Military Art and Science 245 TENDENCIES CONCERNING NORTHATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION’S COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH IN THE PROCESS OF TRANSITION TO FULL AFGHAN SECURITY RESPONSIBILITY Aurelian RAŢIU [email protected] OanaBianca BOIER [email protected] “Nicolae Bălcescu” Land Forces Academy, Sibiu, Romania A BSTRACT The Comprehensive Approach concept has been adopted i n numerous domains with great success. Its adoption in conflict and crisis management seems to be the following secret weapon to fight against the threats to security. We think that it is important to study this concept because of its possibility to change the perception of the crisis and to explore in finding ways of implementation. The research will be a study of ISAF’s (International Securit y Assistance Force) strategy for the Afghanistan post-conflict period, the strategy which includes a Comprehensive Approach of the situation as the framework where all the decisions are made. KEYWORDS: integration, comprehensive approach, comprehensive integration, holistic approach, coherent integration 1. Theoretical and Methodological Considerations Fighting against today’s security challenges involves “a broad partnership with the international community … based on a shared sense of openness and cooperation as well as determination on all sides” [1]. All the actors have “to act in a coordinated way, and to apply a wide spectrum of civil and military instruments in a concerted effort that takes into account their respective strengths and mandates” [2]. This is what a comprehensive approach for crisis management should be. Within NATO, the comprehensive approach concept was introduced for the first time by the North Atlantic Council at the Riga Summit of 2006. In April 2008, with the occasion of the Bucharest Summit, the implementation of a comprehensive approach was announced. In November 2010, at the Lisbon Summit 2010 NATO’s new Strategic Concept was adopted. “Allied leaders agreed at Lisbon to enhance NATO’s contribution to a comprehensive approach to crisis management as part of the international community’s effort and to improve NATO’s REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 246 Military Art and Science ability to contribute to stabilization and reconstruction” [3]. In M arch 2012, to update its Comprehensive Approach Action Plan, NATO presents a list of tasks implemented later by a civilian-military task force which involves NATO bodies and commands. From a different perspective the Comprehensive Approach could be “…the synergy amongst all actors and actions of the International Community through the coordination and de-confliction of its political, development and security capabilities to face today’s challenges including complex emergencies” [4]. The concept of Comprehensive Approach has to be understood as a concept and not as a document process or capability. Therefore, “a” comprehensive approach is better to speak of rather than “the” comprehensive approach. In an ideal phase it raises awareness among all people affected by the crisis and also combines short term crisis response with long term assistance and reconstruction [5]. It is obvious that a Comprehensive Approach has to use a Civil-M ilitary Cooperation (CIM IC), especially because of the extension of crisis management in terms of duration, tasks carried out, actors involved and social, economic and environmental factors. Afghanistan is the perfect groundwork for the analysis of the concept approach, implementation, evolution and identification of future tendencies. The country has been presented as “a story of epic tragedy and hardship that has caused its members to live a long cycle of survival” [6]. Timing, stability and safeness have never been suitable words for the country’s status, which has been characterised with “a sense of helpless abandonment toward future potential and success” [7]. Solving a contemporary conflict requires more than just military means alone. The army is not capable of carrying out civil tasks. Therefore, it needs the help from civilian agencies. In addition to that, the government needs to cooperate with international organizations and NGOs. A comprehensive approach is essential in having a complex view of the engagement space. It is important to have a shared understanding of the situation to establish a commonly agreed end-state and to avoid interference that might affect the mission. The significance of the Comprehensive Approach Concept and its meanings are diverse and sometimes confusing because of their general approach. To have a better understanding of the concept, a strong attention has to be made to the context in which it is implemented. In order to achieve the goal of the research we used a panoramic view of the perspectives of all actors involved in the Afghanistan conflict especially on NATO and Afghan government views. Each actor has its own way of analyzing the situation and implementing its strategy. We try to identify how NATO has implemented the Comprehensive Approach and also try to analyze the consequences followed by the establishment of the concept. At least a minimal analysis of the partnerships between actors is necessary. In order to achieve the goal of the paper we focused on the process of transition to full Afghan security responsibility and tried to make a connection with the implementation of NATO’s Comprehensive Approach. 