The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden UTILIZING BUILDINGS AS SHORT-TERM THERMAL ENERGY STORAGE 1 2 J. Kensby , A. Trüschel , and J.-O. Dalenbäck 1 2 1 Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden Department of Energy and Environment, Division of Building Services Engineering ABSTRACT Heat demand in a district heating system can exhibit significant variation within one day, which sets problematic conditions for efficient heat generation. Short-term thermal energy storage can decrease this daily variation and make the conditions for generating heat more favourable. By periodically overheating and under-heating buildings, causing small variations in the indoor temperature, their thermal inertia can be utilized as short-term thermal energy storage. This study presents the results from a pilot test where the potential to function as short-term thermal energy storage was tested in five multifamily residential buildings in Gothenburg, Sweden. These results are then up-scaled to study the consequences for a whole-district heating system from a large-scale implementation. The signal from the outdoor temperature sensors in the test buildings were adjusted in different cycles over a total of 52 weeks. The delivered heat and indoor temperature were measured during the test. The results show that heavy buildings with a structural core of concrete can tolerate relatively large variations in heat delivery while still maintaining a good indoor climate. Storing 0.1 kWh/m2floor area of heat will very rarely cause variations in indoor temperature greater than ±0.5°C in a heavy building. Utilizing about 500 substations for short-term thermal energy storage in large residential buildings would provide capacity for storing heat equivalent to that of a hot water storage tank with a volume of 14,200 m3 for the city of Gothenburg. This would decrease the daily variations in heat load by 50%, reduce the need for peak heat generation, and reduce the number of starts and stops of heat-generation units. INTRODUCTION The heat generation in district heating (DH) systems is mainly demand driven. When customers increase their heat consumption, the heat supplier must increase the heat generation or the temperatures in the distribution network will drop. The heat demand can exhibit significant variation within short periods and, hence, heat generation, causing many starts and stops of heat sources. This gives the heat supplier limited freedom to control the heat generation. These conditions can drastically reduce the ability to plan and control heat generation, hence reducing efficiency. With a larger variation in heat load comes a larger need for peak heat generation, which often runs on fossil fuels with large operational costs and high environmental impact. Short-term thermal energy storage (TES) can decouple heat demand and heat generation in district heating systems and have many positive effects, such as the following: • • • • • • • Reduced load variation Better fuel economy Fewer starts and stops in heat generation Increased security of supply Less need to invest in peak load heat generation Operate combined heat and power plants (CHP) according to electrical price Operate heat pumps and direct electrical heaters in DH systems according to electrical price As presented in [1], there are mainly four different strategies for short-term TES in district heating systems: hot water storage tanks; phase change materials (PCM); varying temperature in the DH network; and utilizing building thermal inertia. This study has focused on utilizing building thermal inertia for short-term TES in district heating systems. Such strategies are commonly included in the term “demand side management” (DSM). The purpose of this study is to evaluate the potential for load shifting in a large-scale implementation of buildings as short-term TES in a DH system. “Short term” can, in this case, be defined as normally a few hours, but a period of up to a few days is also possible. A few studies known to the authors have treated this subject, but this is the first study to base a full-scale simulation on the actual behavior of buildings in a pilot test. Earlier work has either assumed the full-scale effects [2], focused on nighttime setback [3] or on energy-saving potential [4]. The energy-saving potential in buildings utilized as short-term TES probably comes from a reduction of excessive temperatures due to the implementation of indoor temperature measurements for control of the building heating system. This study is also the first study known to the authors to make a comparison of utilizing building thermal inertia and hot water storage tanks for short-term TES purposes. The study can be divided into mainly two parts. The first part focuses on determining the potential for shortterm TES in individual buildings. A pilot test has been carried out to determine what quantities of thermal energy can be stored and how the indoor climate is affected. A more in-depth study of this pilot test can be found in [1]. The second part scales the results from The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden the first part and studies how an overall DH system could benefit from utilizing buildings as short-term TES. STATE OF THE ART For the purposes of this study, it is most