Is India Becoming More Democratic? Author(s): Ashutosh Varshney Source: The Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 59, No. 1 (Feb., 2000), pp. 3-25 Published by: Association for Asian Studies Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2658582 . Accessed: 04/02/2011 16:22 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at . http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=afas. . Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Association for Asian Studies is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Asian Studies. http://www.jstor.org Is India Becoming More Democratic? ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY (A) long traditionofideologicalsubjectionhas made (the lowercastes)stagnate.... Centurieshave instilledinto them a meek acceptanceof the existing(order).... This can change.In fact,thismustchange.The revoltagainstcasteis theresurrection ofIndia or,shallwe say,thebringingintobeingofa uniquelyand hithertounrealized occasion,whenIndia shall be trulyand fullyalive. Is such a revoltpossible? RammanoharLohia, TheCasteSystem A great deal of confusion exists on how to discuss, and theoreticallycharacterize, political developments in India during the last decade and a half. There is, of course, a consensus that the Congress party,a towering political colossus between 1920 and 1989, has unambiguously declined. While there are legitimate doubts about whether the decline of the Congress partywill continue to be irreversible,it is clear that much of the political space already vacated by the Congress has so far been filled by three differentsets of political forces. The firstforce, Hindu nationalism, has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention (Basu 1997; Hansen and Jaffrelot1998; Jaffrelot 1993; Varshney 1993). The second force,regionalism, has also spawned considerable researchof late (Baruah 1999; Singh forthcoming;Subramanian 1999). A third force, not so extensivelyanalyzed, covers an arrayof political parties and organizations that encompass groups normally classified under the umbrella category of "lower castes": the so-called scheduled castes, the scheduled tribes, and the "other backward classes" (OBCs). How should we understand the politics of parties representingthese groups? How far will they go? What are the implications of their forwardmarch, if it does take place, forIndian democracy? In an attempt to answer these questions, this essay compares political developments in Northern and Southern India. My principal claim is that our judgments about contemporaryNorth Indian politics will be wrong ifwe do not place South India at the center of our analytic attention. In this century, the South has experienced caste-based politics much more intenselythan the other regions of India. If the Hindu-Muslim cleavage has been a "master narrative"of politics in North India formuch of the twentiethcentury,caste divisions have had the same status in Southern AshutoshVarshneyis an AssociateProfessor of Governmentand International Studiesat the Universityof Notre Dame. For comments,the writeris gratefulto Hasan Askari-Rizvi, JagdishBhagwati,Kanchan Chandra,Robert Hardgrave,Pratap Mehta, Philip Oldenburg, Vibha Pingle, Sanjay Reddy,AlfredStepan,the late MyronWeiner,Yogendra Yadav, and two anonymousreviewersof thisjournal. TheJournalofAsian Studies59, no. 1 (February2000):3-25. C) 2000 by the AssociationforAsian Studies,Inc. 3 4 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY India (Dirks 1997; Varshneyforthcoming).'Partlybecause electoralpolitics was organizedaroundcastelinesin theSouthand notarounda Hindu-Muslimaxis,lower cameto powerin virtuallyall southernstates castes,constituting an electoralmajority, by the 1960s. Our analysisof recentNorth Indian politics will be deeper if we oflowercastestookplace in theSouth.An exclusive appreciatehowtheempowerment focus on Hindu-Muslim divisionsdeflectsattentionaway fromwhat is clearlya caste-basedchurningin the North. significant but The majorSouthIndian conclusionabout casteis culturallycounterintuitive politicallyeasilygrasped.Sociallyand ritually,castehas alwayssymbolizedhierarchy democracy,castecan and inequality;however,when joined with universal-franchise ofequalizationand dignity(Beteille1996; Dirks 1997; paradoxically be an instrument Kothari1970; Rudolphand Rudolph 1987 and 1967; Weiner1997). Weigheddown by tradition,lower castes do not give up their caste identities; rather,they and "reinvent"castehistory,deployin politicsa readilyavailableand "deconstruct" easilymobilizedsocialcategory("low caste"),use theirnumbersto electoraladvantage, of and fightprejudiceand dominationpolitically.It is the uppercastes,beneficiaries the caste systemforcenturies,that typicallywish caste did not existwhen a lower castechallengeappearsfrombelow. North India today,and in future,may not followin South India's footsteps entirely,but the rise of lower-castepolitics in the North alreadybears striking similarities.Even Hindu nationalism,thoughfundamentally opposedto lower-caste politicsin ideologicaltermsand quite formidablein theNorth,has not been able to dictatetermsto northern lower-castepoliticians.By implicationas well as intention, Hindu nationalismstandsforHindu unity,not forcaste consciousness.Lower-caste partiesare againstHindu unity.ArguingthatHindu uppercasteshave long denied power,privilege,and even dignityto the lowercastes,theyare advocatesof casteof power. Such has been the based social justice and a caste-basedrestructuration powerof lower-castepoliticsin recentyearsthatit has forcedHindu nationaliststo makeideologicallydistasteful but pragmatically necessary politicalcoalitions.Forthe sake of power, the Hindu nationalists-afterthe twelfthand for the thirteenth nationalelectionsheld in 1998 and 1999, respectively-hadto team up with other parties,severalofwhomwerebased amongthe lowercastes.The latter,amongother things,ensuredthat the ideologicallypure demands of Hindu nationalism-the building of a temple in Ayodhya;a common civil code and no religiouslybased personallaws forminorities;abolitionof the special statusofJammuand Kashmir, the only Muslim majoritystate of Indian federation;eliminationof the Minorities Commission-weredroppedand a programmoreacceptableto thelower-caste parties was formulated. Thus, in theirmomentof glory,the Hindu nationalistshave been ideologically deceived. As they have ended theirlong isolation in Indian politics and formed in Delhi, theyhave also been forcedby lower-castepoliticiansto make governments While Hindu nationalistshaveindeedcometo powerin programmatic compromises. Delhi, Hindu nationalismas an ideologyhas not. Can Hindu nationalismfinallyoverpowerthe lower-castemobilizationin the are lower-castepoliticiansstrongenough to defeatHindu North? Alternatively, 'With the prominentexceptionof the formerprincelystate of Hyderabad(Varshney 1997). As to how Britishrule mayhave turnedcaste into a masternarrativeofSouth Indian politics,parallelingthe Hindu-Muslimnarrativein NorthIndia, see Dirks (1987). In strictly politicalterms,Dirks says,Hindu Brahminscan be describedas "theMuslimsofSouthIndia" (Dirks 1997, 279). IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 5 thecharacter ofHindu nationalismas it tries nationalists, or,less radically,transform somehow to accommodatea lower-castesurge? Our understandingof India's democracywill be shapedby how thesequestionsare answeredin the comingyears. Hindu nationalismis majoritarianin impulse.In its ideologicalpurity,it is deeply threateningto non-Hindu minorities,who constituteabout 18 percent of the but,much country's population.Lower-caste politicsalso endeavorsto be majoritarian as working-classpolitics was in late nineteenth-century Western Europe, its ideological aim is to put togethera plebeian, not a religious,majority.It is nonthreatening to religiousminoritiesand inclinedtowardsthe socioeconomically disadvantaged. and More thaneverbefore,we need to pay greaterattentionto