Hzologzcal journal of the Lznnean Society (1989), 38: 239-255. With 9 figures Morphological variation of species through time B. MICHAUX Euolulionary Genelics Labornlory, ~ o o l o g yDepartment, UniuerszQ Bag, A ~ c k l u n d ,New zealand OJ' Auckland, Private Recezurd 16 A u ~ p s 11988, a t c e p d f i r publztnlzon 10 1,ebiuar)I I989 Ten measurements, taken from each oi' 7UO shells or h u r biologically distinct shallow marine gastropod species, were uscd to define thr appr(ipriatc phcnotypcs in multidirncnsiorial space. Canonical discriminant analysis was perl'ormcd on thr da ta arid a set of allocatory rules was drrivrd. These allocatory rules, derived from extant specimens, werr than applird t o 644 fossil specimens ol thrcc of these biological species. Fossil individuals occupy the appropriate phenotypic space as defiiied by their modern descendants. 'I'he variation of fossil sample- nieaiib about the modern nieans is illustrated. This variation is in the form of oscillations around the modern mean values arid i s corrclatcd witti climate. 'I'he distinrtion bctwwn taxonomic and biological spccies is discussed. 'l'hr rcsults 01' a number of previous studies are rr-examined in the light of this discussion. I t is argucd that bioloSica1 groupings can only be reliably dotcrminrd when the appropriate da ta are available for extant organisms. Extant organisms, which have good fossil records, should thercfbrc fi)mm the basis of paleontological cvolutionary studies. KEY WORDS: species - Morphological s t taxonomic species. ~ multivariate morphological analysis ~ /lrna/da ~ biological CONTENTS Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Materials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Modern specimens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Fossil specimens . Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Derivation ol' canonical discriminant functions for the modern data . . . . . Allocation of fossil shells to species groups by modern canonical discriminant furictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Results Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Discussion. Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 241 241 242 243 243 244 244 246 252 254 254 IN 1 KODU C1 I O N T h e theory of punctuated equilibria (Eldredge & Gould, 1972; Gould & Eldredge, 1977) represents a taxic rather than a transformational approach to evolution. Eldredge (1979) used the term taxic to describe a theoretical approach which stresses that evolution is not simply change in form (the transformational approach), but rather that change in form is associated with 0024-4066/89/ 1 10239 + 1 7 $03 00j0 239 0 1989 7 he Llnrlran So(ic ty of 1.01idt~1i 240 B. MlCHAUX speciation events. Species are not viewed as arbitrary divisions of a genealogical continuum but as discrete evolutionary units. In rather stark terms speciation is seen as the cause of form change, not as a consequence of form change. Biological concepts of species (Mayr, 1942; Paterson, 1980, 1985) stress that species have a biological reality which may or may not be reflected by morphology. The taxonomic concept of species relies solely on morphological criteria. Paterson (1981) has drawn attention to the dangers o f confusing these two views of species which are embedded in distinct conceptual frameworks. In terms of the taxic and transformational approaches discussed above, the former uses a biological species concept whilst the latter employs the taxonomic concept. Eldredge & Gould (1972) maintaincd that some proportion of (biological) species show little changc in form through time and those changes that do occur are oscillations about a ‘mean’ phenotype. T h e research programme of punctuationists has thus becn to demonstrate stasis in (biological) species through time. A number of detailed studies have been reported which confirm that this phenomenon does exist (e.g. Gould, 1969; Eldredge & Gould, 1972; Coope, 1979; Williamson, 1981; Cronin, 1985; Stanley & Yang, 1987). Unfortunately, these studies have a methodological weakness in their attempts to demonstrate the biological reality of the species concerned. It is usually regarded as sufficient to base fossil identification on the taxonomic criteria by which the study species or their descendants are recognized. If this is how modern species are recognized, so the argument goes, then it is legitimate to apply these criteria to the identification of fossil species. ‘This approach, in which morphological characters that enable taxa to be identified are the basis of the study, has been criticized as biasing results towards stasis because other variable characters (that are taxonomically utiinformativc) are ignored (e.g. Levinton & Simon, 1980). Levinton & Simon (1980) are also critical of the circularity inherent in delimiting fossil species on the basis of morphological and palaeontological evidence, and then using this