Mental Health Effects of Internal Migration – Evidence from Urban Bangladesh Incomplete, please do not quote without permission Prabal K. De (Corresponding author) The City College of New York, CUNY Daniel Dench The Graduate Center, CUNY ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of internal migration on the mental health of migrant population in six urban areas in Bangladesh. Specifically, we try to empirically test the social theories of selection and stress by looking at the link between the migrants’ overall mental health status including suicidal thoughts, and migration status and history. Contrary to most of the previous literature that have found that migrants have higher levels of mental health problems, we find no significant difference between the mental health statuses of migrants and native-born. However, significant differences exist between men and women’s socio-economic and migration behavior including motives for migration. This confirms previous research that gender plays an important role in understanding the link between social factors and mental health outcomes. Additionally, we test theories on the effects of migration duration. To mitigate the problem of migrant selection, we exploit migration motivation comparing cases of voluntary migration with quasiinvoluntary migration. Keywords: Internal migration, Mental health, Bangladesh JEL classification: J61, I12, O15 1 1. INTRODUCTION Migration - the act of moving from the place of birth to another, either voluntary or involuntary, individual or with the family, within the same country or across international borders - is generally stressful and involves psychological costs relevant to the exit, the journey, or the destination. Though economic costs of migration have been researched extensively, psychological costs have been analyzed to a much lesser extent in the economics literature. This leaves a gap in our understanding of the cos-benefit analysis of migration; because mental health costs need to be factored into any cost-benefit analysis of migration either at a personal level, or at the policy level. Though there is a sizeable literature on the mental health cost of international migration on immigrants, particularly in the United States, there is surprisingly limited evidence on the potential mental health costs of internal, often rural to urban, migration in developing countries. This is unfortunate because domestic migration has also been a strong force in the global demographic transition. Since 1900, rapid urbanization has led from 10% of the population living in an urban environment to over 50%, and that percentage is rising quickly, especially in the developing world (Grimm et al., 2008). Though urbanization cannot necessarily be equated to migration as some migration takes place within rural areas or urban areas alone (Lucas, 2015). In this paper we study the impact of internal migration on migrants’ mental health in six Bangladeshi cities. Bangladesh is an appropriate country to study as it has been experiencing a rapid increase in urban population over the last two decades. A large part of this population comes from rural areas either to seek economic opportunities, to escape consequences of natural disasters or both. At the same time, urban infrastructure in cities has struggled to keep up with 2 this inflow. This motivates our research question: What are the effects of migration to cities, which both offers better opportunities and presents enormous challenges, on migrants’ mental health? We have used the 2005 Urban Health Survey, which has well-documented information on a sample of urban residents’ mental health, economic and demographic characteristics. Such research can offer important insights into the ongoing global debate on migration, urbanization and health policy. Specifically, the first aim of this article is to compare mental health statuses of migrants with that of the native-born population, hypothesizing that migrants have worse mental health outcomes on average – a salient finding in the immigrant mental health literature in the Unites States. The second aim is to test some of the theoretical relationships postulated in the literature. For example, our data allows us to test the association between mental health and migration motives, family separation, duration of migration and employment. Finally, we demonstrate how some of these results vary remarkably along the gender lines. To the best of our knowledge, this is one of the first pieces of research on the effect of domestic migration on mental health in South Asia. Using multiple regressions and matching estimators, we find no evidence that migrants have overall worse mental health than natives. Owing to the potential selection into migration depending on various omitted variables, our results cannot necessarily be deemed causal. However, we perform several tests within the constraints set by our cross-section data to address this concern. For example, we use matching estimators where individuals are matched on the observed characteristics that are significant in determining mental health and found the same result. Our result is also robust to introduction of mediation factors like involuntary migration, age at migration and whether the migration has been rural to urban or urban to urban. 