Akcelik & Associates Pty Ltd PO Box 1075G, Greythorn, Vic 3104 AUSTRALIA [email protected] ® Management Systems Registered to ISO 9001 ABN 79 088 889 687 REPRINT Opposed turns at signalised intersections: The Australian method R. AKÇELIK REFERENCE: AKÇELIK, R. (1989). Opposed turns at signalised intersections: The Australian method. ITE Journal 59(6), pp 21-27. NOTE: This paper is related to the intersection analysis methodology used in the SIDRA INTERSECTION software. Since the publication of this paper, many related aspects of the traffic model have been further developed in later versions of SIDRA INTERSECTION. Though some aspects of this paper may be outdated, this reprint is provided as a record of important aspects of the SIDRA INTERSECTION software, and in order to promote software assessment and further research. © Akcelik and Associates Pty Ltd / www.sidrasolutions.com PO Box 1075G, Greythorn Victoria 3104, Australia Email: [email protected] OpposedTurnsql Signqlized Interseclions: TheAustrqliqn Method BYRAHMIAKQELIK I he 1985 Highwuy Capacity Manual I ( H C V ) ' b r o u g h rt h e U . S . a n d A u s tralian methodologies' " for signalized intersections closer together. An important element in this methodology is the techniquesused for the estimationof opposed (permissive) turn saturation flows. Although the basic modeling philosophies of the HCM and Australian methodsare similar, there are significant differences in the proccdures used and therefore in the results from the two methods. In particular, the latest methodology employed in the SIDRA softwaret? has eliminated the use of opposed turn adjustment factors for lane groups and adopted an explicit and direct method of modeling individual lanes. The purpose of this paper is to hring thesenew methodsto the attention of the U.S. researcherssince it is understood that efforts are being made to improve the 1985HCM method. The intention is also to dispel any misunderstanding about the Australian opposed turn models that may have resulted from statementsin some U.S. papers. A 1987paper by Roessexplainingthe development of procedures for the analy s i s o f s i g n a l i z e d i n t e r s e c t i o n si n t h e HCM includcs the following statement: Thc most dramaticchangefrom sourcemat e r i a l si n v o l v e dp e r m i t t c do r o p p o s e dl e f t turns.Previousmaterialsdcvclopedin Australia. Englandand the United Stateshave alwaysassumedthat permittedleft turnsfilter throughthe opposingflow at a calibratedrate for the entire periodof the greenphase.s After explaining the HCM model, the paper goes on to state that this model was adopted after it was clear that no simpler methodology would climinate the overprediction of leftturn capacity,which results from assuming filtration for the entire green phase. The only Australian reference in the pa- per is the ARRB ResearchReport ARR No. 123.' However, the statement also relatesto the early Australian modeler'r'rl since it forms the basis of the opposed turn model in ARR No. 123. In both c a s e s ,t h e s t a t e m e n t i s n o t v a l i d : t h e Australian methods have never assumed that permitted (opposed) turns filter through the opposing flow for the entire length of the green period. It is hoped that this article will explain the similarities and differencesbetween the HCM and the Australian opposed turn models and dispel any misunderstanding that may have resulted from earlier statementsby others. The discussion is relevant to opposed turn modeling in general and will be useful towards explaining the HCM option in the SIDRA program.r'" In this discussion, various limitations of the HCM model will also be pointed out. The discussionin this article is limited to the case of a singleopposed (permitted) green period only. The treatment of the more complicated caseof "protected plus permitted phasing" (two green periods per cycle) in the HCM has further limitations, as pointed out in earlier papers using an example from the HCM.'o A recent U.S. paper analyzedthe same example and recommended some revi- s i o n o f H C M . ' ' T h e m o d e l i n go f o p posedturnswith protectedand permitted phasingis fully implemented in the SIDRA program in a generalway that a p p l i e st o b o t h e x c l u s i v ea n d s h a r e d lanes.IForan exampleof thesharedlane case,seeFigure6 in