Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine ß The Author 2012; all rights reserved. Advance Access publication 13 December 2012 Health Policy and Planning 2013;28:871–883 doi:10.1093/heapol/czs126 Six concerns about the data in aid debates: applying an epidemiological perspective to the analysis of aid effectiveness in health and development David Stuckler,1,2* Martin McKee2 and Sanjay Basu2,3 1 Department of Sociology, University of Cambridge, Free School Lane, Cambridge CB3 3RQ, UK, 2London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Department of Public Health and Policy, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK and 3Department of Preventive Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA *Corresponding author. Magdalene College, Cambridge CB3 0AG, UK. E-mail: [email protected] Accepted 6 November 2012 Is aid helping, hindering, or having no effect on development and health? The answer to this question is highly contested, with proponents on all sides adhering strongly to their competing interpretations. We ask how it is possible for those who are often using the same data to hold such divergent views. Here, we employ an epidemiological perspective and find that, in many cases, the arguments are characterised by methodological weaknesses. There may be selective citation of results and failure to account for bias and confounding, such as where an extraneous factor influencing the outcome is correlated with increased aid or, in confounding by indication, where increased aid is a consequence of a country being in an especially adverse situation. Studies may also lack external validity, whereby lack of data (a widespread problem) or similar considerations mean that analyses are undertaken on an unrepresentative subset of countries. Multiple outcome measures can also be problematic, where the main outcome of interest is not specified in advance. Many studies fail to account for differential time lags between changes in aid and the outcomes being studied. Some studies may also be underpowered to detect an association where one exists. Although, ideally, this debate should be informed by large scale randomised controlled trials, this will often be unfeasible. Given this limitation, it is essential that those engaged in it are cognisant of the many methodological issues that face any observational study. Keywords Aid, critique, development KEY MESSAGES Debates on aid effectiveness largely overlook multiple sources of bias that are well recognized from an epidemiological perspective. Often aid analyses rely on inappropriate exposure and outcome variables, without specification of time lags, causal mechanisms and net effects. Most aid effectiveness analyses are biased towards the null hypothesis of no effect. Strong policy conclusions about the effectiveness of aid are not justifiable based on the existing quality of data and evidence. 871 872 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING Introduction The past decade has seen a vociferous argument about whether international development assistance for health is a help or a hindrance to recipient countries. On the one hand, the World Health Organization’s Commission on Macroeconomics and Health called for a massive scaling up of assistance to lowincome countries as a means of enhancing health and economic growth and thus helping them to make progress towards the Millennium Development Goals (Commission on Macroeconomics and Health 2002). Its chair, Jeffrey Sachs, reiterated that call in his book The End of Poverty, although emphasizing that these resources must be tailored to each country’s circumstances (Sachs 2005). Others have argued that the benefits of development assistance are either non-existent (Raghuram and Subramanian 2005; Chauvet and Guillaumont 2008) or potentially exaggerated (Ravishankar et al. 2009; Lu et al. 2010), with the latter exemplified by a failure of aid to reach groups it intends to help. One recent analysis finding that each additional $1 development assistance for health is associated with only $0.37 health expenditure as recipient countries divert their own resources to other budgets, such as the military (Lu et al. 2010), whereas another finds that the figure is even lower in those countries receiving support from the International Monetary Fund, with its associated conditionality (Stuckler et al. 2011). Yet, a further group argues that development assistance is actually harmful. The two most prominent aid critics are William Easterly (‘White Man’s Burden’) and Dambisa Moyo (‘Dead Aid’). Their critiques of aid have a long history in economics, as since the 1970s economists began transposing arguments about dependency theory—of how market integration may cause adverse economic outcomes—to assess aid-dependency theory (Bornschier et al. 1978). To quote Easterly and Moyo directly, they state, e.g. global aid increases risks of war (‘aid increases the risk of conflict’, Moyo 2009, p. 60), promotes corruption and weakens democracy [‘By providing funds, aid agencies (inadvertently?) prop up bad governments’, Moyo 2009, p. 57; ‘Today’s system of foreign aid coddles (and probably worsens) bad governments’, Easterly 2006, p. 157], undermines social capital (‘Foreign aid does not strengthen the social capital – it weakens it’, Moyo 2009, p. 58), reduces savings (Moyo 2009, p. 46 and 61) and, overall, is bad for economic growth (‘no evidence that aid raised economic growth’, Easterly 2006, p. 48). We need to get rid of dependency on Western aid (‘the more it infiltrates, the more it erodes, the greater the culture of aid-dependency’, Moyo 2009, p. 37); ‘aid-imperialism’ (Easterly 2008) is how the West holds back the developing countries (‘What is it about Africa that holds it back, that seems to render it incapable of joining the rest of the globe in the twenty-first century? The answer has its root in