evidence to describe patterns of change a t thc species level in the fossil record. Criticism can also be made of the assumption that taxonomic criteria are necessarily adcquate to identify (biological) species (Lambert, Michaux & White, 1987). In some cases taxonomic criteria may identify biological groupings, but this is not always the case. Indeed, when detailed species identification is required, as in biological control programmes, taxonomic criteria have been found to be inadequate (e.g. Patcrson, 1964; Richardson, Ellison & Averhoff, 1982). The relationship between morphology and biological discreteness is not clear cut particularly for groups that are morphologically rather simple. Problems can arise when a single biological species exhibits considerable morphological variation, particularly when morphs are distributed allopatrically. There are no reliable criteria to distinguish between this case and that of two allopatric biological species with Overlapping morphologies. Perhaps more important is the case where cryptic groupings exist within a single taxonomically defined species. In this case a number of biological species remain unrecognized. For these ary to demonstrate that taxonomically defirled fossil species are biologically discrete, rather than to assume they are, or to ignore the issue altogether. ‘This issue seems to me to have considerable thcoretical importance for any hypothesis regarding the evolutionary history of biological species. Before MORPHOLOGICAL VAKIA’I ION OF SPECIES THROUGH I IME 24 1 any process is invoked to account for a pattern, that pattern must be established, and the pattern can only be established when the units by which the pattern is recognized have been justified both theoretically and empirically. Vrba (1984) has made use of morphological elements of a species’ male-female communication system to confirm biological discreteness, but this method is obviously limited to species which have visible morphological characters associated with this communication system. A more general method is suggested in this paper, namely that studies of form change be concentrated on species that not only have extensive fossil records but that are also extant. Using extant species does not, of course, remove all doubts about the biological status of fossil taxa-palaeontological data are unlikely ever to prove so definitive. What the method outlined below does do is to allow species to be defined independently of both morphology and palaeontological evidence, and to demonstrate the biological discreteness of the extant taxa. MATERIALS Modern specimens The four species used in this study belong to the marine gastropod genus Amalda (Olividae: Ancillinae) . These species, A. auslralis, A. depressa, A . mucronata and A. novaezelandiae, live around the coasts of the North Island and northern part of the South Island of New Zealand. The genus has been present in this region since the upper Eocene, and the four extant species since the MiocenePliocene boundary. These four species have been shown to be biologically discrete because of the absence of genetic hybrids when combinations of species occur in sympatry. This lack of intcrbreeding is seen as a consequence of members of a species recognizing only those individuals which share the same specific-mate recognition system (SMRS) as mates (Paterson, 1985 and references therein). Despite considerable morphological variation in both size and shape, each of the three species used in this study are single species with no dctectable cryptic groupings. Full details or the electrophoretic study of these species are provided in Michaux ( 1 987). T,ive specimens (671) of these four species were collected for alloaymic analysis from a number of sites throughout the known geographic range by the author ( A .australis = 327, A. depressa = 58, A. mucronala = 134, A. novaezelandiae = 152). There are no external morphological characters that can be used to distinguish juveniles from adults, therefore all size classes were included in proportion to their occurrence in each geographic sample. The shclls of these individuals, which were supplemented with 29 museum specimens of A. mucronala, were photographed in ventral aspect (plane of aperture parallel to the camara lens). From each negative, which included a scale (in mm), a x 2.5 photograph was reproduced. ‘len measurements, shown in Fig. 1, wcre taken from each photograph with dividers or parallel ruler, and the results recorded to the nearest 0.5 mm. Measurements were recorded once with a true-scale precision of 0.2 mm. This is equivalent to 0.6y0 and 1 .8s/0 of mean shell length for the largest and smallest species respectively. All samples are lodged in the paleontological collection, Geology Department, IJniversity of Auckland. Gastropod shell measurerncnt is a task fraught with problems. For Amalda the 242 B. MTCHALX Figurr 1. Dctails of morphometric incasurcmrnts