cited reference7.1 The Bosic Model The basic opposed turn model used in Australia is shown in Figure l. Strictly speaking, the model applies to the case of opposed turns in an exclusivelane, but it is also useful to explain the basis of the model for opposed turns in a shared lane. The following model assumptionsare seen in Figure l: . Opposed turns cannot filter during interval I (blocked-no gap acceptance), which correspondsto the saturated part of the opposing movement green period, . Opposed turns can only filter during interval 2 (departures by gap acceptance), which is the unsaturated part of the opposing movement green period, and . The departures after the green period are included in interval 3. The notation in Figure I is as ftrllows: (' : : cycle time. opposing movement effective rcd and green times. q, s = opposingmovementarrival and saturation flow rates, : saturated and unsaturatedpor9,, 9,, tions of the opposing moveti I .JUNE{989 . 2,I ITEJOURNAL ment green period (9. + g" : s,. nt 8), : opposed turn saturation flow during g,,, and : number of vehiclesthat depart after the end of green period. All traditional capacity models employ the simplifying assumption shown in Figure 1 as "Approximate Model l" in order to be able to derive opposed turn equivalents (or adjustment factors) for u s e i n t h e p r e d i c t i o n o f c a p a c i t i e so f shared lanes and lane groups with opposed turns. The basis of this approximation is the use of an average saturation flow, s.,, which applies for the whole of the opposed turn green period (with no changein the capacityestimate): .r,. : (.r,,9,, + n)/g (l) This assumption was used in the early Australian model"'r and retained in ARR No. 123' for shared lanes only. For opposed turns in exclusive lanes, "Approximate Model 2" shown in Figure I was introduced in ARR No. 123 as a more accurate model, which treats interval l as part of the lost time-i.e., as effectivelyred. Essentially,the same opposed-turncapacityis obtained from thc two approximate models shown in Figure l. However, Model 2 predicts queue lengths and delays better, which has advantagesfor predicting short lane capacities also. This model was subsequently extendedto shared lanes in the SIDRA program.' Opposing movemenl departurepattern The reason for the earlier reported statement*that in the Australian method "permitted left turns filter through the opposing flow . . . for the entire period of green phase" may be related to the assumption of the "Approximate Model l" shown in Figure l. However. this assumption is also used in the derivation of the HCM opposed-turn adjustment factors, as will be explained below. It shouldbe noted that an evenearlier U.S. paper incorrectly presentedthe early Australian model as if the model predicted the "left-turn" capacity as s,.g/c ( 1 2 0 0f i n t h a t p a p e r ' s E q u a t i o n 2 i s equivalentto s,,in the original model).'r It may be that this is the basis of the statementthat permitted left turns filter through the opposing flow for the entire period of green phase in the Australian Method.* On the other hand, another U.S. paper had stated the early Australian model correctly, and found very favorable results in a field evaluation of the model.'o OpposedTurnsin o Shoredlone Opposedturn departurepaltern Departures by gap acceptance Deoarturesafter lhe greenperiod S, Approximate Model 1 So9=Sr9r+nt Approxlmate Model 2 sugo=sugu+nf Startloss o End gain Figure l. Basicopposedturn model. Souncn: Appendix F in cited reference2. .JUNE1989 22 . ITEJOURNAT For shared lanes, the capacity characteristics of opposed turns and other traffic need to be mixed. The term "opposed turn" usually applies to left turns in the United States(driving on the right) and right turns in Australia (driving on the left). Generally,the term "opposed turn" also applies to left turns in Australia. or to right turns in the United States(turning from a slip lane or turning on red), or giving way to opposing right turns according to the Victoria and New Zealand rule. Again, generally speaking,opposed turns in shared lanes may mix with through, left-, or rightturning traffic, as the case may be. Although the following discussion applies generally,it will be presented in terms of "opposed left turns" and "through" traffic in shared lanes since the HCM model is expressed