relevant to study residential buildings with a large thermal mass, e.g. concrete structures, that are heated by radiator systems connected to DH. The reasons are that such buildings are common in many large DH systems and that they are well suited for utilization as short-term TES. A large thermal mass has been shown to increase a building’s suitability as short-term TES in [1, 5]. Buildings with radiator heating systems are better suited for short-term TES than buildings with airborne heating systems, according to [6]. The most common way of describing how the indoor temperature is affected by an increase or decrease in the heat delivered is to assume a correlation based on a time constant. It was shown in [1] that this measure does not reflect reality in an accurate way. It is, however, true that the indoor temperature in a building with a higher measured time constant will be less affected then in a building with a lower measured time constant for the same relative change in delivered heat. The progression of the indoor temperature in such a model is, however, inaccurate and may lead to overusage or under-usage of a building’s capacity for storing heat if implemented in the control method. Earlier pilot tests Utilizing building thermal inertia as short-term TES in a district heating system is not a new concept. The oldest pilot test known to the authors is from 1982 [7]. The main aim of this test was to increase the supply security for the heat customers located farthest away from a heating plant in case of a shortage. Eighty residential and office buildings located in Stockholm, Sweden participated, and their heat deliveries were remotely reduced by a control system. The magnitude and durations of the reduced heat deliveries were based on assumed time constants for the buildings and a maximum accepted drop in indoor temperature of 3°C. The indoor temperature was measured in two of the buildings. The variations were at a normal level except during the test with the longest duration (48 h). Another pilot test was conducted during the winter of 2002–2003 in two Finnish buildings with concrete structures and radiator heating systems [6]. The test revealed that the heat load could be reduced by 20– 25% over 2–3 h, causing a drop in indoor temperature of up to 2°C. These tests were performed at outdoor temperatures of -10°C to 0°C. The same study demonstrated a smaller potential for load shifting in a building complex consisting of offices and facilities for streetcar maintenance in Mannheim, Germany. The peak demand for heating was reduced by 4.1% during the tests. The main reason for the lower potential was that the heating system was mainly airborne. The main aim of these tests was to evaluate the potential for the reduction of peak load production in the district heating system. This was also the main focus of the subsequent studies presented here. A residential area in Karlshamn, Sweden, was the subject of a pilot test where DSM was implemented in the form of agent-based load control [8, 9]. The control was distributed among agents on the production side, on a cluster level, and on a customer level. These agents monitored and controlled the local systems. They also communicated with each other to achieve system-wide peak reduction and optimization. The system displayed the potential for reducing peaks as well as reducing the energy consumption by 4%, even though the thermal storage capacity was only partly utilized in this test. The average return temperatures to the district heating system were also reduced by 2°C while the system was in operation [10]. A subsequent larger test of this technology was performed in three major Swedish district heating systems [11]. A total of 58 substations serving one to several buildings each were included in this test. Peak load reductions of approximately 15–20% and energy savings of 7.5% were achieved. The effect of the utilization of buildings for short-term TES on the indoor temperature was studied in [12]. The test was performed in an office building with a light construction and concrete slabs. The heat load was reduced during short periods of up to 1 h and longer periods of 4 to 8 h. Both single and frequently recurring heat load reductions were tested. The average deviation was chosen as the measurement for the variation in indoor temperature. During periods with load reductions, the average deviation increased to 0.29°C from the normal 0.19°C. A study with the aim of estimating the possible heat storage potential of different building types was conducted in Gothenburg, Sweden [5]. The heat deliveries to the different buildings were reduced over periods of 24 h, and the heat deliveries and indoor temperatures were measured. Time constants for each building were calculated based on these measurements. Wooden buildings reported time constants of 102 h, stone buildings 155 h, and tower blocks 218 to 330 h. Large-scale implementation The effects of the large-scale implementation of buildings’ thermal inertia as short-term TES in district heating systems has been studied in a few publications. They have adopted very different approaches. A case study of how the implementation of DSM would affect the fuel and operational costs of the DH system in Næstved, Denmark was included in [2]. Two cases were considered where