thedeterminants clear,lower-caste dynamicsof India's plebeianpolitics.As is becomingincreasingly partiesmay not be able to come to poweron theirown, but it is unlikelythatany in Delhi in the foreseeablefuturecan be formedwithoutthem.Even if government theCongresspartyreturnsto power,it is almostcertainthatsucha returnwill either thelower-caste incorporate partiesin a coalition,or havemanylowercastepoliticians in the Congresspartyhierarchy. as visiblepower-centers The LargerPicture: From a North-SouthDivide to an Emerging Southernizationof North India Let us begin witha briefcomparisonof the castecompositionofIndian politics today with the situationsoon afterindependence.In the 1950s, India's national urbanpoliticianstrainedin law. Most politicswas dominatedby English-speaking, politicianscame fromtheuppercastes,and manyleadersweretrainedabroad.Lower an agrarianand "vernacular"elite dominatedlocal and down thepoliticalhierarchy, statepolitics(Weiner 1962), but even the lower-levelpoliticalleadershiptendedto come fromthe uppercastesin NorthIndia. Southernpoliticianswere not only "vernacular"but, South India was different. fromthe lowercastes(Hardgrave as the 1950s evolved,theywere also increasingly 1965; Subramanian1999). By the 1960s, much of South India had gone thougha theDravidaMunetraKazgham(DMK) came relatively peacefullowercasterevolution: partyin the 1960s, and theCommunist to powerin Tamil Nadu as an anti-Brahmin basedin theEzhavacommunity, party,firstin powerin Keralain 1957, was primarily a low casteoftraditional engagedin theproductionofindigenousliquor toddy-tappers (Nossiter1982).2 The social indignitiesinflictedon the Nadars of Tamil Nadu, anothertoddytappingcasteoftraditionalSouthIndia, areall too well known(Hardgrave1969). To to get appreciatehow much the stateof Kerala has changed,it would be instructive a sense of the humiliationthe Ezhavas routinelysuffered until the earlydecades of thiscentury: Theywerenotallowedto walkon publicroads.... TheywereHindus,butthey thepremises of couldnotentertemples. Whiletheirpigsandcattlecouldfrequent 2in the two otherSouth Indian states,Karnakataand AndhraPradesh,the lowercaste thrustofpolitics,thoughpresent,has been less pronounced.ForKarnataka,see Manor(1990); forAndhra,Ram Reddy(1990). 6 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY the temple,theywere not allowed to go even there.Ezhavas could not use public wells or public places.... ... An Ezhava should keep himself,at least thirtysix feet away froma Namboodiriand twelvefeetaway froma Nair. ... He mustaddressa casteHindu man,as Thampuran(My Lord) and womanas Thampurati(My Lady).... He must stand beforea caste Hindu in awe and reverence,assuminga humble posture.He should neverdress himselfup like a caste Hindu; neverconstructa house on the uppercastemodel.... The womenfolkofthecommunity... wererequired,young and old, to appear beforecaste Hindus, alwaystopless.About the ornamentsalso, therewere restrictions. There were certainprescribedornamentsonly which they (could) wear. (Rajendran1974, 23-24) By the 1960s, in much of the public sphere in Southern India, not simply in Kerala, such egregious debasement and quotidian outrage had been radicallycurtailed, if not entirely eliminated. A democratic empowerment of the lower castes was the catalytic agent forthe social transformation.The lower castes were always numerically larger than the Brahmins, but were unable to use their numbers before the rise of universal franchise. A classic distinction between horizontal and vertical political mobilization proposed by Lloyd and Susanne Rudolph (1967) captured the essence of North-South political differencesat the time. In South India, lower castes had already developed their own leaders and parties by the 1950s and 1960s, whereas in North India the model of mobilization was top-down, with lower castes dependent on the upper castes in a clientelistic relationship. At the national level, the Congress party aggregated horizontally,as it brought together differentlinguistic and religious groups, but at the local level, it was a typical clientelisticparty,building a pyramid of caste coalitions under the existing social elite (Weiner 1967). In the 1980s and 1990s, a southern-styleplebeian politics has rocked North India. The names of Mulayam Singh Yadav, Laloo Yadav, Kanshi Ram, and Mayawati-all "vernacular" politicians who have risen frombelow-repeatedly make headlines. They are not united. Indeed, substantial obstacles to unity, both vertical and horizontal, remain. Vertically, though all lower castes are below the upper castes/varnas (Brahmins, Kshtariyas, and Vaishyas), there are serious internal differentiationsand hierarchieswithin the lower-castecategory.And, horizontally,even though castesystem is present all over India, eachcastehas only local or regional meaning, making it hard to build extralocal or extraregional alliances. Thus, horizontal mobilization tends to be primarilyregional or state-specific,not nationwide. Nonetheless, these and other lower caste leaders have often made or broken coalitions in power. Their total vote share continues to be lower than that for the Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) respectively,but it is enough to force concessions fromthe two largest parties. In the three national elections held between 1996 and 1999, the various parties explicitly representing lower castes, in the aggregate, received between 18 to 20 percent of the national vote, as against 20 to 25 percent forthe BJP, and 23 to 29 percent forthe Congress Party.3Disunity at the 3Basedon the ElectionCommission1996, 40-51, and ElectionCommission1998, 4956. The 1999 data areprovisional.The explicitlylower-castepartiesare:JD (variousversions), RJD, SP, BSP, JP, ADMK, DMK, MDMK, PMK, BJD, and RPI. IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 7 level ofpoliticalpartiesnotwithstanding, lower-caste politicshas come to stay.4It has pressedthepolityin newpolicydirections, and introduceda newcoloringofphrases, diction,and stylesin politics. The powerof the new plebeianpoliticalelite is no longerconfinedto the state level, thoughthat is whereit is most prominent.The centerhas also been socially reconfigured. Delhi has twicehad primarily lower-caste coalitionsin power-between 1989 and 1991 and between1996 and 1998. In K. R. Narayanan,India todayhas its firstex-UntouchablePresident.In a parliamentary system,ofcourse,thePresident is onlya head ofstate,nota head ofgovernment. What lendsNarayanan'selectiona special politicalmeaningis thatno politicalpartyin India, with the exceptionof a regionalparty(the Shiv Sena), had thecourageto opposehis nomination.Narayanan was electedPresidentby a near-consensus vote in 1997, a featnot easilyachievable in India's adversarialpolity. Government policiesand programshavealso acquireda new thrust.An enlarged affirmative actionprogramand a restructuring ofthepowerstructure on thegroundstreet-levelbureaucraciesand police stations-have been the battle cryof the new plebeianelite. By far,theirmoststrikingnationalsuccessis the additionof an extra 27 percentreservation forthelowercastesto centralgovernment jobs and educational seats.In the 1950s, only22.5 percentofsuchjobs werereserved, and morethanthreewereopenlycompetitive.Today,theseproportions are49.5 and 50.5 percent, fourths respectively. At the statelevel,the reservedquota has been higherfora long timein muchof southernIndia. Indianpoliticsthushas a new lower-castethrust,now prevalentbothin muchof the Northas well as the South. Democracyhas been substantiallyindigenized,and the shadow of Oxbridge has left India's political center-stage.Does the rising mean that India's democracyis becomingmoreparticipatory vernacularization and inclusive,or simply more chaotic and unruly?Or, are such developmentsmere cosmetic changes on the surface,a political veneer concealing an unchanging socioeconomicstructure ofpowerand privilege? To understandwhatthe riseof lowercastescan do to politics,stateinstitutions, and policy,we needto understand thetwentieth-century historyofSouthIndia,where thelowercasteshaveexercisedremarkable powersincethelate 1950s and early1960s. Plebeian politicsin South India was primarilyconceptualizedin termsof caste,not class. Even the ideologicallyclass-basedCommunistsin the stateof Kerala foundit necessaryto plug into a discourseof caste-basedinjusticein the 1930s and 1940s, and they relied heavilyon the traditionallydepressedEzhava caste for theirrise (Nossiter1982). Indeed, with isolated exceptions,caste ratherthan class has been the primary mode of subalternexperiencein India. The risingmiddle class of a low caste has customarilyhad to fightsocial discriminationand disadvantage.For contesting theemergingeliteoflowercasteshaseveryreason and domination,therefore, hierarchy to use caste identitiesin politics.Whetherthisstrategymeansthatin the long run caste itselfwill disappear,as some lower-casteintellectualsand leadershave long wished (Ambedkar 1990), remainsunclear. What is clear is that, relyingon a horizontalmobilization,a large proportionof the lower castes would ratherfight prejudicehereand now,whateverthe long-runconsequences. 