Galaxies and Cosmology, Chapter 1 Module 1.1 - Cosmology vs. Cosmetology Welcome to the Coursera class on galaxies and cosmology. My name is George Djorgovski, and I'm a professor at California Institute of Technology. This class is offered to the second year physics and astronomy students at CalTech. Therefore, it requires a certain amount of preparation, and we'll come to that in a moment. But first of all, let us define, what is Cosmology? It is the science of the universe as a whole, and its major constituents. How they work, and how they evolve, how they are formed. It is different from cosmetology, and if you made that mistake, this will be a really good time to stop. Well, it's not an easy task. Universe is very big, and we cannot reach it all. We can just sit here and watch. And so we have to make some assumptions. The basic assumption that we make is that laws of physics are same everywhere and at all times. This is a very reasonable assumption. And if it weren't true, it would be very hard to do any kind of science. But we can actually test some aspects of this proposition. Moreover, sometimes, while studying the universe, we discover things in physics that we didn't know about. Notable examples are nature and existence of dark matter and dark energy and we'll talk about them later in the class. Unlike most other sciences, cosmology has only one object to study. There is only one universe in which we live. And all we can do is sit and watch or, in technical terms, we can look at the surface of the past light cone. So there're parts of the universe that are a priori, not observable class. If we're pretty much sure that they can do exist, then they're probably not very different from the one parts that we do see. But it's something to keep in mind. And also, things are far away and, therefore, or they're faint and small and we need most advanced technology to do this. This is why cosmology really flourished as a science in the latter part of the twentieth century, because before then, we simply did not have good enough tools to do it right. But even so, we have to be always aware of possible biases and selection effects, for example there could be some very faint galaxy that we're missing. Cosmology responds to the basic human need to understand, the big picture. Where's it all coming from? How does it work? Where's it going? And it eh, evolved through time. In prescientific days, creation myths were made to answer these questions. But they really were just made up stories. Starting from beginnings of modern science in the Renaissance and the enlightenment. Things started to get a little more rigorous. First, the Copernican revolution, which was a major shift in the way people think about universe or the world. It's positive that we're not at a special place. The Earth is not the center of the universe. It's just a random spot. Cosmology actually uses this in so called cosmological principle that we'll define in a bit. But not only that. Universe is not static and unchanging. We see the change. And just like biology in planet Earth, universe evolves on its own. And following laws of physics, major constituents of the universe, galaxies, stars in them also evolve. And we can understand how that works. And just like anything else in science, it became subject of study and, therefore, it is always improvable. We're not declaring anything with absolute certainty. But we're actually trying to understand what's going on. And like any other science, other science, the more we push further, the more we learn, the more new questions we open up. And that's the nature of science and this is very good. So, whereas, really, cosmology started as a branch of astronomy, astronomy as a whole. And certainly, cosmology became a branch of physics because we use, laws of physics and principles of physics to obtain our measurements, to understand them, to interpret them, make predictions. Alright. Now let us find out how well prepared you are for this class. First we'll do a few quizzes. Let us now resume our journey through the universe and dust off some of the astronomical units of measurement. The most basic unit in astronomy and cosmology is distance to from the sun to the earth. And that's one astronomical unit, and it's about 150 million kilometers. There is, of course, the light year, which is the distance that light travels over one year. And one light year is approximately 10 to the 18 centimeters. Now, astronomers almost never use light years. We use parsecs, which is the distance from which one astronomical unit is seen at an angle of one arcsecond. And that turns out to be roughly 200,000 astronomical units. Or 3 times 10 to the 18 centimeters. So when we talk about parsecs or kiloparsecs and megaparsecs and gigaparsecs, you can multiply that by 3.26 to get number, corresponding number in light years. Two basic properties of objects that we need to understand are masses and luminosities. And, for convenience and historical reasons, we use solar mass as a unit and that is approximately 2 times 10 to the 33 grams, and solar luminosity, which is close to 4 times 10 to the 33 ergs per second. So you can convert into other units as you need to. You should really remember these numbers, because we'll constantly refer to distances, and masses, and luminosities using these units. Now, what we observe are fluxes. We mostly observe electromagnetic radiation, although we now have forms of astronomy that are not dependent, electromagnetic radiation like cosmic rays, neutrinos and, soon enough, gravitational waves. But flux is what's measured and we have detectors that can operate in full range of wavelengths from radio to gamma rays. And they're usually measured