Daily Financial Markets Commentary Daily Financial Markets Commentary | 1 November 2012 1 November 2012 FINANCIAL MARKETS Market Snapshot: Currency High Low EURUSD USDJPY USDCAD USDCHF GBPUSD AUDUSD USDMYR USDSGD USDCNY 1.3021 79.95 1.0014 0.9333 1.6138 1.0400 3.0570 1.2212 6.2435 1.2944 79.49 0.9979 0.9273 1.6065 1.0347 3.0445 1.2180 6.2365 What to watch: Opening Mid Rates 1.2965 79.87 0.9998 0.9315 1.6131 1.0376 3.0500 1.2202 6.2373 Wall Street opens; shares little moved from previous close on Friday MYR strength seen supported in thin trading China’s PMI out today; market looks for signs of recovery in Asia’s Dragon economy Market indices and statistics Major Indices Close Dow Jones S&P 500 Nasdaq KLSE FTSTI Gold(COMEX) WTI 5Y MGS 5Y IRS 13,096.46 1,412.16 2,977.23 1,673.07 3,038.37 1,717.50 86.24 3.23 3.25 Domestic Markets Change -10.75 0.22 -10.72 -1.6 -0.36 7 0.56 -0.006 0 Indicative trading range USD/MYR JPY/MYR SGD/MYR GBP/MYR EUR/MYR AUD/MYR NZD/MYR CAD/MYR HKD/MYR CHF/MYR THB/MYR DKK/MYR 3.0240 3.7980 2.4790 4.8920 3.9270 3.1370 2.4850 3.0290 38.30 3.2500 9.3320 0.5190 - 3.0760 3.8410 2.5210 4.9470 3.9810 3.1900 2.5280 3.0730 40.40 3.2990 10.5510 0.5410 Change % -0.08 Moving against expectations, the MYR appreciated slightly yesterday 0.02 against the USD in steady but cautious trading. Exporters took it as an -0.36 -0.10 opportunity to sell the Greenback in a thin market, as they see saw limited -0.01 upside, thus strengthening the local currency 0.41 0.65 -0.19 Meanwhile, the Prime Minister unveiled a series of ten biotechnology entry 0.00 point projects and released news of the discovery of additional oil reserves at Bertam. All this news is positive for the economy and should boost the attractiveness of FDI flows into Malaysia and lend support to the MYR in the medium term Forecast: While we still see some last minute USD purchases today, gains could be limited due to a firmer EUR/USD tone from the day before and a slightly volatile USD/SGD. The Singapore Central bank was rumoured to be intervening to support the SGD after sell orders were triggered due to stop losses being hit. Expect range trading for the Singaporean currency as it struggles to break out of a sideways pattern Global Markets U.S Stocks resumed trading on Wall Street again last night after an unprecedented two day closure due to Hurricane Sandy. However, equities traded relatively flat as the market contemplated the damage left by the superstorm and the upcoming U.S elections. The DJIA closed -0.08% lower compared to Friday while the S&P rose 0.02% to end the day at 1,412.16 points 1 Daily Financial Markets Commentary | 1 November 2012 The market will be watching out for China’s October PMI figure due out later today. There are expectations that the figure will be positive, given September’s data releases indicating a rosier picture for China’s economy. In addition, given the recent installation of a new Premier, the authorities are likely to take measures to show people that the current regime has it’s economic fundamentals in check. Industrial production data due out for China today is estimated to show a +9.4% y/y increase, a surge from +9.2% previously For further enquiries, please call Alliance Bank Financial Markets: Central 603 2616 0811 Crude oil prices traded mixed, with Brent crude trading below $109 a barrel. Expect a cold winter in the Northern Hemisphere this year to drive up the price of oil as demand for heating increases around this time due to seasonal factors Northern / Southern / East Malaysia 603 2616 0822 Wholesale Banking 603 2616 0833 DISCLAIMER The views expressed in this commentary do not necessarily represent the views of Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad. Whilst every care is taken, this commentary has not been independently verified or authenticated in whole or in part by Alliance Bank and its employees and/ or officers, and it should not be relied on as such. 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