4In the 1999 elections,it was widelypredictedthat the electoratewould deal a serious blow to lower-castepartiesin the North.In UttarPradesh,SP and BSP increasedtheirshare ofseats,evenas theirvotesmarginallydeclined;in Bihar,RJD kept its voteshareintact,but lost seatsdue to the BJP's superiorcoalition-making strategy. 8 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY The Scheduled Castes, the Scheduled Tribes, and the Other Backward Classes (OBCs) in North India The papersin thissymposiumgo beyondtheaggregateprofilesummarizedabove, and addressin detail the recentpoliticalfortunesof threedifferent and historically underprivileged social groupsin NorthIndia:5theex-Untouchables, officially named scheduledcastesby India's constitution, and oftenalso called the Dalits; the tribals, called scheduledtribessince 1950;6 and the otherbackwardclasses(OBCs) among the Hindus. Technically,the termOBC incorporatestwo different disadvantaged communities-Hindu and non-Hindu.Of these,Hindu OBCs are the low castes socialand ritualstatushas beenabovetheex-Untouchable scheduled whosetraditional castes,but below the uppercastes(figure1). Hindu OBCs overlapmostlywith the a categoryconsistingmainlyof peasantsand Sudra varnaof traditionalhierarchy, artisans. Accordingto the 1991 census,thescheduledcastesconstituted about 16.5 percent ofIndia'spopulation,and thescheduledtribes8.1 percent.Becauseno fullcastecensus has beentakenin India since 1931, statisticalexactitudeon theOBCs, Hindu or nonHindu, is not possible. We do have approximatefigures,however.The Mandal Commission,theonlynationwidesourceavailableon theOBCs, suggeststhatHindu unless OBCs constituteabout 43.7 percentof the totalpopulation(OBCs hereafter, a distinctionis necessary betweenHindu and non-HinduOBCs).7 These threegroups constitutea majorityof India's populationand electorate.8 Since independence,the scheduledcasteshaveprimarilysupportedtheCongress partyin India. Though the leadersof the Congresspartytypicallycame fromthe uppercastes,theywereable to get scheduledcastesupportpartlybecausetheCongress action program,and partlybecause partywas the firstarchitectof the affirmative in villageswereon thewholealive and robust. traditionalpatron-client relationships In 1984, a new political partyof the scheduledcastes-the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)-was launched.Receiving4.0, 4.7, and 4.3 percentofIndia's votein the 1996, 1998, and 1999 nationalelections,respectively (up from1.6 percentin 1991), the BSP may not yetbe a powerfulforcein nationalparliament.However,on the basis 5Strictly speaking,the argumentsin thisessayapplyonlyto Northand SouthIndia but theycan, in a modifiedform,be extendedto the westernstatesof Gujarat and Maharashtra too. Lower-castepartiesmay not have played a similarrole in the West, but a lower caste churningfrombelowhas affected politicsseriously(Wood 1996; Omvedt1993). It is,however, not clearhow fartheseargumentswill apply to stateseast of Bihar. 6Thoughtechnicallyscheduledtribesare not part of the Hindu caste system,therehas been a consensusin politicalcirclesthatalong withthescheduledcastes,theywerehistorically themostdeprivedgroupin India. It shouldalso be notedthatin somecircles,theterm"tribal" is viewed as pejorative.However,we don't yethave an appropriatesubstitute.For want of a betterterm,I will use the term"tribal"in thisessay,withoutimplyinganythingpejorative. 7Non-HinduOBCs are about 8.40 percentof India's population.Thus, in all, theOBCs constitute52 percentof the country(Mandal Commission,1980, 1:56). the size of 8Thereis some dispute overwhetherthe Mandal Commissionoverestimated consensusthatthese theOBCs, but thenatureofthatdisputedoes notchangetheprofessional threegroupstogetherconstitutea majorityofIndia's population.Since thepopulationgrowth are typicallyhigherat lowerends of economicscale,it also rates,accordingto demographers, means thatthe OBC proportionof the electorateis likelyto be higherthantheirpercentage in the population. IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 9 Dominant Castes6% Sudras 43% HinduOBCs (mostly) Scheduled Castes16.5% and Scheduled Tribes8.1% Figure 1. All-IndiaHindu Ritual Hierarchy.Note: (1) The nonScheduledCastesand Tribesfiguresare bestguesses.Beyondthe ScheduledCastesand Tribes,castecensushas not been takensince 1931. These bestguesses,however,are widelyviewedas statistically exact.(2) Since a fractionof Scheduled reasonable,if not statistically Tribesare Christians,the numbersabove add up to morethan82%. Source:(1) For ScheduledCastesand Tribes,Governmentof India, CensusofIndia, 1991; (2) forothercastes,Government of India, Report of theBackwardClassesCommission (Mandal CommissionReport), FirstPart,Vol. 1 (1980). of the shareof nationalvote,it has alreadybecomethe fourthlargestpartyin India, followingthe Congress,the BJP,and the CommunistPartyMarxist(CPM).9 the BSP has developed a substantialpolitical presencein More importantly, almostall NorthIndian states,especiallyUttarPradesh(UP), Punjab, Haryana,and MadhyaPradesh(MP). In UP, India's largeststate,thepartyhas been twicein power, and withthesupportofotherparties.By 1996, theBSP had thougheach timebriefly startedreceivinga whopping20 percentof UP's vote, cripplingthe once-mighty In the 1996, 1998, and 1999 national Congressin itscitadelofgreathistoricstrength. elections,the Congressparty'svote in UP was considerablybelow thatof the BSP. Well until the mid-1980s, such scenariosforthe Congressin UP were altogether inconceivable. '? 9At 5 to 5.5 percent,the CPM's shareof the nationalvote has been onlyslightlyhigher thanthatof the BSP in 1996, 1998, and 1999. But the CPM has each timewon manymore seatsthantheBSP, fortheBSP's voteis notas geographically concentrated as thatoftheCPM. 'Oltis arguablethatif Mrs. Gandhi had not been assassinatedbarely3-4 monthsbefore the 1984 nationalelections,the lowercaste upsurgewould have shakennationalpoliticsin 1984 itself,insteadof waitingtill 1989. Her assassinationchangedthe issuesentirelyin the 1984 elections. 