aid’, Moyo 2009, p. 7). ‘No longer part of the potential solution, it’s part of the problem – in fact aid is the problem’ (Moyo 2009, p. 47). How is it possible for such divergent views to (co)exist, with one camp viewing aid as a panacea and another group seeing it as a curse? We suggest that there are several methodological concerns with these divergent arguments. Unfortunately, till now, these issues have not been sufficiently addressed in the development or economics literature. In this article, we approach the debate from a different disciplinary perspective that of evidence synthesis as employed in epidemiological and health services research. Methodological issues Narrative reviews Many of the most widely read texts on the effectiveness of aid draws heavily on case studies from individual countries. Thus, the critics of aid draw attention to countries such as Botswana, that have prospered with little or no development assistance and others that have received large sums of aid but to little effect (Easterly 2007) or even been extremely damaging, as in Rwanda where one author has invoked development assistance as a factor in the genocide (Andersen 2000). In contrast, the proponents of aid draw attention to what they see as countries that have benefited from aid, such as Tanzania and Ghana (Sachs et al. 2004). These reviews often lack a systematic approach to inclusion, raising the possibility of selective citation with consequent misleading results. They also fail to account for confounding factors and bias (to which we return). Studies of similar narrative reviews in medicine have shown that the results can be highly misleading (Schmidt and Gotzsche 2005). Such analyses often draw on personal stories. These have the ability to capture the human consequences of the phenomena being discussed and do influence decision making. However, the influence these stories exert on policy is still poorly understood, leading the authors of a recent systematic review of their role in decision making to call for caution in their use (Winterbottom et al. 2008). Bias and confounding Aid is only one of many factors involved in development, whether the outcome is measured as health, wealth or in some other way. Ideally, an analysis of the effects of aid would compare what happens when it is given and when it is withheld, ‘all else being equal’, referred to in social science as a ‘counterfactual’, and ideally tested by a randomized controlled trial. Clearly it is not possible to develop such a counterfactual, because of both the ethical constraints on withholding aid and the challenge of holding all other factors equal. Thus, it is necessary to infer aid’s effectiveness from observational studies that exploit differences in levels of aid across recipient groups and over time. Yet, as is well recognized in epidemiology, such analyses can be highly misleading because of the scope for bias and confounding of various forms (Britton et al. 1998). These can affect both the internal validity of the findings (is the comparison a fair one?) and the external validity (can the findings be extrapolated from the sample of countries to all countries?). All these problems can be identified in the debate on aid effectiveness. Internal validity can be compromised where comparisons are unfair, in this case of countries receiving large amounts of aid and those not (Raghuram and Subramanian 2005). A highly cited paper by Burnside and Dollar purportedly showing that aid is beneficial where good policy environments exist has been subjected to this critique (Burnside and Dollar 2000; Easterly et al. 2003) and other cross-national analyses (Collier and Dollar 2002; Raghuram and Subramanian 2005; Roodman 2007). The main concern is confounding, where an extraneous factor is correlated with both the putative explanatory factor and the AID DEBATES AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES outcome. An example is the tendency for some types of donor aid to be subject to conditions, such as those requiring structural adjustment programmes. In such cases, increased aid may be diverted to national reserves rather than to spending that might benefit the populations concerned, as is the case in many countries in receipt of support from the International Monetary Fund (Stuckler et al. 2011). More subtle forms of confounding include confounding by indication. This bias arises when a factor increases (or decreases) both the probability that an intervention will be administered and the outcome of that intervention. Thus, factors that render a country in need of aid, such as an influx of refugees to neighbouring countries, may be associated both with an increase in aid from donors and, because of coincident challenges of establishing governance systems, a diminished ability to utilize it effectively. A related issue is confounding by severity (Salas et al. 1999), where the scale of the problem facing a country increases the amount of aid that it receives. An example from medicine is the finding that reducing blood pressure too far in men with hypertension was associated with a greater risk of heart attacks (Merlo et al. 1996). This implausible result was believed to have arisen because those at greatest risk of heart attack were treated most intensively (Grobbee and Hoes 1997). Another study of stroke patients suggested that those receiving sub-optimal care achieved worse outcomes than those whose care complied with guidelines. However, this was largely due to those at greatest risk obtaining better quality care (de Koning et al. 2005). In one study Raghuram and Subramanian acknowledge this issue and seek to correct the bias that results from poor countries receiving greater aid using instrumental variable approaches (Raghuram and Subramanian 2005). Protopathic bias is a related phenomenon whereby an intervention is given in response to the first symptoms that