the heat load was assumed to The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden be adjusted by 20% and 80%, respectively, toward the mean heat load. They resulted in total savings of 1% and 2.6%. District heating systems where a considerable number of the buildings utilize nighttime setback can have large peaks in heat demand in the morning hours. A simulation study regarding the DH network of Altenmarkt im Pongau, Austria studied the effects of applying DSM strategies to buildings utilizing nighttime setback [3]. The buildings were controlled so that they recovered from their nighttime setback at different hours. Up to 35% peak shaving would be achieved if applied to the overall district heating network. The effects of three energy conservation measures on the local energy system in Linköping, Sweden were compared in [4]. The compared measures were heat load control (utilizing buildings’ thermal inertia), attic insulation, and electricity savings. Heat load control showed a potential for energy savings primarily in the spring and autumn. It would also be economically profitable for both the DH provider and the residents. The analyzed installation for heat load control was described in [11]. METHODOLOGY Since this study consists of several parts, their methodologies are described here separately, starting with the pilot test. This is followed by a description of how the results from the pilot test are up-scaled to describe a large-scale implementation of buildings as short-term TES. Last follows a description of how the large-scale implementation is simulated and evaluated. Description of test buildings During 2010 and 2011, the ability of five buildings to function as thermal energy storage in a district heating system was tested in Gothenburg, Sweden. The five buildings that were included in the analysis are all residential buildings with 3 to 5 stories. A summary of the building data is presented in Table 1. There are some differences in the buildings, and they can be grouped into two categories: light and heavy. This classification is based on the thermal mass of the building. A light building typically has a core of steel or wood, which results in a low capacity for storing heat. A heavy building typically has a core of concrete, which results in a higher capacity for storing heat. One of the buildings can be classified in the light category. All of the buildings were constructed between 1939 and 1950 and have a yearly heating demand of approximately 150 kWh/m2floor area per year. This is a normal energy performance for these types of buildings in the city of Gothenburg, Sweden, which has a yearly average temperature of 8°C. A major portion of the large public housing stock that was built in the 1960s and 1970s is similar to the buildings tested in this study regarding energy performance [13]. More recently constructed buildings generally have superior energy performance. Table 1. Building Data. Building A B C D E Year of construction 1950 1939 1934 1939 No info Living area 2 [m ] 1,178 904 900 904 No info Stories 3 5 3 5 3 Apartments 20 24 19 24 25 Heavy Light Heavy Heavy Plastered Wood, brick Brick Brick Estimated Heavy thermal mass Facade Plastered The heat deliveries to the buildings were increased and reduced during specified periods, and the indoor temperature, T, was measured in two apartments in each building. Temperature meters were placed on a wall in the hall in each apartment. All buildings were connected to district heating and had a radiator heating system. Control of test building All of the buildings in the pilot test adjusted the heating power by controlling the supply temperature to the radiator system using a conventional feedback controller. The supply temperature was set based on the outdoor temperature and a control curve. Fine adjustment of the heating power within each individual apartment was performed via thermostats on the radiators. To control the heating power delivered to the buildings in this test, the signal from the outdoor temperature sensor, u, was adjusted in different cycles as shown in Fig. 1. This affected the set point for the water supply to the radiators in the feedback controller. For example, to discharge a building, 7°C was added to the outdoor temperature signal. The real outdoor temperature was 3°C, but the control system receive the signal 10°C (3°C + 7°C). According to the control curve, this resulted in a lower supply temperature to the radiator system. The apartments then received radiator water with a lower temperature than they needed to maintain their indoor temperature, T, at the current outdoor temperature. The indoor temperature, T, slowly started to drop in the apartments, and the building affected the district heating system, similar to discharging a hot water storage tank. This test setup was similar to the one used in [12]. The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 u 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 u+ u T Cycle I 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 ∆u [°C] u ∆u [°C] 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 0 9 12 15 18 21 t [h] 0 Building heating system Fig. 1. Schematic sketch of how the control was implemented in the pilot test. Five different cycles of charging and discharging were tested; they are shown