specifically in these terms. The assumptionsinvolved in deriving the HCM equations for shared lanes with opposed left turns and through traffic can be seen in Figure 2. Importantly. the model divides interval I (when opposing traffic is at saturation) into two parts: . During the first part of interval l. a number of through vehiclescan depart before the first left-turning vehicle arrives at thc stop line and blocks the lane. The length of this period is g, and the number of through vehicles that can depart is .1, : .srgr. where sr. is through traffic saturation flow . During the rest of intcrval 1 (g, - g,), no through or lcft-turning traffic can depart (the HCM notation for g, is g.,). In interval 2, opposed left turns and through traffic depart at a mixcd saturation flow rate of .r,. The total number of departuresis S, - s,g,,.In interval 3, S. vehiclesdepart, which is cquivalentto n, in Figurc I for the numbcr of departures after the end of thc green period. The HCM givesthe following left-rurn factor. 1,,,,for a single excltrsiveor shured lane (HCM Equation 9-16): rrl r rrn '- &g * 8 g, . 1 ll+p, 1E,-l'11 ) + = (l+ p,) (2) f' = lu{x) t+txl-,, (1) wherc p, is the proportion of through vehiclcs in thc sharcd lane (p, : I p, ). ancl y,,is the opposing flow rate (vch/h). For an cxclusivcleft-turn lanc, p, : 'l'hcrcfore. 1.0 and g, : 0. Equation 2 can be rcwritten as t " , , I,\-El,( + ' o| ) r"' (' ' .' s ) An analysisof Ecluations2 to .5 shows that the HCM opposcd-turn model employs thc basic assumptionof the traditional "Approximate Modcl l" shown in Figurc l-that is, it usesan averagesaturation flow rate throughout thc opposcd grccn period. This is explaincd below (rcfer to Figurc 2). For the purpose of this discussion,the HCM saturation flow equation (HCM Equation 98) can be writtcn as s : .s,Nf,f, , (6) whcre where gr. 9,,, and g are as explained above,p,. is the proportion of left turners in the lane (p, : rl,.lq where q, and q are the left-turn and total flow rates), and E,. is a through-car equivalent for left turns (which appliesduring g,,period only). The HCM ftrrmulas tirr g, and Er. g, = 2Pt 6-o1'r,7 (3) .s, - ideal saturation flow per lane (s,, in the tlCM notation). usually Iti00 through car units per hour ( t c u / h) , f , : thc product of acljustmentfactors used to allow for the effccts of l a n e w i c l t h ,g r a d c , a r e a t y p e . b u s e s ,a d j a c e n tp a r k i n g . h c a v y vchiclesa . nd right turns (-.f",f,,f ,,,,f ,,f,,,f,,,), N : l, , : number of lanes in the lane group, and adjustment factor for left turns in thc lane group. For a single lane, N : I and f,, : f,,,, where f,, is given by Equation 2 or 5. Putting f. : 1.0 for ideal conditions.thc saturation flow for a single lane case is r : s,.f" An important aspectof the derivationof lcft-turn factorsgiven in the HCM is that all through-traffic ffows are assumed to have ideal saturation flows: s,. : J, : IU(X)tcu/h : 0.5 tcu/s (1, : 1.0). Thus. s : 0.51,,,is obtained from Equation 7 as a basis for single-laneopposed-turn saturationflow Derivolionot lhe HCM Equolions The derivation of the HCM adiustment factor for opposed left turns in a single lane. 1,, (Equation 2), and its extension to the case of opposed turns in a lane group, f, , (HCM Equation 9-17), are discusscdhere in referenceto capacities in various intervalsshown in Fieure 2. Interval la Thc averagenumber of through vehicles per cyclc that can depart before being blocked by the first left turner to queue i n t h c l a n e i s S , : s , . 6 , .P u t t i n g . i r : s , - 0.-5vch/s and using g, from Equation . s' ,- l J ( l - l ' l ' - , ) t), s " 9 = S r 9 , + s y9 r * S " S,=s1 g1 (7) (tr) The generalform of Equation 8 usess,g. insteadof 0.5 9,. which is the maximum number of through vehiclesthat can depart during B, (s, : s, : 0.-5veh/s in Equation 8). as discussedin more detail laterin this article. Interval 2 " 91 -f- I 1b 9"- 91 The shared lane saturation flow. s,, during interval 2 (of length g,,)can be found by mixing the through and opposed leftturn saturation flows (.r, and .r,). Using the method described in Akgelik'. this can be expressedas q/s,: Figure 2. The opposed turn model for shared lanes (the HCM model approximation is indicated by the shaded area). q,,/s, I qrls, (9) lls, : p,.ls,, + p,/s, (9a) where q, r7,. and q/ are the flow rates .JUNE1989. 