2. Understanding the Evolution of Post-Conflict Afghan Security Building effective Afghan security forces by strong governance and rule of law helps reversing the current situation in Afghanistan. It requires the degradation and destruction of insurgents’ capacity to attack the general population, international forces and assets and to retain and recruit new members into their organizations. Economic development and successful reconstruction is required to give confidence for Afghan people [8]. REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 Military Art and Science Deployed in 2001 and mandated by the UN, ISAF begins to assist the Afghan government in maintaining security as requested by the democratically elected government of the country. The NATO/ISAF mandate is to support the legitimate Afghan authorities to express their authority to the country. NATO and the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan signed a declaration on an Enduring Partnership at th the NATO Summit in Lisbon, on the 20 of November, 2010. The Declaration presents the framework on which NATO will build its long term engagement to “a sovereign, independent, democratic, secure and stable Afghanistan …” [9]. By signing the Declaration of Enduring Partnership NATO marks its continued commitment to Afghanistan, especially in the field of ANSF capacitybuilding and security sector reform. The cooperation within the framework of the Enduring Partnership includes the following tasks [10]: ● Capacity-building efforts like programmes for professional military education. ● Courses to promote the fight against corruption and good governance initiatives, including under theBuilding Integrity-programme. ● Assisting the Afghan civil aviation sector in meeting international standards. ● An Afghan First Policy to identify Afghan companies eligible for ISAF contracts. ● The SILK-Afghanistan [11] project which provides affordable, high-speed Internet access via satellite and fibre optics to Afghan universities and governmental institutions in Kabul. 247 ● Training in civil emergency planning and disaster preparedness. ● Public diplomacy efforts to promote a better understanding of NATO and its role in Afghanistan. The transition to full Afghan security responsibility was launched in 2011 and with the end of ISAF’s mission it is due to be completed at the end of 2014. After that, NATO plans to train, assist, advice and continue the cooperation with the ANSF (Afghan National Security Forces) within the framework of the NATO-Afghanistan Enduring Partnership. In discussing the way forward to the Partnership, the Afghan and NATO Foreign M inisters endorsed a list of activities in order to establish “the framework on which NATO is building its long-term engagement with Afghanistan” [12], at their meeting in th Berlin, on the 14 of April, 2011. On 14 M arch 2012, “following a request by NATO Defence Ministers, the North Atlantic Council endorsed a plan to reduce the risk of attacks on ISAF by ANSF personnel” [13]. The aim of the plan is to improve ISAF security measures and enrich cultural awareness training. NATO Allies and ISAF partners agreed to a NATO-led mission showing their strong commitment by continuing to support the development of the Afghan forces, after NATO forces withdrawal, at NATO’s Summit in Chicago in M ay 2012. The following figure, comprising important territorial changes and political events in Afghanistan beginning with 2011, satisfy the need of having an overview of the Afghan security evolution. It presents a list of dates and events in chronological order which records the main incidents during the post-conflict period of Afghanistan. REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 248 Military Art and Science 2011 22nd March 2011 President Karzai announces the first set of Afghan provinces and districts to start the transition process. 2012 1st April 2012 The Regional Police Training Centre in Mazar-e Shari f is handed over to the Afghans. 17th July 2011 The first transition ceremony takes place in Bamyan Province. 13th May 2012 President Karzai announces the third tranche of transition. 1st August 2012 English teaching at the Kabul Military Training Centre (KMTC) is now entirely carried out by Afghan instructors. 2013 2014 4th January 2013 The 209th Corps combat engineers run an operation fully independently for the first time. 16th July 2012 The Afghan Army Special Operations Command is stood up. 5th The Afghan National Army acquires 406 Mobile Strike Force vehicles. 1st February 2013 The Afghan Ground Forces Command is inaugurated. This new operational headquarters oversees all operations in Afghanistan. In 2014, the Afghan forces reached their full strength of 352,000 soldiers and the police have taken the lead for security across the whole country 27th November 2011 President Karzai announces the second set of Afghan provinces, districts and cities to start the transition process. 26th July 2012 The first ever Afghan-panned/ Afghan-led night air assault operation takes place. 31st December 2012 President Karzai announces the fourth set of Afghan provinces. The Regional Police Training Centre in Mazar-e Sharif is handed over to the Afghans. 1st April 2013 The Afghan National Defence University is inaugurated. It will train the future officers of the Afghan National Army. 18th June 2013 President Karzai announces the fi fth and final group of Afghan provinces, cities and districts to undergo transition in the coming months. Afghan soldiers and police will take the lead for security across the whole country. Fig. no. 1 Key Dates in Afghanistan Security Transition from 2011 to 2014 [14] 3. Requirement for NATO Strategic Change Plan The success of a comprehensive approach depends on mutual understanding and collaboration, and appropriate resources. This is necessarily established by political agreement on the desired final situation, the outcome, reached through intervention or as a result of some other form of influence. NATO’s Comprehensive Approach is a response to the challenges that have affected the Alliance’s operations. Irregular warfare in Afghanistan is a political struggle in which the ability to provide everything that is necessary for the population