presage subsequent outcomes unrelated to the intervention. For example, aid might be increased in response to an apparent natural disaster that really reflected emerging failures of governance. The increased aid could then be seen, incorrectly, as leading to the governance failure. Early research on the causes of uterine cancer was misleading because many of those receiving treatment with oestrogen, which was linked with development of cancer, had been prescribed it because of an earlier episode of uterine bleeding, itself likely to have been an early sign of the cancer (Horwitz and Feinstein 1980). In the absence of a randomized controlled trial, it is possible to use various methods, such as structural equation modelling, to obtain insights into the existence of these types of confounding by showing statistically which variables relate to alternative pathways (Han et al. 2012) but ultimately its importance is a matter of judgement. For the present purposes, the main point is that internal validity should always be considered. External validity most often arises due to bias in sampling countries. A few countries, such as the Democratic Republic of Korea, Iraq, Afghanistan or Somalia, may be excluded because of absence of data. Widely used databases such as the World Development Indicators exclude certain small island states, such as Tuvalu and Kiribati. Many analyses are conducted on countries from a single continent (typically Africa, and within it the sub-Saharan countries) with an inference that the results 873 apply worldwide. Yet Africa, while not unique, does have particular characteristics, such as the timing and magnitude of the AIDS epidemic, suggesting that such extrapolation should be undertaken with caution. An analogous situation arises in medicine when, e.g. clinical trials exclude women, elderly people or members of ethnic minorities. This can lead either to the intervention being withheld from those who were not included in the trials, as with cardiac surgery, with the early trials excluding women who were subsequently less likely to receive surgery (Petticrew et al. 1993; Nante et al. 2009) or the administration of treatment to groups who may not benefit from it (Matthews 1995). A few studies have attempted to mitigate such bias by restricting its scope to analysis of small states (Hansen and Headey 2010) or focusing on islands such as Fiji (Gounder 2001). Another limitation to external validity is the inclusion of states that are irrelevant to the question being asked, such as when high-income countries are included in studies evaluating the effects of aid, and weighting of all states equally. Multiple outcome measures Aid can impact on countries in different ways, including economic growth, education, health and growth in infrastructure. Early studies investigated the link between foreign aid and savings (Papanek 1972). More recent work focuses on effects on economic growth and foreign investment (Burnside and Dollar 2000; Lu and Ram 2001; Raghuram and Subramanian 2005). The issue of multiple outcomes is equally common in medicine, e.g. where psychiatric treatments may seek to improve scores on specific mental health measures, general wellbeing, employability or quality of relationships among others (Tyler et al. 2011). In clinical trials, the appropriate response is to specify the outcomes in advance by means of registration of the trial and, ideally, publication of the protocol, coupled with appropriate statistical techniques to analyse the data (Yoon et al. 2011). This is not possible in observational studies of aid effectiveness; therefore, it is essential that the inclusion (and exclusion) of possible outcome measures are theoretically justified and their choice is made explicit. One recent economic paper calls for opening the ‘black box’ of aid effectiveness to specify the causal chains and mechanisms involved (Bourguignon and Sundberg 2007). Time lags Classic analyses have been cross-sectional, inferring expected effects over varying periods ranging from the same year to those of 10–25 years, often with small sample sizes (Bornschier et al. 1978; Barro 1991; Sachs and Warner 1995). More recent studies restrict the analysis to 4 years, so determined not by theory but the validity of statistical models (Clemens et al. 2004), a practice that seems common in recent analyses (Burnside and Dollar 2000; Collier and Dollar 2002; Clemens et al. 2004; Raghuram and Subramanian 2005). Other papers deploy ‘agnostic time series analysis’, using time specifications that are acknowledged to be ‘largely atheoretical’ (Hansen and Headey 2010). Yet it is far from clear what the most appropriate interval is. Furthermore, the relationship may be asymmetrical, with any benefits of aid taking some time to accrue, e.g. because of the time taken to build new facilities, create new 874 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING institutional structures or train staff, while their withdrawal may rapidly precipitate a crisis. This is analogous to research on smoking and health, whereby the adverse effects on heart disease may accumulate over years, as the components of tobacco progressively damage the arteries, yet withdrawal of exposure to smoke, even when it is at relatively low level, e.g. among those exposed to second-hand smoke in bars, can cause a rapid fall in heart attacks because of changes to blood clotting (Sargent et al. 2004). A similar phenomenon is seen with alcohol and liver disease where, although it may take many years for cirrhosis to develop, a sudden reduction in supply, such as that resulting from rationing during the German occupation of Paris in World War II, may be associated with a rapid fall in mortality (Ledermann et al. 1964). At present, there is an insufficient theoretical or empirical basis to determine what lags are appropriate for studying the effects of aid. Data limitations