3 Finally, we deal extensively with the gender dimension of migration. It has long been documented that women often experience migration differently (Pedraza, 1991). It is also wellknown that gender affects some key economic variables such as labor force participation significantly. This paper presents an opportunity to study variables like migration motivation, labor force participation and mental health jointly. We do find that process of migration is gendered as women migrants differ from men in terms of motivation for migration and the away labor force participation affects mental health. 2. BACKGROUND 2.1. Domestic Migration Issues and Mental Health issues in Bangladesh In Bangladesh, there has been a steady shift from agricultural to industrial production (the former down from 32% to 19% and latter up from 21% to 28% as a share of GDP between 1980 and 2010) since its conception in 1971. Bangladesh experienced faster urbanization than South Asia as a whole between 2000 and 2010. Over that period, the share of its population living in officially classified urban settlements increased by 1.69 percent a year (World Bank, 2014). Like many other developing countries, domestic migration to urban areas is a livelihood strategy in Bangladesh. According to the current trends, more than 50 percent of the population in Bangladesh will live in urban areas by the year 2025 (ESCAP, 2007). However, this has led to quality of life issues due to severe infrastructure and service deficiencies, lack of land administration, expansion of slums and social strife. For example, Dhaka, the largest and best performing city in Bangladesh, was ranked 139 out of 140 cities by the 2015 livability index of the Economist Intelligence Unit. In much of the developing world mental health constitutes a major public health challenge undermining the social and economic development. For example, According to one 4 estimate, mental health disorders account for 13% of the global burden of disease (WHO, 2007). Mental health support infrastructure in Bangladesh, like many other developing countries, is inadequate by most accounts. According to a report by WHO in 2007, there was no mental health authority, no day treatment mental health facilities in the country, and only 31 community-based psychiatric inpatient units for a total of 0.58 beds per 100,000 population (WHO, 2007). Research evidence on mental health disorders in Bangladesh is also thin. According to Hossain et al. (2015), the overall prevalence of mental disorders varied from 6.5 to 31% among adults and from 13.4 to 22.9% among children As far as mental health disorders in urban areas is concerned, Izutsu et al. (2015) found that such disorders were worse in slum areas and were correlated with education and working status. 2.2. Prior research on mental health and migration There are two different ways in which the mental health impacts of migration have been examined in the literature. First, the mental health outcomes of migrants are compared in the destination communities. This is more common in the context of international migration where mental health conditions of immigrants are routinely compared with those of natives. One strand of this literature focuses on the incidence of clinical condition of schizophrenia among migrants. Cochrane and Bal (1987) identify several pathways by which migrating individuals can have schizophrenia at a higher rate than the native born population and find in the United Kingdom that largest immigrant groups have higher incidence than natives. More recently, Dealberto (2010) found similar results. More generally, in an extensive meta-study, Bhugra (2004) found that migrants overall suffer more from mental health issues than natives. However, this line of findings contradicts the phenomenon known as the “Healthy Migrant Effect” in the literature – the phenomenon whereby migrants exhibit better health outcomes than natives when they first 5 arrive at their destination country (one that is richer than their home countries), but lose that advantage over time (Guarnaccia et al. (2005)). Though various Latino groups’ immigration experiences have been the main focus of this literature in the United States new research has started focusing on other immigrant groups keeping up with the changes in the demographic composition. The results are mixed. Studying Vietnamese immigrants in the US from Ho Chi Minh City and New Orleans, Fu and VanLandingham (2012) found that immigrants face both mental health advantages and challenges. Finally, Gong et al. (2011) study whether human agency factors (measured by migration reasons such planning and voluntariness) and timing (measured by age at immigration) affect mental health outcomes among Asian immigrants in the United States. We also account for some of these factors. Such studies are rare in the context of internal migration with some exceptions like Lu et al. (2007) and Chen (2011), who found that healthy migrant phenomenon was generally valid among Chinese migrants with some caveats. The first study found that the urban migrants had higher mental health scores than their urban counterparts, but lower than the rural residents. Chen (2011) found the healthy migrant effect to be valid with respect to physical health, but not mental health. The latter paper is closest to our work, though differs along several dimensions. First, we have six large cities in Bangladesh allowing us to control for spatial variations (Chen has noted this limitation in the study). Second, we exploit information