determines victory, and in which bad governance and social injustice drives militant requirements. NATO adopted the Comprehensive Approach to satisfy the need for proactive engagement, to foster cooperation, coordination and contribution of all actors, before and during a crisis. Peace requires good governance, development, rule of law REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 Military Art and Science and local ownership, all this in addition to military security. NATO highlights that the approach should be “done in a way that does not compromise any organisation’s independence. Nor must it infringe on the humanitarian space to which NGOs understandably attach great importance” [15]. NATO’s contribution to Comprehensive Approach should enhance the improvement of public messaging and public diplomacy. It cannot be effective without sustained and coherent public messages. 249 In 2008, the strategic vision of ISAF emphasizes the idea of a Comprehensive Approach as a solution to bring civil and military efforts together. The interaction between civilian and military reaches certain levels among the evolution or involution of the crisis. The following image offers explanations regarding the exact meaning of each level of civilmilitary interaction. Fig. no. 2 The Levels of Civil-military Interaction [16] The concept has influenced NATO’s steps being a “crucial precondition for effectiveness of international support for Afghanistan” [17]. To enabling security, governance and development NATO pledge to provide PRTs (Provincial Reconstruction Team) as long as needed. Aspiring to a long-term regional approach to security challenges, NATO encourages Afghanistan’s neighbours to support Government’s efforts to improve security and build a stable country with secure borders. On the need to implement the concept, the Alliance stresses the need for closer partnerships with UN and EU. Adopting the Comprehensive Approach concept gratify the need for achieving deployable capabilities, for the “development of options for comprehensive missile defence architecture, the role of arm control, disarmament and non- proliferation” [18] and for a new cyber defence policy. NATO tends to improve the Alliance Ground Surveillance capability and to stress the importance of the NATO Response Force. All the aspirations that came with the adoption of the Comprehensive Approach concept were meant to improve the status of counterinsurgency operations in Afghanistan and also to improve NATO’s reputation and its credibility in succeeding to stabilize Afghanistan. 4. Challenges for Afghan-Led Security The major obstacle for peace in the Afghanistan is the Taliban leaders’ cooperation with international terrorist organizations. The Alliance has to ensure that a stable Afghan government is able to handle its security requirements. REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 250 Military Art and Science Although the Comprehensive Approach was implemented in theory, there is still insufficient coordination between national and regional levels and between the actors. In some areas of governance, such as: respect for human rights, freedom of speech, and the existence of an independent, transparent judicial system are the main impediments in achieving security stabilization, good governance, fostering economic growth and reducing poverty. The challenge that makes Afghanistan different to other countries refers to problems like poverty, drugs, corruption and religion which are so interdependent. Focusing on one, it starts to expose the gravity of the others. Poverty, disease and hunger aggravate the security environment. Poverty in Afghanistan is overwhelming. The World Bank notes that “private investment, on the other hand, has played a rather small role” [19]. The Asian Development Bank affirms that “tax and customs revenues have declined while industry and services have weakened” [20]. In Afghanistan, the major challenge for the Afghan government is terrorist violence conducted in asymmetric guerrilla warfare. Terrorism is not characteristic only for the Afghans, it has now mutated “into a global franchise”. To fight against terrorism, NATO has to engage in a wide array of political, operational, conceptual, military, technological, scientific and economic initiatives. The Alliance tries to intensify its cooperation with the other members, allies and partners, having as results the development of new capabilities to defend against international terrorism and to help local forces to fight terrorism themselves. In our opinion, another challenge for Afghan security can be found in the relationships between actors. Following NATO’s conception in this domain, planning and carrying out the future operation will need an increase of the role of comprehensive approach, as well as an increase of the level of coordination between the components of all the military forces and more significant involvement of the governmental agencies and of the NGOs in the multilateral effort. The NGOs in Afghanistan are involved in provision of emergency relief and in running of health, education, human rights and peace building, as a result of the critical analysis we have identified some of the factors considered to be inhibitors of efficient operation. The integration of the NGOs across all levels of command is a highly effective force multiplier, but each actor has to understand when he has to interfere, otherwise the mission is compromised. According to the information provided by Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, through Quarterly Reports to the United States Congress, the drug industry is the main problem in Afghanistan. About 90 % of the world production of opium and heroin comes from Afghanistan. “The opium economy lies at the heart of the challenges Afghanistan faces in state