Any analysis is only as good as the data on which it is based. Unfortunately, the data on which many analyses of the effectiveness of aid are based are of dubious validity. First, there is a substantial difference between ‘aid commitments’ (donor promises to give money in the future) and disbursement (what is actually given). Although development of new databases is under way (Grepin et al. 2012), the majority of statistical evidence is based on the analysis of aid data from the OECD Creditor Reporting System (CRS) or Development Assistance Committee databases, which cover donor aid since 1973 (OECD 2011). Until the mid-2000s, coverage of aid disbursements was very limited. For example, prior to 2003 the estimated mean of country health aid commitments was 10 times higher than the estimated mean of country health aid disbursements. Although some discrepancy between disbursements and commitments might occur as a result of complex politics, the gap never was actually so large. As many disbursement data are missing or inaccurate, the OECD recommends using commitment data. Thus, much empirical research does not actually investigate the effects of aid, but the effects of ‘aid commitments’. In fact, before 2000, aid disbursements and aid commitments were statistically unrelated (Figure 1). Another issue is aid leakage. Aid disbursements do not correspond to net aid received. It is rarely clear how much of the aid disbursements actually stay in the country instead of ending up in the hands of western consultants or being spent on Western manufactured goods or possibly a different project than originally intended. A more accurate measure of a population’s exposure to aid would be the total of aid spent on specific development interventions minus overhead and leakage. One claim often made by aid critics is that aid is volatile, as governments change their commitments from year to year (Bulı́ř and Hamann 2008; Hudson and Mosley 2008). A large literature has arisen trying to estimate the consequences of aid volatility (Bulı́ř and Hamann 2008; Chauvet and Guillaumont 2008; Hudson and Mosley 2008; Kharas 2008; Arellanoa et al. 2009). Part of the impression that aid is volatile stems from a misunderstanding of the artificial discrepancy between commitments and disbursements, as described earlier. Unfortunately, few claims about volatility can be substantiated by the OECD CRS aid data. Consider a sample spreadsheet of commitment data from the OECD CRS, as reported by Department for International Development for the UK (DFID) between 1991 and 1993, provided in Table A1 (see link). In 1991, the first entry is a hospital project in Malaysia for US$16 million. In 1992 or 1993, there is no entry for the project. Is this a sign of whimsical donors, funding a project then bailing out? This would play into easy-to-perpetuate stereotypes. Instead, this finding is just an artefact of entry in the data system. DFID reports commitments for projects over a multi-year timeline in 1 year only. This is one of many ‘aid artefacts’, or problems associated with aid that are not really there, but are simply a product of how the data are recorded. This data entry anomaly does not affect the ‘average’ amount of aid being committed to a country as calculated over long periods of time, such as decades. But it does mean that estimates of year-to-year fluctuations are wildly inaccurate. This limitation invalidates almost every attempt to study the short-term effects of aid on social or health outcomes using the OECD CRS data, which include nearly every multi-country analysis of aid to date. Statistical power and type-II errors Measurement errors make it harder to detect an effect of one variable on another, should a relationship truly exist. While some critics of aid fail to find a relationship between aid and outcomes such as improvements in gross domestic product (Burnside and Dollar 2000; Lu and Ram 2001; Clemens et al. 2004; Raghuram and Subramanian 2005) or foreign direct investment (Kimura and Todo 2010), they often do not account for the possibility of large measurement errors in the data. As Easterly puts it, ‘the data are terrible’ (Easterly and Pfutze 2008). Raghuram and Subramanian (2005) note that ‘If noise in the data plagues all findings, then strong claims about aid effectiveness (or equally, on aid ineffectiveness) based on cross-country evidence are unwarranted’. Such noise in the data risks a ‘type-II error’, in which there is insufficient statistical power to identify an effect even if one actually exists. This lack of statistical power is especially likely if the real effect size is small, as is likely when looking for macro-effects of aid on health or development. Nonetheless, numerous studies that fail to identify a significant effect then conclude that this means that aid has no effect on growth. Net effects Critics of health aid correctly point out that too often top-down and ‘vertical’ (narrow), development programmes reflect donor priorities rather than actual health needs. This creates many disruptions in the system. In the case of health aid it can lead to some diseases, such as HIV, seeming to be exceptionally prioritized at the expense of other key health problems, such as non-communicable diseases (Beaglehole et al. 2011). Yet, one problem with this argument is the lack of attention to the nature of aid data. For example, suppose HIV activism has helped marshal additional aid resources for global health. If this were the case, it would artificially make resources for some health conditions appear to drop as a fraction of overall health 875 0 100 Health Aid Commitments 200 300 400 500 AID DEBATES AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES 0 50 100 Health Aid Disbursements 150 200 Figure 1 Health aid commitments vs disbursements, 1973–2000. Notes: Source of data, OECD CRS. Aid disbursements and commitments are in