on conditions surrounding the migration experience to estimate the effects of causes of migration on mental health. A second way to explore the mental health effects of migration has been to address the counterfactual: what would have been the mental health status of a migrant if she had not migrated? This is a difficult exercise because of its counterfactual nature. Stillman et al. (2009) exploit a somewhat unique mechanism to address this. They study Tongan migration to New 6 Zealand, where the migration treatment was randomly assigned via lottery. They found that migration had positive effects on mental health and wellbeing of those that received the migration treatment in comparison to those that wanted to migrate but were randomly assigned not to migrate. They also found that between those who wanted to migrate and those who did not, the former group had lower mental health status. 2. 3. Conceptual Framework - Migration and Mental Health Most of the theoretical framework to analyze the mental health effects of migration is in the context of international migration, and some of the issues involved like language and cultural barriers may seem less relevant in the context of internal migration. However, they are not inseparably attached to international migration. For example, more than one hundred languages are spoken in India, while all but one country in Latin America speak a common language. Therefore, we can adopt a theoretical framework similar to the one used to examine the mental health effects of international migration and use it for studying such problems in the context of domestic migration. Theoretically, two forces influence the link between migration and mental health: Social Selection and Social Stress (Guarnaccia, 1997). The first refers to the circumstances surrounding migrants’ exit from home communities. It is widely documented that migrants, both internal and international, are “selected groups” of people, in the sense that they cannot be treated as random selection from their home communities; rather people who are more (or less) able than an average member to leave. In terms of mental health status, it is often argued that only the mentally strong and resilient people migrate. Social stress can be a function of several variables. First, circumstances surrounding the departure can contribute to stress. This is particularly true in 7 Bangladesh, where natural disasters have led to loss of assets and livelihoods and prompted people to migrate. Even in the absence of dire circumstances, personal feelings of homesickness, loss of roots and the possibility of facing challenges of new surroundings may make internal migration stressful. The characteristics of the receiving community also affect the stress level. Particularly in developing countries like Bangladesh, urban infrastructure facilities may not be equipped to handle the influx of new users. The native born may also have feelings of animosity and xenophobia towards the domestic migrants. Finally, the characteristics of migrants – their human capital resources in terms of health and education, possible ties to social networks and knowledge of the receiving society also play an important role in determining the stressfulness of migration. It is also important to keep track of the “control” group when we treat migrants as belonging to a “treatment” group. When natives form the control group, the social selection phenomenon also needs to be interpreted differently. Migrants may be more resilient than their peers in home communities; there is no reason to presume that such would be the case with respect to their destination community peers also. 2.4. Hypothesis Development Specifically, we test the following hypotheses: H1: Mental health problems of domestic migrants in six cities in Bangladesh were not significantly different from those of natives. If not rejected, this result would provide against one part of the healthy migrant hypothesis. H2: Mental health problems vary according to the degrees of voluntariness of migration. H3: Over time, the mental health problems deteriorate for the domestic migrants the longer the average duration of stay is. 8 3. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS To test H1, we start with the following specification captured in equation (1): _ log where the subscripts refer to an indivudual i residing in city s, education level is measured in years of completed education, Migrant, married, schooling, smoker, Islamic and employed are binary variables. Finally, captures city fixed effects (s = 1,2,..6). Equation (1) is estimated with correct sampling weights using data on all individuals, migrants and non-migrants clustering within the household. As a set of robustness checks for this model we use a covariate matching method, inverse propensity score weighting, and coarsened exact matching in section 4.4. For H2, we use the same specification as H1 except we split the migrant variable into two migrant categories related to choice in migration. Specifically, we test if there is a difference between migrants that moved for work or education (voluntary), and those that do so for familial or other reasons (non-voluntary). For H3 we use all the same controls as H1 except that we test only among migrants and we replace the migration explanatory variable with a quadratic for how long it has been since the migrant moved to their current city in years. 