in Fig. 2. The following notations are used to describe them: CP—Charge period; the building receives more heat than it normally would at the current outdoor temperature. DP—Discharge period; the building receives less heat than it normally would at the current outdoor temperature. NOP—Normal operation period; the building heating system operates as it normally would. Δu—Adjustment to outdoor temperature signal Cycle II was the most extensively tested. It was tested in all five buildings and produced 19 complete weeks of measurement data without any obvious measurement errors. Cycle II is also the cycle with the largest variation in Δu and therefore should be the cycle that provided the largest utilization of the building’s thermal energy storage capacity and produced the largest variations in indoor temperatures. 0 ∆u [°C] In this test, the adjustments to the outdoor temperature signal were performed in 21-h cycles. Most of the tested control cycles contained one 9-h period of discharging, one 9-h period of charging, and one 3-h period of normal operation. The reason to use a test cycle that was 21 h (and not 24 h) was that this caused the charging and discharging to occur at different times each day. This made it possible to separate variations in indoor temperature caused by the test from normal variations caused by, e.g., sunlight and the tenants’ behavior. Eight cycles of 21 h make one full week. Cycle III 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 ∆u [°C] Indoor temperature sensors Q District heating system 6 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 t [h] Controller ∆u [°C] Outdoor temperature sensor 3 T Cycle II 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 t [h] Cycle IV 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 t [h] Cycle V 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 t [h] Fig. 2. The five test cycles from the pilot test. Large-scale implementation To study a large-scale implementation of short-term TES in buildings, a group of buildings suitable for implementation needs to be analyzed. For this purpose, Västra Gårdsten, a residential area in Gothenburg, was selected. The area has 13 substations, each supplying heat to a group of 2–3 buildings. There is a total of 1,000 apartments in the area with an average living area of 76 m². The average annual heat consumption for the area is 12.1 GWh. The buildings are all residential except for one small dental practice and one office for about 20 persons. All buildings are 3 to 5 stories and have a core of concrete. They are very similar to the heavy buildings in the pilot test. This building type is also very common in Sweden, as many large residential areas similar to Västra Gårdsten were built in the 1960s and 1970s. Due to their similarities, it is assumed in this study that the buildings in Västra Gårdsten will perform identically to the heavy buildings in the pilot test with regard to the ability to function as short-term TES. To scale the results from pilot test to Västra Gårdsten, the heating power signature is used. The heating power signature is the heat demand dependency of the outdoor temperature. It is determined by finding the linear dependency with the smallest squared error based on The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden three years of measurements of the delivered heat and the outdoor temperature. For the full-scale study of the potential of buildings as short-term TES in DH networks, the city of Gothenburg is studied. The study consists of four cases: buildings consuming 10% of the yearly heat generation in the Gothenburg DH network, the same case but with 20%, 30%, and a reference case with no thermal storage. It is assumed that there are enough residential areas similar to Väsra Gårdsten that can be utilized for shortterm TES in Gothenburg to cover the four cases. This evaluation is based on a comparison of the actual heat generation (the reference case) and fictive heat generation that would be possible with access to thermal storage. The heat generation data are from the DH system in Gothenburg from 2010–2012. Properties of a short-term TES Based on the findings from the pilot test and the heating power signature of Västra Gårdsten, two main parameters defining the short-term TES can be established for each case: • • Power limitation [MW]—The maximum power that the short-term TES can be charged/discharged with. Storage capacity limitation [MWh]—The amount of heat that the short-term TES can store. The power limitation of the storage is valid when the outdoor temperature is 8°C or less. When the outdoor temperature is higher, the heating power in the buildings is less than the limitation. Since negative heating power cannot be delivered to the buildings, the power limitation for discharging decreases linearly from 8°C to 15°C, where it reaches zero. Charging of the buildings can still be done at higher temperatures, and the power limitation then starts to decrease linearly at 15°C and reaches zero at 22°C. Simulation model An optimization problem was formulated with the aim of minimizing the variation in heat load. The parameter to be optimized is the maximum peak load reduction, and the limitations for adjustments to the heat load are the power limitation and the storage capacity limitation. With a resolution