10 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY How did theBSP breakthedependenceofthescheduledcasteson theCongress? Kanchan Chandra,in her paper forthe symposium,providesan answerby taking researchdown to the constituency level. The resultsfromHoshiarpur,Punjab, are reportedhere,supplemented also withresearchdoneat theconstituency levelin Uttar Pradesh. Chandraarguesthat the BSP's successin replacingCongressis built upon two factors.First,affirmative actionforthe scheduledcasteshas led to the emergenceof a middle class among them. The new middle class is made almost entirelyof officers government and clerks.Despite experiencing upwardmobility,theseofficers have continued to face social discrimination.Endured silently earlier, such has bynowled to a firmresolveto fightforrespectand dignity.Second, discrimination the scheduled castes within the Congress experiencedwhat Chandra calls a "representational blockage." Most districtcommitteesof the Congresshave been dominatedby upper-castepoliticians.Scheduledcaste leadersweremeretokensand symbolsin the party structure.Since the early 1990s, such meager rewardsof clientelismhave been consideredlargelyinsufficient by the newlymobile scheduled castes. The new middle class eventuallytook overas local BSP leaders.Their strategy was to arguethathumiliation, ratherthaneconomicdeprivation, was themainproblem of the scheduledcastes,and thatgreaterpoliticalrepresentation, insteadof material advantage,was the principalsolution.The scheduledcasteshad to be horizontally mobilized,had to havea partyoftheirown,and had to win assemblyseats.Financed by the new middle class,the BSP took offin much of NorthIndia and developeda largegroupof cadres. newpoliticalrealitieshavedawned. However,as the BSP has progressedfurther, In no Indianstatedo thescheduledcastesconstitute even30 percentofthepopulation, norare theygeographically concentrated, norforthatmatterdo all scheduledcastes vote forthe BSP, thougha large proportiondoes (Chandra,in this volume). As a consequence,the BSP cannotcapturepowerat the statelevel,unlessit incorporates othergroupsor developsallianceswith otherparties.The need foralliancemaking has led to a moderationin BSP's rhetoric.Still, such moderationis different from fortheBSP now capturesbetween7 and 20 beinga clientin theCongresshierarchy, percentofthevotein Haryana,Punjab,MP, and UP (ElectionCommission1996 and 1998) and thus,in a fragmented politicalspace dominatedby no single party,the BSP has the politicalmuscleto strikebargainsoverlegislativeseats,appointments, werenotbargainedfor,but handed policies,and materialgoods. In thepast,benefits top-downby the Congresspartyand assumedto be sufficient. Unlike thescheduledcastes,thescheduledtribesaregeographically concentrated. For example,in the stateof Bihar,the site of StuartCorbridge'sresearchreportedin this symposium,theylive mostlyin the South. Since 1981, Corbridge'sfieldwork amongBihartribalshas repeatedlytakenhim fromsomeofthe state'surbancenters, wheremostofthetribalgovernment and publicsectoremployeeswork,to threetribal villages,fromwheretheycome. Combiningparticipantobservationand statistical to compare the situationof tribals in research,Corbridgeis able systematically action government jobs withtheirruralbackgrounds.He arguesthatbothaffirmative and democracyhaveoffered newopportunities to thetribes.Theyhavemadepossible materialadvancementformany,and led to a new awarenessofpoliticsand powerfor thewholegroup. One consequenceof affirmative action is that the tiny middle class of the scheduledtribeshas becomeconsiderably larger.And a resultof democraticpolitics IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 11 is thata tribal-based politicalpartyhas been headinga movementfora separatestate in theIndianfederation, wherethetribalpopulationwould be in a majority.Though several prejudicesand exclusionsremain,Corbridgeargues that the benefitsof democracyand affirmative actionhavebeen quite considerable, and mayevenexpand if a new statewith a scheduled-tribe further majorityis born in the comingyears. The latterpossibilitycan no longerbe ruledout. The OBCs, coveredby Christophe Jaffrelot in thissymposium, aredifferent from theothertwo groups.As alreadynoted,comparedto the scheduledcastesand tribes, the OBCs commandmuch largernumbers:accordingto the Mandal Commission, Hindu OBCs constituteabout 43.7 percentofIndia's totalpopulation.Being mostly Sudras,the OBCs have facedmanysocial and economicdisadvantages,but the fit betweenthe two categories-OBC and Sudra-is not perfect. If one goes by the all-India classification of castes,a national-levelabstraction, the picture that emerges is unable to capture the many regional variationsin dominanceand power.Sociologistsand socialanthropologists construethetermSudra to include,but the categoryofOBC on the wholeexcludes,theso-called"dominant castes": the Jats, Reddys, Kammas, Patels, Marathas,and others.The notion of "dominantcastes"was coinedbyM. N. Srinivas(1966) to specifythosegroupswhich, in a ritualisticor formalsenseoftheall-Indiacastelvarna havebeentermed hierarchy, Sudras,but the ritualisticusage of the termis vacuous because thesegroups have been substantiallandownersand ratherpowerfulin theirlocal or regional historically settings.In any realisticsense,the termSudra can not be applied to them,nor are theytypicallyincludedamongthe OBCs. Jaffrelot arguesthatthe riseoftheJanatapartyto nationalpowerin 1977 was a turningpointfortheOBCs. Since then,theshareofupper-castelegislatorsin North Indian assembliesand nationalparliamenthas,by and large,been decliningand that of the OBCs going up, the stateof Rajasthanbeing the onlyexception.In the first Lok Sabha (1952-57), Jaffrelot calculates,64 percentof North Indian Membersof Parliament(MPs) werefromthe uppercastesand only4.5 percentfromthe OBCs; by 1996, the formerproportionhad declinedto 30.5 percentand the latterrisento 24.8 percent. Jaffrelot withinthe sprawlingSudra category also showshow the contradictions have producedtwo different kindsof plebeianpoliticsin NorthIndia. For political mobilization,an urbanversusruralideologywas proposedby theredoubtableCharan Singh,and an upperversuslowercasteconstruction by Ram ManoharLohia. Charan Singh'swas a sectoralworldview.It subsumedthe lowercastesin a largerpolitical categoryoftheruralsector,in whichthelowercasteswerea clearmajority.His main demandswereeconomic:highercropand lowerinputpricesin agriculture, andgreater in thecountryside.11 In contrast, sincebothcitiesand villageshave public investment lowercastes,Lohia's ideologycut throughthe urban-rural sectorsas well as Hindu actionforthelowercasteswas Lohia'sprincipalthrustand a social society.Affirmative of state institutions-especiallythe bureaucracyand police-his restructuring primaryobjective(Lohia 1964). Afterseveralups and downs,the biggestvotariesof sectoralpoliticshave been defeatedin electoralpolitics. Nonpartypolitics is now their principal arena of and castehas trumpedsectorin plebeianpolitics.If demandsforhigher functioning, agriculturalpricesare expressedtoday,it is the lower-caste partiesthatprimarilydo rural so, not parties. 11For further details,seeVarshney (1995). 12 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY riseofOBCs, however,aretwocountervailing Checkingthefurther forces:Hindu nationalismand the disunitywithinthe OBCs. With an ideologicalstresson Hindu unityratherthancaste distinctions,the Hindu nationalistsseek to co-optOBCs in the larger"Hindu family";and new distinctionsare also gettinginstitutionalized betweenthe upperOBCs, such as the Yadavas, and the lowerOBCs, such as the Telis and Lodhas.These differences havealreadyunderminedtheOBC cohesionevidentat the timeof the Mandal agitationof the early1990s. It is notyetclear,saysJaffrelot, whetherthelowerOBCs will risefurther, oronly the upperOBCs will. But, at any rate,a reestablishment of uppercastedominance, he suggests,is now ratherunlikelyin NorthIndianpolitics.Politicalpowerin North India has moved downward.Even Hindu nationalists,the biggest proponentsof Hindu unity,areincreasingly caughtbetweengivinga greatershareofinternalpower to the OBCs and emphasizingHindu unityover caste considerations.The latter tendency,traditionallyunquestioned in Hindu nationalist politics, is being challenged.Fightingit is a newideologicalposture- "socialengineering" -proposed by somepartyideologues,who would rathergive OBCs morepowerand visibilityin the BJP. "Social engineering"is not anotherexpressionof vertical clientelism organizedunderupper caste leadership,but an attemptto build Hindu unityby lowercastesmoreequally. incorporating The New Plebeian Upsurge and Democracy Has the rise of lower castes in the North, now added to their southern The collectivejudgmentabove,as well as