9 3.1. Data and Sample The data comes from the Bangladesh Urban Health Survey (BUHS), a study conducted by the National Institute of Population Research and Training (NIPORT) and Measure Evaluation, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA. The study was representative of several slums and non-slums in six urban districts with population over 45,000 – Dhaka, Barisal, Chittagon, Khulna, Rasjhahi and Sylhet. As part of the survey, several mental health questions were asked as detailed below. In addition, the study included questions on a plethora of household, individual and community characteristics. For tables 1-6 we use the survey weights included with the survey to improve external validity. Table 7, which trades external validity for a better causal interpretation through balancing estimators, does not use the survey weights. Table 1 presents descriptive statistics classified by migration status and gender. The first categorization is the principal focus of this paper and second one is motivated by the fact that gender plays an important role in many social, economic and health behaviors in Bangladeshi society such as marriage patterns, workforce participation, smoking and alcohol use. The gender dynamics also plays an important role in data collection – certain questions were asked to men only as discussed below. Please insert Table 1 here In table 1, Columns (1) and (2) report the means of the variables used in the analysis for men across migrant and non-migrant (people who respond “yes” to the question “Were you born here?”) samples. Columns (4) and (5) report the same for women. Columns (3) and (6) report the p-values from test of differences in means between migrant and non-migrant samples. Comparing the means, we cannot reject the conjecture that there are significant differences between migrant and non-migrant groups for both genders for many variables. 10 Migration variables There are several variables related to migration, including when they migrated to their current area, the reason that they migrated, and the type of place they migrated from. The basic definition of a migrant member is straightforward: we treat that individual as a migrant (and assign the value 1 to the relevant binary variable in our analysis) if the response to the question “Were you born here?” was negative.1 Please insert Table 2 here Table 2 summarizes some of the migration characteristics for our sample. Panel A reports the reasons behind migration by gender. Unsurprisingly, migration motivations differ between men and women. Men are much more likely to have moved looking for work, for more work, for service transfer, or for their own education than are women (combined 81.4% versus 29.2%). Women are more likely to have moved for familial or for marriage reasons than are men (combined 66.8% versus 16.0%). We get back to this issue in section 5 to test if less “voluntary” motivation behind migration has differential effects on mental health. Independent Variables We follow Stillman, McKenzie, and Gibson’s (2009) lead in choice of independent variables, including gender, age, age-squared, years of education, religion dummies, employment status, and household income. Though smoking and alcohol consumptions are generally strongly correlated with mental health, our data present an unusual challenge. To preserve cultural sensitiveness, the survey asks such questions only to men and not to the women surveyed. 1 We have performed several cross-checks such as making sure that the individual has non-missing and meaningful values for other migration-related questions to make sure that our coding is correct. 11 Accordingly, we include them in the male sample and not in the female sample. We include fixed effects dummies for the division in which they currently live. Among migrants we also control for whether the migration was for involuntary reasons, either for familial, marriage, river erosion, eviction or security reasons. We also control for whether someone lived in a village before they migrated in some specifications. Mental Health Variables We use the average of 19 mental health variables that ask the individual in each household whether or not in the last month they have been nervous, tense or worried; are easily frightened, generally feel unhappy, find it difficult to make decisions, have headaches quite often, have problems to think clearly, find it difficult to enjoy daily activities, lose interest in things, constantly felt tired, have loss of appetite, have problems with sleep, have uncomfortable feelings in stomach, experienced shaking of hands, felt tired, cry more than normal, daily activities were suffering in any way, feel unable to play a useful part in life, have poor digestion, thought of ending their life, and feel worthless. We code in the direction of absence of these things taking the value of 0, while presence of these things takes the value 1, so that higher values of the average mental health variable indicate worse mental health. Please insert Table 3 here Table 3 provides a summary of the main outcome variables of interest across (i) gender and (ii) migrant and native groups of the sample. Results for the average mental health problem can be interpreted as percentage of the possible problems that are asked that the responder reported they had. It shows us that male migrants on average tend to have less mental health problems than 12 women, while migrants tend to have more mental health problems than non-migrants, before controlling for other characteristics. 