disgusthas workeditswayintoelectoralcampaignsaswell:CarlP.Paladino,Republicancandidatein the2010NewYorkStategubernatorialrace,sentgarbage‐scentedmailingstoprospective voterswiththeheadline“ThestinkofcorruptioninAlbanyisoverpowering”(Chen2010). Ifpoliticallifeistingedwithdisgust‐ladenrhetoric,disgust‐evokingimagery,and, evendisgust‐inducingodors,doesthisnecessarilymeanthatdisgustworksitswayinto publicopinion?Andifso,how? UNDERSTANDINGDISGUST Nearly150yearsago,CharlesDarwindescribeddisgustas“somethingrevolting, primarilyinrelationtothesenseoftaste,asactuallyperceivedorvividlyimagined;and secondarilytoanythingwhichcausesasimilarfeeling,throughthesenseofsmell,touch, andevenofeyesight”(1872,p.254).Inhisearlyworkondiscreteemotions,psychologist PaulEkman(1984)identifieddisgust(alongwithsurprise,anger,fear,sadness,and happiness)asa“basicemotion,”characterizedbyadistinctivesetofuniversally recognizablesignalsandadistinctivephysiologicalresponse,andaccompaniedby automaticappraisalofastimulus.Psychologistslargelyagreethatdisgustoccurswhenan individualperceivesandseekstorejectcontactwithanimpureobject,action,orevent(e.g., Rozinetal.2008).Disgustedindividualsfeelthesensationofnausea(aphysiological responseassociatedwiththeexpulsionofoffendingmatter)andhaveadistinctfacial expression:awrinklednose,gape,andretractionoftheupperlip(physiologicalresponses associatedwithcreatingabarriertowardofentryofoffendingmatterandtoallowthe expulsionofit;e.g.,Rozinetal.1994).1Inlinewiththisnotionofdisgustascreating barriersbetweentheselfandoffendingstimuli,Miller(2004)entitlesherbookDisgust:The GatekeeperEmotion. 1Attestingtotheinnatenessofphysiologicalresponsesofdisgust,eventhecongenitallyblindmakethese facialexpressionswhendisgusted(Galatietal.1997). 2 Evolutionarypsychologistsbelievethatdisgustdevelopedasadefensivemechanism toprotectthebodyagainstpathogens.2Thisaspectofdisgust,namelyCoreDisgust,asitis nowcalled,is“anoraldefenseagainstharmfrompotentialfoods,orthingsthatcaneasily contaminatefoodssuchasbodyproductsandsomeanimals”(Rozinetal.2008,p.761). Rozinetal.(2008)distinguishotheraspectsofdisgustthateach,inturn,expandtodefense ofthebody,soul,andsocialorder.3InterpersonalContaminationDisgustextendsbeyond thebodytothesoulandthesocialorder:thisisdisgustcharacterizedbyanaversionto particulargroupsofpeoplesuchasstrangers/outsidersandtosocialbehaviorsthatare culturallydeemedtobeunacceptable(Rozinetal.2008).Thiscontaminationdisgustalso containsanaspectofsympatheticmagicalthinking–thattheemotionofdisgustcan emergeevenwhenthereisno“real”threatofcontamination.Forexample,subjectsfinda pieceofchocolate(thathappenstobeshapedlikedogfeces)disgusting:eventhoughthe chocolateitselfisnotlikelytocontaminate,thesympatheticlawofsimilarity(Rozinetal. 1986)impartstheobjectionablequalitiesofdogfecestoachocolateshapedlikethat object.Contamination,thus,mayberealorimaginary.Importantly,judgmentsabout whichgroupsofpeopleorwhichbehaviorsaredeemed“disgusting”areculturally constructed:justbecausesocietyfeelsdisgusttowardaparticulargrouporactiondoesnot meanthatthegrouporactionactuallypresentarealharm;indeedweoftenunfairly fabricateareasonsomethingorsomeonedisgustsusasawaytostigmatizethebehavioror groupandlegislateagainstit(Nussbaum2010).Regardlessofanytrueharmbroughton 2Foradetailedaccountofthisdisease‐avoidancemechanism,see,e.g.,Oatenetal.2009. 3AnimalReminderDisgustextendstoallpartsofthebodyandincludesreminders(suchasthefluidsinvolved insexualreproductionanddecayingorganisms)thathumansareanimalisticbeings(Rozinetal.2008).We setasidethisparticularaspectofdisgust,aswebelieveitislesscentrallyrelatedtopoliticscomparedwith theothertwo. 3 bypurportedobjectsofdisgust,disgustseemstobeapowerfulemotionthatcanbeusedas protectionagainstphysical,spiritual,andsocietalharm. Althoughevolutionarypsychologistsfocusondisgustasanadaptivemechanism, presentinallsocieties,muchoftheexistingempiricalworkondisgustfocusesoneither state‐basedortrait‐baseddisgust(aswellastheirinteraction).4Here,weareprimarily interestedintrait‐baseddisgust:individualdifferencesinpeople’ssensitivityto experiencingdisgust,andtheattitudinalandbehavioralcorrelatesoftrait‐baseddisgust. Workalongthisveinhasdevelopedvariousscales(andsubscales)toidentifyindividuals’ self‐reportedlikelihoodofexperiencingdifferenttypesofdisgustwhenfacedwithvarious scenarios.MostworkpointstothepioneeringresearchbyHaidt,McCauley,andRozin (1994)thatdevelopedandvalidatedtheoriginal32‐itemDisgustScale.5Theoriginalscale wasaimedattappingsevenaspectsofdisgust:“food,animals,bodyproducts,sex,envelope violations,death,andhygiene”(Haidtetal.1994,p.710).Subsequentworkhasrevised 4Theempiricalworkonstate‐baseddisgustexamineshowsituationaltriggers(suchasimagesofdisgust‐ evokingobjects,offensivesmells,orbittertastes)inducetheemotionofdisgustandtherebyshape subsequentattitudesandbehaviors.Onestreamofworkinvestigatesdisgustwithrespecttothe human/animaldivide:visualexposuretoaspectsofcoredisgust(feces,vomit),byemphasizingthe “creatureliness”ofhumanbeings,increasestheaccessibilityofdeath‐relatedthoughts(Coxetal.2007). Anotherstreamofworklooksattheroleofdisgustonsocialjudgments(relatingtodisgustasatriggerfor protectionofthesocialorder).Forexample,subjectswhowereexposedtooffensivesmells(Schnalletal. 2008),disgustingworkspace(Schnalletal.2008),disgustingvideos(Schnalletal.2008),andbittertastes (Eskineetal.2011),andwhowereaskedtorecalldisgustingexperiences(Schnalletal.2008)rendered harsherjudgmentsonmoraltransgressionsthansubjectsintherespectivecontrolconditions.Inanother streamofwork,Lerneretal.(2004)examinetheendowmenteffectamongsubjectsexposedtoadisgust‐ evokingfilmclip,findingthatdisgustedsubjectswhoparticipateinsubsequenteconomicgameshavelower sellingprices(theyaremoreeagertoridthemselvesofanendowment)andhigherbuyingprices(theyare lesseagertoadoptnewitems).Inaseriesofbehavioralstudies,Porzig‐Drummondetal.(2009)examinethe effectofdisgust‐inducingvideosandpostersonhand‐washingbehaviors,findingsignificantincreasesin hand‐washinghygieneinbothlabandfieldinterventions. 5Thereareseveralotherindividualdifferencemeasuresondisgustaswell.TheDisgustEmotionscale(DES, Walls&Kleinknecht1996)isa30‐itemmeasuretappingthepropensitytoexperiencedisgusttowardsfive typesofstimuli.TheDisgustpropensityandsensitivityscale‐revised(DPSS‐R,vanOverveldetal.2006)isa twelve‐itemscalethattapspropensitytoexperiencedisgustaswellassensitivity(“tendencytoevaluate experiencingdisgustnegatively”,Overveldetal.2011,p.327). 4 andreanalyzedthepsychometricpropertiesofthisscale,producingtherevised25‐item DisgustScale,orDS‐R(Haidt,McCauleyandRozin,1994,modifiedbyOlatunjietal.2007).6 Inlinewiththenotionthatdisgustisaprotectivereactiondesignedtowardoff contamination,psychologistshaveuncoveredarelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivity andclinicalconditionssuchasobsessive‐compulsivedisordersandspecificphobias (OlatunjiandSawchuk2005,Olatunjietal.2007;Tolinetal.2006).Anotherlineofwork hasuncoveredarelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandintergroupattitudes,withthe ideathatdisgustarisesoutofadesiretoprotectthebody,soul,andsocietyfrom contamination.Inbaretal.