building, governance, security, and development” [21]. In order to respond in the appropriate way to the new security environment and to the numerous threats associated to it, NATO has started multiple transformations in the activities specific to military operations, from the one based on the known threats, to one that is more flexible and adaptable, based on capabilities. To continue fulfilling the tasks, the Alliance has to invest in capabilities which are necessary to deal with the risks and challenges for this country’s security. Unfortunately, due to the high threat levels, improving the close relationships among NATO member and partner countries is extremely important. In order to have the right tools and structures to meet these challenges, NATO has to consider a cooperative and comprehensive approach involving all the actors. “Drawing on existing mechanisms, it aims to better coordinate defence efforts by aligning national and Alliance capability priorities” [22]. REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 Military Art and Science M embers should contribute fairly to a mutual commitment to manage all the challenges which affect Afghan-led security. 5. NATO’s Comprehensive Approach Outcomes in Afghanistan After 2011 NATO’s contribution to a comprehensive approach happens by making improvements in four areas of work: planning and conduct of its operations, application of NATO’s lessons learnt, enhancement of cooperation with external actors and area of public messaging and public diplomacy. For the first area (planning and conduct of its operations), there is a lack of coordination between the security forces, in both, Afghan army and police, which has expanded opportunities for infiltration of the Taliban. Green-on-blue attacks are strong examples of the widening trust deficit between the heavily factionalized ANSF and coalition command/forces. Comprehensive approach was managed to improve NATO’s operations but the withdrawal of the troops demonstrate a different fact. By the end of 2012, Canada, France, United Kingdom and Australia started or announced to withdraw their troops from Afghanistan. Although NATO emphasized the intention to maintain this process through the end of 2014, significant troop reductions have been anticipated from Germany, Spain and Italy which started in 2013. As a part of a NATO Comprehensive approach, CIM IC has to be incorporated in operational planning and it has to work with personnel from operations, logistics, information and all the other military and civilian players. NATO focuses on ensuring security in a strongly process that spans the tactical, operational, strategic, and politicalmilitary levels. For the area of application of lessoned learnt, NATO is focusing on the civilian sector. ISAF found out that a 251 problem to engage with the local population was finding ways to engage women. Therefore, ISAF applied an innovative technique by using Female Engagement Teams in reaching out to Afghan females “in a culturally acceptable manner resulting in enhanced cultural and situational awareness” [23]. The National Action Plan for the Women of Afghanistan (NAPWA) is a 10 years plan of action provided under the Afghan Constitution to implement its commitment to women constituents. Its aim is to ensure continuity and consistency in government efforts through empowerment and equality. Its vision is “to build a peaceful and progressive Afghanistan where women and men both enjoy security, equal rights and opportunities in all aspects of life” [24]. For the third area concerning the cooperation with external actors, by signing the Declaration on an Enduring Partnership, NATO established a long term partnership with the Afghan government which is in line with broader UN-led international efforts. The Treaty of Lisbon was an opportunity for international and Afghan stakeholders to meet and to create a new government structure, the Afghan Transitional Authority. In 2010, the international Kabul conference took place and it was “one of the most high-profile summits the history of the region with up to 75 foreign ministers and other dignitaries in attendance” [25]. In December 2011, in Bonn, the international donor community pledged comprehensive political and financial support over the transformation decade (2015-2024 period). In M ay 2012, at NATO’s Chicago Summit, its leaders affirmed their intention to a continuum support for the Afghan government in the transformation decade. As a result, in July 2012, at the Tokyo conference, the international community pledged an annual supplement of four REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 252 Military Art and Science billion US-Dollars for the Afghan security forces and also the same amount for economic assistance and development [26]. For the area of public messaging and public diplomacy, a number of bilateral and multilateral events took place in Afghanistan. The conflict was an important discussion topic for almost each bilateral visit conducted between leaders of the regional powers, especially the withdrawal of the forces. How to form security institutions, what tasks to be assigned and how numerous the security forces should be, “the effect of a naturally difficult compromise between host government and external donors” [27] Therefore, adopting a Comprehensive Approach concept plays a crucial role in providing successful outcomes for security. Ten million kids going to school, 67 % of the population has access to basic health services, 12,000 km of roads were constructed, even though there are questions about the quality in all these areas [28] After years of struggling, efforts and suffering, a massive progress has been made by the international community and the Afghan government as a result of a comprehensive approach including the quality of life. The outcome of the 2014 year’s presidential election and the fate of the Bilateral Security Agreement are essential for the future of Afghanistan. The election is a turning-point because its results could take Afghanistan to the next decade of democracy, peace and state-building, if negative, we may go back to early 1990s – internal conflict and devastation. An important problem is whether the Afghan society will stay and continue the process of building a stable environment and a prosper country. Winning the confidence of the Afghans is more important than a certain level of the military tactical battle. This could be considered as the main factor for success in winning against the Taliban. 