4. RESULTS 4.1 Impact of Migration Status and Migration Duration on Mental Health Regression estimates for equation (1) are summarized in table 4, where we show the coefficients of the control variables as well as the respective standard errors. Despite the descriptive results, after controlling for several confounding variables, the difference in mental health problems between migrants and non-migrants shrinks to less than a 1% difference in the number of problems that they report which is not statistically significant. Please insert Table 4 here Another interesting finding is employment decreases mental health problems for men, while significantly increasing mental health problems for women even when controlling for average income. This may also be a reflection of norms associated with working and gender, as reflected in the average employment numbers showing men work at over 3 times the rate of women. In addition there is direct evidence of stigma associated with women working. In our sample, over 60% of women believe that it is either not okay for married women to work in any circumstance or that it is okay for married women to work only if their husband is not earning enough money2. So it seems likely that women that chose to work do so out of necessity. This could be a 2 This percentage is the proportion of women that answer no to the question, “If the husband is making enough money, do you believe that it is acceptable for married women to work outside the home to earn an income?” 13 reflection of differential expectations of what is considered “enough money” since income is controlled for. It could be that while working, women maintain the majority of home responsibility in addition to their employment responsibilities which contributes to increased stress. Even in the US as recently as 2015, where employment for women is the norm rather than the exception, women that work fulltime more frequently take on the majority of home responsibilities than men (Pew, 2015). Another explanation is that women are working due to unexpected expenses. This unexpected expense could be the real driver of higher mental health issues rather than employment and therefore this omitted variable could bias the coefficient for female employment in a positive direction (since unexpected expenses would likely have a positive effect on mental health problems and be positively correlated with female employment). The other variables take on mostly expected directions; those that have higher income, more education, and those that are married have lower mental health issues. 4.2 Impacts of quasi-involuntary migration Theories of work migration predict that individuals move to increase their utility or welfare (Borjas, 1999). Indeed, in the BUHS, the main reason behind migration among men is workrelated as 83% of the report that they have moved either to look for work, or more work (Table 2). However, this is different for women, for whom the comparable number is only 27.5%. Similar disparities exist with respect to education as a motive behind migration. On the other hand, a large proportion of women move due to marriage and other familial reasons. We have exploited this rich information to create three categories – native born as baseline, voluntary migrants (those who have moved to find more work) and quasi-involuntary migrants (those who have moved for familial reasons). We test the hypothesis that different motivations have differential impacts on mental health. The results are presented in table 5. 14 Please insert Table 5 here In table 5, the first four rows show the correlation between voluntary and quasi-involuntary migration (as compared to being non-migrants). While neither category of migration has significantly different mental health than native born men, quasi-involuntary migrants have significantly better mental health outcomes than voluntary migrants. While the direction of effect is the same for female quasi-involuntary and voluntary migrants, their categories are not significantly different from one another. 4.3 Impacts of migration duration The dominant literature that relates mental health to migration is in the area of immigration into the United States. One key finding in this literature is that the mental health status of immigrants declines over time during their stay in the US. The reasons attributed to this phenomenon include problems of acculturation and the wedge between the idea of ‘promised land’ and reality. Though internal migration may present lower information barrier and problems of acculturation, it is worthwhile to test if the average mental health status deteriorated over time for migrants. We perform this analysis on a restricted sample consisting of only migrants. The results are presented in table 6. Please insert Table 6 here We find no evidence that migrants’ mental health deteriorates over time. In a quadratic specification the joint F-statistic on migration duration and migration duration2 falls well within the region of failing to reject the null for men and for women. 