(2009b)demonstrateacorrelationbetweendisgustsensitivity andimplicitattitudestowardshomosexuals,andNavaretteandFessler(2006)showthat disgustsensitivityiscorrelatedwithfavoritismtowardsAmericansandhostilitytowards foreigners. DISGUSTAND…POLITICS? Tosaythatdisgustinfluencesourchoicesaboutwhattoeat,whentowash,andwho toavoidisperhapsindisputable.Buthowmuchofaroledoesdisgustplayinpolitical attitudes?Asmatteringofexistingwork,mostofitpublishedinthepastfiveyears,offers suggestivebut,toourmind,notdispositiveevidenceinthisregard. Someofthisworkcentersontheroleofdisgustinpolicingthesocialorder,withthe ideathatdisgustservestocontrolthepossibilityofcontagionacrossgroupsofpeople.For example,Dasguptaetal.(2009)findthatdisgustmanipulationsincreasebiasagainst disgust‐relevantgroups.Existingworkcitedaboveondisgustsensitivityshowsa 6Theoriginalandrevisedscaleshavebeentranslatedintoatleastelevenlanguagesforusearoundtheworld. Formoreonthedisgustscale,seehttp://people.stern.nyu.edu/jhaidt/disgustscale.html. 5 relationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandintergroupattitudes.Althoughthesestudies donotexplicitlylinkdisgustwithpublicpolicypreferences,itisnotdifficulttoseehow feelingsaboutparticulargroups,ingroupbias,andoutgroupantipathymightleadto supportoroppositionforcertainpublicpolicies. Arecentbodyofworkhasbeguntodirectlyexploretherelevanceofdisgust sensitivityforpolitics.Disgustsensitivityisoftenlinkedtoconservatismthrougha behavioralimmunesystemaccount:conservativeideology(typicallyconceptualizedas social,asopposedtoeconomic,conservatism)operatestominimizepathogenentryand contamination.7Acrossseveralconveniencesamples,Inbarandcolleagues(Inbaretal. 2009a,2012)findasignificant(thoughsubstantivelysmall)correlationbetweendisgust sensitivityandpoliticalconservatismintheUnitedStates.Forexample,thebivariate correlationbetweenoveralldisgustsensitivityandideologicalidentificationinInbaretal. (2012)wasr=0.17.Inbaretal.(2012)alsoutilizealarge‐scalecross‐nationalconvenience sampletouncoverasignificantbivariaterelationship(r=0.22)betweendisgustsensitivity andpoliticalconservatismin121separatecountriesoftheworld.Inaddition,Inbaretal. (2009a)alsoidentifyarelationshipbetweenself‐reporteddisgustsensitivityandspecific policyattitudes,particularlythoserelatedtomoral,socialissuessuchasabortionandgay marriageasopposedtoeconomicissuesorforeignpolicy(alsoseeInbaretal.2012),and Terrizzietal.(2010)uncoverasignificantbivariaterelationshipbetweendisgust sensitivityandsocialissues(gaymarriage,stemcellresearch,abortion,euthanasia, medicinalmarijuana)butdonotcontrolforconfoundingfactors.And,therelationship 7ButTyburetal.(2010)explicitlytestforthismechanismand,inthreeseparatestudies,uncoverno relationshipbetweensensitivitytopathogendisgustandpoliticalconservatism.Theyalsofailedtouncovera significantrelationshipbetweenoveralldisgustsensitivityandpoliticalconservatism(r=0.06). 6 betweendisgustsensitivityandpoliticsmayalsotranslatetoelectoralchoice:Inbaretal. (2012)uncoverasuggestivebivariaterelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityand intendedpresidentialvotechoice:peoplehighindisgustsensitivityreportedalower likelihoodthattheywouldvoteforObamain2008(r=‐0.10). Whilethisworkprovidesafruitfulstartingpointforworkrelatingdisgust sensitivitytomattersofpoliticalrelevance,webelievefurtherworkisneeded.Mostofthis workutilizesconveniencesamples;theInbaretal.(2009b)evidenceisbasedonlaboratory studiesofstudentsandtheInbaretal.(2012)demonstrationsarebasedononline conveniencesamples.Whilewehavenoapriorioppositiontoconveniencesamplesperse, thefactisthattheseparticularconveniencesamplesaresharplyskewedintheliberal direction,makingitdifficulttodiscerntheextenttowhichtherearesubstantialdifferences acrosstheentireideologicalspectrumoramongliberalsthemselves.8Additionally,mostof thesignificantbivariatecorrelationsaremodestinmagnitude(inthe0.10to0.20range). And,muchofthisworkutilizesbivariatecorrelationsthatputasideotherstandard predictorsofpublicopinion,usesadhocmeasuresyettobevalidatedinthepolitical scienceliterature(Inbaretal.2009,Study2),orreportsmixedresultsontherelationship betweendisgustsensitivityandconservatism,whenmeasuredwithpartisanshipor ideologicalidentification(e.g.,Inbaretal.2009,Study1). 8Forexample,inthelargeUSconveniencesampleusedinStudy1ofInbaretal.(2012),only11.8%ofthe 25,588respondentsareslightlytoveryconservative;10.5%aremoderate,andtheremainder(77.6%)are verytoslightlyliberal.Inthelarge‐scalestudyofrespondentsfrom121countries,only9.3%ofrespondents reportedbeingslightlytoveryconservativecomparedwiththe77.5%ofrespondentsreportingbeingslightly toveryliberal). 7 Ourresearchbuildsonexistingscholarshipinfourways.First,weexaminethe relationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandpoliticalideologyusinganationally representativesampleandastandardpoliticalsciencemeasureofideology. Second,whilepreviousresearchprovidessuggestiveevidencelinkingdisgust sensitivitywithconservativeideology,conservativepolicypreferences,andconservative voting,wewillarguethatdisgustsensitivityshouldhaveadistincteffectonpublicopinion, onethatmayeitherrunalongsideordivergefrompoliticalconservatism.Althoughwe entertainthepotentialrelationshipbetweendisgustandideology,wealsoviewdisgustasa distinctfactorthatcanpotentiallyinfluencepublicopinioninwaysquitedivorcedfrom standardideologicalaccounts.Wewilltestthispossibilitysystematicallybyinvestigating therelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandawidevarietyofpolicypreferences Third,weaimtodisentangletherelativeimpactoftwotypesofdisgust—coreand contamination—ontheconnectionbetweendisgustandpolitics.AlthoughInbaretal. (2009a)removetheexplicitlysex‐relateditemsfromtheirmeasuretomakesurethese itemswerenotdrivingtherelationshipbetweendisgustandopinionsonissueslikegay marriage,theydonotexplicitlycomparecoreandcontaminationdisgust.WhenInbaretal. (2012)doexaminetheconnectionbetweeneachtypeofdisgustandconservativeattitudes, theyfindthatcontaminationdisgustseemstohaveastrongerrelationshiptooverall conservatism,socialconservatism,economicconservatism,foreignpolicyconservatism, andvotechoicethancoredisgust,butseveraloftheanalysesaresimplebivariate correlationswithmodestcorrelations.Ultimately,moreworkisneededtobetter 8 understandhowthedifferenttypesofdisgustinfluencepublicopinion,underwhich circumstances.9 Beyondthesecontributions,wealsoseektoexaminetheextenttowhichpolitical rhetoriccanactivatedisgustsensitivity.Becausepoliciescanbeframedinmultipleways, thisallowsforthepossibilitythatpoliticalentrepreneurscanusedisgust‐evokingrhetoric tomarshaldisgustinpublicopinion.Assuch,wewillexaminetheextenttowhichpolitical policiescanbeframedinwaystoaccentuateandattenuatetheroleofdisgustinpublic opinionusingarandomizedsurveyexperiment. ADISGUSTSENSITIVITYSCALEFORPUBLICOPINION Beforewecanassesstheeffectofdispositionaldisgustonpublicopinionitishelpful tounderstandhowwemeasuredisgustsensitivity,thereliabilityofourmeasure,andits structuralcorrelates.Perhapsthemostcommonlyusedmeasureofdisgustsensitivityis the25‐itemDS‐R.TheDS‐Rconsistsoftwobatteriesofquestions,askedwithdistinct formats.Thefirstbatteryofquestionspresentstherespondentwitharangeofnon‐ politicalsituations(e.g.,“IfIseesomeonevomit,itmakesmesicktomystomach.”)and assessestheiragreementordisagreementwithreactionstovarioussituations.Thesecond batteryofquestionspresentstherespondentwithascenario(e.g.,“Youseemaggotsona pieceofmeatinanoutdoorgarbagepail.”)andaskstherespondenttoreportthelevelof disgustthatscenarioelicits.10 9SeeOatenetal.