rinpluyed ill this study. major difficulties are few identifiablc homologous points and thc presence of extensive spire and parietal callus which obscures all sutures. The measurements were chosen because they could he measured between identifiable homologous points, they varied or had been reported to vary between the spccies, and finally that taken in sum they gave the best possible description orshape. H1 and W1 give overall dimension, H2 and H3 are shape descriptors. H4 approximates spire height which cannot be measured because callus obscures the body whorl suture. W2 and H5 measure aperture size and give an estimation of aperture shape (=shape of the generating curve sensu Raup (1964)). W3 and H6 measure columella size and shape. W4 is a linear approximation of the angle at which the generating curve is inclined away from the coiling axis. Fossil specimen5 Fossil specimens (662; A . auslralis = 243, A. mucronata = 253 and A. nouaezelandiae = 166) were measured as dccribed above. Fossil A. depremt specimens were not common enough and were excluded from this part of the study. Five hundred and twelve specimcris came from the Plio-Pleistocene sequence at Waiiganui on the west coast of the North Island of New Zealand. Full details of the stratigraphy of this sequence are provided by Fleming (1953) and a summary is given in Table 1. A further 150 specimens of similar age from MOKPHOLOGICAL VARIA’I’ION OF SPECIES THROUGH nm 243 A ABLE 1. A synopsis of the stratigraphy of the Plio-Pleistocene sequence at Wanganui. Based on Flemming ( 1953). Formation 1 = Brunswirk formation, subsequent formations listed in Flcmming ( 1953) arc numbered sequentially Currelation Plristocrnr Pliocenr Stagr Symbol Hawera Castlrcliffian We Nukumaruan Wn Waitotaran Ww Group Pouaki Shakespeare Kai-iwi Okehu Maxwell Nukumaru Okiwa Papararigi Formation 1-2 %I4 15-2 I 22-26 27-32 33-38 39-45 46-49 the east coast of the North Island were also measured. All specimens are lodged with the Geological Survey of New Zealand, Lower Hutt, Wellington. M E’I’HODS Canonical discriminant analysis is a multivariate ordination (dimensionreducing) technique which can be used to ‘describe’ shape. A specimen’s shape (i.e. phenotype) is defined by the numeric values for the variables measured. In this example, where ten such variables were used, the phenotype is described by the specimen’s position in ten-dimensional space. The species identity of each specimen was recorded. This identification was based on the morphological and genetic data that were obtained from the living specimens described above. The positions of members of each species in this ten-dimensional space reflect the phenotypic relationship between species, the degree of overlap between species’ phenotypes, and within-species variability. These important characteristics remain abstract unless the information is reduced in dimensionality. Canonical discriminant analysis, like all dimension-reducing techniques, is designed to reduce the spatial information of the data to fewer dimensions with the minimum amount of distortion. It does this by creating new axes, called canonical variates axes, which are combinations of the original variables. The first axis is constructed so that it accounts for the maximum amount of variance in the original data. The second axis, which is orthogonal to the first, is constructed such that it explains the maximum of the remaining variance, and so on. With n groups there are n - 1 canonical axes. Depending on the cumulative proportion of variance explained, the first two canonical axes arc usually sufficent to separate the groups and graphically show their phcnotypic relationship to each other. A more detailed and rigorous account of canonical discriminant analysis may be found in Owen & Chmielewski (1985) and references therin. Derivation of canonical discriminant function.! f o r the modern data As discussed by Owen & Chmielewski, the twin goals of canonical discriminant analysis are allocation and separation (sensu Geisser ( 1977)). Allocation, which was the major goal of this study, refers to the classification of a datum into one of the groups recognized a priori. In this study the a priori groups B. hlICHAUX 244 recognized were the biological species already described. T h e groups were also confirmed by principal component analysis which is an ordination technique that does not assume group structure in the data (PROC PRINCOMP, SAS User’s Guide: Statistics, 1982). l‘hc canonical discriminant €unctions, which were used to allocate probablility estimates for a given datum belonging to each of the groups, were generated by PROC CANDISC (SAS User’s Guide: Statistics, 1982). ‘The data sets of the four modern species were combined and divided into two sets (odd and even observations). One set was used to generate the allocation rules and the other to test the calibration of these rules. As both sets gave similar allocation