4.4. Robustness Tests – Evidence from Matching Estimators 15 Like any Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimation the results above may suffer from omitted variable bias. What we are really interested in is the effect that migration has on the mental health of migrants in comparison to what their mental health would be if they had been born in their current city of residence. Obviously we cannot observe the respondent in these two nonoverlapping states. Recall that in table 1 we found that there are some significant differences in observable characteristics such as employment, income, and marital status and migration which may confound the relationship between migration and mental health. We can do a better job of matching individuals with like characteristics and seeing what the difference is between individuals who are similar on all observable characteristics except for whether or not they are a migrants. It should also be noted that this is a way of isolating the effects of migration on mental health that are separate from observable pathways such as increased income or employment. We use three strategies to obtain the treatment effect on the treated (ATT) which all produce about the same results. The first method, nearest neighbor matching is a method by which a function is applied that measures the average distance between values of specified covariates of treated and untreated cases. Treated observations are then matched with the value of the nearest neighbor algorithm which are most similar. We have used the matching technique developed in Abadie and Imbens (2002) and Abadie et al. (2004). The second method is inverse propensity score weighting. First you estimate a model for the probability that someone would receive the treatment (in this case belong to the migrant group). Then you run a weighted regression of the outcome on the treatment variable where the weights are 1 for the treated cases and p/1-p (where p is the probability of treatment) for the untreated cases. This weights observations from groups in the non-treatment group that have 16 characteristics that are similar on average to the treatment group more heavily and those that have characteristics that are less like the treatment group on average less heavily (Morgan and Winship, 2014). The third and final method, coarsened exact matching, works by grouping values of continuous variables so that the values within groups are not substantially different from one another and then looking for exact matches between treated and control units. This method is computationally more efficient than the nearest neighbor matching because it simply concatenates the values of the coarsened variables, so that each combination of coarsened variables has exactly one value, sorts and groups the treatment and control units into strata. To calculate the ATT, weights which equal 1 for the treated unit and (number of control units matched to treated units/number of treated units matched to control units)*(number of treated units within strata/number of control units within strata) (Iacus et al., 2011). Table 7 provides the results of these three methods. Please insert Table 7 here As we can see from the reported numbers, while magnitudes of ATT are all similar, migration does not seem to have a significant effect on the average mental health status of the migrants using any of the three methods. Pruning, which is identified by King and Nielsen (2015) as a problem for propensity score estimators (deleting control observations that are not along the support of the distribution) is not issue in our dataset because an adequate number of control observations across the distribution of the probability of treatment are available. 4.5. The Healthy Migrant Hypothesis? 17 One plausible explanation for our results is that migrants are selected from individuals that are physically healthier on average and therefore the lack of difference in mental health status is biased by the omission of physical health status towards a negative effect of migration on mental health problems. One question asks, “In general, how is (NAME) health? Very healthy, somewhat healthy, somewhat unhealthy, or unhealthy?” We hesitate to include this as a covariate in our models because it is not specifically referring to physical health and therefore variation in this variable may be due to variation in mental rather than physical health. So this would be a little like having a component of a variable be used as an explanatory variable. However, if health is significantly better on average in migrant population than conditioning on covariates we would expect migrants to report being very healthy on average at a higher rate than nonmigrants. This is examined in table 8. We use the same model specification as table 4 and table 5 except that the dependent variable in this case is whether or not they responded “Very Healthy” to the question on general health. In contrast to the healthy migrant hypothesis, we find that migrants report being very healthy at a lower rate than non-migrants. This is truer for voluntary migrants than for involuntary migrants. Therefore in this sample, the healthy migrant hypothesis seems implausible in explaining our not finding positive effects of migration on mental health problems. 