6. Conclusions Today security challenges can’t be solved without a broad approach. It is clear that the future of crisis and conflict management will need a Comprehensive Approach as a policy for guidance. The concept has already been successfully applied in many cases, in spite of a lot of obstacles. According to the our research, it is a fact that NATO has required for a strategic change of plans involving the international community to reflect the lesson learnt which stresses the idea that winning cannot be an accomplishment without the continuum cooperation with external actors. In a situation where threats are not anymore conventional military attacks, it is essential to have a wider approach of everything that could be or is already affected. Therefore, Comprehensive Approach has become NATO’s official guidance. A lot of aspirations and a different perspective for what stable and secure means have come along with the adoption of the concept. NATO achieving its goal in Afghanistan means having a successful transition process with an Afghanistan defined by good governance, development, rule of law, local ownership, public diplomacy and most important military security. The Riga, Bucharest and Lisbon Summits pointed out the importance of the civilian security in order to have a secure and stable country against the Taliban. Combined military resources with institution building are required. According to the research, to have successful civil-military cooperation, six levels have to be reached: coexistence, awareness, de-confliction, cooperation, coherence, integration. A crucial precondition for an effective Comprehensive Approach is the need for international support. Without cooperation with external actors a Comprehensive Approach is never going to be fulfilled. A challenge for implementation of the Comprehensive Approach and for Afghan REVISTA ACADEMIEI FORŢELOR TERESTRE NR. 3 (75)/2014 Military Art and Science government is the insufficient coordination between national and regional level and between the actors. NATO has to cooperate with different actors to develop military, operational, conceptual, scientifically, economic and technological capabilities for ANSF to fight against the threats which affects the country status. The presence of NGOs in the theatre is increasing, but the lack of coordination between them and the government is far from having an effective infrastructure. Also, ineffective law enforcement and lack of government control leads to corruption. Corruption leads to a bad perception from the population side. If the people cannot trust in those who lead them, their support will not be an existing or positive one. NATO’s Comprehensive Approach has the tendency to improve the operations and public opinion, the cooperation with other actors and the application of lessons learnt. The public diplomacy is the most successful key area for implementing Comprehensive Approach. According to the NATO homepage, the Comprehensive Approach is in a continuum progress that accompanies Alliance’s steps; the transition process is a success with the Afghan forces reaching the desired number and proving its capabilities as time passes. But NATO has tried to perform tasks with limited military resources, having a strategy bereft of civilian support. The relevant civilian agencies and organisations have shown little interest in developing support for Afghan population and if they did, it was for personal interest and not for national government’s interest. The area of cooperation with other actors is not a profitable one, but is promising especially on economical level because of the launched economic programmes. 253 The Alliance has identified lessons learnt from the mission of Afghanistan and promises for the application of them abound the strategic level. Those concerning Afghan quality of life and women emancipation have been a success. By adopting the concept of Comprehensive Approach, NATO enlarged its political function and overcame the security threats and having an effective transition process. A lot of debates are made about the opportunity to apply this concept, but the Comprehensive Approach has to be implemented on the territorial level and not on the policy level. NATO is working at the conceptual part of the situation, but it has to establish what it really wants to achieve in Afghanistan. Furthermore, the Alliance has to be completely convinced that there is no more need to assist and train the ANSF, in the capability which today’s challenges requires. The final goal for ISAF in Afghanistan is that ANSF takes over full security responsibility for the country. Without implementing a CA this goal is not possible to achieve. Afghanistan’s challenges affect a full spectrum of areas, not only the security one. Therefore, the tendencies concerning NATO’s CA in the process of transition to full Afghan security responsibility will take place on the decision-making process, at the policy level. What derives from this is the fragmentation of the Alliance approach in a system of systems working together to ensure that Afghan security is a work in progress. 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