USD per capita, adjusted for inflation. Data presented for non-missing and non-zero disbursement data. Number of country years is 59. Pearson’s R ¼ 0.23, P ¼ 0.07. aid, even when the real amount of resources going to those health conditions stayed the same. Some critics of health aid also mistakenly emphasize prevention and treatment as a zero-sum game. For example, one critic claims ‘Spending AIDS money on treatment rather than on prevention makes the AIDS crisis worse, not better’ (Easterly 2006). In fact, in the context of HIV, ‘treatment is prevention’; under circumstances when anti-retrovirals reduce viral load among infected persons, the probability of HIV transmission decreases to the point where it becomes the most potent preventative intervention in practice, as compared with the relative observed inefficacy of theoretically conceived preventative measures (Stover et al. 2002; Granich et al. 2009). Categorizing aid as HIV or not, prevention or treatment, obscures the complexities of actual implementation. Policy interpretation Those who argue that aid has not worked in the past conclude that aid should be abandoned or significantly curtailed in the future. We have argued that the first part of this argument is not justified by the evidence. However, even if it were, the second part does not necessarily follow. Would outcomes be improved more by removing aid or by attempting to address its shortcomings? Again, an analogy with medicine is helpful. There have been many interventions that were at first unsuccessful but, as experience with their application increased, they became routine therapy (Woods et al. 1992; Costache et al. 2009). Some aid critics argue that because redistributive welfare has limitations and potential negative effects, no redistribution should occur at all. But if the system that provides food stamps (vouchers) to the hungry is not ending hunger or is subject to political manipulation that causes some groups and not others to receive more stamps, does that mean we should not provide food stamps at all, and simply cut off all assistance to those unable to afford food? Would this be a better way to reduce hunger? Should we not instead seek to determine how to reduce the dysfunctions in the current system? The issue is analogous to the classic ‘second-best’ theory in economics (Lipsey and Lancaster 1956). Getting rid of one market failure (critics suggest aid is a market distortion) in a context where there are many market failures could make outcomes worse. Easterly’s recommendations—experimentation, evaluation and replication—are needed if the global aid system is going to be dismantled as much as if it going to be maintained. Just as ‘shock therapy’ had disastrous consequences (Klein 2007), so too could a major shock to aid be devastating for aid-dependent countries. Counterfactuals What would happen if aid was removed and a country abandoned to its own devices. We do have some examples to draw on, such as Somalia. The potential consequences can easily be identified, such as mass migration, terrorism and disease outbreaks. However, the use of such examples is subject to the same methodological problems as those evaluations of the effect of increasing aid. On the other hand, it can be argued that the observable fact that such consequences can occur justifies invoking the precautionary principle (O’Riordan and Cameron 1994). One recent example of the lack of a control group was the Millennium Villages Project. An analysis based on its effects was withdrawn from the Lancet after a host of problems resulting from the failure to plan for a counterfactual rendered the study’s results untenable. Conclusion Both aid critics and proponents agree on the need for greater public scrutiny of aid’s effectiveness, through a process of experimentation, evaluation and replication. There are now 876 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING Table 1 Three views of aid’s role and timeline View of aid Description Aid as permanent Global social safety net/redistribution (Ooms and Hammond 2009); correct global externalities (e.g. World Bank poverty strategy reduction papers) Aid as temporary ‘Big push’ out of poverty traps (e.g. Sachs 2005); cope with short-term effects of crisis and disasters (e.g. international monetary fund lending; Collier 2009) Aid as distortion Distorts markets and causes dependency (e.g. Moyo 2009; Friedman/Hayek) numerous examples of well-conducted field experiments (Duflo et al. 2008; Humphreys and Weinstein 2009). How to scale such approaches to address macro-level issues remains a topic for future work. In the meantime, many aid critics continue to commit the same methodological mistakes as those they attribute to the supporters of aid. They rarely concede that their evidence is generally based on the wrong variable (aid commitments) and the use of inappropriate outcome measures (aggregated macroeconomic variables, such as growth rates) to make far-reaching claims that cannot be defended with existing evidence, when measurement errors can be so great as potentially to prevent the detection of any actual effect, and, should there be associations, the findings are often biased towards the null, in the direction of the aid critics’ claims. Without better evidence it will be extremely difficult to ascertain where aid is coming from, where it is going and what effects it has. Rigorous efforts are needed to analyse aid projects to see whether they redistribute capabilities, such as money, power and knowledge, equitably and sustainably (see Table 1 for three main views of aid’s role and timing). Acknowledgement and inequality: a survey of findings and a reanalysis. American Journal of Sociology 84: 651–83. 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Statistics in Medicine 30: 1917–32. 