empowerment, changedIndiandemocracy? the view of severalothers,is thatIndia's democracyhas becomemoreinclusiveand participatory (Sheth1996; Nandy 1996; Varshney1998; Weiner 1997; Yadav 1996a and b, 1999). A relative professionalconsensus is building around Yadav's thatIndia is going thougha "seconddemocraticupsurge."The first characterization upsurge,forhim,was the beginningof the end of Congressdominancein the mid1960s. In a century-long perspective, however,it is perhapsfairto saythatthisis the fourthdemocraticupsurgein India. The rise of mass politics in the 1920s under Gandhi's leadership was the first,and the universalizationof franchiseafter independencethe second. Such judgments,ofcourse,havenotremaineduncontested. Even thosewho agree thatpowerhas decisivelymoveddown the caste hierarchy are unsureabout what it meansforthecountry's India's English-language democratichealthor longevity. press has, on the whole,bemoanedthe riseof the new plebeianpoliticians,holdingthem oftenresponsibleforthedeclineofpoliticalstandards.The anxiouschorusofeveryday howthelanguageofpoliticshas becomemore criticismhas acquiredstandardrefrains: coarseand thestylemorerough,comparedto thesophistication ofpoliticaldialogue and conductunderNear; how menof "dubiousprovenance"havetakenoverelectoral politics;and howthegovernmental stabilityofa previouserahasgivenwayto unstable and unrulycoalitions,in which mutual differences quickly turn into unseemly bickeringand intemperateoutbursts.Though rarelyopenlystated,the subtextof English-languagecommentary appearsto be that a democracymovingdownwards maywell be a poorerand shakierdemocracy. Such anxietyis genuinelyfeltand shouldnotbe lightlydismissed.It is notsimply a swan song of an anglicized,globally linked, upper-casteelite, dominatingthe IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 13 powerfulEnglish-language pressbut findingits politicaldeclinefrustrating. We do, however,need to put the anxietyin perspective. A large number of political theorists today, not simply the so-called lamentthe declineof moralvalues,or "civic virtue,"in all liberal communitarians, democracies.No currentlyfunctioningdemocracyin the world seems to have institutions or mechanismsin place to ensurea durablemoralor civic enhancement ofthepoliticallife.Democraticpoliticians,saythesetheorists, areincreasingly turning politics into a marketplace,paying attentionmerelyto the utilitariancalculus of routinepolitics: winning electionsregardlessof what it takes to do so; making promisesto citizensthatcannotbe fulfilled; "misbehaving"whilein office butseeking coverof legal principlesand technicalformalities. If the qualityof goals pursuedin politics becomes immaterial,these political theoristscontend,even procedurally correctdemocraticpolitics can only weaken the moral and civic fiberof nations. Democraciestodayare ceasingto be "civicrepublics";theyarebecoming"procedural republics"(Sandel 1996; Taylor1998). Lest it shouldbe believedthatsuchlamentis confinedonlyto theinsulatedivory towersof universities, in the press. considersome of the populardiscourse,reflected "How low can theygo?," moanedNorthAmerica'sleadingbusinessnewspaperin its editorial,reportingon campaignsin the U.S. forthe November1998 electionsand thecorruptelectoralpracticesstillfollowedin somepartsofthecountry: highlighting thelegitimacy (V)oterfraudis slowlyundermining ofmoreandmoreelections.... Sincealmostall statesdon'trequirea photoID, it is fairly easytovotein thename ofdeadpeople,voteifyouarean illegalalien,falsify an absentee ballotorvotemore thanonce. ... Twoyears ago,groupsusingfederal funds hundreds ofnon-citizens registered in OrangeCounty, California. . . . cameup with The HouseOversight Committee thenameof1499voterswhoshouldbe removed fromtherolls,butelection officials theLosAngeles claimit is toolateto purgethemfortoday'selection. Thismonth, identified submitted Country registrar 16,000phonyregistrations by twogroups alignedwiththeDemocratic Party. (The Wall StreetJournal, 3 November 1998) A decline Unvirtuouspolitics,in otherwords,is notspecificto Indiandemocracy. in moralityand a debasementofpoliticalpracticesand languageareindeedsignificant problemsfor any society,as they have been for India. But unless they entirely invalidatecitizen preferences, they do not amount to a negation of democracy. the latteris not the conclusionofIndia's English-languagepress.It is a Fortunately, whichwe mayall share,not an argumentthatdemocracyin India call forcorrection, has becomemeaningless. Democratic Authoritarianism? A second challenge to the view that India's democracyis becoming more is rathermoreradicalin conceptionand thrust.Simplyput,itsprincipal participatory claim is thatIndia's democracyis a sham.In Jalal(1995), we have themostdetailed statementof this view, thoughsofterversionscan also be foundin Bonner(1994), Brass(1990), Lele (1990), Shah (1990), and Vanaik (1990). Accordingto thisview,changesat the level ofelectionsand electedinstitutions are oflittleconsequenceso long as thesocialand economicinequalitiesofcivilsociety 14 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY remainunaltered,and the non-electedstate institutions, especiallythe bureaucracy and police,continueto act in an authoritarian mannervis-a-visthecitizens,muchas theyused to whenthe Britishruled.For democracyto functionin a real,notformal, sense,therehas to be greaterpriorequalityamong its citizens.A deeply unequal societycannotchecktheauthoritarian functioning ofthestatestructures and therefore cannothavea politythatis "really"democratic. "Democraticauthoritarianism," Jalal argues,is the best way to describeIndia's polity, and there are no fundamentaldifferences between India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, except at the level of political superstructure. All have profound socioeconomicinequalitiesand all haveinheritedinsensitive, colonialstatestructures in whichthe nonelectedinstitutions easilytrumpthe electedpowers-that-be: Thesimpledichotomy between democracy in Indiaandmilitary authoritarianism in Pakistan andBangladesh collapses as soonas onedelvesbelowthesurface phenomena ofpoliticalprocesses. . . . (P)ost-colonial IndiaandPakistanexhibitalternate forms ofauthoritarianism. Thenurturing oftheparliamentary form ofgovernment through themeticulous observance oftheritualofelectionsin Indiaenableda partnership between thepoliticalleadership andthenon-elected institutions ofthestatetopreside overa democratic authoritarianism. (Jalal1995,249-50) Thus,evenwhenmeticulously observed,electionsarebasicallya "ritual."At best, theycombine"formaldemocracyand covertauthoritarianism" (99). If societiesare unequal,thepoorwill inevitablybe manipulatedby thepoliticalelite: Unless capable of extendingtheirvotingrightsbeyondthe confinesof the institutionalized electoral arenastoan effective struggle againstsocialandeconomic exploitation, legalcitizensare morelikelyto be handmaids ofpowerful political thanautonomous manipulators agentsderiving concrete rewards fromdemocratic processes. (48) In its theoreticalanchorage,we should note,this kind of reasoningis not new. Commonlyassociatedwith Marx,Lenin,Gramsci,Mosca, and Pareto,it has a long lineage lastingovera century.The argumentsof Gramsciand Mosca are the most elaborate.12 Gramsci(1971) reasonedthatso long as the economicallypowerfulhad controloverthe culturalmeansofa society-its newspapers, its education,its artstheycould establisha hegemonyoverthe subalternclassesand essentiallyobfuscate thesubalternabouttheirowninterests. And Mosca (1939) arguedthatin democracies, giventheirmanyinequalities,dominationof a small elite was inevitable. For our discussionabout casteand democracy,thereare two levelsat whichthe claim about the emptinessof Indian democracycompelsattention:theoreticaland empirical.The keytheoreticalissue is: Should we considersocioeconomicequalitya fordemocracy? And sincea changein thesocialbaseofparties-to reflect precondition a closer correspondence betweenpartypolitics and