5. DISCUSSION Using data from a large scale urban health survey spanning six Bangladeshi cities, we estimated the impact of internal migration on the mental health of the migrants compared to the native-born by gender. We analyzed an average of multiple indicators of mental health problems including suicidal tendencies, thereby providing a nuanced view of the effects of internal migration on mental health. We have examined several different aspects of migration and how 18 such aspects might affect men and women differently. Migration is a gendered phenomenon in many developing countries including Bangladesh. This was reflected in the reasons behind migration. A majority of the male migrants moved due to employment reasons whereas female migrants did for familial reasons. In this paper we have studied whether such differences in motivation affect the mental health statuses of those migrants by creating a quasi-voluntary migration category. We also examine an oft-studied question in the international migration literature – Do migrants mental health cost increase the longer they stay at the destination communities? In a sensitivity analyses, we controlled for the migrant selection by employing two matching estimators that assign higher weights to similar individuals. This study builds on the existing literature on the link between economic decision making and mental health, including the sub-filed of migration and mental health. This also contributes to the small, but growing field of literature that links domestic migration with mental health. This is also one of the first systematic studies on the link between internal migration in Bangladesh and mental health outcomes in large cities. Given the rapid urbanization and precarious mental health support infrastructure in cities, this is a pressing issue in Bangladesh like many other developing countries. Our study covers six populous regions and covers more than 50% of the urban population of Bangladesh. There are two principal findings of this study. First, for most of the cases, internal migration has no significant impact on either overall mental health problems. Second, mental health status does not deteriorate with time spent in the destination city, nor does motivation behind migration play a significant role. The former finding differs from a large set of literature that finds migration linked with harmful outcomes, including higher rates of depression and lower quality of overall mental health. We also find that employment has different effects on 19 men than on women, with lower mental health problems in employed men than in unemployed men, and higher mental health problems in employed women than in employed women even after controlling for income. Our findings come with several caveats. Most of the limitations of this study stem from the nature of the data that we have at our disposal. The dataset is somewhat unique. It is not easy to find systematic mental health data in large sample surveys in developing countries that also include demographic, economic and migration (including migration history variables). Unfortunately, the dataset lacks either any longitudinal information or any information on sending communities. This created severe handicap on identifying any causal impacts on migration, both at the cross-section level or at the level of changes in metal health status. We have dealt with issues in a number of ways. 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Dhaka: World Health Organization. 23 Figure1: Map M of Banglladesh with sttudy areas hig ghlighted U Nationss http://www..un.org/Deptss/Cartographiic/map/profilee/banglade.pddf Source: United 24 Table 1: Descriptive Statistics Variable age married Years of Schooling Islamic Faith Currently Smoke Cigarettes Currently Drink Alcohol Employed Log Income In General Health is Very Healthy Observations Standard deviations in brackets Migrant Male Non-Migrant 34.52 [10.89] 0.74 [0.44] 6.96 [5.01] 0.87 [0.34] 0.51 [0.50] 0.11 [0.32] 0.92 [0.28] 2.02 [0.88] 0.37 [0.48] 8497 32.89 [11.02] 0.62 [0.49] 7.32 [4.68] 0.82 [0.39] 0.49 [0.50] 0.17 [0.37] 0.86 [0.35] 1.84 [0.81] 0.44 [0.50] 7482 P-value 0.000 0.000 0.129 0.041 0.443 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.001 Migrant Female Non-Migrant 32.02 [10.47] 0.83 [0.37] 5.24 [4.62] 0.86 [0.35] ----0.29 [0.45] 1.69 [0.87] 0.28 [0.45] 8913 30.94 [10.58] 0.71 [0.45] 6.25 [4.70] 0.84 [0.37] ----0.23 [0.42] 1.71 [0.92] 0.34 [0.47] 6354 25 Total P-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.588 ----0.005 0.667 0.000 32.71 [10.81] 0.74 [0.44] 6.36 [4.83] 0.85 [0.36] ----0.57 [0.49] 1.83 [0.88] 0.35 [0.48] 31246 Table 2: Migrant Characteristics Main Reason For Moving looking for work for more work service/for transfer for own education for children education for familial for marriage buy new land/house look after property for river erosion for eviction for security other Moved from village Time since migration to current area Observations 26 Male Female 43.9% 15.5% 13.8% 8.2% 0.4% 15.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 50.1% 21.1% 2.5% 3.9% 1.8% 1.4% 36.6% 30.2% 0.