in time of 1 h and a heating power of 1 MW, the number of solutions is small enough to be solved with a brute force iteration approach, testing all possible solutions. The progression for the iterative solution is first to split the data set into periods of 200 h each to speed up the simulation. For each time period, the highest hourly heat load Ph(t) is reduced by one step (1 MW) and the lowest hourly heat load Ph(t) is increased by one step (1 MW). A check is performed to see whether any of the two limitations was violated. If the check passed the iteration, the test was started over, and if not, the program proceeded to test all combinations of decreasing points in descending order where Ph(t) > Ph(t-1) and/or Ph(t) > Ph(t+1) and increasing points in ascending order where Ph(t) < Ph(t-1) and/or Ph(t) < Ph(t+1). The iteration continued until no further improvements could be made. The method is quite computational heavy (solving at about 10,000 times real time) but guarantees a solution with the maximum possible peak reductions. To avoid boundary constraints from the 200-h periods influencing the results, the full iteration was performed a second time with overlapping time periods. Evaluation of results To evaluate the results, the relative daily variation was studied for each case. Relative daily variation is defined in [14] as follows: “The relative daily variation is the accumulated positive difference between the hourly average heat load and the daily average heat load divided by the annual average heat load and the number of hours during a day. The relative daily variation is expressed with 365 values per system and year.” 1 Gd = 2 ∑24 h=1|Ph −Pd | Pa ∙24 ∙ 100 [%] (1) Ph—hourly heat load Pd—daily heat load Pa—annual heat load Gd—relative daily variation RESULTS All the heavy buildings in the test showed that it is possible to utilize them as short-term TES with the restrictions from Cycle II and still maintain a good indoor climate. Cycle II is the cycle with the largest variation in Δu and therefore should be the cycle that provided the largest utilization of the building thermal energy storage capacity and produced the largest variations in indoor temperatures. Effect on heat delivery in the pilot test The relation between the heat delivered to the buildings, Q, and the adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, was studied. Cycles I, II, and V in Building A were selected for this study, as these tests have the most measurement data available. To separate the variation in Q caused by the test from the normal variations, an average profile for each week was created based on the eight cycles of 21 h each. To make different periods of time comparable, the average heating power for the present week, Qmean, was subtracted from each weekly profile. Graphs showing these heating profiles are presented in Fig. 3. The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden Table 2. Ratio between heat deliveries and adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal for Building A. Relative heat deliveries to Building A (heavy) 20 Q - Qmean [kW] Period 10 Δu–Δumean Q–Qmean (Q–Qmean)/ (Δu–Δumean) [°C] [kW/°C] [kW/°C] 0 Cycle I -10 DP -20 NOP 4.00 CP 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 n/a n/a n/a 5.49 -1.83 21 Cycle II DP 7.00 -11.84 -1.69 CP -7.00 12.71 -1.82 NOP 0.00 -2.62 NaN Adjustment to outdoor temperature signal 8 Cycle V 4 2 DP 5.29 -7.63 -1.44 0 CP -4.71 7.10 -1.51 NOP -1.71 1.58 -0.92 -2 Cycle I -4 Cycle II -6 Cycle V Indoor temperature variation in the pilot test -8 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Time within cycle [h] Fig. 3. Heat delivery profiles relative to control cycle average for Building A. Each profile is based on 5–8 weeks of measurements. Based on the same dataset used to create Fig. 3, a more qualitative analysis of how the heat delivered to the buildings, Q, relates to the adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, was performed. The ratio between relative heat deliveries, Q–Qmean, and the relative adjustment of the outdoor temperature signal, Δu–Δumean, was studied. The average adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal during one control cycle, Δumean, is defined in equation 2 The reason for studying Δu—Δumean instead of just Δu is that Cycles I and V are not symmetrical like Cycle II, and their Δumean ≠ 0. Δumean = ΔuDP ×tDP +ΔuCP ×tCP +ΔuNOP ×tNOP tDP +tCP +tNOP [°C] (2) Δumean = 0°C for Cycle II (because it is symmetric), 1.79°C for Cycle I, and 3°C for Cycle V. The results from the study are presented in Table 2. As observed in this table, the ratio is between -1.44 kW/°C and -1.83 kW/°C for all but two cases. The NOP for Cycle V differs from the other results. This is most likely because the length of this period was only 3 h and approximately half of that time is the time it takes for the water in the radiator system to circulate once and reach steady supply and return temperatures. The fact that all other values have only a small variation in their ratios implies that the change in heat deliveries and the adjustment of the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, have close to a linear relation. To separate the variations in indoor temperature, T, caused by the test from the normal variations, an average indoor