The Star Tribune Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research from Jan. 18-20,
2016. Results for the questions about the presidential race were released on Sunday, Jan. 24, 2016.
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from January
18 through January 20, 2016. A total of 800 registered voters were interviewed statewide by
telephone
Those interviewed on land-lines were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of
telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate
reflection of the state. Those interviewed on cell phones were selected from a list of working cell
phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ±3.5
percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would
fall within that range if all adults were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup,
such as a gender or age grouping.
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
Do you recognize the name ________?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of
________?
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
DON'T
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE
NEUTRAL
RECOGNIZE
Marco Rubio
38%
35%
21%
6%
Bernie Sanders
36%
38%
22%
4%
Hillary Clinton
35%
52%
13%
-
Ted Cruz
33%
45%
17%
5%
Chris Christie
32%
48%
18%
2%
Ben Carson
31%
50%
15%
4%
Jeb Bush
23%
61%
15%
1%
Donald Trump
21%
61%
17%
1%
*** 307 SELF-IDENTIFIED DEMOCRATS ***
MARGIN FOR ERROR ±5.7%
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
Do you recognize the name ________?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of
________?
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
DON'T
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE
NEUTRAL
RECOGNIZE
Hillary Clinton
72%
11%
17%
-
Bernie Sanders
60%
19%
18%
3%
QUESTION: Which of the following candidates would you most like
to see get the Democratic nomination for president? (ORDER
ROTATED)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O’Malley
Undecided (NOT READ)
59%
25%
1%
15%
*** 236 SELF-IDENTIFIED REPUBLICANS ***
MARGIN FOR ERROR ±6.5%
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
Do you recognize the name ________?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of
________?
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
RECOGNIZE
DON'T
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE
NEUTRAL
RECOGNIZE
Marco Rubio
68%
11%
16%
5%
Ted Cruz
63%
18%
12%
7%
Chris Christie
50%
30%
16%
4%
Ben Carson
48%
38%
7%
7%
Donald Trump
34%
36%
30%
-
Jeb Bush
34%
48%
17%
1%
QUESTION: Which of the following candidates would you most like
to see get the Republican nomination for president? (ORDER
ROTATED)
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Jim Gilmore
Undecided (NOT READ)
23%
21%
18%
11%
7%
5%
2%
2%
1%
1%
9%
QUESTION: Looking ahead to the general election in November, for
whom would you vote if the choice were between Hillary Clinton,
the Democrat and Donald Trump, the Republican?
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
STATE
43%
38%
19%
REGION
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
57%
38%
35%
30%
43%
40%
13%
19%
25%
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
34%
51%
48%
29%
18%
20%
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
40%
43%
42%
46%
33%
39%
40%
37%
27%
18%
18%
17%
INCOME
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
<$50,000
$50,000+
47%
41%
30%
42%
23%
17%
PARTY ID
CLINTON
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
83%
1%
36%
5%
77%
40%
12%
22%
24%
Hennepin/Ramsey
Metro Suburbs
Rest of State
SEX
Men
Women
AGE
DFL/Democrat
Republican
Independent
QUESTION: Looking ahead to the general election in November, for
whom would you vote if the choice were between Hillary Clinton,
the Democrat and Ted Cruz, the Republican?
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
STATE
43%
45%
12%
REGION
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
56%
40%
35%
33%
48%
53%
11%
12%
12%
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
38%
47%
52%
39%
10%
14%
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
41%
44%
40%
48%
41%
45%
49%
41%
18%
11%
11%
11%
INCOME
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
<$50,000
$50,000+
48%
41%
37%
48%
15%
11%
PARTY ID
CLINTON
CRUZ
UNDECIDED
83%
1%
36%
6%
93%
47%
11%
6%
17%
Hennepin/Ramsey
Metro Suburbs
Rest of State
SEX
Men
Women
AGE
DFL/Democrat
Republican
Independent
QUESTION: Looking ahead to the general election in November, for
whom would you vote if the choice were between Hillary Clinton,
the Democrat and Marco Rubio, the Republican?
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
STATE
40%
49%
11%
REGION
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
52%
40%
30%
37%
52%
57%
11%
8%
13%
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
35%
45%
53%
44%
12%
11%
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
38%
37%
40%
46%
46%
55%
48%
43%
16%
8%
12%
11%
INCOME
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
<$50,000
$50,000+
43%
38%
41%
53%
16%
9%
PARTY ID
CLINTON
RUBIO
UNDECIDED
80%
1%
30%
8%
96%
54%
12%
3%
16%
Hennepin/Ramsey
Metro Suburbs
Rest of State
SEX
Men
Women
AGE
DFL/Democrat
Republican
Independent
QUESTION: Looking ahead to the general election in November, for
whom would you vote if the choice were between Bernie Sanders,
the Democrat and Donald Trump, the Republican?
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
STATE
53%
37%
10%
REGION
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
64%
43%
51%
30%
47%
36%
6%
10%
13%
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
47%
60%
45%
29%
8%
11%
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
51%
54%
53%
52%
30%
37%
41%
36%
19%
9%
6%
12%
INCOME
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
<$50,000
$50,000+
56%
52%
31%
40%
13%
8%
PARTY ID
SANDERS
TRUMP
UNDECIDED
87%
14%
49%
2%
80%
38%
11%
6%
13%
Hennepin/Ramsey
Metro Suburbs
Rest of State
SEX
Men
Women
AGE
DFL/Democrat
Republican
Independent