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.9% 0.0% 52.4% 12.1 8,497 13.7 8,913 Table 3: Prevalence of Mental Health Problems in the past month* Variable Male Migrant Non-Migrant feel nervous, tense, worried easily frightened feel unhappy find it difficult to make decisions had headaches quite often have problem to think clearly find it difficult to enjoy daily activities lose interest in things constantly feel tired loss of appetite problem with sleep uncomfortable feelings in stomach experienced hands shaking problems with sleep 0.56 [0.50] 0.10 [0.30] 0.23 [0.42] 0.15 [0.36] 0.39 [0.49] 0.19 [0.39] 0.30 [0.46] 0.15 [0.35] 0.30 [0.46] 0.27 [0.45] 0.27 [0.44] 0.19 [0.39] 0.09 [0.29] 0.23 [0.42] 0.53 [0.50] 0.11 [0.31] 0.25 [0.43] 0.19 [0.39] 0.40 [0.49] 0.21 [0.41] 0.29 [0.45] 0.17 [0.38] 0.30 [0.46] 0.27 [0.45] 0.28 [0.45] 0.20 [0.40] 0.11 [0.31] 0.21 [0.41] 27 P-value 0.172 0.220 0.197 0.026 0.479 0.296 0.649 0.153 0.955 0.955 0.619 0.655 0.046 0.439 Migrant Female Non-Migrant 0.62 [0.49] 0.20 [0.40] 0.32 [0.47] 0.21 [0.41] 0.57 [0.50] 0.35 [0.48] 0.50 [0.50] 0.26 [0.44] 0.52 [0.50] 0.37 [0.48] 0.33 [0.47] 0.21 [0.41] 0.19 [0.40] 0.36 [0.48] 0.61 [0.49] 0.19 [0.40] 0.29 [0.45] 0.21 [0.41] 0.57 [0.49] 0.33 [0.47] 0.48 [0.50] 0.28 [0.45] 0.50 [0.50] 0.34 [0.47] 0.32 [0.47] 0.22 [0.42] 0.16 [0.36] 0.30 [0.46] Total P-value 0.353 0.908 0.017 0.995 0.824 0.195 0.224 0.416 0.254 0.018 0.284 0.309 0.001 0.000 0.58 [0.49] 0.15 [0.36] 0.27 [0.45] 0.19 [0.39] 0.48 [0.50] 0.27 [0.44] 0.39 [0.49] 0.21 [0.41] 0.41 [0.49] 0.31 [0.46] 0.30 [0.46] 0.21 [0.40] 0.14 [0.35] 0.28 [0.45] cry more than normal daily activities suffering thought of ending life unable to play a useful part in life suffer from poor digestion Average of all listed problems Observations Standard deviations in brackets 0.03 [0.17] 0.12 [0.32] 0.03 [0.16] 0.14 [0.35] 0.14 [0.35] 0.21 [0.19] 8497 0.03 [0.18] 0.11 [0.31] 0.02 [0.15] 0.13 [0.34] 0.14 [0.34] 0.21 [0.20] 7482 28 0.423 0.690 0.000 0.640 0.739 0.554 0.16 [0.37] 0.18 [0.39] 0.10 [0.30] 0.21 [0.41] 0.12 [0.33] 0.31 [0.24] 8913 0.16 [0.36] 0.15 [0.36] 0.08 [0.28] 0.22 [0.41] 0.13 [0.33] 0.30 [0.23] 6354 0.448 0.134 0.000 0.585 0.811 0.086 0.10 [0.30] 0.14 [0.35] 0.06 [0.23] 0.18 [0.38] 0.13 [0.34] 0.26 [0.22] 31246 Table 4: Determinants of Mental Health Problems including Migration Status (1) (2) Dep Var. Average Mental Health Problem VARIABLES Male Female migrate age age2 married Years of schooling complete Islamic faith Currently Smoke Cigarettes Currently Drink Alcohol Employed Log income -0.14 [0.87] -0.42* [0.21] 0.0072** [0.003] -0.13 [1.06] -0.62*** [0.09] 0.91 [1.26] 1.23 [0.70] 3.62*** [1.01] -0.62 [1.34] -1.35 [0.84] 13,369 -0.63 [0.84] 1.24*** [0.31] -0.013** [0.005] -1.20 [0.86] -0.83*** [0.10] 2.17 [2.75] 3.92*** [0.98] -2.21*** [0.62] 12,604 (3) (4) Dep Var: Suicidal Male Female 0.11 [0.09] -0.0079 [0.03] -0.000032 [0.000] -0.017 [0.11] -0.029** [0.01] 0.043 [0.13] 0.067 [0.10] 0.22 [0.12] -0.41** [0.15] -0.083 [0.04] 13,369 -0.010 [0.07] 0.055* [0.02] -0.00081* [0.000] -0.27*** [0.07] -0.055*** [0.01] 0.072 [0.18] 0.11* [0.05] -0.092 [0.06] 12,604 Observations Robust standard errors in brackets *** p<0.001, ** p<0.01, * p<0.05 Note: Smoking and alcohol consumption variables are not included in the Female sample because such questions were not asked of them. City Fixed Effects are included in the model but not shown here. 29 Table 5: Determinants of Mental Health Problems including Migration (1) (2) Dep Var. Average Mental Health Problem VARIABLES Male Female Voluntary migrant 0.29 -0.29 [0.89] [1.17] Involuntary migrant -1.93 -0.76 [1.10] [0.84] age -0.43* 1.24*** [0.21] [0.32] age2 0.0073** -0.013** [0.00] [0.00] married -0.16 -1.16 [1.05] [0.85] Years of schooling complete -0.62*** -0.83*** [0.09] [0.10] Islamic faith 0.88 2.15 [1.28] [2.75] Currently Smoke Cigarettes 1.23 [0.70] Currently Drink Alcohol 3.73*** [1.01] Employed -0.74 3.81*** [1.31] [1.01] Log income -1.39 -2.22*** [0.83] [0.61] Observations 13,369 12,604 Robust standard errors in brackets; *** p<0.001, ** p<0.01, * p<0.05 Note: Smoking and alcohol consumption variables are not included in the Female sample because such questions were not asked of them. City Fixed Effects are included in the model but not shown here. 30 Table 6: Migration Duration and Mental Health (1) (2) Dep Var. Average Mental Health Problem VARIABLES Male Female Migration Duration Migration Duration2/10 Lived in a village before Migration age age2 married Years of schooling complete Islamic faith Currently Smoke Cigarettes Currently Drink Alcohol Employed Log income -0.045 [0.10] -0.002 [0.03] 0.65 [0.95] -0.069 [0.27] 0.0026 [0.00] -0.48 [1.42] -0.70*** [0.12] 2.67 [1.96] 0.73 [1.07] 2.52 [1.73] -3.64 [1.88] -1.12 [1.20] 0.16 [0.19] -0.03 [0.06] -3.24* [1.49] 1.10** [0.39] -0.012* [0.01] -2.12 [1.58] -0.96*** [0.15] 1.97 [3.47] 3.55** [1.16] -2.50*** [0.69] Joint F-test P-value for Migration 0.4555 0.5114 duration variables Observations 8,263 8,015 Robust standard errors in brackets, *** p<0.001, ** p<0.01, * p<0.05 31 Table 7: Effect of Migration on Mental Health of the Migrant – Results from Matching Estimators and Inverse Propensity Score Weighting (Average Treatment Effects on the Treated) ATT-Matching ATT-Weighting Coarsened Exact Matching Observations Men Women 0.0011 0.001 (0.003) (0.004) 0.53 -0.71 (0.40) (0.49) 0.46 -0.66 (0.42) (0.42) 13369 12604 Note: Note: Matching variables are age, married, Islam, Years of schooling, employment status, household income and region. 32 Table 8: Determinants of perceived general health including Migration Status (1) (2) -3 -4 Dep Var. general health: very Dep Var. In general health: healthy very healthy VARIABLES Male Female Male Female migrate -0.22*** -0.11** --[0.04] [0.04] Voluntary migrant ---0.24*** -0.19** [0.05] [0.07] Involuntary migrant ---0.12* -0.086 [0.05] [0.05] Observations 13,369 12,604 13,369 12,604 Robust standard errors in brackets *** p<0.001, ** p<0.01, * p<0.05 Note: Includes all the same covariates as table 4 and table 5. Only selected coefficients shown here. 33
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