temperature profile for each week was created based on the eight cycles. These profiles were created in the same manner as the profiles for the relative heating power in Fig. 3. An example of these profiles in one of the heavy buildings is presented in Fig. 4. As only the variation in temperature is of interest, the temperature profiles have been made more easily comparable by centering them on the Yaxis. Thus, Tmin + (Tmax – Tmin)/2 is subtracted from each weekly profile. Relative indoor temperature in Building A (heavy) 0,4 0,3 Indoor temperature difference [°C] ∆u [°C] -1.83 -3.00 Time within cycle [h] 6 -7.32 0,2 0,1 0 -0,1 Cycle I Apartment 1 Cycle II Apartment 1 Cycle II Apartment 2 Cycle V Apartment 2 -0,2 -0,3 -0,4 0 3 6 9 12 15 Time within cycle [h] 18 21 Fig. 4. Indoor temperature variations caused by the pilot test. Each curve is based on the average values over a period of 4–6 weeks. From Fig. 4, it can be observed that the effect on indoor temperature, T, from Cycle II is, as expected, The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden larger than the effect from Cycle I and Cycle V. It should also be noted that there is a time delay from when the mode of operation changes and when the effect on the indoor temperature, T, starts to be displayed. This is due to the circulation time in the radiator heating system; it takes some time before the temperature front reaches the radiators and affects the indoor temperature. Thus, dead time is added to the system. For each week in each apartment in each building, the indoor temperature variation, Tvar.21h, caused by the pilot test was calculated. Tvar.21h is defined as the difference between the maximum and minimum temperature for a weekly 21-h profile divided by two. A summary of the variations is presented in Table 3. from Cycle II and three important relations between the adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, heat delivery, Q, and indoor temperature, T, that were presented in [1]. With the restriction of |Δu| < 7°C, the thermal energy storage capacity can then be measured in degree hours [°Ch]. The thermal energy storage capacity of the heavy building in this case is then simplified to 63°Ch (7°C × 9 h). To find the power limitation [MW] and storage capacity limitation [MWh] for a large-scale, short-term TES, we need to combine the results from the pilot test with the heating power signature for the intended building stock. The power signature for Västra Gårdsten, which has an average annual heat consumption of 12.1 GWh, is shown in Fig. 5. Table 3. Average variation in indoor temperature caused by the pilot test. Heating power signature for Västra Gårdsten 5 Building I A—heavy ±0.26 - 8 C—light ±0.23 ±0.39 18 A—heavy ±0.40 ±0.40 6 B—heavy ±0.29 ±0.29 6 D—heavy ±0.09 ±0.19 5 E—heavy ±0.06 ±0.27 1 III E—heavy ±0.11 ±0.22 2 IV E—heavy ±0.06 ±0.10 1 V A—heavy - ±0.30 5 II Tvar.21h Tvar.21h Number of Apartment 1 Apartment 2 test weeks [°C] [°C] As shown in Table 3, all four heavy buildings have average values for the indoor temperature variation caused by Cycle II of ±0.40°C or less. If we look at each individual week, there is only one week in one of the apartments in one of the buildings that caused variations in indoor temperature larger than ±0.50°C. In that case, the variation was ±0.53°C. It is unlikely that the variation caused by Cycle II combined with the normal variations will cause a total variation in indoor temperature larger than ±1.0°C on any given day. Therefore, most heavy buildings similar to those studied in the test should be able to utilize their thermal inertia with restrictions similar to those in Cycle II without jeopardizing the quality of service provided by the heating system. Hence, the restrictions from Cycle II are used to decide the limiting parameters for the fullscale simulation. Limiting parameters of a building’s short-term TES When utilizing buildings as thermal energy storage, it is beneficial to have more freedom in the control than what is entailed by Cycle II. It might be beneficial to have several shorter DPs on one day or store heat from one day to utilize the next day. A simple yet accurate enough model for utilizing buildings as shortterm TES can be established based on the restrictions Data points 4 Heat demand [MW] Test cycle 2.28 - 0.13 Linear ( ) × Tout 3 2 1 0 -20 -10 0 10 Outdoor temperature [°C] 20 30 Fig. 5. The inclination of the trend line is the heating power signature for the residential area Västra Gårdsten, Gothenburg. Fig. 5 shows that an increase in the outdoor temperature of 1°C would result in a decrease in the heat delivered to the area of 0.13 MW. Hence, an increase in Δu of 1°C would result in a decrease in the heat delivered to the area of 0.13 MW. With the limitations of |Δu| < 7°C and 63°Ch of thermal storage capacity, this area could be utilized as thermal storage with a power limitation of 0.13 MW/°C × 7°C = 0.91 MW and a storage limitation of 0.13 MW/°C × 63°Ch = 8.19 MWh. This corresponds to a storage limitation of about 0.1 kWh/m2floor area. These substations, like many others, already have a data connection that sends consumption data each hour. All that is required to utilize this area as thermal storage is adjusting the 13 substations so that the adjustment to the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, can