over some finite bandpass. So spectral energy distribution, which is the shape describes the spectrum of an object, is defined to be energy per unit time, per unit second, per unit for frequency or wavelength. And we never observed that as the differential unit. Instead of that, it's observed as some finite bandpass like an optical filter, or band within as radio astronomy. One unit that is often used is Jansky, which is introduced by radio astronomers. And it's, 10 to the minus 23, ergs per second, per centimeter squared, per hertz. Optical and infrared astronomers are now beginning to use Janskys as well. Although we're typically talking about microjanskys and nanojanskys. So this is often called flux density, and to get really, the power of object, one has to be integrated over all bandwidth, and then multiplied by the area, of [flux]. Astronomers use magnitudes, which are a logarithmic measure of flux, defined by the formula written here. The magnitude is minus four decibels, the minus sign tells you that the higher the number, means the lower the flux. And because it's a log, it's a relative measure of flux, relative to some unit flux. In log, that comes as an additive constant. Typically, flux is measured over some finite bandpass like V band filter, centered on 5500 angstroms. And then log of that times minus 2.5 plus a constant zero point, which I'll define in a second, gives you the actual magnitude. If, for some reasons, you could integrate the flux over the entire spectrum, then this would be called the bolometric magnitude. Now magnitude zero points are another part of astronomical craziness that's unfortunately wellestablished and hard to change. For historical reasons, again, Vega, which is Alpha Lyrae, was declared to have zero magnitude and then everything is measured relative to it. Note that because we're talking about logarithms of fluxes, talking about ratios of fluxes, and so it's all relative to some unit. Well, that unit's for magnitude systems is usually Vega. And unfortunately its spectrum is not flat. It looks like this. There is also a more rational kind of magnitudes that's been introduced. It's called AB new magnitudes, which are with the fixed zero points. As the formula in the bottom shows. But typically, people use Vega based magnitudes, and it's a handy way to remember it, that zeroth magnitude star corresponds to almost 1,000 photons per square centimeter per second per angstrom, then you can scale from there. Now, magnitudes are measured as apparent magnitude. What we'd like to do is know how luminous an object really is and, therefore, we need to know how far it is. So an absolute magnitude was introduced, which is the apparent magnitude the object would have if you observe it from a distance of ten parsecs. What, why ten and not one, is anybody's guess, but, this is the definition. And so if you put sun, or sun-like star, ten parsecs away from us, it will have apparent magnitude of roughly, plus five, different in different bands, because the spectrum shape is different from that one of Vega. So, as a handy measure of the distance, sometimes we use the difference of apparent and absolute magnitude, which is called the distance modules. And it's equal to five times log of the distance divided by the ten parsecs. So this is how you can convert this. Alright, so this is it for now and the next time we'll start talking about the history of Cosmology from earlier days to the present time. Module 1.2 - Early History Hello, again. Let us now review briefly the history of modern cosmology. Before we could study the universe as a whole in scientific sense, we actually discovered and understood galaxies which are its major constituents. At first, people didn't know what they were. They were just as smudges in the sky, they were called nebulae, and famous catalog by Charles Messier. And then, William Herschel also cataloged many thousands of them, and followed by others. Now even before that was really properly understood, philosophers tried to address the question. And they talked about island universes, or what today we would call a galaxy. They had no scientific reason to believe one way or the other but it was an interesting speculation. Now, in 19th and 20th century, more catalogs or galaxies were produced but there was still no understanding. For example, the very basic question was, are these nebulae, Galaxies like the Milky Way or are there just some smudges within our own galaxy, the Milky Way, which is the universe as a whole? So, up until 1920s, the early 1920s, this was still an unsolved question. And there was a famous great debate between two astronomers, Harlow Shapley from Harvard, and Heber Curtis from Lick Observatory, whether or not galaxies or a nebula, I should say, are island universes just like the Milky Way, or are there just some smudges of gas inside the Milky Way? The debate was inconclusive. Shapley had wrong answer, that Milky Way is all of it. Curtis was advocating that galaxies are many like the Milky Way. And arguments were not really based on any solid experimental data. This all changed with Edwin Hubble in 1923 on using Mt. Wilson Observatory. He obtained photographs of Andromeda galaxy and found a variable star, so-called surface in Andromeda. Comparing its brightness to brightness of surface in our galaxy, immediately told us that Andromeda is much, much further away than anything in our galaxy. Within our galaxy, people knew about stars that are clusters that are kiloparsecs away. Andromeda turned out to be several hundred kiloparsecs away. Therefore, it was galaxy just like the Milky Way, and then all the others which are much fainter, presumably even further out. So, all of a