23 ITEJOURNAL ftrr total. lcft-turn. and through traffic, and p, an<Jp , are the proportions of leftturn and through traffic in the lane. The left-turn saturation flow can be cxpressedin terms of through traffic saturation flow. .1,, and through car equivalent for lcft turns, E,, as s,.: sr/E, (10) In interval 2, s,. : s,.where .r,.is the filter (opposed) turn saturation flow. Using thc ideal saturationflow for through traffic (.s, : s,), E, : s,ls,, (11) is tirund. Comparing Equations 4 and ll. it is seen that the HCM method usess, : 1tt00vch/h and s,, : l4(X) - v., (12) where y.,is the opposing flow in veh/h. Puttings, : s,lE, ands, : .r,in Equapg t: tion9andsubstitutin | - p,,the averagesaturation flow during interval 2 is found as s': s, ri/r; -t (lr) Thercforc,the numbcrof vchiclesthat can departduring9,,is foundas riod is a function of the proportion of left turners in the lane, as given by S.:l+p, Thus. the HCM model assumesthat ^! changcs betwcen I for thc casc of a fcw lcft turners in the lane and 2 for the case of an exclusiveleft-turn lane. Average Saturation Flow for the Entire Green Period For the shared lanc, the total capacity (number of departures) per cycle is the sum of capacitiesin intervals la, 2, and 3 (no capacityin interval lb): S : s'8" | + p , ( E ,- l ) E,quation2 implicsthat the numberof afterthe endof the greenpedcpartures (16) f,,, : sts,g : (.t/ + .S, + S.)/.r,9 (17) ( 14) Interval 3 Sr + .S" + ,S,. where Sr, S,, and S,.are given by Equations 8, 14, and l-5. As shown in Figure 2, an average saturation flow. s,,. ftrr the entire grccn period, g, to yield the same shared lane capacity as S can be found from .s,,8 : S. The avcrage shared lane s a t u r a t i o n f l o w c a n b e e x p r e s s e di n terms of through traffic saturation flow as.r,, : 1,,,s,.Using the ideal saturation flow for through traffic. s, : .r,,and putting s., : Sig where S is as in Equation 16, the left-turn adjustment factor for a single lane is found as .S, : s,9,, - (15) usingS,,S,, and5',.from Equationstt. 14, and 15 and settingsr : 0.-5veh/s.the HCM formulafor f,,,givenby Equation 2 is found. In other words. the HCM methodusesan averagesaturationflow of (l7a) . s ,:, 0 . 5/ , , whichappliesto thc cntircgrecnperiod. o Rahmi Akgelik is a principal research scientist al Australian the Road Research Board. He is a Memher of ITE, tlrc Institution of Engineers (Australia), 'fRB Tiaffc Signal Systems Committee, and ITE Tbchnical Committee 5B'27Left-Turn Lane Storage Length Design (lriteria. AkE'elik is the author ry' Traffic Signals:Capacity and Timing Analysis, one of the best-selling ARRB publicarions. He is also the author of the SIDRA pa<'kagc, which is nom' in use by about 120 orpanizations in l8 <'ountric.s. . JUNE1989 24 . ITEJOURNAL OpposedTurnsin a Lane Group For opposcd turns in a lane group, the HCM mcthod makcs a further approximation. Tb dcrive thc opposed left-turn adjustmcnt facbr, f,.,. for a lane group of N lanes. it assumesthat all lanes except the shared lane has the ideal saturation flow s,. and hence a capacity of (N - l) s,g. The capacityof the shared lane is .r,[,,9(from Equation 17). Thereforc. thc total capacity per cycle for the lane group is S' - (N- l)ss + .rl,,s (lt3) Tb dcrive.f, ,, averagethe total capacity per cycle (S') ovcr thc entire green period (L): s' : :_ = (N_ | * f,,,)s, (t9) .s,,, o where .r',,is the average saturation flow for a lane group of N lanes. Puttingf : I in Equation 6 for ideal conditions,.s : s,N/,., is obtained. Putting.s : .r',, the HCM adjustmentfactor for opposcd left turns in a lane group of N lancs is found as ,,, + (N_ l) f , _ Jt I (20) N ln othcr words, the HCM opposed leftturn adjustment factor is based on the use of an average lane group saturation flow of . s , , :, 0 . 5 / , , N (20a) which appliesto the entire green period. Comporison wifh lhe Recenf Ausfrolion Model The opposcd turn model in the early Australian modelrr used an E^, factor that was derived in a similar way to the explanation given above. The only improvement in the HCM modcl over this early Australian model is the capacityin interval | (departures being blocked). This aspectof the HCM model is further discusscdbelow. 