India's caste structure-and a changein the compositionof stateinstitutionsthoughaffirmative action-to make the staterespondbetterto the needsof the deprived-are the two principalaims of lowercastepoliticians,thekeyempiricalquestionsare:Is theriseoflower-caste parties actionillusory? onlyformal,not real?And is affirmative '2Fora detailedtreatment, see Dahl 1989, ch. 19 IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 15 Is SocioeconomicEquality a Precondition forDemocracy? A theoretically defensiblenotion of democracyis not possible based on the exampleofSouthAsia, a regionin whichonlytwo countries-India and SriLankahave had the institutionsof democracy,formalor real,in place forany substantial lengthof time. Any reasonablesense of theorymeans that we should cast our net wider, especiallyif the larger universeis where most of the actually existing democracieshavehistorically existed.EitherSouthAsian materialscan be interpreted in theframework ofa larger,morehistorically embedded,democratictheory,or their empiricalspecificities can be used to modifythebroaderinsightsofdemocratictheory (Varshney1998). In and of themselves,South Asian instancesof democracycannot make democratictheory. In the leading textsof democratictheory(Dahl 1998, 1989, 1981, 1971), the two basic criteriaof democracyhave been: contestationand participation.The first principle,in effect,asks how freelydoes the politicaloppositioncontestthe rulers, and the secondinquireshow manygroupsparticipatein politicsand determinewho the rulersshould be. The firstprincipleis about liberalization;the second about inclusiveness (Dahl 1971, ch. 1). Contestationand participationdo not requiresocioeconomicequality;theymay affect,or be affectedby, inequality.Democratictheoristsexpectthat if sociallyor economicallyunequal citizensare politicallyequalized and ifthedeprivedconstitute a majorityof the electorate,theirpolitical preferences would, sooneror later,be reflected in who therulersareand whatpublicpoliciestheyadopt.By givingeveryone of priorresource-endowments, universalfranchise createsthe equal vote irrespective verticaldependence.In Europe,laborparties potentialmechanismsforundermining was extendedto the pushingforworkers'interests emergedin politics,oncefranchise workingclass. Anotherwell-knowntheoreticalpoint is germaneto a discussionof inequalities and democracy.If inequality,despitedemocraticinstitutions, comesin the way of a freeexpressionofpoliticalpreferences, suchinequalitymakesa politylessdemocratic, but it does not make it undemocratic. So long as contestationand participationare variable (expressedas "more or less"), not a available, democracyis a continuous dichotomous variable(expressedas "yes or no"). Variationsin degreeand dichotomies shouldbe clearlydistinguished.In theclassicformulation ofRobertDahl, theUnited a States was less of "polyarchy"(Dahl's preferredterm for an actually existing beforethecivilrightsrevolutionofthemid-1960s, thoughit can in future democracy) be evenmoredemocraticifinequalitiesat thelevelofcivilsocietycomedownfurther (Dahl 1971, 29). Similarly,by allowinga greatdeal of contestationbut restricting participationaccordingto genderand class,England in the nineteenthcenturywas less democraticthan it is today,but it was democraticnonetheless,certainlyby and participation, standards.Given contestation nineteenth-century greaterequality makes a politymore butgreater inand ofitself, doesnotconstitute certainly democratic, equality, Thereis no democracywithoutelections. democracy. The claims above are empirical,not normative.They are not a defenseof is betterthanhaving inequalities,nordo theyimplythathavinguniversalfranchise equality.Relativeeconomicequality,forexample,maywell be a value itself,and we may wish to defendit as such. But we should note thateconomicequalityand 16 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY democracyaredistinctcategories.Societieswithhighlevelsofeconomicequalitymay well be quite authoritarian: South Korea and Taiwan until the late 1980s, China under Mao, and Singaporetoday come to mind. And societieswith considerable economic inequalitymay have vibrantdemocracies:India and the U.S. are both believed to have a Gini Coefficient of 0.4-0.45, as opposed to a more equal Gini of 0.2-0.25 forthe pre-1985, authoritarian Coefficient South Korea and Taiwan."3 Preciselybecause economicequalityand democracyare analyticallydistinct,some people mayquite legitimatelybe democratsbut not believersin economicequality; othersmay believein democracyas well as economicequality;and still othersmay be democratsbut indifferent to thequestionofeconomicequality.A similarargument can also be made about social inequalities. In lightof the theoreticaldiscussionabove,let us now turnto India. Has Indian democracybecome more inclusiveor not? And hasn't greaterinclusion reduced socioeconomicinequalities?In case inequalitieshave come down as a consequenceof thepoliticalprocess,it will, in thetheoreticaltermsproposedabove,makeIndia more eventhoughan inabilityto reduceinequalitiesmorewill notmakeIndia's democratic, polityundemocratic. Are the OBCs an Elite Category? If "the so-calledotherbackwardcastes(OBCs) are in manyregionsthebetteroff farmersand peasant proprietorswho benefitedfrom the Zamindari (absentee landlordism)abolitionin the fifties"(Jalal 1995, 205), theirrisewould indeed not constitutea significant changein thepatternsof "social and economicexploitation." An old set of "exploiters"would simplybe replacedby a class onlyslightlyless rich and privileged.Are the OBCs an elite groupin the lattersenseof the term? To call the OBCs "better offfarmersand peasant proprietors"is a serious conceptualand empiricalerror,forit conflatesOBCs with "dominantcastes."Most OBCs are notdominantcastes.The latterterm,as alreadystated,representsthose have been groupswhich in the national-levelabstractionof a varnalcastehierarchy termedSudras,but fora whole varietyof regionalor local reasons,this termmakes no senseforthem.Their powerand statushas farexceededanythingthat the term Sudraimplies(Srinivas1966). The all-Indiahierarchy forgroups was simplyirrelevant of substantiallandownerssuch as the Jats, Patels, Kammas, Reddys, Nairs, and Marathas.Theyhavebeenmuchtoo powerfuland rich,eveniftheyarenotBrahmins, orVaishyas,thecustomary Kshatriyas, upperthreeHindu varnas/castes. Manyofthese castesdid indeed benefitfromthe abolitionof Zamindari,if the Zamindarisystem prevailedin theirareas.14 The dominantcastes and OBCs have some intersections-forexample, the Okkaligasand Lingayatsin Karnatakacountas both-but thetwoarenotoverlapping sets(Figure2). By and large,thecategory ofOBCs is equaltotheSudrasminusthedominant 0 and in a society, incomedistribution theGiniCoefficient 13Measuring rangesbetween 1. The closera country is to 1, themoreunequalit is,and thecloserto 0, themoreequal. GivensimilarGiniCoefficients, withhigherpercapitaincomes(USA) wouldhave countries thanthosewithlowerpercapitaincomes farlesspoverty (India). 14This, however, wouldnotbe trueoftheRyotwari areas,wheretheMarathas, Reddys, Kammas,andPatelshavebeendominant fora verylongtime. IS INDIA BECOMING Castes\ about 6.3% MORE DEMOCRATIC? 