be controlled remotely. There are many areas similar to Västra Gårdsten in Gothenburg (and in other cities), so it is possible to scale these results for a city-wide implementation. Full-scale implementation Since the cost of implementing building short-term TES is proportional to the number of substations that need adjustments, it is better to utilize the substations with the largest yearly heat demand first. From 2010–2012, The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden the DH system in Gothenburg had an average annual heat generation of 4.26 TWh. The total amount of delivered heat to customers was 4.04 TWh, of which 2.12 TWh was delivered to the 4,457 substations in multifamily residential buildings. The heat deliveries to these substations are sorted in Fig. 6 to find the required number of substations for each case presented in Table 4. Total heat generation in DH system [MW] 800 700 600 10% 500 30% Adjustment to outdoor temperature signal, Δu [°C] 8 2,5 50 2 40 1,5 30 1 10% 20% 0,5 20 10 30% 0 4 Part of total heat genertaion [%] Cumulative yearly heat delivery [TWh] 20% 400 Cumulative yearly heat deliveries in multifamily residential buildings 0 -4 -8 0,25 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 0 Number of substations Fig. 6. Cumulative yearly heat deliveries to all substations in multifamily residential buildings in Gothenburg, Sweden. -0,25 Based on the data from Fig. 6 and the parameters found from the study of Västra Gårdsten, the five simulation cases can now be summarized in Table 4. -0,5 Table 4. Summary of the four simulation cases. Case 0% (ref) Effect on indoor temp in most affected buildings [°C] 0,5 0 0 10% 0% (ref) Yearly heat delivery to utilized substations [GWh] Number of utilized substations Power limitation Storage capacity limitation [MW] [MWh] 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 Time [h] Fig. 7. Utilizing buildings as short-term TES in Gothenburg DH system; effect on heat generation, outdoor temperature signal and indoor temperature in utilized buildings. Relative daily variation 0 0 0 0 426 165 32 285 20% 852 507 63 571 30% 1,279 1046 95 856 Based on the data from Table 4 and the hourly heat generation data for Gothenburg from 2010–2012, a fullscale simulation was performed. An example showing a five day period of the results can be found in Fig. 7. Around the 24 h mark in Fig. 7 the short-term TES is discharging for the 10%, 20% and 30% cases. This can be seen from the reduced heat generation in the top graph, the positive Δu in the middle graph and the falling indoor temperature in the bottom graph. The effect on indoor temperature in the bottom graph is estimated for the most affected buildings, those similar to Building A in the pilot test. The bottom graph can also be seen as the charging level of the TES, where at +0.5°C, the storage is charged to its full storage capacity limitation. It can be clearly seen in Fig. 8 that the variation in heat generation has decreased and that the conditions for generating heat are more favourable with a building’s short-term TES. Relative daily variation cumulative distribution function [%] 14 0% (ref) 12 10% 10 20% 8 30% 6 4 2 0 0 200 400 600 Time [days] 800 1000 Fig. 8 Relative daily variation cumulative distribution function for three years (2010–2012). It can be seen in Fig. 8 that the relative daily variation has significantly decreased when some of the buildings are utilized as thermal storage. The decrease from no storage to 10% is larger than the decrease from 10% to 20%. This is because, in some cases, 10% is enough The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden to cut a peak, and there is then no need for larger storage. The utilization is then larger for the smaller storage of 10%. This can also be seen in the middle graph in Fig. 7 where the buildings more often receive a stronger control signal in the 10% case than in the 20% and 30% cases. If we look at the average values of the relative daily variation, we get a simple measurement for comparing the four cases: 0% (reference): 10%: 20%: 30%: 3.63% 2.44% 1.74% 1.38% In the 20% case, the average relative daily variation is reduced by 50% compared to the reference case. This comes at the cost of increasing the variation in indoor temperature in the customers’ buildings in most cases by less than ±0.5°C and the investment in adjusting the substations. This should be compared with the value of reducing the variation in the heat generation and other storage options. For the specific case of Gothenburg, the 20% case would require adjustments in about 500 substations. This can be compared with investing in a storage tank with a storage capacity of 576 MWh and a power limitation of 64 MW. With a supply temperature of 80°C and a return temperature of 45°C, this would result in a hot water storage tank of 14,200 m3 with a maximum flow of 0.44 m3/s. Such a storage tank would have an investment cost of roughly 3–6 M€. This estimation includes all related costs required to get the storage tank in operation and is based on interviews with three Swedish district heating companies. Assuming that the required adjustments to the substations can be made cheaper than 6,000–12,000€ per substation, utilizing buildings as short-term TES can be a more economical