(2009)foradiscussionofthedistinctionbetweendisgustandcontamination. 10Researchinthisapproachreliesuponself‐reportedassessmentsofsensitivitytodisgust.WorkbyHibbing andcolleagues(2009)suggeststhatphysiologicalmeasuresofdisgustsensitivitymayalsobeinformative: theyfindthatrespondentswhoexperiencehigherlevelsofskinconductanceafterthepresentationof disgust‐evokingimagesvoicemorerestrictiveviewsonhomosexualitythanthosewhoarenotphysiologically responsivetotheimages. 9 TheDS‐Rtapsthreerelatedbutseparableaspectsofdisgust.Thefirst,CoreDisgust, isdefinedas“asenseofoffensivenessandthethreatofdisease,consistingofstimulisuch asrottingfoods,wasteproducts,andsmallanimals”(Olatunjietal.2007,285).Thesecond, ContaminationDisgust,consistsof“disgustreactionsbasedontheperceivedthreatof transmissionofcontagion”(Olatunjietal.2007,285).Andthethird,AnimalReminder, represents“theaversionofstimulithatserveasremindersoftheanimaloriginsof humans”(Olatunjietal.2007,282).Althoughthe25‐itemDS‐Rhasverygood psychometricproperties(Olatunjietal.2007;vanOverveldetal.2011)11,theuseof twenty‐fiveseparateitemstomeasureasingleconstructcanbecost‐prohibitive,time‐ intensive,andunusualinstandardpoliticalsciencesurveys.Assuch,wemeasureDisgust SensitivityusingeightitemsfromtheDisgustScale(DS‐R).Theseitemswerefieldedona moduleofthe2012CooperativeCongressionalElectionStudy(CCES).12 ToselectoureightitemsfromtheDS‐R,wefirstdiscardeditemsrelatingtoAnimal ReminderDisgust,ontheideathat,forthemostpart,CoreDisgustandContamination DisgustweremorelikelytobepoliticallyrelevantthanAnimalReminderDisgust.TheDS‐ Rcontains12itemstappingCoreDisgust.Ofthose12items,weselectedthetwoitems fromtheCoreDisgustbatterythathadthehighestfactorloadingsperOlatunjietal.2007 (Study1):DS1andDS6,andtwoitemsfromtheContaminationDisgustbatterythathadthe highestfactorloadings(DS18andDS19).TheDS‐Rcontainsfiveitemsthattap ContaminationDisgust.Ofthesefiveitems,oneexplicitlyasksabouta“sexeducation 11Olatunjietal.(2007)demonstrateitsconvergentvalidityusingexistingpsychometricscalestotapfearof contamination,stateanxiety,theDisgustEmotionScale,andobsessive‐compulsivebehaviors,andvan Overveldetal.(2011)givefurthervalidationtothethree‐factorstructureanditscross‐culturalportability. 12The2012CCEStookplaceintwowaves.Atwenty‐minuteinternetsurveywasfieldedinOctober2012 beforethegeneralelection,andaten‐minuteinternetsurveywasfieldedduringthetwoweeksfollowingthe election.FormoreontheCCES2012,seeAnsolabehere(2013)andAnsolabehereandRivers(2013).When weighted,theCCESisanationallyrepresentativesampleofUSadults. 10 class,”atopicthatcouldhavepoliticalrelevanceandthatmayhavemoreresonanceforan undergraduateconveniencesample.Hence,whenweexcludethatitem,itleavesuswith twoitemsfromthefirstbattery(DS13andDS14)andtwoitemsfromthesecondbattery (DS29andDS31).13 Next,weexaminethedistributionandreliabilityofouroverallscaleandthetwo subscales.Our8‐itemadditivescale(whichwewillrefertoastheDSR‐8)isrescaledto rangefrom0(leastdisgustsensitive)to1(mostdisgustsensitive).Ithasnicevariation withameanof0.58(s.e.=0.01),abell‐shapeddistribution,andaveryhighresponserate foralleightitems(97.8%ofrespondentsansweredalleight).Thescalealsohasgood reliability(α=0.71).Wealsoconstructtwoadditivesubscales:a4‐itemCoreDisgustscale (M=0.69,s.e.=0.01,α=0.63)anda4‐itemContaminationDisgustscale(M=0.46,s.e.= 0.01,α=0.60).Thetwosubscalescorrelateat0.45(p<0.0001).Figure1displaysthe distributionsoftheoverallscaleandthetwosubscales.14 [Figure1here] Wenextanalyzethestructuralcorrelatesofourscales.Existingworksuggeststhat certaintypesofpeoplearemoredisgustsensitivethanothers.Webeginwithtwo demographiccharacteristics:sexandrace.Existingworkdemonstratesthatwomentend toscorehigheronthetraditionaldisgustscalethanmen(Haidtetal.1994;Inbaretal. 2008),andthisisthecasewithourmeasureaswell.Themeanscoreformenis0.53 (s.e.=0.01),andthemeanscoreforwomenonthescaleis0.62(s.e.=0.01),witha 13AppendixAdisplaysthefulltextanddescriptivesforeachoftheseitems.There,weseethatthereisgood variationinhowindividualsrespondtotheseitems.AppendixBdisplaysinter‐itemcorrelations.AppendixC displaysstandardizedfactorloadingsfromConfirmatoryFactorAnalysis. 14Wealsocreatedaversionoftheoverallscaleandthetwosubscalesbasedonfactorscores.Theresults weresubstantivelyandstatisticallyidentical;theadditiveandfactor‐scorebasedversionsforoveralland subscaledisgusteachcorrelateatr>0.95. 11 significantdifferenceofmeansatp<0.001.Existingworkalsoshowsthatblacksaremore disgust‐pronethanwhites(Haidtetal.1994),andthisisalsothecasewithourmeasure: themeanscoreforblacksis0.67(s.e.=0.02)andthemeanscoreforwhitesis0.56(s.e.= 0.01),withasignificantdifferenceofmeansatp<0.001.15 Recentevidencesuggeststhatpoliticalconservativesmaybemoredisgustsensitive thanliberals(Inbaretal.2009a,Inbaretal.2012,Terrizietal.2010),butwebelievethere ismixedevidenceonthisfront(e.g.,Inbaretal.2009aStudy1showsnocorrelation betweenpartisanshipanddisgustsensitivity;andTyburetal.2010uncoveran insignificantcorrelationbetweenideologyanddisgustsensitivity).Inourdataset,the weightedbivariatecorrelationbetweenpoliticalideology,measuredonaseven‐pointscale rangingfrom0=VeryLiberalto1=VeryConservative,anddisgustisjustaboutzero(r= 0.0019,ns).Theweightedbivariatepairwisecorrelationbetweenpartisanship,measured withthestandardbranch‐stemquestionandrangingfromstrongDemocratat0tostrong Republicanat1,actuallyrunsthewrongway:itis‐0.05(ns),implyingthatstrong DemocratsonaveragereporthigherlevelsofdisgustsensitivitythanstrongRepublicans.16 Probingfurtherintothedata,weexaminethecorrelationsbetweenideologyand partisanshipandeachofthedisgustsubscales.Wefindamodestnegativepairwise correlationbetweencoredisgustandpoliticalideology(r=‐0.069,p<0.06)andbetween coredisgustandpartisanship(r=‐0.069,p<0.05),suggestingthatliberalsandDemocrats aremore(notless)disgustsensitivethanconservativesandRepublicans,respectively. 15ThemeanforHispanicsisindistinguishablefromthatofwhites(M=0.57,s.e.=0.02). 16Wealsolookedfornonlinearitiesintherelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandideologyand partisanship.Whenwelookedatthemeanlevelsofdisgustbytheseven‐categoriesofideological identification,nodiscerniblepatternsemerged.Lookingthemeanlevelsofdisgustbytheseven‐category partisanshipmeasure,itappearstheremaybeacurvilinearrelationshipbetweenpartisanshipanddisgust sensitivity,withstrongerpartisans(MstrongDem=0.61,s.e.=0.01;MstrongRep=0.58,s.e.=0.02)expressing somewhathigherlevelsofdisgustsensitivitythanindependents(M=0.55,s.e.=0.02). 