17 e.g. Okkaligas, Lingayats Hindu OBCs 43.7%/o Figure2. OBCs and DominantCastes. castes.The dominantcastesin northernand westernIndia-the Jatsand Patels,for example-have in factopposedthe extensionof reservations to the OBCs. Can the argumentabout therelativeelitismoftheOBC categorybe extendedto anyOBCs at all? The upperOBCs, suchas theYadavas,areindeedpeasantproprietors and also beneficiaries of Zamindariabolition.Much like the Patels in Gujaratat the beginningof the twentiethcentury,the Yadavas have achievedsufficient upward mobilitysince the green revolution,and have used theirnumbersto considerable effectin a democracy.One can indeed say that theyare fastbecominga dominant caste,and will in all probabilitybe viewedas such in the comingdecades. But the lowerOBCs, such as the Lodha, Pal, Mali, Teli and Maurya,are not as privileged. This bifurcationof the OBC categoryraises an importantquestion: what proportionof the OBCs can be called economicallydeprived?Though landholding data forcasteshas notbeencollectedfordecadesand therefore preciseestimatescannot be given,simplecalculations-combiningtheseparatecasteand landholdingstatistics in an empiricallydefensibleway-can show that a majorityof the lowerOBCs are mostlikelyto be marginalfarmers (owninglessthan2.5 acresofland)orsmallfarmers (less than5 acres). In 1993-94, about 36 percentofIndia was belowthepovertyline (Ravallionand Datt 1996; The World Bank 1997). Therewould virtuallybe no OBCs in thisgroup if we assumed that (a) all scheduledcastes (16 percentof India's population),all scheduledtribes(8 percent),and all Muslims (12 percent)were below the poverty line; and that (b) all upper caste householdswere above it. Both assumptions,we know,are wrong.First,as Chandraand Corbridgeshowin thissymposium,boththe scheduledcastesand tribesnow have a middleclass. Moreover,thereis a substantial Muslim middle class in India: especiallyin southernand westernIndia fromwhere migrationto Pakistanwas minuscule,but also in northernIndia wherea Muslim middleclass has reappearedafterthe late 1960s. Let us supposeforthe sake ofargumentthatof the 36 percentpopulationbelow the povertyline, nearly30 percent(of the total) comes fromthe scheduledcastes, 18 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY tribes,Muslims and a tiny numberalso fromthe upper castes. With this more reasonablesupposition,about 5-6 percentofthepopulationfallingbelowthepoverty line would consistof the OBCs. Sincethepovertyline is primarily nutritional in thedevelopingworld-meaning thatbelow the line one could not even buy enoughfoodto get a basic minimumof calories (The World Bank 1997, 3)-another 15-20 percent of the country's population,widelybelievedto be onlyslightlyabove thepovertyline,would also be quite poor.The OBCs thuswould constituteat least20-25 percentofthepopulation thatis below,or just above, the povertyline. That, in turn,would make up 50-55 percentof Hindu OBCs (constituting, as theydo, 43 percentof Indian population). We also knowthatmarginalfarmers, havingless than2.5 acresofland,constitute about 50 percentofall landedhouseholdsin India (Visariaand Sanyal1977).15 Thus, puttingthe caste and landholdingdata together,we can safelyinferthat marginal farmersconstitutean overwhelming proportionof OBC households.Even afterthe in Indian agriculturehas not reachedsuch greenrevolution,the level ofproductivity a level thatwe can justifiablycall theselatterclasses"peasantproprietors or better 16 In agrarianpolitical economy,the terms"peasantproprietors" offfarmers." and "betterofffarmers"do not indicatedebilitatingeconomicdisadvantage,but rather considerableadvantage.These are termsthatcannotbe appliedto marginaland small farmers. In short,to say that peasant proprietorsor better-off farmersbenefitedfrom Zamindariabolitionis correct;but to concludethatpeasantproprietors and better-off are by and largethe OBCs is a nonsequitur.Most lowerOBCs are not only farmers sociallysubalternbut also economicallyso, and onlyslightlybetterin both respects thanthescheduledcastes.That is why,as Jaffrelot argues,a keyquestionincreasingly is: can the lower OBCs be incorporatedwith the scheduledcastes in a BSP-led coalition,as opposedto partiesled by the upperOBCs? Is Affirmative Action Illusory? action leads to the coTheoreticallyspeaking,it is possible that affirmative optationof a tinylower caste and scheduledcaste elite into the existingvertical withoutanywidelydispersedwelfare-gains fortheircastes.Afterall, India's structure, affirmative actionconcernsonlygovernment jobs, not theprivatesector.In 1992, of the nearly300 millionpeople in the work-force, only20 millionwerein the public sector.One can therefore actionin thepublic sectorwill directly say thataffirmative benefitonly a small proportionof the deprived,and one can, in principle,suggest that "access to education,governmentemploymentand state patronagebased on theautonomyofthe reservations mayin facthavehamperedratherthanstrengthened moreprivilegedand talentedmembersofthescheduledcastesand tribes"(Jalal1995, 209-10; also Gokhale 1990, and Sachchidananda1990). Is thereevidence that this theoreticalpossibilityholds up empirically?This actionforthe questioncan, in turn,be brokendown into two parts:(a) affirmative "5These havenotsignificantly proportions changedin thelasttwodecades-atanyrate, nottowards ofthisparalargerholdings which,iftrue,wouldhavechangedtheconclusions graph. '6Onlyin Punjabis it possibleto generate a surpluson a 2-3 acrefarmtoday(Chaddha 1986). IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 19 OBCs (in additionto the scheduledcastes),which has takenthe formof quotas in muchofSouthIndia sincethe 1920s; and (b) affirmative actionforthescheduled castes, implementedall overIndia since 1950, to whichthe OBCs have been added outside the South only after1990. Clearly,it is far too early to evaluate the impact of affirmative action forthe OBCs beyondsouthernIndia. For the scheduledcastes, however,our empiricaljudgmentscan be nationalin scope. In southernIndianstates,overand abovethescheduled castequota,closeto 50 percent the have for of stategovernment jobs been reserved OBCs in the stateof Karnataka since the 1960s; in Tamil Nadu, the OBC quota was 25 percentto begin with,and was increasedto over50 percentlater;in Kerala,theOBC quota has been40 percent; and in AndhraPradesh,25 percent.What has been the impactof such large-scale reservations? Have the nonelectedstateinstitutions changed? No detailedbreakdownof statebureaucracies, accordingto caste,is availablefor South India, but thereis no mystery leftabout the results.It is widelyknownthat many Brahminssimply migratedout of South India as the OBC quotas were instituted.Once access to governmentjobs, their traditionalstronghold,was substantiallyreduced, some Brahmins went into the private sector, becoming businessmenforthe firsttime,but a largenumbermigratedto Delhi, Bombay,the UnitedKingdom,and theUnitedStates.Indeed,so largewas theflightand so capable were the Brahminsof gettingjobs anywherethat theirmigrationto, and rise in, Bombayled to a seriousanti-southern movementin the late 1960s and early1970s (Katzenstein1979). By now,bureaucracies ofsouthernstateshavebecomeremarkably, thoughnot entirely,non-Brahmin.17Moreover,thoughsystematicempiricalstudies have not been undertaken,it is also widelyrecognizedthat the South is governed actionin betterthanNorthIndian stateslike Bihar and UP. Large-scaleaffirmative does not appear to have underminedgovernancein the bureaucraticrecruitment South. Let us now turnto the impactof reservations forthe scheduledcastes.Kanshi Ram, the leading scheduledcaste politicianof India todayand the leader of BSP, actionhas "nowdone enoughforthescheduledcastes,"noting arguesthataffirmative thatin thestateofUP, of the 500 officers in theeliteIndianAdministrative Service, 137 are fromthe scheduledcastes(Mendelsohnand Vicziany1998, 224). However, affirmative action,Kanshi Ram adds, is "usefulfora cripplebut a positivehandicap forsomeonewho wantsto runon his own two feet";instead,he says,the scheduled castesshouldfocuson winningpowerthroughelections,for"the captureofpolitical the compositionof the bureaucratic elite" (224). powerwill automaticallytransform action leading to coCompared to the theoreticalpossibilityof affirmative the claim of India's leadingscheduledcastepolitician optation,noticehow different is. Affirmative action,in his judgment,is alreadyquite considerable,thoughit is at the same time an inadequate tool for empowerment.In a new sign of political affirmative confidence, action,he says,is forthe disabled,whereasit is time now to play the game of democraticpoliticsmoreequally. Finally,his politicsare premised upon the assumption that nonelected institutionsdo not trump the elected will transform thebureaucracy and institutions; rather,capturingelectedinstitutions It is the electedinstitutionsof India thatset the police much morefundamentally. thefaculties ofScienceandEngineering in manyAmerican universities, as wellas 17And American software companies, havea lotofSouthIndianBrahmins! 