results, the combined data set was used to generate the final rules. l h e probability of a datum belonging to a group depends on its position relative to the mean values of the groups. T h e datum’s position is in turn dependent on the contribution of the original variables to the new canonical axis. This contribution is a product of a variable’s coefficient of a canonical axis’ eigenvector and the datum’s numerical value for that variable minus the grand mean for that variable. The contribution of all variables is summed and defines a point for a given datum on that canonical axis. l‘he interpretation of the canonical axes (CAs) follows from the magnitudes and signs of each variable’s canonical coefficient. Individuals that score highly on CAl are large slim shells with relatively large apertures. Individuals that have low scores on this axis tend to be smaller and wider. However, as the values for the variables in this region of the graph are close to the grand mean values, separation of A. australis, A. depressa and A. novaezelandine is poor, despite A. auslralis and A . nouaeselandiae generally being easy to separate in the field on the basis of length and width. ‘lhe second canonical axis is dominated by the coefients of‘ shell width ( W l ) , aperture width (W2) and columella length (Hfi). Wide shells with relatively wider apertures and longer columellas score highly on this axis. The summary statistics of these canonical axes are provided in ‘Table 2. Allocation of‘,fossil shells to species groups by modern canonical discriminant functions Canonical scores for the fossil data were generated using the eigcrivalue coefficients derived from the modern data. These scores have been plotted in Figs 3, 4 & 5. The circles represent 9504 and 99% confidence surfaces based on the modern data. The radii of these circles were calculated by (x2)’r2,where has 2 degrees of freedom and the appropriate confidence value. Owen & Chmielewski ( 1985) have recently discussed the sub.ject of constructing confidence ellipses around canonical means. ‘lhey suggest a n alternative method based on the output from a principal component analysis on the canonical scores. Readers should refer to this paper for details. Such confidence ellipses were constructed around the species’ means, b u t as these ellipses were quite circular and of similar dimensions to the confidence circles, these latter representations were employed in Figs 3 , 4 & 5. x2 KESULI‘S I he positions of the four species’ modern means and 95(% confidence surfaces are given in Fig. 2. T h e allocation results are given in Table 3 . The allocation 7 7 M O R P H O L O G I C A L VAR IAT ION OF SPECIES THROCGH T I M E 245 TABLE 2. Summary statistics of the canonical axes ~ ~ ~~ ~~~ A. Distarice matrix for pairwise combinations of the species. T h e upper figure is Mahalonobis’ D, the distance bctwern species’ means in full dimensional spare. T h e lower figure is the distance in rcduced space il. australis A . australit A . m ucronata A . nouaezelandtae A . depres.ra x A . muscronata A. nouaezelandiae A . depressa x 4.64 4.64 2.67 2.60 2.17 2.25 5.26 5.25 5.72 5.58 3.95 3.79 x Variance ratio OjVariance explained F statistic h o b > !I 3.66 1.35 0.23 69.8 25.8 4.4 91.6 51.1 18.6 0 0 0 X B. Variancc ratios CA 1 CA2 CA3 results for the modern specimens (where identification of species is based on characters in addition to gross phenotype) confirms observations. It is not always easy to separate some A. auslralis and A. depressa specimens, and large A. austra1i.r shells would be difficult to identify with certainty if shell colour was absent. The allocation of fossil specimens shows a comparable pattern. Two differences are CAI A. mucronafa 0 A. ausfra/is o 4, novaeze/andiae v A. depressa -6 1 Figitrr 2. Positions of the mean canonical variare axcs scorcs I c r rnodrrn Antaldn aurlralic, A . rnucrunata, I!. deprnsa and A. nouaezrlandiae. Circlcs rcprcsent 95”<1confidcncr sut-lacc.~. 246 U. MICHAUX TABLE 3. Allocation results from canonical discriminant functions. Rcsults arc perccntagcs of correct classification. ’Thc rows are classified into thr columns, thus 85yz;, ol‘ modern A . azistmlis are classifird 21s A. azistm-alis, 4(?i1as A. r n ~ ~ r ~ and ~ a l a11li,as A. deflresJa. Area 1 =Wanganui, Arca 2=east coast North Island c1asaifird .: . a s j N Sprcies ~~~~ 11. azistrali.c A . rnucronaia A . noanezvlandifle A . dekre.i.sa A. auJlralis 8. mucronata A. norueerlandiae A. australis A. rnucrimata A. nouarzelandiue Agc . ~ 327 163 152 58 143 135 117 50 50 50 .I. au.ctrahc A . niucronala A . noi~aezrliinclinr A. drl,rrs.