sudden, the picture changed from Milky Way being the entire universe to a much, much bigger universe, populated with galaxies like Milky Way and others. This is how Hubble really became famous. He did something else later on, discovering expansion of the universe. But, before we get into this, theory actually made some important advances. If you want to understand universe at large from physical terms, the only interaction that actually matters is gravity. Because all other forces are short range except for electromagnetic force, but charges are mixed so well, positive and negative ones, so that net electromagnetic field is pretty much a zero in any average sense. Not so with gravity. Gravity cannot be cancelled or compensated, and so, if you want to understand how things happen on large scales, you need the theory of gravity. This came in the form of theory of relativity, and in particular general theory of relativity. So, Einstein came up with the way that describes that, and we'll talk a little more about it a couple lectures from now. But he immediately understood that this can be actually applied to study of the universe as a whole and even taught a class about that from 1919, this was before it was actually proven that the theory was correct. He assumed that it was just normal matter like stars and so on. But it's finite in spatial size, and we'll talk about how that's possible. In 1917, Einstein made first cosmological models. He believed in his theory, of course, even though it was experimentally proven only in 1919. And, he had something interesting. He, he found out that universe has to either collapse on itself under its own gravity, or maybe expand forever. Collapse under its own gravity seemed like a natural thing, and in order to balance that, he introduced a force called cosmological constant. This turned out to be a very unstable cosmological model, and it's wrong anyway. at the same time, Dutch physicist Willem De Sitter developed similar model and obtained equations for expanding universe. Now, later on, two of them came up with the different model that bears names but that is a different story. Back to observations, discovery of the expanding universe was probably one of the greatest scientific discoveries of all times. Two people need special credit here especially Vesto Melvin Slipher who was an astronomer at Lowell Observatory in Arizona who measured velocities, radial velocities of galaxies. And obtained the data that were much later that were later used by Hubble. That's roughly same time Knut Lundmark and Carl Wirtz in Sweden and Germany obtained similar results. But, their plot of velocity versus estimated distance to the galaxies didn't show anything. A little bit later, Edwin Hubble plotted distances to galaxies which are measured little better using relative brightness as a measure of distance, against velocities most of which are obtained by Slipher, and found this remarkable trend that the further away galaxy was the faster it was going away from us. This is now known as the Hubble diagram and was immediate evidence for an expanding universe. Here is a brief explanation of the expansion of the universe. Imagine just a piece of the volume of the universe populated with galaxies, more or less uniformly distributed. If the space expands in itself, it carries the galaxies apart. And, the further apart from, from each other they are to begin with, the larger the distances there will be next time. So, since the growth in the distance between any two galaxies is proportional to the distance itself, and its time derivative is the velocity. So therefore, you get the velocities of recession from galaxies from each other is proportional to their distance which is Hubble's Law. Now, Einstein go to see this for himself. He visited Pasadena numerous of times in 1930s. Here, he is on Mt. Wilson with Edwin Hubble and Walter Adams, another famous astronomer, looking though an eyepiece of the 100 inch telescope. This was completely fake and posed picture because that's not what astronomers do. Allegedly, Einstein declared failure to predict expanding universe as the greatest mistake of his career. And remember, he was, invented cosmological constant as a means of preventing the collapse of the universe for that wasn't really needed. He failed to predict expansion of the universe, even though that was implicitly contained in his equations. And that was probably the greatest scientific prediction anyone could make. So, this is why he wasn't so happy. In the meantime, two theorists really developed modern relativistic cosmological models. Alexander Friedmann in Soviet Union developed relativity-based expanding universe models. Then, he came up with the equation that bears his name that we will use very heavily. Then, roughly at the same time or few years later, George Lemaitre in Belgium developed similar cosmological models. And also, he said, okay, if the universe is expanding now what if we just look back. It all must have started with very dense state which is probably very hot and he called this the Cosmic Egg. And so, that was essentially a first notion of the Big Bang, but it was not taken very seriously because he was little too much of a extrapolation and he was a Jesuit priest and you know that sounds a little suspiciously like biblical creation. So, that was forgotten for a little while. Then in 1930's, relativistic cosmology really started to flourish. And here are some of the more important contributors to it. Milne developed a model that is based on special relativity. It includes no matter. It's just the dynamics of space and time itself. And Eddington who was the person who'd actually proven that general relativity is right