'fhe opposed turn adjustment factor En, method was adopted in ARR No. 123.' but its use was limited to shared lanes only. A lost time method was introduced in ARR No. 123 for opposed turns in exclusive lanes (approximate Model 2 in Figure l). As explained in detail elsewhere.' the latest Australian m e t h o d i m p l em e n t e d i n t h e S I D R A package"' has entirely eliminated the use of opposed turn adjustment factors. and it usesopposed turn capacitiesin a direct way. The method is equivalent to using S : S/ + .t, + .t,.directly without nced frrr ohtaining an averagesaturation flow .r,,(see Figure 2). Furthermore. it trcats the blocked time (9, - g,) as effective red time, thus extendingthe lost time method of ARR No. 123 to shared lanes. This method has advantagesover the adjustment factor method in terms of capacity and performanceprediction. Other important differencesbetweenthe opposed turn model of SIDRA and the HCM model are discussedbelow. Blocked Departures As discussedpreviously.the lirst term of the HCM left-turn factor formula (Equation 2) relates to through traffic departures before being blocked by left turners, Sr, as in Equation 8. The use of this capacity component in thc Swedish capacity manual was reported a decade ago.'' The Swedishcapacitymanual gave two formulas for the casesof one or two vehicles to queue before blocking the lane ("blocking queue"). Hegarty and Pretty applied this method to opposed left turns in slip lanes(in Australia).'" Their paper gave a general formula for departures befrrrebeing blocked, which uses the "blocking queuc" as a general parameter.They also gavc a lbrmula for the cascof a blockingqueuc of one, which is the same as the HCM formula except that the ideal saturati()n flow. s, - 0.5 veh/s.is usedto calculatethe maximum number of dcparturesin the HCM formula rather than the estimated through traffic saturation flow, sr.. Although ARR No. 123did not model dcpartures before lane blockage in shared lanes. the SIDRA method employs a vcry generalizedshared lane m o d e l t h a t p r e d i c t s c a p a c i t i e sb e f o r e lane blockage using the general form of the model givcn by Hcgarty and Pretty.rn The "lane interaction" modcl has now bccn used in SIDRA for a long time'and a detailed discussionon thc topic can be found elsewhere.'An important limitation of the HCM formula is that it appliesonly to the caseof a blocking queue of one (or a "free queue" of zero using the SIDRA definition). Thc parameter affects the results significantly(see Figure 5 in cited reference7). : turn saturation flow in veh/h is s,,,,,,,," 360(yB), A is the minimum headway in an opposing traffic lane in seconds.and the parameters tr and 0 are calculated from x:>3c where the summation and multiplication arc for lanesI - I to N, g, is a bunching factor (proportion of unbunchedvchicles in lth opposingtraflic lane),4, is the flow rate in lth opposingtraffic lanc, and A is as in Equation 21. Figure 3 showss,.values from thc HCM model (Equation l2) and the SIDRA model (Equation 2l) w i t h o : 4 . 0 , B - 3 6 ( X Y l 4 0 0: 2 . 5 7 s e c ,A : 2 s e c a n d 0 : 1 . 0( n o b u n c h ing). Equal lane flows are assumedfor the two- and three-lane opposing flow cascsin Figure 3. In the caseof unequal lane flows, Equation 2l gives smaller .r,, v a l u e s .A s t h e l a n e u t i l i z a t i o nr a t i ( ) i n creases,s,,decreases,and it approachcs the one-lane .r..value when one of the lane flows approaches the total flow value. Thus. thc SIDRA model has the advantageof sensitivityto the number of opposingtraffic lanes as well as the lane utilization in opposing traffic lanes. It may be considered that when the number of opposing lanes increase,fil- 1600 1400 Filter Tirrn SaturationFlow 1200 'I'he filter turn saturationflow rate, s.,,in the HCM method is given by Equation 12. This correspondsto the gap acceptance formula used in ARR No. 123. Appendix F. The HCM formula and the ARR No. 123 gap acceptance fcrrmula do not take the number of opposing lancs into account. In SIDRA. thc following gap acceptanceformula (seeThnner,'' and Gipps,'* and Tioutbeckrerr')is u s e d t o e s t i m a t e. r , , t a k i n g i n d i v i d u a l lane flows into account: s": Ioe 1000 S, (veh/h) BO0 i\._ 600 400 \*rr::.,..--. 