20 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY toneforthenonelectedstateinstitutions ofbureaucracy and police,nottheotherway round.18 Afterall is said and done,the mosttellingevidenceof the impactofaffirmative actionon the scheduledcastesmaywell be indirect, not direct.Affirmative action,as Chandraand Corbridgeargue,has produceda new counterelite, which has started leading political mobilization.Chandra shows that scheduled caste government officers, beneficiaries ofaffirmative action,financedtheBSP and wereitsearlyleaders. Rather than leading to a verticalco-optation,affirmative action, by producinga scheduledcasteelite,appearsindirectly to havefacilitatedhorizontalmobilization.A hamperingof autonomyfollowsdirectlyfromverticalclient-patron links,not from horizontalmobilization. Deeper,but Unfinished'9 None of the above shouldbe construedto mean thatIndia can not be made still moredemocratic.Thereis no doubt thatmanybattlesforsocial dignityand equality forthe lower castes still lie ahead, even in South India (Bouton 1985); and so do strugglesforwomen and minorities.The continuinghostilitybetweenthe upper OBCs and scheduledcastesin severalpartsofIndia is anotherexampleofan unfinished social transformation. However,the papers here,as well as earlierstudies(Frankel 1990; Omvedt 1993), show that democracyhas alreadyenergizedIndia's plebeian orders.Theyhavechallengedthe traditionalformsofclientelistic politicsand started fightingforgreaterpower. Whetheror noteconomic inequalitieshavegone down,socialinequalitiescertainly have,evenforthescheduledcastes(Mendelsohnand Vicziany1998). This is a serious achievement.If in South India it was not possible forEzhavas to walk on public streets,ifit was impossibleforNadar womento covertheirbreastswhenwalkingin frontof higher caste Hindus, if scheduled castes in much of India could not traditionallyhave access to schools,public transport,and public wells, then the emergenceofthenotionofbasicdignityamong,and for,thelowercastesin thepublic eventhougheconomicinequalitiesmaynot spheremustbe takenextremely seriously, have lessenedto the same degree.Thereis no uniquelyacceptablereasonto suppose thateconomicinequalitiesmustbe givenprimacyoversocial inequalities.The battle forsocial dignityis being increasingly won in the public sphere. By all accounts,India's democracyhas made such social victoriespossible. In is higher India,unlikemanyotherdemocraciesin theworld,theincidence ofvoting among thepoorthanamongtherich,amongthelesseducated thanamongthegraduates, in thevillages thanin thecities(Yadav 1996a and b, 1999). The deprivedseem to havegreaterfaith in India's electionsthan the advantaged.Unless we assume short-sightedness, the subalternseem to thinkthatthe electoralmechanismsof democracycan be used to fightsocioeconomicdisadvantages. l8Jalal(1995) arguestheopposite.During thecolonialperiod,thenonelectedinstitutions wereindeedmorepowerfulthantheinstitutions based on limitedelections.The reasonsimply was thatthe formerinstitutions wereBritish-dominated, whereasthe lattersaw manyelected Indiansat thetop.Universal-franchise democracyhasreversedthecolonialrelationship between the electedand the nonelectedinstitutionsin India. 19This sectionhas been inspiredby discussionsof Americandemocracyand its achievements.Indeed,it comesveryclose to the last paragraphofa greatbook on Americanpolitics: "Criticssay thatAmericais a lie becauseits realityfallsso shortofits ideals.Theyarewrong. Americais nota lie; it is a disappointment. But it can be a disappointment onlybecauseit is also a hope" (Huntington1981, 262). IS INDIA BECOMING MORE DEMOCRATIC? 21 It should also be noted that many scholarswho accept these claims have nonethelessbeen quite criticalof some otheraspectsof Indianpolity.But we should fromthe claim thatIndia's democracyis a specifyhow theircriticismsare different sham.The threemostcommoncriticismsare: (1) That a seriouscrisisof ungovernability has arisendue to increasingpolitical participation and theinabilityofthestateto respondadequatelyto therisinggroups and demands(Kohli 1991). (2) That India's politicalelite has focusedfartoo much on narrowidentitieson theone handand purelyeconomicgoalson theother,but fartoo littleon usingpublic policy to expand social opportunitiesforthe deprived(Dreze and Sen 1995). (By "social," I might add, Dreze and Sen primarilymean educationand health,not everydaydignityand ritualstatus,the sensein whichthe termhas been used in this ofIndiandemocracyis undoubtedlypoorat the essay.Though thesocialperformance level of educationand health,its social performance at the level of everydaydignity and respect,as arguedhere,has been rathersubstantial.) (3) That thereis nothingunnaturalaboutthepoliticiansmakinguse ofidentities in democraticpolitics,but that does not explainwhy India's politicianshave paid such inadequate attentionto issues of public policy in general,bothconcerning educationand healthon the one hand and incomeson the other(Bhagwati 1993; Weiner1991, 1986). Nothingin India's democracy precludeda switchfromdirigisme to a market-orientation, as was demonstrated in 1991, nordoes democracyruleout a at universalprimaryeducationand public health,as SriLankaand some greatereffort Indian statesshow. Failuresof public policyhave less to do with democracyper se, more with the ideologyand mind-setof India's political and bureaucraticelite (Bhagwati 1993; Sachs,Varshneyand Bajpai 1999; Weiner 1986). Quite different ideologieshave been,and can be, pursuedin a democracy. Moreover,sensiblewelfare-enhancing public policiesdo not alwayshave to wait forpopularpressuresto build up; theycan emergewithan ideologicalchangefrom above.20Though the subaltern,throughthe electoralprocess,have not so farpressed India's decision-makers forbetterincomes,educationand health,only foreveryday dignityand respect,such a lack of pressureon the formerobjectivesdid not dictate relativeinaction,or lack of boldness,on thepartof the government. India's greatest failureis one ofimaginationand awarenesson thepartofthepoliticaland bureaucratic elite. Notice theimplicationsofthethirdcritique.It acceptsthatelectionshavea real, not simplyformaland ritualistic,value and yetit claimsthatifpopulardemands were orifthestateresponses were,the resultsofIndia's democracywould be so much different more impressive.The admittedlyunremarkablefunctioningof the Indian state in enhancingeconomic,educational,and healthopportunitiesforits massesis viewed not as a negation of democracy,but a problem analyticallyseparable and one attributable to eliteideologies.Fora balancedrecord,suchfailuresmustbe contrasted with the success of India's democracy,reflectedin rising participationand inclusivenesson the one hand and victoriesat the level of social dignityand respect on the other.By privilegingnumbersand giving freedomto organize,democracy 20The shiftinIndia'sagricultural policyinthemid-1960sis anexample(Varshney 1995); so isaffirmative actionenshrined inIndia'sconstitution. Bothcameintoforce without a popular movement in favor ofeither. 22 ASHUTOSH VARSHNEY has become the biggestenemyof the hierarchiesand degradationsof India's caste system. Conclusion Insteadof arguingthatonlyrelativeequalitycan producea democracy,a much more empiricallygrounded claim would be that democracycan help reduce inequalities,at least social if not economic.Understandinghow this happenedin South India in the 1950s and 1960s is increasinglya necessityfor a deeper of contemporary understanding NorthIndia. Not onlyhave socialhumiliationsgone in the South,but thereis a consensusthatSouth India is on the down significantly wholeless unequal todaythantheHindi-speakingNorth(as well as bettergoverned). 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