promoted their own models and tried to think about the interfaces, interfaces between quantum theory and relativistic cosmology. Robertson and Walker are two mathematicians who developed a mathematical description that's actually still being used in explaining or describing expanding universe. Module 1.3 - Later History Hello. We now continue our quick overview of the history of cosmology. In the last module, we learned how expansion of the universe, observational discovery, and general activity which provided a theoretical framework for cosmology, really established it as a science. Something else however, happened in 1930 that's of considerable importance. And that is the discovery of dark matter by Caltech physicist and astronomer Fritz Zwicky, who applied simple Newtonian mechanics to motions of galaxies and coma cluster. Their kinetic energy has to be balanced by the binding energy. And so he could deduce how much mass was needed in order to keep clusters together. So he found out that he needs 400 times as much invisible matter that does exert some gravitational influence that was actually seen in stars. Similar thing was found by another astronomer, Sinclair Smith, for Virgo cluster a few years later. But at that time, nobody took this seriously. Because this was just too outrageous statement and there was no other evidence for it. Until 1970's when sufficient evidence has accumulated that dark matter could no longer be ignored. And now, essentially, everybody believes in its existence for good reasons which we'll cover later. Dark matter is, today a key ingredient in the models of structure formation. But its exactly physical nature is not yet understood, and this is one of the outstanding problems of physics today. Meanwhile, observational astronomers following first, Hubble, but then his followers including Allan Sandage, tried to establish what kind of relativistic cosmological model we live in. Hubble designed a set of cosmological tests, how observations of distant galaxies can be used to determine local geometry. The foremost of those were so-called Hubble Diagram. Remember, that's the plot of relative distance versus velocity for galaxies far away from us. And near us, this is very close to a straight line. Now, as you go further deeper in space, relativistic effects start playing role and the line deviates from straight in way that depends on values of cosmological parameters. So, Sandage and his collaborators tried very hard to do this. Using brightest cluster galaxies is what they call standard candles, assuming that they're in general, luminosities constant. And that basically failed, because galaxies are not constant. They evolve, they're made of stars, stars of all the galaxies merge. And so until mid-90s, Hubble diagram was not considered as a serious cosmological test. But then, things change considerably. Galaxy evolution really became forefront of cosmology in 1970, or late 1970s and 1980s. And this was in part with the realization that we must understand how constituents of galaxies evolve, and therefore galaxies themselves before we can use them for cosmology. But it’s also containing number of interesting question so on and so on. And, studies of this were enabled by development of modern instrumentation, ending up in charge couple devices. And both of that was done at Palomar Directory. Here are some of the famous astronomers who developed early instruments to study distant universe. Meanwhile, on the theoretical front, Fred Hoyle, Hermann Bondi and Thomas Gold came up with a new idea called the Steady State Cosmology. Remember, the cosmological principle says that universe is same at all places and all directions. Well, they said also at all times. But because it expands, new matter has to be created in order to fill up the gaps. And mechanism for this was not specified and that was clearly seen as a weakness. But in that sense, universe will always look the same, keep expanding but always look the same. And there are cosmological tests that can distinguish between those two. In part, this was trying to respond to the extrapolation of the galactic cosmic expansion to what now called Big Bang which at least Hoyle found distasteful and give it the name. But, Big Bang Theory actually made some important predictions. George Gamow and his colleagues, Alpher and Herman, actually considered what one Lemaitre thought was primitive atom and ask what would be the physics if universe is so hot and dense. And so, what universe will do is what stars do in their course, which is convert hydrogen into helium, heavier elements. And they did develop that along with Hans Bethe and called Alpher, Bethe, and Gamow Theory. But, it turns out that they can predict formation of elements all the way up to helium, in other words, just hydrogen and helium. However, there's really been an afterglow of this cosmic thermonuclear explosion which takes to the red shift stretching the photons now will not be gamma rays, but will be really microwaves. So that black body temperature of five degrees Kelvin or so. Well, this was actually measured in 1965 by Penzias and Wilson, who deservedly got the Nobel Prize for this discovery. The cosmic micro background remains as one of the touchstones of cosmology. Today, we can measure it with space instruments, and its spectrum is as predicted by theory, pure black body radiation with which is now measured with exquisite precision, and might be actually the purest black body spectrum that we have measured anywhere. Another prediction of the Big Bang Theory is that there will be abundances of very light elements. I said, you will only make Helium, but that's not quite true. It will also make trace amounts of