alternative than hot water storage tanks. It should, however, be noted that this is a very rough economic comparison that only includes the investment cost. DISCUSSION The capacity for storing heat in buildings is highly dependent on the restrictions on the indoor temperature variation. No study of how the tenants experienced the indoor climate during the pilot test was carried out, but the landlords all stated that the complaints were at a normal level. For this study, the restriction of not increasing the variation in indoor temperature more than ±0.50°C was used. These variations are small compared to the normal variation caused by variations in sunlight and tenant activity. Allowing a larger variation in the indoor temperature would increase the thermal storage capacity in the buildings. What limits the potential to utilize buildings as short-term TES is how the tenants experience the indoor climate. Here, the operative temperature and sociological factors are of importance. The operative temperature in an apartment is mainly affected by the indoor air temperature and surface temperatures. This puts a power limitation on the charging/discharging of buildings to avoid radiators that are too warm or cold. What sets the power limitation for the utilization as short-term TES might not even be the thermal comfort of the tenants. It could be tenants experiencing unreasonable hot or cold radiators, believing that something is wrong with the heating system, and complaining or adjusting their thermostats in an unfavorable way. In the simulation, especially the 20% and 30% cases, it was the power limitation rather than the storage capacity limitation that restricted the capacity. The potential for a large-scale implementation might be underestimated since it is based on results from the worst performing building in the pilot test. The benefit is that buildings could be utilized to the calculated potential without risking large variations in indoor temperatures. For a higher degree of utilization, it might be recommended to measure the indoor temperature in the buildings continually and implement it in the control. OUTLOOK Utilizing buildings as short-term TES can have great potential as a cost-effective method for storing heat, but there are two main potential obstacles that need to be studied further before this technology can take the step from pilots to large-scale applications. First is the method for controlling such storage. Several practical methods for controlling thermal energy storage utilizing buildings’ thermal inertia have been studied in earlier works. They include direct load control [1, 6, 7, 12, 15], control through price incentives [6, 15-17], and other more indirect DSM strategies [4, 6, 8-11, 15, 17, 18]. Second is what type of business model is to be used and what the contract between the DH providers and the customers should contain. This can be difficult since there might be three parties involved: the DH provider, the customer/landlord, and the tenants. Questions that need to be addressed include the following: • • • • Who is responsible for the indoor climate when load control is active? How should the investment cost be financed? Is it beneficial to combine installations of short-term TES with energy-efficiency measures? How (if at all) should customers be compensated for allowing the DH provider to utilize their buildings as short-term TES? Both these obstacles should be easy to overcome if a major DH provider is willing to invest in a large-scale building short-term TES. It is hoped that such an investment in a technical solution and business mode can be exported to other DH providers. The 14th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling, September 7th to September 9th, 2014, Stockholm, Sweden CONCLUSIONS The pilot test in this study has shown that heavy buildings with a structural core of concrete can tolerate relatively large variations in heat deliveries while still maintaining a good indoor climate. Storing 0.1 kWh/m2floor area of heat will very rarely cause variations in indoor temperature larger than ±0.5°C in the most affected heavy buildings. This corresponds to adjusting the outdoor temperature signal, Δu, by 7°C over 9 h. Most heavy buildings will experience even smaller variations in indoor temperature and could possibly be utilized to a larger extent than the parameters found in the pilot test. Utilizing about 500 substations for short-term thermal energy storage in large residential buildings would provide a capacity for storing heat equivalent to constructing a hot water storage tank with a volume of 14,200 m3 for the city of Gothenburg, Sweden. This would decrease the daily variations in heat load by 50%, reduce the need for peak heat generation, and reduce the number of starts and stops of heat generation units. Assuming that the required adjustments to the substations can be made cheaper than 6,000–12,000€ per substation, utilizing buildings as short-term TES can be a more economical alternative than hot water storage tanks. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. This work was financially supported by Göteborg Energi AB (Gothenburg Energy). REFERENCES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. J. Kensby, A. Trüschel and J.-O. 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