12 And,thepairwisecorrelationbetweenpartisanshipandcontaminationdisgustis‐0.02(ns). Wedouncoveramodestpositivepairwisecorrelationbetweencontaminationdisgustand politicalideology(r=0.067)thatismarginallysignificant(p<0.10). Whilethesepairwisecorrelationsareinteresting,examiningtheneteffectofthese covariates,aftercontrollingforotherdemographics,isadvisable.Todoso,weregressour DisgustScale(andseparatelythetwosubscalesforCoreDisgustandContamination Disgust)onasuiteofdemographicvariables.TheseresultsappearinTable1.There,we seethatwhilewomenscorehigherontheoverallscaleaswellaseachofthesubscales– thedifferencebetweenwomenandmenemergesmorestronglyonCoreDisgust.Wealso seethatalthoughblacksscorehigherontheoverallscale,thisemergesasaresultoftheir significantlyhigherscoresontheContaminationDisgustscale.WealsoseethatHispanics scorehigherontheContaminationDisgustscalethanwhites.Finally,partisanshipisnot significantlylinkedtotheoverallscalenoreitherofthesubscales.Ideological conservativesscorehigheronContaminationDisgustbutnotCoreDisgust,butthiseffectis onlymarginallydistinguishablefromzeroatagenerousp<0.10.Thusfar,ouranalyses, whicharethefirstofwhichweareawarethatarebasedonaweightednationally representativesample,providelittleevidencesuggestingalinearrelationshipbetween disgustandpoliticalconservatism.17 17Wealsoconductedananalysisofrespondents’presidentialvotechoicein2012andself‐reportedvote choicefrom2008.Inbaretal.(2012)findasignificantnegativerelationshipbetweenvoteintentionand disgust(r=‐0.10forthefulldisgustscale,r=‐0.21forcontaminationsubscale,andr=‐0.07forthecore disgustsubscale).Weuncoveraninsignificantpairwisecorrelationbetweendisgustandvotechoicein2012 (r=0.008forthewholesampleandr=‐00.065,nsamongwhitesonly)betweendisgustandvotechoicein 2008(r=0.04forthewholesampleandr=‐0.01forwhitesonly).Whenweconductprobitregressionon whiterespondents,controllingfortheusualcovariates,wefindthatdisgustsensitivitydecreasesthe likelihoodofvotingforObamain2012(b=‐0.73,s.e.=0.51,ns)andincreasesthelikelihoodofvotingfor Obamain2008byjustasmuch(b=0.72,s.e.=0.46,ns).Inshort,wehavefoundnoclearevidenceofa relationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandpresidentialvotechoice. 13 DISGUSTSENSITIVITYANDPROTECTIONISTPUBLICOPINION Havingestablishedthatdisgustsensitivityisnotsynonymouswithpolitical conservatism,ourmaingoalinthissectionistoassesstheextenttowhichoveralldisgust sensitivityanditssubscalesinformpublicopiniononpolices.Ourprimaryexpectationis thatpeoplewhoscorehigheronthedisgustsensitivityscale(anditssubscales)willbe moresupportiveofpoliciesthatservetoprotecttheselfandtheingroupfromphysicalor moralcontaminationcomparedwithpeoplewhoscoreloweronthescale(andits subscales). Wetestthisexpectationusinganarrayofissuesrangingfromfoodsafety regulation,abortion,immigration,gayrightspolicies,andracialattitudes.18Whilewe believethereisnonecessaryconnectionbetweendisgustsensitivityandpublicopinion,we buildourexpectationsherebasedonthecontentoftheissuesandthemostprevalent framingoftheissues.Someissues,wethink,resonatemorenaturallywiththecontentof disgust,wheretheissueliterally(ratherthanmetaphorically)dealswithobjectsofcore disgust(e.g.,pathogensortheexchangeofbodilyfluids).Here,inhomagetoUpton Sinclair,weexpectfoodsafetyconcernstoelicitthesupportofthedisgust‐sensitive.Oaten etal.(2009)arguethatmoralissuesarelikelytoevokedisgust“wherethereisaclear connectionbacktoconcretedisgustelicitors”(p.316).Basedonthis,wesuspecttoseea relationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandabortionopinion,particularlygiventhePro‐ LifeMovement’sfrequentuseofgraphicdepictionsofabortions.Weexpectthedisgust sensitivetoregistermorehostilitytoimmigration;thisexpectationhasitsrootsinthe behavioralimmunehypothesisfromevolutionarypsychology(Tybur2010).Forgayrights 18Questiontext,responseoptions,andfrequenciesappearinAppendixD.Inter‐itemcorrelationsappearin AppendixE. 14 policiesandracialattitudes,weprobeintonuanceswithinthesedomains.Weexpect disgustsensitivitytobemoreconsequentialformattersrelatingtothebodyandcore elementsofdisgust:thatis,topoliciesandattitudesrelatingtotheintimatejoiningof bodies–perhapsbestexemplifiedbythetopicsofgaymarriage,interracialdating,and interracialmarriage.Incontrast,wesuspectdisgustsensitivitytobeoflessconsequence forthemorepublic,lessintimatepoliciesrelatingto,say,fairemploymentlawsand affirmativeaction.Oursisthefirststudytopushbeyondasimpleoutgroupprejudicestory andtoconsidertheparticularitiesofhowfeaturesofpoliciesmayormaynotdrawfrom disgustsensitivity. Tosummarize,acrossthesevariousissues,weexpectthatthedisgustsensitivewill bemoresupportiveoffoodsafetyregulation,lesssupportiveofabortionrights,less supportiveofimmigrantrights,lesssupportiveofgayrights,andtakemoreracially conservativepositions–particularlyintheprivateasopposedtopublicdomain. Importantly,foodsafetyregulationistypicallyconsideredaliberalpolicypreferencewhile theotherprotectioniststancesalignmorecloselywiththeconservativeside.Usingissues thatcrosspoliticallinesallowsustoaddfurthercredibilitytoourargumentthatdisgust propensityisdistinctfrompoliticalconservatism. Totesttheseexpectations,weanalyzeeachdependentvariableusinganordered probitmodel,witheachdependentvariablecodedsuchthathighervaluesrepresentthe moreprotectionistposition.Wecontrolforbasicdemographicssuchasideology,party identification,education,income,gender,race(onthenon‐racialpolicyitems;blackand Hispanicrespondentswereomittedfromtheracialattitudesmodels),andagetomakeour resultsmorecredible. 15 TheresultsinTable2demonstrateasignificantrelationshipbetweenour8‐item DisgustSensitivityscaleandseveralofthedependentvariables,andFigure2illustratesthe magnitudeoftheseeffects.19Evenafteraccountingfortheeffectsofsex,race,age,income, education,ideology,andpartisanship,weseeastrongandsubstantialeffectfordisgust sensitivityinTable2.Forexample,wecanseethatthosewhoaremoredisgustsensitive are,indeed,morelikelytosupportlawsformorestringentfoodsafety;thepredicted probabilityofsupportingalawthatwouldincreasegovernmentregulationoffoodsafety risesfromabout0.62amongtheleastdisgustsensitivetoover0.88amongthemost disgustsensitive.20Predictedsupportforrestrictionsonabortion(combiningthetwomost restrictiveresponses:neverallowedandallowedonlyinthecaseofrapeorincest)rises from0.19to0.54acrosstherangeofdisgustsensitivity.Peoplewhoaredisgustsensitive aremoresupportiveofdetainingillegalimmigrantswhocannotprovetheirimmigration status:thepredictedprobabilityrisesfrom0.49to0.85. Onthetopicofgayrightsandracialpreferences,weseesomedivergencebetween governmentpoliciesinthepublicdomainversuspoliciesandpreferencesintheprivate domain.Therelationshipbetweendisgustsensitivityandthesevariousindicatorssuggests thatwearepickingupnuancesbeyondsimpleoutgrouphostility.Forexample,weseethat disgustsensitivityregistersasubstantiallybiggereffectonoppositiontogaymarriage–a moreprivatematterinwhichthepoliticalrhetoric,asNussbaum(2010)describes,has beensaturatedwithdisgust‐ladentriggers–comparedwithoppositiontojobprotections 19Thesepredictedprobabilitiessetallcontrolvariablestotheirsamplemeanormodes:whitefemalesaged 40withfamilyincomebetween$50,000‐$59,999,somecollege,whoarepureindependentsandideologically middle‐of‐the‐road. 20Thesepredictedprobabilitiessetallcontrolvariablestotheirsamplemeanormodes:whitefemalesaged 