878 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING Appendix Table A1 Summary of aid commitments by the UK, reported by DFID to the OECD CRS, 1991–93 Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient 1991 16.37 Nucleus Hospitals Grant, AF Malaysia 1991 0.17 Medical equipment Turks and Caicos Islands 1991 0.12 Medical clinic Turks and Caicos Islands 1991 0.92 Health centre complex Turks and Caicos Islands 1991 0.19 Health, Health services Tanzania 1991 1.84 Infectious disease control Bilateral, unspecified 1991 0.04 Health policy and admin. management Ghana 1991 0.42 Infectious disease control Bilateral, unspecified 1991 0.62 Nutrition MALNTRNINFTCHLDMTHR4719 Bilateral, unspecified 1991 0.60 Health/health services WORLD BANK MISSION Nigeria 1991 3.78 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE PROJECT Namibia 1991 1.71 Doctors training CLINICAL TRNG NDOLA/KITWE Zambia 1991 0.74 Nurses/paramedics training PAEDIATRC CARE KABWE HOSP Zambia 1991 0.63 Nurses/paramedics training MNTL HLTH/PSYCH TRG CHNMA Zambia 1991 6.84 Health/health services HEALTH MGT STRENGTHENING Zimbabwe 1991 3.40 Human disease control AIDS PROGRAMME AIDS ACTION PLAN Uganda 1991 3.72 Doctors training MED.TRNG.SCHL.OF.MED-UNZA Zambia 1991 0.30 Rural clinics/dispensaries FAMILY HEALTH PROJECT Tanzania 1991 0.38 Health/health services MALARIA CONTROL PROGRAMME Namibia 1992 19.40 Health education ANDHRA PRADESH SCH HLTH PR India 1992 0.70 Health policy and admin. management Tanzania 1992 2.12 Health policy and admin. management Tanzania 1992 0.63 Health policy and admin. management Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.16 Basic health infrastructure Solomon Islands 1992 24.97 Health policy and admin. management Pakistan 1992 5.80 Human disease control AIDS: WEST BENGAL India 1992 0.69 Health education INTEGRATED CHILD SURVIVAL URBAN DHAKA JFS 476 Bangladesh 1992 0.56 Health policy and admin. management 1992 1.24 Health policy and admin. management 1992 1.02 Human disease control MALARIA CONTROL AND RESEARCH Zimbabwe 1992 0.44 Nurses/paramedics’ training OPHTHALMIC TRAINING PROGRAMME IN ZANZIBAR Tanzania 1992 1.45 Health policy and admin. management 1992 0.87 Rural clinics/dispensaries ESSAU HEALTH CEN.UPGD. Gambia Congo, Dem. Rep. America, regional South of Sahara, regional 1992 0.90 Hospitals REHAB ROYAL VIC HOSPITAL Gambia 1992 2.69 Health/health services MNGT.STRENGTH.PROJ MANAGEMENT STRENGTHENING PROJ. Gambia 1992 2.90 Human disease control WHO MED TERM NAT AIDS PLN Kenya 1992 0.62 Medical personnel salaries POPN PROGRAMME OFFICER Kenya 1992 0.19 Human disease control ACQ.INMUNE DEFIC. SYNDROM THE PREVENTION OF AIDS Lesotho 1992 1.32 Health/health services SEC POP HEALTH/NUTRITION Lesotho 1992 0.01 Human disease control AIDS Malawi (continued) AID DEBATES AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES 879 Table A1 Continued Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient 1992 0.56 Health/health services LINK-HSMC-CIESS Mexico 1992 1.59 Rural hospitals ISIOLO IMMEDIATE SUPPORT Kenya 1992 0.67 Hospitals METHODIST CHURCH O’SEAS Sierra Leone 1992 2.90 Human disease control AIDS Zambia 1992 1.28 Health/health services HEALTH OF COAL MINERS India 1992 5.57 Hospitals EASTERN REGIONAL HOSPITAL DHARAN, NEPAL Nepal 1992 21.30 Rural clinics/dispensaries SAVE THE CHILDREN FUND PHASE II Sri Lanka 1992 3.03 Human disease control WP APPROP HLTH TECHNOLOGY Bilateral, unspecified 1992 4.00 Health/health services WORK PROG URBAN HEALTH Bilateral, unspecified 1992 3.59 Human disease control WP TROP DISEASE CONTROL Bilateral, unspecified 1992 3.20 Human disease control WORK PROGRAMME AIDS Bilateral, unspecified 1992 3.15 Health/health services WORK PROG ENVIRON HEALTH Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.27 Health/health services WORK PROG AGEING Bilateral, unspecified 1992 5.31 Health/health services WP HLTH ECON/FINANCING Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.97 Nutrition EARLY MORT/VIT A SUPPL Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.40 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIM HLTH CARE FAC AFRICA Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.26 Nutrition INFANT MORBIDITY/VIT A Bilateral, unspecified 1992 2.06 Doctors training FIJI SCHOOL OF MED SUPPORT Fiji 1992 0.36 Rural clinics/dispensaries COMMUNITY BASED PHC PROGRAMME MEHAL MEDA Ethiopia 1992 0.84 Rural clinics/dispensaries KIBWEZI RURAL HEALTH Kenya 1992 1.46 Human disease control COMMUNITY BASED HEALTH CARE INC. HYDATID CONTROL Kenya 1992 1.45 Health/health services HEALTH FACILITIES JFS420 Kenya 1992 0.87 Health education FRENCH EDITION OF DIALOGUE ON DIARRHOEA Senegal 1992 1.00 Health/health services INTEGRATED HEALTH PROJECT Sierra Leone 1992 11.70 Human disease control MEDIUM TERM AIDS PLAN Tanzania 1992 0.97 Health education CENTRE FOR EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN HEALTH Tanzania 1992 1.13 Health/health services MULAGO HOSPITAL ORTHOPAEDIC PROJECT Uganda 1992 1.70 Health/health services OPHTHALMIC CLINICAL OFFICERS TRAINING PROGRAMME Uganda 1992 0.58 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE Bolivia 1992 2.09 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE WITH INDIAN COMMUNITIES Brazil NUTRITION PROGRAMME 1992 0.31 Nutrition 1992 0.84 Health policy and admin. management Peru Dominica 1992 0.70 Medical services Bangladesh 1992 0.86 Health policy and admin. management 1992 0.63 Health/health services HEALTH AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT India 1992 0.53 Health education TRAINING FOR WOMEN DEVELOPMENT WORKERS Pakistan 1992 1.96 Rural clinics/dispensaries HEALTH RESOURCES AND INFORMATION NETWORK Middle East, regional 1992 0.82 Clinics/dispensaries ALEXANDRA TOWNSHIP CLINIC (JFS515) South Africa 1992 0.46 Health/health services HEALTH SERVICES PLANNING Chile Cambodia (continued) 880 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING Table A1 Continued Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient 1992 0.87 Health/health services SUPPORT IN HEALTH AND POP Uganda 1992 0.33 Health/health services TERMINAL CARE CNTR JFS301 Kenya 1992 1.39 Nurses/paramedics training EXPANDED NURSE-MIDWIFE TRAINING PROJECT JFS495 Malawi 1992 1.37 Health/health services COMMUNITY BASED REHABILITATION PROGRAMME (JFS 522) Uganda 1992 1.36 Health/health services LIMB PROJECT JFS 459 Cambodia 1992 0.30 Health/health services ORTHOPAEDIC WORKSHOP: BANGALORE India 1992 0.59 Health/health services DEV AND TRAINING GROUPS OF PEOPLE WITH DISIBILITY India 1992 0.48 Human disease control COMMUNITY HEALTH EDUCATION JFS 555 Nepal 1992 0.59 Human disease control CRUSH KENYA AIDS PROJECT JFS 533 Kenya 1992 0.40 Health/health services TO IMPROVE THE HEALTH OF MEN/ PARTNERS NIGERIAN ARMY Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.70 Health/health services DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: RESPONDING TO ECONOMIC BURDEN Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.47 Human disease control VISCERAL LEISHMANIASIS. ASYMPTOMATIC CARRIERS Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.38 Health/health services SUPPORT TO FIJI DISABLED PEOPLES ASSOCIATION Fiji 1992 0.62 Medical research PARASITIC NEMATODES Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.48 Nurses/paramedics training MIDWIFERY TRAINING Bangladesh 1992 2.32 Health/health services URBAN COMMUN. BASED REHAB India 1992 1.43 Human disease control BLINDNESS PROGRAMME India 1992 1.48 Medical research HAEMOGLOBINOPATHY CONTROL India 1992 2.17 Human disease control VIRAL HEPATITIS India 1992 1.23 Human disease control CANCER, MEHDI NAWAZ JUNG India 1992 1.41 Medical research CERVICAL CANCER India 1992 26.10 Rural clinics/dispensaries AP SCHOOL HEALTH PROG India 1992 0.39 Medical research ROTAVIRUS INFECTION India 1992 0.84 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE, YEMEN (JFS 574) Yemen 1992 26.55 Health/health services POPULATION WELFARE PROJECT PHASE III Pakistan 1992 0.85 Human disease control AIDS INITIATIVE 1992 0.68 Human disease control STRATEGIES FOR HOPE SECOND PHASE Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.16 Health/health services DEV PROG DISABLED PEOPLE JFS 211 Uganda 1992 2.91 Human disease control TASO JFS (192) Uganda 1992 1.21 Rural clinics/dispensaries PHC, DAICHOPAN, AFGHANISTAN Afghanistan South of Sahara, regional 1992 1.45 Health education OPHTHALMIC PROGRAMME Mozambique 1992 0.32 Human disease control PROTOZOAN CYSTS Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.37 Rural clinics/dispensaries NGOS AND PRIM HLTH CARE Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.57 Nutrition LEAF SUPPLEMENT SRI LANKA Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.44 Health/health services FEMALE FACTORY WORKERS, THAILAND R4859 Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.51 Health/health services YANOMAMI HEALTH PROJECT Brazil 1992 0.43 Health/health services SECTOR AID MISSION Ghana 1992 0.29 Health/health services INDUCED ABORTION R4860 Bilateral, unspecified 1992 4.33 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE Bilateral, unspecified 1992 3.07 Health/health services EPIDEMIOLOGY PROGRAMME Bilateral, unspecified (continued) AID DEBATES AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES 881 Table A1 Continued Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient Bilateral, unspecified 1992 2.67 Health/health services HEALTH IMPACT DEV. 1992 1.64 Medical laboratories LABORATORY SERVICES Bilateral, unspecified 1992 2.10 Nurses/paramedics training AKSON BSC NURSING PROGRAM Pakistan 1992 0.38 Medical/veterinary services SCHOOL HEALTH SUPERVISOR Yemen 1992 0.64 Health/health services STREET CHILDREN DRUG ABUSE Peru 1992 0.93 Doctors training ASS-FAC OF MEDICINE Ethiopia 1992 2.90 Health/health services HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE India 1992 3.77 Medical research MEDICAL RESEARCH PROG. Bilateral, unspecified 1992 5.74 Rural clinics/dispensaries PROVISION OF HEALTH CARE SUPPORT Solomon Islands 1992 7.86 Health/health services SOUTHERN REG HEALTH PROJ Tanzania 1992 0.49 Human disease control CONDOM SOCIAL MARKETING AND FAMILY PLANNING Ethiopia 1992 0.86 Health/health services COMMUNITY HEALTH FOR CAMPESINO’S Nicaragua 1992 2.62 Health/health services VOLTA DHMS PROJECT Ghana 1992 0.87 Health/health services HEALTH AND POP. FIELD MAN Nigeria 1992 1.09 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH Bolivia 1992 12.78 Nurses/paramedics training FOURTH POPULATION AND HEALTH: STRENGTHENING NURSING EDCTION Bangladesh 1992 7.90 Health/health services FOURTH POPULATION AND HEALTH: MEDICAL EDUCATION/COLLEGES Bangladesh 1992 3.71 Health/health services FOURTH POPULATION AND HEALTH: MANAGEMENT DEVELOPMENT UNIT Bangladesh 1992 0.84 Human disease control FOURTH POPULATION AND HEALTH: CONTROL OF IODINE DEFICIENCY Bangladesh 1992 0.72 Health/health services FOURTH POPULATION AND HEALTH: HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT Bangladesh 1992 8.24 Health/health services HLTH ECON.UNIT-USE OF ECON. AND FIN. Bangladesh ANALYSIS IN H&P SECT.