200 200 .a r/l r - er* (22) 0-fl(l-Lq,) tering is more difficult. and thereforethe gap acceptanceparametersa and p will i n c r e a s c ,r e s u l t i n g i n l o w e r s , , v a l u e s . However. there may not be a direct relation bctween the number of opposing traffic lanes and the gap acceptancc parameters. Visibility, opposing traffic speed, grades, the actual crossing distance (which could be more than the sum of opposinglane widths), and so on are expectedto affect the gap acceptance parameters. In SIDRA. the uscr can specify o and B parameters for each opposedturn and can model specificsituations more closely. For the HCM option in SIDRA. the default parametersin Equation 2l have been calibrated against Equation l2 tbr the one-lane case (c - 4.0, 36(XYg : l 4 ( X )A , : 2 , 6 - 1 . 0 ) .A s s e e ni n F i g u r c 3, thc resultsfrom the two equationsare close for this case, but SIDRA may predict significantlyhigher .s,,values in the caseof multilane opposingflows, particularly for heavy opposing flows. The HCM method implies that various adjustment factors (product /, in Equation 6) multiplies the opposed turn saturation flow. .r1,,,(see Equations 7 and l7). Therefore, if a direct and explicit modelingapproachwere used, Equation 12 would be used ass,, : (lafi) - u,,)/, and Equation 15 would be used as S,. : (21\ where o is the acceptcd critical gap in s e c o n d s ,p i s t h e m i n i m u m d e p a r t u r e headwayin seconds(maximum opposed 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Total opposingflow (veh/h) Figure3. Opposedturn saturationflow rate (s") during the unsaluratedpart of the opposingmovementgreenperiod as a function of the total opposingflow rate (the HCM and SIDRA models). .JUNE,1989. 25 IIE JOURNAT 'l'his (l + p,) f,. m e a n st h a t t h e H C M method adjusts the opposed turn filter rate (hasicallya gap acceptanccprocess) and the number of departuresat the end of the green period by all the factorsthat go into /, (including lane width, grade, area type, adjacent parking, heavy vehicles, etc.). While the correctnessof t h es e a d j u s t m e n t s i s d c b a t a b l e . t h c SIDRA method can emulate the HCM opposed turn fbrmula by using default valuesof the follow-up hcadwayas 36(X)/ p : l4(X)/, and the nunrbcr of departures after the grcen period as .S,.: ( I + p,)f,. DeparturesAfter the End of the Green Period In relation to interval 3 in Figurc l, the use of thc S. valuc needs to be clarified. In the "Approximatc Model l" of Figure I. and in the HCM moclcl shown in Figure 2, 9,, includes the encl gain since g,. is dcfined as (g g,) whcre g is thc effective green timc (g : displayedgreen time plus end gain lessstart loss).Thcrefore, S. (or n, in Figure l) is used as "dcpartures after thc end of elfective g r ec n p e r i o d . " I f t h i s p a r a m e t e r i s countcdas thc number of dcpartures during the yellow and all-red intervals, that is. after the end of the displayed grcen period, this methocl will double count a smallamount of departures (equal to s,,b for cxclusiveturns. where D is the end gain). In SIDRA, this is taken int<taccount by using this paramcter as the number of departures (per lanc) after the end of the displayedgreen pcriod. The Use of Estimated Saturation Flows In contrast with the FICM method. thc S I D R A m e t h o d u s e st h e c s t i m a t c d( a d justcd in the HCM technology) saturat i o n f l o w ( s , ) r a t h c r t h a n t h e i d e a ls a t u ration flow (.r, : lll(X) vch/h) for . Unopposed traffic in shared lanes when mixing the opposed and unopposed (e.g.. left and through) traffic. . The opposing traffic to determine the g,. and g, pcriods. and . Calculating the maximum possibledepartures as a parameter frrr thc formula to predict number of departures before bcing blocked. Schorr and Jovanis found that the opposing traflic saturation flow is the most . JUNE{989 26 . ITEJOURNAL scnsitiveand important parameterin the opposed turn model, akrng with the opposing flow volume.'' The following example demonstratesthis point clearly. C o n s i d e r a s i n g l e e x c l u s i v el e f t - t u r n lane where left turns are opposed by a single-lanc traffic stream consisting of through and right turning vehicles.The opposcd left turn volume is flOveh/h and the opposing traffic volume is 600 veh/h (40o/o right turns). The following saturation flow adjustment factors apply to both streams: . Thc intersectionis in a central business district area (1, : 0.90), . Lane widths are l0 ft (/- : 