\a Asra Modern Modcsn Modern Modern l’lio-Holo Plio-Plcist Plrist Plrist PI& l’lrisc ~~~~~ 85 2 1 ~ 98 1 911 95 5 1 1 1 2 2 2 ni 3 I6 84 6 12 . II 4 16 95 6 14 94 I .5 2 1.5 78 2 88 apparent. ‘lhe first of these is the higher percentage of A . (iu.rLrdii.s shells misclassifed a s A. rnucronata, which is a consequence of the highcr proportion of larger A. auslralis shells in the fossil collections. The s( lnd difference is the higher percentage of misclassification of A . novneselandine individuals from 110th fossil collections as A. auslralis. Inspection of Fig. 5 reveals that the mean value ne for these fossil collections lies to thc right of the modern A . n o u u e ~ e l ~ n ~mean, and hence closer to the A . nusLrali.r. mean. This results in a highcr proportion of fossil A. nouaeselandiae specimens being misclassified. The positions of individual fossil specimens on the two canonical axes are shown in Figs 3, 4 & 5. These plots have been included l o visually dernonstratc that individual fossil specimens plot within the phenotypc space defined by thc appropriate modern biological species. Although the allocatory rules demonstrate this algebraically the programme used will allocate any datum, no matter how distant, to one of the n priori classes. ‘I’hus all points ha^ heen visualized. The majority of all points lie within the confidence surfaces of the respective means. Those that lie outside show distibutions and ranges similar to modern specimens. For fossil A . mucronata samples (Fig. 4) the proportion of larger shells is greater than in the modern samples, and it is these shell which tend to lie outside the confidence surfaces. Within individual stratigraphic groups the number o f these points do not appear to be correlated with time. ‘lhis also applies to fossil A. auslrnlis samples (Fig. 3 )) although for this species the confidence surfaces seem to more accurately account for variability. For A. novaezelandiae the Confidence surface is clearly overestimated for both modern and fossil samples (Fig. 5 ) . The individual stratigraphic group means arc plottccl against tinic in Fig, 6 . This graph shows the distribution of sample mcans in phenotypic space through time. All the fossil mean values lie close to the respective modern mcans whicli have been prqjected back i n t o time as lines parallel to the time axis. ‘lhe agc values on this axis are only approximate. C:ONCX,USIOhS This study demonstrates that fossil members of threp biologically distinct species fall within the range of variation that ir exhibited b y extant mcmhery oL 247 B. MICHAUX 248 A. Shakespeare group C. Kai-iwi group 8. Shakespeare group D. Okehu, Okiwa and Paparangi CAI 10- E. CAI Figure 4. Individual canonical variatr axcs scows Tor Iossil Amnldn nrzicronntn. 'l'lir circlcs reprcscnt 9.?"/;, and 99'),, confidence surfaccs calcn1;itcd from modern A . mucionnlu caiionical 1 aridlc scorcs. A-D from Wanganui, Formation 1 = Rrnnswick Maritic Sand, following numbcrq arc scqiicntial to the list givcn in Flcming (1953). 1: from Hawkcs bay. these species. The phenotypic trajcctory of each species is shown to oscillate around the modern mean through the time pcriod under consideration. 'lhis pattern demonstrates oscillatory change in phcnotypc: within prescribed limits, that is, phenotypic stasis. The post-Miocene history of the Wanganui subdivision was one of complex and rapid changes in both climate and paleogcograpliy (Fleming, 1953). 'lhe major climatic, fluctuations, deduced by Fleming (1953) from floral and fhunal evidence, have been indicated on Fig. 7. The Hautawari (formations 41-39) represents a thermal minimum wlieri temperaturcs wcre some 3" 6°C:. lowcr than today and glaciation extended as far riortli as 43"s. 'lemperatures subsequently increased (formations 38- 3 3 ) to levels equivalent to those of tlie southern extremity of the South Island today. Further climatic dctcrioratiori MORPHOLOGICAL, VAKIAI'ION O F SPECIES T H R O U G H T I M E A. Shakespeare group 249 B. KO!-Iwi Qroup CAI CAI D. C. Okehu group CAI CAI notion Figure 5. Individual canonical variatc axcs scores lor fossil Amnldn nouaezelnndiae. Tlic circles rcprcscnt 95% and 9Yo,;l confidence surfaccs calculated from modern A. novaezelandiae canonical variatr scores. A-C from Wanganui, Formation 1 =Brunswick Marinr Sand, following numbrrs are sequential to the list given in Fleming (1953). D from Hawkes Bay. during formations 32-22 was followed by a progressive warming during the Putikian (formations 17-3) reaching a maximum during formations 16-14, when temperatures were estimated to have been 3" 6"C(?) higher than at present. Variable conditions existed during the Hawera stage which followed (formations 1 and 2 ) . Structurally, the basin had a complex history, with downwarping, margin tilting, variable sediment supply, and regional tectonics interplaying to give complex shore-line migration patterns. This resulted in the alternation of auslralisldepresra and mucronatalnouaeZelandiue collections as shallow, coastal conditions alternated with deeper offshore environments. Tracking of their preferred habitat by these species, a phenomenon reported by Coope (1979) on a regional scale for coleopteran communities, has important evolutionary and biogeographic implications which are discussed in detail in a manuscript in preparation. B. MICHAUX 250 e I, -444 ACA' Figurr 6. Individual stratigraphic group inc-ail canonical variate scores for A. austm lk, A. rnucronata atid A. novap~elandineplottcd against time. Time axis unit is million years before prearnt (M.Y.BP). Agrs are only approximate. I t is against this background of environmental change that the variation in fossil sample means must be interpreted. There are also biases in the statistics derived from fossil samples which must also be borne in mind when interpreting these means. 