40withfamilyincomebetween$50,000‐$59,999,somecollege,whoarepureindependentsandideologically middle‐of‐the‐road. 16 forgays–apublicmatterarguablymoreoftenframedintermsofequalrights.Predicted oppositiontogaymarriageskyrocketsfrom0.16to0.63acrosstherangeofdisgust sensitivity,butpredictedoppositiontojobprotectionsforgaysonlymovesfrom0.09to 0.21.Onthetopicofracialpreferences,weseenosignificanteffectofdisgustsensitivityfor affirmativeaction,butwedoseeasignificanteffectforsocialpreferences:disgust‐sensitive whitesaremoreopposedtointerracialdatingandmarriage,againsignalingadistinction betweenthosemattersinthepublicarenaandothersmoreintimatelytiedtotheprivate andmorecloselyborderingtheterrainofdisgust.Indeed,predictedoppositionto interracialmarriagerisesnearlyten‐fold,from0.05amongtheleastdisgust‐sensitive whitesto0.49amongthemostdisgust‐sensitivewhites. Importantly,theeffectofdisgustsensitivityonthesepreferencesrivalsandinsome casessurpassesthatofideologyandpartyidentification,makingtheeffectsquite substantial.Furthermore,andasexpected,disgustsensitivityworksinwaysthat sometimesruncountertoconservativeinclinations(supportforstricterfoodsafetylaws) andothertimesalongsideconservativeinclinations(oppositiontoabortion,hostility towardsimmigrants,andoppositiontogaymarriageandmiscegenation). [Table2Here] [Figure2Here] Aretheseresultsattributabletodisgustsensitivityorsomethingelse?Asnoted,we havealreadycontrolledforthelikeliestsuspectsinTable2.But,toprobefurther,we includeamoraltraditionalismscaleinourmodeltoensureourresultsdonotconflate 17 disgustpropensitywithadesiretoadheretotraditionalnotionsofmorality.21Thenew results,presentedinTable3,suggestthatthisisnotthecase.Evenwhenweincludemoral traditionalisminthemodeldisgustsensitivitymaintainsastrongeffectonpolicy preferencesinallcasesexceptforone:theitemspeakingtojobprotectionsfor homosexuals.Eveninthecaseofgaymarriage,evenaftercontrollingformoral traditionalism,disgustsensitivityisstillasignificantandsizablepredictorofopinion. [Table3Here] Althoughtheeffectofdisgustsensitivityonpolicypreferencescannotbeexplained awaybymoraltraditionalism,itispossiblethatourresultsaredrivenprimarilybybroader personalitytraitsthatcorrelatewithbothdisgustsensitivityandpublicopinion.22When weincludetheBigFivepersonalitytraitsintoourbasemodelwedo,infact,findthat opennesstoexperience,agreeableness,andconscientiousnesshaveaneffectonatleast someofthedependentvariables.Importantly,however,wealsofindthatdisgust sensitivitymaintainsitseffectthroughout.Table3showsthekeyresultsfromthismodel. Ultimately,theresultshereshowthatdispositionaldisgusthasarobusteffectonavariety ofpoliticalrelevantissuesandpolicypreferencesthatrivalsthatofeventhemost predictiveinfluencessuchasideologyandpartisanship. 21Moraltraditionalismisafour‐itemadditiveindex,developedbywithmeanof0.52,s.e.=0.01,andα=0.77. Itcorrelateswithdisgustsensitivityat0.08(p<0.03). 22WemeasurepersonalitywiththestandardTen‐ItemPersonalityIndex(TIPI).Theweightedpairwise correlationbetweenthedisgustscaleandtheBigFivepersonalitytraitsare:‐0.010(ns)foropennessto experience,0.18(p<0.01)forconscientiousness,0.02(ns)forextraversion,0.17(p<0.01)foragreeableness, and0.02(ns)forneuroticism. 18 Next,weincludetwoothercommonly‐analyzedpredictorsofopinion: authoritarianismandracialresentment.23Weseethatauthoritarianism(whichismodestly correlatedwithdisgustsensitivityatr=0.21,p<0.01)exertsanindependenteffectonpublic opinion–butimportantlyforourpurposes–onlybarelychangestheeffectofdisgust sensitivitythroughout.Nextwedropinameasureofracialresentment(whichisnot correlatedwithdisgustsensitivity,r=‐0.02,ns).Noticethatracialresentmenthasan enormouseffectwhenitcomestoaffirmativeactionandasizableeffectfortheothertwo racialitems.24But,thedistinctionintheeffectofdisgustsensitivityweobservedabove betweenthe“publicdomain”itemofaffirmativeactionandthe“privatedomain”items regardingdatingandmarriageremains. Asafinalinvestigation,wereanalyzedthemodelsinTable2,thistimebreaking aparttheDisgustScaleintoitstwocomponents:CoreDisgustandContaminationDisgust. TheseresultsappearinthelastrowsofTable3.There,weseethattheeffectsofCore Disgustareinconsistentacrossthedependentvariables,sometimessignificant,but sometimessignedinthewrongdirection.WealsoseethattheeffectsofContamination Disgustareconsistentlysigned,largeinmagnitude,andstatisticallysignificantinnearly everycase(theoneexceptionisaffirmativeaction,wherewewerenotexpectinganeffect, perthediscussionabove).Here,theevidencesuggeststhatthestrongermechanism undergirdingtherelationshipbetweendisgustandpublicopiniononprotectionistpolicies 23Authoritarianismisthestandardadditivefour‐itemindexofchild‐rearingvalues(Stenner200x),with mean0.56,s.e.=0.01,α=0.60.Racialresentmentisthestandardadditivefour‐itemindex(Kinderand Sanders1996),withmean0.62,s.e.=0.01,α=0.86. 24ConsistentwithKinderandSanders(1996),wefindthatracialresentmenthasaneffectacrossnonrace‐ relateddomainsaswell. 19 isnotagut‐levelreactionofdistastetocoreelementsofdisgust,butafear(whether groundedorungroundedinreality)ofcontamination. ACTIVATIONOFDISGUSTSENSITIVITY Inthislastsection,weexaminetheextenttowhichpoliticaldiscoursecanheighten theeffectofdisgustsensitivity.Inparticular,wenotethatissuescanbedescribedin multipleways,andemotionallyevocativelanguagethathighlightssourcesofcoreor contaminationdisgustmayresonatestronglywiththedisgustsensitive.Tothisend,we designedanexperimentonfoodsafetytotestthisidea.Recentyearshaveseenasurgein thefrequencyandscaleofconsumerproductrecallsduetopotentialfoodbornedisease. TheCentersforDiseaseControlandPreventionestimatethat1in6Americansfallsvictim tofoodborneillness.25Suchillnessesrangefromminorgastro‐intestinaldiscomfortto nauseatomoreserioussymptomsthatleadtohospitalizationandevendeath. Ourexperiment,whichwasfieldedinthepost‐electionwaveofthe2012CCES, askedrespondentstoreadastoryaboutfood‐borneillnessandfoodsafetyregulation.The articlewasbaseduponexistingnewsmediacoverageoftheissue.Eacharticleprovided informationunderthefollowingheadings:“Symptoms,”“Causes,”and“AToothlessLaw?” Respondentswererandomlyassignedtothetreatmentorcontrolcondition.Thetreatment conditionexposedsubjectstovivid,disgust‐evokinglanguagethattapscoreaspectsof disgust.Forexample,wherethecontrolconditionmentions“intestinaldistress,”the treatmentconditionmentions“projectilevomiting,wateryandbloodydiarrhea,andsevere cramping.”26Wherethecontrolconditionmentions“contaminants”reachingproduce,the 25http://www.cdc.gov/foodsafety/facts.html 26ThefulltreatmentsappearinAppendixF. 