Lithium and maybe a touch of Boron and Beryllium. But also, different isotopes of Helium and Hydrogen, Deuterium, and Helium three. So, here we have on the left plot of the helium mass fraction in star-forming galaxies, plotted against their oxygen abundance. Oxygen is only made in stars. So if both Helium and Oxygen were made in stars only, then this plot would be line going through the origin of zero point. But instead of that, there is an intercept. The zero point from which it starts is 0.24 mass fraction of Helium. And therefore, stars must begin with that much Helium, and the only place that Helium can come from was from primordial nucleosynthesis. Models of primordial nucleosynthesis have been developed with great precision and now they're compared with observations. The plot on the right shows theoretical predictions as functions of the density, Baryon density of the universe. And the blue band shows where they the measured the value is. So, it all is consistent with what we now believe are the right cosmological parameters. And this is also seen as one the great pieces of evidence in favor of the Big Bang cosmology. In the meantime, another important discovery happened, or set of discoveries really. After the World War II, thanks to the radars, radio astronomy was born. And radio astronomers start mapping the sky in radial wavelengths, seeing their sources with nature was at first unknown. And astronomers like Walter Baade and Rudolph Minkowsky obtained optical counterparts, some of these sources. And discovered some of them are actually quite far away, implying that given the observed flux, the internal power luminosity of these objects must be enormous. This was a very surprising and important discovery. Given the optical, signs of something interesting were already there. In 1940's Carl Seyfert for his PhD thesis, observed bright nuclei nearby spiral galaxies and found to have these somewhat unusual spectra with very broad emission lines. And their nature was not understood at the time. But it took really combination of optical and radio astronomy with identification of quasars to really drive his point home. Cyril Hazard was one of the radio astronomers who obtained precise measurements of few quasi stellar sources and their positions. Allan Sandage and others at Palomar obtained their optical counterparts, and Maarten Schmidt and his collaborators figured out what's going on. Namely, from the shift of lines in this spectrum, they figure out they must be very far away. Remember, the faster objects we see, the further away they are. Well, this implied enormous distances to quasars, which then implied that the, their internal luminosities are huge. So they have an object that may be ten times or hundred times or thousand times more luminous that entire galaxy of stars. And that luminosity comes from regions smaller than solar system. Maarten Schmidt made it to the cover of Time Magazine. I think he was the second astronomer with that honor, the first one was Harold Shapley. Meanwhile, another important line of study was happening. Namely, discovery of the large scale structure of the universe. It really began in 1930's with Harold Shapley, Zwicky, and their collaborators starting to map how galaxies clump in space. It was clear that they're not purely randomly distributed. And through the 50s, the 70s, more evidence was accumulated and was obvious that galaxies are clumped in clusters and less dense but more extensive structures. However, the really most important new development was measurements of red shifts, which imply distances to vast numbers of galaxies. First thousands, but now there are really hundreds of thousands. Gerard De Vaucouleurs, who was a famous observational astronomer, also pointed out that our immediate extra-galactic neighborhood forms what we call the local super cluster, of which we’re one part, and Virgo cluster was the center with some elongated structure in the sky as seen in the projection here. And this was an indication of structures that are larger than anything seen before. So today, of course, we know this with a much greater precision, and here is the projected map of density of galaxies from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, a modern Perchet survey. And shows these filaments and voids and bubbles which are important features of the galaxy distribution that we will study later on. Module 1.4 - Modern Cosmology Let us now complete this brief survey of history of cosmology with some more modern developments. Remember that, by 1970's, it became clear that galaxy formation evolution must play an important role. It must be understood before we can actually map out the universe, and both theoretical and observational advances were made. Three theorists deserve special mention. Jim Peebles in the United States, Yakov Zel'dovich in former Soviet Union, and Martin Reese in United Kingdom. At the same time, we saw development of numerical cosmology. it is impossible to analytically follow, how would systems of billions, larger numbers of particles evolve. But we can simulate them in computer. The improvements in computer technology enabled very sophisticated and ever better simulations to be done and here is just a set of snapshots from one by a theorist named Andre Kravtsov. Today this is a very well developed art, and this is just a small snapshot of one of the more modern simulations by so called Virgo Consortium. And it covers essentially the entire observable universe. We can also zoom in, in great detail and see how structures form on galactic scales. So then that has to be compared with observations. Observational cosmology really started blossoming from 1970's onward. And thanks largely