(PEC) 1992 0.66 Doctors training MOI UNIV PROF OF MEDICINE Kenya 1992 2.28 Health/health services SPASTICS SOCIETY N.INDIA India 1992 0.76 Rural clinics/dispensaries AMREF COMMUNITY BASED HLTH CARE SUPPT UNIT Kenya 1992 3.28 Medical/veterinary services CANCER RESEARCH, GUJARAT India 1992 1.45 Doctors training MEDICAL EDUCATION TECH India 1992 0.58 Health/health services CBR NEWS PUBLISHING (624) Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.62 Medical laboratories BLOOD TRANSFUSION India 1992 1.45 Clinics/dispensaries GHANA NATIONAL EYE CARE PROG JFS 609 Ghana 1992 1.75 Health/health services UNIV WEST INDIES/WALES HEALTH PROMOTION LINK West Indies Unallocated 1992 0.43 Health/health services SUPPURATIVE OTITIS MEDIA Bilateral, unspecified 1992 3.16 Health/health services UK HEALTH AUTHORITY LINK St. Helena 1992 8.82 Health/health services ADB 3RD HEALTH PROJECT Pakistan 1992 2.61 Rural clinics/dispensaries RURAL HEALTH FACILITIES Solomon Islands 1992 1.67 Health/health services MEDCL AID FR PALESTINIANS Bilateral, unspecified 1992 0.43 Health/health services Y CARE INTERNATIONAL Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.10 Health/health services MANAGEMENT FOR HEALTH Cambodia 1992 1.67 Nutrition INCAPTRG.NUTRITION SCIENCE TO STRENGTHEN INCAP’S CAPACITY America, regional (continued) 882 HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING Table A1 Continued Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient 1992 1.45 Health/health services HEALTH SERVICES Anguilla 1992 0.41 Health/health services LILONGWE SCH HEALTH SCIEN Malawi 1992 0.67 Human disease control ONCHOCERCIASIS RSRCH AND CNT Malawi 1992 1.88 Doctors training MED.COLL-INSTT’NL.DEV.PRJ Malawi 1992 0.87 Human disease control AIDS PHASE II Kenya 1992 0.43 Medical personnel salaries SECONDMENT TO THE INDEPENDENT COMMISSION -MR.C.ALLISON Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.78 Health/health services CCMRC: HYPERTENSION AND DIABETES IN Bilateral, unspecified THE COMM. CARIBB 1992 0.57 Health/health services INDUCED ABORTION Bilateral, unspecified 1992 1.09 Health/health services ASSIST. TO MIN. OF HEALTH Uganda 1992 1.82 Medical laboratories COMMUNITY OPHTHALMOLOGY NATIONAL India BLINDNESS PROGRAMME 1992 0.59 Health/health services A NEW VENTILATOR SYSTEM Bilateral, unspecified 1992 2.28 Doctors training POST-GRADUATE MEDICAL TRAININGPROJECT Seychelles 1992 5.76 Health/health services MULAGO HOSPITAL SUPPORT Uganda 1992 0.52 Medical research PELVIC INFLAMMATORY (PID) IN SLUM WOMEN, BOMBAY Bilateral, unspecified 1992 2.90 Human disease control MED TRM PLAN: AIDS CONTROL CONTROL Zimbabwe 1992 1.50 Nurses/paramedics training ASS. WITH NURSE TRAINING HILLINGDON Pakistan HEALTH AUTHORITY 1992 2.04 Medical/veterinary services COLL, COMMTY MED, LAHORE SOUTH BANK POLY LINK 1992 0.86 Medical research NEW TOOLS TO ASSESS CAUSES OF ADULT Bilateral, unspecified ILLNESS 1992 58.00 Health/health services FAMILY WELFARE ORISSA India 1992 4.20 Health/health services PRIMARY HEALTH CARE South Africa 1992 0.43 Health/health services HEALTH SUPPORT PROGRAMME Brazil 1993 2.33 Clinics/dispensaries 1993 2.82 Pharmaceutical system, drugs COMMODITY AID GRANT 1993 Cambodia 1993 14.39 Medical supplies EQUIPMENT INSTALLATION Ghana 1993 0.46 Medical services 1993 0.79 Rural clinics/dispensaries 1993 1.26 Infectious disease control 1993 3.50 1993 Pakistan Ghana Zimbabwe PRIMARY HEALTH CARE Cambodia Rural clinics/dispensaries EASTERN REG PRIM HLTH PH2 Nepal 0.56 Health/health services HEALTH SECTOR REFORM GENERAL MANAGER ANGUILLA H/A Anguilla 1993 3.69 Basic nutrition South Africa 1993 1.09 Health policy and admin. management Bilateral, unspecified 1993 2.38 Health policy and admin. management Jamaica 1993 0.32 Basic nutrition 1993 0.34 Health/health services UNICEF/ODA JOINT PROG. 1993 3.57 Rural clinics/dispensaries AK PRIMARY HEALTH CARE Pakistan 1993 3.83 Rural clinics/dispensaries WORLD BANK FAMILY HEALTH Pakistan 1993 1.11 Health/health services MALARIA CONTROL PROJECT Namibia 1993 0.85 Rural clinics/dispensaries PHC SUPPORT FACILITY Solomon Islands 1993 18.45 Rural clinics/dispensaries FAMILY HEALTH PROJECT Uganda Bilateral, unspecified Bilateral, unspecified Bilateral, unspecified (continued) AID DEBATES AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES Table A1 Continued Year USD commitment deflated (millions) Description Title Recipient 1993 1.27 Human disease control INT.CNTRE.DIARRHOEAL DISEASE RES.DEM.SURV.SYST.COORDINATOR Bilateral, unspecified 1993 5.07 Medical research CONCORDAT BETWEEN ODA AND MRC Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.93 Rural clinics/dispensaries RURAL PHC PHASE II Vanuatu 1993 0.85 Human disease control CARE NIGER AIDS AND MIGRATION PILOT PROJECT Niger 1993 0.42 Medical personnel salaries CHRIS ALLISON Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.52 Health/health services HEALTH FINANCING Kyrgyz Republic 1993 0.58 Medical/veterinary services OPHTHALMIC SERVICES (844) Cambodia 1993 0.37 Rural clinics/dispensaries PRIMARY HEALTH CARE PROGRAMME Cambodia 1993 0.43 Rural clinics/dispensaries TRAINING IN PRIMARY HEALTH CARE-JAMKHED India 1993 0.71 Rural clinics/dispensaries INTEGRATED HEALTH CARE JFS815 Laos 1993 0.81 Human disease control AIDS/STDS SERVICE AGREEMENT Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.40 Rural clinics/dispensaries RURAL DEVELOPMENT LAOS JFS 765 Laos 1993 1.14 Human disease control AIDS EDUCATION JFS819 Kenya 1993 0.78 Medical/veterinary services ANAESTHETIC TRAINING Malawi 1993 1.01 Medical personnel salaries TCO HEALTH AND POPULATION FIELD MANAGER Zimbabwe 1993 0.53 Medical/veterinary services RATTANAK MONDOL RURAL HEALTH PROJECT 766 CAMBODIA Cambodia 1993 16.31 Health/health services HEALTH SECTOR AID Ghana 1993 0.34 Clinics/dispensaries RURAL HEALTH FACILITIES RENNELL AND Solomon Islands BELLONA 1993 0.70 Health/health services PROSTHETICS CLINIC (830) Cambodia 1993 1.79 Health/health services ASSISTANCE TO HEALTH POLICY UNIT South Africa 1993 2.02 Health/health services HEALTH SERVICE MANAGEMENT TRAINING South Africa 1993 0.70 Medical personnel salaries TCO HEALTH AND POP OFFICER India 1993 0.68 Infectious disease control Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.42 Health policy and admin. management Uganda 1993 0.31 Hospitals NAIROBI HOSPICE Kenya 1993 0.16 Health/health services BAMAKO OPERATIONS RESEARCH Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.43 Human disease control IVERMECTIN COMMUNITY TREATMENT: ONCHOCERCIASIS SIERRA LEONE Bilateral, unspecified 1993 0.56 Human disease control COLLABORATIVE STUDY EFFECTIVE OF HIV/AIDS IN DEV COUNTRIES Bilateral, unspecified 883
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