20 treatmentconditionmentions“animalorhumanfeces.”Weexpectthelanguageinthe treatmentconditiontoactivatedisgustsensitivityandthusinfluencerespondents’views onwhatthefederalgovernmentshoulddotoregulatefoodsafetyinthecountry.27 Followingexposuretothearticle,respondentswereasked,“Doyouthinkspending forFDAenforcementoftheNewFoodSafetyLawshouldbeincreased,keptthesameasit is,ordecreased?”Inthesampleasawhole,abaremajorityofrespondentssupported increasedspending(17.5%recommendedalotmorespendingand36.2%recommendeda littlemorespending).Aboutathirdofrespondentsthoughtspendingshouldremainat currentlevels,andabout14%ofrespondentsrecommendedcuttingspending.Weare primarilyinterestedinwhetherthedisgust‐evokinglanguageaccentuatestheroleof disgustsensitivityinpublicopinion.Assuch,wemodelsupportforincreasedspendingon theFDAasafunctionoftheDisgustScaleandourbasicsetofcovariates,acrossthe treatmentandcontrolgroups.28 TheresultsinTable4suggestthatthevividlanguagedidactivatedisgustsensitivity forpublicopinion.Inthecontrolcondition,thereisnostatisticallysignificantrelationship betweendisgustsensitivityandspendingpreferences;thosemorepronetofeeldisgusted arenomorelikelytosupportanincreaseinspendingthanthosewhoarelesspronetofeel disgusted.Othervariablesdopredictcitizens’viewsonFDAspending,includingage, householdincome,partisanship,andideology. 27Wealsoinvestigatedstate‐baseddisgust,elicitedinabatteryofemotionquestionsimmediatelyfollowing thearticle.However,wedonotfindastatisticallyhigherlevelofstate‐baseddisgustamongthoseinthe treatmentconditioncomparedwiththecontrolcondition.Wedo,however,findarelationshipbetween disgustsensitivityandself‐reporteddisgustafterviewingtheinformation. 28Tocheckforbalance,weconductedpredictedtreatmentassignmentwithourstandarddemographic covariates.Noneweresignificantlypredictive(p>F~0.83). 21 Inthetreatmentcondition,however,thereisstrongrelationshipbetweendisgust sensitivityandsupportforFDAspending.Inthetreatmentcondition,thepredicted probabilityofsupportinggreaterFDAspendingis0.34amongtheleastdisgustsensitive;it nearlydoubles(to0.65)amongthemostdisgustsensitive.29Wealsoseethatage positivelycorrelateswithsupport,witholderpeoplemorelikelytosupportgreaterfood safetyspending.Andthisisacasewheredisgustcanbemarshaledtoworkagainstthe grainofideologyandpartisanship. [Table4Here] Whatkindofdisgustisdrivingtheseeffects?Wedesignedourtreatmentswith aspectsofcoredisgustinmind.Assuch,ourprimaryexpectationisthatcoredisgustwill beactivatedbythevividlanguage.Itisalsopossible,though,thatthevividlanguage enhancesrespondents’concernsaboutbeingcontaminated–andthusitwouldalsobe reasonableifcontaminationdisgustwereactivated.Asabove,wesubstitutedouroverall DisgustScaleforthetwosubscalesandre‐analyzedthemodelinTable4,asshowninthe lasttwocolumnsofTable4.WefindthatneitherCoreDisgustnorContaminationDisgust issignificantlyrelatedtosupportforFDAspendinginthecontrolcondition.However,in thetreatmentcondition,botheffectsrunintheexpecteddirection,butonlyCoreDisgustis significantlydistinguishablefromzero.Thus,inthiscase,weshowthatremindersofcore elementsofdisgustcanindeedtriggertheactivationofCoreDisgustanditsapplicationto publicopinion.30 29Inafullyinteractiveordered‐probitmodel,wherewetestforamoderatingrelationshipbetweendisgust sensitivityandexperimentalcondition,wefindthattheeffectofdisgustisstrongerinthetreatmentcondition (p<0.05,one‐tailed). 30Inafinalsetofanalyses,weexploredwhetherouranalysesweresensitivetotheinclusionofanother potentiallyrelevantcovariate:generalhealth.TheCCEScarriesameasureoftherespondent’sself‐reported generalstateofhealth.ThisquestionwasadministeredintheProfileSurvey,whichprecededthepre‐ 22 CONCLUSIONS “…thespecificcognitivecontentofdisgustmakesitofdubiousreliabilityinsocial life,butespeciallyinthelifeofthelaw…itwilldowelltocastdisgustontothe garbageheapwhereitwouldliketocastsomanyofus.”–MarthaNussbaum, HidingfromHumanity(2004),p.74‐75 Prominentpoliticaltheoristandlegalscholar,MarthaNussbaum,repudiatesthe roleofdisgustinthelaw.As“anespeciallyvisceralemotion”(2010,p.13),disgust, Nussbaumargues,hasnolegitimateplaceinpolicymakingandthepublicsphere.But,to argueagainsttheplaceofdisgustinpoliticallifeistoassumeitspresence–totakefor grantedthatitplaysaroleinpolicymakingandpublicopinion.Ourpurposeherehasbeen toofferaconceptualclarificationontheemotionofdisgust,asitrelatestopolitics,andto shedempiricallightontheextenttowhich,andtheconditionsunderwhich,disgustfigures intopublicopinion. Ourresultsprovidestrongevidencethatdisgustshapespublicopinion.Disgust sensitivity,wehaveshown,isonlybarelyrelatedtopoliticalideology.Assuch,itcan provideanindependentsourceofexplanationforcitizens’opinionsandsocialpreferences, sometimesrunningintandemwithandsometimesmovinginoppositiontopolitical ideology.Wefindthatdisgustsensitivityinformsawidearrayofprotectionistsocialand policypreferencesacrosstheideologicalspectrum.Ouranalysessuggestthattheroleof disgustsensitivityisstrongestonpoliciesthatmostovertlylendthemselvestoconcerns aboutbodilyandsocietalcontamination.Wealsoshowthattheeffectofdisgustsensitivity isunaffectedbytheinclusionofother,potentiallyrelatedpredispositions,suchasmoral electionwaveoftheCCES.Perhapsthedisgustsensitivitymeasureissimplypickingupageneralconcern aboutone’shealth(andconcomitantdesiretoavoidbecomingill).Thisappearsnottobethecase:disgust sensitivityandpoorgeneralhealthareunrelated:r=0.01fortheoveralldisgustsensitivityscale,r=0.03(ns) forCoreDisgust,andr=‐0.01(ns)forContaminationDisgust.Moreover,includingpoorgeneralhealthin ourmodelmakesnodifferencefortheeffectofdisgustsensitivity:disgustsensitivityremainsinsignificantin thecontrolconditionandsignificantinthetreatmentcondition. 23 traditionalism,personality,authoritarianism,andracialresentment.Wehaveshownthat disgustsensitivityisnotmerelyoutgrouphostility.And,wefindthatmostoftheworkin thesegeneralpolicyopinionandsocialpreferenceeffectsisattributabletothefour‐ questionContaminationDisgustsubscale. Wehavealsoshownthatdisgustsensitivitycanbeactivatedbypublicdiscourse.In oursurveyexperiment,disgust‐evokingcommunicationscanactivatedisgustsensitivity andmarshalitintopublicopinion.Ourresults,webelieve,areallthemoreimpressive givenourresearchdesign.Recallthatthedisgustsensitivitybatterywasaskedinthepre‐ electionwaveoftheCCES.Thefoodsafetyexperimentwasadministeredamonthlaterin thepost‐electionwave.Thetreatmentwedesignedwasrelativelymild:itwasconfinedto asmallproportionofdisgust‐evokingtext–comprisingabout15%ofthewordsinthe article–thatwasscatteredthroughoutthenewsreport.Weuseddisgust‐evokingtext,as opposedtodisgust‐evokingimages,andwestillfoundeffects.Wesuspect,giventhat emotionally‐evocativeimagescanbequicklyandevensubconsciouslyprocessed(e.g., BradleyandLang2007),thatusingdisgust‐evokingimagesmighthaveprovokedaneven strongerresponse.Inpoliticallife,communicationsfromcandidates,activists,andthe mediacantaketheformofdisgust‐evokingtext(aswehaveemployed),disgust‐evoking images,oreven,aswithPaladino’srunfortheNewYorkgovernorshipsuggests,disgust‐ evokingsmells.Anyofthesedisgustinductionshasthepotentialforshiftingpublicopinion inaprotectionistdirection. Istheconnectionbetweendisgustandpublicopinionsociallyconstructedorinnate toparticularissues?Althoughdisgusthasitsevolutionaryrootsingut‐levelself‐ protection,manycurrentdisgust‐linkedissueshavebeenarbitrarily—anddangerously, 24 Nussbaumwouldcontend—framedtodrawontheseevolutionarytendenciesandelicit particularreactions.Hence,wesuspectthatsocialconstructiondoesquiteabitofwork, notleastbecauseissuescanbeframedinmultipleways.Herewehaveprovidedevidence thatdisgustinfluencespublicopinion,andwesuspectthatbothvertical(themedia, politicalentrepreneurs,opinionleaders)andhorizontal(family,peers)networksplaya