to the development of many new technologies. Both from the ground and space. This is a picture from Hubble Space Telescope from one of the Deep Fields that Hubble has studied, with many, many distant galaxies, but it's important to point out the important role that technology plays in our development of scientific knowledge. Ever better instruments is, including CCD arrays and computers, enable us to get much higher quality of data and much more data than we ever had before. And in both large telescopes on the ground like a twin keck telescope shown here and in space, like the hubble shown here also, play an important role in these studies. Another important theoretical development happened in 1980. Alan Guth came up with so called inflationary theory, and this was a very surprising thing, and it really addressed the number of important, questions in cosmology. It became a standard paradigm in which early universe is viewed. We'll talk about this is much more detail later. Other theories since kept developing better or more ornate versions of inflationary theory. One of which is the multiverse or megaverse, in which ours is just one of the many inflating bubbles in some much larger space. But so far that's entirely a hypothetical issue. 1990s, mid-1990s really saw return to the classical cosmology or cosmological tests. Now we talk about precision cosmology. Two important paths happened there. The first one was studies of a cosmic microwave background with exquisite precision, both from round, from balloon, borne instruments, and from space. And cosmic microwave background is not perfectly uniform. There are some minor fluctuations, like parts in a million, that correspond to density fluctuations in the early universe. Measuring their size, can constrain cosmological parameters. So this is now done with great precision, but second thing that happened was use of supernova explosions as standard candles, with more modern instruments, to push Hubble diagrams much deeper than was done before, and, it turns out that, that can also constrain cosmological parameters in important ways, and it became one of the key ingredients in the discovery of dark energy. So this is just between illustrate the great precision by which we know cosmological parameters. You can look through them, and there are many different ones. But they're roughly known with with percent level precision. This is something that earlier cosmologists could only dream about. So cosmology is now a precision science. And we know properties of the universe with an amazing accuracy. Just to jump ahead, here is the punchline. Today, we know that the universe consists of about 73% of so called dark energy. Another 23 percent and so of dark matter which is not made of regular matter atoms and normal matter which we know about, constitutes only four percent. This is now determined through many, many different observation using different methods and it is supported constantly and refined with new measurements. And so generally well accepted picture, and we'll talk how that's done in more detail later. So here is essentially cosmic timeline from the modern viewpoint. Universe starts with Big Bang. There is a brief period of inflation, when universe is less than ten to the minus 32 seconds old. Then sometime later, physics that we know starts to come into play, such as formation of first chemical elements, and then slowly formation of of flunctuations, and the formation of galaxies and there evolution. Obviously the deeper in the past we push in this logorithmic scale, the less we understand, but it's actually impressive that, we can really address what happened in the universe when it was say nanoseconds old with reasonably good accuracy. Here is a slightly different view that would be appealing more to physicists that expresses history not as a function of time but as a typical energies of particles at that time. Recall that the smaller and the denser the Universe was, the hotter is was, and kinetic energies were higher. Well today they're roughly micro background photons, which is energies of one four thousandth of an electron volt, but early times, the energies are correspondingly larger, and inflation happened when, particles had energies of ten to the sixteenth giga electron volt. Just for comparison, the large hadron collider, produces particles of 100 giga electron volts, rest mass energy. Here we see a simulation of, what the early universe might have looked like, that was produced by the WMAP space mission team, and it shows fluctuations in the micro background that was studied with great precision. So at the beginning of one of them, you can sees schematically dark matter collapsing, making clumps, then stars igniting, first chemical elements are made, galaxies are slowly assembled. Another interesting way to visualize the history of the Universe is to say, if all of the age of the universe. 13.7 billion years today was squeezed in one day. What happened when? Well Big Bang happens at the beginning. Pretty much everything that predates formation of our solar system is done in first few hours. On that time scale humans appeared four seconds before midnight. Four seconds out of an entire 24 hour day. And that gives you a little bit of a scale as to how significant our history is on cosmic scales. Martin Rees suggested that cosmology today is now developing in two directions. One of which he compared to chess, which is theoretical elegant cosmology, which is very precise and clean. And the other one, which is observations of galaxy formation, which is messy, and he compares it to mud wrestling. Both of them are important and interesting.
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