'The major source of bias was undoubtedly introduced during collection, all samples being individually collected. T h e sample means are almost certainly, therefore, to be overestimations. The other likely source of bias was probably post-death sorting, a particular problem within the higher energy environments h a t A. australis inhabits. Plots of the canonical variate scores for the fossil samples of A . australiJ against formation number are shown in Fig. 7. The pattern of variation of CA1 and CA2 through time is similar and both thcsc patterns show changes that appear to track climatic change. During cold periods shells are larger, wider and have bigger apertures, with the converse during warmer conditions. This appears to be an example of a molluscan equivalent of Bergman's Rule. Interestingly the reverse appears true for A. mucronata (Fig. 8), cold climate being associated with MORPHOLOGICAL VARIA'IION 01: SPECIES ' I H R O U G H 'I I M E 25 1 Temperature W n g ._0 L z V a -2 4 -3 0 I I 10 20 I I 30 Formation number Figurc 7. Plot ol' CAI atid CA2 scorcs f i r fbssil samplcs o f ' i l .n u i t i a h that age incrrasrs to tlw right. DJ. formation numbrr. S o t r smaller shells and warmer climate with larger shells. T h e phenotypic trajectories through time are thus climatically modulated for these species, a result also reported by Cronin ( 1 985) for marine ostracods. One hypothesis that could account for this modulation is that it results from the dynamic interplay between an organism's developmental system and mucronafa and ausfro/is CAN I scores 0- -5 - a V -4 - 2 s Q h -3 m Formation number Figure 8 . Plot of' CAI scorcs for fossil camplrs of A . nuctrnli, and d. ~ I L U ( J W ~ L 7)s. hrmation r i u r r l l m Noic t h a t agc incrrasrs to tlic right. 252 R. MICHAUX external context (Michaux, 1988). Changes in temperature can alter the kinetics and hence the catalytic rates of biological reactions that are components of the organism’s developmental system. For this particular example it seems to me that two aspects of ontogeny are relevant, namely somatic growth rates and timing of sexual maturation. For A. nutralis the results of this study are consistent with prolonging the onset of sexual maturity during periods of lower temperatures. Somatic growth rates were either unaffected or slowed relatively less. The result is that the animal grows for a longer period, producing a larger shell with a bigger aperture. For A. mucronutu the rate of somatic growth was slowed relative to the onset of sexual maturity during periods of lower temperature. In this case the animal grows slower and produces smaller shells by the time it becomes sexually mature. Because these species are extant, this hypothesis is open to experimental investigation and hence to refutation. UlSCUSStON I have argued for the importance of using extant taxa for detailed evolutionary studies using paleontological data. This is certainly not new (see, for example, Williamson, 1981; Vrba, 1984; Cronin, 1985; Stanley & Yang, 1987), and is simply a n extension of the principle of uniformitarianism, but what is new is the use to which data obtained from extant organisms are used. Any historical study of species must have an accurate knowledge of what biological groupings exist within the taxon being studied, and this cannot be achieved, without varying degrees of uncertainty, using morphology alone. Morphological criteria are used for identification once the biological groupings have been established by critera independent of morphology. This conclusion, I believe, applies equally to both paleontological and biological research. When biological groupings are defined by morphological criteria the results of the study are inconclusive, both because of the circularity of the argument arid the doubt about the validity of such groupings. It is a weak argument to suggest that because modern taxa are identified so it is .justifiable to use these same criteria, because there are a large and increasing number of examples, particularly stemming from medical and pest control research where accurate (and hence costly) knowledge of groupings is essential, that provide coun ter-examples. The refinements in methodology outlined above overcome, I believe, some of the weaknesses that are inherent in palaeontological data. The most important