roleinforgingtheconnectionbetweendisgustandopinion. Whilewebelieveourevidenceprovidesastrongfoundationfortheimportanceof disgustsensitivityinpublicopinion,itbynomeansexhaustsallpossibleinvestigationsof theroleofdisgustinpolitics.Oneinvestigationbeyondthescopeofthecurrentprojectis theconnectionbetweendisgustandpoliticalbehavior.Aswehaveshown,disgust influencespolicypreferences.Butdoesitspurpoliticalaction?Thepotentialeffectof disgustoncitizens’willingnesstoengageinthepoliticalprocessonbehalfofthoseissuesis unclear.Whenemotionsarecategorizedonanapproach‐avoidancespectrum,disgustis,at itscore,anavoidanceemotion.Peoplewhoaredisgustedseektorejecttheoffending stimuli.Itishardtoimaginethatdisgustwouldservetomotivatepoliticalparticipation– thatis,toencouragetheproactiveapproachtowardspolitics;itismorelikelythatdisgust wouldturnpeopleofffrompolitics.Veryrecentworksuggeststhistobethecase:disgust withpoliticsseemstodepresspoliticalparticipation(Vandenbroek2011)andpolitical information‐seeking(Vandenbroek2012).Butifdisgustisdemobilizing,whydopolitical elitesuseit?Wesuspectthatdisgustmaybeusedstrategicallytopersuadetheundecided andtoenfeebletheopposition,ratherthantomobilizeactivesupportamongbelievers. Ourfindingsarethefirstthatweknowoftoestablishaclearconnectionbetween disgustsensitivityandpublicopiniononanationallyrepresentativesample.Wehave 25 shownthatpeoplewhoaremoreeasilydisgustedalsoreportpoliticalandsocial preferencesaimedatprotectingtheselfandsocietyfromcontamination–beitrealor imaginary.Andwehaveshownthatthisdisgustsensitivitycanbemarshaledintopublic opinionbypoliticalrhetoric.Ifdisgustissuchavisceral,physiologicalreactionthatcan potentiallybeevokedbystrategicpoliticalelites,weworryandwonderiftheconnection betweendisgustandpublicpolicies,politicalcandidates,andsocialgroups,onceforged, caneffectivelybeundone. 26 0 5 Percent 10 15 Figure1:DistributionofScoresonDisgustScaleandSubscales 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 15 10 Percent 5 0 0 5 Percent 10 15 0 .2 .4 .6 Core Disgust .8 1 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 Contamination Disgust Note:Weighteddata 27 1 Figure2:PredictedProbabilityofTakingProtectionistPosition,byDisgustSensitivity 1 .8 Pr(Support) .4 .6 .8 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 0 .2 0 .2 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .8 Pr(Vote) .4 .6 .2 0 0 0 .2 .8 1 .8 1 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 1 .8 0 .2 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .8 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .2 0 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 .8 0 .2 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .8 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .2 0 0 .2 Pr(Oppose) .4 .6 .8 1 Pr(Interracial Marriage) 1 Pr(Interracial Dating) 1 Affirmative Action .4 .6 DSR-8 scale Gay Marriage 1 Job Protections for Gays Detain Immigrant 1 Abortion 1 Food Safety Law 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 EstimatesfromTable2. 28 0 .2 .4 .6 DSR-8 scale .8 1 Table1.StructuralCorrelatesofDisgustScales Overall Core Contamination Disgust Disgust Disgust Scale Female 0.09*** 0.13*** 0.05*** 0.01 0.02 0.02 Black 0.08*** ‐0.01 0.18*** 0.02 0.02 0.03 Hispanic 0.02 ‐0.02 0.05* 0.02 0.02 0.03 Age ‐0.02 ‐0.04 ‐0.01 0.03 0.03 0.04 HouseholdIncome ‐0.03 ‐0.04 ‐0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 IncomeRefused ‐0.03 ‐0.05 ‐0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 Education ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.04 0.02 0.03 0.03 Ideology 0.04 0.00 0.07* 0.03 0.03 0.04 Partisanship ‐0.02 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 Intercept 0.53 0.68 0.38 0.03 0.03 0.03 p>F 0.00 0.00 0.00 R2 0.11 0.12 0.13 N 1309 1333 1311 Note:TableentryistheOLSregressioncoefficientwithstandarderrorbelow. Weightedanalysis. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01. 29 Table2:DisgustScaleandSupportforProtectionistPolicies Food Safety Abortion Detain Immigrant Gay Affirmative Marriage Action Interracial Interracial Dating Marriage 1.06*** 0.30 ‐0.18* 0.10 ‐0.19 0.12 ‐0.67*** 0.21 0.60*** 0.24 ‐0.36 0.23 ‐0.06 0.19 ‐0.68*** 0.17 1.51*** 0.24 0.51*** 0.19 0.03 0.27 0.73 0.28 1.77 0.29 Job Protections forGays 0.53* 0.32 ‐0.33*** 0.11 ‐0.00 0.15 0.06 0.19 0.24 0.28 0.05 0.26 0.15 0.19 ‐0.36** 0.18 0.65** 0.29 0.96*** 0.19 0.88 0.28 1.80 0.30 2.30 0.31 Disgust Sensitivity Female Black Hispanic Age Income IncomeRefused Education Ideology Partisanship τ1 τ2 τ3 τ4 p>F N 0.90*** 0.30 ‐0.06 0.10 0.37*** 0.13 0.16 0.20 0.07 0.23 ‐0.08 0.22 ‐0.15 0.21 ‐0.07 0.18 ‐0.82*** 0.24 ‐0.89*** 0.18 ‐2.22 0.26 ‐1.23 0.24 0.28 0.24 0.00 1304 0.97*** 0.32 0.01 0.11 ‐0.18 0.16 0.18 0.19 ‐0.28 0.25 ‐0.58** 0.26 ‐0.34 0.22 ‐0.37* 0.19 1.24*** 0.28 0.75*** 0.20 1.00 0.26 1.45 0.27 2.61 0.29 1.33*** 0.36 ‐0.26* 0.14 0.54*** 0.18 0.15 0.24 0.91*** 0.34 ‐0.48 0.35 ‐0.45* 0.24 ‐0.61*** 0.22 1.35*** 0.35 1.26*** 0.26 2.02 0.35 0.00 1304 0.00 1299 0.00 1300 1.23*** 0.30 ‐0.31** 0.12 (omitted) (omitted) 1.97*** 0.33 ‐0.36 0.32 ‐0.35* 0.19 ‐1.05*** 0.20 1.22*** 0.43 ‐0.14 0.25 1.26 0.31 1.82 0.33 2.49 0.35 3.16 0.35 0.00 1026 0.00 1301 ‐0.25 0.30 0.07 0.11 (omitted) (omitted) 0.40 0.25 0.78*** 0.28 0.19 0.22 ‐0.52*** 0.19 1.72*** 0.26 0.73*** 0.22 ‐0.51 0.25 0.69 0.25 1.73 0.26 0.00 1025 Note:Tableentryistheorderedprobitcoefficientwithstandarderrorbelow. Weightedanalysis. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01. 30 1.63*** 0.31 ‐0.28*** 0.11 (omitted) (omitted) 1.80*** 0.25 ‐0.21 0.24 ‐0.23 0.19 ‐0.66*** 0.18 0.80*** 0.27 0.21 0.20 0.79 0.26 1.16 0.26 2.26 0.26 2.88 0.27 0.00 1026 Table3:EffectofDisgustonPublicOpinion,RobustnessChecks Food Safety Abortion Detain Immigrant JobProtections Gay Affirmative forGays Marriage Action Interracial Interracial Dating Marriage AddingMoralTraditionalism DisgustSensitivity MoralTraditionalism AddingPersonality DisgustSensitivity Openness Conscientiousness Extraversion Agreeableness Neuroticism AddingAuthoritarianism DisgustSensitivity Authoritarianism AddingRacialResentment DisgustSensitivity RacialResentment BreakingDisgustintoSubscales CoreDisgust ContaminationDisgust 0.87*** 0.28 ‐0.57** 0.26 0.79*** 0.29 0.43* 0.26 0.18 0.30 0.13 0.21 0.72** 0.28 ‐0.10 0.27 0.96*** 0.31 ‐0.20 0.20 0.81*** 0.28 ‐0.86*** 0.26 0.20 0.23 0.61** 0.26 0.96*** 0.29 1.24*** 0.27 0.95*** 0.27 1.61*** 0.25 1.00*** 0.29 ‐0.05 0.30 1.17*** 0.29 0.08 0.22 ‐0.71** 0.30 ‐0.12 0.26 0.30 0.33 0.80*** 0.18 1.19*** 0.27 ‐0.10 0.23 0.61** 0.26 0.56** 0.25 0.65** 0.32 ‐0.84*** 0.27 ‐0.35 0.33 0.23 0.21 ‐0.47 0.29 ‐0.23 0.28 0.69** 0.33 0.99*** 0.18 1.16*** 0.30 1.44*** 0.22 0.41 0.29 1.95*** 0.28 1.01*** 0.32 ‐0.13 0.28 0.01 0.29 ‐0.24 0.23 ‐0.00 0.34 ‐0.46* 0.25 0.96*** 0.30 0.33* 0.18 0.67** 0.29 0.58*** 0.21 0.57** 0.26 0.62** 0.26 1.22*** 0.38 3.19*** 0.37 1.43*** 0.36 ‐0.31 0.34 ‐0.08 0.41 ‐0.31 0.29 0.10 0.38 ‐0.55 0.34 1.11*** 0.38 0.94*** 0.22 1.48*** 0.34 0.54* 0.28 0.10 0.32 1.36*** 0.34 ‐0.26 0.26 0.90*** 0.26 ‐0.41 0.31 1.35*** 0.29 1.16*** 0.30 1.14*** 0.35 ‐0.30 0.30 ‐0.12 0.32 0.76** 0.31 0.33 0.23 ‐0.89*** 0.31 0.14 0.28 1.44*** 0.31 ‐0.74** 0.31 ‐0.34 0.42 ‐0.18 0.25 ‐0.62* 0.35 0.03 0.31 ‐0.26 0.30 0.04 0.17 1.04*** 0.30 0.74*** 0.19 ‐0.32 0.35 3.20*** 0.35 1.54*** 0.31 0.34* 0.19 1.31*** 0.30 1.02*** 0.26 ‐0.17 0.28 ‐0.15 0.29 1.68*** 0.31 ‐0.75*** 0.27 0.19 0.31 0.03 0.23 ‐0.34 0.35 ‐0.01 0.28 1.47*** 0.31 1.25*** 0.28 Note:Tableentryistheorderedprobitcoefficientwithstandarderrorbelow. Weightedanalysis.AllmodelscontrolforcovariatesinTable2. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01. 31 1.70*** 0.31 1.78*** 0.26 0.06 0.29 1.24*** 0.32 0.57** 0.27 1.12*** 0.29 Table4:DisgustSensitivityandVividLanguage Control Treatment Control Treatment DisgustSensitivity ‐0.06 0.86** 0.43 0.35 CoreDisgust 0.12 0.61* 0.38 0.33 Contamination ‐0.15 0.19 Disgust 0.37 0.35 Female 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.14 Black 0.19 0.58** 0.22 0.62*** 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.23 Hispanic 0.08 ‐0.15 0.09 ‐0.10 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.29 Age 0.58* 1.07*** 0.59* 1.06*** 0.31 0.36 0.31 0.37 Householdincome ‐0.89*** 0.24 ‐0.90*** 0.27 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.35 Incomerefused ‐0.37 0.46 ‐0.37 0.46 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 Education 0.22 ‐0.17 0.23 ‐0.16 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.21 Ideology ‐0.59* ‐2.02*** ‐0.57* ‐2.00*** 0.30 0.38 0.30 0.38 Partisanship ‐1.02*** ‐0.25 ‐1.01*** ‐0.26 0.26 0.34 0.26 0.33 τ1 ‐2.55 ‐1.97 ‐2.49 ‐1.92 0.34 0.32 0.38 0.32 τ2 ‐2.07 ‐1.50 ‐2.01 ‐1.46 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.30 ‐0.88 ‐0.25 ‐0.83 ‐0.20 τ3 0.32 0.31 0.37 0.31 τ4 0.30 0.98 0.36 1.02 0.34 0.31 0.39 0.31 p>F 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N 537 540 537 541 Note:Tableentryistheorderedprobitcoefficientwithstandarderrorbelow. Weightedanalysis. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01 32 APPENDIX AppendixA.DisgustScaleItemTextandDescriptives. Item Fulltext Disgust Mean Subscale Q1‐Q4:Pleaseindicatehowmuchyouagreewitheachofthefollowingstatements,orhow trueitisaboutyou. Stronglydisagree(veryuntrueaboutme)/Mildlydisagree(somewhatuntrueabout me)/Neitheragreenordisagree/Mildlyagree(somewhattrueaboutme)/Stronglyagree (verytrueaboutme) Q1.Monkey Imightbewillingtotryeatingmonkeymeat, Core 0.75 undersomecircumstances.(R)(DS1) 0.01 Q2.Vomit IfIseesomeonevomit,itmakesmesicktomy Core 0.61 stomach.(DS6) 0.01 Q3.Toilet Ineverletanypartofmybodytouchthetoilet Contamination 0.53 seatinpublicrestrooms.(DS13) 0.01 Q4.Cook Iprobablywouldnotgotomyfavorite Contamination 0.57 restaurantifIfoundoutthatthecookhadacold. 0.01 (DS14) Q5‐Q8:Howdisgustingwouldyoufindeachofthefollowingexperiences? Notdisgustingatall/Slightlydisgusting/Moderatelydisgusting/Verydisgusting/ Extremelydisgusting Q5.Milk Youareabouttodrinkaglassofmilkwhenyou Core 0.69 smellthatitisspoiled.(DS18) 0.01 Q6.Maggot Q6.Youseemaggotsonapieceofmeatinan Core 0.72 outdoorgarbagepail.(DS19) 0.01 Q7.Chocolate Q7.Afriendoffersyouapieceofchocolate Contamination 0.44 shapedlikedogdoo.(DS31) 0.01 Q8.Soda Q8.Youtakeasipofsoda,andthenrealizethat Contamination 0.29 youdrankfromtheglassthatanacquaintanceof 0.01 yourshadbeendrinkingfrom.(DS29) Tableentryistheweightedmeanwithstandarderrorbelow.Rindicatesreverse‐coded. DS(#)indicatesoriginalscaleitemfromoriginalDisgustScale. Allitemsrescaledtorangefrom0(lowest)to1(highest)indisgust. 33 AppendixB:PairwiseInter‐ItemCorrelationsBetweenDisgustItems Item Q1. Q2. Q3. Q4. Q5. Q6. Q1.Monkey 1.00 Q2.Vomit 0.08** 1.00 Q3.Toilet 0.17*** 0.01 1.00 Q4.Cook 0.15*** 0.14*** 0.41*** 1.00 Q5.Milk 0.17*** 0.25*** 0.16*** 0.22*** 1.00 Q6.Maggot 0.28*** 0.26*** 0.25*** 0.18*** 0.54*** 1.00 Q7.Chocolate 0.22*** 0.22*** 0.14*** 0.26*** 0.35*** 0.38*** Q8.Soda 0.09** 0.21*** 0.24*** 0.27*** 0.28*** 0.29*** Weightedanalysis. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01. 34 Q7. 1.00 0.35*** Q8. 1.00 AppendixC:ConfirmatoryFactorAnalysisResults Item OneFactor Core Contamination Model Disgust Disgust Q1.Monkey 0.33 0.33 0.04 0.04 ‐‐‐‐‐ Q2.Vomit 0.36 0.35 0.04 0.04 ‐‐‐‐‐ Q3.Toilet 0.35 0.43 0.05 ‐‐‐‐‐ 0.06 Q4.Cook 0.39 0.49 0.05 ‐‐‐‐‐ 0.05 Q5.Milk 0.66 0.69 0.03 0.03 ‐‐‐‐‐ Q6.Maggot 0.71 0.78 0.04 0.04 ‐‐‐‐‐ Q7.Chocolate 0.56 0.59 0.04 ‐‐‐‐‐ 0.05 Q8.Soda 0.48 0.56 0.04 ‐‐‐‐‐ 0.05 Corr(Core,Contamination) 0.72 0.05 N 1456 1456 PseudolnL ‐2244.66 ‐2191.82 SRMR 0.059 0.051 Coefficientofdetermination 0.761 0.861 Tableentryisthestandardizedfactorloadingwithrobuststandarderrorbelow. Weighteddata.MaximumLikelihoodEstimation. Allloadingssignificantatp<0.01. 35 AppendixD.PublicOpinionItemTextandDescriptives. Item Fulltext Mean FoodSafety SupposethatonElectionDayyoucouldvoteonkeyissuesaswell 0.68 ascandidates.Wouldyouvotefororagainstalawthatwould (0.01) increasegovernmentregulationoffoodsafety? Definitelyvotefor(1)/Probablyvotefor/Probablyvoteagainst /Definitelyvoteagainst(0) Abortion Risaskedtoindicateagreementwithoneoffourstatementsor 0.33 decreasingrestrictiveness,from“Bylaw,abortionshouldneverbe (0.01) permitted”(coded1)to“Bylaw,awomanshouldalwaysbeable toobtainanabortion”(coded0) Detain Doyoufavororopposeallowinglocalandstatepolicetodetain 0.61 anyonewhocannotprovetheirimmigrationstatus? (0.01) Favorstrongly(1)/Favorsomewhat/Opposesomewhat/ Opposestrongly(0) Job Doyoufavororopposelawstoprotecthomosexualsagainstjob 0.27 Protections discrimination? (0.01) forGays Favorstrongly(0)/Favorsomewhat/Opposesomewhat/ Opposestrongly(1) GayMarriage Doyoufavororopposeallowinggaysandlesbianstomarry 0.46 legally? (0.02) Affirmative Affirmativeactionprogramsgivepreferencetoracialminoritiesin 0.68+ Action employmentandcollegeadmissionsinordertocorrectforpast (0.01) discrimination.Doyousupportoropposeaffirmative action?Stronglysupport(0)/Somewhatsupport/Somewhat oppose/Stronglyoppose(1) B/WDating Ithinkit’sallrightforblacksandwhitestodateeachother. 0.28+ Stronglyagree(0)/Somewhatagree/Neitheragreenordisagree (0.02) /Somewhatdisagree/Stronglydisagree(1) Interracial Ipreferthatmycloserelativesmarryspousesfromtheirsame 0.48+ Marriage race. (0.02) Stronglyagree(1)/Somewhatagree/Neitheragreenordisagree /Somewhatdisagree/Stronglydisagree(0) Tableentryistheweightedmeanwithstandarderrorbelow. Allitemsrescaledtorangefrom0(leastprotectionist)to1(mostprotectionist). +Whitesonly. 36 AppendixE.PairwiseInter‐ItemCorrelationsBetweenPublicOpinionItems Item Food Safety FoodSafety 1.00 Abortion ‐0.15*** Detain ‐0.20*** JobProtections ‐0.28*** forGays GayMarriage ‐0.22*** ‐0.34*** Affirmative Action+ B/WDating+ ‐0.05 ‐0.10** Interracial Marriage+ Abortion Detain Gay Marriage Affirmative B/W Action Dating 1.00 0.31*** 0.33*** 1.00 0.23*** 1.00 0.52*** 0.17*** 0.39*** 0.45*** 0.45*** 0.31*** 1.00 0.30*** 1.00 0.19*** 0.15*** 0.30*** 0.36*** 0.32*** 0.34*** 0.37*** 0.34*** 0.25*** 0.29*** Weightedanalysis.+Whitesonly. *p<0.10;**p<0.05;***p<0.01. Job Protections 37 1.00 0.63*** AppendixF:ExperimentalStimuli ControlCondition TreatmentCondition 38 REFERENCES Ansolabehere,Stephen.2013."Guidetothe2012CooperativeCongressionalElectionSurvey." March11,2013.Availableathttp://hdl.handle.net/1902.1/21447. 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