0.93), and . Heavy vehiclesconstitute 87a of total traffic (f,, : 0.96). For the opposingstream a right-turn adjustrnent factor of f,,, : 0.94 applies. Thcrefore. the combined correction factor for the opposing stream is /. : .fuf* f ,,, f u, - 0.75-53,and the saturation flow is s,,,,: l8(n x 0.7-553: 1360 veh/h. For the opposed left turns,.f. : f . J * f , , , : 0 . t t 0 3 - 5 a. n d t h e s a t u r a t i o n flow is s : 1800 x 0.U035f,,, : 1446f,,,. Assume that the cycle time and green time are 120sec and -57sec, respectively (S4lc- (1.475).The rcsults for the HCM model and the SIDRA model are summarizcd in Thble l. The fundamentaldifferencebetwcen the two models for this cxample is that the HCM model usesthe idcal saturationflow {1800veh/h). whercas the SIDRA model uses the es- timatcd saturation flow (slightly lcss than 1360 veh/h) for the opposing stream. As a result, the predictedg,.values are very different (25.5 sec versus7.1 sec). The HCM method predictsJ,, : 0.269 and s : 1446 x 0.269 : 3U9veh/ h. As shown in Thble I this is equivalent kr a capacity of 6.153 veh/cycle or 1ll5 veh/h. The c<lrrespondingSIDRA values are much less because g,, is much smaller. It is seen that the HCM model will grossly underpredict the degree of saturation and delay (level-of-service C versus F) in this case. Conclusion In conclusion,neither the old"-'r nor the newt t Australian methods assume "filtration for the entire green period."" The HCM method,' as in the early Australian methods, implies the use of a saturation flow averaged over the entire green period and converted to an adjustment factor. The latest Australian method (SIDRA) has eliminated the use of opposed turn adjustmentfactors.r''lt employs a direct and explicit approach to model individual lane capacities,and then simply adds lane capacitiesto obtain the btal capacity for a lane group. By contrast, the use of adjustment factors means that the capacitiesare first converted to adjustment factors (with lossof accuracyresultingfrom inevitable generalizations)and then converted to capacitiesagain. Toble'1.An Exomple lo Compore the HCM ond STDRA Opposed furn Modets HCM SIDRA Opposing soturotionflow, soo Unsoturoledporl of opposing green period, g, Opposed lurn solurolionflow, s,, during g" Deporturesotler lhe green period, n, Copocity per cycle, $ = (s"9"/3600)+ 1800veh/h '1358veh/h 25.5sec 7.{ sec 643 veh/h '1.6veh 661 veh/h 1.6veh nl 6.'153veh 57 sec 389 veh/h 185veh/h 0.433 2.909veh I sec {309 veh/h 87 veh/h o.9'17 15.8 1.' 16.9 42.8 48.8 91.6 F Effectivegreen time, g Averoge soturotion llow, s = 5/g Copocity per hour, O = s9lc = 3600 S/c Degree of solurofion Averoge slopped deloy uniformlerm, d, overflow ferm, d" lotol,4=d"*d" Level of service c Ihc modeling of capacitiesby the adlustment factor method was necessary for thc simple manual methods of the past.This is no longer necessarywith the widespread use of computerized methods by the traf{ic enginceringprofession. l'he direct modeling method. which treats the blockcd intervalsas lost time. allows for various differenccsin individual lanes to be identified. This improves performance prediction signilicantly. For example.shared laneswith opposcd turns can have longer cffectivered times than adjacent lanes This has clear adv a n t a g c si n t h c p r e d i c t i o n o f q u e u e lengthsfor turn bay storagccapacitycalculations. The morc complex cases of 'protected plus permittcd" phasing,opposed turns with two lcvels of priority ( e . g . t u r n s f r o m s l i p l a n c s ,o r t h e V i c toria and New Zealand priority rules). t h e c a s e sw h e n t h e o p p o s i n g a n c l o p posed traffic have right of w:ry at different times. de facto exclusivclanes, right turn on red (U.S.). and so on can be modeled directly.This obviatcsthe need to develop a multiplicitv o[ increasingly complicated and incrcasinglylcss accurate adjustment factor formulas to cope w i t h m a n y c o m p l e x s i t u a t i r t n s .T h e readeris referred to the articlc by Akqelik fbr a more dctailed discussion on sharcd lane capacitv models in gencral and thc SIDRA sharedlane capacitv model in particular. Acknowledgment .fhc author thanks Peter Lowe. the exccutivc director of the Australian Road RescarchBoard, for permissionto publishthis article. 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