of these is the ability to base species definitions on data independent of both morphology and fossil evidence. This appears to me to be an important requirement if one is to describe patterns of speciation in the fossil record- a conclusion that applies equally to both taxic and transformational approaches. Having established the biological discreteness of the t a m involved, their overall morphology can then be quantified-in this particular study by multivariate techniques-and fossil morphologies compared using the same methods. The question of whether fossil individuals are members of the same modern biologically defined species is unanswerable. However, if fossil specimens have identical diagnostic taxonomic characters, overall phenotypic parameters, habitat and environrncntal preferences, and faunal associations as these modern species, it is difficult to imagine by what criteria they could he judged dilrerent. M O R P H O L O G I C A L VAR IAT ION 0 1 ‘ SPECIES T H R O U G H ‘ [ M E E CA2 253 / / 2 I N I X 2 X 3 X (i) Figure 9. Hypothetical case rrsulting in ‘pliylctic gradualism’ in the fossil rccord. S c r text f i r details. They could be regarded as cryptic species, which indeed thay may be. I n this particular study I have demonstrated the lack of cryptic groupings within the modern species, but cannot of course demonstrate that the fossil specimens are not. I have little doubt in my own mind that these fossil individuals represent samples from a genealogical continuum that stretches back from the present into the Pliocene, but leave the reader to reach his own conclusions. ‘The importance of using independent species definitions is demonstrated by the example reported in Raup & Crick (1981). In this study the authors looked at the evolution of single characters in the Jurassic ammonite genus Kosmoceras and concluded that some characters changed gradually whilst others changed abruptly. By identifying species morphologically, transformationists would conclude that species changed phyletically and taxists would conclude that they changed abruptly. This example illustrates that characters can change either gradually or abruptly, but sheds little light on the evolution of (biological) species. Consider the example presented in this paper. Figure 2 shows that there is considerable overlap in the morphologies of three biological species, 254 R. WICHAUX A. nouaezelnndiue, A. australis and A. deflressn. For the sake of‘ argument, presume that rather than being molluscs, these represent three biological specics of planktonic foraminifera (Fig. 9A), Further, let us presume that these biological species are distributed latitudinally within the Southern ocean, each preferring a particular climatic zone. Apart from thc rather abrupt transformation of molluscs into forams this scenario is reasonable, and is diagramatically illustrated in Fig. 9. Consider now the effects of climate deterioration which results from thc onset and intensification of glaciation in Antarctica. The oceanic zones will migrate north, and the foram specics, because of their habitat preferences, will follow (Fig. 9B i iii). At locality X the stratigraphic sequence will be specics 1, 2 arid 3, which could quite conceively show a scqucntial, gradual change in morphology (Fig. 9C). I t is possible that there are n o characters which show any abrupt changes because biological groupings may he ‘cryptic’. I t could be concluded from this hypothetical case that these species show progressive and gradual change through time (e.g. Gingerich, 1976; Malmgren & Kennett, 198 I ) . ‘I’his interpretation is quite erroneous arid serves to underline the importance of knowing what biological groupings otic is dealing with, arid then describing thc morphological variability of each biological species as fully as possible. This includes atialysing samples from as much of the geographic rarigc as possible, a point already stressed by a number of authors (e.g. Gould & Eldredge, 1977). In summary, I have tried to show that extant taxa with good fossil records should be used for detailed paleontological evolutionary studies. ‘I’lie advantage of using such groups is simply to provide the maximum possi tile infornia tiori. T h e results of such studies would then give us increased confidence in describing the pattern of evolutionary change with respect to speciation in the fossil record. This is certainly not to imply that extinct groups are of little value in evolutionary studies, but simply to argue that patterns in speciation change arc lcast unequivocal when the maximum amount of data arc available. T h c task of documenting speciation patterns in the fossil record is, in my estimation, of some importance and rightly raised to prominence by Eldredge & Gould in 1972. ACKNO\1’LED(:F,MI,,~’l S An earlier draft of this paper benefited from the comments of an anonymous reviewer. 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